Drivers of Green Economic Growth: Comparative Evidence from Turkey and Romania

In developing countries, sustainable development strategies are increasingly shifting toward a green economy that integrates economic, social, and environmental dimensions. Despite the growing importance of green economic growth, comparative empirical studies examining its determinants in Turkey and Romania remain limited. This study investigates the dynamic relationships between environmentally sustainable growth, carbon emissions, life expectancy, renewable energy consumption, education, and technological innovation in Turkey and Romania over the period 1980–2023. Using annual time series data, the analysis applies the Augmented Dickey–Fuller and Zivot–Andrews unit root tests to examine stationarity and potential structural breaks. The empirical framework is based on the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach, which allows the estimation of both long-run equilibrium relationships and short-run dynamics. The results provide partial evidence of long-run relationships among the variables. Although the ARDL bounds test results fall within the inconclusive region, the negative and statistically significant error correction terms indicate that deviations from long-run equilibrium are corrected over time. The findings also reveal heterogeneous short-run causal interactions across the two countries, suggesting that the drivers of environmentally sustainable growth differ between Turkey and Romania. Overall, the results highlight the importance of country-specific policy frameworks, institutional structures, and energy transition pathways in promoting green economic growth.