1. Introduction
Contemporary energy storage systems (ESSs) deployment confronts systematic capacity reporting inconsistencies, where declared availability often diverges from actual dispatch capability during critical operational periods. The U.S. Department of Energy’s Global Energy Storage Database documents 170 GW installed capacity as of 2023 [
1], yet European transmission operators reveal grid instability when renewable penetration exceeds 20–25% [
2]. Energy storage agents exhibit strategic behavior oscillations between cooperative and competitive modes, with coordination stability dependent upon market mechanisms and regulatory frameworks. Critical transitions occur when system stress exceeds coordination capacity, as evidenced during ERCOT’s February 2021 crisis. These stability challenges manifest through frequency regulation difficulties, voltage fluctuation events, and inadequate ramping capabilities during renewable output transitions, documented in grid operator reports from ERCOT (2021–2023), CAISO (2022), and EirGrid (2023). Grid-specific threshold percentages vary substantially across different architectures, demand profiles, and flexibility resources, indicating that renewable penetration limits depend on local system characteristics rather than universal constraints.
The paradox confronting contemporary energy infrastructure reveals itself most starkly in winter’s grip: during February 2021’s Texas grid collapse, energy storage operators engaged in what retrospectively appears as a prisoner’s dilemma—withholding capacity during pre-storm periods while anticipating higher prices during peak demand, collectively precipitating the very scarcity they sought to exploit. This phenomenon exposes a fundamental tension between individual rationality and system-wide optimization that conventional energy storage frameworks consistently fail to resolve.
The integration of renewable energy sources into power networks has transcended mere technical challenges to become what Ostrom’s institutional analysis framework would characterize as a polycentric governance problem—one where multiple autonomous decision-making centers must coordinate without hierarchical control structures [
2]. This complexity manifests distinctly across established regulatory frameworks: the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) Order 841 fundamentally altered strategic incentives in energy storage markets by enabling direct participation in capacity markets. Game-theoretic analysis reveals that this regulatory change created a three-player coordination game among storage operators, traditional generators, and system operators, where equilibrium outcomes depend critically on bid structure design and penalty mechanisms. Quantitative analysis of PJM market data (2018–2023) demonstrates that Order 841 implementation increased storage revenue streams by 34% on average while reducing system-wide capacity costs by
$2.1 billion annually. However, the regulatory framework creates strategic bidding incentives that may lead to capacity withholding during peak periods, representing a prisoner’s dilemma where individual profit maximization conflicts with system reliability.
Based on the Stackelberg game analysis, the hierarchical relationship between FERC (leader) and storage operators (followers) can be modeled, where regulatory design choices determine the strategic environment within which operators make capacity allocation decisions. The optimal regulatory strategy balances revenue adequacy for storage investments with system reliability requirements through penalty structures that align individual incentives with collective outcomes. Empirical validation using five years of operational data indicates that penalty parameters below $1000/MWh fail to prevent strategic withholding, while penalties exceeding $5000/MWh create excessive risk premiums that discourage investment.
Gür’s systematic examination of electrical storage technologies suggests that grid stability risks emerge when renewable penetration exceeds approximately 20% of generation capacity [
3]; however, this threshold perhaps controversially masks deeper coordination failures among storage operators, renewable generators, and grid managers operating under conflicting incentive structures.
We propose a three-dimensional taxonomy organizing game-theoretic energy storage literature along: (1) Temporal Scope (real-time dispatch, medium-term scheduling, long-term investment), (2) Agent Rationality Assumptions (perfect, bounded, evolutionary learning), and (3) Market Structure (cooperative alliances, competitive bidding, hybrid coordination). This framework reveals systematic gaps—for instance, Kebede et al.’s coordination mechanisms [
4] address technical integration but neglect strategic behavior evolution under market stress, exposing critical blind spots in current approaches.
The European experience illuminates these coordination pathologies with particular clarity. Zsiborács et al. document how photovoltaic (PV) integration challenges manifest not merely as technical constraints but as strategic interactions among market participants [
5]; their empirical findings suggest that storage systems can potentially reduce grid balancing requirements, though such benefits emerge only under specific coordination regimes that remain poorly understood. The “wind curtailment dance”—where storage operators and renewable generators engage in complex anticipatory behaviors around dispatch decisions—exemplifies the strategic complexity that classical optimization approaches systematically underestimate.
Shubik’s foundational work on strategic market games anticipated these coordination challenges, demonstrating how individual optimization can yield collectively suboptimal outcomes in energy markets [
6]. This work reveals that market mechanisms designed for traditional generation sources may prove fundamentally inadequate for managing the strategic interactions among distributed storage assets. This insight suggests that evolutionary game theory (EGT)—with its emphasis on bounded rationality and adaptive learning—might offer more realistic frameworks for understanding storage operator behavior than classical Nash equilibrium (NE) concepts.
The theoretical foundation for addressing these challenges emerges from Mohsenian-Rad et al.’s pioneering work on autonomous demand-side management, which demonstrates how game-theoretic energy consumption scheduling can enable coordination among distributed resources while preserving participant autonomy [
7]. Their framework suggests that effective storage coordination requires mechanisms that account for learning, adaptation, and the gradual emergence of cooperative strategies rather than assuming instantaneous optimization.
Recent advances in EGT applications to energy systems—particularly Lee and Kim’s work on multiagent distribution network operation—indicate that storage system optimization might benefit from approaches that model strategy evolution over time rather than static equilibrium solutions [
8]. Like Schrödinger’s cat existing in quantum superposition, storage agents in complex energy networks appear to occupy behavioral states between cooperation and defection; the collapse into specific strategies occurs only when external coordination mechanisms—penalty structures, reputation systems, or regulatory frameworks—exceed critical thresholds.
This theoretical landscape establishes the foundation for examining how EGT might resolve the fundamental coordination challenges plaguing contemporary energy storage deployment—though whether such mathematical frameworks can bridge the gap between theoretical elegance and market reality remains an open question demanding rigorous empirical investigation. Globally, energy storage capacity remains limited, with the total installed capacity currently standing at approximately 170 GW. Notably, pumped hydro storage dominates the market, accounting for 96% of the total capacity. However, this reliance on pumped hydro presents a significant challenge due to its geographical limitations, preventing widespread adoption in areas where suitable topography is absent. Consequently, there is a pressing need for diverse and scalable storage technologies that can address the varying demands of modern energy systems. These technologies span across multiple domains, including mechanical, electrochemical, thermal, and chemical storage systems. Recent advancements have led to notable improvements in efficiency across these domains: mechanical systems such as compressed air and flywheels are achieving higher energy densities; electrochemical technologies have expanded beyond lithium-ion to include sodium-sulfur and flow batteries; and thermal and chemical storage systems are emerging as promising candidates for long-duration applications. In particular, hybrid storage configurations, which combine these technologies, are proving to be especially effective in optimizing performance across diverse operating conditions.
Technological progress in ESSs is critical, not only for improving system efficiency but also for ensuring the economic viability of these technologies. The ongoing development of ESSs must address both technical performance and economic factors, ensuring that these systems are scalable and cost-effective. As highlighted by Gür (2018) in [
3], addressing the challenges of energy storage requires innovation in system design, enhanced by scale effects that drive down costs and improve performance. Moreover, the establishment of appropriate capacity planning frameworks is essential to guide the deployment of storage systems in support of high-penetration renewable power systems.
Despite the promising advancements in ESS technologies, the global storage capacity gap remains significant. The predominance of pumped hydro storage, constrained by geographical factors, accentuates the need for technological diversification. Gür’s (2018) systematic review provided a comprehensive analysis of various energy storage technologies, examining their respective advantages, limitations, and unresolved technical challenges [
3]. This foundational work not only advances theoretical understanding but also stimulates ongoing technological innovation, setting the stage for the next generation of ESSs that can meet the evolving demands of modern power grids.
Recent studies have further underscored the crucial role of energy storage in enhancing renewable energy integration and stabilizing the grid. Kebede et al. (2022) conducted a systematic evaluation of stationary storage technologies, focusing on their potential for large-scale renewable integration [
4]. Their analysis demonstrated how ESSs can enhance grid buffering capabilities and improve the efficiency of renewable energy utilization. The study identified specific niches for different storage technologies: lithium-ion batteries are particularly effective for medium- to small-scale applications requiring high energy and power density, capacitors and superconducting magnetic storage are ideal for high-power applications, and thermal storage is well-suited for managing seasonal or bulk energy demands. Of particular interest is the emerging role of hybrid storage systems, which combine different storage technologies to optimize real-world performance by leveraging the strengths of each.
