Transboundary Water Conflict Resolution Mechanisms: Substitutes or Complements
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Analytical Framework and Method
2.1. Conflict Resolution: Definition
2.2. Conflict Resolution Mechanism: Structure
3. Analysis
3.1. Engineering Approaches
3.1.1. Static Models
3.1.2. Simulation Models
3.2. Economic Analysis
3.2.1. Social Planner
3.2.2. Water Markets
3.2.3. Game Theory
3.2.4. Institution-Constrained Game Approach: Institutional Analysis and Development
3.2.5. Benefit-Sharing Perspective
3.2.6. Virtual Water
3.3. Political Perspective
3.3.1. Hydropolitics
3.3.2. Critical Hydropolitics
3.4. Management Perspective
4. Discussion and Conclusions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Optimisation | |||
---|---|---|---|
Problem Addressed | Issue Addressed | Objective | Citation |
Danube River | Applying compromise programming, as a multi-criteria multi-actor decision technique, to assist in conflict resolution among riparian countries | Prediction Planning | [42] |
Nile River Basin | Using the cybernetic paradigm to study the policy options for development of Egypt and Ethiopia between 2000 and 2050s as constrained by the shared finite water resources of the Nile | Prediction Planning | [43] |
Using multi-criteria optimisation approach to identify the best performing reservoir designs that balance between the water allocations and uses by the Eastern Nile countries. | Prediction Planning | [44] | |
Ganges River Basin | Combining linear programming and game theory to analyse the alternatives for manage the river | Prediction Planning | [45] |
Aral Sea | Modelling and evaluating different future scenarios for the Aral Sea basin countries | Prediction Planning | [46,47] |
Nestos/Mesta River | Using multi-criteria decision analysis as a tool for conflict resolution in Nestos/Mesta River shared by Greece and Bulgaria in South Eastern Europe. | Prediction Planning | [48] |
Caspian Sea | Using Multi-Criteria Decision making methods to Evaluate the different options for sharing the Caspian Sea and allocating the oil and natural gas resources to parties. | Prediction Planning | [49] |
Simulation Models | |||
---|---|---|---|
Problem Addressed | Issue Addressed | Objective | Citation |
Northwest Sahara aquifer | Developing a simulation model using a multi-objective discrete stochastic optimization approach to identify capital gains that can be achieved by the establishment of intelligent pump scheduling by Algeria, Tunisia and Libya. | Prediction Planning | [50] |
Nile River Basin | Developing a system dynamics model that simulate the impact of climate change and population growth on the water adequacy of riparian countries and on the possibility of eruption of intra-regional conflict | Prediction Planning | [58,59] |
Hirmand Transboundary River Basin | Adopting system dynamic approach to map the causal relationships of Hirmand transboundary river system shared between Iran and Afghanistan to guide the development planning across the region | Prediction Planning | [60] |
Hypothetical Water Resource System | Developing a system dynamics model assist parties with two different jurisdictions to resolve a potential water-sharing conflict. | Prediction Planning | [45,52] |
Social Planner (Central Planning) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Problem Addressed | Issue Addressed | Objective | Implementation | Citation |
Columbia River Basin | Developing a plan for the upper Columbia Basin prepared by the International Joint Commission (IJC) established by the Boundary Waters and Questions Arising Between the United States and Canada. | Prediction Planning | The Columbia River Treaty of 1964 | [80] |
Explaining the development, The Columbia River Treaty of 1964 and evaluating its economic benefits. | Explanation Analysis | [79] | ||
Nile River Basin | Developing a comprehensive framework for the Nile control projects in Nile Basin to increases Egypt’s and Sudan’s annual water shares. | Prediction Planning | The Nile Water Treaty of 1929 - Treaty of Owen Dam of 1949 | [81] [82,83] [84] [85] [86] |
Analysing of the development of treaties of 1929 and 1949 | Explanation Analysis | [87] [88] | ||
