Skeptical Optimism Scale (SkO): Initial Development and Validation
Abstract
“A skeptical optimist is very different from a cautious optimist. A cautious optimist wants to be successful but has fear that they will not or are not producing the desired result. A skeptical optimist uses their skepticism to systematically test novel ideas.”
1. Introduction
2. Method
2.1. Scale Development
2.2. Sample and Procedure for Study 1 and Study 2
2.3. Measures for Study 1 and Study 2
2.3.1. Study 1
2.3.2. Study 2
3. Results
3.1. Factorial Analyses
A Short Version of the Skeptical Optimism Scale (SkO-Short)
3.2. Criterion Validation
3.3. Predictive Validity
4. Discussion
4.1. Skeptical Optimism as a Dual-Focus Disposition Driving Creativity
4.2. Curiosity in Mastering Novel and Challenging Tasks
4.3. Tenacity in Scrutinizing Difficult Problems
4.4. Inquisitiveness in Addressing Challenges
4.5. Limitations and Future Research Directions
4.6. Practical Implications
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Item | Factor | EFA FL | Experts RWG | Creat Quot | CriticThink | CSE | GRITPers | GRIT Consis | SelfEffOptim |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. My persistence helps me deal with any difficult life situation | 2 | 0.501 | 0.82 | 0.092 | 0.255 * | 0.266 ** | 0.446 ** | 0.156 * | 0.438 ** |
2. Curiosity makes me able to fulfill new and challenging tasks | 1 | 0.575 | 0.82 | 0.268 ** | 0.353 ** | 0.259 ** | 0.294 ** | 0.103 | 0.417 ** |
3. For each problem I am confronted with I will find a solution because I tend to think a lot about things. | 1 | 0.470 | 1 | 0.082 | 0.347 ** | 0.139 | 0.178 * | 0.194 ** | 0.347 ** |
4. I always push through any problem I am faced with. | 2 | 0.702 | 0.54 | −0.041 | 0.380 ** | 0.386 ** | 0.508 ** | 0.415 ** | 0.486 ** |
5. I am excited when faced with new challenges. | 2 | 0.700 | 1 | 0.093 | 0.220 * | 0.238 ** | 0.285 ** | 0.118 | 0.457 ** |
6. I am willing to engage and persist in a complex task because I always find a way to get it done. | 2 | 0.415 | 0.68 | 0.231 ** | 0.414 ** | 0.250 ** | 0.279 ** | 0.151 * | 0.464 ** |
7. I believe I will always find a way when dealing with difficult challenges. | 2 | 0.527 | 0.63 | 0.160 * | 0.243 * | 0.304 ** | 0.280 ** | 0.215 ** | 0.555 ** |
8. I find it difficult to believe there is only one solution to every problem | 1 | 0.158 * | 00.177 | 0.139 | 0.063 | −0.039 | 0.165 * | ||
9. I don’t believe in giving up when faced with a difficult situation. | 2 | 0.563 | 0.47 | 0.109 | 0.264 ** | 0.246 ** | 0.271 ** | 0.177 * | 0.348 ** |
10. I enjoy complexity in life due to my curiosity | 1 | 0.624 | 0.77 | 0.240 ** | 0.366 ** | 0.074 | 0.034 | −0.083 | 0.280 ** |
11. I have the drive to complete novel tasks no matter their complexity | 2 | 0.635 | 0.82 | 0.086 | 0.331 ** | 0.252 ** | 0.467 ** | 0.269 ** | 0.491 ** |
12. I like exploring new and challenging tasks | 1 | 0.773 | 1 | 0.220 ** | 0.377 ** | 0.187 ** | 0.249 ** | 0.027 | 0.412 ** |
13. I like experimenting because it challenges me to think quickly and flexibly | 1 | 0.765 | 0.65 | 0.253 ** | 0.319 ** | 0.119 | 0.109 | −0.066 | 0.300 ** |
14. I like to think out of the box when faced with difficult/new problems. | 1 | 0.554 | 0.77 | 0.241 ** | 0.474 ** | −0.020 | −0.034 | −0.131 | 0.190 ** |
