1. Introduction
Groundwater resources are increasingly over-exploited worldwide in the headlong pursuit of economic and social benefits [
1]. It is essential to design definite strategies and guidelines for groundwater protection against contamination, particularly in areas where surface water is limited [
2]. Protecting groundwater resources from being polluted is crucial due to the high remediation cost [
3]. In this regard, groundwater vulnerability maps provide efficient tools for management and protection [
4,
5]. Several approaches exist to assess aquifer vulnerability, each considering the intrinsic properties of the aquifer, potential contamination sources, and available data. These methods can be grouped by vulnerability indices, which are dimensionless relative measures where higher values suggest greater susceptibility to contamination [
6].
Groundwater vulnerability approaches are broadly divided into three categories, including process-based simulation, overlay and index-based, and statistical methods [
7]. Among these, the GIS-based depth to water table, net recharge, aquifer media, soil media, topography, impact of vadose zone, hydraulic conductivity (DRASTIC) [
8] approach is widely recognized. However, its standard rating and weighting system may not address the specific characteristics of an aquifer that are causing variation in the contamination exposure. To address this, several scholars have continued to improve the DRASTIC framework using a range of statistical and mathematical techniques [
9,
10,
11,
12,
13]. These studies show that combining overlay and index-based methods with statistical approaches can successfully modify the vulnerability index. For example, in a recent study, Lakshminarayanan, Ramasamy [
14] coupled the biogeography-based optimization (BBO) method with Shannon entropy (SE) and stepwise weight assessment ratio analysis (SWARA) to optimize the DRASTIC index. Their results show an improvement in the vulnerability assessment in an aquifer in south India. The flexibility of the DRASTIC method leads scholars to apply different types of modification to it. The modification strategies vary from adding other physical factors, such as land use, to the original parameters [
15,
16,
17,
18] to enhancing the DRASTIC rating and weighting systems [
19,
20,
21,
22]. In a comparative study, Kirlas, Karpouzos [
18] incorporated their study area’s land use as a parameter of DRASTIC. In this way, they could consider the impact of nitrate contamination, as the water quality indicator in agricultural land, on the groundwater vulnerability assessment.
Weighting within DRASTIC can yield diverse results depending on the chosen approach [
23]. Objective methods, like entropy, assign modified weights to key features that are vital for the vulnerability assessment process [
24]. In recent decades, groundwater vulnerability studies have affirmed the effectiveness of such objective methods in assessing vulnerability [
20,
25,
26,
27,
28]. While objective weighting methods assess the modified weights of only essential features in the vulnerability assessment process, subjective weighting methods provide modified weights to all features without considering their significance [
24].
Many pollutants, such as nitrate from fertilizers, impact groundwater quality [
29]. Since nitrate is water-soluble and highly mobile, it can be an indicator of groundwater quality in agricultural lands [
30,
31]. Many scholars have used nitrate as a groundwater quality indicator to investigate the risk of groundwater contamination from the soil surface. For example, Berhe Zenebe, Hussien [
32] compared the DRASTIC and modified DRASTIC based on human activities and land use to assess groundwater vulnerability to contamination in the Elalla-Aynalem Catchment. They concluded that nitrate from fertilizers could expose the catchment to highly contaminated surface water. Javadi, Kardan Moghaddam [
33] combined the DRASTIC and numerical SEAWAT model to simulate saltwater intrusion and proposed the DRASTICSea index to investigate the vulnerability of a coastal aquifer. They used TDS and nitrate samples as water quality indicators to evaluate the results.
Although the large aquifers encompassing a number of administrative regions play a vital role in potable water supplementation, small aquifers also have specific concerns. Typically, the data for small aquifers are limited, while the risk of their pollution is higher. Moreover, the hydrological and geohydrological characteristics of aquifers that encompass a small area are usually consistent. For example, it is less likely to observe dramatic changes in the topography of a small area. In this study, we focused on a small aquifer to investigate the impact of both objective and subjective weighting methods in the vulnerability assessment of a smaller aquifer situated beneath agricultural land. The City of Yasuj in the southwest of Iran has been experiencing an increase in population in recent years, followed by growth in industrial and agricultural activities. Yasuj aquifer, a vital source of potable water in the region, is exposed to more vulnerability by overexploitation. As a result, assessing groundwater vulnerability is an essential step for protecting the groundwater resources in the region. Regarding previous studies, data availability, and limitations, the DRASTIC framework was applied and improved by combining powerful statistical techniques considering the nitrate concentration for the first time in this region.
