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Article

A Bivariate Extension to Exponentiated Inverse Flexible Weibull Distribution: Shock Model, Features, and Inference to Model Asymmetric Data

1
Department of Mathematics, College of Science and Humanities in Al-Kharj, Prince Sattam Bin Abdulaziz University, Al-Kharj 11942, Saudi Arabia
2
Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Mansoura University, Mansoura 35516, Egypt
3
Department of Statistics and Operation Research, College of Science, Qassim University, Buraydah 51482, Saudi Arabia
4
Section of Mathematics, International Telematic University Uninettuno, I-00186 Rome, Italy
5
Department of Statistics and Computer Science, Faculty of Science, Mansoura University, Mansoura 35516, Egypt
6
Department of Statistics, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Bahawalpur 63100, Pakistan
7
Department of Statistics, Faculty of Intelligent Systems Engineering and Data Science, Persian Gulf University, Bushehr 75168, Iran
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Symmetry 2023, 15(2), 411; https://doi.org/10.3390/sym15020411
Submission received: 25 December 2022 / Revised: 21 January 2023 / Accepted: 31 January 2023 / Published: 3 February 2023

Abstract

:
The primary objective of this article was to introduce a new probabilistic model for the discussion and analysis of random covariates. The introduced model was derived based on the Marshall–Olkin shock model. After proposing the mathematical form of the new bivariate model, some of its distributional properties, including joint probability distribution, joint reliability distribution, joint reversed (hazard) rate distribution, marginal probability density function, conditional probability density function, moments, and distributions for both Y = max { X 1 , X 2 } and W = min { X 1 , X 2 } , were investigated. This novel model can be applied to discuss and evaluate symmetric and asymmetric data under various kinds of dispersion. Moreover, it can be used as a probability approach to analyze different shapes of hazard rates. The maximum likelihood approach was utilized for estimating the parameters of the bivariate model. A simulation study was carried out to assess the performance of the parameters, and it was noted that the maximum likelihood technique can be used to generate consistent estimators. Finally, two real datasets were analyzed to illustrate the notability of the novel bivariate distribution, and it was found that the suggested distribution provided a better fit than the competitive bivariate models.

1. Introduction

In the field of statistics, data are classified according to the number of variables in a given study. Depending on how many variables are being considered, the data may be univariate, “single variable/factor”, or it may be bivariate, “double variables/factors”. Bivariate data can also be two sets of items that are dependent on each other. These data are one of the simplest forms of statistical analysis and are used to see if there is a relationship between two sets of values X 1 and X 2 . Furthermore, the bivariate data could be temperatures in two different regions, droughts in two different regions, grades for two different educational courses, two teams’ results per year, etc. Because of these situations, many statisticians aim to create flexible bivariate/joint probability models for discussing and analyzing such data.
To generate a bivariate model, there are different methods that can be used. One of these techniques is called the shock model (see Marshall and Olkin “MO”, [1]). For a discussion of the MO technique, suppose we have three independent sources of shocks, and that these shocks affect a two-component system. The shock from source number one is supposed to reach the system and destroy the first component instantly, and the shock from the second source reaches the system and destroys the second component instantly, but if the shock from the third source hits the system, it instantly destroys both components. Given the importance of this approach, many statisticians have applied it to construct a bivariate probability structure. For instance, Domma [2] presented a bivariate MO Burr type III distribution, Sarhan et al. [3] derived a bivariate MO-generalized linear failure rate model, Barreto-Souza and Lemonte [4] introduced a bivariate MO Kumaraswamy family/class of distributions, Kundu and Gupta [5] discussed a bivariate MO Weibull geometric model, Shahen et al. [6] proposed a bivariate MO exponentiated modified Weibull distribution, Eliwa and El-Morshedy [7,8] derived and studied two bivariate MO generators based on Gumbel-G and odd Weibull-G families, Franco et al. [9] introduced a bivariate MO generator based on Burr type X and inverted Kumaraswamy classes, Tahir et al. [10] discussed a bivariate MO for a new Kumaraswamy generalized family, El-Morshedy et al. [11] discussed a bivariate MO generator for a unit interval of ( 0 , 1 ) , Kundu [12] proposed a semi-parametric singular class based on MO approach, etc.
Although there are many bivariate MO models mentioned in the statistical literature, there is room for creating bivariate models that are more appropriate to discuss the complex data that are generated day in and day out. From this point of view, the authors planned to derive a flexible bivariate model that could be used as a utility for statisticians interested in discussing bivariate data under different formats. To achieve this goal, the exponentiated inverse flexible Weibull extension (for short, EIFWE) model (El-Morshedy et al., [13]) was used as a baseline model of the MO technique, and consequently, the generated model is called a bivariate EIFWE (for short, BEIFWE). The cumulative distribution function (CDF) and its corresponding probability density function (PDF) of the EIFWE model can be determined, respectively, as follows:
F ( x ; λ , α , β ) = e λ e α x β x ; λ , α , β > 0 , x 0
and
f ( x ; λ , α , β ) = λ ( α x 2 + β ) e α x β x e λ e α x β x ; λ , α , β > 0 , x 0 .
The method proposed in this paper can be applied for the following reasons: Joint PDF and joint CDF can be expressed in closed forms, which makes the application more convenient in practice; the joint PDF and joint hazard rate functions (HRFs) can take different forms depending on the values of their parameters; margin can be used to analyze different forms of failure rates; the model can be applied quite easily if there are links/ties in the data; and the model can be utilized to discuss symmetric and asymmetric datasets under different forms of scattering.
The article unfolds as follows: In Section 2, the mathematical structure of the BEIFWE model is derived. Some statistical properties of the BEIFWE distribution are discussed in Section 3. In Section 4, the parameters of the BEIFWE model are estimated by utilizing the maximum likelihood method. A simulation study is performed in Section 5. The usefulness of the BEIFWE distribution and its testing across two real datasets is illustrated in Section 6. Finally, some concluding remarks and future work are listed in Section 7.

