Reliability Analysis of Aerospace Blade Manufacturing Equipment: A Multi-Source Uncertainty FMECA Method for Five-Axis CNC Machine Tool Spindle Systems
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Applications of FMECA in Aerospace Manufacturing and CNC Machine Tools
2.2. Generalized Intuitionistic Language Operator
3. Methodology
3.1. Engineering Advantages of Controllability (C)
3.2. Explanation and Usage of Intuitionistic Linguistic Numbers for Experts
3.3. Basic Theory of GILWGA Operator
3.4. Intuitive Language Entropy Determines Weights
3.5. Properties and Calculation Methods of GILWGA
4. FMECA Based on Intuitive Language Entropy and GILWGA Operator
5. Case Analysis
5.1. Calculation Process
5.2. Effectiveness Analysis and Comparison
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
References
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| Serial | Evaluation Index | Standard | Scores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Occurrence (O) | 85~100% | 4 |
| 70~85% | 3 | ||
| 55~70% | 2 | ||
| 40~55% | 1 | ||
| ≤40% | 1/2 | ||
| 2 | Severity (S) | >80% | 4 |
| 65~80% | 3 | ||
| 50~65% | 2 | ||
| 35~50% | 1 | ||
| ≤35% | 1/2 | ||
| 3 | Detectability (D) | >80% | 4 |
| 65~80% | 3 | ||
| 50~65% | 2 | ||
| 35~50% | 1 | ||
| ≤35% | 1/2 | ||
| 4 | Controllability (C) | >90% | 4 |
| 75~90% | 3 | ||
| 60~75% | 2 | ||
| 45~60% | 1 | ||
| ≤45% | 1/2 |
| Evaluation Index | Standard | Scores |
|---|---|---|
| Occurrence (O) | 85~100% | The ratio of the number of times that a fault occurs to the total number of times that all faults occur in a unit time is used for reference. |
| 70~85% | ||
| 55~70% | ||
| 40~55% | ||
| ≤40% | ||
| Severity (S) | >80% | Based on historical data or expert experience, the impact of failure on the operation of the enterprise and the proportion of income loss generated are used as references. |
| 65~80% | ||
| 50~65% | ||
| 35~50% | ||
| ≤35% | ||
| Detectability (D) | >80% | Based on the existing fault detection data, the fault detection ability is evaluated from the point of difficulty and cost of detection. |
| 65~80% | ||
| 50~65% | ||
| 35~50% | ||
| ≤35% | ||
| Controllability (C) | >90% | According to the previous data and expert experience, the risk shows a weakening trend after taking emergency measures. |
| 75~90% | ||
| 60~75% | ||
| 45~60% | ||
| ≤45% |
| Serial | Failure Mode | Failure Cause | Failure Impact | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Local Impact | Final Impact | |||
| FM1 | gear wear | Poor lubrication, excessive load | Poor gear meshing | Reduced transmission efficiency |
| FM2 | oil leakage | Aging and wear of seals | Oil-contaminated parts | System performance degradation |
| FM3 | disk spring failure | Long-term high load | Spring force decreases | Unstable spindle operation |