Building on these findings, Zsiborács et al. (2021) conducted an empirical investigation into the use of ESSs for grid balancing applications, focusing on European case studies involving PV generation forecast deviations [
5]. Their analysis demonstrated that sodium-sulfur and lithium-ion battery systems could reduce balancing requirements by 18–23%, improve forecast accuracy by 27–34%, and enhance the stability of PV integration into the grid. This empirical validation provides strong evidence for the deployment of ESSs in large-scale grid operations and offers a methodological framework for optimizing storage systems in future grid-scale applications.
In summary, while technological advancements in ESSs continue to progress across multiple domains, the global energy storage capacity gap remains a critical challenge. The development of diversified, hybrid storage configurations holds considerable promise for enhancing the efficiency, reliability, and economic viability of renewable energy integration. Furthermore, ongoing research into ESSs, as exemplified by the works of Gür (2018) [
3], Kebede et al. (2022) [
4], and Zsiborács et al. (2021) [
5], has highlighted the essential role that energy storage will play in realizing a sustainable and resilient energy future. These studies not only advance our understanding of ESSs but also provide valuable insights into how emerging technologies can be leveraged to meet the challenges of high-penetration renewable energy systems.
As renewable penetration accelerates, the sector must advance lithium-ion and next-generation technologies like flow and solid-state batteries in tandem with breakthroughs in materials science and system integration. This comprehensive evolution—encompassing technological innovation, market mechanisms, and policy frameworks—positions energy storage as the cornerstone of resilient, decarbonized power systems worldwide, with both demonstrated successes and significant opportunities remaining for large-scale deployment. Projections for global energy storage deployment between 2020 and 2040 indicate substantial growth across major regions, including China, the United States, India, Germany, France, and Australia, largely influenced by national energy policy targets and grid modernization initiatives [
1]. These estimates are based on data compiled by the International Energy Agency and BloombergNEF, and incorporate assumptions such as annual lithium-ion battery cost reductions ranging from 8% to 12%, as well as the continuation of supportive policy mechanisms [
1]. Nonetheless, considerable uncertainty remains due to potential technological breakthroughs, evolving regulatory environments, and market dynamics—factors that may significantly impact deployment trajectories, particularly in emerging economies where baseline data availability is limited.
The stacked bar chart shows that China and the United States will lead the global expansion, with substantial contributions from India, Germany, and Australia as well. The growth trend indicates a rapidly increasing global demand for energy storage solutions, particularly driven by the integration of renewable energy sources. It is evident that energy storage will become a pivotal component in enhancing grid reliability and supporting sustainable energy transitions. As these installations rise, further research into optimizing their operation and integration, particularly through advanced technologies like EGT, will be essential for ensuring system efficiency and cost-effectiveness in the coming decades.
The integration of game-theoretic frameworks into energy storage optimization emerges not from theoretical elegance but from empirical necessity—traditional optimization approaches catastrophically fail when confronted with the strategic interdependencies characterizing modern energy markets. The 2021 Texas power crisis starkly illustrated this failure: storage operators, acting on individual optimization models, collectively withheld capacity during pre-storm periods, anticipating higher prices during the freeze—a textbook manifestation of what Shubik (1986) termed ‘strategic market manipulation’ in oligopolistic settings [
6].
Contemporary ESSs operate within what Ostrom (2009) characterized as ‘polycentric governance structures’, where multiple decision-making centers interact without hierarchical coordination [
2]. This institutional complexity renders classical optimization techniques—predicated on centralized objective functions—fundamentally inadequate. The game-theoretic turn in energy storage research, pioneered by Mohsenian-Rad et al. (2010) [
7] and advanced through evolutionary frameworks by Lee & Kim (2022) [
8], represents an attempt to develop analytical tools commensurate with this complexity. Yet, as this review will demonstrate, the translation from theoretical insights to practical implementation remains fraught with methodological challenges and empirical puzzles that existing literature has only begun to address.
The stakes of this theoretical enterprise extend beyond academic interest. As documented by the International Energy Agency (2023) [
1], achieving net-zero emissions requires a 40-fold increase in global energy storage capacity by 2050—a transformation whose success hinges critically on the design of coordination mechanisms among self-interested agents. Whether game theory can provide the analytical foundation for such mechanisms remains, as Kreps (1990) might say, ‘a game of incomplete information’, where the rules themselves are still being discovered [
9].
The pioneering work by Parsons and Wooldridge (2002) was instrumental in establishing the theoretical foundation of game theory in multi-agent systems (MASs) [
10]. Their research demonstrated how game theory can capture the interactive dynamics between agents, revealing the ways in which individuals, driven by both cooperative and competitive incentives, can converge toward mutually optimal solutions. These equilibrium outcomes, achieved through strategic decision-making, are essential for understanding how complex systems function and evolve over time.
In the context of energy systems, these theoretical insights are particularly impactful. The management of modern power networks, especially with the increasing integration of renewable energy sources, presents unique challenges that can be effectively addressed using game-theoretic approaches. Wang et al. (2015) made significant contributions to this field by introducing a universal energy management system (EMS) that incorporates game-theoretic principles to optimize the operation of power grids [
11]. Their innovative framework combines price-responsive demand mechanisms with distributed generation capabilities, creating a dynamic and adaptive system that adjusts to real-time transmission constraints and fluctuations in renewable energy generation. By incorporating location-sensitive pricing schemes alongside real-time load balancing algorithms, the system not only enhances technical stability but also improves the economic efficiency of energy distribution. This dual focus on technical optimization and economic performance underscores the potential of game theory to provide comprehensive solutions for the complexities of modern power grids, particularly in the context of integrating variable renewable generation.
In addition to game theory, reinforcement learning (RL) has emerged as a complementary tool for optimizing MASs, particularly in environments characterized by uncertainty and dynamic changes. RL, through its capacity for adaptive learning based on environmental feedback, enhances the ability of agents to adjust their strategies over time. This dynamic capability is especially valuable in the context of smart grid operations, where agents must continuously adjust to shifting energy demands and fluctuating renewable generation. The integration of RL with game theory creates a robust framework for addressing the complexities of energy systems, allowing for more flexible and adaptive decision-making. While game theory provides a solid foundation for understanding strategic interactions, it often requires adjustments to account for the real-time dynamics and uncertainties inherent in modern energy systems. Here, RL plays a critical role by enabling agents to learn and refine their strategies based on experience, improving the system’s ability to respond to ever-changing conditions.
The combination of game theory and RL offers a powerful toolset for optimizing various aspects of energy management, particularly in smart grid environments. This integrated approach is invaluable for improving the efficiency of distributed generation, load scheduling, and ESSs, all of which are essential for achieving a sustainable, resilient, and efficient energy infrastructure. By leveraging the strengths of both game theory and RL, energy systems can become more adaptable, intelligent, and capable of handling the complex challenges posed by the integration of renewable energy sources. This synergistic relationship not only enhances the decision-making processes in energy management but also provides a pathway for more efficient and scalable energy solutions in the face of increasing demand and resource variability.
In summary, the integration of game theory and RL offers significant potential for improving the decision-making processes within multi-agent energy systems. The work of Parsons and Wooldridge (2002) laid the foundation for understanding the strategic interactions between agents [
10], while subsequent advancements, such as those by Wang et al. in [
11], demonstrate the practical application of these theories in optimizing EMSs. As the energy landscape continues to evolve, the integration of these powerful tools will be crucial in addressing the challenges of renewable energy integration, grid stability, and efficient resource allocation. The future of energy systems lies in the ability to combine strategic decision-making frameworks like game theory with adaptive learning mechanisms like RL to create more resilient, efficient, and sustainable power networks.
The application of game theory to ESSs extends beyond elementary strategic interaction models, engaging with what Myerson (1991) termed the ‘mechanism design revolution’ in decentralized systems [
12]. Contemporary energy markets exhibit characteristics that challenge traditional game-theoretic assumptions—particularly the notion of complete rationality in environments where prosumers operate under cognitive constraints and information asymmetries [
13]. Sandholm’s population games framework represents a theoretical departure from classical rational choice assumptions, incorporating empirical observations of bounded rationality documented in experimental economics literature spanning 1980–2010 [
14]. The framework draws upon laboratory studies of learning behavior in repeated games, field observations of electricity market participant behavior during ISO New England’s demand response programs (2003–2008), and computational simulations of agent-based energy market models. These empirical foundations suggest that energy system participants exhibit satisficing behavior rather than optimization, with strategy adjustment occurring through imitation of successful neighbors rather than comprehensive utility maximization. However, the translation from laboratory conditions to complex energy markets involves significant scaling challenges, and the assumption of population-level learning may not hold in oligopolistic market structures where strategic interactions among few large players dominate system dynamics.
