3.1. Gate-to-Gate Analysis (Without End-of-Life)
The results of this LCIA reflect the environmental burdens associated with the production of 1 kg of PBAT, including mixing, drying, extrusion, cooling, and pelletizing operations.
The environmental performance of the PBAT resin production process was assessed across multiple midpoint and endpoint impact categories using the ReCiPe method, complemented by IPCC GWP 100a for climate change. The analysis was divided into two primary process stages: mixing & drying and extrusion & pelletizing.
Across midpoint indicators as shown in
Figure 3, extrusion & pelletizing generally exerts a slightly greater influence, particularly in categories such as terrestrial ecotoxicity, marine ecotoxicity, and agricultural land occupation, where its contribution exceeds 70%.
Figure 4 illustrates the relative contribution of two production stages, mixing & drying and PBAT extrusion & pelletizing, to the overall environmental damage across three ReCiPe endpoint categories: Human Health, Ecosystems, and Resources. In terms of human health impacts, the contribution is nearly balanced, with mixing & drying accounting for approximately 47% of the total damage and extrusion & pelletizing making up the remaining 53%. A similar trend is observed for ecosystem damage, where mixing & drying contributes roughly 45%, and the extrusion stage slightly dominates at 55%. These outcomes highlight that both stages are environmentally intensive in terms of emissions and toxicity-related burdens.
However, a notably different pattern is seen in the resource damage category. Here, mixing & drying contributes the majority share, over 63%, compared to approximately 37% from extrusion and pelletizing.
Overall, while the environmental burdens are shared across both process phases, mixing & drying is clearly the dominant contributor to resource depletion, making it a critical target for optimization in efforts to reduce the environmental footprint of PBAT resin production.
The detailed environmental impact quantification per impact category with the total amount is also summarized in
Table 3.
Based on the impact assessment results presented in
Figure 5a, at the endpoint level, the absolute environmental impacts across the three damage categories, Human Health, Ecosystems, and Resources, demonstrate varying magnitudes and contributions. The Resource damage category exhibits the highest total environmental impact, reaching nearly 0.002 units. This makes it the most significant among the three, even when all categories are treated with equal weighting.
Based on the weighted endpoint results shown in
Figure 5b, the environmental burden associated with the production of 1 kg of PBAT resin has been evaluated using ReCiPe weighting factors of 400 for Human Health, 400 for Ecosystems, and 200 for Resources. These weights reflect a higher priority placed on human health and ecosystem protection relative to resource depletion, consistent with many policy and academic frameworks. As shown in
Figure 5b, the weighted environmental impacts for both human health and resource depletion are nearly equal, each contributing approximately 376.4 and 365.82 milli points (mPt), respectively, making them the dominant environmental concerns in the PBAT production process. This outcome indicates that, despite resource damage receiving a lower weight,
its absolute impact is high enough to match that of human health when normalized.
The 376.4 mPt (maximum amount) for human health is not “out of” a fixed scale like 100, rather, it comes from the Environmental Footprint (EF) impact assessment method, where the unit “Pt” (point) represents the aggregated damage to the environment based on normalization and weighting across multiple impact categories.
Based on the weighted ReCiPe endpoint assessment, the total environmental impact of producing 1 kg of the bioplastic is calculated to be 921 mPt. This single score aggregates the contributions from human health, ecosystem quality, and resource depletion, providing a comprehensive measure of the overall environmental burden. This score remains constant in the comparative analysis and serves as a fixed reference point for benchmarking other materials assessed under similar system boundaries, functional unit, and characterization conditions.
Table 4 presents the normalization reference values for each impact category based on the ReCiPe model. These values are used to scale and compare the magnitude of environmental impacts across categories, enabling a standardized interpretation of LCA results. They represent the global average annual environmental load per capita and provide a baseline for assessing the relative significance of each impact category within the overall assessment [
28].
The contribution network shown in
Figure 6 using a 17% cut-off threshold, reinforces these findings by highlighting key resource inputs. Electricity, comprising 38.6 MJ per kg of PBAT resin, contributes nearly 35% of the overall impact. The production of PBAT granules (0.8 kg) also accounts for a substantial portion of the burden in mixing and drying stage. Notably, magnesium alloy and other additive inputs, despite their small mass, introduce high impact per unit due to energy-intensive processing and extraction. While
Figure 6 displays percentage contributions, the corresponding absolute values are presented in
Table 5. The table confirms that the two main process stages, mixing and drying, and extrusion and pelletizing, together account for the full single-score of 921 mPt. Within these stages, upstream inputs such as electricity (~355 mPt), PBAT granulate (~173 mPt), and magnesium alloy (~174 mPt) emerge as critical hotspots. These results demonstrate that energy consumption and raw material sourcing are the dominant drivers of environmental impacts in PBAT resin production.