| FM4 | gear shift failure | Worn-out mechanical parts, abnormal control signals | Gear shifting failure | Reduced processing accuracy |
| FM5 | excessive noise | Aging equipment and improper maintenance | Performance degradation is obvious | Interference with peripheral equipment, causing unstable system operation |
| FM6 | bearing temperature is too high | Cooling system failure, improper lubrication | Reduced bearing life | Spindle not working |
| FM7 | low spindle positioning accuracy | Bearing wear or large clearance | Workpiece position deviation | Decreased workpiece quality and effect on efficiency |
| FM8 | positioning key wear | Excessive friction due to long-term stress | Positioning accuracy decreases | Unstable spindle operation |
| FM9 | bearing burnout | Poor lubrication or excessive grease, overheating, severe overload | Bearing damage | Loss of function, machine tool alarm |
| Serial | Failure Mode | Severity (S) | Occurrence (O) | Detectability (D) | Controllability (C) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM1 | gear wear | <s3, 0.9, 0.1> | <s3, 0.7, 0.3> | <s2, 0.8, 0.1> | <s1/2, 0.7, 0.2> |
| FM2 | oil leakage | <s3, 0.7, 0.1> | <s1, 0.7, 0.2> | <s3, 0.7, 0.2> | <s3, 0.7, 0.3> |
| FM3 | disk spring failure | <s2, 0.8, 0.1> | <s4, 0.7, 0.2> | <s3, 0.7, 0.1> | <s3, 0.7, 0.3> |
| FM4 | gear shift failure | <s2, 0.8, 0.2> | <s2, 0.7, 0.2> | <s2, 0.9, 0.1> | <s1, 0.7, 0.1> |
| FM5 | excessive noise | <s3, 0.7, 0.2> | <s2, 0.8, 0.2> | <s2, 0.7, 0.3> | <s3, 0.7, 0.2> |
| FM6 | bearing temperature is too high | <s2, 0.8, 0.1> | <s3, 0.8, 0.1> | <s2, 0.7, 0.2> | <s1/2, 0.7, 0.1> |
| FM7 | low spindle positioning accuracy | <s3, 0.7, 0.3> | <s2, 0.8, 0.1> | <s2, 0.7, 0.3> | <s1, 0.8, 0.1> |
| FM8 | positioning key wear | <s2, 0.7, 0.2> | <s1, 0.7, 0.2> | <s1, 0.7, 0.3> | <s2, 0.7, 0.3> |
| FM9 | bearing burnout | <s3, 0.9, 0.1> | <s1, 0.7, 0.2> | <s1, 0.7, 0.2> | <s1, 0.7, 0.1> |
| Serial | Failure Mode | Severity (S) | Occurrence (O) | Detectability (D) | Controllability (C) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM1 | gear wear | <s1/2, 0.7, 0.1> | <s2, 0.8, 0.2> | <s2, 0.7, 0.1> | <s3, 0.8, 0.2> |
| FM2 | oil leakage | <s2, 0.7, 0.1> | <s2, 0.8, 0.1> | <s2, 0.7, 0.3> | <s2, 0.7, 0.2> |
| FM3 | disk spring failure | <s3, 0.7, 0.2> | <s3, 0.8, 0.2> | <s2, 0.8, 0.2> | <s2, 0.9, 0.1> |
| FM4 | gear shift failure | <s2, 0.7, 0.1> | <s1, 0.7, 0.1> | <s2, 0.8, 0.2> | <s1, 0.7, 0.3> |
| FM5 | excessive noise | <s3, 0.9, 0.1> | <s2, 0.7, 0.3> | <s2, 0.9, 0.1> | <s2, 0.8, 0.2> |
| FM6 | bearing temperature is too high | <s3, 0.9, 0.1> | <s1/2, 0.7, 0.2> | <s1, 0.7, 0.3> | <s2, 0.7, 0.3> |
| FM7 | low spindle positioning accuracy | <s2, 0.9, 0.1> | <s2, 0.7, 0.3> | <s2, 0.7, 0.2> | <s1, 0.7, 0.2> |
| FM8 | positioning key wear | <s1, 0.8, 0.1> | <s2, 0.8, 0.2> | <s1, 0.8, 0.2> | <s1, 0.7, 0.1> |