Providing Preliminary proposals for increasing the utilizable annual water supply of the Nile. | Prediction Planning | [89] | ||
Evaluating the economic benefits of cooperation among riparian countries. | Prediction Planning | [90] | ||
Ganges-Brahmaputra River Basin | Analysing the alternatives for water transfer from Brahmaputra River to Ganges River | Prediction Planning | [91] [92] | |
Caspian Sea | Using Multi-Criteria Decision making methods and social choice procedures to Evaluate the different options for sharing the Caspian Sea. | Prediction Planning | [41,49,78] | |
Great Lakes USA and Canada | Comparing social planner with non-cooperative game solutions to the problem of water diversion from the lake. | Prediction Planning | [93] |
Water Markets | |||
---|---|---|---|
Problem Addressed | Issue Addressed | Objective | Citation |
Ganges River Basin | Analysing the impact of market-based water transfer on mitigating water scarcity and resolving transboundary water conflict in the Basin. | Prediction Planning | [99] |
Nile River Basin | Proposing a new Nile water agreement based on allocate and trade scheme | Prediction Planning | [100] |
Evaluating a market solution for water sharing in Eastern Nile Basin based on allocate-and-trade approach by comparing its possible economic benefits to that of a social planner solution | Prediction Planning | [96] | |
Combing Market approach with cooperative game theoretic framework to assess the stability of possible water allocation agreements of the Eastern Nile Basin | Prediction Planning | [101] | |
The Euphrates River | Based on a model developed to maximize the economic benefits of the Euphrates water system, the study proposes a water trading mechanism between Syria and Turkey to overcome water scarcity. | Prediction Planning | [102] |
Middle East Region | Developing a model for a free water market between Palestine, Jordan and Israel. | Prediction Planning | [103] |
Evaluating two possible mechanisms, percentage claims and priority claims, for establishing regional water markets in the eastern Middle East region (Palestine, Egypt, Jordan and Israel) by comparing them to the social planner option | Prediction Planning | [97] | |
analysing the option of establishing regional water markets in the eastern Mediterranean region (Palestine, Egypt, Syria Jordan and Israel, Turkey) by comparing them to the social planner option | Prediction Planning | [7] | |
Lake Constance | Comparing the management capacity of states and markets using Lake Constance as an example of efficient transboundary market institutions. | Explanation Analysis | [104] |
Game Theory | |||
---|---|---|---|
Problem Addressed | Issue Addressed | Objective | Citation |
Columbia River Basin | Analysing the Columbia River scheme involving Canada and USA using cooperative game theory. | Explanation Analysis | [117] |
Applying game theory, using the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution to analyse the conflict between USA and Canada over the Flathead River | Prediction Planning | [118] | |
Nile River Basin | Applying game theory, using the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution, to analyse the possible strategic behaviour of the Nile riparian countries to determine the most likely outcomes. | Prediction Planning | [119,120] |
Applying cooperative game theory to the Nile Basin conflict to evaluate the benefit of different options of cooperation | Prediction Planning | [121,122] | |
Analysing the option of trading water technology for interbrain water transfer among neighbouring nations using cooperative game theory | Prediction Planning | [123,124] | |
Combing Market approach with cooperative game theoretic framework to assess the stability of possible water allocation agreements of the Eastern Nile Basin | Prediction Planning | [101] | |
Euphrates and Tigris rivers | Combining linear programming and game theory to identify stable water allocations that Syria, Iraq and Turkey accept. | Prediction Planning | [125,126] |
Jordan River | Identifying possible option of sharing water through a cooperative game theoretic with two players, Arabs and Israelis. | Prediction Planning | [127] |
Ganges River Basin | Combining linear programming and game theory to analyse the alternatives for manage the river | Prediction Planning | [45] |