2. Structure of the BEIFWE Model

Suppose U i ( i = 1 , 2 , 3 ) are three independent random variables (RVs) such that U i EIFWE ( λ , α , β ). Define X 1 = max { U 1 , U 3 } and X 2 = max { U 2 , U 3 } . Then, the bivariate vector “BVr” X = ( X 1 , X 2 ) has a BEIFWE distribution with parameters ( λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , β ) , e.g., BEIFWE ( λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , β ) .The joint CDF of the BVr X is given as
F ( x 1 , x 2 ) = Pr X 1 x 1 , X 2 x 2 = Pr max { U 1 , U 3 } x 1 , max { U 2 , U 3 } x 2 = Pr U 1 x 1 , U 2 x 2 , U 3 min x 1 , x 2 Pr U 1 x 1 Pr U 2 x 2 Pr U 3 min x 1 , x 2 = e λ 1 e α x 1 β x 1 e λ 2 e α x 2 β x 2 e λ 3 e α z β z ,
where z = min x 1 , x 2 .  Figure 1 shows the joint CDF plots for the BEIFWE model based on various values of the BEIFWE parameters “a: λ 1 = λ 2 = λ 3 = 2 , α = 0.6 , β = 0.9 ”; “b: λ 1 = 2 , λ 2 = 3 , λ 3 = 5 , α = 0.9 , β = 1.2 ”; and “c: λ 1 = λ 2 = λ 3 = 5 , α = 2 , β = 0.8 ”.
The joint PDF corresponding to Equation (3) can be listed as
f ( x 1 , x 2 ) = f 1 ( x 1 , x 2 ) if x 1 < x 2 f 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) if x 2 < x 1 f 0 ( x , x ) if x 1 = x 2 = x ,
where
f 1 ( x 1 , x 2 ) = f EIFWE ( x 2 ; λ 2 , α , β ) f EIFWE ( x 1 ; λ 1 + λ 3 , α , β ) = λ 2 λ 1 + λ 3 α x 1 2 + β e α x 1 β x 1 e λ 2 e α x 2 β x 2 α x 2 2 + β e α x 2 β x 2 e λ 1 + λ 3 e α x 1 β x 1 ,
f 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) = f EIFWE ( x 1 ; λ 1 , α , β ) f EIFWE ( x 2 ; λ 2 + λ 3 , α , β ) = λ 1 λ 2 + λ 3 α x 1 2 + β e α x 1 β x 1 e λ 1 e α x 1 β x 1 α x 2 2 + β e α x 2 β x 2 e λ 2 + λ 3 e α x 2 β x 2
and
f 3 ( x , x ) = λ 3 λ 1 + λ 2 + λ 3 f EIFWE ( x 2 ; λ 1 + λ 2 + λ 3 , α , β ) = λ 3 α x 2 + β e α x β x e λ 1 + λ 2 + λ 3 e α x β x .
To derive Equation (4), assume that x 1 < x 2 ; then, the expression for f 1 ( x 1 , x 2 ) can be obtained by differentiating the joint CDF given in Equation (3) with respect to x 1 and x 2 . Similarly, for x 2 < x 1 . However, f 3 ( x , x ) cannot be derived in a similar approach. For this reason, when x 1 = x 2 = x , the following formula can be applied to derive f 3 ( x , x )
0 0 x 2 f 1 ( x 1 , x 2 ) d x 1 d x 2 + 0 0 x 1 f 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) d x 2 d x 1 + 0 f 3 ( x , x ) d x = 1 ,
where
I 1 = 0 0 x 2 f 1 ( x 1 , x 2 ) d x 1 d x 2 = 0 λ 2 α x 2 2 + β e α x 2 β x 2 e λ 2 e α x 2 β x 2 e λ 1 + λ 3 e α x 2 β x 2 d x 2
and
I 2 = 0 0 x 1 f 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) d x 2 d x 1 = 0 λ 1 α x 1 2 + β e α x 1 β x 1 e λ 1 e α x 1 β x 1 e λ 2 + λ 3 e α x 1 β x 1 d x 1 ,
then
I 3 = 0 f 3 ( x , x ) d x = 0 λ 1 + λ 2 + λ 3 α x 2 + β e α x β x e λ 1 + λ 2 + λ 3 e α x β x d x 0 λ 2 α x 2 + β e α x β x e λ 1 + λ 2 + λ 3 e α x β x d x 0 λ 1 α x 2 + β e α x β x e λ 1 + λ 2 + λ 3 e α x β x d x .
Thus,
f 3 ( x , x ) = λ 3 α x 2 + β e α x β x e λ 1 + λ 2 + λ 3 e α x β x .
Figure 2 shows the joint PDF plots for the BEIFWE model based on various schemas “a: λ 1 = λ 2 = λ 3 = 2 , α = 0.6 , β = 0.9 ”; “b: λ 1 = 2 , λ 2 = 3 , λ 3 = 5 , α = 0.9 , β = 1.2 ”; and “c: λ 1 = λ 2 = λ 3 = 5 , α = 2 , β = 0.8 ”.
The joint PDF of the BEIFWE model can take different forms depending on the values of its parameters. Thus, the proposed probability tool can be applied to analyze various types of datasets in different fields including symmetric and asymmetric observations.