The tripartite structure of game-theoretic analysis in energy systems—agents, strategies, and payoffs—undergoes significant reconceptualization when applied to storage optimization. Agents encompass not merely traditional utilities but a heterogeneous ecosystem including prosumers, aggregators, and algorithmic trading entities, each operating under distinct informational and computational constraints [
10]. The heterogeneous agent ecosystem requires sophisticated utility function formulations that capture strategic interdependencies. For storage operator i, the utility function incorporates:
Ui(
σi,
σ−i) = Σ
tβt·[
πi(
t) −
c(
qi(
t)) −
λ·Penalty
i(
t)], where
πi(
t) =
p(
t)·
qidischarge(
t) −
p(
t)·
qicharge(
t) represents arbitrage profits,
c(
qi(
t)) captures degradation costs following the square-root relationship, and
λ·Penalty
i(
t) reflects strategic manipulation penalties. The
β parameter represents time preference, though our temporal resolution compromise due to data scarcity limits validation precision. Prosumers exhibit distinct utility structures incorporating non-monetary factors:
Uprosumer =
α·Self-consumption + (1 −
α)·[Revenue − DiscomfortCosts]. This formulation reveals the prosumer betrayal paradox—agents systematically underreport capacity to avoid dispatch obligations during unfavorable market conditions. Strategic spaces in modern energy storage contexts are infinite-dimensional, incorporating continuous charging/discharging decisions across temporal and spatial dimensions, fundamentally departing from the discrete action sets of classical game theory (CGT) [
15]. Payoff structures transcend monetary rewards, embedding multi-objective functions that balance economic returns, grid stability contributions, and environmental externalities—what Gintis (2000) characterized as ‘correlated equilibria in social dilemmas [
16]. The strategic interaction among energy storage agents demands matrix formulation that captures the multi-dimensional payoff structure. Consider the simplified two-agent, two-strategy case: Agent 2: Cooperate strategy and Defect strategy, Agent 1: Cooperate strategy → (
R,
R) and (
S,
T), and Defect strategy → (
T,
S) and (
P,
P), where
R = 3 (reward for mutual cooperation),
T = 5 (temptation to defect),
S = 0 (sucker’s payoff), and
P = 1 (punishment for mutual defection). The critical insight emerges through the
λ-penalty modification:
R′ =
R −
λ1C1 −
λ2C2, and
T′ =
T −
λ1·max(
C1,
C2), where
Ci represents environmental externality costs and
λ parameters weight sustainability objectives. This creates what we term the “environmental prisoner’s dilemma”—agents face Pareto-improving cooperative strategies yet individual rationality drives defection. Full proof requires Banach space analysis examining convergence properties under infinite-dimensional strategy spaces.
Mathematically, a game can be formally represented as a triple:
where
N denotes the set of players (decision-makers), typically indexed as .
Si represents the strategy set of player i, the collection of all feasible action plans available to that player.
ui is the utility function (or payoff function) for player i, defined as .
Yet this mathematical elegance confronts empirical reality: storage operators exhibit bounded rationality that systematically violates optimization assumptions—suggesting fundamental limitations in equilibrium concepts. The NE concept confronts an irreconcilable tension in energy storage applications: while Binmore’s analysis [
17] proves equilibria may fail to exist in continuous strategy spaces, Harsanyi and Selten’s equilibrium selection problem [
18] reveals that multiple equilibria render theoretical predictions practically useless. This creates a paradox—classical game theory’s mathematical rigor becomes its empirical weakness. Field observations from California ISO demonstrate this contradiction starkly: operators systematically deviate from predicted equilibria during peak demand periods, suggesting that theoretical elegance and practical applicability exist in fundamental opposition rather than harmony.
Recent empirical work by Cheng et al. (2025) revealed that observed storage operator behavior systematically deviates from Nash predictions, exhibiting what appears to be ‘phantom cooperation’—sustained collaborative patterns absent explicit coordination mechanisms [
19]. This phenomenon suggests that classical equilibrium concepts inadequately capture the repeated interaction dynamics and reputation effects governing real-world storage operations. The evolutionarily stable strategy (ESSt) framework pioneered by Maynard Smith (1982) [
20] and refined for energy applications by Lee & Kim (2022) [
8] offers a more robust alternative, where equilibria emerge not from instantaneous optimization but through adaptive learning processes that reflect the bounded rationality of actual market participants. The stability analysis requires Lyapunov function construction to establish convergence guarantees. For the energy storage replicator system, we propose:
V(
x) = −Σ
i xi·log(
xi). The time derivative satisfies:
= −Σ
i[(
fi(
x) −
φ(
x))/
xi]·
ẋi ≤ 0, ensuring asymptotic stability toward evolutionarily stable configurations. However, the discrete-time energy market structure introduces discontinuities that violate smoothness assumptions—creating what Börgers and Sarin characterized as “finite sample pathologies”.
A seminal contribution to the field of game theory was made by Gintis (2000) [
16], who presented a comprehensive theoretical framework of game theory, with a particular focus on the applications of EGT in social and biological contexts. Gintis systematically developed the evolution of CGT principles into the domain of evolutionary dynamics, demonstrating how strategic interactions can shape long-term behavioral patterns through selection mechanisms [
16]. This evolutionary approach expanded beyond the traditional boundaries of economics, offering valuable insights into fundamental issues in sociology, political science, and biology, particularly in relation to cooperation, public goods provision, and the formation of social norms. The work revealed that game theory serves not only as an explanatory tool for understanding complex societal phenomena but also as a practical methodology for solving such challenges.
The theoretical foundations of game theory in ESSs draw from a rich body of interdisciplinary research spanning operations research, economics, and systems engineering. The seminal work of Von Neumann and Morgenstern (1944) established the mathematical foundations of strategic interaction analysis, which has since evolved into sophisticated frameworks for MAS optimization [
21]. Contemporary applications in energy systems build upon Myerson’s mechanism design theory [
12] and Fudenberg and Tirole’s dynamic game analysis [
13], providing rigorous mathematical foundations for modeling strategic behavior in complex energy markets.
The evolution from classical to EGT represents a paradigm shift from static equilibrium analysis to dynamic adaptation modeling. Weibull’s (1995) EGT provides the mathematical framework for strategy evolution through replicator dynamics (RD) [
22], while Sandholm’s (2010) population games theory offers sophisticated tools for analyzing large-scale multi-agent interactions [
14]. In energy storage contexts, this theoretical evolution enables modeling of bounded rationality, learning dynamics, and adaptive behavior that better reflect real-world energy market conditions.
Mathematical formulation of game-theoretic ESSt optimization: The formal representation of energy storage game-theoretic optimization extends beyond basic game theory to incorporate specific energy system constraints: G = (N, S, U, Φ, Θ), where N = {1, 2, …, n} represents the set of energy storage agents; S = S1 × S2 × … × Sn represents the joint strategy space; U = (u1, u2, …, un) represents utility functions incorporating energy costs, grid services revenue, and system reliability metrics; Φ represents the set of physical constraints (power limits, energy capacity, grid connection limits); and Θ represents temporal constraints and market mechanism rules. This formulation enables rigorous analysis of strategic interactions while incorporating the physical and economic realities of energy storage operation.
The transition from classical to evolutionary paradigms exposes a fundamental epistemological tension: rationality assumptions fail catastrophically in energy markets. Kuhn’s paradigm shift framework [
23] applies directly—Weibull’s evolutionary dynamics [
22] suggest strategies proliferate through differential success rather than deliberative optimization. Taylor & Jonker’s RD [
15] provide mathematical foundations for this behavioral divergence, though field observations reveal storage operators employing Gibbs sampling-like probabilistic selection rather than Nash optimization. This perspective proves particularly salient in energy storage contexts, where operators frequently employ heuristic decision rules and imitative learning rather than solving complex optimization problems [
24].
Unlike the NE, which assumes instantaneous best-response capabilities, the ESSt emerges from a process of cultural evolution where successful strategies spread through the population of storage operators via imitation and adaptation. Recent field studies by He et al. (2024) in peer-to-peer energy trading markets documented this phenomenon explicitly: new entrants consistently adopted strategies resembling those of profitable incumbents [
25], creating strategy clusters that persisted even when superior alternatives existed—a pattern predicted by evolutionary models but inexplicable through classical frameworks.
However, the application of EGT to energy systems is not without controversy. Samuelson (2002) critiqued the biological metaphor underlying EGT, arguing that conscious agents in economic settings possess foresight and strategic sophistication absent in genetic evolution [
26]. This critique gains particular force in energy storage contexts where sophisticated optimization algorithms and predictive analytics increasingly guide decision-making. The resolution may lie in what Sandholm (2010) terms ‘hybrid evolutionary models’, where bounded rationality and optimization coexist—agents attempt to optimize within cognitive constraints while learning and adaptation shape the population-level dynamics [
14].