Combining optimisation and cooperative game theoretic methods to identify feasible water sharing options in the Ganges Basin | Prediction Planning | [128] | |
Lower Mekong River | Applying cooperative game theory to analyse the Lower Mekong river basin | Prediction Planning | [117] |
Great Lakes between USA and Canada | Comparing social planner with non-cooperative game solutions to the problem of water diversion from the lake highlight the importance of cooperation between actors in the Great Lakes Basin. | Prediction Planning | [93] |
Rio Grande | Evaluating the cooperative options between the USA and Mexico to reduce transboundary water pollution using non-cooperative game theory | Prediction Planning | [129,130] |
Applying interconnected game approach to identify the linkages between All-American Canal, Colorado River salinity and wastewater projects of Rio-Grande that are amenable to linked negotiations | Prediction Planning | [131] | |
Colorado River | Applying interconnected game approach to identify the linkages between All-American Canal, Colorado River salinity and wastewater projects of Rio-Grande that are amenable to linked negotiations | Prediction Planning | [131] |
The Platte River | Using cooperative game theoretic methods to determine share of instream flow water each of the river-sharing states should provide. | Prediction Planning | [132] |
Volta River Basin | Using a stochastic Stackelberg differential game to identify sustainable water-sharing arrangements that can be achieved by linking transboundary water flows to hydropower exports. | Prediction Planning | [133] |
The Hirmand (Helmand) River | Examining equilibria resulting from the application of different stability definitions on the conflict modelled as non-cooperative water resources game | Prediction Planning | [134] |
Caspian Sea | Analysing the Caspian Sea conflict using a bankruptcy model, based on cooperative game theory, to allocate oil and gas to the littoral countries. | Prediction Planning | [135] |
Institution-Constrained Game Theory Analysis | |||
---|---|---|---|
Problem Addressed | Issue Addressed | Objective | Citation |
Nile River Basin | Analysing the evolution of the Nile River governance system using a framework combining non-cooperative game theory and institutional analysis | Explanation Prediction | [87,150] |
Jordan River Basin | analysing the negotiations process between Jordan and Israel over the Jordan basin in the framework of collaborative negotiations approach | Explanation Analysis | [149] |
Benefit-Sharing Perspective | |||
---|---|---|---|
Problem Addressed | Issue Addressed | Objective | Citation |
Nile River Basin | Analysing the impact of Negotiations over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on benefits sharing discourse in the Eastern Nile Basin. | Explanation Analysis | [155] |
Jordan River Basin | analysing the negotiations process between Jordan and Israel over the Jordan basin in the framework of collaborative negotiations approach | Explanation Analysis | [149] |
Virtual Water Perspective | |||
---|---|---|---|
Problem Addressed | Issue Addressed | Objective | Citation |
Nile River Basin | Analysing the impact of virtual water imports on relieving the water stress in Nile Basin. | Explanation Analysis | [166,168,169] |
Jordan River Basin | Explaining the contribution of virtual water to relieve the water scarcity and reduce the water-related tensions in the Jordan River Basin | Explanation Analysis | [149,170] |
Political Perspective | |||
---|---|---|---|
Problem Addressed | Issue Addressed | Objective | Citation |
Nile River Basin | Using the hydro-hegemony framework to analyse the role of hydro-political relations in shaping the water governance regime in the Nile Basin. | Explanation Analysis | [180,181,182] |
Using an extended TWINS approach to analyse the role of economic strength and diversification in shaping the trajectory of Egypt-Sudan water interactions in the Nile Basin. | Explanation Analysis | [11,162] | |
Using the conceptual framework of dynamic transboundary water interaction to explain the changes in the Nile Basin. | Explanation Analysis | [186,190] | |