3. Distributional Properties

3.1. Joint Reliability and Joint (Reversed) Hazard Rate Functions

Assume the random vector (RmVr) X has the BEIFWE ( λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , β ) distribution; then, the joint RF can be expressed as
R ( x 1 , x 2 ) = R 1 ( x 1 , x 2 ) if x 1 < x 2 R 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) if x 2 < x 1 R 0 ( x , x ) if x 1 = x 2 = x ,
where
R 1 ( x 1 , x 2 ) = 1 e ( λ 2 + λ 3 ) e α x 2 β x 2 e ( λ 1 + λ 3 ) e α x 1 β x 1 e ( λ 1 + λ 3 ) e α x 1 β x 1 × e λ 2 e α x 2 β x 2 ,
R 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) = 1 e ( λ 1 + λ 3 ) e α x 1 β x 1 e ( λ 2 + λ 3 ) e α x 2 β x 2 e ( λ 2 + λ 3 ) e α x 2 β x 2 × e λ 1 e α x 1 β x 1
and
R 0 ( x , x ) = 1 e λ 1 e α x β x + e λ 2 e α x β x + e ( λ 1 + λ 2 ) e α x β x e λ 3 e α x β x .
Equation (7) can be derived utilizing the following relation:
R X 1 , X 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) = 1 F X 1 ( x 1 ) F X 2 ( x 2 ) + F X 1 , X 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) .
Figure 3 shows the joint RF plots for the BEIFWE according to different schemas “a: λ 1 = λ 2 = λ 3 = 2 , α = 0.6 , β = 0.9 ”; “b: λ 1 = 2 , λ 2 = 3 , λ 3 = 5 , α = 0.9 , β = 1.2 ”; and “c: λ 1 = λ 2 = λ 3 = 5 , α = 2 , β = 0.8 ”.
The joint HRF corresponding to Equation (7) can be expressed as
h X 1 , X 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) = h 1 ( x 1 , x 2 ) if x 1 < x 2 h 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) if x 2 < x 1 h 0 ( x , x ) if x 1 = x 2 = x ,
where
h 1 ( x 1 , x 2 ) = λ 2 λ 1 + λ 3 α x 1 2 + β e α x 1 β x 1 e λ 2 e α x 2 β x 2 × α x 2 2 + β e α x 2 β x 2 e λ 1 + λ 3 e α x 1 β x 1 1 e ( λ 2 + λ 3 ) e α x 2 β x 2 e ( λ 1 + λ 3 ) e α x 1 β x 1 e ( λ 1 + λ 3 ) e α x 1 β x 1 × e λ 2 e α x 2 β x 2 ,
h 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) = λ 1 λ 2 + λ 3 α x 1 2 + β e α x 1 β x 1 e λ 1 e α x 1 β x 1 × α x 2 2 + β e α x 2 β x 2 e λ 2 + λ 3 e α x 2 β x 2 1 e ( λ 1 + λ 3 ) e α x 1 β x 1 e ( λ 2 + λ 3 ) e α x 2 β x 2 e ( λ 2 + λ 3 ) e α x 2 β x 2 × e λ 1 e α x 1 β x 1
and
h 0 ( x , x ) = λ 3 α x 2 + β e α x β x e λ 1 + λ 2 + λ 3 e α x β x 1 e λ 3 e α x β x × e λ 1 e α x β x + e λ 2 e α x β x + e ( λ 1 + λ 2 ) e α x β x .
Equation (9) can be derived using h X 1 , X 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) = f X 1 , X 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) R X 1 , X 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) ; more details on the joint HRF are provided in a study by Basu, [14]). Figure 4 shows the joint HRF plots for the BEIFWE based on various schemes “a: λ 1 = λ 2 = λ 3 = 2 , α = 0.6 , β = 0.9 ”, “b: λ 1 = 2 , λ 2 = 3 , λ 3 = 5 , α = 0.9 , β = 1.2 ” and “c: λ 1 = λ 2 = λ 3 = 5 , α = 2 , β = 0.8 ”.
As we can see, the joint HRF of the BEIFWE model can take various shapes depending on the values of its parameters. Thus, the presented distribution can be utilized to discuss different kinds of datasets in several fields. The corresponding joint reversed HRF “RHRF” to Equation (7) can be formulated as
r X 1 , X 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) = r 1 ( x 1 , x 2 ) if x 1 < x 2 r 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) if x 2 < x 1 r 0 ( x , x ) if x 1 = x 2 = x ,
where
r 1 ( x 1 , x 2 ) = λ 2 λ 1 + λ 3 α x 1 2 + β e α x 1 β x 1 α x 2 2 + β e α x 2 β x 2 ,
r 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) = λ 1 λ 2 + λ 3 α x 1 2 + β e α x 1 β x 1 α x 2 2 + β e α x 2 β x 2
and
r 0 ( x , x ) = λ 3 α x 2 + β e α x β x .
Equation (10) can be derived using r X 1 , X 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) = f X 1 , X 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) F X 1 , X 2 ( x 1 , x 2 ) ; for more detail on the RHRF, readers can refer to Bismi, [15].

