Abstract
International airports are responding to the threat of climate change and various man-made hazards by proposing impact protection measures. Airport managers and risk controllers should develop a comprehensive risk assessment model to measure the mutual influence relationships of resilience factors. In this paper, the problem of treating resilience factors as independent ones in previous studies is overcome. In this study, we not only develop a framework for assessing resilience factors in international airports based on an aviation safety perspective, but also develop the Fermatean fuzzy decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (FF-DEMATEL) to identify the mutual influence relationships of resilience factors. Fermatean fuzzy sets are incorporated in DEMATEL to reflect information incompleteness and uncertainty. The critical resilience factors of international airports were identified through real-case analysis. In terms of importance, the results show that rescue capability is a core capability that is important for airport resilience. In addition, “security management system (SeMS) integrity”, “education and training of ground staff on airport safety awareness”, “first aid mechanism for the injured”, and “adequate maintenance equipment for rapid restoration tasks” are identified as key factors that are given more weights. On the other hand, in terms of influence strength, the detection capability has the highest total influence and significantly influenced the other resilience capabilities. Finally, the influential network relation map (INRM) is utilized to assist decisionmakers in swiftly comprehending the impact of factors and formulating viable strategies to enhance airport resilience. This enables airport managers and risk controllers to make informed decisions and allocate resources efficiently.
MSC:
03B52; 03E72; 03E75
1. Introduction
On 11 September 2001, a series of suicide terrorist attacks in the United States caused a major shutdown of the U.S. airport operation, resulting in significant economic losses, traffic congestion and gridlock, and health and environmental problems [1,2]. This incident also prompted the U.S. government to recognize the importance of infrastructure risk and resilience assessment. In transportation, airports are the primary infrastructure for air transportation, and they serve as hubs of transportation among countries around the world. There have been many man-made accidents and natural disasters that have caused airport failures, leading to serious problems such as restricted entry and exit of the country, flight delays, and passenger panic [3]. Choi et al. [4] show that international airports are critical to the social and economic development of countries and regions and are key drivers in the global supply chain, and in turn, enhance various economic benefits in other industries. Therefore, air transportation has become a key infrastructure that affects globalization and cultural and economic exchanges.
In the face of climate change and man-made hazards, ensuring airport resilience is of utmost importance. Unpredictable internal events or external attacks with unknown vulnerabilities can lead to disruptions in the air transportation system and significantly impact airport operations. However, if airport risk management measures are proactively planned and resilience is enhanced, the negative impacts following such events can be mitigated [5]. Therefore, it is crucial for airport managers to utilize a resilience assessment model to develop comprehensive protection strategies and contingency measures. This approach not only improves emergency management capabilities but also facilitates efficient reconstruction planning, aiming to enhance facility resilience, minimize the likelihood of air transportation system disruptions, and expedite the airport’s return to normal operations [6].
Huang et al. [2] proposed a complete framework for airport resilience assessment in which they divided airport resilience capabilities into four stages, including detection capability, resistance capability, rescue capability, and recovery capability, which can be subdivided into a number of resilience factors. The Bayesian best worst method (Bayesian BWM) was used to determine the optimal group weights of these resilience factors. However, Huang et al. [2] assume that the resilience factors are independent. In reality, these factors should highly influence each other, especially within each stage. Unfortunately, no studies have explored the mutual influence relationship of these factors, and few studies have examined the issue of airport resilience from an aviation safety perspective.
To fill these research gaps, this study proposes a framework for assessing international airport resilience factors based on an aviation safety perspective and develops the Fermatean fuzzy decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (FF-DEMATEL) to identify the mutual influence relationships of resilience factors. This study provides a comprehensive view of airport security, aiding in decision making and strategies to enhance its effectiveness in uncertainty and interconnected environment. Here, Fermatean fuzzy sets (FFs) are used to interpret the ambiguity and uncertainty of expert semantics, especially in the presence of information omissions and incompleteness. FFs, compared to intuitionistic and Pythagorean fuzzy sets, encompasses a broader range of fuzzy information [7,8]. On the other hand, DEMATEL is one of the most effective methods to identify the mutual influence relationships among factors in MCDM. Since airport resilience factors are mutually constrained, soft computing models are needed to explore which factors mainly affect others, and which factors are easily affected by other factors. The proposed FF-DEMATEL combines FFs and DEMATEL to determine the indirect and direct influence relationships among the resilience factors. This model overcomes the limitations of original DEMATEL by addressing the issue of information uncertainty. Finally, the influential network relation map (INRM) is used to help decisionmakers quickly understand the influence of factors on each other, so as to formulate feasible strategies to improve airport resilience. Based on the aforementioned advantages of FF-DEMATEL, this study adopts this technique as a tool for data analysis.
