1. Introduction
Ascites is an accumulation of fluid in the abdomen, indicating an underlying pathology. Ascites has previously been reported as a relatively uncommon clinical presentation in cats within referral hospitals, with an incidence rate of 3 per 1000 cases [
1], although prevalence has been speculated to be higher in first-opinion practice [
2].
The cause of ascites in humans varies geographically, but it is most commonly caused by portal hypertension, e.g., due to hepatic cirrhosis [
3]. Non-portal hypertensive causes include malignant ascites, tuberculosis peritonitis and secondary bacterial peritonitis [
4]. The prevalence of different causes of ascites in canine and feline patients is not well described. The pathophysiological causes of ascites are commonly divided into decreased oncotic pressure (e.g., hypoalbuminemia), increased hydrostatic pressure (e.g., congestive cardiac failure and portal hypertension) and increased vascular permeability due to inflammation (e.g., bacterial peritonitis) [
5]. Other pathologies which may be caused by more than one pathophysiological mechanism include chylous effusions, hemorrhage, neoplastic effusions and body fluid-related effusions (e.g., bile peritonitis and uroabdomen) [
6,
7].
Only one previous study has evaluated survival times in 65 cats presenting with ascites regardless of etiology, reporting a median survival time of 21 days [
1]. Other small case studies (n = 65 cats and n = 34 cats) looking at survival times in cats with ascites caused by specific etiologies, including hemoperitoneum and exocrine pancreatic carcinomas, have also reported a guarded prognosis [
8,
9]. This study aimed to assess the survival times of a larger population of cats presenting with ascites. Further objectives of this study were to identify any age, sex or breed associations with the survival of cats with confirmed ascites (based on imaging and the cytological assessment of peritoneal effusion). The study also aimed to determine the prognosis associated with different underlying causes of peritoneal effusions as well as identifying any association between survival and type of effusion.
4. Discussion
This study aimed to describe the survival of cats presenting with ascites and the different etiologies of this condition as well as identifying risk factors for a worsened prognosis. The most common causes of a peritoneal effusion in the current study population were septic peritonitis (86/498), followed by neoplasia (84/498), sterile inflammatory disease (79/498) and feline infectious peritonitis (69/498). Overall, 55% of cases survived to discharge from hospital. Cases who survived to discharge from hospital had a median survival time of 30.5 days after discharge. This is similar to the 21 days previously reported [
1]. However, the previous study reported cardiac disease as the most common cause of peritoneal effusions. The discrepancy in the prevalence of cardiac disease between the two studies is likely due to dietary taurine deficiency associated with dilated cardiomyopathy being prevalent in cats at the time of the previous study [
14,
15].
Comparing the survival to discharge of different underlying etiologies of peritoneal effusion in our study to previous research showed a similar survival to discharge in cats with septic peritonitis (45%) [
16]. However, in another population of cats with septic peritonitis, survival to discharge was reported in 69% of cases [
17]. This discrepancy may be due to Scotti et al. excluding cases that were euthanized prior to surgery. We also found a similar percentage of cats had septic peritonitis due to intestinal rupture (48% compared to the previously reported 49.9%) and primary septic peritonitis (22.3% compared to 22.3%) [
17].
Cats with neoplasia as the primary cause of ascites were found to have a survival to discharge rate of 56% with a median survival time of 28 days after discharge. The previous literature has evaluated the survival times associated with specific neoplastic causes, including carcinomatosis (reporting that 70% of cats were euthanized on diagnosis) [
18]. In our study, out of 17 cats with carcinomatosis, 9 cases survived to discharge, with a median survival time of 14 days post-discharge, comparable to the previous literature. However, due to the small case numbers in the current study, this finding should be interpreted with caution.
Only three cats with idiopathic chyloabdomen were available for analysis in the current study. One did not survive to discharge, one died 2 days post-discharge and the other died 12 days post-discharge. The small number makes it difficult to extrapolate survival times for cats with this condition; however, the incidence of idiopathic chyloabdomen in cats has previously been reported in 2 cases per 100,000, with a median survival time of 44 days from diagnosis [
19].