Using the case of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) to scrutinise the hydro-hegemony framework hypothesis that counter-hegemonic mechanisms produce a more equitable transboundary water governance regime. | Explanation Analysis | [191,192] | |
Using a hydro-hegemony framework to analyse the role of power asymmetry in shaping patterns of hydropolitical relations in the Nile Basin | Explanation Analysis | [174] | |
Jordan River | Analysing the role of hydro-political relations in shaping the water governance regime in the Jordan River Basin using the hydro-hegemony framework. | Explanation Analysis | [180,181,182] |
Using an extended TWINS approach to analyse the role of economic strength and diversification in shaping the trajectory of Palestinian-Israeli water interactions over shared aquifers. | Explanation Analysis | [11,162] | |
Using the conceptual framework of dynamic transboundary water interaction to explain the stability in the Jordan river basin | Explanation Analysis | [186] | |
Using a framework for discourse analysis to examine the role of the dominant Israeli discourse in structuring the transboundary water conflict resolution process in the Upper Jordan River Basin | Explanation Analysis | [183] | |
Using a framework for discourse analysis to examine the formation process of the dominance national water discourse in Jordan, linking it to the transboundary water political and hydropolitical relations. | Explanation Analysis | [189] | |
Tigris and Euphrates rivers | Applying the hydro-hegemony framework to Identify the role of hydro-political relations in shaping the water governance regime in the Tigris and Euphrates Basin. | Explanation Analysis | [180,181,182] |
Using the conceptual framework of dynamic transboundary water interaction to explain the changes in the Tigris river basin. | Explanation Analysis | [186] | |
Mekong River | Using a critical hydropolitics framework to analyse how the 1995 Agreement geopolitically framed the basin-wide water interactions in interstate level, masking in this way water interactions occurring at the level of communities and ecosystems. | Explanation Analysis | [188] |
Using a critical hydropolitics framework to how hydropower dams connecting major power markets in China, Thailand and Vietnam, are transforming the nature-society relations in countries sharing the Lancang-Mekong River. | Explanation Analysis | [193] | |
Using the conceptual framework of dynamic transboundary water interaction to explain the changes in the Mekong River Basin. | Explanation Analysis | [186] | |
Rio Grande | Using a political-economy-constrained TWINS approach to analyse the role of economic strength and diversification in shaping the trajectory of water interactions in the Rio-Grande Basin. | Explanation Analysis | [162] |
Amu Darya River | Using the conceptual framework of dynamic transboundary water interaction to explain the changes in the Amu Darya River Basin. | Explanation Analysis | [186] |
Yarmouk River Basin | Using a discourse theory framework to maps relation between the bilateral agreements on the Yarmouk River, the dominant hydropolitical discourses. It also analyses the impact of these dominant hydropolitical discourses and the proposed solution by Jordan and Syria, taking into consideration the Power asymmetry between the two countries. | Explanation Analysis | [184] |
Using a hydro-hegemony framework to analyse the role of power asymmetry in shaping the evolving patterns of hydropolitical relations in Yarmouk Basin | Explanation Analysis | [174] | |
The Guarani Aquifer System | Using a merged analytical framework that integrates critical hydro-political framework into a hydro-hegemony framework to analyse the role of power asymmetry between Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay in shaping the current formal water governance’s arrangements of The Guarani Aquifer System and the informal cooperation arrangements between local communities | Explanation Analysis | [194] |
Ganges River Basin | Applying an extended TWINS approach to explain the role of economic strength and diversification in shaping the trajectory of Nepal-India water interactions in the Ganges River Basin. | Explanation Analysis | [11,162] |
