Sensitivity analysis is used to identify general trends and to discuss the related performance outcomes. After a sensitivity analysis, the subsequent step is to use the obtained information to set up the conceptual development of the considered aircraft. In the case of the conceptual design of BW and TW hybrid-electric configurations proposed in [
29], that is, the configurations on which the analysis presented in this paper is based, this conceptual design process is carried out by means of an optimization procedure. This section first provides an overview of the optimization procedure implemented to design TW and BW hybrid-electric regional aircraft for different MTOW categories, then discusses the economic and environmental performance comparison between optimized TW and BW, both at the design point and within the payload-range envelope. Finally, a qualitative analysis of airport infrastructure compatibility is proposed.
4.1. Optimized Hybrid-Electric Regional BW and TW
The optimization problem formalized to design hybrid-electric TW and BW regional aircraft is set to minimize block fuel
, and is described using the following equations
where
x is the vector of the design variables, namely
HP,
W/
S,
,
, and
, that are limited within lower and upper boundaries,
and
, respectively. The constraints refer to the maximum limit on MTOW imposed by the designer, and the maximum threshold of supplied electrical power
to avoid overheating of the electric motors. Specifically, four regional hybrid-electric aircraft configurations were optimized for BW and TW respectively, varying
between the values [23 30 40 50] × 10
3 kg
f. The results obtained in [
29] are reassumed in
Table 4.
In terms of FoMs relating to the economic and environmental impact of a hybrid-electric aircraft, the DOC and CO
2 emission values reported in
Table 5 were obtained. A discussion of these results is proposed in
Section 4.2.
4.2. Overall Performance Comparison at the Design Point
An overall summary of the comparison between the couples of optimal BW–TW configurations, for each value of the MTOW considered, is reported in
Figure 10, which provides a complete overview of the results of the optimization process. In this context, the comparison is expressed in the form of radar charts showing the percentage differences between TW and BW of the following metrics: MTOW, OEW, block fuel, wingspan, battery mass, DOC,
in the three
scenarios, evaluated at the design point.
The comparison at the design point of the optimized TW and BW configurations provides interesting insights. Indeed, as mentioned above and as demonstrated in [
29], the BW configurations save significant amounts of block fuel. These advantages also reflect in a less
emissions in all three
scenarios for the BW with respect the TW, but with different quantitative impacts; in the case of the current scenario, the
reductions for BW are noteworthy but anyway do not exceed 17%, as the impact of emissions related to electricity production significantly mitigate the reductions due to lower fuel consumption. The differences increase in the intermediate scenario, while in the
scenario the percentage differences coincide with those for
, as there are no emissions related to electricity production.
It becomes even more interesting to assess this comparison between hybrid-electric configurations and the thermal benchmark. Indeed, it is this trend that makes it clear whether the proposed technological solutions have a positive impact on greenhouse emissions. The comparison, in percentage terms of
emissions, for the three
scenarios, between the TW and BW hybrid-electric configurations and the thermal benchmark is shown in
Table 6. From this data it is apparent that, if the electricity production scenario remains as it is today (
), introducing hybrid-electric propulsion on TW aircraft does not produce any reduction in greenhouse emissions. Furthermore, although increasing MTOW results in substantial reductions in
, these do not introduce any benefit in greenhouse emissions, which on the contrary are in clear opposite trend. In correspondence with fuel consumption reductions of 54%,
emission increases of more than 33% are generated. Still considering the current context, the situation is slightly better for BW, which in the ‘
23t’ and ‘
30t’ cases can achieve
reductions, albeit still quantitatively limited. The trend begins to reverse for the
scenario, hence providing more relevant
reductions, while emission reductions coincide with fuel reductions in the
case. These results highlight once again how the introduction of electric propulsion technologies alone is not sufficient on a global level if they are not coupled with the ecological transition of electricity production.
