1. Introduction
Precise knowledge of the thermophysical properties of seawater is essential for the accurate evaluation of seawater-based desalination operations and the optimisation of the design of desalination plants. Minor errors in estimates of these properties can lead to significant errors in determining the size of the required equipment and calculated energy consumption. The seawater thermophysical properties of boiling point, density, enthalpy, entropy, Gibbs energy, isothermal compressibility, osmotic pressure, specific heat capacity, thermal conductivity, thermal expansion at constant pressure, vapour pressure, and viscosity are all required inputs for thermal desalination processes and membrane-based systems [
1,
2]. These properties vary significantly with local pressure, salinity, and temperature, influencing essential processes including heat and mass transfer, fluid flow characteristics, and thermodynamic behaviour, each of which affects the system’s efficiency, economic viability, and environmental footprint. With thermal desalination, such parameters as specific heat capacity and latent heat of vapourisation are critical for determining thermal energy requirements and rates of steam generation. However, the power consumption and efficiency of membrane-based processes depend on osmotic pressure and viscosity [
3,
4]. Research suggests that a 2–3% error in, for example, specific heat capacity can, over the operational lifespan of a large-scale facility processing hundreds of thousands of cubic meters of seawater daily, result in millions of dollars in misestimated fuel costs. Density and boiling-point elevation also play crucial roles in the performance of distillation systems, and their variations can significantly affect efficiency and operational outcomes. Differences of 5–10% in the thermophysical properties of pure water and seawater can significantly affect system design [
5]. The thermophysical properties of seawater have been measured many times both experimentally and analytically. McManus et al. [
6] pioneered the use of direct measurement, determining mathematical relations for the quantification of salinity in saline systems. Jellison et al. [
7] adopted the same methodology for conductivity and density in hypersaline brine solutions, and by Vollmer et al. [
8] for assessing the properties of lacustrine saline environments. Such empirical and semi-empirical correlation-based approaches have demonstrated considerable efficacy in predicting thermophysical properties for the operation of desalination plants. Seawater thermophysical behaviour is fundamentally dictated by two principal state variables—temperature and salinity concentration—which collectively define subsidiary transport and thermal properties under atmospheric pressure conditions. Consequently, systematic temperature–salinity parametric frameworks have been formulated by investigators for predictive property characterisation. Millero et al. [
9] proposed a normalised salinity representation expressed as mass fraction (g/kg), whereas comprehensive investigations of the seawater equation of state have employed regression analysis methodologies applied to empirical datasets [
10], generating predictive constitutive relationships valid within the salinity domain of 2 to 42 g/kg. Researchers have proposed numerous methods for characterising seawater properties similar to those used for pure water. Wagner and Prub [
11] introduced an approach utilising the Gibbs equation as the fundamental equation of state, which was theoretically derived and calibrated using experimental measurements. This framework subsequently enabled the calculation of various thermophysical properties of seawater. Over recent decades, multiple thermodynamic equations for seawater have emerged based on equations of state and related formulations. The International Equation of State of Seawater (IES-80) [
12] was established in 1980 as a standard reference. Two decades later, in 2010, the Thermodynamic Equation of Seawater (TEOS-10) was developed to improve the accuracy of calculations of seawater’s thermodynamic properties [
13]. This formulation integrates the reference-composition salinity framework and adopts the ITS-90 temperature standard. The TEOS-10 was officially endorsed as an international standard by the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) in 2009 and is applicable over extended operating ranges, including temperatures from −6 to 40 °C, salinities up to 42 g/kg, and pressures from 0 to 100 MPa, which makes it particularly well-suited for oceanographic applications. The latest international standard, IAPWS-2013 (Advisory Note No. 5), developed by Kretzschmar and colleagues [
14] under the International Association for the Properties of Water and Steam, provides seawater thermodynamic properties across temperature ranges up to 80 °C and salinity up to 120 g/kg, relevant for thermal and membrane desalination applications. Sharqawy et al. [
1] performed an extensive review, comparing existing correlations with the IAPWS 2008 formulation, and developed new best-fit correlations for properties including density, viscosity, surface tension, boiling point elevation, enthalpy, entropy, and osmotic coefficient. These correlations were standardised to the ITS-90 temperature scale and reference-composition salinity scales, covering temperatures from 0–120 °C and salinities from 0–120 g/kg. Nayar et al. extended these correlations to include pressure dependence up to 12 MPa for the desalination range (10–120 °C, 0–120 g/kg salinity), developing relationships for density, enthalpy, and entropy [
2]. Accurate property correlations underpin exergy analysis and second-law efficiency computations, allowing for the pinpointing of irreversible thermodynamic processes and the formulation of strategies to minimise energy dissipation [
15,
16]. Standardised and dependable property correlations facilitate equitable techno-economic evaluations among alternative desalination technologies, support adherence to regulatory frameworks for energy documentation, and establish the basis for precise greenhouse gas emission quantification within the framework of international sustainability objectives [
17,
18].