Collectively, these results highlight that mixing and drying holds the highest overall process-level impact, primarily due to material demands. At the input level, electricity consumption during extrusion and the use of PBAT and magnesium alloy represent the key upstream environmental hotspots. Reducing energy use an in-extrusion stages could improve the sustainability of PBAT resin production.
Also, as illustrated in
Figure 7, the total greenhouse gas emissions associated with the gate-to-gate production of 1 kg of PBAT-based bioplastic are approximately 8.64 kg CO
2 eq, with mixing and drying alone contributing over 4.3 kg CO
2 eq. This highlights the significant role of thermal energy use in early processing stages.
When compared with previous studies such as Luo et al. [
16] the GWP in this analysis (8.64 kg CO
2) is higher than the reported 5.89 kg CO
2, primarily due to the inclusion of additional processes. These extra conversion steps for producing PBAT-blend pellets account for approximately 2.75 kg CO
2 of the total impact.
3.2. Bioplastics Waste Management and End-of-Life Options
In this study, the EoL scenario of composting for biodegradable bioplastics is compared against the landfilling of fossil-based polymers, such as PE, which are non-biodegradable and persist in the environment for extended periods. Fossil-based plastics that cannot degrade should be confined to landfill systems to prevent environmental leakage and mitigate long-term microplastics pollution.
While multiple disposal options exist for bioplastics, including recycling, landfilling, incineration, and degradation in various environments, their biodegradability offers a distinct environmental advantage. Composting aligns with circular economy goals by enabling bioplastics to return to the biosphere in a controlled and beneficial manner. While biodegradation in water or sewage can help if plastic ends up in the environment, it should not be considered the main disposal method. Instead, certified industrial composting provides a structured and sustainable path, allowing bioplastics to be managed through organic waste streams with minimal environmental burden [
30].
As shown in
Figure 8, several midpoint-level impact categories show clear environmental benefits when bioplastics are composted rather than disposing PE in landfills. Composting delivers notable net credits in metal depletion, particulate matter formation, climate change (ecosystems), and multiple land use and ecotoxicity categories. These benefits indicate avoided environmental burdens, particularly in resource depletion and ecosystem damage. However, trade-offs are observed, with composting leading to higher burdens in ozone depletion, ionizing radiation, freshwater eutrophication, human toxicity, and fossil depletion. This mixed profile suggests that while composting can significantly reduce certain high-impact categories, targeted process improvements are necessary to mitigate the few impact areas where burdens increase.
Moreover, the comparison of endpoint-level environmental impacts under different EoL scenarios highlights the environmental advantages of composting bioplastics. In
Figure 9a, composting results in strong net benefits for both human health and ecosystems, shown as negative values around −100 mPt and −120 mPt, respectively, indicating that composting helps avoid environmental damage. In contrast, PE with landfill disposal shows significant environmental burden across all categories.
While the Resource category shows a negative impact for both materials, bioplastics with composting still perform slightly better than PE with landfill. However, when compared to the scenario with no composting or landfill (
Figure 9b), surprisingly, the gate-to-gate analysis reveals that bioplastics can perform worse than conventional plastics when EoL treatment is not considered.
As shown in
Figure 10, the single-score comparative environmental impact assessment between bioplastic (PBAT-based) and PE reveals significant differences across lifecycle stages. In the gate-to-gate phase, bioplastic exhibits a substantially higher total environmental impact (921.09 mPt) compared to PE (276.97 mPt), primarily due to resource-intensive production processes. However, in the gate-to-grave phase, bioplastic demonstrates a net negative environmental impact (−53.95 mPt), indicating environmental benefits during EoL treatment such as biodegradation or carbon sequestration. In contrast, PE shows a considerable impact (288.81 mPt) in this phase due to persistent waste and emissions, making bioplastic more favorable when evaluated over the entire life cycle. This emphasizes the critical role of EoL strategies in life cycle assessments and highlights that a fair, apples-to-apples comparison must account for biodegradability pathways. Incorporating composting clearly demonstrates the environmental advantages of bioplastics, turning them from a burden into a benefit.
The findings are consistent with those of Chen et al. [
27] who reported that the total environmental impacts of PBAT pellets is approximately twice that of PE pellets, primarily due to the use of PET synthesis instead of PBAT resin synthesis. In our analysis, the environmental impacts of PBAT-blend bioplastic is nearly three times higher than that of PE (as per
Figure 10), driven by the additional processes required to mix PBAT with other ingredients.
While the production of 1 kg of bioplastic generates approximately 8.64 kg CO
2 eq. (as shown in
Figure 7), composting offsets 11.35 kg CO
2 eq., leading to a
net negative impact of −2.71 kg
CO2 eq. per kg of bioplastic as shown in
Figure 11. This indicates that composting not only neutralizes the production emissions but also returns more carbon savings to the environment. Comparing bioplastic and PE,
Figure 11 shows that landfilling 1 kg of PE emits 2.22 kg CO
2 eq. This represents a total improvement of
4.93 kg CO2 eq. per kg of material when switching from PE to bioplastic with composting. Therefore, advances in cost-effective EoL and waste disposal methods can enhance the sustainable adoption of PBAT, offering practical pathways for the growth of the biodegradable plastics industry [
27].