The application of ensemble approaches for model modification can deliver superior outcomes compared to single rating or weighting methods. In the present study, we merge frequency ratio (FR), entropy, and single-parameter sensitivity analysis (SPSA) to improve the performance of the original DRASTIC framework. The FR is employed to modify the DRASTIC rates as a probabilistic-based statistical model. Entropy and the SPSA are applied for weight modification to compare an objective and subjective method, respectively. We propose the innovation of using the FR-Entropy method as a hybrid technique to use both objective and ensemble benefits simultaneously. The entire methodology is detailed in
Figure 1. The objectives of this study are: (1) to test hybrid methods for the determination of DRASTIC weights and rating scores, (2) to refine the vulnerability index for the study area using nitrate concentration data, and (3) to evaluate the contribution of the seven parameters of aquifer vulnerability through SPSA.
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area
The Yasuj plain is situated in the southwest of Iran (
Figure 2) approximately between latitude 30°35′ N to 30°45′ N and longitude 51°30′ E to 51°40′ E. While the Zagros Mountain range surrounds it, the topography of the Yasuj plain is gentle, with an average altitude of 1860 m above mean sea level. According to the Iran Meteorological Organization, the annual average temperature of the study area stands at 15.3 °C, and the total annual rainfall is estimated at 820 mm. The Yasuj aquifer, the most important aquifer of the region, covers an area of 92
.
Due to the high humidity and moist winds, the study area receives rainfall well above the average rainfall of Iran (280 mm), which results in abundant surface runoff. The most important river in the study area, the Bashar River, is one of the main streams of the Karun River. Another river, the Abshar River, originates from the northeastern Yasuj and Dena Mountain and joins the Bashar River in the south of Yasuj. According to the Kohgiluyeh and Boyer Ahmad water organizations, there are 215 exploitation wells within the Yasuj aquifer. These wells are the main sources of the drinking water supply for the Yasuj area and suburban villages.
The study area has been shaped by orogenesis activity since the late third century, leading to a gradual reduction in the density of anticlines and synclines moving from the northwest to the southwest. This study area is largely covered with Calcareous formations and Quaternary sediments that took shape in the Cenozoic Era, or even earlier. In the Yasuj plain, the aquifer medium predominantly consists of massive sandstone and basalt. This particular composition in the main region increases the potential of nitrate infiltration, given its notable permeability.
The Yasuj aquifer is made up of massive sandstone, gravel and sand, and basalt. Basalt in the southern and western parts of the region has a fine-grain nature and low porosity. This can provide some protection to certain parts of the aquifer against potential contamination due to its limited permeability. In contrast, the northern part of the aquifer is composed of highly permeable gravel and sand, making it more vulnerable to pollutants entering the water table. Moreover, the soil map of the Yasuj plain shows that the northern, northeastern, and southwestern parts of the aquifer are covered by sandy soil with well-spaced pores. As a result, contamination can move freely toward lower layers. The other components of soil media (clay, clay loam, and loam) may slightly limit the permeability of the soil layer in specific areas. Finally, the vadose zone area, predominantly filled with sand and clay, indicates a substantial leaching potential. This, combined with a high recharge rate, greatly impacts the intrinsic vulnerability of the study area.
The land use and land cover maps of the study area display prominent farmland and forest regions. According to the satellite images, over 90% of the Yasuj plain is covered by farmlands, rangelands, or forests [
34]. This extensive coverage of grassland and agricultural usage makes the plain more susceptible to increased fertilizer application and the potential for nitrate contamination.