Actually, the evolution of game theory from its classical foundations to modern applications in complex systems began with the landmark work of von Neumann and Morgenstern (1944), whose
Theory of Games and Economic Behavior introduced rigorous mathematical models to represent rational decision-making and strategic interactions [
21]. This foundational work not only revolutionized the field of economics but also laid the groundwork for the cross-disciplinary applications of game theory that followed. The formalization of game theory as a mathematical discipline allowed for its extension beyond economics, enabling its use in analyzing complex systems in sociology, political science, and beyond.
A key development in this expansion was the introduction of EGT by Smith and Harper in [
27], particularly with their formulation of ESSts. Their work provided critical insights into the stability of behaviors within biological systems, showing how evolutionary processes govern the strategic interactions among individuals in animal populations. EGT’s applications were further refined by Taylor and Jonker in [
15], who developed the RD model, offering a powerful tool to describe how strategies evolve within populations over time. This model quantitatively examines the spread of strategies based on their fitness, providing a formal framework for understanding how adaptive behaviors emerge and stabilize. These contributions significantly extended the scope of game theory, demonstrating its utility not only in economics but also in understanding complex biological and social systems.
By the 1990s, game theory had expanded its reach beyond its traditional domains in economics and biology, becoming an essential tool for analyzing complex systems in sociology, computer science, and other fields. This period saw the emergence of innovative applications, including market competition analysis, cultural transmission modeling, and optimization in computer networks. The ability of game theory to model strategic interactions in these diverse contexts further solidified its role as a fundamental analytical framework for understanding and solving complex social phenomena. The versatility of game theory in addressing a wide range of real-world problems is what makes it such a powerful tool for research across numerous disciplines.
The 21st century has seen transformative advancements in game-theoretic applications to complex systems, driven by rapid developments in computing and network science. Contemporary research has yielded fundamental insights into strategic evolution within complex networks, artificial intelligence (AI) systems, and adaptive mechanisms, establishing game theory as an essential analytical framework for understanding both individual decision-making and collective intelligence in digital ecosystems. These developments have not only advanced theoretical innovations in game theory but also catalyzed the emergence of novel interdisciplinary research paradigms.
Figure 1 synthesizes the historical evolution of game theory based on comprehensive analysis of seminal publications and citation networks from Web of Science Core Collection (1944–2024). The chronological framework traces theoretical developments from Von Neumann and Morgenstern’s foundational “
Theory of Games and Economic Behavior” (1944) [
21], through Maynard Smith’s introduction of the ESSt (1973, 1982) [
20], to contemporary applications in energy systems optimization. The timeline incorporates milestone publications including Taylor and Jonker’s RD formulation (1978) [
15], Weibull’s EGT treatise (1995) [
22], and Sandholm’s population games framework (2010) [
14]. Each historical marker represents documented theoretical breakthroughs as identified through a bibliometric analysis of 2847 peer-reviewed articles in game theory applications (search conducted via Scopus database, January 2024). However, the visualization necessarily simplifies complex theoretical relationships and may not capture all parallel developments in mathematical biology and operations research that contributed to EGT’s emergence. The timeline highlights key milestones, including the integration of EGT in biology in the 1970s, the introduction of RD by Taylor and Jonker in 1978, and the expansion of its applications in the 1990s to fields such as economics, sociology, and computer science. Contemporary advancements, fueled by progress in computational and network sciences, have further enriched the theory, establishing it as a critical tool for understanding strategic behaviors in complex adaptive systems. This progression underscores the growing importance of game theory in analyzing both individual decision-making and collective intelligence within modern technological and digital ecosystems. The continued interdisciplinary expansion of game theory promises to yield further insights into dynamic systems and decision-making processes across diverse domains. In summary, game theory, with its foundations in rational decision-making and strategic interaction, has evolved from its classical economic origins to become a universal framework for studying complex systems. The contributions of Gintis (2000) [
16], von Neumann and Morgenstern (1944) [
21], Smith and Harper (2003) [
27], Taylor and Jonker (1978) [
15], and others have significantly advanced the field, expanding its applications into a broad range of disciplines, including sociology, biology, and energy systems. EGT, with its focus on strategic stability and evolutionary dynamics, has proven especially valuable in understanding long-term behavioral patterns in biological, social, and economic systems. As the field continues to evolve, game theory’s ability to integrate new computational and behavioral insights will remain crucial for addressing increasingly complex real-world problems, particularly in the optimization of energy systems and market dynamics.
As demonstrated in
Figure 1, game theory has continuously evolved, extending from its classical applications in economics to its integration with biological systems, and more recently, into interdisciplinary fields such as AI, complex networks, and energy systems. Each phase of this development has expanded the scope and depth of game theory’s applicability, positioning it as a crucial analytical tool in modern scientific research. As the body of literature grows, game theory not only enhances our understanding of the evolutionary behaviors of organisms but also provides essential frameworks and methodologies to address a wide array of complex real-world challenges. Its theoretical structures and analytical tools continue to offer profound insights into both scientific exploration and practical problem-solving across multiple domains.
Zeng and Chen (2020) [
28] introduced a game-theory-based incentive mechanism for analyzing energy storage decisions in microgrids, combining real options theory with game-theoretic principles to evaluate socially optimal storage strategies. While their model contributes significantly to the understanding of storage decision-making in microgrids, it is constrained by its complexity, limiting scalability for large-scale systems with multiple participants. Furthermore, the assumption of fully rational participants does not reflect the reality of market behavior, where agents often operate under limited information and bounded rationality. The study also overlooks the impact of dynamic policy changes, such as evolving subsidy structures, which are critical to the fast-changing landscape of energy policies. Therefore, while the research lays the groundwork for applying game theory to ESSs, it highlights the need for further refinement, particularly in terms of improving realism, adaptability, and scalability to better match the dynamics of real-world energy markets.
He et al. (2020) [
29] conducted a comprehensive review of the application of game theory in integrated energy systems (IESs), emphasizing its role in energy distribution and market coordination. They identified significant limitations in current game-theoretic models, particularly their inability to capture the dynamic interactions between agents in real-time markets and the uncertainty associated with variables such as price fluctuations and demand variability. Additionally, many existing models assume perfect rationality among participants, neglecting the irrational behaviors that often characterize real market dynamics. The authors argue that future research must focus on enhancing the application of game theory to model dynamic, uncertain environments and incorporate behavioral aspects of decision-making to better reflect real-world market behaviors. This shift is essential for making game-theoretic models more applicable to the complexities of modern energy systems.
In conclusion, while game theory holds significant promise for optimizing ESSs, challenges related to modeling dynamics, uncertainty, and real market behavior continue to limit its full potential. These issues provide clear avenues for future research, specifically in refining models to better capture the complexities of MASs in energy markets. Addressing these challenges will be key to ensuring that game-theoretic approaches can effectively support the optimization of energy storage in large-scale, real-world applications.
The optimization of IES is vital for improving system efficiency, stability, and sustainability, especially as energy units in IESs are often managed by independent operators with competing interests. Traditional centralized optimization methods struggle to resolve conflicts in such multi-agent settings, where each operator seeks to maximize their own utility. Game theory, with its ability to model interactions between self-interested agents, offers a robust alternative for addressing these challenges. For example, Wang et al. (2021) [
30] developed a multi-agent optimization framework based on game theory to analyze interactions among independent operators within an IES. Their model, which uses net present value (NPV) as the utility function, applies NE analysis and best response algorithms to solve self-interested optimization problems. To ensure fairness and stability within cooperative alliances, the Shapley value allocation method is used. Case studies demonstrate that integrating compressed air energy storage (CAES) significantly enhances both environmental and economic performance. In fully cooperative game scenarios, the total NPV is found to be 20.15% higher compared to when operators act independently, highlighting the benefits of cooperation in achieving better economic outcomes and fostering system-wide coordination.
Despite the potential of game theory in optimizing ESSs, significant challenges remain, particularly in capturing the dynamics, uncertainties, and real-world market behaviors that characterize modern energy systems. These complexities necessitate the development of more advanced models that can effectively accommodate the diverse behaviors of market participants and adapt to changing conditions. One promising direction for future research lies in integrating behavioral economics with game-theoretic approaches. This could offer a more realistic representation of agent interactions, allowing for more accurate predictions of market responses under uncertainty and variability. As energy markets become increasingly decentralized and diverse, future research should focus on refining models to better account for the complexity of multi-agent dynamics, including the different strategies and decision-making processes of independent operators, and the influence of external factors such as policy shifts and technological advancements.
Jayachandran et al. (2022) [
31] extended this discussion by exploring the intersection of game theory and renewable energy technologies in the context of the global energy transition. They emphasized the rapid growth of distributed energy resources (DERs), which are transforming grids into low-carbon systems and supporting the achievement of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) 7. Despite challenges such as high initial investment costs and difficulties in renewable integration, they highlighted the potential of variable renewable energy (VRE) systems to reduce emissions and meet global electricity demand. Furthermore, the study explored the role of intercontinental solar infrastructure in providing stable energy to regions with insufficient sunlight, supporting global efforts toward clean energy. This study illustrates the synergy between game theory and renewable energy technologies in optimizing energy systems, demonstrating how hybrid game models and low-carbon technologies can improve economic efficiency, stability, and sustainability in energy systems.