The research gaps and contributions of this study are described below.
- i.
- The international airport resilience assessment framework proposed in this study is novel, especially from the perspective of aviation safety.
- ii.
- This study improves the shortcoming of Huang et al. [2]’s study, which assumed that the resilience factors are independent.
- iii.
- Incorporating FFs into DEMATEL in this study not only reflects information uncertainty, but also covers a wider range of missing information.
- iv.
- This study uses Taiwan’s Taoyuan International Airport as an analysis case, and the research process can be replicated in other international airports.
- v.
- Decisionmakers or risk managers can use the INRM and factor–influence relationships to develop risk management strategies to enhance the resilience of international airports.
The remaining sections of this study are organized as follows: Section 2 reviews the relevant studies on airport resilience assessment. Section 3 introduces the proposed airport resilience assessment framework and the resilience factors. Section 4 presents the implementation procedures and equations of FF-DEMATEL. Section 5 presents a case study and illustrates the results of the analysis. Finally, Section 6 discusses and draws conclusions and recommendations for future research.
2. Literature Review on Airport Resilience
In the past, cost–benefit analysis (CBA) has been one of the most popular tools for risk assessment. However, CBA analysis is not effective in accurately estimating current airport security costs, so Stewart and Mueller [9] believe that more simulation experiments are needed to explore the interdependencies that exist in airport security. In addition to CBA, past studies have developed theoretical frameworks to discuss airport resilience; for example, Zhou and Chen [10] explored the condition of airports in China after being affected by severe weather events. They developed a new indicator framework to measure the level of airport resilience to assess the speed of recovery of airline services from a disruptive event. The study showed that airport resilience is affected by weather conditions, airport capacity, and alternatives. Bao and Zhang [6] measured the resilience of Beijing Capital International Airport to emergency events. The study developed a system to measure the resilience of large airports to emergencies, identifying how vulnerability and contingency affect operational resilience so that airport managers can take appropriate measures to respond to emergencies. Janić [5] explored the resilience of air cargo networks (e.g., FedEx Express) after being disrupted by large-scale events. The study proposes a methodology for estimating the resilience of air cargo networks and selects the best response strategies to improve the resilience of air cargo and its ability to withstand large internal and external disruptive events. The results of the study indicate that inventory costs are the most influential factor in the resilience of air cargo networks.
Qin et al. [11] explored air cargo congestion due to disaster events. They proposed a two-stage optimization approach to coordinate aircraft takeoff and landing plans with cargo ramp aircraft parking arrangements to improve rescue efficiency and reduce the ongoing impact of disasters. The study identifies runway and storage integration management as the most critical factors for improving mission fleet turnaround. Rezaee and Yousefi [12] applied multiple criteria decision-making (MCDM) methodology to investigate airport operational performance and risk management at Urmia International Airport in Iran. They consider the causal relationships among risks and the negative impact on airport operational performance after risk events. Wang et al. [13] explored the unmanned aerial systems (UAS) intrusion at Singapore Airport. They propose a probabilistic conflict prediction with Monte Carlo simulations to predict the potential collision routes of drones, which can help flight safety personnel quickly identify potential threats during drone incursions and pass it on to the pilots to take mitigation measures as soon as possible, effectively reducing flying risks. More research on airport resilience is summarized in Table 1.
Table 1.
Relevant studies on airport resilience assessment.
Upon reviewing previous literature, it is evident that while many studies have delved into the resilience and security aspects of airports, few have employed the MCDM method to evaluate the mutual influences among airport resilience factors. Additionally, most existing research focuses on specific regions or events, lacking a universally applicable, comprehensive framework for airport resilience assessment. This study addresses these gaps by introducing a holistic risk assessment model that not only thoroughly investigates various resilience factors but also delves into their interdependencies. By integrating the FF-DEMATEL method, our research not only captures the uncertainties of the information but also generates influence weights, thereby ranking these resilience factors. This provides airport managers with a clearer and more practical guideline for decision making.
