Effects of Urbanization on Farmland Size and Diversified Farm Activities in Japan: An Analysis Based on the Land Parcel Database
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Hypothesis
3. Methodology
3.1. Targeted Areas and Datasets
3.2. Analytical Process
4. Result
4.1. Spatial Distribution of Farmland Parcels
4.2. Urbanization and Farming
4.3. Effects of Urbanization on Farmland Parcels
4.4. Effects of Urbanization on Farm Diversification Activities
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Tokyo Metro Area | Osaka Metro Area | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tokyo | Kanagawa | Chiba | Saitama | Osaka | Kyoto | Hyogo | |
Area (km2) | 1783 | 2411 | 5155 | 3796 | 1908 | 4620 | 8422 |
population | 13,159,000 | 9,048,000 | 6,216,000 | 7,195,000 | 8,865,000 | 2,636,000 | 5,588,000 |
population density (person/km2) | 5998 | 3745 | 1205 | 1895 | 4654 | 572 | 665 |
% of DID area | 59.67 | 39.07 | 12.49 | 18.23 | 47.24 | 5.70 | 6.93 |
total agricultural production (billion yen) (% of horticulture) | 27 (86%) | 84 (73%) | 470 (48%) | 198 (61%) | 36 (70%) | 74 (41%) | 163 (30%) |
Region | Prefecture | Farmland Parcels (ha) | National Survey (ha) | Excess Area Rate (%) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rice Paddy | Plowed Field | Total Area | Rice Paddy | Plowed Field | Total Area | Rice Paddy | Plowed Field | Total Area | ||
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (1)/(4) *100 | (2)/(5) *100 | (3)/(6) *100 | ||
Tokyo metro area | Tokyo | 279 | 5585 | 5864 | 249 | 5378 | 5627 | 112 | 104 | 104 |
Kanagawa | 3782 | 16,358 | 20,139 | 3671 | 15,110 | 18,781 | 103 | 108 | 107 | |
Chiba | 75,399 | 52,237 | 127,637 | 73,533 | 51,033 | 124,566 | 103 | 102 | 102 | |
Saitama | 44,300 | 36,034 | 80,334 | 41,306 | 33,231 | 74,537 | 107 | 108 | 108 | |
Total | 123,760 | 110,214 | 233,974 | 118,759 | 104,752 | 223,511 | 104 | 105 | 105 | |
Osaka metro area | Osaka | 9430 | 4054 | 13,484 | 8880 | 3814 | 12,694 | 106 | 106 | 106 |
Kyoto | 23,107 | 7880 | 30,987 | 23,280 | 6671 | 29,951 | 99 | 118 | 103 | |
Hyogo | 60,853 | 6314 | 67,167 | 67,225 | 6256 | 73,481 | 91 | 101 | 91 | |
Total | 93,390 | 18,248 | 111,638 | 99,385 | 16,741 | 116,126 | 94 | 109 | 96 |
Independent Variables | Unit | Full Sample N = 2,960,523 | Tokyo Metro Area N = 1,724,153 | Osaka Metro Area N = 1,236,370 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | SD | Mean | SD | Mean | SD | ||
area | m2 | 1054.41 | 1147.90 | 1244.44 | 1279.56 | 789.42 | 866.84 |
urban sprawl index | ☐ | 6.01 | 5.54 | 6.77 | 5.81 | 4.95 | 4.95 |
distance | km | 4.91 | 5.07 | 3.77 | 4.37 | 6.50 | 5.52 |
population | persons/500 m grid | 315.63 | 596.43 | 369.72 | 658.28 | 240.20 | 487.59 |
road | m/1 km grid | 6749.20 | 5798.11 | 7677.55 | 6112.20 | 5454.58 | 5052.06 |