| FM9 | bearing burnout | <s2, 0.7, 0.2> | <s1/2, 0.7, 0.3> | <s1, 0.7, 0.3> | <s2, 0.8, 0.2> |
| Serial | Failure Mode | Severity (S) | Occurrence (O) | Detectability (D) | Controllability (C) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM1 | gear wear | <s3, 0.8, 0.1> | <s2, 0.7, 0.2> | <s1/2, 0.7, 0.3> | <s2, 0.7, 0.3> |
| FM2 | oil leakage | <s2, 0.7, 0.1> | <s2, 0.8, 0.1> | <s2, 0.8, 0.1> | <s2, 0.8, 0.2> |
| FM3 | disk spring failure | <s3, 0.9, 0.1> | <s3, 0.7, 0.3> | <s2, 0.7, 0.2> | <s2, 0.7, 0.2> |
| FM4 | gear shift failure | <s2, 0.7, 0.1> | <s1, 0.8, 0.1> | <s1, 0.7, 0.2> | <s2, 0.7, 0.1> |
| FM5 | excessive noise | <s3, 0.9, 0.1> | <s2, 0.7, 0.1> | <s2, 0.7, 0.2> | <s2, 0.8, 0.1> |
| FM6 | bearing temperature is too high | <s2, 0.8, 0.2> | <s1/2, 0.7, 0.3> | <s2, 0.8, 0.1> | <s2, 0.8, 0.1> |
| FM7 | low spindle positioning accuracy | <s2, 0.7, 0.1> | <s2, 0.8, 0.2> | <s2, 0.7, 0.2> | <s1, 0.7, 0.3> |
| FM8 | positioning key wear | <s2, 0.9, 0.1> | <s1, 0.8, 0.1> | <s1, 0.7, 0.1> | <s1, 0.8, 0.2> |
| FM9 | bearing burnout | <s2, 0.8, 0.1> | <s2, 0.9, 0.1> | <s1, 0.7, 0.3> | <s1/2, 0.7, 0.2> |
| Serial | Failure Mode | Severity (S) | Occurrence (O) | Detectability (D) | Controllability (C) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM1 | gear wear | 0.1186 | 0.0498 | 0.0591 | 0.0354 |
| FM2 | oil leakage | 0.2954 | 0.1115 | 0.1649 | 0.0501 |
| FM3 | disk spring failure | 0.1125 | 0.0655 | 0.2721 | 0.0516 |
| FM4 | gear shift failure | 0.1781 | 0.1256 | 0.0416 | 0.1221 |
| FM5 | excessive noise | 0.067 | 0.086 | 0.0437 | 0.099 |
| FM6 | bearing temperature is too high | 0.0484 | 0.0477 | 0.1346 | 0.0911 |
| FM7 | low spindle positioning accuracy | 0.0985 | 0.041 | 0.0437 | 0.0514 |
| FM8 | positioning key wear | 0.0772 | 0.063 | 0.0497 | 0.0611 |
| FM9 | bearing burnout | 0.1016 | 0.0276 | 0.026 | 0.08 |
| Serial | Failure Mode | RPN (10−5) | Sorting |
|---|---|---|---|
| FM1 | gear wear | 1.2357 | 7 |
| FM2 | oil leakage | 27.2110 | 1 |
| FM3 | disk spring failure | 10.3460 | 3 |
| FM4 | gear shift failure | 11.3622 | 2 |
| FM5 | excessive noise | 2.4928 | 5 |
| FM6 | bearing temperature is too high | 2.8309 | 4 |
| FM7 | low spindle positioning accuracy | 0.9071 | 8 |
| FM8 | positioning key wear | 1.4769 | 6 |
| FM9 | bearing burnout | 0.5833 | 9 |
| Number of Experts | Granularity Parameter | RPN | Rank | Kendall τ | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM1 | FM2 | FM3 | FM4 | FM5 | FM6 | FM7 | FM8 | FM9 | ||||
| 3 | 5 | 1.2357 | 27.211 | 10.346 | 11.362 | 2.4928 | 2.8309 | 0.9071 | 1.4769 | 0.5833 | FM2 > FM4 > FM3 > FM6 > FM5 > FM8 > FM1 > FM7 > FM9 | 0.333 |