15. I master difficult problems considering the situation as a whole | 0.74 | 0.193 ** | 0.389 ** | 0.130 | 0.066 | 0.055 | 0.289 ** | ||
16. I persevere in face of difficulties due to my diligence in seeking relevant information | 2 | 0.616 | 0.54 | 0.128 | 0.456 ** | 0.349 ** | 0.449 ** | 0.216 ** | 0.470 ** |
17. I see the life challenges as opportunities to grow | 0.82 | 0.057 | 0.375 ** | 0.384 ** | 0.383 ** | 0.210 ** | 0.389 ** | ||
18. I welcome every new challenge because it triggers my inquisitiveness | 1 | 0.685 | 0.73 | 0.134 | 0.432 ** | 0.278 ** | 0.293 ** | 0.090 | 0.413 ** |
19. My curiosity helps me deal with new and challenging tasks | 1 | 0.693 | 1 | 0.209 ** | 0.444 ** | 0.181 * | 0.205 ** | −0.019 | 0.251 ** |
20. Once I have figured out a solution for a difficult problem, I don’t usually stop searching for the best solution | 1 | 0.110 | 0.300 ** | .122 | 0.138 | 0.086 | 0.304 ** | ||
21. There is no task that is too demanding for me | 0.63 | −0.026 | 0.252 * | 0.229 ** | 0.327 ** | 0.215 ** | 0.521 ** | ||
22. For each problem I am confronted with, I wait to decide until I can get more information | 1 | 0.039 | 0.226 * | −0.159 * | 0.050 | −0.259 ** | −0.060 | ||
23. I dislike having to make important decisions in life without time to carefully reflect on alternatives | 0.65 | 0.032 | 00.143 | −0.147 * | −0.007 | −0.076 | −0.042 | ||
24. In novel tasks, I don’t accept other people’s explanations without further questioning | 0.82 | 0.208 ** | 0.231 * | −0.059 | −0.046 | −0.059 | 0.155 * | ||
25. In new situations, I usually evaluate the evidence even if it derived from valid testing | 0.82 | 0.186 ** | 0.323 ** | 0.062 | 0.088 | 0.049 | 0.320 ** | ||
26. I enjoy the process of seeking additional information even when solutions are readily available | 0.63 | 0.180 * | 0.466 ** | 0.159 * | 0.137 | 0.086 | 0.352 ** | ||
27. When first presented with a new problem, I tend not to take things at face value. | 0.73 | 0.090 | 0.349 ** | 0.156 * | 0.270 ** | 0.133 | 0.271 ** | ||
28. I often wonder about why something works or doesn’t work. | 3 | 0.407 | 0.82 | 0.172 * | 0.409 ** | −0.119 | −0.057 | −0.151 * | 0.078 |
29. In my life, I tend to question even most basic assumptions | 3 | 0.462 | 1 | 0.095 | 0.416 ** | −0.257 ** | −0.172 * | −0.274 ** | 0.107 |
30. I sometimes overanalyze a problem because I want to make sure I reach the best solution. | 3 | 0.798 | 1 | 0.123 | 0.379 ** | −0.257 ** | −0.038 | −0.109 | 0.085 |
31. I sometimes overanalyze a new situation because I want to make sure I understand all aspects of it. | 3 | 0.738 | 0.82 | 0.210 ** | 0.387 ** | −0.137 | 0.028 | −0.044 | 0.113 |
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Factor | CFA FL Study 1 | CFA FL Study 2 | Item | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ustd. | Std. | Ustd. | Std. | ||
Factor 1 (curiosity in mastering novel and challenging tasks) | 1.000 | 0.703 | 1.000 | 0.712 | Curiosity makes me able to fulfill new and challenging tasks |
1.163 | 0.734 | 1.133 | 0.700 | I am excited when faced with new challenges. | |
0.806 | 0.619 | 1.106 | 0.728 | I enjoy complexity in life due to my curiosity * | |
1.187 | 0.843 | 1.251 | 0.815 | I like exploring new and challenging tasks | |
1.058 | 0.746 | 1.170 | 0.772 | I like experimenting because it challenges me to think quickly and flexibly | |