The consistent rainfall, geohydrological characteristics, land cover, and topographical uniformity in the Yasuj plain make it suitable for agriculture. As a result, farming activities coupled with an extensive use of fertilizers have caused a noticeable increase in the nitrate concentration throughout the area.
In this research, nitrate has been used as the primary contamination indicator in the study area. To produce the quality map distribution, nitrate concentration was collected from 14 wells. The water level of these wells is varied, ranging from 5 to 35 m. The wells in the southern and western parts of the study area are shallower, while the samples in the northern part are deeper. Each well underwent two rounds of nitrate sampling. The initial sampling was used for the modification process, and the second sampling served as the ground truth for validating the effectiveness of the vulnerability frameworks.
Figure 3 shows the nitrate concentration in the study area, as determined by Kriging interpolation.
In the following sections, we explain the calculation of the DRASTIC index and the modification methods introduced in this case study. We employed the Frequency Ratio for rating modification and used Single Parameter Sensitivity Analysis as a subjective weighting method, in contrast to Entropy, which served as the objective method.
Table 1 presents examples of both subjective and objective weighting methods found in groundwater vulnerability assessment studies from the past decade.
2.2. DRASTIC Index
The DRASTIC method offers an elegant framework typically applicable when hydrological and hydrogeological data are available. It uses seven hydrological and hydrogeological parameters that influence the groundwater movement and pollution transport: depth to groundwater (D), net recharge (R), aquifer media (A), soil media (S), topography (T), impact of vadose zone (I), and hydraulic conductivity (C) (Aller et al., 1987). These parameters are classified, rated from “1” to “10”, and weighted from “1” to “5” based on their impact on potential contamination. The DRASTIC index is determined by applying a linear combination of all factors as the following formula:
where
DI is the DRASTIC index,
D,
R,
A,
S,
T,
I, and
C are the seven parameters, and the subscripts “
r” and “
w” are related to the DRASTIC rates and weights, respectively.
2.3. DRASTIC Data Layers
The data pivotal for determining the hydrogeological parameters of the DRASTIC model are presented in
Table 2. The corresponding layers to the seven DRASTIC parameters are structured in a raster GIS format.
The classification of the seven DRASTIC layers in the study area is based on the work by Aller and Thornhill [
8], as depicted in
Figure 4. The depth to groundwater, representing the vertical distance between the ground surface and the water table, is categorized into five classes. The shallowest depth is 4.5 m, found in the southwest of the aquifer. Net recharge is derived from rainfall and runoff data, taking permeability and topography into account. This map has three classes, with the highest recharge rate in the aquifer’s west. Aquifer media consider factors like porosity, grain size, and permeability. The northern section of the aquifer primarily consists of gravel and sand, which have high permeability. Also, massive sandstone forms the main central part of the aquifer.
Soil greatly influences how contaminants move vertically within the vadose zone. As shown in
Figure 4, the areas covered by permeable sand are in the northern, northeastern, and southern parts of the study area. The topography, which affects infiltration, is derived from the digital elevation model (DEM) and classified into five classes. The gentle slope increases the likelihood of pollutant infiltration, and as a consequence, raises the pollution potential. In the Yasuj aquifer, the vadose zone has a uniform nature predominantly made of gravel and sand. Hydraulic conductivity is a crucial factor in pollutant transport. In this study, the hydraulic conductivity distribution map was prepared and classified into five groups, as illustrated in
Figure 4.
2.4. Frequency Ratio Method (FR)
The frequency ratio (FR) method gauges the probability of occurrence in a bivariate statistical attribute. It provides a straightforward geospatial assessment to understand the correlation between the nitrate samples and the hydrogeological factors involved in vulnerability estimation [
37,
38]. The FR model, thus, determines the correlation between the nitrate distribution and the seven DRASTIC parameters [
39].
