The Impact of Economic Financialization on the Income Gap Between Urban and Rural Residents: Evidence from China
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Research Status of Financial Development and Income Distribution
2.2. Research Status of Economic Financialization and Income Inequality
2.3. Research Status of Spatial Spillovers from Economic Financialization
2.4. Research Gaps
3. Mechanisms and Hypotheses
3.1. The Dialectic Between Economic Financialization and Income Distribution
3.2. Impact of Economic Financialization on the Income Gap Between Urban and Rural Residents
4. Variable, Data and Model
4.1. Selection of Variables
4.1.1. Explained Variable
4.1.2. Explanatory Variable
4.1.3. Control Variable
4.2. Data Source
4.3. Modeling Setup
5. Empirical Analysis
5.1. Baseline Regression Analysis
5.2. Endogeneity Test
5.3. Robustness Test
- (1)
- Replacement of explained variables. This section selects the difference in disposable income between urban and rural residents as a proxy for the Theil Index to measure the relative gap between their incomes. Column (12) reports the corresponding test results. The results indicate that the coefficient of economic financialization continues to have a positive impact, suggesting that the baseline regression results remain robust after substituting the explained variables.
- (2)
- Replacement of explanatory variables. This part uses principal component analysis (PCA) to measure the development of economic financialization. PCA is designed to convert high-dimensional data into lower-dimensional forms via linear transformation. This process preserves as much variability as possible, eliminates redundant information, and reduces correlations among variables, leading to a more stable dataset. Column (13) reports the corresponding estimation results. The results indicate that the coefficient on economic financialization has a significant positive influence, suggesting that the baseline regression results are robust even after applying PCA to measure economic financialization.
- (3)
- Excluding the sample of municipalities. Beginning with the data, the categorization is adjusted based on various criteria. We test whether the results remain significant after making these adjustments. Next, we exclude municipalities and utilize data from the remaining provinces and autonomous regions to assess the robustness of the benchmark regression and ensure that the estimated results are universality. Column (14) reports the regression results after excluding the municipality sample. The results show that the regression results of the baseline model are unchanged after excluding the municipality samples.
- (4)
- Correcting for outliers. Outliers are data points that differ significantly from other observations, potentially leading to bias and distortion in estimation results. Correcting for outliers can eliminate their impact on these results. In this section, all the explanatory variables and the core explanatory variables are individually 1 per cent deflated, and this completes the estimation. Column (15) reports the corresponding results. The results show that after correcting for outliers, the coefficient of economic financialization is significantly positive, indicating that the effect of economic financialization on the income gap between urban and rural residents remains unchanged and the benchmark regression results are robust.
5.4. Heterogeneity Analysis
5.4.1. Regional Heterogeneity
5.4.2. Heterogeneity in the Quality of Economic Development
5.5. Further Analysis
5.6. Spatial Effects Analysis
5.6.1. Spatial Correlation Test
5.6.2. Spatial Weight Matrix Selection
- (1)
- Neighbor weight matrix W01
- (2)
- Geographic distance weight matrix Wgeo
- (3)
- Economic distance nesting matrix Weg
5.6.3. Spatial Effects Model Selection
5.6.4. Spatial Effects Model Estimation
6. Discussion
7. Conclusions and Suggestions
7.1. Conclusions
7.2. Suggestions
- (1)
- The supervision and control of economic financialization should be based on the careful consideration of the market currency circulation, the level of direct financial development, the debt level of the economic sector, the degree of capital aggregation, the degree of development of the financial market, and the size of the assets of the new profit-grabbing class. At the same time, there should be further deepening of the reform of the financial system, optimization of the financial innovations and the structure of the financial capital, curbing of the expansion of consumer credit and the financialization of the commodities, and limiting of the frequency of the financial capital’s departure. This would restrict the frequency of financial capital excursions, avoiding overheating of economic financialization, and continuing to achieve “de-virtualization to realism” or “slowing down virtualization to promote realism”, to guarantee the high-quality and sustainable economic development. To achieve high-quality financial development, operating with low leverage in the market is important. The focus should be on the quality and excellence of financial services, with a strong emphasis on serving the real economy. Stricter credit restrictions should be applied to high-risk areas such as real estate and nontargeted financing. Additionally, regulations should govern various financial activities to prevent the misuse of financial derivatives and other risky practices.