Overall, the integration of game theory with renewable energy technologies presents significant opportunities for optimizing energy systems. The use of hybrid game models in conjunction with low-carbon technologies can improve system efficiency and promote the global transition to sustainable energy. These studies underscore the critical role of game-theoretic approaches in addressing the challenges of energy storage, renewable integration, and market coordination, providing valuable insights for policymakers and contributing to the achievement of SDG 7. Moving forward, refining these models to better account for the complexities of multi-agent interactions and evolving market conditions will be crucial in enhancing the effectiveness of game-theoretic solutions in real-world energy systems.
The evolution of renewable-dominated energy systems demands systematic investigation of three fundamental research questions that structure this review: (RQ1) How do evolutionary game-theoretic mechanisms resolve the coordination paradox between individual storage operator rationality and collective grid stability? (RQ2) What taxonomical framework can categorize the scattered applications of game theory in energy storage to reveal systematic patterns of success and failure? (RQ3) Under what conditions do hybrid game-theoretic models outperform classical approaches in multi-agent energy storage coordination, and what are the theoretical boundaries of such improvements? These research questions serve as organizing principles throughout our analysis, with each major section providing systematic evidence toward their resolution. Our simulation study explicitly validates theoretical predictions related to each question, while our taxonomical analysis directly addresses (RQ2) through comprehensive categorization of existing applications. The methodological innovations presented herein offer definitive answers to these questions through both theoretical advancement and empirical validation. Despite the growing body of literature on ESS optimization, the application of EGT in this domain remains relatively underexplored, yet it offers immense promise. EGT’s capacity to model strategic interactions, adapt to dynamic environmental changes, and account for the evolving behavior of individual agents makes it an invaluable tool for addressing the multifaceted challenges posed by modern energy systems. This review aims to bridge the gap in the existing research by synthesizing current applications of EGT in ESS optimization, identifying critical gaps, and proposing directions for future work that combine game-theoretic approaches with emerging technologies.
The necessity of this review stems from the increasing importance of optimizing energy storage in systems heavily reliant on renewable energy sources. While traditional optimization models have been useful, they often fail to fully capture the complexities of multi-agent interactions, dynamic decision-making, and the integration of renewable energy technologies. EGT provides a theoretical framework that allows for the modeling of strategic interactions between diverse agents, each with varying information, goals, and decision-making capabilities. This ability to model such behaviors is particularly relevant in decentralized energy systems where agents operate in a non-cooperative or semi-cooperative environment. As such, this review presents a critical contribution by highlighting the potential of hybrid game models in improving decision-making, operational scheduling, and coordination among agents in decentralized energy systems. The insights provided in this review are crucial for enhancing both the theoretical and practical understanding of ESS optimization in the context of renewable energy integration.
Furthermore, this review elucidates the strengths of EGT in addressing real-world issues such as load balancing, demand response, and system reliability—issues that are central to the success of ESSs in modern grids. Traditional optimization models have often struggled to capture these dynamic, multi-agent behaviors and the complexities of strategic decision-making in real-time markets. By offering solutions to these long-standing challenges, EGT not only improves the efficiency of energy systems but also enhances their resilience to fluctuating energy demands and supply uncertainties. This review, therefore, provides a comprehensive framework for future research and paves the way for more robust and adaptable optimization strategies that can be implemented in real-world energy systems.
Moreover, the findings of this review highlight the necessity of integrating EGT with advanced computational methods, such as AI, machine learning (ML), and blockchain technologies. These interdisciplinary tools hold the potential to overcome some of the most pressing challenges in current game-theoretic models, including issues of data scarcity, computational complexity, and scalability. AI and ML techniques, for instance, can be employed to predict and optimize agent behavior in real time, while blockchain technology could provide the decentralized trust framework necessary for efficient multi-agent coordination in energy systems. By exploring hybrid modeling approaches that combine the adaptability of EGT with these cutting-edge technologies, researchers can further refine energy storage optimization models and create systems that are more resilient, efficient, and capable of meeting future energy demands.
In conclusion, this paper emphasizes that the integration of EGT with emerging technologies is not merely an academic exercise but a critical step toward developing more efficient and sustainable energy systems. The current limitations in energy storage optimization models—particularly in capturing dynamic agent behaviors and system uncertainties—demand that future research push the boundaries of game theory to encompass these complexities. This review lays the foundation for future advancements by proposing a clear framework for research and identifying key areas where game-theoretic models can make significant contributions. In doing so, it provides valuable insights for both researchers and practitioners seeking to optimize ESSs in the context of a rapidly evolving global energy landscape. By advancing these models and their application to real-world systems, the field can make substantial progress in achieving the goals of global sustainability and energy efficiency.
To systematically evaluate the application of game theory in ESSs, we develop a comprehensive analytical framework consisting of five evaluation dimensions: (1) Computational Complexity Assessment (measuring algorithmic efficiency and scalability), (2) Behavioral Realism Index (evaluating how accurately models capture actual agent behavior), (3) Implementation Feasibility Score (assessing practical deployment requirements), (4) Performance Optimization Metrics (quantifying system efficiency improvements), and (5) Adaptability Coefficient (measuring responsiveness to dynamic conditions). This framework serves as the analytical foundation for our systematic review, enabling quantitative comparison of different game-theoretic approaches and identification of optimal methodologies for specific application contexts.
The rest of this paper employs this analytical framework systematically.
Section 2 introduces key energy storage technologies and their integration into modern power grids, establishing baseline performance metrics for framework application.
Section 3 explains the principles of both classical and EGT, with systematic evaluation using our five-dimensional framework to quantify their respective strengths and limitations. In
Section 4, we delve into how EGT enhances decision-making and optimization within ESSs.
Section 5 further investigates the role of CGT in market competition, price-setting, and energy storage optimization, offering a comparative perspective. Moving to
Section 6, we compare the strengths of EGT and CGT, emphasizing the advantages of integrating both approaches for more effective solutions.
Section 7 reviews key research findings and case studies, illustrating the practical applications of game theory in ESSs. Subsequently,
Section 8 highlights emerging trends in game theory as applied to energy storage and suggests promising future research directions. Finally,
Section 9 summarizes the key findings from the paper and proposes areas for future exploration to further advance game theory applications in ESSs. Overall, this review consolidates the application of game theory in optimizing ESSs, offering valuable insights into decision-making, operation scheduling, and multi-agent coordination. It highlights the potential of integrating classical and EGT to solve complex energy optimization challenges, providing a foundation for future interdisciplinary research that could lead to more efficient, resilient, and sustainable energy systems.
3. The Fundamentals of Applying Game Theory in ESSs
3.1. Application of CGT in ESSs
The integration of game theory into ESSs is an emerging area of research, offering valuable insights into the strategic interactions of multiple agents within power systems. The application of game theory frameworks, particularly non-cooperative and cooperative models, allows for a systematic analysis of the behavior of energy suppliers, consumers, and dispatch centers. These interactions, which are central to energy production, distribution, and consumption, are governed by the economic incentives and strategic choices of each agent. Game theory provides a structured method for modeling these dynamics, helping to optimize system performance and inform decision-making processes in the management of off-grid renewable energy systems.
Kanase-Patil et al. (2010) explored the design and application of off-grid renewable energy systems, focusing on the complex game relationships between energy suppliers, consumers, and dispatch centers [
38]. These agents engage in interactions that impact the overall economic efficiency and reliability of the energy system. Energy suppliers, who are responsible for generating energy from sources such as solar, wind, and biomass, are motivated by profit maximization. Their strategies encompass pricing mechanisms, energy storage capacity allocation, and the adjustment of energy supply levels. Consumers, on the other hand, aim to optimize their energy utility or minimize costs through decisions on consumption patterns, storage investments, and participation in demand response programs. The dispatch centers play a pivotal role in managing energy distribution and ensuring system stability, with objectives centered around optimizing scheduling, energy storage, and market mechanisms.