0.782 | 0.547 | 0.862 | 0.559 | I like to think out of the box when faced with difficult/new problems. | |
1.118 | 0.754 | 1.232 | 0.781 | I welcome every new challenge because it triggers my inquisitiveness | |
0.945 | 0.644 | 1.232 | 0.822 | My curiosity helps me deal with new and challenging tasks | |
Factor 2 (tenacity in scrutinizing difficult problems) | 1.000 | 0.485 | 1.000 | 0.524 | My persistence helps me deal with any difficult life situation |
0.993 | 0.587 | 0.959 | 0.523 | For each problem I am confronted with I will find a solution because I tend to think a lot about things. | |
1.784 | 0.772 | 1.660 | 0.787 | I am willing to engage and persist in a complex task because I always find a way to get it done. | |
1.466 | 0.695 | 1.571 | 0.700 | I believe I will always find a way when dealing with difficult challenges. | |
1.264 | 0.631 | 1.557 | 0.739 | I have the drive to complete novel tasks no matter their complexity | |
Factor 3 (inquisitiveness in addressing challenges) | 1.000 | 0.481 | 1.000 | 0.391 | I often wonder about why something works or doesn’t work. |
1.402 | 0.551 | 1.462 | 0.427 | In my life, I tend to question even most basic assumptions | |
1.588 | 0.816 | 2.523 | 0.861 | I sometimes overanalyze a problem because I want to make sure I reach the best solution. | |
1.568 | 0.804 | 2.376 | 0.850 | I sometimes overanalyze a new situation because I want to make sure I understand all aspects of it. |
Model | χ2 (p) | Df | CMIN/Df | RMSEA | CFI | TLI | NFI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Study 1 | |||||||
3 factor model | 245.18 (<0.0001) | 116 | 2.11 | 0.08 | 0.90 | 0.89 | 0.89 |
3 factor model (with an underlying dominant factor) | 481.93 (<0.0001) | 119 | 4.05 | 0.13 | 0.73 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
Single factor model | 484.39 (<0.0001) | 119 | 4.07 | 0.13 | 0.73 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
Study 2 | |||||||
3 factor model | 392.63 (<0.001) | 116 | 3.38 | 0.08 | 0.92 | 0.90 | 0.90 |
3 factor model (with an underlying dominant factor) | 882.96 (<0.001) | 119 | 7.42 | 0.12 | 0.77 | 0.74 | 0.74 |
Single factor model | 885.08 (<0.001) | 119 | 7.44 | 0.12 | 0.77 | 0.74 | 0.74 |
Study 1 | Study 2 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coefficient ω | Coefficient α | AVE | Coefficient ω | Coefficient α | AVE | |
Factor 1 (curiosity in mastering novel and challenging tasks) | 0.884 | 0.884 | 0.50 | 0.906 | 0.903 | 0.55 |
Factor 2 (tenacity in scrutinizing difficult problems) | 0.777 | 0.770 | 0.43 | 0.792 | 0.795 | 0.46 |
Factor 3 (inquisitiveness in addressing challenges) | 0.728 | 0.755 | 0.43 | 0.707 | 0.731 | 0.56 |
Total | 0.869 | 0.887 | 0.882 | 0.894 |
Model | χ2 (p) | Df | CMIN/Df | RMSEA | CFI | TLI | NFI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Study 1–3 factor model | 52.12 (<0.0001) | 24 | 2.17 | 0.07 | 0.95 | 0.93 | 0.93 |
Study 2–3 factor model | 84.63 (<0.0001) | 24 | 3.52 | 0.08 | 0.96 | 0.94 | 0.94 |
Study 1 | Study 2 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coefficient ω | Coefficient α | AVE | Coefficient ω | Coefficient α | AVE | |
Factor 1 (curiosity in mastering novel and challenging tasks) | 0.785 | 0.767 | 0.56 | 0.821 | 0.818 | 0.61 |
Factor 2 (tenacity in scrutinizing difficult problems) | 0.752 | 0.735 | 0.51 | 0.720 | 0.719 | 0.48 |