The survival rate associated with feline spontaneous hemoperitoneum has previously been reported as 12% (8/65) of cats surviving to discharge in one study [
8], while our study showed that 40% of hemoperitoneum cases (14/35) survived to discharge. This discrepancy could be due to the difference in overall case numbers. Survival rates could also be related to access to feline blood products which were readily accessible in the institution where the current study was performed. However, data on the number of cases receiving blood transfusions would be needed for each study to assess this possibility fully.
The current study showed that 77% percent of cats with uroperitoneum survived to discharge, similar to a previously reported 74% [
20]. A further study reported that cats with a traumatic uroperitoneum had a survival rate of 71% surviving to discharge [
21]. The number of cases that were managed conservatively or surgically was examined. However, due to the very small number that were managed conservatively, the impact of treatment on survival should be interpreted with caution.
The percentage of cats diagnosed with FIP (or with a strong suspicion of FIP) in this study was 42%. However, FIP treatment has significantly changed since the study data was collected, as the availability of Remdesvir and GS-441524 has led to a markedly improved prognosis, with >80% survival reported at 6 months [
22] and 81.3% of cats reported to be alive at the end of the treatment period [
23,
24]. This prognosis is likely to continue improving as FIP treatment may become more affordable in the future. Although this study does not reflect this recent change in FIP treatment and prognosis, FIP remains fatal for untreated cats [
25], which is relevant to cases in which FIP treatment is cost-prohibitive. Statistical analysis on the impact of variables on survival was performed with and without FIP cases to allow for how the recent change in available treatment may affect the prognosis of cats presenting with ascites.
In this study, 69% of cases were non-pedigree in comparison to the general UK population, in which ~90% of cats are reported to be non-pedigree [
26,
27]. This could be due to the known predisposition of some breeds to pathologies that cause an abdominal effusion, such as pedigree breeds being predisposed to FIP [
28] and the predisposition of Maine Coon and Ragdoll breeds to hypertrophic cardiomyopathy [
29,
30]. However, even when cases with FIP and cardiac disease were removed from the analysis, the proportion of non-pedigree cats with an abdominal effusion was still lower compared to the general population (75%). This could also be due to the study population being from a referral center and may be biased towards a population with good insurance or more affluent owners who are more likely to choose pedigree breeds and present to a referral center. The lack of genetic variation in pedigree breeds may also play an important role in disease development. Male cats were also mildly over-represented in this study, at 61% of cases. Male cats have been shown to be over-represented in cases with FIP [
28] and cardiomyopathies [
31]. A mildly increased proportion of male to female cats also persisted when FIP and cardiac cases were removed (58%); however, this was not statistically significant and was a generalized finding in all groups of causes of ascites.
A bi-cavitary effusion was identified in 127 cases (26% of all cases), which was associated with a lower percentage of survival to discharge, although not statistically significant. Previously reported median survival times for cats with a bi-cavitary effusion is 3 days, reflecting a potentially worse prognosis compared to an abdominal effusion alone [
32]. However, most cats in our study had a POCUS as the only form of thoracic imaging and the sensitivity of this imaging modality for detecting pleural effusion (previously reported at 83% in dogs [
33]) may have resulted in an underdiagnosis of bi-cavitary effusion. This was likely compounded by the lack of standardization of POCUS in this study population and by the fact that this form of imaging was generally not carried out by a board-certified emergency and critical care or radiology specialist. We also identified that not all abdominal effusions were detected by POCUS, but were later identified by other imaging modalities. This suggests that some cases of abdominal effusion in the population of cats in this study may have been incorrectly excluded when a POCUS was their only form of abdominal imaging. However, some cases may have developed effusion after having had a POCUS prior to further imaging.