- (2)
- Full play should be given to the important role of the policy-based financial system in social distribution, including regulation of the mechanism of wealth accumulation, focusing on changes in the tilt of the functional income structure of the population, correctly guiding the financial capital for the development of the real economy, revitalizing the high-quality development of the real economy, optimizing the industrial structure and the industrial system, and clearing the resistance to industrial production. These will improve labor compensation in the industrial cycle, and guarantee the high-quality and sustainable development of the economy. Labor remuneration in the industrial cycle should be improved, residents’ labor income should be protected, the wealth accumulation mechanism should be optimized, and people’s well-being should be continually enhanced.
- (3)
- Inclusive rural financial services should be deepened, the construction of financial systems should be improved to support and assist agriculture, differentiated and distinctive rural financial services should be designed, concerning the actual needs of different regions, there should be a reduction in the cost of rural financing, and a focus on supporting the development of local industries. The enhancement of rural labor incomes should be taken as a long-term development plan, and the channels connecting rural wage incomes and property incomes should be opened up, along with raising the proportion of property incomes of rural households. Rural residents can increase their incomes, alleviate long-term class conflicts and economic frictions between urban and rural areas, and ensure the sustainability of a balanced distribution of residents’ incomes. For example, with the rural inclusion policy as the mainstay, the coverage of rural financial institutions (such as village banks and rural credit unions) has been expanded, and, based on big data analysis, special service loans for “rural revitalization” have been promoted to support the optimization and upgrading of the rural industry and to increase the income of rural residents from the agricultural economy while realizing the growth of the rural economy.
- (4)
- Full play should be given to the role of developed provinces and regions as “leaders”, correctly utilizing the financial spatial spillover effect, and actively guiding the input of financial resources to regions with a relative lack of financial services to guide the realization of a sustainable equilibrium state of economic and financial development at the spatial and temporal levels. This will promote the convergence of the income disparity between urban and rural residents, and sustainably promote the high-quality development of the regional economy and the people’s sense of well-being. By focusing on developed regions and utilizing innovative digital financial and information technology, we can extend valuable financial resources to neighboring areas that lack financial access. This approach aims to achieve a more balanced distribution of financial resources and to maximize the critical role of financial services in supporting the real economy. Ultimately, this strategy will contribute to national economic growth and promote a fairer income distribution among residents.
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Target Index | Indicators I | Indicators II | Measurement | Indicator Properties |
---|---|---|---|---|
Comprehensive evaluation index of the level of development of economic financialization. | Capitalization of money. | Percentage of loan balances of financial institutions. | Loan balance of financial institutions/GDP. | + |
Capital virtualization. | Percentage of total portfolio transactions. | Total portfolio transactions/GDP. | + | |
The power of the profiteering class. | Share of national income from financial rental income of the profit-taking class. | (Financial profits of financial corporations + financial profits of nonfinancial corporations + household financial investment income)/GDP. | + | |
Pan-financialization of markets. | Percentage of financial employees. | Number of financial employees/total employees. | + | |