As far as the economic impact is concerned, once again the BW has advantages over the TW, although this time much more limited compared to the other FoMs discussed; see
Table 5. This is because the share of cost reductions related to electricity and fuel is weighted by a series of fixed costs that are common between the two configurations. Considering instead the DOC comparison with the thermal benchmark (see
Table 7), it is observed that for any configuration as MTOW changes, there are economic disadvantages in operating hybrid-electric aircraft compared to the state of the art. According to the current estimates, the effect of the cost of electrical components and energy, which becomes more impactful as the MTOW increases, imposes a trade-off between the beneficial effects in terms of emissions and the increases in operating costs of hybrid-electric aircraft.
4.3. BW and TW Hybrid-Electric Aircaft Impact Assessment within the Payload-Range Envelope
The single-point comparison considering the design point presented in
Section 4.2 provides relevant indications in terms of performance differences between TW and BW. However, aircrafts most often operate far from the design point [
52], and for payload-range combinations, that may be variable. Therefore, in order to provide as general a discussion of aircraft performance as possible, it is appropriate to evaluate key FoMs within the entire payload-range envelope. In [
29], this was completed with regard to the block fuel analysis, as shown in
Figure 11, which illustrates the fuel consumption contours for standard missions at varying passengers number (20 to 40) and range (250 to 600 nm) for the TW- and BW-optimized configurations; see
Section 4.1. These charts show the substantial benefit related to the use of BW hybrid-electric aircraft, for each of the MTOW considered. If we consider MTOW values similar to those of the regional turboprop aircraft currently operating (e.g., up to 23t for the ATR 72) and analyze the differences between optimized BW and TW (see the bottom part of
Figure 11), we obtain average block fuel savings up to 200 kg
f; these gains for the BW increase as the MTOW is increased. This result highlights again the potential fuel saving of the BW configuration, which can be extended to the entire pax-range envelope. A further relevant result lies in the capability of the BW configuration with MTOW equal to 50 × 10
3 kg
f to operate throughout the entire operational envelope with almost zero fuel consumption, except for the small quota required for take-off. As extensively discussed in [
17], the fuel consumption at the design point is 113 kg, with the highest amount in the cruise phase; if the range reduces, fuel consumption decreases, as well in climb and cruise phases, where no fuel is burnt at the exception of the take-off phase. The trade-off between MTOW and
is a peculiarity of hybrid-electric configurations, which by carrying more batteries, thus increasing the MTOW, allow more electrical energy to be supplied during flight, at the expense of less energy demand for fuel.
However, how do these trends translate into economic and environmental impacts within the entire operating envelope?
Figure 12 shows the contours of the DOC per flight within the pax-range diagram for the optimized TW and BW configurations. The contours show that the DOC trend is significantly more sensitive to the range than to the payload, as changes in range result in larger increases in the energy required for the mission. The comparison between TW and BW shows that the latter offers general economic advantages not only at the design point (see
Section 4.2), but throughout the operating envelope, as reported by the DOC point-by-point differences between the BW and TW configurations; see the bottom part of
Figure 12.
As in the case of the design point, the lower cost quota for BW is mainly attributable to the lower energy demand for flight, and thus, the lower cost share of electricity and fuel. The advantage for the BW over the TW decreases as the payload decreases, but above all, as the range decreases, i.e., as the energy required to perform the flight is reduced. As MTOW increases, a substantial increase in DOC is observed throughout the whole pax-range diagram for each configuration, again highlighting the trade-off that must be paid in economic terms if fuel consumption is to be reduced with hybrid-electric propulsive technologies. Nevertheless, this scenario remains wide open, as policy actions to tax pollutant and greenhouse emissions are currently under discussion [
50], and these could introduce economic penalties for the most fuel-consuming flights.
However, considering the current scenario, i.e., without taking possible emissions charges into account, and comparing the data of the thermal benchmark DOC shown in
Figure 13 with those of the hybrid-electric BW and TW (see
Figure 12), it can be observed that in all MTOW and pax-range conditions, there are economic disadvantages in operating hybrid-electric aircraft compared to the state of the art. The current strong investment in electric propulsion technologies for aviation applications, however, may indicate that in a future when these technologies are mature to be implemented, a reduction in related costs could be expected, thus mitigating the penalty in operating costs against current thermal aircraft.
