1. Introduction
Climate change has been reported to have a direct impact on agriculture and livestock [
1], as their production depends on weather conditions. On the other hand, the agriculture–food sector is considered one of the most important sectors of the European economy, contributing a high proportion of total greenhouse gas emissions [
2,
3,
4]. The types of food with the highest environmental burdens are meat (beef, pork, chicken) and dairy (cheese, milk, butter) products [
5]. The impact of livestock production on climate change has been of great concern in recent decades, mainly due to the increase in human population. It is estimated that the sector is responsible for 14.5% of total anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, which means that more than nine million CO
2 equivalents (eq.) are emitted every year due to livestock activity. GHG emissions from the livestock sector include CO
2, CH
4 and NO
2. Enteric fermentation, feed production and processing, manure, transportation and further processing of animal products are the main contributors of these emissions [
1,
3]. Therefore, a wide range of mitigation strategies have been proposed to eliminate these emissions, such as changes in diet content, manure management and herd management [
1]. Further to these strategies, novel techniques to capture methane or carbon dioxide emissions have been developed, including, for example, antimethanogenic strategies (chemical inhibitors, electron acceptors and ionophores) or carbon capture and utilization strategies (CCU) using microalgae for enhanced carbon sequestration [
1,
6,
7,
8,
9].
On the other hand, the human population is expected to reach 9.7 billion by 2050 [
10]. This population growth, together with the increase in the urbanization rate and the amelioration of humans’ social status, is expected to lead in an increase in future need for livestock products, which is estimated to double by 2050 [
1,
11] Therefore, the livestock sector will require more natural resources to meet these demands, resulting in a larger environmental footprint.
Until now, ruminants have mainly been of interest due to the considerable methane (CH
4) emissions derived from enteric fermentation, whereas less attention has been paid to other non-ruminant species. Indeed, the ruminant sector, especially beef cattle, followed by dairy cattle and buffaloes, is considered to be among the main contributors of GHG emissions, participating in the “tank” of global warming potential, with more than 74% of total CO
2-eq produced by the livestock sector [
3]. However, in the light of the high consumption of many other livestock commodities, attention should also be paid to other livestock categories in the European Union, such as pig farming.
The European pig farming sector accounts for nearly half of total meat production. Germany, Spain and France are the main contributors of pig meat, producing more than half of all pig meat produced in the EU. In addition, pig meat ranks in first position in terms of consumer preference [
12]. The sector is highly diverse, with considerable differences in rearing methods and farm size across the member states, ranging from backyard farming to industrial systems. Pig farming in Greece is considered one of the most dynamic sectors of intensive farming systems, after poultry production. It accounts for 25% of domestic meat production, with a self-sufficiency rate of approximately 35% [
13]. Within common agricultural policy (CAP), the sector is enhanced by the common organization of markets, regulating trade and providing support in the event of a sectoral crisis. The new framework of CAP sets as a priority a more environmental approach, reflecting a lower contribution of the sector to livestock’s environmental impact.
Livestock’s carbon footprint is mainly based on the assessment of the respective GHG emissions. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change guidelines [
14], the estimation of GHG emissions can be achieved following different tier methodologies (Tier 1, 2 or 3) according to the available data. These approaches are based on using specific equations of elevated computational power according to the available data (i.e., population number, animal categories, feed parameters, etc.). According to Tier 1 methodologies, GHG emission estimations per head of livestock are responsive only to changes in animal numbers and populations. On the contrary, Tier 2 methodologies intend to better capture the management of GHG emissions and offer higher precision, as these methodologies are based on more elaborate data, such as classification of different types of livestock categories, as well as data regarding livestock weight, weight gain, feed digestibility, level of production, etc. Tier 3 methodologies refer to the most sophisticate approach, including models and inventory measurement systems tailored to national circumstances, repeated over time and driven by high-resolution activity data and disaggregated at the subnational level. However, as the carbon footprint is emerging among the various human activities, a number of promising software applications have been developed to facilitate the estimation of GHG emissions based on the aforementioned approaches. A promising software that utilizes a Tier 2 approach is the “Global Livestock Environmental Assessment Model” (GLEAM), a web-based tool that was recently developed by the Food and Agriculture Organization to estimate GHG emissions in the livestock sector [
15].
