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Volume 13
Issue 3
10.3390/atmos13030456
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Article

Suitability and Sensitivity of the Potential Distribution of Cyclobalanopsis glauca Forests under Climate Change Conditions in Guizhou Province, Southwestern China

by
Wangjun Li
1,2,
Jun Hu
1,
Tu Feng
2 and
Qing Liu
1,*
1
CAS Key Laboratory of Mountain Ecological Restoration and Bioresource Utilization & Ecological Restoration and Biodiversity Conservation Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu Institute of Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610041, China
2
Guizhou Province Key Laboratory of Ecological Protection and Restoration of Typical Plateau Wetlands, Guizhou University of Engineering Science, Bijie 551700, China
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Atmosphere 2022, 13(3), 456; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13030456
Submission received: 8 February 2022 / Revised: 3 March 2022 / Accepted: 9 March 2022 / Published: 11 March 2022
(This article belongs to the Topic Climate Change and Environmental Sustainability)
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Abstract

Global climate change is becoming increasingly prominent and has already begun to influence natural biological systems. Assessing the potential impact of climate change on ecosystems is an important research topic of the International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme (IGBP). Based on current distribution data, climate data, climate change scenarios (RCP8.5 scenario, 2070–2099), and application of the MaxEnt model, this study assessed suitability and sensitivity of the potential distribution of Cyclobalanopsis glauca forests under climate change conditions in Guizhou Province. The results were as follows: (1) Area under the curve values of training data and texting data indicated excellent performance of the model; (2) Compared to the current climate, areas of probability <0.4 were decreased, and the other areas presented an increasing trend under the RCP8.5 scenario; (3) Positive sensitivity areas were much larger than negative sensitivity areas under climate change. In either case, slight sensitivity areas accounted for the largest proportion; (4) The mean altitude of slight sensitivity areas measured the lowest, and highly negative sensitivity areas were the highest.
Keywords: climate change; Cyclobalanopsis glauca forest; suitability; sensitivity climate change; Cyclobalanopsis glauca forest; suitability; sensitivity

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MDPI and ACS Style

Li, W.; Hu, J.; Feng, T.; Liu, Q. Suitability and Sensitivity of the Potential Distribution of Cyclobalanopsis glauca Forests under Climate Change Conditions in Guizhou Province, Southwestern China. Atmosphere 2022, 13, 456. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13030456

AMA Style

Li W, Hu J, Feng T, Liu Q. Suitability and Sensitivity of the Potential Distribution of Cyclobalanopsis glauca Forests under Climate Change Conditions in Guizhou Province, Southwestern China. Atmosphere. 2022; 13(3):456. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13030456

Chicago/Turabian Style

Li, Wangjun, Jun Hu, Tu Feng, and Qing Liu. 2022. "Suitability and Sensitivity of the Potential Distribution of Cyclobalanopsis glauca Forests under Climate Change Conditions in Guizhou Province, Southwestern China" Atmosphere 13, no. 3: 456. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13030456

APA Style

Li, W., Hu, J., Feng, T., & Liu, Q. (2022). Suitability and Sensitivity of the Potential Distribution of Cyclobalanopsis glauca Forests under Climate Change Conditions in Guizhou Province, Southwestern China. Atmosphere, 13(3), 456. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13030456

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