A Morphology-Based Framework for Estimating Plant Water Requirements in Arid Urban Landscapes: Toward Sustainable Irrigation Planning

As urban areas expand, the sustainable management of municipal water becomes a critical challenge, especially in arid and semi-arid regions facing severe water scarcity. Accurate assessment of urban plant water requirements (PWR) is essential for developing sustainable landscape architecture and resilient green infrastructure. In this study, a new quantitative equation (PWR_q) was developed as a regional proof of concept to adjust reference evapotranspiration estimates for hyper-arid conditions. A Tree Morphology Coefficient (K_tm) is introduced to combine canopy features (form, height) and leaf traits (size, density) with an updated drought-resistance coefficient (K_dr). Field measurements of 277 mature trees, representing 27 native and introduced species in Riyadh and Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, were analyzed. The framework explicitly includes an empirical multiplier to account for extreme urban heat island (UHI) effects and aerodynamic canopy scaling. Instead of direct empirical validation, the PWR_q model was benchmarked against established reference indices: Water Use Classification of Landscape Species (WUCOLS) and Simplified Landscape Irrigation Demand Estimation (SLIDE), showing strong alignment with established categorical indices and structural traits. The results confirm that the morphology-based method effectively makes previously subjective classifications objective. Notably, the quantitative assessment found that the dominant introduced species require about 3.5 times more water than native species. As a proof of concept, future research should empirically validate these findings against direct physical measurements, such as sap flow sensors or lysimeters. The proposed framework presents a practical, objective decision-support tool for municipal policymakers and landscape architects to optimize species selection, implement nature-based solutions (NBS), and achieve long-term sustainability in urban greening.