How Autonomous Vehicles Shape Urban Traffic Sustainability: An Empirical Study Based on Structural Equation Modeling
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Research Hypotheses
2.1. Public Perception of Travel and Urban Transportation Sustainability
2.1.1. Accessibility
2.1.2. Safety
2.1.3. Smart Mobility
2.2. Land Transportation Planning
2.3. Vehicle Management Measures
2.4. Scope of Service Point Support
2.5. Vehicle Deployment Allocation
3. Research Design and Methodology
3.1. Questionnaire Design
3.2. Data Collection
4. Data Analysis and Results
4.1. Measurement Model Evaluation
4.2. Structural Model Evaluation
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions and Limitations
6.1. Theoretical Contributions
6.2. Practical Significance
6.3. Limitations and Future Research
- (a)
- Geographic Scope Limitation: The survey was conducted only in certain cities in China. Autonomous vehicle pilot cities in China are limited, primarily concentrated in first-tier cities with high levels of infrastructure, regulatory support, and industry development, which may not represent the transportation levels of all cities in China.
- (b)
- External Variables Limitation: The conditions of autonomous vehicle pilot cities vary, influencing citizens’ subjective evaluations of the technology. Public perceptions can differ depending on road conditions, traffic signs, lane markings, and other factors.
- (c)
- Sample Limitation: The survey predominantly attracted younger participants, especially those aged 18–35. Younger people are more accepting of emerging transportation technologies and show greater enthusiasm for autonomous vehicles. However, the sample may not fully represent the entire population, and future research should aim for a more balanced age distribution to capture a wider range of attitudes and mobility characteristics.
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Factor | Code | Definition | |
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Land transport planning | LTP | Refers to the strategies developed by governments and transportation authorities for land use and transportation infrastructure to optimize road resource allocation, improve traffic efficiency, and support the safe and sustainable operation of autonomous vehicles (AVs). Effective land transport planning can alleviate urban congestion, reduce environmental impacts, and enhance the integration of public transport and smart transportation systems. | |
Vehicle management measures | VM | Refers to various management strategies implemented by policymakers and traffic authorities to optimize the operational efficiency, road usage, and environmental impact of autonomous vehicles (AVs). These measures aim to improve urban transportation sustainability, reduce congestion, increase resource utilization, and lower carbon emissions. | |
Scope of Service Point Support | SPS | Refers to the coverage, reasonable distribution, and accessibility of service points (such as charging stations, parking lots, maintenance centers, and transfer hubs) for autonomous vehicles (AVs) provided by urban transportation planning and infrastructure. The effective layout and functionality of these service points are crucial for AV operation efficiency, user convenience, and overall transportation sustainability. | |
Vehicle deployment allocation | VDA | Refers to the optimized deployment and scheduling strategies of autonomous vehicles (AVs) within the urban transportation system to improve traffic efficiency, reduce congestion, optimize resource utilization, and support sustainable travel modes. Rational deployment involves adjusting vehicle density, demand matching, and collaboration with existing transportation modes across different regions and times. | |
accessibility | AC | Refers to the ability of the urban transportation system to provide convenient, safe, and efficient travel services to residents, particularly in the context of autonomous vehicles (AVs). Accessibility measures how easily different population groups, urban areas, and transportation modes can be accessed, as well as how AVs can optimize commuting time, reduce travel barriers, and improve the travel experience. | |
safety | SF | Refers to the ability of autonomous vehicles (AVs) to ensure the safety of passengers, pedestrians, other road users, and themselves during operation. This includes the reliability of autonomous driving technology, traffic accident prevention capabilities, emergency response mechanisms, and network and data security measures to reduce traffic risks and improve the overall safety of urban transportation. | |
Smart mobility | SM | Refers to the realization of efficient, safe, and environmentally friendly urban transportation systems based on autonomous driving technology, digital traffic management, shared mobility, and multimodal travel integration. Smart mobility uses data-driven optimization strategies to improve traffic flow, reduce congestion, and enhance citizens’ travel experiences. | |