Density of financial institutions’ business outlets. | Number of financial institutions operating/area of area. | + | ||
Financial sector expansion. | Financial sector value added/GDP. | + | ||
Financialization of commodities. | Value added of real estate industry/GDP. | + | ||
Financialization of nonfinancial corporations. | Financial profit of industrial enterprises above scale/total profit of industrial enterprises above scale. | + |
Variable | Definition | Description | Measurement |
---|---|---|---|
THEIL | Income gap between urban and rural residents. | Theil Index. | Calculated by using the Theil Index formula. |
FINZ | Degree of economic financialization. | Comprehensive evaluation index of economic financialization. | The entropy-TOPSIS method was used for calculation. |
GDP | Quality of economic development. | Real GDP per capita. | GDP per capita expressed at the 2000 price level and taking natural logarithms. |
URBAN | Urbanization level (of a city or town). | Urbanization rate. | Urban resident population/total resident population. |
GOV | Government expenditure. | Fiscal expenditure as a percentage. | Local government fiscal expenditure/regional GDP with natural logarithm. |
EDU | Investment in education. | Percentage of expenditure on education. | Regional education expenditure/regional GDP with natural logarithm. |
STRUC | Industrial structure. | Percentage of industrial value added. | Value added of secondary and tertiary industries in the region/regional GDP and take natural logarithm. |
INFOR | Informatization level. | Percentage of total post and telecommunications business. | Total regional postal and telecommunication business/regional GDP and take the natural logarithm. |
TRADE | Open to the outside world. | Percentage of total import and export trade. | Total import and export trade of each region/regional GDP expressed in RMB and taking natural logarithms. |
FDI | Foreign investment. | Percentage of total FDI. | Total FDI/regional GDP expressed in RMB and taking natural logarithms. |
MARKET | Marketability. | Fan marketization index. | Calculated using the marketization index derived by Fan Gang and taking natural logarithms. |
CPI | Inflation. | CPI index. | CPI index for each country and take natural logarithm. |
SAVING | Resident savings. | Savings rate. | Savings/gross disposable income per capital with natural logarithms. |
CAPITAL | Capital stock. | Percentage of capital stock. | Regional real capital stock/regional GDP with natural logarithm. |
Variable | Obs. | Mean | St. Dev. | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
THEIL | 600 | 0.118 | 0.057 | 0.020 | 0.270 |
FINZ | 600 | 0.082 | 0.087 | 0.021 | 0.805 |
GDP | 600 | 8.717 | 0.737 | 7.102 | 10.410 |
URBAN | 600 | 50.180 | 15.290 | 24.360 | 88.890 |
GOV | 600 | −1.639 | 0.435 | −2.482 | −0.412 |
EDU | 600 | 1.595 | 0.267 | 1.109 | 2.269 |
STRUC | 600 | 4.474 | 0.074 | 4.236 | 4.601 |
INFOR | 600 | 1.623 | 0.508 | 0.361 | 3.159 |
TRADE | 600 | −1.677 | 0.997 | −3.427 | 0.469 |
FDI | 600 | 0.500 | 1.083 | −4.534 | 2.794 |
MARKET | 600 | 1.783 | 0.327 | 0.932 | 2.386 |
CPI | 600 | 4.628 | 0.019 | 4.588 | 4.677 |
SAVING | 600 | 3.159 | 0.238 | 2.443 | 3.579 |
CAPITAL | 600 | 0.718 | 0.230 | 0.343 | 1.399 |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FINZ | 0.170 *** | 0.135 *** | 0.134 *** | 0.135 *** | 0.128 *** | 0.126 *** | 0.151 *** |
(5.101) | (7.330) | (6.389) | (5.430) | (5.282) | (6.390) | (5.607) | |
GDP | 0.001 | 0.001 | −0.001 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.004 | |
(−0.038) | (−0.057) | (−0.232) | (0.410) | (0.861) | (1.484) | ||
URBAN | −0.001 *** | −0.001 *** | −0.001 *** | −0.001 *** | −0.001 *** | −0.001 *** | |
(−3.217) | (−3.232) | (−3.567) | (−2.860) | (−3.498) | (−2.956) | ||
GOV | 0.019 | 0.02 | 0.029 * | 0.029 ** | 0.022 * | ||
(1.133) | (1.242) | (1.870) | (2.544) | (1.923) | |||
EDU | −0.006 | −0.007 | −0.010 | −0.011 | −0.018 *** | ||
(−0.569) | (−0.725) | (−1.134) | (−1.452) | (−2.848) | |||
STRUC | 0.023 | 0.071 ** | 0.071 ** | 0.079 ** | |||
(0.549) | (2.084) | (2.095) | (2.073) | ||||
INFOR | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.005 | |||