The environmental impact of GHG emissions has been well studied, especially in ruminant species. Most studies refer to a set of examined farms under the same or different farming systems (i.e., intensive, semi-intensive, organic) using specific boundaries in each study, although results are not comparable between the majority of studies due to different functional units and/or different computational approaches (model equations, IPCC equations, LCA software approaches, etc.). When referring to the country level, they use only either Tier 1 or Tier 2 approaches [
14,
16]. However, scarce information exists about the assessment of GHG emissions, especially in the pig sector, using different inventories in the same dataset. Therefore, the aim of the present study is to depict the impact of pig livestock on climate change in terms of GHG emissions, particularly methane (CH
4) and direct (N
2O) and indirect (NOx, NH
3, NO
3−) nitrogen emissions, during the last six consecutive years in the territory of Greece, as well as in major European countries, using comparatively different methodological approaches (Tier 1 and Tier 2 using IPCC equations as well Tier 2 using Gleam-i softwaredeveloped by FAO, Rome, Italy). In addition, a case study of a typical semi-extensive pig farm in Northern Greece in terms of GHG is considered as a small-scale scenario. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first comprehensive and differentiated assessment regarding the emissions of pig farming, especially in Greece, and may serve as a fundamental step to evaluate estimated GHG emissions in order to identify gaps and limitations in the used methodologies, as well as to highlight potential mitigation strategies that could be applied to eliminate GHG emissions in pig livestock production.
4. Discussion
Livestock is one of the fastest-developing subsectors of the agricultural sector. The projected increase in population between now and 2050 will multiply human needs for animal products, and this will undoubtedly lead to an increase in the natural resources used by the livestock sector to meet these needs and will negatively influence its environmental impact [
20,
21,
22]. Emissions of GHG produced during livestock production are of great concern, as they significantly contribute to overall anthropogenic GHG emissions [
3]. Although pig meat ranks in first position in terms of consumer consumption preferences, little attention has been given to the study of GHG emissions of the sector compared to other species (i.e., ruminants), especially on a country level. In the present study, we report, for the first, time the environmental impact of the Greek pig farming in terms of GHG emissions during six consecutive years, using both Tier 1 and 2 approaches, as recommended by the IPCC. In addition, the respective emissions were estimated for other European countries contributing to pig production for comparative purposes. The emissions derived from a typical semi-extensive pig farm in Greece were also reported as a small-scale approach. All reported emissions were calculated using different computation methods for comparison purposes between inventories.
For Tier 1 and 2 approaches, we first implemented the IPCC recommendation guidelines [
14], using specific equations for the respective emission estimations with regard to methane and nitrous oxide gasses. According to the results, the countries were ranked accordingly to the reared populations, and Tier 2 emissions estimations were notably lower compared to those of Tier 1 in each country, reaching almost the half of those revealed through the Tier 1 approach in many of the examined cases. These results are in line with our expectations, as both methodologies utilize different parameters, which are responsible for the observed differentiation of the results for each gas category (i.e., CH
4, NO
2). The Tier 1 approach is one of the simplest and most common approaches for estimating GHG emissions, and it focuses on species populations and on the assessment factors (emission factors), which are specific to the examined animal species, regardless of age and/or production stage. In addition, the factors that are used depend on the generally characterization of the implemented productive system (high- or low-productivity systems) and not on country- or territory-level characteristics [
17]. Population number was the key parameter in both approaches, according to the equations. Therefore, the general ranking of countries based on CH
4 and N
2O emissions is proportional to the changes in population per year; thus, the higher the number of animals within a certain production system, the higher estimated emissions. However, Tier 2 methodology, compared to Tier 1, considers animal population within each animal category and not only the total studied population. Because Tier 1 does not consider the number of animals within each animal category, as opposed to Tier 2 methodology, but only the total population, obviously, it may overestimate emissions compared to Tier 2. The latter methodology, apart from the animal number and herd structure, also considers many other specific parameters regarding animal husbandry, i.e., animal diet rations, animal performance, etc., which permits a more accurate approach. It should be noted that in some developing countries, it has been reported that Tier 2 emission factors were higher than the corresponding factors of the Tier 1 inventory, leading to higher total emissions than those of estimated by a Tier 1 approach [
23]. The choice of using one of the two approaches lies in the need to draw specific conclusions regarding the amount of greenhouse gas emissions or the need for qualitative conclusions concerning a general assessment of concentrations. In any case, IPCC guidelines recommends that all countries use higher-tier inventories for GHG estimations, as they are considered to lead to a more accurate result [
14,
17].
Another result emerging from the present study is that although the depth of analysis differs between Tier 1 and Tier 2 methodologies, in both cases, the ranking of the studied countries according to their emissions per gas type (CH4, N2O) and per source (manure, enteric fermentation) did not change. Therefore, if only comparing approaches in terms of ranking regarding GHG emissions in the pig sector, then Tier 1 methodology could form an easy case scenario to draw up initial results, followed by a more elaborated approach (i.e., Tier 2) for further qualitative estimations and decisions.