3. Proposed Airport Resilience Factors
This study invited risk managers and senior aviation police executives from international airports to form a decision-making group. To gather the experts, we initially conducted a comprehensive review of the industry and identified potential candidates based on their professional background and years of experience. The approach for selecting experts follows the methods of past research [27,28]. We then approached these candidates through formal invitations, explaining the purpose and importance of their participation in the study. We emphasized the significance of their expertise in evaluating resilience factors and their contribution to enhancing airport safety and preparedness.
The members of the decision-making group were all experienced in aviation safety duties for many years and had been in supervisory positions for more than five years. All members’ backgrounds are described in Table 2, and they were involved in identifying resilience factors, assessing factor influence, and developing management implications in this study.
Table 2.
Background information of the 17 experts.
The airport resilience factors were initially constructed by reviewing a large amount of the literature [2,4,5,6,10,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41]. The resilience factors mentioned in these references serve as references for establishing the airport resilience assessment framework in this study. After more than five meetings, the unimportant resilience factors were eliminated, and the key important factors were retained. All selected resilience factors have received support from the aforementioned literature.
According to the resilience concept proposed by Huang et al. [2], the factors were further categorized into four categories, including detection capability (R1), resistance capability (R2), rescue capability (R3), and recovery capability (R4). R1 refers to the ability to detect and predict the occurrence of an incident before the risk occurs, which can be composed of F1 to F5. R2 refers to the ability to effectively suppress the severity of the hazard when the risk occurs, which can be composed of F6 to F10. R3 refers to the ability to detect and predict the occurrence of an incident after the risk occurs, which can be composed of F11 to F16. R4 refers to the ability to resume airport operations after the occurrence of the risk for a certain period of time, and can be composed of F17 to F22. All factors align with the resilience objectives of international airports. The definition of each resilience factor is shown in Table 3.
Table 3.
Proposed airport resilience factors.
4. FF-DEMATEL Approach
MCDM is undeniably a highly effective decision-making tool that has garnered widespread acclaim in various fields. Its distinct advantage lies in its capacity to handle complex decision problems where multiple criteria, often conflicting, need to be considered simultaneously [42]. DEMATEL is a technique for identifying the mutual influence relationships among factors in MCDM [8,28]. It is mainly used in qualitative assessment systems. It requires experts to determine the strength of the influence of each factor or inter-factor and convert it into a quantifiable value to obtain the INRM. This technique has been widely used in various decision-making problems of influence assessment. In this study, FFs are incorporated into the DEMATEL algorithm to retain more potential or uncertain or missing information. Since the assessment framework developed in Section 3 is a hierarchical structure with two levels, capability and factory, five DEMATEL interviews and calculations are required. The detailed FF-DEMATEL concept and calculation procedure are described below.
- Step 1.
- Establish an Expert Decision-Making Group
Experts with expertise in airport resilience assessment were formed into a decision-making group. Expert k can be denoted as Ek, where k = 1, 2,…, K.
- Step 2.
- Confirm the Factors of Airport Resilience
It is confirmed that all experts agree on the resilience factors compiled in Section 3. The factor j can be denoted as Cj, where j = 1, 2,…, n. The influence data among the factors can be obtained from Table 4.
Table 4.
Linguistic term of FFs [8].
- Step 3.
- Establish the FFs Direct Relationship Matrix
Experts need to make pairwise comparisons of n factors to obtain the mutual influence strength. In simple terms, expert k judges the direct influence strength of factor i on factor j according to Table 4 to form the FFs direct relationship matrix , as shown in Equation (1).
where and are the membership (μ) and non-membership (v) of the assessment of x events, in which and , and FFs direct relationship matrix ’s diagonal elements of the matrix must be zero, i.e., = 0.
On the other hand, the sum of the cubes of membership and non-membership of FFs will be between 0 and 1, i.e., . According to the definition of FFs [42], the degree of uncertainty of Expert k can be calculated from Equation (2).
- Step 4.
- Use the Arithmetic Mean to Aggregate the Judgments of Multiple Experts to Construct the Average FFs Direct Relationship Matrix
Most of the integration of expert assessment information is done by averaging, so the average FF direct relationship matrix A is used, as shown in Equation (3).
where .
- Step 5.
- Calculate the Average FFs Score Function and the Degree of Uncertainty of the Integration of Experts
According to the basic calculation rules of the FFs score function [42], the average FFs score function can be derived, as shown in Equation (4).