Factor 3 (inquisitiveness in addressing challenges) | 0.741 | 0.729 | 0.49 | 0.745 | 0.718 | 0.50 |
Total | 0.809 | 0.808 | 0.842 | 0.788 |
Mean | SD | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Gender | 0.83 | 0.379 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
2. Age | 21.75 | 1.395 | −0.138 | 1 | |||||||||||||
3. Factor_1 | 3.68 | 0.688 | −0.115 | 0.013 | 1 | ||||||||||||
4. Factor_2 | 3.81 | 0.638 | −0.044 | 0.004 | 0.570 ** | 1 | |||||||||||
5. Factor_3 | 3.92 | 0.710 | −0.010 | −0.053 | 0.388 ** | 0.317 ** | 1 | ||||||||||
6. SkO_Tot | 3.76 | 0.537 | −0.070 | −0.019 | 0.890 ** | 0.803 ** | 0.608 ** | 1 | |||||||||
7. Factor_1SH | 3.77 | 0.735 | −0.092 | 0.000 | 0.943 ** | 0.542 ** | 0.385 ** | 0.847 ** | 1 | ||||||||
8. Factor_2SH | 3.88 | 0.718 | −0.054 | −0.011 | 0.562 ** | 0.913 ** | 0.327 ** | 0.765 ** | 0.532 ** | 1 | |||||||
9. Factor_3SH | 3.88 | 0.760 | 0.004 | −0.083 | 0.352 ** | 0.309 ** | 0.961 ** | 0.573 ** | 0.341 ** | 0.318 ** | 1 | ||||||
10. SkO_TotSH | 3.84 | 0.570 | −0.060 | −0.041 | 0.798 ** | 0.754 ** | 0.730 ** | 0.940 ** | 0.805 ** | 0.790 ** | 0.725 ** | 1 | |||||
11. Q_Creat | 6.94 | 2.604 | −0.012 | 0.048 | 0.291 ** | 0.186 ** | 0.192 ** | 0.297 ** | 0.288 ** | 0.203 ** | 0.170 * | 0.284 ** | 1 | ||||
12. CSE | 3.57 | 0.589 | −0.030 | 0.026 | 0.203 ** | 0.339 ** | −0.256 ** | 0.204 ** | 0.155 * | 0.292 ** | −0.272 ** | 0.068 | 0.025 | 1 | |||
13. GRITpersev | 3.62 | 0.757 | 0.114 | −0.021 | 0.224 ** | 0.459 ** | −0.089 | 0.307 ** | 0.161 * | 0.308 ** | −0.087 | 0.160 * | −0.121 | 0.594 ** | 1 | ||
14. GRITconsist | 3.00 | 0.966 | 0.196 ** | 0.034 | −0.006 | 0.270 ** | −0.201 ** | 0.077 | −0.048 | 0.227 ** | −0.190 ** | −0.010 | −0.049 | 0.426 ** | 0.436 ** | 1 | |
15. CTD_CO | 3.95 | 0.498 | −0.005 | 0.034 | 0.478 ** | 0.360 ** | 0.496 ** | 0.544 ** | 0.444 ** | 0.350 ** | 0.461 ** | 0.542 ** | 0.163 * | 0.117 | 0.105 | −0.060 | 1 |
16. CTD_RO | 4.11 | 0.567 | 0.196 ** | −0.005 | 0.329 ** | 0.355 ** | 0.341 ** | 0.424 ** | 0.303 ** | 0.316 ** | 0.332 ** | 0.410 ** | 0.030 | 0.222 ** | 0.364 ** | 0.164 * | 0.506 ** |
17. SEOpt | 3.56 | 0.607 | −0.079 | 0.040 | 0.448 ** | 0.637 ** | 0.126 | 0.554 ** | 0.402 ** | 0.569 ** | 0.126 | 0.467 ** | 0.031 | 0.568 ** | 0.577 ** | 0.310 ** | 0.314 ** |
Q_Creat | Self-Efficacy Optimism | GRIT Consistency | GRIT Perseverance | CSE | CTD_RO | CTD_CO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Constant | −0.49 (3.40) | 1.19 (0.63) | 1.01 (1.17) | 1.88 (0.86) | 3.13 *** (0.68) | 1.32 * (0.68) | 1.42 * (0.55) |
Gender | 0.12 (0.48) | −0.05 (0.09) | 0.51 ** (0.16) | 0.29 * (0.12) | 0.00 (0.10) | 0.34 *** (0.09) | 0.05 (0.08) |
Age | 0.10 (0.13) | 0.01 (0.02) | 0.03 (0.05) | −0.01 (0.03) | 0.00 (0.03) | 0.02 (0.03) | 0.02 (0.02) |
Factor 1 (curiosity in mastering novel and challenging tasks) | 0.85 * (0.34) | 0.15 * (0.02) | −0.20 (0.12) | 0.09 (0.09) | 0.14 * (0.07) | 0.12 (0.07) | 0.21 *** (0.06) |
Factor 2 (tenacity in scrutinizing difficult problems) | 0.08 (0.35) | 0.55 *** (0.06) | 0.67 *** (0.12) | 0.62 *** (0.09) | 0.35 *** (0.07) | 0.19 ** (0.07) | 0.06 (0.06) |
Factor 3 (inquisitiveness in addressing challenges) | 0.41 (0.28) | −0.11 * (0.05) | −0.37 *** (0.10) | −0.31 *** (0.07) | −0.37 *** (0.06) | 0.28 ** (0.06) | 0.26 *** (0.05) |