Despite their indispensability, these properties pose an ongoing challenge for researchers and engineering practitioners. Whereas abundant experimental and empirical information on seawater thermophysical characteristics has been documented, only a select few references deliver integrated coverage of the entire spectrum of properties. Compounding this challenge, marked disparities are evident among reported correlations in the literature, most notably at the extreme temperature and salinity conditions encountered in advanced desalination processes [
18,
19].
Here, we focus on using AI techniques to establish correlations for those thermodynamic properties of seawater necessary for exergy calculations. The exergy variations determined are then compared with and validated using measured thermodynamic data for real seawater. In addition, we perform an exergy-based assessment inspired by a recently commissioned large MED-TVC desalination plant in Kuwait.
2. AI-Enhanced Methodology
This research uses AI techniques to produce new and more simple empirical correlations between those thermophysical properties of seawater density, enthalpy, and entropy that are the most useful for exergy calculations under conditions relevant to desalination and power generation systems. The primary AI tool was symbolic regression, implemented using the Eureqa software (version 1.24). This was enhanced by machine learning techniques, such as genetic programming and/or regression-based neural networks, that were trained on experimental data gathered from an extensive literature review and then compared with existing empirical models [
20,
21]. While these AI techniques enable the development of accurate and simplified correlations, they also have limitations, including longer training times, sensitivity to data quality, and the need for careful parameter tuning. These factors are considered when designing the workflow to ensure an optimal balance between predictive accuracy and computational efficiency. The AI models developed here analysed input data using functional relationships to determine optimal relationships between the properties of seawater and its temperature, salinity, and pressure. These models had the benefits of providing accurate results with reduced complexity and fewer variables. This approach enables rapid evaluation but may overfit and reduce interpretability. We mitigate these risks by restricting use to the validated domain and reporting residual-based error. The total dataset consisted of over 5000 samples spanning the full stated operational ranges of temperature, salinity, and pressure. The majority of the data were generated using validated thermodynamic models to ensure systematic coverage across the operational domain, and experimental measurements from peer-reviewed literature were used to validate model accuracy. Of the total samples, 10% were held for validation, 10% were used for testing, and the remaining 80% were used for training. The remaining samples were used for training and validation. The Eureqa shuffled the dataset before splitting to reduce ordering bias and mitigate overfitting. The primary goal is to achieve high predictive accuracy across the operational range while ensuring mathematical simplicity for practical engineering applications. Model performance was assessed using statistical measures like the coefficient of determination (
R2) (1), root mean square error (
RMSE) (2), and mean absolute error (
MAE) (3). These indicators are expressed, respectively, as follows:
The developed AI-based correlations underwent thorough validation using independent data to verify their accuracy, dependability, and enhanced predictive capabilities relative to conventional, more intricate formulations reported in existing literature.
Figure 1 delineates the computational framework and procedural workflow of the AI-based model development strategy implemented for establishing the simplified empirical correlations of seawater thermophysical properties. The workflow began with data collection from the literature, followed by preprocessing to ensure data quality. The AI model development employed symbolic regression algorithms to generate preliminary correlations, which underwent performance evaluation using statistical metrics (
R2,
RMSE, and
MAE) and validation against independent datasets. A decision node assessed prediction accuracy: if unacceptable, parameters were adjusted and the model was retrained; if acceptable, an iterative optimisation cycle balanced accuracy maintenance with complexity reduction through systematic simplification. The process concluded when the optimised correlations achieved target performance, yielding final equations suitable for engineering applications in desalination and power systems.