We further proceeded to estimate GHG emissions using GLEAM-i, a software that provides emissions calculations with sufficient technical rigor [
24]. GLEAM-i uses a herd model coupled with an IPCC (2006) Tier 2 approach, enabling characteristics of major importance in a livestock population to be considered in computations. The comparison of the results obtained by IPCC’s Tier 2 equations and GLEAM-i showed some similarities with the results obtained from the comparison between Tier 1 and Tier 2 estimations. First, the ranking of the studied countries according to CH
4 and N
2O emissions remained the same. Secondly, the IPCC’s Tier 2 and GLEAM-i outputs highlighted numerical differences in the estimations. The observed differences may be attributed to a different equational approach. IPCC equation parameters are based on default average approaches for each category (i.e., default values for nitrogen excretion rate or nitrogen gain by growth stage, live weight change of sows during gestation, etc.). In addition, Gleam-i uses energy requirement parameters based on NRC equations for further swine GHG estimation, whereas IPCC guidelines lack such an approach [
24]. There are also various parameters involved, the values of which are subject to some degree of uncertainty, which, in some cases, can impact the final the results [
24].
We, also, focused on estimating GHG emissions on a semi-extensive pig farm in northern Greece as a small-scale scenario. Tier 1 and Tier 2 approaches followed a similar trend as in the case of the examined countries, with Tier 2 estimations being lower compared to Tier 1 emissions due to the different equational approach that the methodologies follow. Based on the comparison of the estimated emissions per pig between the examined semi-extensive pig farm and the average pig farm, it was found that a semi-extensively reared pig contributes to the total emitted gasses to a lesser extent. A different manure management system and/or feed supply could have contributed to this difference. In the studied semi-extensive system, an autochthonous breed was used with low productivity compared to the hybrids that are used in intensive pig farming, which could contribute to the lower emissions per animal. Moreover, the larger amount of produced manure was directly spread in pastures due to grazing, compared to the average pig farm, where in the later, due to intensive farming, a deposit of manure was applied before any further treatment. Generally, grazing assists in lowering GHG emissions, as it eliminates the time that manure remains in a deposit site [
25]. Depending on the methodology applied, different results in relation to the main source of GHGs were noted. When a Tier 1 methodology was applied, breeding animals (sows, boars) contributed to estimated GHGs in a greater extent. On the contrary, fattening pigs were noted to contribute more to the estimated emissions when a Tier 2 approach was followed. Tier 1 methodology is the simplest method, takes the least resources to capture emissions and it therefore not able to reflect the circumstances of countries compared to the Tier 2 inventory, which uses more detailed data, such as information on animals’ energy requirements or dry matter within each examined animal category, to estimate their actual emissions. A profound reason that, the fattening pigs were associated with the highest emissions under Tier 2 methodology, could be the ad libitum feeding and their intensive productive status (growth and fattening) [
26], whereas under Tier 1 methodology, only population number is concerned. Therefore, if policy measures should be undertaken in terms of mitigation strategies, the methodology that is applied to estimate GHG emissions seems to be of utmost importance for evaluating which animal category contributes more to the estimations, especially when Tier 2 methodology is applied, that more accurately captures emissions. Furthermore, if policies intend to subside the category of breeding of animals (i.e., sows) as an attempt to strengthen pig husbandry, then it would be advisable that these measures be accompanied by GHG mitigation commitments, as the estimated environmental impact in terms of emissions is expected to increase with use of either a Tier 1 or Tier 2 methodology. In any case, specific categories could be targeted (i.e., breeding animals or fattening gilts) in a more specialized manner (i.e., improvement in diet digestibility, better utilization of manure) apart from more general strategies in livestock units (i.e., animal improvement).