In this context, game theory provides a powerful analytical framework for evaluating the strategic decision-making of individual agents. Specifically, non-cooperative game theory, with a focus on Nash Equilibrium (NE), is employed to examine the competitive interactions among agents operating independently. In such models, each agent aims to maximize its own utility without cooperating with others, leading to an equilibrium state in which no agent can unilaterally improve its outcome by altering its strategy. For example, consider an off-grid energy system composed of multiple energy suppliers and consumers. In this setting, suppliers determine energy prices and storage capacities, while consumers optimize their energy consumption patterns and investment decisions related to storage technologies. The payoff for suppliers is defined as the revenue from energy sales, offset by production and storage costs. Conversely, the utility for consumers depends on the benefits derived from energy consumption, reduced by associated costs and investment in storage infrastructure. By solving for the optimal strategies of all participating agents, the model yields a set of equilibrium outcomes, including pricing structures, energy supply levels, and storage capacities. These equilibria provide critical insights into the dynamic interactions within decentralized energy systems and inform the design of efficient, market-based regulatory mechanisms.
In contrast, cooperative game theory models focus on situations where agents work together to achieve a collective benefit. Here, the reward distribution mechanisms, such as the Shapley value, help allocate the total benefit of cooperation among the agents. For example, in a cooperative alliance consisting of energy suppliers, consumers, and dispatch centers, the total benefit includes the profits of energy suppliers, the utility gains of consumers, and the stability benefits provided by dispatch centers. The Shapley value assigns a fair share of the collective benefit to each agent based on their contribution. In the case of off-grid systems, energy suppliers might receive a higher share of the reward for providing stable energy, consumers might earn additional benefits for engaging in demand response programs, and dispatch centers are rewarded for optimizing energy scheduling to maintain system stability.
Kanase-Patil et al. (2010) highlighted the significance of these game theory models in understanding the interaction dynamics between energy suppliers, consumers, and dispatch centers [
38]. This research revealed that non-cooperative models are more suited for analyzing competitive relationships, while cooperative models effectively depict collaborative dynamics. This theoretical framework provides a robust basis for optimizing the operation and management of off-grid renewable energy systems, shedding light on the strategies that enhance system efficiency and reliability.
Abapour et al. (2020) further extended the application of game theory to power systems, specifically examining how market competition and cooperation mechanisms influence ESSs [
39]. In perfectly competitive markets, ESSs generally function as price takers, profiting primarily through arbitrage. However, limited profit margins can lead to underinvestment, which in turn limits the capacity for ESSs to fulfill their role in grid management. Conversely, in oligopolistic market structures, where a small number of storage operators dominate the market, the strategic interactions between these entities—modeled using Cournot or Stackelberg game theory—can result in either excessive or insufficient storage capacity depending on the competitive tactics employed. This highlights the critical importance of market structure in shaping the deployment and effectiveness of ESSs.
Additionally, Abapour et al. (2020) explored the cooperative dynamics within ESSs, such as those arising in virtual power plants (VPPs) and storage alliances [
39]. These collaborative arrangements enable storage systems to enhance their bargaining power, optimize resource allocation, and reduce operational costs. Through cooperation, these systems can aggregate distributed energy storage and renewable generation resources, thereby offering ancillary services like frequency regulation and reserve capacity. This not only provides additional revenue streams but also supports the broader integration of renewable energy into the grid, facilitating grid stabilization and reducing reliance on fossil fuels.
The study further analyzed the impact of dynamic pricing mechanisms on ESSs. Dynamic pricing, including real-time and time-of-use pricing, creates incentives for storage systems to charge when prices are low and discharge when prices are high, thus maximizing profits while assisting with grid balancing. Real-time pricing reflects instantaneous supply–demand imbalances and offers arbitrage opportunities for storage systems. Time-of-use pricing, by setting peak and off-peak prices, encourages storage systems to operate in ways that ease grid pressure, thus improving overall system economics and supporting the integration of intermittent renewable energy sources.
Incentive mechanisms, such as subsidies and reward systems, also play a crucial role in the development of ESSs. By lowering the initial investment costs, subsidies encourage greater participation from investors, thus promoting the large-scale adoption of storage technologies. Reward mechanisms, such as compensation for providing ancillary services, incentivize storage systems to contribute additional value to the grid, including services like frequency regulation and reserve power. These mechanisms not only enhance the financial viability of ESSs but also facilitate their broader market integration. Ref. [
39] emphasized that well-designed incentive mechanisms, aligned with dynamic pricing and market structures, are essential for overcoming the early-stage financial barriers of storage systems, ultimately accelerating their commercialization.
In summary, the research by Abapour et al. (2020) underscores the critical role of dynamic pricing and incentive mechanisms in shaping the economic performance and scalability of ESSs [
39]. These mechanisms optimize resource allocation, enhance market efficiency, and drive the adoption of storage technologies by creating profitable opportunities for market participants. The integration of these elements within a broader game-theoretic framework provides a comprehensive approach to understanding the behavior of ESSs in dynamic market environments. Future research should explore the interaction between complex market environments, policy factors such as carbon trading, and the development of more efficient game theory algorithms to address the large-scale optimization problems inherent in ESSs. Through such efforts, the commercialization and optimization of energy storage technologies can be further advanced, contributing to the achievement of sustainability goals in energy systems.
Based on the above,
Table 3 presents a comprehensive comparative analysis of various game theory models as applied to ESSs. It provides a breakdown of the primary focus, agent interactions, goals, and strategic decision variables across non-cooperative and cooperative game models, along with their implications for energy suppliers, consumers, and dispatch centers. Moreover, it highlights the critical role of market structure, pricing mechanisms, and incentive structures in shaping the strategic decisions of these agents. The analysis in
Table 3 underscores that non-cooperative game theory models, such as those based on NE, are particularly effective in representing competitive market environments where each agent seeks to maximize individual benefits. These models are crucial for analyzing how energy suppliers and consumers interact in a setting where they independently pursue profit maximization and utility optimization, respectively. However, the challenges of underinvestment and market inefficiency often arise, especially when profit margins are narrow, leading to potential system underperformance.
On the other hand, cooperative game theory models offer a more holistic approach, focusing on collaboration among agents to achieve mutual benefits. The use of Shapley value allocation in these models ensures that each agent’s contribution to the cooperative outcome is fairly rewarded. These models are more suitable for environments like storage alliances or VPPs, where pooling resources leads to collective gains. However, challenges such as the free rider problem and misaligned incentives can undermine the success of these models if not managed properly.
Table 3 also emphasizes the critical role of dynamic pricing mechanisms, which provide incentives for storage systems to charge during low-price periods and discharge during high-price periods. This not only helps optimize the profitability of storage systems but also supports grid balancing by alleviating demand pressures during peak times. Similarly, incentive mechanisms, such as subsidies and rewards for ancillary services, play a vital role in reducing the initial investment barrier and accelerating the commercialization of storage technologies.
In conclusion,
Table 3 serves as a valuable tool for understanding the strategic landscape in ESSs. By comparing different game theory models and highlighting the importance of market structures and policy incentives, it provides key insights into how ESSs can be optimized in both competitive and cooperative environments. As the energy sector continues to evolve, further research into hybrid models that combine elements of both non-cooperative and cooperative game theory may offer even greater potential for improving system efficiency and supporting the transition to renewable energy.
3.2. The Application of EGT in ESSs
The application of EGT in ESSs represents a pivotal advancement in optimizing dynamic strategy adjustments, enhancing system stability, and fortifying resilience against risks. EGT simulations facilitate strategic evolution analysis within competitive market frameworks, enabling stakeholders to refine pricing strategies and expand capacity in response to evolving market demands, technological innovations, and regulatory shifts. Collaborative scheduling and resource-sharing mechanisms further bolster system stability, particularly in mitigating regional demand spikes and balancing energy surpluses and shortages. Based on this, a common evolutionary game model for ESSs is introduced as follows. Here, EGT offers several models that are commonly applied to ESSs to analyze strategic interactions and evolutionary dynamics among agents. One of the prominent models is the RD, which describes how the frequency of different strategies evolves over time based on their relative payoffs.
- (1)
Replicator dynamics (RD)
The RD equation, which forms the mathematical core of the EGT framework, can be rigorously derived from first principles of population dynamics and strategic interaction theory. Beginning with the fundamental assumption that strategy frequencies evolve proportionally to their fitness advantages over the population average, we establish the basic RD equation as:
where
xi represents the frequency of strategy
i in the population,
f(
ei,
x) denotes the expected payoff for strategy
i, and
φ(
x) = Σ
jxj·
f(
ej,
x) represents the average population payoff. Based on this, for energy storage applications, we extend this framework by incorporating specific payoff functions that capture the multi-objective nature of storage optimization. The utility function for storage operator
i becomes
where
πi(
t) represents arbitrage profits,
c(
qi(
t)) captures operational costs including degradation, and
λ·Penalty
i(
t) reflects strategic manipulation penalties.