(0.211) | (0.315) | (0.153) | (0.708) | ||||
TRADE | −0.015 *** | −0.015 *** | −0.014 *** | ||||
(−15.248) | (−16.255) | (−9.300) | |||||
FDI | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.001 | ||||
(−0.587) | (−0.648) | (−0.915) | |||||
MARKET | 0.001 | 0.002 | |||||
(0.123) | (0.197) | ||||||
CPI | 0.176 *** | 0.209 *** | |||||
(3.074) | (3.699) | ||||||
SAVING | −0.016 *** | ||||||
(−3.135) | |||||||
CAPITAL | 0.018 *** | ||||||
(3.222) | |||||||
Constant | 0.108 *** | 0.159 ** | 0.205 ** | 0.113 | −0.132 | −0.948 *** | −1.122 *** |
(64.452) | (2.625) | (2.228) | (0.439) | (−0.640) | (−5.089) | (−5.810) | |
Obs. | 600 | 600 | 600 | 600 | 600 | 600 | 600 |
Adjusted R2 | 0.764 | 0.778 | 0.780 | 0.780 | 0.798 | 0.800 | 0.808 |
Time Fixed Effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Province Fixed Effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Phase I | Phase II | Phase I | Phase II | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Economic Financialization | Theil Index | Economic Financialization | Theil Index | |
(8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | |
Bartik-IV | 18.293 *** | 17.747 *** | ||
(5.174) | (5.156) | |||
L.FINZ | 0.885 *** | 0.838 *** | ||
(14.439) | (13.195) | |||
FINZ | 0.213 *** | 0.181 *** | ||
(10.181) | (6.855) | |||
Control Variable | No | No | Yes | Yes |
Obs. | 570 | 570 | 570 | 570 |
Adjusted R2 | 0.901 | 0.784 | 0.904 | 0.833 |
Time Fixed Effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Province Fixed Effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Under-identifiability Test | 22.683 | 29.822 | ||
Weak Instrumental Variables Test | 1004.976 | 536.192 | ||
Over-Identification Test | 0.845 | 0.747 |
Substitution of Explained Variables | Substitution of Explanatory Variables | Excluding Municipalities | Correcting for Outliers | |
---|---|---|---|---|
(12) | (13) | (14) | (15) | |
Ratio of Disposable Income of Urban and Rural Residents | Theil Index | Theil Index | Theil Index | |
FINZ | 0.576 *** | 0.176 *** | 0.214 *** | |
(6.215) | (3.181) | (8.812) | ||
FINZ(PCA) | 0.007 *** | |||
(7.720) | ||||
Constant | −0.729 | −1.180 *** | −0.571 ** | −1.240 *** |
(−0.753) | (−6.890) | (−2.652) | (−6.804) | |
Control Variable | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Obs. | 600 | 600 | 520 | 600 |
Adjusted R2 | 0.752 | 0.802 | 0.823 | 0.808 |
Time Fixed Effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Province Fixed Effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Regional Heterogeneity in Geographic Distribution | Regional Heterogeneity in Quality of Economic Development | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eastern | Central | Western | Leading | Catching-Up | Disadvantaged | |
(16) | (17) | (18) | (19) | (20) | (21) | |
FINZ | 0.081 *** | 0.344 *** | −0.275 *** | 0.085 *** | 0.097 | −0.181 *** |
(4.617) | (5.972) | (−7.277) | (4.002) | (1.318) | (−4.092) | |
Constant | −0.1 | −0.071 | −1.692 *** | −0.05 | −0.167 | −1.038 ** |
(−0.123) | (−0.233) | (−12.202) | (−0.075) | (−0.807) | (−3.899) | |
Control Variable | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Obs. | 220 | 160 | 220 | 200 | 280 | 120 |
Adjusted R2 | 0.795 | 0.918 | 0.939 | 0.798 | 0.919 | 0.953 |
Time Fixed Effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Province Fixed Effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Wage Income Theil Index | Wage Income Theil Index | Property Income Theil Index | Property Income Theil Index | |
---|---|---|---|---|
(22) | (23) | (24) | (25) | |
FINZ | 1.517 *** | 1.096 *** | −0.345 *** | −0.245 ** |
(9.831) | (5.957) | (−10.427) | (−2.090) | |
Constant | 0.314 *** | 0.324 | 0.218 *** | 4.813 *** |
(40.341) | (0.098) | (130.440) | (3.502) | |
Control Variable | No | Yes | No | Yes |
Obs. | 600 | 600 | 600 | 600 |
Adjusted R2 | 0.593 | 0.689 | 0.362 | 0.434 |
Time Fixed Effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Province Fixed Effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Year | Economic Financialization | Income Gap Between Urban and Rural Residents | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Moran’s I Index | Z-Value | Moran’s I Index | Z-Value | |