plowed field | dummy | 0.44 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.50 | 0.27 | 0.45 |
high sales rate | % | 12.35 | 17.26 | 16.24 | 19.31 | 6.93 | 11.93 |
agricultural diversification rate | % | 4.66 | 7.48 | 4.78 | 7.58 | 4.48 | 7.34 |
vegetable farmer rate | % | 19.76 | 26.17 | 25.00 | 28.29 | 12.46 | 20.79 |
fruit farmer rate | % | 4.81 | 13.63 | 6.13 | 15.04 | 2.95 | 11.09 |
flower farmer rate | % | 3.36 | 9.93 | 4.44 | 10.92 | 1.86 | 8.11 |
Independent Variables | Unit | Full Sample N = 2,960,523 | Tokyo Metro Area N = 1,724,153 | Osaka Metro Area N = 1,236,370 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | ||
intercept | ☐ | 1050.52 *** | 1016.00 *** | 1017.00 *** | 1311.00 *** | 813.08 *** |
urban sprawl index | ☐ | −33.61 *** | −35.17 *** | −34.87 *** | −42.49 *** | −28.96 *** |
distance | km | −21.27 *** | −19.82 *** | −19.16 *** | −2.27 *** | −12.08 *** |
urban sprawl index*distance | ☐ | ☐ | ☐ | 0.32 *** | −0.45 *** | 0.54 *** |
population | 1000 persons/500 m grid | ☐ | −30.46 *** | −24.41 *** | 53.04 *** | −14.79 *** |
road | km/1 km grid | ☐ | 7.08 *** | 7.13 *** | −3.72 *** | 17.67 *** |
plowed field | dummy | −318.75 *** | −316.90 *** | −316.70 *** | −360.40 *** | −444.70 *** |
high sales rate | % | 13.74 *** | 13.82 *** | 13.80 *** | 11.75 *** | 5.05 *** |
agricultural diversification rate | % | −1.82 *** | −1.90 *** | −1.89 *** | 0.50 *** | −0.65 *** |
vegetable farmer rate | % | −0.50 *** | −0.71 *** | −0.70 *** | −0.94 *** | −1.66 *** |
fruit farmer rate | % | 0.41 *** | 0.37 *** | 0.38 *** | −1.35 *** | 2.69 *** |
flower farmer rate | % | −2.76 *** | −2.97 *** | −2.96 *** | −4.97 *** | −4.64 *** |
R square | ☐ | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.09 |
Abbreviation | Unit | Tokyo Metro Area | Osaka Metro Area | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | SD | Mean | SD | ||||
diversified farms rate | DFR | % | 25.08 | 21.47 | 23.29 | 18.46 | |
environmentally friendly farms rate | EFFR | % | 30.63 | 20.81 | 29.80 | 20.34 | |
direct marketing | DM | persons | 3.57 | 5.92 | 3.30 | 3.35 | |
breakdown | farmers gate | FG | persons | 1.34 | 3.89 | 0.59 | 1.22 |
farmers market | FM | persons | 1.39 | 2.29 | 1.18 | 1.78 | |
farming experience | FE | persons | 0.11 | 0.43 | 0.08 | 0.34 | |
agritourism | AT | persons | 0.15 | 0.63 | 0.07 | 0.43 | |
environmentally friendly practice | EFP | persons | 4.67 | 5.90 | 4.62 | 4.48 | |
breakdown | manure management | MM | persons | 2.48 | 3.53 | 2.54 | 2.87 |
pesticides | PS | persons | 3.65 | 4.78 | 3.48 | 3.51 | |
chemical fertilizer | CF | persons | 2.31 | 3.98 | 2.22 | 3.04 | |
high sales rate | HSR | % | 15.38 | 19.19 | 6.34 | 11.37 | |
large farm rate | LFR | % | 16.80 | 18.14 | 6.90 | 9.74 | |