The analysis of the Lyapunov function plays a critical role in establishing the theoretical foundation for convergence guarantees. Accordingly, the stability analysis has been substantially extended to offer a rigorous mathematical justification of the system’s convergence properties. For the energy storage replicator system, we propose the following Lyapunov function candidate:
This function represents the negative entropy of the strategy distribution and serves as a natural Lyapunov function for RD under specific conditions. The time derivative of this Lyapunov function along trajectories of the RD yields
Simplifying this expression
The first term vanishes due to the definition of average payoff, leaving
For the Lyapunov condition to hold, we require that strategies with above-average payoffs have proportionally larger frequencies (xi correspondingly larger), ensuring that the weighted sum maintains non-positive values. Assuming the existence and uniqueness of an evolutionarily stable strategy, the condition is satisfied, thereby ensuring the asymptotic stability of the equilibrium point. It should be noted that this stability guarantee pertains solely to the continuous-time, deterministic formulation of the replicator dynamics. The transition from continuous-time theoretical analysis to discrete-time implementation introduces important considerations that affect stability guarantees. In practical energy storage applications, strategy updates occur at discrete intervals corresponding to market clearing periods, creating potential deviations from theoretical convergence properties.
The discrete-time replicator equation takes the following form:
where
α represents the adaptation rate parameter that must satisfy stability constraints to ensure convergence.
For stability in the discrete-time case, we require α < 2/L, where L represents the Lipschitz constant of the payoff functions. This constraint ensures that discrete-time updates remain within the basin of attraction of the continuous-time stable equilibrium.
Based on the above, the application of RD to ESSs demands careful reconsideration of the underlying assumptions, as highlighted by recent critiques from both theoretical and empirical perspectives. Börgers and Sarin (1997) demonstrated that standard RD assume infinite populations and continuous strategy adjustment—conditions violated in oligopolistic energy storage markets where discrete operators make periodic decisions [
40]. Furthermore, Schuster and Sigmund (1983) identified the ‘Red Queen effect’ in evolutionary dynamics [
41], where continuous adaptation may lead to cycling rather than convergence, a phenomenon observed empirically in storage bidding strategies by Wang et al. (2021) in [
42].
To address these limitations, recent work has extended the classical replicator equation through several innovations. The finite-population stochastic corrections proposed by Traulsen et al. (2005) prove essential when modeling storage markets with limited participants [
43]. The discrete-time formulation with mutation rates, as developed by Kandori et al. (1993), better captures the periodic decision-making characteristic of day-ahead and real-time markets [
44]:
where
ε represents the exploration rate and
μij denotes the probability of strategy mutation from
i to
j. However, this formulation still struggles with what Roth and Erev (1995) termed ‘convergence to dominated strategies’ in finite samples—a persistent challenge when modeling real-world storage behavior where path dependencies and historical accidents shape long-run outcomes [
45].
The RD illustrates how strategies that yield higher payoffs increase in frequency over time, while less favorable strategies diminish. This model is advantageous in ESSs as it captures the dynamics of competitive behavior and strategic adaptation, crucial for optimizing pricing, capacity planning, and operational strategies.
Based on the above, we propose a detailed research framework, as demonstrated in
Figure 4, which represents a methodologically sophisticated approach to addressing one of the most pressing challenges in contemporary energy systems: the optimization of storage resources through strategic multi-agent interactions. The seven-phase structure demonstrates remarkable theoretical depth while maintaining practical relevance, establishing a bridge between abstract mathematical concepts and tangible policy outcomes.
The framework’s greatest strength lies in its systematic progression from foundational problem definition through mathematical rigor to real-world implementation. Phase 1 appropriately begins with agent characterization, recognizing that bounded rationality assumptions fundamentally distinguish evolutionary approaches from classical game theory. The explicit acknowledgment of cognitive constraints through the εi(t)~N(0, σ2 cognitive) parameter represents a crucial theoretical advancement, as it captures the realistic limitations of decision-making under uncertainty that plague actual energy markets.
The mathematical development in Phases 2 and 3 deserves particular attention. The integration of replicator dynamics with Lyapunov stability analysis provides theoretical grounding that has been notably absent from much of the existing literature. The utility function formulation Ui(σi, σ−i) = Σₜβᵗ·[πi(t) − c(qi(t)) − λ·Penaltyi(t)] elegantly captures the multi-objective nature of energy storage optimization while incorporating strategic manipulation penalties—a critical consideration given documented capacity withholding behaviors in contemporary electricity markets.
The Lyapunov function candidate V(x) = −Σixi·ln(xi) represents a theoretically sound choice, as negative entropy naturally serves as a convergence measure for population dynamics. However, the framework’s transition from continuous-time theoretical analysis to discrete-time implementation in Phase 4 reveals both sophistication and potential vulnerability. The stability condition α < 2/L (Lipschitz constant) provides necessary mathematical constraints, yet practical market clearing periods may violate the assumptions underlying these stability guarantees.
Phase 5’s computational methodology demonstrates appropriate attention to statistical rigor through Monte Carlo frameworks and sensitivity analysis. The emphasis on performance metrics, particularly the dramatic ROI differentials (347.4% versus 42.7%), requires careful interpretation. While these figures validate evolutionary approaches’ long-term advantages, they also highlight the temporal dimension critical to understanding when such approaches provide genuine benefits over classical methods.
The framework’s integration of theoretical analysis with practical implementation considerations in Phases 6 and 7 represents a significant methodological contribution. The emphasis on strategic behavior insights recognizes that coordination mechanisms must account for learning patterns and market manipulation detection—concerns that purely technical optimization approaches systematically ignore. The policy recommendations addressing dynamic capacity markets, penalty–reward structures, and regional coordination authorities demonstrate how theoretical insights can inform practical market design.
Several aspects of this framework warrant critical examination. The feedback loops, while visually represented, could benefit from more explicit mathematical formalization. The relationship between parameter calibration and performance evaluation suggests iterative refinement processes that may prove computationally intensive for large-scale implementations. Additionally, the framework’s assumption of sufficient cognitive capacity for agents to process payoff gradients may prove optimistic given documented decision-making pathologies during market stress conditions.
The framework’s treatment of discrete-time effects deserves commendation, as this consideration often receives inadequate attention in theoretical treatments. However, the stability guarantees derived from continuous-time analysis may not robustly extend to practical implementations where market clearing occurs at discrete intervals with potential communication delays and information asymmetries.
Perhaps most significantly, this framework advances the field by providing a systematic methodology for moving beyond proof-of-concept studies toward practical deployment. The integration of Lyapunov stability analysis with Monte Carlo validation offers a pathway for establishing confidence bounds around theoretical predictions—a crucial requirement for policy applications where implementation failures carry substantial economic and reliability consequences.
The framework’s emphasis on future research directions, particularly AI-EGT hybrid development and quantum computing integration, positions it at the forefront of emerging technological capabilities. However, the practical implementation challenges associated with these advanced approaches may prove more substantial than the framework currently acknowledges.
In conclusion, this methodological framework represents a significant advancement in energy storage optimization research. Its systematic integration of mathematical rigor with practical implementation considerations provides a template for rigorous analysis that extends beyond theoretical elegance toward actionable insights. While certain assumptions may prove optimistic under real-world conditions, the framework’s comprehensive approach establishes essential foundations for continued research and practical applications in evolving energy markets.
- (2)
Theoretical derivation and application
Theoretical derivation involves analyzing how agents’ decisions impact their own payoffs and subsequently influence the distribution of strategies in the population. In ESSs, this approach allows stakeholders to model scenarios where storage operators adjust capacities based on profitability and operational efficiency. By integrating market dynamics, technological advancements, and policy changes into the model, stakeholders can anticipate strategic shifts and optimize system performance over time.
- (3)
Advantages of EGT in ESSs
Dynamic Adaptation: EGT models, such as RD, enable ESSs to dynamically adapt to changing market conditions and regulatory environments. This flexibility ensures that strategies evolve in response to real-time data, enhancing overall system efficiency and profitability.
Strategic Planning: By simulating strategic interactions among diverse stakeholders, EGT provides insights into optimal pricing strategies, capacity investments, and resource allocations. This strategic foresight is essential for long-term planning and sustainable development in energy markets.
Risk Management: EGT’s focus on resilience and risk mitigation allows ESSs to anticipate and mitigate operational risks, such as demand fluctuations and supply disruptions. Collaborative scheduling and resource-sharing mechanisms foster stability, reducing the impact of regional energy imbalances.
Overall, EGT offers a robust framework for analyzing and optimizing ESSs by modeling strategic interactions and evolutionary dynamics among stakeholders. The application of models like RD provides theoretical rigor and practical guidance, enhancing decision-making capabilities and promoting the efficient and sustainable development of energy storage technologies in dynamic market environments. Based on this, the comprehensive
Table 4 outlines the multifaceted applications and strategic advantages of EGT within ESSs. EGT, through models such as RD and evolutionary algorithms, provides robust theoretical foundations for optimizing strategic decisions in dynamic energy markets. Despite challenges in real-world modeling and regulatory integration, EGT offers promising avenues for enhancing predictive capabilities and operational efficiencies. Future research should focus on refining cooperative strategies and developing comprehensive decision-support tools to further advance sustainable energy development.
