Arable Land Abandonment and Land Use/Land Cover Change in Southeastern South Africa
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Areas
2.2. Data Collection
2.3. Data Analysis
- I.
- Satellite Imagery Preparation
- II.
- Study Area Definition
- III.
- Training Data Preparation
- IV.
- Classification
- V.
- Ground Truth Data Collection
- VI.
- Accuracy Assessment
3. Results
3.1. LULC in the Four Villages
3.2. Proportion of LULC Transition
3.3. Household Demographics and Impact of Field Abandonment on Household Economic Status
3.4. Effects on Social Relations, Culture, and Identity
4. Discussion
4.1. Abandonment of Arable Fields and Home Gardens
4.2. Expansion of Grasslands
4.3. Expansion of Shrublands
4.4. Expansion of Residential Areas
4.5. Household Economic Status in the Absence of Field Cultivation
Dependence on Social Grants
4.6. Social Consequences Within Households
4.6.1. Social Connections Between Households
4.6.2. Cultural Consequences
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Variable | Gotyib | Manqor | Mawane | Melani |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latitude | −31.467715° | −30.437159° | −30.661973° | −32.722392° |
| Longitude | 28.850192° | 29.651365° | 29.754546° | 26.869953° |
| Altitude (m) | 984 | 1169 | 904 | 601 |
| Village area (ha) | 369.1 | 573.8 | 556.5 | 241.0 |
| Village population | 753 2 | 608 2 | 1090 2 | 783 2 |
| Number of households | 155 | 111 | 220 | 279 |
| Population group | Black African 2 | Black African 2 | Black African 2 | Black African 2 |
| First language spoken | IsiXhosa 3 | IsiZulu 3 | IsiZulu 3 | IsiXhosa 3 |
| Average household size (persons) | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Unemployment rate (%) | 46 | 63 | 56 | 59 |
| Mean temp | ||||
| Max (°C) | 20 1 | 18 5 | 25 4 | 23 1 |
| Min (°C) | 13 1 | −1 5 | 0.6 4 | 10.97 1 |
| Mean Annual rainfall (mm) | 1044 1 | 850 5 | 800 4 | 500 1 |
| Vegetation | Themeda triandra grassland 1 | Grassland with scattered areas of scarp forest 1. | Drakensberg foothill grassland 1 | Open savannas dominated by Vachellia bush clumps or individuals 1 |
| Village | Imagery Date | Path | Row | SPACECRAFT_ID |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gotyibeni | 06/05/2013 | 169 | 82 | L7_ETM |
| 17/05/2022 | 169 | 82 | LANDSAT_8 | |
| Manqorholweni | 27/05/2006 | 169 | 81 | L5_TM |
| 21/10/2016 | 169 | 81 | L7_ETM | |
| 08/03/2023 | 169 | 81 | LANDSAT_9 | |
| Mawane | 25/09/2006 | 168 | 81 | L5_TM |
| 21/10/2016 | 168 | 81 | L7_ETM | |
| 18/10/2023 | 168 | 81 | LANDSAT_9 | |
| Melani | 12/12/2000 | 170 | 83 | L5_TM |
| 27/04/2013 | 170 | 83 | L7_ETM | |
| 10/04/2023 | 170 | 83 | LANDSAT_9 |
| Village | Year | User_Accuracy (%) | Kappa Coefficient (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gotyibeni | 2013 | 89 | 86 |
| 2022 | 96 | 95 | |
| Manqorholweni | 2006 | 89 | 84 |
| 2016 | 85 | 79 | |
| 2023 | 85 | 75 | |
| Mawane | 2006 | 91 | 88 |
| 2016 | 90 | 87 | |
| 2023 | 90 | 87 | |
| Melani | 2000 | 87 | 81 |
| 2013 | 89 | 85 | |
| 2022 | 99 | 98 |
| Gotyibeni | Manqorholweni | Mawane | Melani | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LULC Class | 2013 (ha) | 2022 (ha) | Change (ha) | 2006 (ha) | 2016 (ha) | 2023 (ha) | Change (2006–2016) (ha) | Change (2016–2023) (ha) | Change (2006–2023) (ha) | 2006 (ha) | 2016 (ha) | 2023 (ha) | Change (2006–2016) (ha) | Change (2016–2023) (ha) | Change (2006–2023) (ha) | 2000 (ha) | 2013 (ha) | 2022 (ha) | Change (2000–2013) (ha) | Change (2013–2022) (ha) | Change (2000–2022) (ha) |
| Arable fields | 142.9 | 98.9 | −44.0 | 225.5 | 173.6 | 36.9 | −51.9 | −136.7 | −188.6 | 238.6 | 132.8 | 64.5 | −105.8 | −68.4 | −174.1 | 161.7 | 141.1 | 58.3 | −20.6 | −82.8 | −103.4 |