4. Exergetic Analysis
Exergy represents the maximum useful work extractable when bringing a system from its current state to equilibrium with the environment, known as the dead state—where exergy equals zero. This equilibrium encompasses three aspects: thermal, mechanical, and chemical. Unlike energy, exergy is not conserved; it is continuously destroyed by irreversibilities within thermal processes. As an extensive property (similar to mass, energy, and entropy), exergy analysis applies both the first and second laws of thermodynamics to identify and quantify inefficiency sources in energy systems. The general exergy balance equation is given by
Equation (27) expresses that exergy accumulation within a control volume equals net exergy inputs (via mass, heat, and work) minus exergy destruction. At steady state, this becomes Equation (28):
where
and
denote the inlet and outlet exergy flows, respectively, and
and
represent the exergy transfers due to heat and work, respectively. However, in the absence of nuclear reaction, surface tension, magnetism, and electricity, the total exergy consists of four components: physical (
), chemical (
), kinetic (
), and potential (
). The exergy balance of a system is given by
The physical exergy component corresponds to purely physical phenomena involving mechanical and thermal exergy contributions and can be mathematically expressed as
The chemical exergy quantifies the maximum useful energy available when mass flows equilibrate from an environmental state to the dead state, attributable to disparities in molecular composition and concentration. For saline water systems, chemical exergy is mathematically represented as follows:
In this study, kinetic and potential exergies—which arise from the ordered motion and elevation of fluid particles, respectively—are considered negligible for all streams. Therefore, they have been excluded from the exergy analysis owing to their insignificant contribution.
Minimising the work required to separate salt from saline water is a primary objective in desalination research. Under steady-flow adiabatic conditions, the minimum separation work can be determined using the following relationship:
Exergetic efficiency evaluates thermal plant performance thermodynamically, requiring specification of product and fuel due to energy quality dependence in exergy analysis. In desalination, it is the ratio of the minimum separation work (product exergy) to the total energy input (fuel exergy) supplied and is given by the expression
For all components of the system, the exergy outflow rate is lower than the inflow rate because of exergy destruction and exergy losses. Under steady-state conditions, these quantities are related as follows:
where
and
denote the rates of exergy destruction and exergy loss, respectively.
Table 5 illustrates the exergy rates of fuel (
), product (
), and destruction (
), together with the exergetic efficiency of the major components in the MED-TVC system during steady-state operation.
Exergy analysis offers superior diagnostic capabilities for evaluating energy systems, with accurate thermodynamic diagnosis serving as the necessary precondition for effective process improvement [
32].
Figure 10 presents a schematic representation derived from the advanced thermal vapour compression multiple-effect distillation (TVC-MED) facility at Az Zour North Phase 1, located in Kuwait. This desalination installation, situated approximately 100 km south of Kuwait City in the vicinity of the existing Az-Zour South power infrastructure, comprises ten MED units with a combined production capacity of 486,500 m
3/day (107 MIGD), where each individual unit generates 10.84 MIGD. The multi-effect distillation unit is augmented with thermal vapour compression (TVC) technology, as shown in
Figure 10, to optimise system performance and production output. Thermo-compressors (steam ejectors) are integrated into the MED process to capture waste heat prior to its rejection through the condenser to the marine environment. High-pressure motive steam entrains a portion of the vapour stream from the fifth effect, and this compressed mixture is directed to the first MED effect as the heating medium. Consequently, the specific steam consumption is significantly reduced, thereby enhancing overall plant thermal efficiency.
Table 6 presents the eight effects that constitute a single complete block.
The present study conducts a comprehensive exergetic performance analysis of this facility. Before the assessment of the plant performance, a preliminary evaluation was undertaken to validate novel correlations for determining the thermodynamic properties of seawater, with a particular emphasis on comparative analysis against established correlations reported in the literature, specifically, those developed by Nayar et al. [
2] and Sharqawy et al. [
26] as shown in
Table 7. The seawater entering the desalination unit has a temperature of 306 K, a pressure of 1.01 bar, and a salinity (dissolved solids content,
) of 47,500 parts per million (PPM). These values represent the environmental and initial (“dead state”) reference conditions.