The subjective measurement of effusion volume was also found to be significantly related to survival, and cats with a smaller volume of effusion were found to have an increased survival to discharge. This is likely related to the more common benign causes of small-volume effusions in this study, which had a better prognosis than causes of a larger effusion, rather than the size of the effusion itself being the cause of change in prognosis. This was demonstrated by cases in the volume overload and sterile inflammatory disease groups being associated with a mild effusion compared to the groups of FIP, neoplasia and hemoperitoneum cases, which seemed more often associated with a large effusion and poorer prognosis. The volume of effusion could be useful in helping to predict the cause of ascites, subsequently aiding the prediction of the prognosis. In human medicine, the volume of ascites has also been speculated to be associated with the prognosis in individual disease processes rather than an indicator of the pathology. This has been shown in cases of pancreatitis, hepatic cirrhosis, ovarian neoplasia and patients with hepatocellular carcinomas undergoing trans-arterial chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinomas [
34,
35,
36,
37].
A significant limitation of the assessment of volume effusion in this study is the subjective nature of the measurement, the lack of standardization in imaging modalities used to make this assessment and the lack of standardization of the personnel making this assessment, including the lack of interobserver reliability assessment. More objective analysis could be considered in the future to try and more accurately quantify ascites volume and then assess the association with the prognosis. Techniques for more objective quantitative assessment of ascites volume in people have been described both for ultrasound [
38,
39] and CT [
35,
37,
40] could be developed further in small animal medicine.
The type of effusion based on cellular and protein concentrations was not significantly associated with survival, which is concordant with the previous literature [
32]. Protein and cellular concentrations have also importantly been previously shown to lack concordance with the cause of peritoneal effusion in cats, and can be misleading [
41]. An example of this is in a case of bile peritonitis in the current study, which was confirmed on measurement of effusion bilirubin, but the fluid was categorized as a transudate and was less inflammatory than might be suspected. Possible causes of this are the proximity to when the bile leakage occurred in relation to sampling and that significant inflammation did not have time to develop. Another possibility is that, when only small pockets of fluid can be sampled, these may not fully represent the underlying pathology. This highlights the importance of not discarding a possible diagnosis based on the protein and cytological assessment of an effusion alone, e.g., if bile peritonitis or uroabdomen are suspected.
Clinicopathological parameters including patient PCV, albumin and neutrophil concentrations were not significantly associated with survival. However, lymphocyte concentrations did seem to be related to survival to discharge. This was a surprising finding, as the cases with a lymphocyte concentration above the reference range had pathologies generally associated with a poor prognosis (e.g., acute leukemia). However, previous studies have also shown that lymphopenia can be negatively associated with survival in specific conditions, such as canine hepatocellular carcinoma [
42] and a higher lymphocyte concentrations being a positive prognostic indicator in feline IMHA [
43]. Leukocyte ratios were not assessed in the current study, but may account for the possible survival benefit of a higher lymphocyte concentration, having previously been assessed as possible prognostic indicators in inflammatory conditions [
44,
45,
46]. However, this finding should continue to be interpreted with a great deal of caution and further research is needed to explore the relationship of lymphocyte concentration to survival in cats with ascites. It should also be noted that, although the higher lymphocyte concentration is correlated with survival to discharge, this did not equate to long-term prognosis and was not reflective of some patients potentially being discharged with the intention of euthanasia soon after.
This study was limited by its retrospective nature, with missing data for some cases. A lack of follow-up for all cases reduced the data available for the calculation of survival times. The number of cases that were euthanized as opposed to having a natural death is likely to have also biased survival analysis. However, this still provides important information about the causes of euthanasia, including financial constraints, concerns about welfare and prognosis which are all factors that will apply to future veterinary patients presenting with ascites. Some groups of peritoneal effusion, e.g., chyloabdomen bile peritonitis, trauma and portal hypertension, only contained a few cases each and the small group size reduced the generalizability of survival times for these conditions. A further limitation was the presumptive diagnosis in FIP cases and that not all cases had the same diagnostics performed, which may have led to a misdiagnosis of some cases. Similarly for cases of neoplasia, the diagnosis was often based on cytology rather than all cases being confirmed by histopathology. Not all cases with cardiac disease underwent sampling of the effusion, which may have led to missing other concurrent causes of ascites.