A comparison of our findings with those reported in studies from the literature reflects some difficulties and limitations in a more general approach. Although previous studies reported the environmental impact of pig husbandry, each had set different boundaries and/or used different functional units to present the estimated GHG emissions. This was also recently depicted by Andretta et al. [
16], who further stated that transformations in some cases did not lead to precise results. In addition, at country level, only Tier 1 or, in some cases, a combination of Tier 1 and Tier 2 equations, according to the availability of emission factors, have been used without any further separate comparison between the two approaches. Therefore, for informative scope, some examples of pig GHG assessment are further discussed below. A Swedish report [
27] using country-specific emissions factors (Tier 2) estimated the environmental impact of pig production considering all the inputs at the farm level, as well as transport steps, but not emissions related to buildings, machinery and medicines. Total methane emissions from animals (enteric fermentation) and manure ranged from 16.66 to 29.21 kg/year, depending on the yearly amount of produced meat. The direct emissions of nitrous oxide from manure ranged from 34 to 120 kg N
2O/year, whereas the respective indirect emissions ranged from 21 to 55 kg N
2O/year. Losses of nitrous oxide from manure ranged from 0.0041 to 0.0059 kg N
2O per pig/year. The total emissions of GHGs varied between 3.6 and 4.4 kg CO
2-eq/kg of bone- and fat-free meat. Bava et al. [
28] reported on the environmental impact of Italian pig production using a Tier 1 methodology to estimate methane emissions and a Tier 2 approach to estimate emissions derived from slurry management on six pig farms in northern Italy. The system boundaries included the on-farm processes and off-farm activities linked to the production of external inputs without considering slaughtering transfers and processes. Total emissions varied from 2.69 to 5.81 kg CO
2-eq/kg animal live weight. According to the same authors, fattening pigs (growing and finishing pigs) contributed more to the estimated emissions, similarly to the results of the present study. Dourmand et al. [
29] revealed that conventional pig farms had lower emissions (2.25 Kg CO
2-eq/kg pig live weight) compared to organic (2.43 Kg CO
2-eq/kg pig live weight) or traditional systems (3.47 Kg CO
2-eq / kg pig live weight), which seems not to be in agreement with the noted results of the present study between a semi-extensive farm and average farms. Different functional units, feed supply and genetic material may have contributed to the observed differences. Another study [
30] focusing on an Iberian traditional pig production system using a Tier 2 approach showed that growing stage contributed most to the emissions impact (75%), followed by the production of piglets (19%) per Kg of live pig at farm gate, which is similar to our observations. The same trend was also noted in intensive pig farming systems in Mexico, where fattening pigs produced the most emissions, followed by weaning piglets [
31]. At country level, a previous study [
32] reported that methane emissions of the Vietnam pig sector from manure management reached approximately 50 kt, and those of nitrous oxide and ammonia reached approximately 2 kt and 10 kt, respectively. Interestingly, Amon et al. [
33] tried to capture changes in GHG emissions in Austria due to the shift from the 1996 IPCC guidelines to the 2006 and 2019 IPCC refinements. The authors reported that moving from previous guidelines to the recent guidelines resulted in prominent changes in livestock GHG emissions from different source categories. Additionally, the importance of the used methodology and emissions factors was confirmed with respect to generate more accurate and transparent emission inventories. Therefore, the reported variability in functional units, as well as the implemented farming boundaries, is an important issue to be highlighted. The functional unit choice is certainly a challenging task because it directly impacts the estimated emissions and is also related to the aim of each study [
34]. The same is true of the set of system boundaries. However, these parameters seem to be an utmost limitation when the comparison of results between studies is a main research scope, as further transformations are sometimes not possible or precise (e.g., results expressed in one ton of live pig are difficult to compare to those stated, i.e., in one kg of bone- and fat-free, meat because there are more processes included, and sometimes yield is based on country standards). Therefore, common agreed-upon guidelines for comparing the impact of GHG emissions between different pig farms would be a critical solution. Such guidelines for comparisons between studies assessing the environmental impact in the livestock sector could contribute to more precise, comprehensive and integrated assumptions.
5. Conclusions
Tier 1 and 2 methodologies did not affect the ranking in regard to the estimated GHG emissions among the studied countries. However, the noted differences in the numeric estimations between the applied computational methodologies are attributed to the more elaborated equational approach that Tier 2 methodology follows. Gleam-i software, although it follows a Tier 2 approach, produced numeric differentiations compared to the results obtained by IPCC’s Tier 2 equations, which can be attributed to a slightly different computational approach that the software follows in regard to animals’ energy requirements. When a semi-extensive farming system and the average pig farm (intensive farming) in the Greek territory were compared, the former was noted to have lower emissions per animal. In addition, depending on the methodology applied, different results regarding which animal category contributes more to the GHG emissions were noted. Specifically, Tier 1 methodology revealed that breeding contributed more to these emissions, contrary to the Tier 2 approach, which showed that fattening pigs were responsible for the majority of GHG emissions. Generally, a strong relationship was noted between emissions and inventory methodology. Thus, depending on the methodology, specific categories could be targeted (i.e., breeding animals or fattening gilts) in a more specialized manner. Therefore, if mitigation policy measures should be undertaken, the methodology that is applied to estimate GHG emissions seems to be of utmost importance. In addition, if policies intend to subside a certain category of animals (i.e., sows) in an attempt to strengthen pig husbandry, it would be advisable that these measures be accompanied by GHG mitigation commitments, as emission estimations are expected to increase independently, depending which methodology is applied. Thus, it is important for pig sector to report detailed and transparent inventories, following periodic estimations of trends and new approaches in computational methods. Although many pig systems have been studied in terms of environmental impact assessments, results are not easily comparable due to different approaches applied in each study (different functional units, boundaries, statistical analyses, etc.). Common agreed-upon guidelines for comparison of studies should be introduced to contribute to the establishment of more precise, comprehensive and integrated interpretations.