To calculate the FR, the area ratios of both when contamination occurs and when it does not should be determined for the class of each factor [
40]. In the FR determination process, the nitrate concentration ratio of each DRASTIC parameter range was calculated, considering the total nitrate concentration observed in each class of each parameter from the interpolated nitrate samples compared to the total nitrate concentration across the study area. Additionally, the percentage covered by each parameter class was computed by dividing the count of each range by the total count of the study area. Finally, FRs for each factor range were deducted by dividing the nitrate concentration ratio by the previously calculated area ratio. The expression for the FR in each class of groundwater vulnerability factor is based on the following formula:
where
A is the area of a class for each DRASTIC factor;
B is the total area of each factor;
C is the total nitrate concentration occurrence in the class of each factor;
D is the total of nitrate concentrations in the study area;
E is the percentage of nitrates in the class of each factor; and
F is the percentage area in the class of each factor. According to the FR definition, we can regard the value of one as an average. A value greater than one indicates a higher correlation between the corresponding factor and nitrate concentration, while a value lower than one refers to a weaker correlation [
41].
The maximum value for each parameter from the original DRASTIC rates in the study area was assigned to the maximum FR to derive its adjusted rate. A proportion was applied for computing the adjusted rates of other ranges of the DRASTIC parameters based on the FR values and the maximum rate.
2.5. Entropy Method
A modified weighting scheme may reduce the effect of personal bias [
42]. Shannon [
43] introduced the concept of “entropy” to expound the hidden information within the data, which we utilized to investigate new patterns. The entropy principle can aid in optimization calculations [
43]. In other words, entropy measures a system’s uncertainty. Lower entropy in the data indicates a lower unexpected outcome, while higher entropy points to greater data uncertainty [
44,
45]. By considering the seven factors in the study area, the entropy theory offers a more objective weighting system for the DRASTIC framework [
46].
If the study area is divided into
n pixels, and the DRASTIC parameters are taken as
m, the membership matrix can be defined as
. Therefore, the rate associated with the
ith cell of the
jth parameter can be presented in the given matrix format and normalized as follows:
This normalization adjusts for variation in the measurement units and scales. In the next step, the entropy value of factor
j is represented as:
where
is the entropy value of factor
j, and
is the entropy constant. The entropy value of one indicates no impact of the factor, and thus, the weight of zero for the specific factor. Then, set
as the degree of diversification. Thus, factor
j degree of importance is defined as:
Finally, each factor’s weight regarding the original weight is estimated based on:
where
is the entropy weight of factor
j,
is the original weight of factor
j that
and
.
2.6. Single-Parameter Sensitivity Analysis Method (SPSA)
Sensitivity analysis explains how changes in the input parameter of an analytical model can influence its output. Napolitano and Fabbri [
47] developed the single-parameter sensitivity analysis (SPSA) to quantify the effect of individual DRASTIC parameters on the vulnerability index. By comparing the “effective weight” to the “theoretical weight” of each parameter given by the DRASTIC model, SPSA identifies the most influential parameters [
48,
49].
The subjective weight of each parameter, using the SPSA method, is computed as:
where
stands for the effective weight of each parameter,
represents its rating value,
is its weight, and
DI denotes the overall vulnerability index.
2.7. Validation
Nitrate is a well-known contaminant that threatens groundwater, particularly in agricultural regions, due to the use of fertilizers [
50]. In the Yasuj plain, nitrate is used as a pollutant indicator of the groundwater under investigation because of widespread agricultural activities in the area. A second survey measured the nitrate concentration in 14 wells in this study to form a testing dataset.
The effectiveness of the vulnerability framework for the Yasuj aquifer was examined using Pearson’s correlation coefficient as a statistical method and grey relational analysis (GRA), which works based on geometrical relationships. GRA is particularly adept at handling small datasets without demanding specific distributions or inter-variable relationships [
51]. It efficiently shows the correlation between vulnerabilities derived from suggested models and the observed nitrate level. The in-depth breakdown of the GRA calculation is described in reference [
52].
4. Discussion
The overlay and index method has been employed for groundwater vulnerability assessment since the late 1980s. Despite various modifications and improvements, the method is not universally applicable to all hydrogeological conditions [
48]. As
Figure 7 shows, the distribution of the vulnerability classes varies across the study area. The eastern region consistently shows low and moderate vulnerability with all modified methods.