3.2. Marginal Probability Density Functions

Lemma 1.
If the RmVr X have a BEIFWE ( λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , β ) , then the marginal PDFs of X i ; i = 1 , 2 can be proposed as
f ( x i ) = λ i + λ 3 α x i 2 + β e α x i β x i e λ i + λ 3 e α x i β x i = f EIFWE ( x i ; λ i + λ 3 , α , β ) ,
where x i > 0 and i = 1 , 2 .
Proof. 
Since the marginal CDFs for X i X i ; i = 1 , 2 can be defined by
F ( x i ) = Pr X i x i = Pr max { U i , U 3 } x i = Pr U i x i , U 3 x i ,
and the RVs U i ( i = 1 , 2 , 3 ) are mutually independent, we directly obtain
F ( x i ) = Pr U i x i ) Pr ( U 3 x i = F EIFWE ( x i ; λ i , α , β ) × F EIFWE ( x 3 ; λ 3 , α , β ) = e ( λ 3 + λ i ) e α x i β x i = F EIFWE ( x i ; λ i + λ 3 , α , β ) .
Then, it is easy to obtain the marginal PDFs where f ( x i ) = x i F ( x i ) . □

3.3. The Distribution of Y = max { X 1 , X 2 } and W = min { X 1 , X 2 }

Consider that the RmVr X has the BEIFWE distribution; then, the CDF for the RV Y and W can be expressed as
F Y ( y ) = Pr max { X 1 , X 2 } y = Pr X 1 y , X 2 y = Pr max { U 1 , U 3 } y , max { U 2 , U 3 } y = Pr U 1 y , U 2 y , U 3 y = Pr U 1 y ) Pr ( U 2 y ) Pr ( U 3 y = e ( λ 1 + λ 2 + λ 3 ) e α y β y
and
F W ( w ) = Pr W w = Pr min { X 1 , X 2 } w = 1 Pr min { X 1 , X 2 } > w = 1 Pr X 1 > w , X 2 > w = e λ 1 e α w β w + e λ 2 e α w β w e ( λ 1 + λ 2 ) e α w β w .
The distributions of the RVs Y and W can be used in reliability theory, especially in manufacturing and maintenance. Another application of the RVs Y and W is that they can be applied to read and evaluate signals received from space via satellites.

3.4. Conditional Probability Density Functions

Lemma 2.
Assume the RVr X has the BEIFWE ( λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , β ) ; then, the conditional PDF of X i given X j = x j ,
( i , j = 1 , 2 ; i j ) can be expressed as
f X i X j ( x i x j ) = f X i X j ( 1 ) ( x i x j ) if 0 < x i < x j f X i X j ( 2 ) ( x i x j ) if 0 < x j < x i f X i X j ( 3 ) ( x i x j ) if x i = x j > 0 ,
where
f X i X j ( 1 ) ( x i x j ) = λ j ( λ i + λ 3 ) α x i 2 + β e α x i β x i e λ j e α x j β x j e ( λ i + λ 3 ) e α x i β x i ( λ j + λ 3 ) e ( λ j + λ 3 ) e α x j β x j ,
f X i X j ( 2 ) ( x i x j ) = λ i α x i 2 + β e α x i β x i e λ i e α x i β x i
and
f X i X j ( 3 ) ( x i x j ) = λ 3 λ i + λ 3 e λ i e α x i β x i .
Proof. 
It is easy to prove this lemma by using the following relation:
f X i X j ( x i x j ) = f X i , X j ( x i , x j ) f X i ( x i ) ; i = 1 , 2 .

3.5. Marginal Expectation

Lemma 3.
Consider that the RVr X has a BEIFWE distribution; then, the r t h moment of X i ( i = 1 , 2 ) can be formulated as
E ( X i r ) = n = 0 m = 0 1 n α m λ i + λ 3 n + 1 Γ ( r m 1 ) n ! m ! β r m 1 ( n + 1 ) r 2 m + 1 ( r m ) ( r m + 1 ) β + α ( n + 1 ) 2 .
Proof. 
Since the expectation of the RVs X i can be defined as
E ( X i r ) = 0 x i r f X i ( x i ) d x i ,
based on Equation (11), we obtain
E ( X i r ) = λ i + λ 3 0 x i r α x i 2 + β e α x i β x i e λ i + λ 3 e α x i β x i d x i = β 0 λ i + λ 3 x i r e α x i β x i e λ i + λ 3 e α x i β x i d x i + α 0 λ i + λ 3 x i r 2 e α x i β x i e λ i + λ 3 e α x i β x i d x i ,
let
I 1 = 0 λ i + λ 3 x i r e α x i β x i e λ i + λ 3 e α x i β x i d x i
and
I 2 = 0 λ i + λ 3 x i r 2 e α x i β x i e λ i + λ 3 e α x i β x i d x i ,
Then,
E ( X i r ) = β I 1 + α I 2 ,
using the series expansion of e λ i + λ 3 e α x i β x i and e ( n + 1 ) ( α x i ) , we obtain
I 1 = n = 0 1 n λ i + λ 3 n + 1 n ! 0 x i r e ( n + 1 ) ( α x i β x i ) d x i = n = 0 m = 0 1 n α m ( n + 1 ) m λ i + λ 3 n + 1 n ! m ! 0 x i r m e ( n + 1 ) β x i d x i n = 0 m = 0 1 n α m λ i + λ 3 n + 1 Γ ( r m + 1 ) n ! m ! β r m + 1 ( n + 1 ) r 2 m + 1 ,
where Γ ( z ) = 0 e t t z 1 d t ; z > 0 . Similarly, we obtain
I 2 = n = 0 m = 0 1 n α m λ i + λ 3 n + 1 Γ ( r m 1 ) n ! m ! β r m 1 ( n + 1 ) r 2 m 1 .
Substituting Equations (15) and (16) into Equation (14), we get Equation (13). □

4. Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE)

