Analysis of the Dynamic System Driving High-Quality Transformation of Resource-Based Regions Through Smart Eco-Innovation: Evidence from Daqing City, China
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. System Dynamics Modeling (SDM)
2.2. System Design
2.3. System Structural Relationships and Variable Setting
2.3.1. Causal Relationship
2.3.2. Flow Diagrams
2.3.3. Setting of Input and Output Variables
3. Simulation Result Analysis
3.1. Selection of Study Region
3.2. Data Sources and Processing
3.3. Parameter Setting and Validation
3.4. Simulation Scenario Design
3.5. Result
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions and Implications
5.1. Conclusions
5.2. Implications
6. Limitations and Future Recommendations
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
eco-innovation | Ecological innovation |
IT | Information technology |
ICT | Information and communication technology |
AI | Artificial intelligence |
SDM | System dynamics modeling |
tce | Ton of standard coal equivalent |
three wastes | Waste water, waste gas, solid waste |
Appendix A
Primary Indicator | Secondary Indicator | Unit | Indicator Attribute | Secondary Indicator | Unit | Indicator Attribute |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scientific and technological innovation subsystem | Science and technology human resources (number of R&D personnel) | ten thousand people | state variable | R&D investment | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable |
Increase in science and technology human resources | ten thousand people | rate variable | Education investment | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | |
Decrease in science and technology human resources | ten thousand people | rate variable | R&D investment coefficient | / | constant | |
Number of postgraduate graduates | people | auxiliary variable | Education investment coefficient | / | constant | |
Science and technology resource investment | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | Number of patent applications | piece | auxiliary variable | |
Science and technology resource investment coefficient | / | constant | ||||
Economic coordination subsystem | GDP | hundred million yuan | state variable | Smart agriculture investment | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable |
GDP increase | hundred million yuan | rate variable | Smart agriculture investment coefficient | / | constant | |
GDP growth rate | % | auxiliary variable | Value added of the primary industry | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | |
Fiscal expenditure | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | Value added of the secondary industry | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | |
Fiscal expenditure coefficient | / | constant | Value added of industry | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | |
Fixed asset investment | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | Value added of the tertiary industry | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | |
Fixed asset investment coefficient | / | constant | Energy consumption of the primary industry value added | ten thousand tce | auxiliary variable | |
Investment in the primary industry | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | Energy consumption of the secondary industry value added | ten thousand tce | auxiliary variable | |
Investment in the secondary industry | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | Energy consumption of the tertiary industry value added | ten thousand tce | auxiliary variable | |
Investment in the tertiary industry | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | Energy consumption coefficient for value added of the three industries | / | constant | |
Investment coefficient of the three industries | / | constant | Industrial coordination | / | state variable | |
Smart city investment | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | Industrial coordination change rate | % | rate variable | |
Smart city investment coefficient | / | constant | Urban–rural coordination | / | state variable | |
Smart energy investment | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | Urban–rural coordination change rate | % | rate variable | |
Smart energy investment coefficient | / | constant | ||||
Green energy subsystem | Remaining available energy reserves | ten thousand tce | state variable | Production of the three wastes | ten thousand tons | auxiliary variable |
Energy production | ten thousand tce | rate variable | Non-compliant amount of the three wastes | ten thousand tons | auxiliary variable | |
Energy consumption | ten thousand tce | rate variable | Compliance rate of the three wastes | % | auxiliary variable | |
Sectoral energy consumption | ten thousand tce | auxiliary variable | Economic loss due to pollution | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | |
Industrial energy consumption | ten thousand tce | auxiliary variable | Environmental capacity | / | state variable | |
Residential energy consumption | ten thousand tce | auxiliary variable | Rate of change in environmental capacity | % | rate variable | |
Smart energy investment | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | Environmental pollution carrying capacity | / | auxiliary variable | |
Smart energy investment coefficient | / | constant | Smart environmental protection investment | hundred million yuan | state variable | |
Economic loss due to energy shortage | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | Annual smart environmental protection investment | hundred million yuan | rate variable | |
Existing pollution quantity | ten thousand tons | state variable | Smart environmental protection investment coefficient | / | constant | |
Increase in pollutant quantity | ten thousand tons | rate variable | ||||
Open development subsystem | Regional openness | / | state variable | Total commodity flow value | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable |
Change in regional openness | / | rate variable | Commodity import and export value | hundred million dollars | auxiliary variable | |