2003 | 0.199 *** | 4.643 | 0.134 *** | 4.150 |
2004 | 0.203 *** | 4.693 | 0.146 *** | 4.530 |
2005 | 0.225 *** | 5.146 | 0.157 *** | 4.758 |
2006 | 0.225 *** | 5.136 | 0.165 *** | 4.904 |
2007 | 0.216 *** | 4.959 | 0.164 *** | 5.012 |
2008 | 0.222 *** | 5.108 | 0.161 *** | 5.036 |
2009 | 0.227 *** | 5.205 | 0.177 *** | 5.255 |
2010 | 0.236 *** | 5.391 | 0.191 *** | 5.447 |
2011 | 0.227 *** | 5.191 | 0.190 *** | 5.521 |
2012 | 0.229 *** | 5.252 | 0.191 *** | 5.429 |
2013 | 0.232 *** | 5.299 | 0.192 *** | 5.434 |
2014 | 0.231 *** | 5.276 | 0.193 *** | 5.467 |
2015 | 0.234 *** | 5.340 | 0.189 *** | 5.405 |
2016 | 0.234 *** | 5.345 | 0.193 *** | 5.438 |
2017 | 0.241 *** | 5.521 | 0.171 *** | 5.207 |
2018 | 0.240 *** | 5.496 | 0.160 *** | 5.089 |
2019 | 0.239 *** | 5.466 | 0.166 *** | 5.154 |
2020 | 0.238 *** | 5.451 | 0.172 *** | 5.186 |
2021 | 0.238 *** | 5.458 | 0.172 *** | 5.176 |
2022 | 0.239 *** | 5.508 | 0.168 *** | 5.213 |
LM Test | W01 | Wgeo | Weg |
---|---|---|---|
Spatial Error: | |||
Moran’s I | 5.907 *** | 38.917 *** | 28.596 *** |
Lagrange Multiplier | 496.619 *** | 1137.623 *** | 642.252 *** |
Robust Lagrange Multiplier | 421.647 *** | 829.402 *** | 466.232 *** |
Spatial Lag: | |||
Lagrange Multiplier | 79.821 *** | 318.993 *** | 183.103 *** |
Robust Lagrange Multiplier | 4.849 ** | 10.773 *** | 7.082 *** |
LR Test | W01 | Wgeo | Weg |
H0: SAR is better than SDM | 58.060 *** | 74.560 *** | 77.950 *** |
H0: SEM is better than SDM | 71.680 *** | 99.630 *** | 91.840 *** |
Wald Test | W01 | Wgeo | Weg |
H0: SDM is degradable to SAR and SEM | 290.160 *** | 321.380 *** | 330.610 *** |
Hausman Test | W01 | Wgeo | Weg |
H0: Individual effects and explanatory variables are not correlated | 86.700 *** | 758.65 *** | 98.450 *** |
Adjacency Weight Matrix | Geographic Distance Weighting Matrix | Economic Geography Nested Matrix | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(26) | (27) | (28) | (29) | (30) | (31) | |
FINZ | 0.109 *** | 0.094 *** | 0.144 *** | 0.115 *** | 0.139 *** | 0.106 *** |
(6.057) | (3.301) | (7.976) | (3.939) | (7.430) | (3.421) | |
W×FINZ | 0.004 *** | 0.008 ** | 0.006 *** | 0.011 ** | 0.006 *** | 0.011 ** |
(2.908) | (1.980) | (3.169) | (2.011) | (3.687) | (2.142) | |
ρ | 0.524 *** | 0.480 *** | 0.654 *** | 0.591 *** | 0.462 *** | 0.444 *** |
(6.355) | (5.242) | (10.999) | (7.418) | (3.966) | (3.631) | |
Direct Effect | 0.000 *** | 0.000 *** | 0.000 *** | 0.000 *** | 0.000 *** | 0.000 *** |
(6.142) | (7.857) | (5.644) | (8.180) | (5.883) | (8.992) | |
Indirect Effect | 0.122 *** | 0.107 *** | 0.154 *** | 0.123 *** | 0.145 *** | 0.112 *** |
(6.240) | (3.477) | (7.964) | (4.030) | (7.590) | (3.455) | |
ALL Effect | 0.140 *** | 0.134 *** | 0.328 *** | 0.252 *** | 0.172 ** | 0.162 ** |
(3.276) | (2.647) | (3.807) | (3.337) | (2.316) | (2.117) | |
Control Variable | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes |
Obs. | 600 | 600 | 600 | 600 | 600 | 600 |
Adjusted R2 | 0.262 | 0.236 | 0.421 | 0.36 | 0.308 | 0.285 |
Time Fixed Effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Province Fixed Effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
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Chen, Z.; Jiao, F. The Impact of Economic Financialization on the Income Gap Between Urban and Rural Residents: Evidence from China. Sustainability 2025, 17, 3484. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17083484
Chen Z, Jiao F. The Impact of Economic Financialization on the Income Gap Between Urban and Rural Residents: Evidence from China. Sustainability. 2025; 17(8):3484. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17083484
Chicago/Turabian StyleChen, Zhuang, and Fangyi Jiao. 2025. "The Impact of Economic Financialization on the Income Gap Between Urban and Rural Residents: Evidence from China" Sustainability 17, no. 8: 3484. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17083484
APA StyleChen, Z., & Jiao, F. (2025). The Impact of Economic Financialization on the Income Gap Between Urban and Rural Residents: Evidence from China. Sustainability, 17(8), 3484. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17083484