In this segment, the technique of maximum likelihood is applied to estimate the unknown parameters λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , β of the BEIFWE distribution. Suppose we have a sample of size n in the form { ( x 11 , x 21 ) , ( x 12 , x 22 ) ,..., ( x 1 n , x 2 n ) } from the BEIFWE distribution. We utilize the following notations: I 1 = { x 1 i < x 2 i } , I 2 = { x 1 i > x 2 i } , I 3 = { x 1 i = x 2 i = x i } , I = I 1 I 2 I 3 , I 1 = n 1 , I 2 = n 2 , I 3 = n 3 , and n 1 + n 2 + n 3 = n . Based on the observations, the likelihood function is given as
l ( λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , β ) = i = 1 n 1 f 1 ( x 1 i , x 2 i ) i = 1 n 2 f 2 ( x 1 i , x 2 i ) i = 1 n 3 f 3 ( x i , x ) .
The log-likelihood function can be written as
L ( λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , β ) = n 1 ln λ 2 ( λ 1 + λ 3 ) + i = 1 n 1 ln ( α x 1 i 2 + β ) + i = 1 n 1 ln ( α x 2 i 2 + β ) + α i = 1 n 1 1 x 1 i β i = 1 n 1 x 1 i + α i = 1 n 1 1 x 2 i β i = 1 n 1 x 2 i λ 2 i = 1 n 1 e α x 2 i β x 2 i ( λ 1 + λ 3 ) i = 1 n 1 e α x 1 i β x 1 i + n 2 ln λ 1 ( λ 2 + λ 3 ) + i = 1 n 2 ln ( α x 1 i 2 + β ) + i = 1 n 2 ln ( α x 2 i 2 + β ) + α i = 1 n 2 1 x 1 i β i = 1 n 2 x 1 i + α i = 1 n 2 1 x 2 i β i = 1 n 2 x 2 i λ 1 i = 1 n 2 e α x 1 i β x 1 i ( λ 2 + λ 3 ) i = 1 n 2 e α x 2 i β x 2 i + n 3 ln λ 3 + i = 1 n 3 ln ( α x i 2 + β ) + α i = 1 n 3 1 x i β i = 1 n 3 x i ( λ 1 + λ 2 + λ 3 ) i = 1 n 3 e α x i β x i .
Using Equation (18) to obtain the first partial derivatives with respect to λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , and β and setting the results equal zeros, we obtain the likelihood equations in the following form:
L λ 1 = n 1 λ 1 + λ 3 i = 1 n 1 e α x 1 i β x 1 i + n 2 λ 1 + i = 1 n 2 e α x 1 i β x 1 i i = 1 n 3 e α x i β x i ,
L λ 2 = n 1 λ 2 i = 1 n 1 e α x 2 i β x 2 i + n 2 λ 2 + λ 3 i = 1 n 2 e α x 2 i β x 2 i i = 1 n 3 e α x i β x i ,
L λ 3 = n 1 λ 1 + λ 3 + n 2 λ 2 + λ 3 i = 1 n 2 e α x 2 i β x 2 i + n 3 λ 3 i = 1 n 1 e α x 1 i β x 1 i i = 1 n 3 e α x i β x i ,
L α = i = 1 n 1 1 α + β x 1 i 2 + i = 1 n 1 1 α + β x 2 i 2 + i = 1 n 1 1 x 1 i + i = 1 n 1 1 x 2 i λ 2 i = 1 n 1 1 x 2 i e α x 2 i β x 2 i ( λ 1 + λ 3 ) i = 1 n 1 1 x 1 i e α x 1 i β x 1 i + i = 1 n 2 1 α + β x 2 i 2 + i = 1 n 2 1 α + β x 1 i 2 + i = 1 n 2 1 x 1 i + i = 1 n 2 1 x 2 i λ 1 i = 1 n 2 1 x 1 i e α x 1 i β x 1 i ( λ 2 + λ 3 ) i = 1 n 2 1 x 2 i e α x 2 i β x 2 i + i = 1 n 3 1 x i + i = 1 n 3 1 α + β x i 2 ( λ 1 + λ 2 + λ 3 ) i = 1 n 3 1 x i e α x i β x i
and
L β = i = 1 n 1 x 1 i 2 α + β x 1 i 2 + i = 1 n 1 x 2 i 2 α + β x 2 i 2 i = 1 n 1 x 1 i i = 1 n 1 x 2 i + λ 2 i = 1 n 1 x 2 i e α x 2 i β x 2 i + ( λ 1 + λ 3 ) i = 1 n 1 x 1 i e α x 1 i β x 1 i + i = 1 n 2 x 2 i 2 α + β x 2 i 2 + i = 1 n 2 x 1 i 2 α + β x 1 i 2 i = 1 n 2 x 1 i i = 1 n 2 x 2 i + λ 1 i = 1 n 2 x 1 i e α x 1 i β x 1 i + ( λ 2 + λ 3 ) i = 1 n 2 x 2 i e α x 2 i β x 2 i i = 1 n 3 x i + i = 1 n 3 x i α + β x i 2 + ( λ 1 + λ 2 + λ 3 ) i = 1 n 3 x i e α x i β x i .
To determine the MLEs of the parameters λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , and β , we have to solve the above system of five non-linear equations. A numerical technique should be used to solve these equations.

