Applicability of the HC-SURF Dual Drainage Model for Urban Flood Forecasting: A Quantitative Comparison with PC-SWMM and InfoWorks ICM

This study evaluated the applicability of the dual drainage model, Hyper Connected–Solution for Urban Flood (HC-SURF), for real-time urban flood forecasting. The model was applied to the extreme rainfall event of August 2022 in the Sillim and Daerim drainage basins in Seoul. Its accuracy and computational efficiency were quantitatively compared with those of two widely used commercial models, the Personal Computer Storm Water Management Model (PC-SWMM) and InfoWorks Integrated Catchment Modelling (ICM). Accuracy was assessed by measuring spatial agreement with observed inundation trace maps using binary indicators, including the Critical Success Index (CSI), Probability of Detection (POD), and False Alarm Ratio (FAR). Computational efficiency was evaluated by comparing simulation times under identical conditions. In terms of accuracy against observations, HC-SURF achieved CSI values ranging from 0.26 to 0.45, with POD values from 0.37 to 0.81 and FAR values from 0.49 to 0.53 across the two basins. In inter-model comparisons, the model showed high hydraulic consistency, demonstrating CSI values between 0.72 and 0.88, POD between 0.82 and 0.99, and FAR between 0.08 and 0.15. In terms of computational efficiency, HC-SURF reduced calculation times by approximately 9% and 44% compared with InfoWorks ICM and PC-SWMM, respectively, for a 48 h simulation. The model also completed a 6 h rainfall simulation in approximately 8 min, meeting the lead time requirements for rapid urban flood forecasting. Overall, these findings show that HC-SURF effectively balances simulation accuracy with computational efficiency, demonstrating its suitability for real-time urban flood forecasting.