Urban mobility sustainability | UBS | Refers to the achievement of an efficient, low-carbon, and equitable urban transportation system through autonomous driving technology, intelligent traffic management, and sustainable policies. Sustainability is reflected in reducing carbon emissions, improving travel efficiency, optimizing resource allocation, and ensuring that all social groups have equal access to convenient transportation services, thereby promoting long-term urban sustainable development. | |
Factor | Operational Definition and Item Content | Source | |
Land transport planning | Optimizing the traffic network based on the current land use and future traffic demand, with the premise of meeting transportation needs. LTP1: “I think convenient traffic planning and regular maintenance of autonomous vehicles are helpful”. LTP2: “I believe that dividing road traffic by functional areas helps improve the service quality of autonomous vehicles”. LTP3: “I think that, considering the economic level, the fare for autonomous vehicles is reasonable”. LTP4: “I think that with the improvement of traffic planning laws and regulations, the arrangement of autonomous vehicles has become more orderly”. | [85] | |
Vehicle management measures | Road management agencies systematically manage the regulations and enforcement processes related to the registration, supervision, and other aspects of autonomous vehicles. VM1: “I believe that dynamic information of autonomous vehicles is effectively regulated”. VM2: “I believe that the safety facilities of autonomous vehicles have been properly managed”. VM3: “A well-established autonomous vehicle information management system can allocate and select appropriate vehicle resources for us”. VM4: “I believe that autonomous vehicle resources are placed in the right locations”. | [86] | |
Scope of Service Point Support | Autonomous vehicle users can receive timely and comprehensive services from a series of service points established by service providers. SPS1: “The autonomous vehicle operating company has an adequate number of service points to provide us with more attentive maintenance services”. SPS2: “The autonomous vehicle service points offer relevant technical training services for users”. SPS3: “The staff at the autonomous vehicle service points are highly professional and have a positive service attitude, being responsible and patient in answering my questions and difficulties, and providing the corresponding help and support”. SPS4: “In the event of an accident, I believe the support services of autonomous vehicles are timely”. | [87] | |
Vehicle deployment allocation | The extent to which resources and technological infrastructure are used to support the electronic diagnostic technology of autonomous vehicles. VDA1: “The autonomous system will dynamically adjust vehicle deployment based on real-time road conditions, vehicle numbers, and areas”. VDA2: “The autonomous system will deploy vehicles flexibly and appropriately based on road conditions and the public’s acceptance level”. VDA3: “The autonomous system will dynamically adjust vehicle operating times and areas based on the vehicle’s health status and real-time load conditions”. | [88] | |
Accessibility | In public transportation planning, measuring accessibility plays an important role in assessing the distribution across the entire region. AC1: “Autonomous vehicles can take me to the places I want to go”. AC2: “Autonomous vehicles can provide 24-h uninterrupted travel services”. AC3: “Autonomous vehicles can accurately understand my requirements and intentions, and take me to my destination accurately and on time”. AC4: “Autonomous vehicles arrive to pick me up quickly and conveniently”. AC5: “I can easily call an autonomous vehicle using a mobile app”. | [89] | |
Safety | Perceived safety issues for users traveling with autonomous vehicles: SF1: “When using autonomous vehicles, I often consider traffic safety issues”. SF2: “When using autonomous vehicles, I feel very safe”. SF3: “I think driving at night is unsafe, so I would choose to travel in an autonomous vehicle”. SF4: “Compared to driving myself, I believe using an autonomous vehicle reduces the likelihood of a car accident”. SF5: “I am very concerned about traffic safety issues”. | [90] | |
Smart mobility | Utilizing smart technology to achieve efficient and sustainable mobility services, meeting current and future travel needs: SM1: “Autonomous vehicles have excellent perception capabilities, enabling them to clearly understand the surrounding environment and identify obstacles”. SM2: “Autonomous vehicles can make correct decisions when facing complex traffic scenarios (such as intersections or sudden pedestrians)”. SM3: “Autonomous vehicles respond quickly to sudden situations, ensuring the safety of passengers”. | [91] | |