However, the score function is a function between −1 and 1. It needs to use Equation (5) to make the range converge to between 0 and 1, which can be called the FF defuzzification function ().
Through Equations (4) and (5), the average FFs direct relationship matrix can be transformed into the group relationship matrix, as shown in Equation (6).
In addition, the uncertainty of the group can be determined by Equation (7) [43].
- Step 6.
- Obtain the Normalized Group Relationship Matrix
Next, the influence relationships among the factors are identified by simply following the conventional DEMATEL operation. In this step, the normalized group relationship matrix is obtained by performing the normalization procedure, as shown in Equation (8).
where .
- Step 7.
- Generate the Total Group Influence Matrix
The mutual influence relationships among factors may be direct or indirect. In order to ensure that all potential influence relationships are taken into account, the matrix is multiplied and summed up, as shown in Equation (9). The total group influence matrix is presented as shown in Equation (10).
where , and I is the identity matrix.
- Step 8.
- Obtain Factor Influence Weights and Constructing INRM
The element tij of the total group influence matrix can be interpreted as the sum of the direct and indirect influence of factor i on factor j. Therefore, the degree of influence for factor i (ri) can be obtained from Equation (11). Similarly, the degree of being influenced (si) for factor i is given by Equation (12).
According to Equations (11) and (12), the total influence of factor i, including ri and si, can be defined as ri + si. The influence weight of factor i in this assessment system is obtained through Equation (13).
On the other hand, ri − si reflects the net effect of factor i. When ri − si is greater than 0, it means that factor i significantly influences other factors. Conversely, when ri − si is less than 0, it means that factor i is significantly influenced by other factors. By using ri + si and ri − si as the horizontal and vertical axes of INRM, the relative positions of each factor can be plotted. In this paper, the directions of the arrows are used to describe the mutual influence relationship among the factors.
5. Data Analysis
This section presents an introduction to the applied case study and the results of the FF-DEMATEL analysis. Finally, management implications are provided.
5.1. Case Description
According to the report “Critical Infrastructure Security Protection Plan” released by the Office of Homeland Security, Executive Yuan in May 2018, it is stated that airports are one of the important CIs in Taiwan. According to the information of “Civil Aviation Airport Facilities and Energy” published by the Civil Aeronautics Administration of the Ministry of Transportation in May 2019, it is stated that Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport ranks first among 17 civil airports in Taiwan in terms of data such as passenger/cargo capacity, average daily traffic, and fire protection level. Therefore, this paper uses Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport as the main analysis case to explore the mutual influence relationships among airport disaster resilience factors and suggestions for improvement.
First, each expert in the decision-making group completed the FF-DEMATEL questionnaire, the contents of which were explained in detail to the experts, and the experts spent approximately one week completing the questionnaire. The result of the first expert’s questionnaire is shown in Table 5.
Table 5.
Information of FF-DEMATEL filled by the first expert.
5.2. Calculating the Influence Weights of the Resilience Factors through FF-DEMATEL
According to the content filled in by the first expert in Table 5, the FFs direct relationship matrix (Equation (1)) can be formed. Through Equation (2), each expert’s degree of uncertainty in the assessment is obtained. Since there are multiple experts filling out the questionnaire, the data of multiple experts are integrated according to Equation (3), as shown in Table 6. Through Equations (4) and (5), the FF score function is defuzzified to obtain the FF defuzzification function, as shown in Table 7.
Table 6.
The average FF direct relationship matrix A.
Table 7.
FF defuzzification function.
Next, the results of the FF-DEMATEL analysis are obtained by performing the calculations as in the general form of DEMATEL (e.g., Equations (6)–(13)), as shown in Table 8. Here, since the perspectives we examine the resilience factors can be divided into four dimensions, the local weight within each dimension is used as the ranking index. R3 is the perspective with the highest weight, and the weight obtained is 0.259. Under R1, the weights are ranked as F2F1F3F5F4. Under R2, the weights are ranked as F7F6F9F10F8. Under R3, the weights are ranked as F14F15F11F13F12F16. Under R4, the weights are ranked as F22F19F21F17F18F20. Figure 1 provides an overview of the relative importance of all the factors. In general, the top five ranked factors are F7, F2, F1, F6, and F3. This analysis result aligns with the objective of this study. The factor weights take into account their mutual influence, rather than assuming independence.
Table 8.
The results of FF-DEMATEL.
Figure 1.