plowed field | PF | dummy | 0.59 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 0.21 | |
agricultural diversification rate | ADR | % | 4.47 | 7.74 | 4.37 | 7.42 | |
vegetable farmer rate | VFR | % | 25.12 | 29.12 | 13.00 | 21.88 | |
fruit farmer rate | FFR | % | 6.61 | 16.24 | 3.07 | 12.07 | |
flower farmer rate | FLFR | % | 4.32 | 11.11 | 1.74 | 7.92 |
Variables | DFR | EFFR | No. Farmers | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DM | Breakdown | FE | AT | EFP | Breakdown | ||||||
FG | FM | MM | PS | CF | |||||||
intercept | 11.116 *** | 17.821 *** | 0.502 *** | −1.389 *** | −0.639 *** | −4.408 *** | −3.666 *** | 0.747 *** | −0.688 *** | 0.615 *** | 0.062 ** |
urban sprawl index | −0.433 *** | −0.112 | −0.050 *** | −0.037 *** | −0.056 *** | −0.106 *** | −0.078 *** | −0.038 *** | −0.047 *** | −0.033 *** | −0.034 *** |
distance | −0.302 *** | −0.315 *** | −0.049 *** | −0.078 *** | −0.039 *** | −0.152 *** | −0.011 | −0.021 *** | −0.009 *** | −0.023 *** | −0.015 *** |
Urban sprawl index*distance | −0.044 *** | 0.000 | −0.003 *** | −0.003 ** | −0.003 *** | −0.011 * | −0.002 | 0.000 | −0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 |
population | 7.299 *** | 2.265 *** | 0.174 *** | 0.151 *** | −0.009 | 0.274 *** | 0.254 *** | 0.121 *** | 0.145 *** | 0.130 *** | 0.152 *** |
road | 0.597 *** | 0.278 *** | 0.028 *** | 0.051 *** | 0.012 *** | 0.044 *** | 0.018 ** | 0.017 *** | 0.024 *** | 0.019 *** | 0.014 *** |
HSR | −0.063 *** | 0.110 *** | 0.000 | 0.006 *** | −0.003 *** | −0.004 * | 0.005 ** | 0.005 *** | 0.009 *** | 0.004 *** | 0.007 *** |
LFR | −0.068 *** | 0.097 *** | −0.002 *** | 0.000 | −0.001 | 0.001 | −0.006 ** | 0.007 *** | 0.008 *** | 0.006 *** | 0.008 *** |
PF | −0.647 | −4.521 *** | −0.103 ** | 0.074 | 0.334 *** | 1.052 *** | 0.755 *** | −0.146 *** | 0.295 *** | −0.306 *** | −0.254 *** |
ADR | 0.401 *** | 0.137 *** | 0.015 *** | 0.014 *** | 0.023 *** | 0.019 *** | 0.022 *** | 0.008 *** | 0.014 *** | 0.007 *** | 0.007 *** |
VFR | 0.105 *** | 0.254 *** | 0.007 *** | 0.010 *** | 0.012 *** | 0.009 *** | 0.010 *** | 0.010 *** | 0.014 *** | 0.010 *** | 0.011 *** |
FFR | 0.409 *** | 0.242 *** | 0.015 *** | 0.025 *** | 0.011 *** | 0.012 *** | 0.029 *** | 0.011 *** | 0.012 *** | 0.012 *** | 0.013 *** |
FLFR | 0.057 ** | 0.022 | 0.007 *** | 0.01 *** | 0.013 *** | 0.011 *** | 0.014 *** | 0.006 *** | 0.010 *** | 0.004 *** | 0.004 *** |
R square | 0.3875 | 0.2472 | ☐ | ☐ | ☐ | ☐ | ☐ | ☐ | ☐ | ☐ | ☐ |
Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) | ☐ | 37,453 | 21,344 | 22,625 | 3998 | 5313 | 40,302 | 27,925 | 35,891 | 29,276 |
Variables | DFR | EFFR | Number of Farmers | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DM | Breakdown | FE | AT | EFP | Breakdown | ||||||
FG | FM | MM | PS | CF | |||||||
