Research on an Evaluation Method of Snowdrift Hazard for Railway Subgrades

The objective of this study is to investigate the potential risks posed by snowdrifts, a prevalent cause of natural disasters in northern China, on railway subgrades, and to assess their risk level. As a wind-driven process of snow migration and redeposition, snowdrifts pose a significant threat to the safety of transportation infrastructures. This study focuses on the Afu Railway in Xinjiang, situated on the northern slopes of the Eastern Tianshan Mountains, where it experiences periodic snowdrifts. We employed a combination of the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) to construct an integrated evaluation system for assessing the risk of snowdrift to railway subgrades. The results indicate that subgrade design parameters and regional snowfield conditions are two key metrics affecting the extent of snowdrift disasters, with topography, vegetation coverage, and wind speed also exerting certain impacts. The evaluation method of this study aligns with the results of on-site observations, verifying its accuracy and practicality, thereby providing a solid risk assessment framework for snowdrifts along the railway. The scientific and systematic hazard assessment method of railway subgrades developed in this research provides basic data and theoretical support for future research, and provides a scientific basis for relevant departments to formulate countermeasures, so as to improve the safety and reliability of railway operations.