Weights of airport resilience factors.
We can plot the INRM by using “r + s” as the horizontal axis and “r − s” as the vertical axis, as in Figure 2. The larger the “r + s” of a factor means that it cannot be ignored in the assessment system, and the larger the “r − s” means the stronger the influence of the factor. The resulting INRM provides decisionmakers with a quick way to know which factors are influential and which factors are susceptible to the influence of others. The specific management implications and discussion are presented in Section 5.3.
Figure 2.
INRM of airport resilience factors.
5.3. Management Implications
Through INRM (Figure 2), the mutual influence relationships among different levels and local parts can be obtained, and the management implications can be divided into the following five points, which are described as follows:
- (i)
- For capability level, detection capability (R1) can significantly affect resistance capability (R2), rescue capability (R3), and recovery capability (R4). On the other hand, R3 with a weight of 0.259 has the highest weight.
Taoyuan International Airport is classified as a “Class I national critical infrastructure” and is a representative critical infrastructure for air transportation hubs in Taiwan. In addition to the operation and management of the air terminals, the core business of Taoyuan Airport is the prevention and rescue of airport disasters and aviation safety incidents, emergency care, 24/7 dynamic monitoring, and the handling of abnormal events. In terms of detection capability, the staff is normally assigned to airport inspection and management, ground safety control, and management and maintenance of air terminal land, facilities, and hardware and software to ensure the normal operation of the nation’s most important public air transportation. It is clear that in practice, detection capability significantly affects other capabilities. Therefore, the ability to detect and predict incidents before they occur is of paramount importance [44].
If the airport is paralyzed, not only will its international image be seriously affected, but also the negative impact on the citizens will be huge. Therefore, among the protection principles of this infrastructure, early detection becomes increasingly important and should be the primary goal. In the mid-term, the buildings should be repaired or reinforced from the point of view of preventing the recurrence of disasters. After the situation is cleared, experts and scholars should be invited to participate in the final reconstruction and restoration of the site, including safety assessment, reinforcement, and other emergency construction proposals.
- (ii)
- Within detection capability (R1): work environment planning and management, and personnel security awareness and alertness (F1) and threat identification capability of the airport’s network security system (F5) significantly affect SeMS integrity (F2) and reliability of the airport’s video surveillance and epidemic prevention system (F3).
Taoyuan Airport is a major hub for domestic and international passengers and air cargo, with the highest flight density in the country. Therefore, the airport has a high demand and stability for network communications, which in turn affects the stability of the operation of various industries and trades and has a ripple effect on the overall economy. In the areas of work environment planning and management, personnel security awareness and alertness (F1), and threat identification capability of the airport’s cyber security system (F5), the airport network security management system policy regulates and manages the four components of personnel, application systems, hardware equipment, and network facilities that affect aviation safety and passenger privacy. The airport cyber security management system has taken into consideration the interdependence of systems and equipment. For example, critical information and communication systems need to rely on a stable power supply, and access control systems and air conditioning systems need to maintain a physical environment for operation. Therefore, when the airport cyber security system identifies external threats, it will affect the overall operation of the airport, so the results are significant. In particular, with the COVID-19 epidemic affecting the whole world, Taoyuan Airport serves all international passengers, so it is necessary to maintain the highest level of alertness for disease control and requires a protective network of the Department of Disease Control and surrounding medical institutions [45].
A country’s border of entry and exit is its international airports, so it is very important to be able to make policy and detection actions immediately when the front line detects uncertain possible risks, to avoid external threats entering the country, which will affect the internal life of the people and changes in the social environment.
- (iii)
- Within resistance capability (R2), education and training of ground staff on airport safety awareness (F7) can have a significant influence on four items at the level of resilience factors: Emergency response procedures in case of discovering flammable or explosive substances (F6), architectural structure and earthquake prevention measures of airport terminal buildings (F8), proper intrusion prevention measures for airport perimeters (F9), and airport cyber security system protection measures (F10).
Improving security efficiency is a key factor in strengthening defenses to avoid human error. The education and training of ground staff on airport safety awareness are implemented to effectively suppress the degree of risk at the moment of occurrence. When the ground staff inspect the airport and find suspicious people, they need to make a security notification to airport police, which can enhance the airport’s prevention ability and reduce the chance of major accidents.
