Assessing the Functional–Efficiency Mismatch of Territorial Space Using Explainable Machine Learning: A Case Study of Quanzhou, China
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Study Area and Data Source
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Data Source
3. Research Framework and Methods
3.1. Research Framework
3.2. Land-Use Function Identification
3.3. Spatial Efficiency Evaluation
3.4. Spatial Function–Efficiency Deviation Analysis Based on XGBoost
3.5. Spatial Feature Analysis
4. Results
4.1. Spatial Characteristics of Territorial Functions in Quanzhou City
4.2. Spatial Characteristics of Territorial Efficiency in Quanzhou City
4.3. Prediction of Ideal Spatial Efficiency and Mechanism Analysis
4.4. Spatial Deviation Results of Territorial Efficiency in Quanzhou City
- (1)
- The southern Quanzhou Bay zone demonstrated strong functional–efficiency alignment, especially in core urban districts with robust industrial and service bases. However, the outer peri-urban units showed deviations up to 0.03 lower than expected based on functional input levels, indicating uneven benefit realization within this high-growth region.
- (2)
- The central region, particularly the Shanmei Reservoir hinterland, formed a pronounced high-efficiency cluster. This subregion’s composite deviation averaged 0.19—almost double the citywide mean—highlighting the combined benefits of ecological quality and improving living service conditions.
- (3)
- The western mountainous zone exhibited stable positive deviations, supported by strong ecological resources and limited disturbance. Here, more than 80% of units recorded positive ecological or composite deviations.
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Data Type | Data Description | Data Source |
|---|---|---|
| Socio-economic data | Township-level statistical yearbooks of Quanzhou City | Quanzhou Municipal Bureau of Statistics |
| Land-use data | Shapefile | Quanzhou Bureau of Natural Resources |
| Nighttime light data | Raster, 742 m × 742 m | Earth observation group |
| Road network data | Shapefile | OpenStreetMap |
| Commercial and enterprise Points of Interest data | Shapefile | OpenStreetMap |
| Population data | Raster, 1 km × 1 km | LandScan Global Population Database |
| Housing market data | Shapefile | Beike Real Estate Platform |
| Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) | Raster, 1 km × 1 km | Geospatial Data Cloud |
| Net Primary Productivity (NPP) | Raster, 500 m × 500 m | National Aeronautics and Space Administration (https://www.nasa.gov/) |
| Ecosystem service value data | Raster, 1 km × 1 km | Resource and Environmental Science Data Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences [35] |
| Land-Use Type | Production Function Score | Living Function Score | Ecological Function Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cultivated land | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Orchard land | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Forest land | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Grassland | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Wetland | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Agricultural facilities land | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Residential land | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Public administration and service land | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Commercial service land | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Industrial and mining land | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Storage land | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Transportation land | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Utility land | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Green space and open area | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Special-use land | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Inland water area | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Other land | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Evaluation Dimension | Indicator | Definition/Description |
|---|---|---|
| Production efficiency | Cultivation rate | Ratio of cultivated area to total farmland area |
| Agricultural output value | Agricultural output per unit of agricultural land | |
| Industrial rent | Average rent of shops and factory buildings | |
| Industrial | Density of commercial and enterprise points | |
| Living efficiency | Public service accessibility | Mean accessibility to healthcare, elementary schools, and elderly care facilities |
| Transportation accessibility | Average distance to bus stops | |
| Residential quality | Combined score of average second-hand housing and rental prices (higher value = better quality) | |
| Spatial vitality | Intensity of nighttime light | |
| Ecological efficiency | Normalized Difference Vegetation Index | Vegetation coverage within the spatial unit |
| Net Primary Productivity | Utilization rate of solar energy by ecosystems | |
| Ecological purification value | Ecosystem’s capacity for pollutant purification | |
| Soil conservation value | Ecosystem’s capacity to prevent soil erosion and maintain fertility and structure |
| Efficiency Dimension | RMSE | MAE | R2 | Residual Moran’s I | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Production efficiency | 0.013 | 0.009 | 0.951 | −0.002 | 0.118 |
| Living efficiency | 0.006 | 0.004 | 0.997 | 0.016 | 0.001 |
| Ecological efficiency | 0.048 | 0.035 | 0.804 | −0.005 | 0.005 |
| Major Influencing Factors (TOP 3) | Dominant Functional Drivers | Mechanism Characteristics | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Influencing Factor | Contribution | |||
| Production efficiency | Neighbouring living function | 0.025 | Production efficiency is mainly shaped by residential and productive conditions in surrounding areas, whereas local functional endowments exert relatively weak effects. | A spillover-dominant mechanism in which production activities tend to concentrate in areas supported by favorable living environments and adjacent productive bases. |
| Neighbouring production function | 0.007 | |||
| Relative east–west location | 0.007 | |||
| Living efficiency | Relative east–west location | 0.091 | Living efficiency is overwhelmingly influenced by inherited spatial structure, with supplementary contributions from neighboring production and living functions. | A strongly path-dependent mechanism characterized by high spatial autocorrelation and strong responsiveness to surrounding socioeconomic conditions |
| Neighbouring production function | 0.028 | |||
| Neighbouring living function | 0.018 | |||
| Ecological efficiency | Local ecological function | 0.204 | Ecological efficiency is dominated by intrinsic ecological endowment, strengthened by ecological and residential conditions in adjacent units. | An endowment-driven mechanism in which ecological performance primarily reflects natural conditions, with marginal gains from neighborhood ecological synergy. |
| Neighbouring ecological function | 0.041 | |||
| Neighbouring living function | 0.038 | |||
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Ke, Z.; Wei, W.; Hong, M.; Xia, J.; Bo, L. Assessing the Functional–Efficiency Mismatch of Territorial Space Using Explainable Machine Learning: A Case Study of Quanzhou, China. Land 2025, 14, 2403. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14122403
Ke Z, Wei W, Hong M, Xia J, Bo L. Assessing the Functional–Efficiency Mismatch of Territorial Space Using Explainable Machine Learning: A Case Study of Quanzhou, China. Land. 2025; 14(12):2403. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14122403
Chicago/Turabian StyleKe, Zehua, Wei Wei, Mengyao Hong, Junnan Xia, and Liming Bo. 2025. "Assessing the Functional–Efficiency Mismatch of Territorial Space Using Explainable Machine Learning: A Case Study of Quanzhou, China" Land 14, no. 12: 2403. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14122403
APA StyleKe, Z., Wei, W., Hong, M., Xia, J., & Bo, L. (2025). Assessing the Functional–Efficiency Mismatch of Territorial Space Using Explainable Machine Learning: A Case Study of Quanzhou, China. Land, 14(12), 2403. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14122403