For the sake of completeness, the
emission values within the pax-range diagrams for the optimized BW and TW configurations for the three previously discussed scenarios of
,
, and
, respectively, are shown in
Figure 14,
Figure 15 and
Figure 16. It is interesting to note that, in the case of
, it is the range that is dominant in the
emission trend, as this value is strongly related to both fuel and electricity and thus depends on the total energy budget required to fly. This trend is less pronounced in the
case, and instead, the effect of the number of passengers becomes more apparent in the
case. In general, BW exhibits substantial advantages over TW in all operating envelopes. The two main outcomes previously discussed in
Section 4.2 can also be observed from these data: first, in the
scenario, the opposite trend between general reductions in
obtained as configurations with larger MTOW are considered (see
Figure 11), resulting in increases in
emissions; this trend becomes almost neutral in the
scenario, while
follows
in the
case.
Secondly, it emerges again that if the introduction of the hybrid-electric propulsion is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, it is necessary to move towards the
scenario; this can be seen by comparing the
emissions for all TW and BW configurations with those for the thermal benchmark, proposed in
Figure 17.
4.4. Airport Compatibility
A key aspect in the introduction of a novel transport aircraft lies in the assessment of compatibility with current airport infrastructure. In particular, the main aspects to be considered in the conceptual design phase are related to limits on runway lengths for landing/take-off and dimensional compatibility with aprons. Regarding the first point, the minimum runway length, this has been addressed in the design phase for both the TW and BW hybrid-electric configurations, through the sizing of the propulsion system. In particular, within the matching chart, the take-off sizing condition has been imposed in the event of a failure of one of the two propulsive units, considering a maximum runway length of 1100 m. Since this dimensional constraint has been imposed for both architectures, there are no differences between them in this regard. On the other hand, it is different when it comes to the subject of airport aprons; these are regulated by the standards of the ICAO Aerodrome Codes [
53], which, among the various characteristics of the apron, regulate its maximum width, i.e., they limit the maximum wingspan of the aircraft that can utilize the apron.
Table 8 shows the ICAO Aerodrome Codes and the related maximum wingspan values.
Analyses on the availability of airport aprons show that the smaller the wingspan, i.e., the lower the ICAO code complied with, the greater the possibilities of using more airports [
54], even small ones, providing the opportunity to open new routes as well. This is of key importance in the regional market, where short routes are often involved between places with small airport infrastructures [
52]. In this context, as discussed above, the effective introduction of hybrid-electric propulsion introduces MTOW increases compared to corresponding state-of-the-art thermal aircraft. Therefore, the lifting surfaces required to trim the aircraft in horizontal flight are also larger than their current equivalents. This, for the TW hybrid-electric configurations results in wingspan increases; on the other hand, the BW configuration, having the lifting capabilities divided over two different surfaces, can trim the same weights with smaller wingspan. This can be seen from
Figure 18, in which the planforms of the optimized TW and BW hybrid-electric aircraft described in
Section 4.1 are superimposed.
The wingspan data for the configurations in
Figure 18 are reported in
Table 9, where the minimum compatibility with ICAO Aerodrome Codes standards is also highlighted.
From the data in
Table 9 emerges the possibility of distributing the lifting load over two different surfaces and thus decrease the wingspan, allowing the BW configuration to be compatible with the ‘B’ standard in the case of the ‘
23t’ configuration and to be always compatible with the ‘C’ standard for the other MTOW categories. On the other hand, the TW configuration is never compatible with the ‘B’ standard, and for configurations with lower fuel consumption, it is not compatible with the ‘C’ standard, introducing severe operating penalties due to the reduced number of aprons available for the ‘D’ standard, especially in the context of regional aviation.