Total capital inflow | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | Domestic commodity flow value | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | |
Actual foreign capital utilized | hundred million dollars | auxiliary variable | Smart business environment construction | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | |
Actual domestic capital utilized | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | Smart business environment construction coefficient | / | constant | |
People’s livelihood subsystem | Total population | ten thousand people | state variable | Population outflow volume | ten thousand people | auxiliary variable |
Net population growth | ten thousand people | rate variable | Environmental pollution coefficient | / | auxiliary variable | |
Volume of growth of natural population | ten thousand people | auxiliary variable | Living standard (per capita GDP) | ten thousand yuan | auxiliary variable | |
Net population inflow volume | ten thousand people | auxiliary variable | Smart livelihood construction | hundred million yuan | auxiliary variable | |
Population inflow volume | ten thousand people | auxiliary variable | Smart livelihood construction coefficient | / | constant |
Terms | Meaning |
---|---|
Smart ecology construction: | Achieving urban sustainability by promoting harmonious coexistence between humans and nature, optimizing resource utilization, reducing pollution emissions, and enhancing residents’ quality of life through technological innovation and urban planning. |
High-quality development: | Development driven by innovation, characterized by coordination, embodied in green practices, pursued through openness, and aimed at sharing, seeks to transform economic growth from mere scale expansion to quality and efficiency enhancement, thereby fulfilling people’s aspirations for a better life and achieving comprehensive and sustainable development. |
New development concept: | A scientific conceptual framework primarily comprising innovation, coordination, green development, openness, and sharing, guiding economic and social development to promote high-quality growth, facilitate comprehensive progress, and achieve sustainability. |
Oil-to-chemicals: | A development model that uses petroleum as raw material, extends the industrial chain, and enhances product value added through deep processing in the petrochemical industry, thereby transforming a resource-based economy towards diversification and high-end development. |
Urban resilience: | The capacity of an urban system to withstand, adapt to, and rapidly recover from natural disasters, socio-economic shocks, or other uncertainties, while learning from crises to enhance its own sustainable development. |
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Input Variable | Output Variable | Effects |
---|---|---|
Smart technology investment | Patent applications | Innovative development; Economic growth; Livable environment; Common prosperity; |
Industrial investment | GDP growth rate | |
Smart energy construction | Remaining available energy reserves | |
Pollution control investment | Pollution stock | |
Smart business environment construction | Total capital inflow | |
Livelihood construction | Total population |
Indicator | Calculation Method | Initial Parameter |
---|---|---|
Science and technology resource investment coefficient | =R&D expenditure/GDP (including the regional government and enterprise R&D investments in science and technology) | 23.81% |
Industrial investment structure | =investment in the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries/the total fixed asset investment | 7.53%; 57.88%; 34.59%; |
Smart energy investment coefficient | =smart energy investment/investment of the secondary industry | 23.91% |
Smart environmental protection investment coefficient | =environmental pollution control investment/fiscal expenditure | 23.45% |
Smart business environment construction coefficient | =smart governance investment/fiscal expenditure | 12.00% |
Smart livelihood construction coefficient | =smart city investment/fixed asset investment | 23.91% |
Policy Scenario | Science and Technology Resource Investment Coefficient | Industrial Investment Structure | Smart Energy Investment Coefficient | Smart Environmental Protection Investment Coefficient | Smart Business Environment Construction Coefficient | Smart Livelihood Construction Coefficient |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | 0.2381 | 0.0753:0.5788:0.3459 | 0.2391 | 0.2345 | 0.1200 | 0.2391 |
C1-1 (+20%) | 0.2857 | |||||
C1-2 (−20%) | 0.1905 | |||||
C2-1 (+20%) | 0.0753:0.4630:0.4617 | |||||
C2-2 (−20%) | 0.0753:0.6946:0.2301 | |||||
C3-1 (+20%) | 0.2869 | |||||
C3-2 (−20%) | 0.1913 | |||||
C4-1 (+20%) | 0.2814 | |||||
C4-2 (−20%) | 0.1876 | |||||
C5-1 (+20%) | 0.1440 | |||||
C5-2 (−20%) | 0.0960 | |||||
C6-1 (+20%) | 0.2869 | |||||
C6-2 (−20%) | 0.1913 | |||||
C7 (+20%) | 0.2857 | 0.0753:0.4630:0.4617 | 0.2869 | 0.2814 | 0.1440 | 0.2869 |
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Cui, L.; Peng, M.; Zhang, H.; Cui, L. Analysis of the Dynamic System Driving High-Quality Transformation of Resource-Based Regions Through Smart Eco-Innovation: Evidence from Daqing City, China. Sustainability 2025, 17, 3153. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17073153
Cui L, Peng M, Zhang H, Cui L. Analysis of the Dynamic System Driving High-Quality Transformation of Resource-Based Regions Through Smart Eco-Innovation: Evidence from Daqing City, China. Sustainability. 2025; 17(7):3153. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17073153
Chicago/Turabian StyleCui, Liying, Min Peng, Hengshuo Zhang, and Liwei Cui. 2025. "Analysis of the Dynamic System Driving High-Quality Transformation of Resource-Based Regions Through Smart Eco-Innovation: Evidence from Daqing City, China" Sustainability 17, no. 7: 3153. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17073153
APA StyleCui, L., Peng, M., Zhang, H., & Cui, L. (2025). Analysis of the Dynamic System Driving High-Quality Transformation of Resource-Based Regions Through Smart Eco-Innovation: Evidence from Daqing City, China. Sustainability, 17(7), 3153. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17073153