| Residential | 10.4 | 18.0 | 7.6 | 37.1 | 69.9 | 73.0 | 32.8 | 3.1 | 35.9 | 6.9 | 31.5 | 40.8 | 24.6 | 9.3 | 33.9 | 8.7 | 9.8 | 10.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.4 |
| Homestead gardens | 23.8 | 12.0 | −11.8 | 16.6 | 14.0 | 10.1 | −2.6 | −3.8 | −6.5 | 5.9 | 21.6 | 28.2 | 15.6 | 6.6 | 22.3 | 8.2 | 2.1 | 1.3 | −6.1 | −0.8 | −6.9 |
| Grasslands | 137.9 | 170.5 | 32.6 | 261.8 | 266.4 | 390.6 | 4.7 | 124.2 | 128.8 | 226.4 | 298.9 | 320.7 | 60.3 | 21.8 | 94.3 | 50.8 | 66.7 | 127.2 | 15.9 | 60.5 | 76.4 |
| Shrubs | 54.1 | 69.7 | 15.6 | 32.8 | 49.9 | 63.1 | 17.1 | 13.2 | 30.3 | 78.6 | 71.8 | 102.4 | −6.8 | 30.7 | 23.8 | 11.6 | 21.3 | 44.1 | 9.7 | 22.8 | 32.5 |
| Gotyibeni | Manqorholweni | Mawane | Melani | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LULC Class | 2013 (%) | 2022 (%) | Change (%) | 2006 (%) | 2016 (%) | 2023 (%) | Change (2006–2016) (%) | Change (2016–2023) (%) | Change (2006–2023) (%) | 2006 (%) | 2016 (%) | 2023 (%) | Change (2006–2016) (%) | Change (2016–2023) (%) | Change (2006–2023) (%) | 2000 (%) | 2013 (%) | 2022 (%) | Change (2000–2013) (%) | Change (2013–2022) (%) | Change (2000–2022) (%) |
| Arable fields | 39 | 27 | −12 | 39 | 30 | 6 | −9 | −29 | −33 | 43 | 24 | 12 | −19 | −12 | −31 | 67 | 59 | 24 | −9 | −34 | 43 |
| Residential | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 0.5 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| Homestead gardens | 6 | 3 | −3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | −0.5 | −0.7 | −1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | −3 | −0.3 | 3 |
| Grasslands | 37 | 46 | 9 | 46 | 47 | 68 | 0.8 | 22 | 22 | 41 | 54 | 58 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 27 | 53 | 7 | 25 | 32 |
| Shrubs | 15 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 18 | −1 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| Gotyibeni | Manqorholweni | Mawane | Melani | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R∆ (2013–2022) | R∆ (2006–2016) | R∆ (2016–2023) | R∆ (2006–2023) | R∆ (2006–2016) | R∆ (2016–2023) | R∆ (2006–2023) | R∆ (2000–2013) | R∆ (2013–2022) | R∆ (2000–2022) | |||||||||||
| LULC Class | ha/year | %/year | ha/year | %/year | ha/year | %/year | ha/year | %/year | ha/year | %/year | ha/year | %/year | ha/year | %/year | ha/year | %/year | ha/year | %/year | ha/year | %/year |
| Arable fields | −4.9 | −1.3 | −5.2 | −0.9 | −19.5 | −4.1 | −11.1 | −1.9 | −10.6 | −1.9 | −9.8 | −1.7 | −10.2 | −1.8 | −1.6 | 0.7 | −9.2 | −3.8 | −4.7 | −2.0 |
| Residential | 0.8 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.1 | 0.03 |
| Homestead gardens | −1.3 | −0.3 | −0.3 | −0.1 | −0.5 | −0.1 | −0.4 | −0.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | −0.5 | 0.2 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.3 | 0.1 |
| Grasslands | 3.6 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 17.7 | 3.1 | 7.6 | 1.3 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 5.5 | 1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 6.72 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| Shrublands | −3.9 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 0.1 | −0.7 | −0.1 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.53 | 1 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| LULC Class | Gotyibeni | Manqorholweni | Mawane | Melani | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Period | 2013–2023 | 2006–2016 | 2016–2023 | 2006–2016 | 2016–2023 | 2000–2013 | 2013–2022 |
| Unchanged arable land | 39 | 88 | 53 | 63 | 67 | 77 | 24 |
