UHPC Creep Behavior and Neural Network Prediction with Calibration of fib Model Code 2020

Ultra-High-Performance Concrete (UHPC) is increasingly used in slender and prestressed structural members due to its superior strength and durability. However, inaccurate or incomplete prediction of creep deformation may lead to excessive long-term deflection, prestress loss, cracking, and potential serviceability or safety risks in buildings and infrastructure. Therefore, reliable prediction methods for UHPC creep are essential for both structural design and long-term performance assessment. In this study, a database containing 60 literature-derived UHPC creep records was compiled to investigate the creep coefficient at approximately 100 days. Pearson correlation analysis revealed strong interdependence among predictors and weak single-variable linear relationships, indicating that creep behavior is governed by nonlinear interactions. A feedforward backpropagation neural network (BPNN) trained using the Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm was developed to predict the creep coefficient. To maintain engineering interpretability, the fib Model Code 2020 (MC2020) formulation was adopted as a code-based benchmark and further calibrated using ridge regression. Results show that the calibrated MC2020 model improves prediction consistency, while the BPNN model provides the highest predictive accuracy. The proposed framework integrates machine-learning prediction with interpretable code-based calibration, contributing to the development of creep modeling approaches for UHPC and providing practical support for the safe design of UHPC structures.