5. MLE Performance: A Simulation Study

In this segment, the MLE approach was used to estimate the parameters λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , and β of the BEIFWE distribution under different sample sizes n = 5 ( 5 ) 150 from N = 10,000 replications. The generated samples were based on the quantile function of the marginal distributions of the BEIFWE model. The population parameters were generated utilizing the R software package. The primary aim of this section is to introduce an assessment of the properties of the MLE in terms of bias and mean-squared error (MSE) for the parameters. To test the performance of the MLE technique, two schemes are considered and discussed under different sample sizes. The experimental schemas can be formulated as follows:
  • Schema I: BEIFWE( 0.5 , 0.7 , 0.9 , 0.2 , 0.5 );
  • Schema II: BEIFWE( 0.2 , 0.4 , 0.6 , 0.8 , 1.1 ).
The empirical results can be displayed in Figure 5.
The following observations can be noted: The MSEs for the MLE always decreased to zero when n grew, and the magnitude of bias, in general, was always close to zero when n grew. Based on the MSE, the performance of the MLE approach was good, and the confidence in the results increased as the sample size increased.

6. Comparative Study: Statistics and Real Data Analysis

In this section, we illustrate the importance of the BEIFWE distribution using two applications of real data. The fitted distributions were compared with several famous bivariate models to explicate that the BEIFWE distribution can be a good lifetime model, comparing with bivariate Gompertz (BGz) (Al-Khedhairi and El-Gohary, [16]), bivariate Burr X bivariate Gompertz (BBUXGz) (El-Morshedy et al., [17]), bivariate generalized exponential (BGE) (Kundu and Gupta, [18]), Marshall–Olkin bivariate exponential (MOBE) (Marshall and Olkin, [1] and Jose, [19]), bivariate exponentiated Weibull (BEW), bivariate Gumbel exponential (BGuE) (Eliwa and El-Morshedy, [7]), bivariate generalized linear failure rate (BGLFR) (Sarhan et al., [3]), bivariate generalized Gompertz (BGGz) (Al-Khedhairi and El-Gohary, [16]), bivariate Burr X bivariate exponential (BBUXE) (El-Morshedy et al., [17]), bivariate exponentiated Weibull–Gompertz (BEWGz) (El-Bassiouny et al. [20]), bivariate Gumbel Gompertz (BGuGz) (Eliwa and El-Morshedy, [7]), bivariate exponentiated modified Weibull extension (BEMWEx) (El-Gohary et al., [21]), and bivariate Weibull exponential (BWE) (Hanagal, [22]) distributions. The fitted models were compared utilizing some criteria, namely the negative maximized log-likelihood ( L ), Akaike information criterion (AIC), corrected AIC (CAIC), Bayesian IC (BIC), and Hannan–Quinn IC (HQIC), in addition to the Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS) statistic and its p-value for the marginals.

6.1. Dataset I: Football Data

The dataset was obtained from Meintanis [23]. These data represent football (soccer) data from the UEFA Champions League. They represent soccer data for when at least one goal is scored by a kick goal (such as a penalty kick, foul kick, or any other direct kick) by any team, and one goal is scored by the home team. Here, ( X 1 , X 2 ) represents the bivariate data, where X 1 represents the time in minutes of the first kick goal scored by any team, and X 2 represents the first goal scored by the home team. Note that all possibilities are there, namely (i) X 1 > X 2 , (ii) X 1 < X 2 , and (iii) X 1 = X 2 . Nonparametric plots are listed in Figure 6, Figure 7, Figure 8 and Figure 9 to discuss the behavior of data. Figure 6 shows the scatter and box plots for the bivariate data, whereas the kernel densities, violin, box, and quantile–quantile (QQ) plots for the marginals are displayed in Figure 7, Figure 8 and Figure 9.
Before trying to analyze the data using the BEIFWE model, first, we fit the marginals X 1 , X 2 , and min( X 1 , X 2 ) separately on the UEFA Champions League data. The MLEs of the parameters ( α , β , λ ) for X 1 , X 2 , and min( X 1 , X 2 ) are (0.3300, 0.05432, 5.3005), (1.3062, 0.0479, 2.5079), and (2.7244, 1.1797, 0.0569), respectively. The L , K-S, and its p-value for the marginals X 1 , X 2 , and min( X 1 , X 2 ) can be listed as (163.4554, 0.09218, 0.9116), (162.7615, 0.1026, 0.8308), and (157.6972, 0.0636, 0.9983), respectively. Based on p-values, it is clear that the BEIFWE model fits the data for the marginals. Figure 10, Figure 11 and Figure 12 show the fitted PDFs, the estimated CDF, and probability–probability (PP) plots for the marginals X 1 , X 2 , and min( X 1 , X 2 ), which prove our results.
Now, we fit the BEIFWE model on these data. In the enclosed Table 1 and Table 2, we provide the MLEs, L , AIC, CAIC, BIC, and HQIC values for the competitive distributions.
As we can see, the BEIFWE distribution fits the data better than the other tested models, because it has the smallest value among L , AIC, CAIC, BIC, and HQIC.

