Statistical Analysis of Ionospheric TEC Anomalies Prior to Ms ≥ 6.0 Earthquakes in Mainland China During 2012–2022
Highlights
- Pre-earthquake TEC anomalies exhibit distinct temporal and polarity characteristics.
- Earthquakes categorized by different magnitudes, focal depths, and epicenter azimuths show consistent temporal and polarity characteristics of TEC anomalies.
- The temporal and polarity characteristics of TEC anomalies can improve the efficiency of identifying pre-earthquake ionospheric precursors.
- The consistency of TEC anomaly characteristics provides a reliable observational basis for seismo-ionospheric coupling models.
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Data and Method
2.1. Earthquake Catalog and GPS TEC
2.2. Solar Activity and Geomagnetic Activity Indices
2.3. Anomaly Extraction Method
3. Results and Analysis
3.1. Temporal Distribution Characteristics of Pre-Earthquake TEC Anomalies
3.2. Pre-Earthquake TEC Anomalies Characteristics with Different Magnitude Classification
3.3. Pre-Earthquake TEC Anomalies Characteristics in Different Azimuths of Epicenters
3.4. Pre-Earthquake TEC Anomalies Characteristics of Earthquakes with Different Focal Depth Classifications
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
- Pre-earthquake GPS TEC anomalies exhibit significant temporal characteristics. The two statistical metrics of pre-earthquake TEC anomalies increase significantly around the 25th, 15th, and 5th days before the earthquake, as well as on the earthquake day. In addition, the negative anomalies show relatively high values around the 20th day before the earthquake.
- The pre-earthquake GPS TEC anomalies are characterized by a distinct polarity feature where positive anomalies outnumber negative ones. The two statistical metrics of positive pre-earthquake TEC anomalies are higher than those of negative anomalies.
- The statistical results of earthquakes with different magnitude classifications, different epicenter azimuths, and different focal depths all show the same temporal characteristics and polarity characteristics.
- The intensity of pre-earthquake TEC anomaly responses is closely related to earthquake magnitude. The two statistical indicators of pre-earthquake TEC anomalies for strong earthquakes of magnitude 6.8–7.6 are higher than those for earthquakes of magnitude 6.0–6.8.
- The spatial distribution of pre-earthquake TEC anomalies is characterized by inhomogeneity and time-dependent characteristics. Around the 25th day pre-earthquake, the anomaly frequency in the northeast direction is the most significant. Overall, the anomaly frequency in the southeast direction is the highest, while that in the northwest direction is relatively low. Around the 15th day pre-earthquake, the anomaly earthquake percentage in the southeast direction is relatively high. However, around the 5th day pre-earthquake and on the earthquake day, the anomaly earthquake percentage in the northeast direction is more significant, and that in the southwest direction is the lowest.
- The pre-earthquake GPS TEC anomalies of earthquakes with different focal depths show significant differentiation. Overall, the pre-earthquake AAF, PAAF, NAAF, AEP, PAEP, and NAEP values for earthquakes with focal depths of 10–20 km are higher than those for earthquakes with focal depths of 0–10 km.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
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| Sr. No. | Time (UT) | Longitude (°) | Latitude (°) | Depth (km) | Magnitude | Depth (km) | Regions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2012-03-08 22:50:09 | 81.3 | 39.4 | 30 | 6 | 30 | Luopu |