| 5 | 5 | 76.285 | 460.1 | 182.44 | 229.18 | 128.94 | 154.95 | 60.824 | 25.611 | 11.935 | FM2 > FM4 > FM3 > FM6 > FM5 > FM1 > FM7 > FM8 > FM9 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | 1059.8 | 5295.8 | 2793.5 | 3341.5 | 1460.9 | 1741.4 | 755.59 | 199.23 | 19.294 | FM2 > FM4 > FM3 > FM6 > FM5 > FM1 > FM7 > FM8 > FM9 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | 1.4078 | 16.999 | 6.2889 | 11.088 | 2.9537 | 5.371 | 1.5586 | 0.3346 | 0.4938 | FM2 > FM4 > FM3 > FM6 > FM5 > FM7 > FM1 > FM9 > FM8 | 0.556 |
| 5 | 6 | 53.503 | 494.87 | 202.84 | 229.62 | 142.61 | 189.93 | 47.863 | 7.1507 | 6.4426 | FM2 > FM4 > FM3 > FM6 > FM5 > FM1 > FM7 > FM8 > FM9 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | 532.85 | 5698.3 | 3092.2 | 3345.5 | 1168 | 2000.7 | 498.53 | 55.568 | 10.409 | FM2 > FM4 > FM3 > FM6 > FM5 > FM1 > FM7 > FM8 > FM9 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | 1.1846 | 20.777 | 6.2611 | 12.263 | 2.9482 | 5.3837 | 1.7176 | 0.3107 | 0.6477 | FM2 > FM4 > FM3 > FM6 > FM5 > FM7 > FM1 > FM9 > FM8 | 0.556 |
| 5 | 7 | 53.56 | 606.64 | 202.44 | 253.91 | 142.53 | 189.7 | 47.722 | 8.7678 | 5.9935 | FM2 > FM4 > FM3 > FM6 > FM5 > FM1 > FM7 > FM8 > FM9 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | 533.22 | 6985.1 | 3085.2 | 3698.5 | 1169.5 | 2001 | 498.02 | 57.054 | 9.7069 | FM2 > FM4 > FM3 > FM6 > FM5 > FM1 > FM7 > FM8 > FM9 | 1 |
| Parameter λ | Scores | Ranking Order | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM1 | FM2 | FM3 | FM4 | FM5 | FM6 | FM7 | FM8 | FM9 | ||
| λ = 1 | 533.22 | 6985.1 | 3085.2 | 3698.5 | 1169.5 | 2001 | 498.02 | 57.054 | 9.7069 | FM2 > FM4 > FM3 > FM6 > FM5 > FM1 > FM7 > FM8 > FM9 |
| λ = 2 | 521.34 | 6832.7 | 3010.6 | 3612.9 | 1145.2 | 1956.8 | 489.36 | 56.175 | 9.5504 | FM2 > FM4 > FM3 > FM6 > FM5 > FM1 > FM7 > FM8 > FM9 |
| λ = 4 | 498.67 | 6521.3 | 2875.4 | 3422.7 | 1098.6 | 1863.5 | 470.89 | 53.769 | 9.11 | FM2 > FM4 > FM3 > FM6 > FM5 > FM1 > FM7 > FM8 > FM9 |
| λ = 10 | 442.57 | 6018.2 | 2648.3 | 3150.6 | 1015.3 | 1711.9 | 448.69 | 50.124 | 8.53 | FM2 > FM4 > FM3 > FM6 > FM5 > FM7 > FM1 > FM8 > FM9 |
| Failure Mode | RPN (10−5) | Risk Level | Reliability Improvement Decisions | Justification |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM2—oil leakage | 6985.1 | high | Reliability Improvement Decision | High uncontrollability and expert consensus; risk may be underestimated in traditional FMECA |
| FM4—gear shift failure | 3698.5 | high | Inspect seals and monitor leakage | Cross-impact potential revealed through expert coupling and fuzzy assessments |
| FM3—disk spring failure | 3085.2 | high | Inspect shift actuator and control logic | Low entropy in severity; traditional RPN may ignore this hidden hazard |
| FM6—bearing temperature is too high | 2001 | medium | Evaluate fatigue life and optimize load | Fuzzy modeling uncovers systemic impact of perceived non-critical issue |
| FM5—excessive noise | 1169.5 | medium | Monitor temperature and adjust lubrication | High severity and controllability scores suggest early intervention |