intercept | 16.100 *** | 23.070 *** | 0.935 *** | −1.224 *** | −0.324 *** | −3.563 *** | −3.747 *** | 1.359 *** | 0.490 *** | 1.046 *** | 0.663 *** |
urban sprawl index | −0.154 | −0.160 *** | −0.038 *** | −0.048 *** | −0.049 *** | −0.167 *** | −0.079 *** | −0.037 *** | −0.050 *** | −0.033 *** | −0.034 *** |
distance | −0.451 *** | 0.252 *** | −0.031 *** | −0.022 *** | −0.03 *** | −0.140 *** | −0.047 *** | 0.001 | 0.011 *** | −0.010 *** | −0.011 *** |
urban sprawl index*distance | −0.028 * | 0.020 | 0.001 ** | 0.003 ** | −0.001 | −0.008 | −0.001 | 0.004 *** | 0.003 *** | 0.004 *** | 0.004 *** |
population | 2.021 * | 2.373 * | −0.008 | 0.306 *** | −0.134 ** | 0.263 * | −0.334 | 0.004 | 0.023 | 0.052 | −0.018 |
road | −0.082 | 0.041 | 0.015 *** | 0.025 *** | 0.004 | 0.045 *** | 0.055 *** | 0.018 *** | 0.016 *** | 0.017 *** | 0.018 *** |
HSR | −0.083 ** | 0.185 *** | −0.001 | 0.000 | −0.001 | 0.006 | 0.005 | 0.008 *** | 0.010 *** | 0.008 *** | 0.009 *** |
LFR | 0.123 *** | 0.216 *** | 0.001 | 0.009 *** | 0.003 * | 0.003 | 0.027 *** | 0.004 *** | 0.003 ** | 0.005 *** | 0.008 *** |
PF | 9.239 *** | −0.224 | 0.034 | 0.092 | 0.175 ** | −0.125 | −0.345 | −0.464 *** | −0.640 *** | −0.241 *** | −0.118 ** |
ADR | 0.490 *** | 0.204 *** | 0.018 *** | 0.02 *** | 0.032 *** | 0.019 *** | 0.024 *** | 0.004 *** | 0.008 *** | 0.006 *** | 0.005 *** |
VFR | 0.047 *** | 0.159 *** | 0.002 *** | 0.006 *** | 0.010 *** | 0.009 *** | 0.006 * | 0.007 *** | 0.014 *** | 0.004 *** | 0.005 *** |
FFR | 0.292 *** | 0.194 *** | 0.009 *** | 0.024 *** | 0.014 *** | 0.008 ** | 0.039 *** | 0.007 *** | 0.007 *** | 0.006 *** | 0.005 *** |
FLFR | 0.012 | −0.129 *** | 0.000 | −0.001 | 0.01 *** | 0.016 *** | 0.014 ** | −0.003 *** | −0.002 | −0.005 *** | −0.005 *** |
R square | 0.1398 | 0.1000 | ☐ | ☐ | ☐ | ☐ | ☐ | ☐ | ☐ | ☐ | ☐ |
AIC | ☐ | 22,420 | 9033.6 | 13,539 | 2413 | 2072.6 | 26,403 | 19,236 | 23,132 | 20,313 |
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Yoshida, S. Effects of Urbanization on Farmland Size and Diversified Farm Activities in Japan: An Analysis Based on the Land Parcel Database. Land 2020, 9, 315. https://doi.org/10.3390/land9090315
Yoshida S. Effects of Urbanization on Farmland Size and Diversified Farm Activities in Japan: An Analysis Based on the Land Parcel Database. Land. 2020; 9(9):315. https://doi.org/10.3390/land9090315
Chicago/Turabian StyleYoshida, Shingo. 2020. "Effects of Urbanization on Farmland Size and Diversified Farm Activities in Japan: An Analysis Based on the Land Parcel Database" Land 9, no. 9: 315. https://doi.org/10.3390/land9090315
APA StyleYoshida, S. (2020). Effects of Urbanization on Farmland Size and Diversified Farm Activities in Japan: An Analysis Based on the Land Parcel Database. Land, 9(9), 315. https://doi.org/10.3390/land9090315