Figure 7 also displays the percentage distribution of the vulnerability classes across the presented frameworks. The vulnerability index calculated by the FR-Entropy method estimated a predominant part of the aquifer (37%) as highly vulnerable. This method also indicated that only 8% of the whole area falls into the “low” vulnerability bracket. From the FR-Entropy approach, the northwest, south, and north areas of the aquifer are in the region with “very high” potential for nitrate contamination. In contrast, the western region displays “very low” contamination vulnerability across the methods employing the FR rating system. This aligns with the observed concentrations and indicates the effectiveness of rate modification in the generic DRASTIC framework.
Previous research (e.g., [
5,
24,
27]) suggests that not all seven original DRASTIC parameters equally influence groundwater vulnerability assessment. In the present study, the entropy weighting approach failed to identify the effect of the “impact of vadose media” parameter due to the uniform nature of the vadose zone throughout the region. As a consequence, this parameter was omitted from the calculation of the vulnerability index by the DRASTIC-Entropy and FR-Entropy methods. However, the vadose zone had a remarkable impact on the vulnerability assessment from the SPSA perspective (as seen in
Table 5 and
Table 6). The FR methodology is based on dividing the nitrate concentration ratio by the area ratio. When the unsaturated zone of the Yasuj aquifer consists of one seamless class, both the nitrate concentration and area have an average ratio of 1. In the case of parameter uniformity, the FR method was not able to assign a rate to a single-class parameter. The sensitivity analysis results, summarized in
Table 6, emphasize the importance of the “impact of vadose media” as a pivotal factor. The unmodified “I” factor had an average effective weight of 25.4%, and thus, the highest weight was assigned to the “I” parameter among the seven factors of the DRASTIC framework. The “topography” parameter had an average effective weight of 5.0%, and sensitivity analysis indicated its minor effect on groundwater vulnerability assessment. Similarly, the lowest weight was calculated for the impact of the area’s topography by the entropy weighting method after the impact of vadose zone media.
Similar to our observations in this study, Sahoo, Sahoo [
24] indicated that the uniformity of certain DRASTIC parameters may remove their contributions from the vulnerability assessment. In fact, removing some parameters from the vulnerability assessment process can improve the performance of the framework. The correlation results reveal that assigning weights to parameters using the entropy method provided a more reliable vulnerability index, even though the “I” factor was eliminated.
The comparison (
Table 7) elucidates that the FR-Entropy method offered superior accuracy over other methods. These outcomes suggest that objective methodologies often surpass subjective methods in efficiency, similar to the findings from [
12,
27]. Additionally, the DRASTIC framework can be improved further by modifying the parameters’ rates based on the unique characteristics of the study area. A Pearson correlation value of 0.85 and a GRA value of 0.70 for the FR-Entropy method show the significance of using hybrid methods to improve the DRASTIC framework, as noted by [
39].
Considering the study area’s agricultural status, it is important to recognize that the nitrate concentration over the plain might change over time. Further studies could benefit from collecting expansive data over time to assess, more comprehensively, nitrate contamination within the Yasuj plain. Moreover, the validity of the assessed vulnerability with the consideration of specific contaminants can be tested in other regions. Given the importance of groundwater, evaluating its potential contamination is essential for improving the conservation and protection of groundwater resources. This study proposes an efficient hybrid method to create a more reliable intrinsic vulnerability map, a necessary tool for monitoring potential groundwater contamination. Decision makers, environmental managers, and official planners can utilize these spatial approaches as a basis to produce sustainable policies, especially when it comes to potential groundwater contamination.
The present study focuses on examining the vulnerability assessment using overlay and index-based methods within a relatively small aquifer. In small aquifers, the homogeneity of geological characteristics of the study area (such as the uniformity of the vadose zone and topography in the present case study), can make traditional rating systems for the vulnerability parameters inefficient. The findings of this study reveal that contributing specific pollution to the groundwater vulnerability assessment using objective methods can reduce the generalization bias for smaller aquifers. This study underlines the critical need for further investigations in small aquifers with consistent characteristics to assess the influence of each DRASTIC parameter accurately.