| FM1—gear wear | 533.22 | medium | Acoustic monitoring for imbalance detection | Stable entropy but moderate hesitation indicates long-term degradation risk |
| FM7—low spindle positioning accuracy | 498.02 | medium | Periodic inspection and lubrication | High controllability and low severity; situational rather than structural |
| FM8—positioning key wear | 57.054 | low | Routine calibration and compensation | High detectability and controllability reduce practical risk |
| FM9—bearing burnout | 9.7069 | low | Temperature monitoring and overload protection | Low expert differentiation and moderate fuzzy evaluations |
| Method | Scores | Ranking Order | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM1 | FM2 | FM3 | FM4 | FM5 | FM6 | FM7 | FM8 | FM9 | ||
| Proposed method | 533.22 | 6985.1 | 3085.2 | 3698.5 | 1169.5 | 2001 | 498.02 | 57.054 | 9.7069 | FM2 > FM4 > FM3 > FM6 > FM5 > FM1 > FM7 > FM8 > FM9 |
| Ref [37] method | 1.425 | 3.4578 | 2.1926 | 3.372 | 1.7376 | 3.1558 | 2.1312 | 2.0538 | 1.2472 | FM2 > FM4 > FM6 > FM3 > FM7 > FM8 > FM5 > FM1 > FM9 |
| Traditional method | 2.1447 | 4.2756 | 2.9927 | 3.1736 | 1.7514 | 1.5548 | 0.9318 | 0.6548 | 1.9756 | FM2 > FM4 > FM3 > FM1 > FM9 > FM5 > FM6 > FM7 > FM8 |
| BN-FMECA (OOBN-based) | 241.47 | 395.9 | 476.26 | 254.32 | 215.28 | 231.67 | 159.38 | 145.82 | 129.36 | FM3 > FM2 > FM4 > FM1 > FM6 > FM5 > FM7 > FM8 > FM9 |
| Monte Carlo RPN | 2320.28 | 3988.66 | 2418.81 | 1265.83 | 1511.85 | 3134.52 | 277.85 | 261.26 | 555.66 | FM2 > FM6 > FM3 > FM1 > FM5 > FM4 > FM9 > FM7 > FM8 |
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Han, M.; Li, Y.; Tian, H.; Sun, Y.; Ni, Z.; Qiu, Y.; Li, H. Reliability Analysis of Aerospace Blade Manufacturing Equipment: A Multi-Source Uncertainty FMECA Method for Five-Axis CNC Machine Tool Spindle Systems. Machines 2026, 14, 360. https://doi.org/10.3390/machines14040360
Han M, Li Y, Tian H, Sun Y, Ni Z, Qiu Y, Li H. Reliability Analysis of Aerospace Blade Manufacturing Equipment: A Multi-Source Uncertainty FMECA Method for Five-Axis CNC Machine Tool Spindle Systems. Machines. 2026; 14(4):360. https://doi.org/10.3390/machines14040360
Chicago/Turabian StyleHan, Muhao, Yufei Li, Hailong Tian, Yuzhi Sun, Zixuan Ni, Yunshenghao Qiu, and Haoyuan Li. 2026. "Reliability Analysis of Aerospace Blade Manufacturing Equipment: A Multi-Source Uncertainty FMECA Method for Five-Axis CNC Machine Tool Spindle Systems" Machines 14, no. 4: 360. https://doi.org/10.3390/machines14040360
APA StyleHan, M., Li, Y., Tian, H., Sun, Y., Ni, Z., Qiu, Y., & Li, H. (2026). Reliability Analysis of Aerospace Blade Manufacturing Equipment: A Multi-Source Uncertainty FMECA Method for Five-Axis CNC Machine Tool Spindle Systems. Machines, 14(4), 360. https://doi.org/10.3390/machines14040360