The following three points can be used to strengthen personnel education and training [46]: (1) Personnel education, training, drills, and hazard identification for complex incidents should be enhanced, so that maintenance personnel and manufacturers can effectively and quickly respond to incidents. The training includes emergency reporting, responsibility area implementation, security awareness, all-out defense mobilization, civil aviation laws and regulations, disaster prevention technician education, evacuation and disaster refuge, escape assembly, construction notification, etc., to strengthen the airport staff’s ability to respond to reporting and awareness of responsibilities. (2) Airport security culture should be promoted: Everyone is responsible for airport security, so all staff security should be implemented. The concept of responsibility zone should be combined to implement the detection and reporting of abnormal people and things in the zone, such as observation of suspicious people and identification of unattended luggage, and to establish the security reporting culture of “see something, say something” and “see it, hear it, report it”. (3) Various drills and tests should be executed: related training, reporting, behavior detection, and the effectiveness of drills should be examined.
- (iv)
- Within rescue capability (R3), sufficiency of firefighting resources inside and outside the airport (F11) and stability of communication systems among various departments of the airport (F12) significantly affect the following two factors: first aid mechanism for the injured (F14) and drafting of emergency response plans and procedures for disaster relief (F15).
The protection objective of Taoyuan Airport is to ensure the safety of infrastructure and assets to Taiwan’s vital air transportation, economy, and public confidence. When a critical facility fails, others may be affected as well. Therefore, when a major incident occurs at Taoyuan Airport, resulting in casualties and failure of airport facilities, external resources may not be able to arrive in time, which may have a significant influence on the incident at hand. Therefore, the airport should take the lead to simulate various disaster relief situations and draw up relevant contingency plans to enable the airport to obtain the golden rescue period internally. Therefore, F11 and F12 will have a significant influence on F14 and F15. It is also important to have a pre- and post-incident process plan in place before a risky incident occurs. The airport should take a cross-departmental manner to revise and construct plans and procedures that combine airport resources and manpower to maintain normal airport operations under any circumstances.
The core function of Taoyuan Airport is to correspond to, identify, and support the internal necessary assets for the continuous operation of various core functional businesses, mainly in three categories: terminal physical maintenance operations, information and communication, and key personnel. Information and communication related personnel should implement the agent system and have personnel stationed 24 h a day. Important servers, network equipment, etc. should implement data backup and a dual backup structure to establish an internal essential asset dependency network. The key external resources of Taoyuan Airport include electricity, water supply, gas supply, transportation, fuel, and information and communication. Therefore, the stability of the horizontal connection of the communication system among the various departments of the airport would enable the resources and response to be effective [47].
- (v)
- Within recovery capability (R4), repair and maintenance planning of the internal facilities of the terminal (F18), recovery command center established to coordinate the allocation of people, materials, and resources (F19), and standby power generation equipment to ensure that the power system is not disrupted (F21) are three factors that significantly affect the other factors.
The airport involves many agencies and public and private entities, and the laws and regulations under which they operate are different. Under the existing laws and localism, each entity has its own plan and contingency procedures to follow, which may lead to blind spots or delays in communication and coordination under a complex disaster. Therefore, under the framework of Taiwan’s critical infrastructure, Taoyuan Airport should adopt the concept of a “large airport” jointly owned by all stakeholders as the protection plan and strategy, and regularly develop and revise the relevant plans in a cross-departmental manner to maintain normal airport operations in various situations.
It can be observed that the most serious impact on hard warfare, personnel, and information and communication systems is the power interruption when overall external critical resources are interrupted. Therefore, it is important to have emergency generators to provide power for emergency needs such as lighting, firefighting, emergency telephones, and traffic monitoring in case of power failure, and to conduct regular maintenance [48]. The aviation industry is a highly internationalized industry, and the construction and management of airside facilities and equipment must comply with the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) regulations, and in the event of an aviation accident, the rescue and fire-fighting standards must also comply with the relevant operational regulations.
MCDM has been widely used in identifying the interrelationships among factors [49]. However, when evaluating complex and uncertain environments, it becomes challenging for experts to express their judgments accurately using crisp values. To address this issue, various fuzzy theories have been integrated with conventional DEMATEL methods to account for uncertainty. However, these fuzzy theories often overlook the experts’ confidence level in the evaluation values. In contrast, the FF-DEMATEL approach incorporates two fuzzy parameters, membership (μ) and non-membership (v), to address this limitation. This allows us to not only assess the reliability of the decision-making group in the evaluation but also calculate 2-tuple numbers to retain all information. Moreover, FF-DEMATEL facilitates the generation of influential criteria weights and their prioritization. Table 9 provides a summary of the distinctions between conventional DEMATEL, general fuzzy DEMATEL, and FF-DEMATEL methods.