Using the conceptual framework of dynamic transboundary water interaction to explain the stability in the Gangs river basin | Explanation Analysis | [186] | |
Disi Aquifer | Using a discourse theory framework to analyse the impact of the water scarcity discourse in Jordan on transboundary water governance of the Yarmouk River basin, the Jordan River Basin and Disi Aquifer basin. | Explanation Analysis | [195] |
The Platte River | Using a hydro-hegemony framework to highlight the impact of hydropolitical regional hegemony on transboundary water cooperation in in the La Plata River Basin and Guarani Aquifer System. | Explanation Analysis | [196] |
Alternative Dispute Resolution | |||
---|---|---|---|
Problem Addressed | Issue Addressed | Objective | Citation |
Caspian Sea | Using descriptive approach identify the most likely outcomes of the ongoing Caspian Sea negotiation according to the capabilities of the decision makers and their preferences over the available alternatives. | Prediction Planning | [198] |
The Mekong River Basin | Investigating the negotiations for Mekong Agreement of 1995 between Cambodia, Laos, Thailand, and Vietnam. | Explanation Analysis | [199] |
Nile River Basin | Analysing the causes of failures and successes of the negotiations process the Nile water using two explanatory approaches, the Strategic Management Process (SMP) and Political Accounting System (PAS). | Explanation Analysis | [200] |
Jordan River Basin | Evaluating the negotiations process between Jordan and Israel over the Jordan basin management in the framework of collaborative negotiations approach | Explanation Analysis | [149] |
Analysing the negotiations processes between Jordan and Israel of 1950s and 1990s over the Jordan basin, comparing the impact of the process on the resulted agreement in each case. | Explanation Analysis | [201] | |
Examining the negotiation mechanisms and processes between Syria, Turkey and Iraq in 1990s over Euphrates and Tigris rivers | Explanation Analysis | [202] | |
Ganges River Basin | Evaluating performance of the supporting institutional mechanisms evolved over Time in the negotiations between India and Bangladesh over waters-related issues in Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna System. | Explanation Analysis | [203] |
Field | Mechanism | Initial Conditions | Macro-Process Dynamics | Micro-Processes Dynamics | Conflicts Parties | Third Party | Conflict Environment Constraints | Terminal Conditions |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Engineering | Static Models | ✓ | ✕ | ✕ | ✕ | ✓ | ✕ | ✓ |
Dynamic Models | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✕ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |
Economics | Social Planner | ✓ | ✕ | ✕ | ✕ | ✓ | ✕ | ✓ |
Water Markets | ✓ | ✕ | ✕ | ✓ | ✕ | ✕ | ✓ | |
Game Theory | ✓ | ✓ | ✕ | ✓ | ✕ | ✕ | ✓ | |
Institution-Constrained Game Theory | ✓ | ✓ | ✕ | ✓ | ✕ | ✓ | ✓ | |
Benefit-sharing | ✓ | ✕ | ✕ | ✓ | ✕ | ✕ | ✓ | |
Virtual Water | ✓ | ✕ | ✕ | ✓ | ✕ | ✓ | ✓ | |
Political Perspective | Hydro-Hegemony | ✓ | ✕ | ✕ | ✓ | ✕ | ✓ | ✓ |
Transboundary Waters Interaction Nexus (TWINS) | ✓ | ✕ | ✕ | ✓ | ✕ | ✓ | ✓ | |
Dynamic Transboundary Water Interaction (DTWI) | ✓ | ✕ | ✕ | ✓ | ✕ | ✓ | ✓ | |
Transformative Analysis. | ✓ | ✕ | ✕ | ✓ | ✕ | ✓ | ✓ | |
Critical Hydropolitics | ✓ | ✕ | ✕ | ✓ | ✕ | ✓ | ✓ | |
Management | Alternative Dispute Resolution | ✓ | ✕ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✕ |
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Tayia, A. Transboundary Water Conflict Resolution Mechanisms: Substitutes or Complements. Water 2019, 11, 1337. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11071337
Tayia A. Transboundary Water Conflict Resolution Mechanisms: Substitutes or Complements. Water. 2019; 11(7):1337. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11071337
Chicago/Turabian StyleTayia, Ahmed. 2019. "Transboundary Water Conflict Resolution Mechanisms: Substitutes or Complements" Water 11, no. 7: 1337. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11071337
APA StyleTayia, A. (2019). Transboundary Water Conflict Resolution Mechanisms: Substitutes or Complements. Water, 11(7), 1337. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11071337