Urban mobility sustainability | Achieving sustainable mobility within urban transportation systems: UBS1: “I believe the use of autonomous vehicles reduces private car usage, contributing to the sustainable development of the city”. UBS2: “Using autonomous vehicle services provides sustainable solutions for urban transportation”. UBS3: “Autonomous vehicles offer more choices to urban residents, enhancing the diversity and sustainability of urban mobility”. | [92] |
Sample | Category | Number (n = 502) | Proportion (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Gender | Male | 244 | 48.6 |
Female | 258 | 51.4 | |
Age | 18–25 | 161 | 32.1 |
26–35 | 265 | 52.8 | |
36–45 | 65.26 | 13 | |
46–55 | 6 | 1.2 | |
56–60 | 4 | 0.8 | |
61 above | 5 | 0.1 | |
High school/Technical school | 100 | 20 | |
Education | Undergraduate | 289 | 57.5 |
Master | 113 | 22.5 | |
Experienced time period | 0–3 months | 210 | 41.9 |
1 months | 160 | 31.8 | |
3 months | 66 | 13.2 | |
6 months | 66 | 13.1 |
Construct | Item | Standardized Factor Loading | VIF | Cronbach’s Alpha | CR | AVE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Land transport planning | LTP1 | 0.819 | 1.953 | 0.872 | 0.865 | 0.712 |
LTP2 | 0.845 | 2.104 | ||||
LTP3 | 0.858 | 2.240 | ||||
LTP4 | 0.852 | 1.979 | ||||
Vehicle management measures | VM1 | 0.821 | 1.893 | 0.858 | 0.860 | 0.701 |
VM2 | 0.849 | 1.994 | ||||
VM3 | 0.846 | 2.085 | ||||
VM4 | 0.832 | 1.978 | ||||
Scope of Service Point Support | SPS1 | 0.894 | 3.109 | 0.902 | 0.902 | 0.773 |
SPS2 | 0.869 | 2.447 | ||||
SPS3 | 0.887 | 3.001 | ||||
SPS4 | 0.868 | 2.426 | ||||
Vehicle deployment allocation | VDA 1 | 0.883 | 2.160 | 0.841 | 0.841 | 0.759 |
VDA 2 | 0.853 | 1.822 | ||||
VDA 3 | 0.878 | 2.083 | ||||
Smart mobility | SM1 | 0.887 | 2.143 | 0.859 | 0.860 | 0.780 |
SM2 | 0.881 | 2.196 | ||||
SM3 | 0.881 | 2.152 | ||||
Safety | SF1 | 0.889 | 2.065 | 0.926 | 0.927 | 0.770 |
SF2 | 0.870 | 2.104 | ||||
SF3 | 0.883 | 1.357 | ||||
SF4 | 0.872 | 2.846 | ||||
SF5 | 0.875 | 2.810 | ||||
Accessibility | AC1 | 0.783 | 1.873 | 0.887 | 0.887 | 0.689 |
AC2 | 0.830 | 2.281 | ||||
AC3 | 0.869 | 2.607 | ||||
AC4 | 0.853 | 2.342 | ||||
AC5 | 0.813 | 1.993 | ||||
Urban mobility Sustainability | UBS1 | 0.911 | 2.776 | 0.890 | 0.924 | 0.820 |
UBS2 | 0.911 | 2.741 | ||||
UBS3 | 0.895 | 2.381 |
SM | SF | AC | UBS | LTP | VM | SPS | VDA | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SM | 0.883 | |||||||
SF | 0.728 | 0.878 | ||||||
AC | 0.718 | 0.702 | 0.830 | |||||
UBS | 0.642 | 0.711 | 0.709 | 0.905 | ||||
LTP | 0.589 | 0.466 | 0.602 | 0.551 | 0.844 | |||
VM | 0.737 | 0.615 | 0.684 | 0.620 | 0.696 | 0.837 | ||
SPS | 0.712 | 0.548 | 0.688 | 0.613 | 0.757 | 0.787 | 0.879 | |
VDA | 0.764 | 0.652 | 0.702 | 0.638 | 0.627 | 0.745 | 0.769 | 0.871 |
SM | SF | AC | UBS | LTP | VM | SPS | VDA | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SM | ||||||||
SF | 0.815 | |||||||
AC | 0.821 | 0.773 | ||||||
UBS | 0.733 | 0.783 | 0.797 | |||||
LTP | 0.677 | 0.511 | 0.682 | 0.624 | ||||
VM | 0.856 | 0.684 | 0.782 | 0.708 | 0.807 | |||
SPS | 0.807 | 0.596 | 0.769 | 0.684 | 0.858 | 0.896 | ||
VDA | 0.899 | 0.738 | 0.812 | 0.737 | 0.732 | 0.875 | 0.883 |
Hypothesis | Path | StdBeta | t-Value | p-Value | Results |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
H1 | LTP→AC | 0.074 | 1.388 | 0.165 | Not Support |
H2 | LTP→SF | 0.071 | 0.008 | 0.994 | Not Support |
H3 | LTP→SM | 0.056 | 0.014 | 0.998 | Not Support |
H4 | VM→AC | 0.069 | 3.272 | 0.001 | Support |
H5 | VM→ SF | 0.081 | 3.894 | 0.000 | Support |
H6 | VM→SM | 0.061 | 5.028 | 0.000 | Support |
H7 | SPS→AC | 0.084 | 2.074 | 0.038 | Support |
H8 | SPS→SF | 0.072 | 0.735 | 0.462 | Not Support |
H9 | SPS→SM | 0.059 | 2.401 | 0.016 | Support |
H10 | VDA→AC | 0.070 | 4.782 | 0.000 | Support |
H11 | VDA→SF | 0.071 | 6.490 | 0.000 | Support |
H12 | VDA→SM | 0.058 | 7.386 | 0.000 | Support |
H13 | AC→UBS | 0.081 | 4.616 | 0.000 | Support |
H14 | SF→UBS | 0.081 | 4.666 | 0.000 | Support |
H15 | SM→UBS | 0.066 | 1.497 | 0.134 | Not Support |
Constructs | R2 | Q2 |
---|---|---|
SM | 0.653 | 0.531 |
SF | 0.463 | 0.645 |
AC | 0.571 | 0.528 |
UBS | 0.596 | 0.601 |
LTP | 0.509 | |
VM | 0.493 | |
SPS | 0.606 | |
VDA | 0.496 |
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Li, K.; Li, D. How Autonomous Vehicles Shape Urban Traffic Sustainability: An Empirical Study Based on Structural Equation Modeling. Sustainability 2025, 17, 2589. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17062589
Li K, Li D. How Autonomous Vehicles Shape Urban Traffic Sustainability: An Empirical Study Based on Structural Equation Modeling. Sustainability. 2025; 17(6):2589. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17062589
Chicago/Turabian StyleLi, Kaiyue, and Dongning Li. 2025. "How Autonomous Vehicles Shape Urban Traffic Sustainability: An Empirical Study Based on Structural Equation Modeling" Sustainability 17, no. 6: 2589. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17062589
APA StyleLi, K., & Li, D. (2025). How Autonomous Vehicles Shape Urban Traffic Sustainability: An Empirical Study Based on Structural Equation Modeling. Sustainability, 17(6), 2589. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17062589