Table 9.
Comparison of the three DEMATEL methods.
6. Conclusions
Past studies have suggested factors to assess airport resilience. However, most of the research methods consider the factors as independent (e.g., AHP, BWM, Bayesian BWM), and such assumptions violate the real situation. On the other hand, few papers have conducted data analysis through the MCDM concept. In order to bridge the gap with previous studies, this study proposes a framework for assessing the resilience factor of international airports based on the aviation safety perspective. In terms of methodology, FF-DEMATEL is developed in this study to identify the mutual influence relationships of the resilience factors. In particular, FFs are used to interpret the ambiguity and uncertainty of expert semantics, which cover a broader range of fuzzy information. In this study, it is assumed that there are interconnections among the airport resilience factors, and through the analysis, it can be known which factors mainly affect others and which factors are easily affected by other factors. The results of this study can be briefly described as follows:
- (i)
- “Detection capability (R1)” significantly affects “resistance capability (R2),” “rescue capability (R3),” and “recovery capability (R4).”
- (ii)
- In the detection capability (R1) perspective, “work environment planning and management, personnel security awareness and alertness (F1),” and “threat identification capability of the airport’s cyber security system (F5)” significantly affect “SeMS integrity (F2)” and “reliability of the airport’s video surveillance and epidemic prevention system (F3).”
- (iii)
- In the resistance capability (R2) perspective, “education and training of ground staff on airport safety awareness (F7)” is particularly important.
- (iv)
- In the rescue capability (R3) perspective, “sufficiency of firefighting resources inside and outside the airport (F11)” and “stability of communication systems among various departments of the airport (F12)” significantly affect “first aid mechanism for the injured (F14)” and “drafting of emergency response plans and procedures for disaster relief (F15).”
- (v)
- In the recovery capability (R4) perspective, “repair and maintenance planning of the internal facilities of the terminal (F18),” “recovery command center established to coordinate the allocation of people, supplies, and resources (F19)” and “standby power generation equipment to ensure that the power system is not disrupted (F21)” significantly affect the other factors.
In conclusion, this paper presents a novel framework for assessing the resilience of international airports, especially from an aviation safety perspective. At the same time, we improve the shortcomings of past studies, which assumed that the resilience factors are independent. This paper also incorporates FFs into DEMATEL to reflect information uncertainty and to cover a wider range of missing information. Finally, using the Taoyuan International Airport in Taiwan as a case study, the study process can be replicated for other international airports in the future. Decisionmakers or risk managers can use INRM and factor influence weights to develop risk management strategies to improve the resilience of international airports.
This study contributes to facilitating the implementation of resilience assessments in other international airports. Different airports can adapt the evaluation framework according to their specific backgrounds and conditions. We propose that international airports develop improvement strategies based on four aspects: detection, resistance, rescue, and recovery, to ensure comprehensive response capabilities when faced with identifiable and unpredictable risks. These strategies can be tailored to the unique circumstances of each airport to enhance their overall resilience. However, this study has several limitations, including the lack of measurement of airport resilience capabilities, not considering other fuzzy methods, and not determining the optimal number of experts. In future research, it would be beneficial to investigate multiple international airports and conduct on-site visits to assess their performance using the proposed evaluation framework. This approach would allow for identifying and improving the weaknesses of each airport to enhance their resilience. In the methodology section, incorporating a broader range of performance evaluation methods (e.g., TOPSIS, VIKOR, PROMETHEE, COPRAS) for comparison would enhance the reliability and robustness of the evaluation model. Furthermore, future research could consider adding other fuzzy sets for evaluation to identify the most suitable fuzzy theories for a given case, such as intuitionistic [50], Pythagorean [51], picture [52], hesitant [53], neutrosophic [54], plithogenic [55], hypersoft fuzzy sets [56], etc.
Author Contributions
H.-C.H., C.-N.H. and H.-W.L. all authors contributed to the investigation, curation, conceptualization, methodology, and draft work. T.-M.T. revised the paper. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This research received no external funding.
Data Availability Statement
All data generated or analyzed during the study are included in this manuscript.
Conflicts of Interest
All authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
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