6.2. Dataset II: Motor Data

These data are reported in Relia [24], and they represent the failure times of a parallel system constituted by two identical motors in days. Nonparametric plots are reported in Figure 13, Figure 14, Figure 15 and Figure 16 to discuss the shape of data. Figure 13 shows the scatter and box plots for data, whereas the kernel densities, violin, box, and QQ plots for the marginals are listed in Figure 14, Figure 15 and Figure 16.
First, we fit the marginals X 1 , X 2 , and min( X 1 , X 2 ) separately on the motor data. The MLEs of the parameters ( α , β , λ ) for X 1 , X 2 , and min( X 1 , X 2 ) are (2.9254, 0.0155, 12.9952), (2.3991, 0.0145, 11.8768), and (2.6118, 0.0164, 10.9977), respectively. The L , K-S and its p-value for the marginals X 1 , X 2 , and min( X 1 , X 2 ) can be listed as (102.0146, 0.2566, 0.1867), (103.6497, 0.0892, 0.9961), and (101.1782, 0.1908, 0.5291), respectively. According to p-values, it is noted that the BEIFWE distribution fits the data for the marginals. Figure 17, Figure 18 and Figure 19 show the fitted PDFs, estimated CDF, and PP plots for the marginals X 1 , X 2 , and min( X 1 , X 2 ), which prove our results.
Now, we fit the BEIFWE model on dataset II. In the enclosed Table 3 and Table 4, we report the MLEs, L , AIC, CAIC, BIC, and HQIC values for the tested models.
Based on the empirical results, it was found that the BEIFWE model fits the data better than the other competitive distributions.

7. Conclusions and Future Work

In this article, a novel bivariate probabilistic distribution was presented and discussed based on the Marshall–Olkin shock model. The proposed bivariate model can be used as a probabilistic tool for discussing and analyzing only the common continuous random variables. After introducing the mathematical structure of the bivariate distribution, some of its statistical properties were derived. The new model revealed interesting features; for instance, the joint PDF can be used as a statistical approach to model different shapes of data, including symmetric and asymmetric forms under various kinds of dispersion; detailed HRFs can be applied to discuss and evaluate different forms of failure rates; and it can be utilized quite conveniently if there are ties in the data. Based on a simulation study, the maximum likelihood technique was applied to estimate the model parameters. Finally, two real datasets were analyzed to demonstrate the ability and observation of the presented bivariate model, and it was found that the presented model provided a better fit than competitive bivariate distributions. As a future study, a bivariate fuzzy time series will be discussed for forecasting. Moreover, the Bayesian technique will be discussed under different approaches, including a priori and non-information, to model complete, censored, and recorded data.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, M.E.-M. and M.S.E.; methodology, M.H.T. and M.A.; software, M.E.-M. and M.S.E.; validation, R.E.-D., A.A.-B. and H.A.; formal analysis, M.S.E. and M.H.T.; investigation, M.A. and H.A.; resources, R.E.-D. and A.A.-B.; data curation, M.S.E.; writing—original draft preparation, M.E.-M. and M.S.E.; writing—review and editing, M.S.E. and M.H.T.; visualization, M.E.-M.; supervision, R.E.-D. and H.A. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This paper has not received any funding.

Data Availability Statement

The datasets are available in the paper.

Acknowledgments

This study is supported via funding from Prince Sattam bin Abdulaziz University, project number (PSAU/2023/R/1444).