Table 7 presents the thermodynamic characteristics at various points within the TVC-MED system, comparing results from Sharqawy et al. [
26] and Nayar et al. [
2] and calculations based on the present work. The discrepancies between Sharqawy et al.’s results and those of both Nayar et al. and the present study are primarily due to the incorporation of pressure effects in the more recent correlations, as Sharqawy et al.’s formulations were developed without considering pressure dependency, which becomes important in desalination systems operating at elevated pressures.
The correlations developed in this work show strong agreement with Nayar et al.’s well-established formulations, with variations typically remaining below 5% across most system locations.
Particularly good consistency is observed in specific entropy values, with maximum variations of approximately 3.82% at point 2 and less than 1% at the majority of the measurement points. This close correspondence validates the reliability of the newly developed AI-based correlations while providing reduced computational complexity compared to the more elaborate formulations of Nayar et al. The simplified methodology maintains high accuracy without compromising precision, which makes it well suited for practical engineering calculations in desalination system analysis.
The small variations between Nayar et al. and the present work, especially at critical locations such as ejector inlets and evaporator stages, confirm that the new correlations successfully capture the essential thermodynamic behaviour without the mathematical complexity of previous models. This combination of simplicity and accuracy provides a substantial benefit for iterative design calculations and optimisation studies in thermal desalination systems.
Table 8 presents a comprehensive summary of the exergy analysis results for the TVC-MED desalination unit, comparing values obtained from Sharqawy et al. [
26] and Nayar et al. [
2] and the present work’s calculations. The table encompasses various exergy parameters including heating steam exergy input, pump input exergy, minimum separation work, and exergy destruction across different system components such as ejectors, evaporators, cooling process, and disposal streams.
The results from Sharqawy et al. [
26] show close agreement with both Nayar et al. [
2] and the present work, despite their correlations not accounting for pressure effects. This consistency can be attributed to the fact that thermal desalination systems operate predominantly at low pressures, where pressure dependency has a minimal impact on thermodynamic property calculations. Consequently, the inclusion or exclusion of pressure effects does not significantly alter the exergy analysis outcomes in low-pressure thermal desalination applications. This contrasts with membrane desalination processes, such as reverse osmosis, where the effect of pressure is essential due to operation at high pressures (typically 50–80 bar), which makes pressure-dependent correlations critical for accurate thermodynamic and exergy analysis.
The exergetic efficiency of the unit ranges from approximately 8.514% to 8.986% across the three calculation methods, which is consistent with the results reported for thermal desalination units in the literature. The nature of the thermal desalination process involves evaporation and condensation, and this is the primary reason for the relatively poor exergetic performance. Phase change operations are fundamentally irreversible, generating significant entropy through heat transfer across finite temperature differences. Operating at sub-atmospheric pressures further increases the latent heat requirements per unit mass of distillate. Thermal desalination uses large amounts of heat energy to perform a separation task that theoretically requires minimal work. The actual energy input (30+ MW) far exceeds the minimum separation work (2.7–2.8 MW), with most energy lost through phase transitions, resulting in efficiencies below 10%.
The results indicate that the highest sources of irreversibilities within the desalination unit are found in the evaporators (17.783 MW and 17.881 MW) and the ejectors, with the primary ejector destroying 1.831 MW and the secondary ejector destroying approximately 1.52 MW across all calculations. The evaporators dominate due to finite-temperature-difference heat transfer and phase change irreversibilities while processing the majority of system thermal energy. The ejectors’ exergy destruction arises from three factors: spontaneous irreversible mixing between entrained vapour and motive steam, complex aerodynamic losses across different geometric sections (nozzle, throat, and diffuser), and the degradation of high-grade motive steam energy during the compression process.
The comparison among all three calculation methods reveals excellent agreement across most parameters. The exergetic efficiency shows only minor variations, with a maximum difference of approximately 5.5% between Sharqawy et al. and the present work. The total exergy destruction demonstrates remarkable consistency, with differences less than 4% across all three approaches. Overall, the results are nearly identical, confirming the consistency and reliability of all calculation methods. These variations can be attributed to the differences in thermodynamic property correlations, modelling assumptions, and calculation methodologies employed in each study. Nevertheless, the close agreement validates the worthiness of the new correlations despite their simplicity, with no major changes observed in the overall exergy analysis outcomes.