| 2 | 2012-06-29 21:07:31 | 84.8 | 43.4 | 7 | 6.6 | 7 | Xinyuan-Hejing |
| 3 | 2012-08-12 10:47:12 | 82.5 | 35.9 | 30 | 6.2 | 30 | Yutian |
| 4 | 2013-04-20 00:02:46 | 103 | 30.3 | 13 | 7 | 13 | Lushan |
| 5 | 2013-07-21 23:45:55 | 104.23 | 34.52 | 20 | 6.6 | 20 | Dingxi |
| 6 | 2013-08-11 21:23:40 | 98 | 30 | 10 | 6.1 | 10 | Changdu |
| 7 | 2014-02-12 09:19:50 | 82.5 | 36.1 | 12 | 7.3 | 12 | Yutian |
| 8 | 2014-05-30 01:20:12 | 97.82 | 25.03 | 12 | 6.1 | 12 | Yingjiang |
| 9 | 2014-08-03 08:30:10 | 103.34 | 27.1 | 12 | 6.5 | 12 | Ludian |
| 10 | 2014-10-07 13:49:39 | 100.46 | 23.39 | 5 | 6.6 | 5 | Puer |
| 11 | 2014-11-22 08:55:25 | 101.69 | 30.26 | 18 | 6.3 | 18 | Kangding |
| 12 | 2015-07-03 01:07:46 | 78.2 | 37.6 | 10 | 6.5 | 10 | Pishan |
| 13 | 2016-01-02 04:22:19 | 129.95 | 44.81 | 580 | 6.4 | 580 | Linkou |
| 14 | 2016-01-20 17:13:13 | 101.62 | 37.68 | 10 | 6.4 | 10 | Menyuan |
| 15 | 2016-10-17 07:14:49 | 94.93 | 32.81 | 9 | 6.2 | 9 | Zaduo |
| 16 | 2016-11-25 14:24:30 | 74.04 | 39.27 | 10 | 6.7 | 10 | Aktaw |
| 17 | 2016-12-08 05:15:03 | 86.35 | 43.83 | 6 | 6.2 | 6 | Hutubi |
| 18 | 2017-08-08 13:19:46 | 103.82 | 33.2 | 20 | 7 | 20 | Jiuzhaigou |
| 19 | 2017-08-08 23:27:52 | 82.89 | 44.27 | 11 | 6.6 | 11 | Jinghe |
| 20 | 2017-11-17 22:34:19 | 95.02 | 29.75 | 10 | 6.9 | 10 | Milin |
| 21 | 2019-04-23 20:15:48 | 94.61 | 28.4 | 10 | 6.3 | 10 | Motuo |
| 22 | 2019-06-17 14:55:43 | 104.9 | 28.34 | 16 | 6 | 16 | Changning |
| 23 | 2020-01-19 13:27:55 | 77.21 | 39.83 | 16 | 6.4 | 16 | Jiashi |
| 24 | 2020-06-25 21:05:20 | 82.33 | 35.73 | 10 | 6.4 | 10 | Yutian |
| 25 | 2020-07-22 20:07:20 | 86.81 | 33.19 | 10 | 6.6 | 10 | Nima |
| 26 | 2021-03-19 06:11:26 | 92.74 | 31.94 | 10 | 6.1 | 10 | Biru |
| 27 | 2021-05-21 13:48:34 | 99.87 | 25.67 | 8 | 6.4 | 8 | Yangbi |
| 28 | 2021-05-21 18:04:11 | 98.34 | 34.59 | 17 | 7.4 | 17 | Maduo |
| 29 | 2021-09-15 20:33:31 | 105.34 | 29.2 | 10 | 6 | 10 | Luxian |
| 30 | 2022-01-07 17:45:27 | 101.26 | 37.77 | 10 | 6.9 | 10 | Menyuan |
| 31 | 2022-03-25 16:21:02 | 97.33 | 38.5 | 10 | 6 | 10 | Delingha |
| 32 | 2022-06-01 09:00:08 | 102.94 | 30.37 | 17 | 6.1 | 17 | Lushan |
| 33 | 2022-06-09 17:28:34 | 101.82 | 32.25 | 13 | 6 | 13 | Maerkang |
| 34 | 2022-09-05 04:52:18 | 102.08 | 29.59 | 16 | 6.8 | 16 | Luding |
| Magnitude | 6.0–6.2 | 6.2–6.4 | 6.4–6.6 | 6.6–6.8 | 6.8–7.6 |
| Count | 9 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| Focal Depth (km) | 0–10 | 10–20 |
| Count | 17 | 14 |
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Dong, L.; Zhang, X.; Cai, G.; Du, X.; Liu, H.; Wang, S.; Zhao, C. Statistical Analysis of Ionospheric TEC Anomalies Prior to Ms ≥ 6.0 Earthquakes in Mainland China During 2012–2022. Remote Sens. 2026, 18, 1450. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18101450
Dong L, Zhang X, Cai G, Du X, Liu H, Wang S, Zhao C. Statistical Analysis of Ionospheric TEC Anomalies Prior to Ms ≥ 6.0 Earthquakes in Mainland China During 2012–2022. Remote Sensing. 2026; 18(10):1450. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18101450
Chicago/Turabian StyleDong, Lei, Xuemin Zhang, Guangyao Cai, Xiaohui Du, Hong Liu, Shukai Wang, and Chenhao Zhao. 2026. "Statistical Analysis of Ionospheric TEC Anomalies Prior to Ms ≥ 6.0 Earthquakes in Mainland China During 2012–2022" Remote Sensing 18, no. 10: 1450. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18101450
APA StyleDong, L., Zhang, X., Cai, G., Du, X., Liu, H., Wang, S., & Zhao, C. (2026). Statistical Analysis of Ionospheric TEC Anomalies Prior to Ms ≥ 6.0 Earthquakes in Mainland China During 2012–2022. Remote Sensing, 18(10), 1450. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18101450