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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Figure 1. The joint CDF of the BEIFWE distribution.
Figure 1. The joint CDF of the BEIFWE distribution.
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Figure 2. The joint PDF of the BEIFWE distribution.
Figure 2. The joint PDF of the BEIFWE distribution.
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Figure 3. The joint RF of the BEIFWE distribution.
Figure 3. The joint RF of the BEIFWE distribution.
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Figure 4. The joint HRF of the BEIFWE distribution.
Figure 4. The joint HRF of the BEIFWE distribution.
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Figure 5. (Top) simulation results of the BEIFWE (0.5,0.7,0.9,0.2,0.5) model; (bottom) simulation results of the BEIFWE (0.2,0.4,0.6,0.8,1.1) model.
Figure 5. (Top) simulation results of the BEIFWE (0.5,0.7,0.9,0.2,0.5) model; (bottom) simulation results of the BEIFWE (0.2,0.4,0.6,0.8,1.1) model.
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Figure 6. The scatter and box plots of dataset I.
Figure 6. The scatter and box plots of dataset I.
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Figure 7. The kernel densities for the marginals of dataset I.
Figure 7. The kernel densities for the marginals of dataset I.
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Figure 8. The box and violin plots for the marginals of dataset I.
Figure 8. The box and violin plots for the marginals of dataset I.
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Figure 9. The QQ plots for the marginals of dataset I.
Figure 9. The QQ plots for the marginals of dataset I.
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Figure 10. The fitted PDF plots for the marginals of dataset I.
Figure 10. The fitted PDF plots for the marginals of dataset I.
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Figure 11. The estimated CDF plots for the marginals of dataset I.
Figure 11. The estimated CDF plots for the marginals of dataset I.
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Figure 12. The fitted PP plots for the marginals of dataset I.
Figure 12. The fitted PP plots for the marginals of dataset I.
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Figure 13. The scatter and box plots of dataset II.
Figure 13. The scatter and box plots of dataset II.
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Figure 14. The kernel densities for the marginals of dataset II.
Figure 14. The kernel densities for the marginals of dataset II.
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Figure 15. The box and violin plots for the marginals of dataset II.
Figure 15. The box and violin plots for the marginals of dataset II.
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Figure 16. The QQ plots for the marginals of dataset II.
Figure 16. The QQ plots for the marginals of dataset II.
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Figure 17. The fitted PDF plots for the marginals of dataset II.
Figure 17. The fitted PDF plots for the marginals of dataset II.
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Figure 18. The estimated CDFs plots for the marginals of dataset II.
Figure 18. The estimated CDFs plots for the marginals of dataset II.
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Figure 19. The fitted PP plots for the marginals of dataset II.
Figure 19. The fitted PP plots for the marginals of dataset II.
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Table 1. The MLEs for the competitive distributions’ parameters.
Table 1. The MLEs for the competitive distributions’ parameters.
Model a ^ b ^ λ 1 ^ λ 2 ^ λ 3 ^ α ^ β ^
BW 0.0837 0.3974 0.2738 0.3389
BGPW 0.0377 3.2294 1.9831 4.0840
BGz 0.0406 0.0036 0.0023 0.0213
BBUXGz 0.0063 0.0154 0.1320 0.1873 0.2014
BGE 0.0393 1.5532 0.4993 1.1563
MOBE 0.0121 0.0141 0.0221
BEW 0.0123 1.2683 1.2269 0.3820 0.6611
BGuE 5.0111 4.0814 2.6784 0.9621 2.0653
BGLFR 0.0002 0.0008 0.4520 0.1567 0.3604
BGGz 0.0117 0.0294 0.7428 0.2621 0.5984
BBUXE 0.0122 0.3855 0.1362 0.3101
BEWGz 0.4117 0.0795 0.5477 0.1917 0.4446 0.0050 1.3587
BGuGz 0.0092 0.0473 0.5784 0.2044 0.4756 2.2784
BEMWEx 85.9183 4.5057 0.1673 0.0613 0.1391 0.0254
BWE 0.0251 0.1351 0.3024 0.2650
BEIFWE 1.4907 1.7412 4.0235 0.6704 0.0532
Table 2. The goodness-of-fit results for the competitive distributions.
Table 2. The goodness-of-fit results for the competitive distributions.
Model−LAICCAICBICHQIC
BW 346.0174 700.0102 701.3145 706.4336 702.2892
BGPW 344.8012 697.5412 698.8110 703.9036 699.8124
BGz 303.4996 614.9220 616.2036 621.4336 617.2302
BBUXGz 301.1889 612.3892 614.3302 620.5289 615.2447
BGE 299.9142 607.7419 608.8894 614.2301 609.9163
MOBE 298.9362 607.9303 609.8102 615.9102 610.7330
BEW 298.9336 607.9396 609.8396 615.8793 610.7399
BGuE 297.8028 605.5696 607.5102 613.6426 608.4036
BGLFR 296.8389 603.7339 605.6396 611.6896 606.5012
BGGz 294.9170 599.8145 601.7163 607.9017 602.7147
BBUXE 294.8127 597.6223 598.9336 604.0427 599.9744
BEWGz 294.6036 603.2112 607.1745 614.5107 607.2338
BGuGz 294.2397 600.5336 603.3202 610.1230 603.9336
BEMWEx 294.0745 600.3396 603.1032 609.9325 603.7703
BWE 291.1437 592.3103 594.2147 600.3223 595.1196
BEIFWE 285.8012 581.6302 583.5415 589.6520 584.4415
Table 3. The MLEs for the competitive distributions’ parameters of dataset II.
Table 3. The MLEs for the competitive distributions’ parameters of dataset II.
Model a ^ b ^ λ 1 ^ λ 2 ^ λ 3 ^ α ^ β ^
BW 0.0391 0.2003 0.2383 0.3387
BGPW 0.0292 1.5591 1.8581 3.7189
BE 0.0023 0.0019 0.0053
BGE 0.0144 2.4544 2.8803 6.0641
BEW 0.5201 0.3254 30.1383 24.1350 61.8048
BGuE 6.3113 10.5332 3.0661 4.4849 8.0431
BGLFR 6.99 × 10 5 0.0011 0.4174 0.4862 1.0193
BBUXE 0.003 0.3622 0.4241 0.9071
BEIFWE 0.3625 0.3412 0.4125 2.0365 0.0789
Table 4. The goodness-of-fit results for the competitive distributions of dataset II.
Table 4. The goodness-of-fit results for the competitive distributions of dataset II.
Model−LAICCAICBICHQIC
BW 422.9506 853.9012 856.9781 857.46269 854.3923
BGPW 431.7917 871.5834 874.6603 875.14489 872.0745
BE 355.7320 717.4642 719.1785 720.1353 717.8325
BGE 335.2297 678.4593 681.5362 682.0208 678.9504
BEW 339.2717 688.5434 693.5434 692.9953 689.1573
BGuE 334.6306 679.2612 684.2612 683.7131 679.8751
BGLFR 331.7717 673.5433 678.5433 677.9952 674.1572
BBUXE 329.7607 667.5214 670.5983 671.0829 668.0125
BEIFWE 327.1826 664.3652 669.3652 668.8171 664.9791
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MDPI and ACS Style

El-Morshedy, M.; Eliwa, M.S.; Tahir, M.H.; Alizadeh, M.; El-Desokey, R.; Al-Bossly, A.; Alqifari, H. A Bivariate Extension to Exponentiated Inverse Flexible Weibull Distribution: Shock Model, Features, and Inference to Model Asymmetric Data. Symmetry 2023, 15, 411. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym15020411

AMA Style

El-Morshedy M, Eliwa MS, Tahir MH, Alizadeh M, El-Desokey R, Al-Bossly A, Alqifari H. A Bivariate Extension to Exponentiated Inverse Flexible Weibull Distribution: Shock Model, Features, and Inference to Model Asymmetric Data. Symmetry. 2023; 15(2):411. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym15020411

Chicago/Turabian Style

El-Morshedy, Mahmoud, Mohamed S. Eliwa, Muhammad H. Tahir, Morad Alizadeh, Rana El-Desokey, Afrah Al-Bossly, and Hana Alqifari. 2023. "A Bivariate Extension to Exponentiated Inverse Flexible Weibull Distribution: Shock Model, Features, and Inference to Model Asymmetric Data" Symmetry 15, no. 2: 411. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym15020411

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