| Arable land to residential | 2 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 2 |
| Arable land to gardens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| Arable land to grasslands | 24 | 5 | 42 | 23 | 15 | 23 | 48 |
| Arable land to shrubland | 35 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 26 |
| Proportion of Respondents per Village % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Attribute | Non-Cropping Households | |||||
| Gotyib (n = 21) | Manqor (n = 28) | Mawane (n = 25) | Melani (n = 23) | Mean | ||
| Gender | Male | 48 | 21 | 12 | 35 | 29 |
| Female | 52 | 79 | 88 | 65 | 71 | |
| Age category (Years) | ≤25 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 26–35 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 9 | |
| 36–45 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 11 | |
| 46–55 | 19 | 25 | 32 | 13 | 23 | |
| >55 | 57 | 54 | 36 | 57 | 51 | |
| Highest education | None | 10 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 8 |
| Primary | 24 | 64 | 56 | 44 | 47 | |
| Secondary | 64 | 32 | 24 | 48 | 42 | |
| Tertiary | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 3 | |
| Employment status | Unemployment | 46 | 63 | 56 | 59 | 56 |
| Off-farm | 90 | 79 | 92 | 92 | 88 | |
| On-farm | 10 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 12 | |
| HH main source of income | Social grants | 60 a | 80 a | 87 a | 70 a | 74 |
| Off-farm employment | 35 a | 8 b | 13 b | 13 b | 17 | |
| Remittances | 5 a | 8 a | 0 a | 0 a | 3 | |
| Off-farm self-employment | 0 a | 0 a | 0 a | 13 a | 3 | |
| Household cash income enough | No | 95 b | 93 b | 96 b | 91 b | 94 |
| HH economic status after field abandonment | Less stable | 95 a | 96 a | 100 a | 96 a | 97 |
| Stable | 0 a | 4 a | 0 a | 0 a | 1 | |
| More stable | 5 a | 0 a | 0 a | 4 a | 2 | |
| Home garden cultivation | Has a garden | 86 a | 79 a | 80 a | 61 a | 77 |
| Variable | Proportion of Respondent’s Responses (%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gotyib (n = 21) | Manqor (n = 28) | Mawane (n = 25) | Melani (n = 23) | Mean | SD | |
| Has field abandonment affected social relations within-household | 86 a | 86 a | 84 a | 70 a | 82 | 7.7 |
| Has field abandonment affected power relations within households | 67 a | 57 a | 64 a | 91 b | 70 | 14.8 |
| Has field abandonment affected social relations between-households | 81 a | 57 b | 64 b | 78 a | 70 | 11.4 |
| Has field abandonment affected membership in community groups | 86 a,b | 68 b | 72 a,b | 96 a | 81 | 12.9 |
| Has field abandonment affected cultivation as part of culture and identity | 91 a | 78 a | 80 a | 87 a | 84 | 5.9 |
| Has field abandonment affected people’s connection to the land | 57 a | 64 a | 60 a | 78 a | 65 | 9.3 |
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Share and Cite
Pokwana, S.; Shackleton, C.M. Arable Land Abandonment and Land Use/Land Cover Change in Southeastern South Africa. Land 2025, 14, 2156. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14112156
Pokwana S, Shackleton CM. Arable Land Abandonment and Land Use/Land Cover Change in Southeastern South Africa. Land. 2025; 14(11):2156. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14112156
Chicago/Turabian StylePokwana, Sihle, and Charlie M. Shackleton. 2025. "Arable Land Abandonment and Land Use/Land Cover Change in Southeastern South Africa" Land 14, no. 11: 2156. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14112156
APA StylePokwana, S., & Shackleton, C. M. (2025). Arable Land Abandonment and Land Use/Land Cover Change in Southeastern South Africa. Land, 14(11), 2156. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14112156