3.4. Effect of Data Quality Uncertainty on Impact Categories
The life cycle inventory data are subject to uncertainties due to factors such as data reliability, quality, and availability, which may influence the overall LCA outcomes. To address these limitations, an uncertainty assessment was carried out using Monte Carlo (MC) simulation in SimaPro software [
33]. The analysis was based on 3000 iterations with a 95% confidence interval, reporting mean, median, and standard deviation values for each impact category. To represent the probability distributions of uncertain parameters, the pedigree matrix approach was applied, which incorporates expert judgment of data quality (as shown in
Table 6). In this framework, potential deviations are attributed to reliability, completeness, and representativeness in terms of time, geography, and technology. For each uncertain parameter, particularly those related to materials processes, random values were generated within defined uncertainty ranges, assuming a lognormal distribution. Approximately 75% of the process units in the dataset were characterized in this way.
The MC simulation demonstrated that, with a 95% confidence interval, the scenario of producing 1 p of bioplastic with composting (A) compared to 1 p of PE with landfill (B) shows notable differences across impact categories, as shown in
Table 7. It represents the difference (A–B) for each damage category using the ReCiPe Endpoint (H) method. Negative mean values indicate lower impacts for A relative to B, while positive values indicate higher impacts.
represents the probability (%) that A performs equal to or worse than B.
On average, ecosystem and human health damages are lower for scenario A relative to scenario B, with mean values of −0.0004 and −0.00042, respectively. Both categories display narrow confidence intervals (ecosystems: −0.00043 to −0.00035; human health: −0.00051 to −0.00027), indicating that the observed reductions are statistically robust under input uncertainty.
For the resources category, the mean difference (−4.87 × 10−5) is relatively small, and the 95% confidence interval spans both negative and positive values (−0.00022 to 0.000226), suggesting that there is no clear statistical difference between alternatives A and B in terms of resource depletion. The coefficient of variation (CV) for resources (−226.85) further highlights a high degree of variability, reinforcing the uncertainty in this category.
The standard deviations for ecosystem and human health impacts (2.03 × 10−5 and 6.43 × 10−5, respectively) are modest, while that of resources (0.00011) is considerable, consistent with the wide uncertainty range. This indicates that human health and ecosystems categories yield reliable improvements when adopting composting, while resource-related outcomes remain inconclusive.
Conducting statistical analysis confirms that the differences in ecosystems and human health categories are significant (p-value < 0.05), meaning there is less than 5% probability that the observed differences occurred by chance.
The higher variability in the resource category compared to ecosystems and human health highlights the need for improved precision in inventory data, particularly regarding energy and material flows contributing to resource depletion. The comparison of alternatives under uncertainty supports the previous LCIA findings, with the exception of resource use, where further refinement of system boundary assumptions is necessary.
3.5. Managerial Insights and Future Research Direction
The findings of this study carry several implications for industrial managers and policymakers engaged in sustainable packaging strategies. First, the environmental advantage of PBAT depends upon the availability of appropriate EoL infrastructure. Composting enables PBAT to outperform conventional PE, whereas in the absence of such systems, PBAT exhibits higher environmental burdens. Organizations considering adoption of PBAT should therefore assess regional waste management capacity or establish partnerships with composting providers to ensure intended sustainability benefits are realized.
Second, the analysis underscores the need to improve operational efficiency in the production of PBAT blends. The mixing and drying phases were identified as energy-intensive hotspots, suggesting that targeted interventions such as process optimization, equipment upgrades, and renewable electricity integration can reduce environmental impacts.
Finally, this study demonstrates the value of LCA coupled with statistical analysis as a decision-making framework for evaluating trade-offs in bioplastic adoption. Managers and policymakers can employ LCA outcomes to inform procurement decisions, identify priority areas for improvement, and design policies consistent with circular economy objectives.
It is also important to consider the limitations of this work. The defined system boundaries may limit processes and contributions beyond the production stage, and data access constraints restricted the level of detail in the life cycle inventory. As highlighted by Luo et al. [
16], future studies should extend the scope to full cradle-to-grave assessments of PBAT with fillers, incorporating upstream activities such as the supply of adipic acid, butanediol, and purified terephthalic acid, The development of localized life cycle inventories, supported by active industry participation, will be essential to strengthen accuracy and contextual relevance. Furthermore, integrating life cycle cost analysis with environmental assessment [
35,
36] would provide more comprehensive decision support, while coupling economic, environmental, social, and technical dimensions [
37,
38] would enable a more holistic evaluation of bioplastics within circular economy frameworks. Together, these recommendations and limitations highlight where industrial practice can be improved today and where future research is required to ensure PBAT’s role in sustainable packaging is realized.