F | 3.79 * | 29.06 *** | 10.36 *** | 16.84 *** | 14.97 *** | 12.14 *** | 20.26 *** |
R2 | 0.09 | 0.44 | 0.22 | 0.31 | 0.28 | 0.24 | 0.35 |
Q_Creat | Self-Efficacy Optimism | GRIT Consistency | GRIT Perseverance | CSE | CTD_RO | CTD_CO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Constant | −0.42 (3.40) | 1.42 (0.67) | 1.33 (1.19) | 2.43 (0.95) | 3.38 (0.70) | 1.44 * (0.698) | 1.52 ** (0.57) |
Gender | 0.09 (0.48) | −0.04 (0.10) | 0.53 ** (0.17) | 0.29 * (0.13) | 0.005 (0.10) | 0.34 *** (0.10) | 0.04 (0.08) |
Age | 0.11 (0.13) | 0.02 (0.03) | 0.03 (0.05) | −0.01 (0.04) | 0.00 (0.03) | 0.02 (0.03) | 0.02 (0.02) |
Factor 1SH (curiosity in mastering novel and challenging tasks) | 0.79 ** (0.30) | 0.14 * (0.06) | −0.22 * (0.11) | 0.09 (0.08) | 0.09 (0.06) | 0.12 * (0.06) | 0.19 *** (0.05) |
Factor 2SH (tenacity in scrutinizing difficult problems problems) | 0.17 (0.30) | 0.44 *** (0.06) | 0.54 *** (0.11) | 0.38 *** (0.08) | 0.30 *** (0.06) | 0.14 * (0.06) | 0.06 (0.05) |
Factor 3SH (inquisitiveness in addressing challenges) | 0.32 (0.26) | −0.08 (0.05) | −0.32 *** (0.09) | −0.24 ** (0.07) | −0.33 *** (0.05) | 0.17 ** (0.05) | 0.23 *** (0.04) |
F | 3.72 ** | 20.61 *** | 8.63 *** | 7.52 *** | 12.11 *** | 10.66 *** | 17.40 *** |
R2 | 0.09 | 0.35 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.32 |
Mean | SD | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Gender | 0.6523 | 0.47716 | 1 | ||||||||||
2. Age | 23.72 | 6.435 | −0.036 | 1 | |||||||||
3. Educ_level | 1.49 | 0.680 | −0.092 | 0.414 ** | 1 | ||||||||
4. CAQ | 6.8729 | 7.13305 | 0.081 | −0.068 | 0.110 * | 1 | |||||||
5. Factor_1 | 3.8695 | 0.72190 | −0.073 | 0.031 | 0.080 | 0.169 ** | 1 | ||||||
6. Factor_2 | 3.8552 | 0.66818 | −0.012 | 0.135 ** | 0.099 * | 0.123 * | 0.683 ** | 1 | |||||
7. Factor_3 | 3.8921 | 0.73547 | 0.033 | 0.019 | −0.009 | 0.135 ** | 0.260 ** | 0.304 ** | 1 | ||||
8. SkO_Tot | 3.8693 | 0.58637 | −0.028 | 0.090 | 0.093 | 0.177 ** | 0.899 ** | 0.863 ** | 0.522 ** | 1 | |||
9. Factor_1SH | 3.9097 | 0.80204 | −0.066 | 0.018 | 0.115 * | 0.163 ** | 0.944 ** | 0.641 ** | 0.222 ** | 0.844 ** | 1 | ||
10. Factor_2SH | 3.8985 | 0.72984 | 0.008 | 0.134 ** | 0.094 | 0.125 * | 0.660 ** | 0.933 ** | 0.319 ** | 0.822 ** | 0.610 ** | 1 | |
11. Factor_3SH | 3.8122 | 0.82213 | 0.028 | 0.000 | −0.024 | 0.101 * | 0.189 ** | 0.250 ** | 0.965 ** | 0.450 ** | 0.148 ** | 0.268 ** | 1 |
12. SkO_TotShort | 3.8734 | 0.58526 | −0.013 | 0.064 | 0.081 | 0.174 ** | 0.794 ** | 0.798 ** | 0.686 ** | 0.938 ** | 0.780 ** | 0.820 ** | 0.647 ** |
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Oțoiu, C.; Curșeu, P.L.; Rațiu, L. Skeptical Optimism Scale (SkO): Initial Development and Validation. Behav. Sci. 2025, 15, 1017. https://doi.org/10.3390/bs15081017
Oțoiu C, Curșeu PL, Rațiu L. Skeptical Optimism Scale (SkO): Initial Development and Validation. Behavioral Sciences. 2025; 15(8):1017. https://doi.org/10.3390/bs15081017
Chicago/Turabian StyleOțoiu, Cătălina, Petru Lucian Curșeu, and Lucia Rațiu. 2025. "Skeptical Optimism Scale (SkO): Initial Development and Validation" Behavioral Sciences 15, no. 8: 1017. https://doi.org/10.3390/bs15081017
APA StyleOțoiu, C., Curșeu, P. L., & Rațiu, L. (2025). Skeptical Optimism Scale (SkO): Initial Development and Validation. Behavioral Sciences, 15(8), 1017. https://doi.org/10.3390/bs15081017