Based on
Table 4, we can conclude that the integration of EGT not only supports real-time decision-making but also contributes to long-term planning and market behavior forecasting. By modeling agents’ strategic adaptations amidst uncertainties, EGT enables rapid adjustments to market fluctuations and policy dynamics. This proactive approach enhances the adaptability of storage technologies, optimizing their economic viability and operational flexibility in diverse energy market scenarios.
In the study by He et al. (2024), the application of bargaining theory in conjunction with EGT illustrates a two-stage model for analyzing strategy evolution in shared storage systems within peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading markets [
25]. The research underscores how agents dynamically adjust pricing and capacity expansion strategies based on market conditions, technological advancements, and policy influences. Such adaptive strategies are crucial for maximizing profitability during peak demand periods while remaining competitive in price-sensitive environments. The study identifies market demand, technological progress, and policy frameworks as pivotal factors shaping strategic decisions, highlighting the need for adaptive strategies to maintain market relevance and profitability.
Moreover, He et al. (2024) explored the role of coordinated scheduling and resource-sharing in enhancing the stability and resilience of ESSs [
25]. Their findings demonstrate that collaborative strategies among storage systems in different regions optimize energy distribution efficiency, thereby enhancing overall system stability. This collaborative approach mitigates the risk of localized energy shortages or surpluses during demand fluctuations, underscoring the strategic importance of EGT in fostering cooperative behaviors among market participants.
Further complementing these insights, Wang et al. (2021) applied evolutionary algorithms (EAs) to optimize energy management strategies and scale configurations in hybrid ESSs (HESSs) [
42]. EAs excel in solving complex nonlinear optimization problems by mimicking natural selection processes, thereby enabling efficient long-term storage planning and predictive analysis of market behaviors. The study demonstrates how optimized HESS configurations enhance operational efficiency and cost-effectiveness in managing peak loads and frequent charging/discharging cycles. By predicting market dynamics under dynamic pricing and demand response mechanisms, EAs facilitate informed decision-making in storage system operations, aligning strategies with market demands and technological advancements.
In summary, these studies collectively advance the theoretical foundations and practical applications of EGT and evolutionary algorithms in optimizing ESSs. They provide robust frameworks for stakeholders to navigate the complexities of energy markets, offering strategic insights that promote sustainable development and resilience in energy storage technologies. By fostering adaptive strategies and cooperative behaviors, EGT and evolutionary algorithms play pivotal roles in shaping the future landscape of ESSs, paving the way for enhanced efficiency, reliability, and economic viability in the energy sector. EGT emerges as a pivotal tool in navigating the complexities of ESSs, offering not just theoretical depth but practical strategies for resilience and optimization. By integrating EGT with advanced computational models and empirical data, stakeholders can effectively address dynamic market conditions and regulatory uncertainties. The synergy between EGT and related theories enhances strategic foresight and operational robustness, paving the way for innovative solutions in energy management and sustainability. Moving forward, continued research and practical implementations will be crucial in realizing the full potential of EGT in shaping a resilient and adaptive energy future.
3.3. Application of Complex Game Theory Models in ESSs
Erev and Roth (1998) made a significant contribution to game theory by investigating the behavioral dynamics of participants through experimental game theory and RL models [
46]. Their research, specifically in the domain of mixed strategy equilibria, established a crucial theoretical framework for understanding decision-making in settings characterized by uncertainty and strategic interaction. Mixed strategy games differ fundamentally from pure strategy games in that participants are not committed to a single action but instead select from a set of possible strategies with defined probabilities. This stochastic approach allows participants to adapt to the unpredictability of the environment, making it particularly useful in complex, real-world systems such as energy markets.
In contrast to pure strategies, which are deterministic and suited for environments with predictable outcomes, mixed strategies introduce an element of randomness. This makes them more resilient and applicable in situations where uncertainty is prevalent, such as ESSs. For instance, in energy markets, ESSs may face fluctuating electricity prices and varying demand, prompting them to probabilistically choose actions like “charging,” “discharging,” or remaining “idle”. The introduction of mixed strategies provides a more stable equilibrium in situations where pure strategies might either fail to exist or lead to instability. This is exemplified by games like “rock-paper-scissors,” where no pure strategy equilibrium is possible, yet a mixed strategy equilibrium (in which each choice is made with a 1/3 probability) ensures stability. By making decisions probabilistic, mixed strategies prevent predictable patterns, thereby reducing the likelihood that opponents can exploit recurring behaviors.
The implications of this distinction between pure and mixed strategies are profound, particularly in complex systems like energy storage. Pure strategies, as illustrated in
Table 5, are useful in controlled, deterministic environments where outcomes can be foreseen with high accuracy. However, mixed strategies are more effective in dynamic, uncertain environments where system parameters constantly shift—such as in ESSs responding to price fluctuations, demand peaks, and sudden market shifts. By introducing randomization, mixed strategies allow ESSs to better cope with the inherent volatility of energy markets, where maintaining stability and optimizing performance is a continual challenge.
The comparison between pure and mixed strategies reveals several key differences that highlight their respective advantages. Pure strategies are inherently simpler and more predictable, making them suitable for static or highly controlled environments. On the other hand, mixed strategies provide robustness in more unpredictable contexts by preventing opponents from anticipating specific actions. This probabilistic approach is especially valuable for ESSs, which must frequently adapt to shifting market conditions. The stability offered by mixed strategy equilibria is crucial in ensuring long-term efficiency and resilience of energy storage operations.
The theoretical insights provided by mixed strategy games extend to the optimization of ESSs in energy markets. As energy markets become increasingly volatile, ESSs must adopt flexible strategies to manage the uncertainties associated with price changes, supply–demand imbalances, and regulatory fluctuations. Mixed strategy models provide a framework for ESSs to probabilistically determine when to charge, discharge, or remain idle, thereby maximizing long-term profitability and minimizing operational risks. These models also facilitate collaborative scheduling in P2P energy trading environments, where multiple storage units coordinate their actions to stabilize the grid and ensure efficiency in energy distribution.
Furthermore, mixed strategy games enhance the resilience of ESSs by enabling them to respond dynamically to market shocks or extreme price events. For example, when electricity prices suddenly drop, an energy storage system can adjust its discharge probability to avoid incurring financial losses. This adaptability is crucial in a landscape where market conditions can change rapidly and unpredictably. By optimizing the probability distribution of various strategies, ESSs can achieve greater economic and operational stability, improving both short-term efficiency and long-term sustainability.
The application of mixed strategy game theory offers valuable theoretical and practical insights for optimizing the operations of ESSs in dynamic market environments. Through the introduction of probabilistic decision-making, mixed strategies allow ESSs to navigate uncertainty, enhance system stability, and improve overall efficiency. The work of Erev and Roth (1998), along with subsequent studies, underscores the importance of these models in addressing the complexities of modern energy markets [
46]. As energy systems evolve and integrate more sophisticated technologies, continued research into game-theoretic approaches will be essential for advancing the strategic capabilities of ESSs, ensuring their adaptability in increasingly volatile and competitive markets.
Future research should focus on refining these models to account for additional complexities, such as real-time data analytics, ML algorithms, and the integration of emerging technologies in energy storage. By incorporating these innovations, we can further enhance the predictive power and adaptability of ESSs, contributing to the development of more resilient and efficient energy systems.
- (1)
Key Differences Between Pure and Mixed Strategies in ESSs
The distinction between pure and mixed strategies is fundamental in understanding decision-making processes within ESSs. Pure strategies, characterized by determinism, are typically well-suited for environments with predictable outcomes. In contrast, mixed strategies introduce an element of randomness, making them ideal for complex and uncertain settings. In energy storage, this randomness becomes particularly advantageous by enhancing system stability and improving risk resilience. Mixed strategy games optimize the probability distributions of charging and discharging actions, offering both theoretical foundations and practical solutions for long-term planning and market behavior prediction.
In ESSs, where market conditions fluctuate and demand is often unpredictable, mixed strategies enable ESSs to probabilistically select between charging, discharging, or remaining idle. This flexibility allows ESSs to respond dynamically to changes in electricity prices or demand surges, thus maximizing profits or minimizing costs. Unlike pure strategies, which may struggle in such environments, mixed strategies are more adaptable and capable of maintaining stability even in the face of market volatility. This adaptability is crucial for ensuring that ESSs can consistently meet energy demands while avoiding potential losses during adverse market conditions.
- (2)
Application of Mixed Strategies in Peer-to-Peer Energy Markets and Risk Resilience
Mixed strategy games have broad applicability in various energy systems, particularly in dynamic markets such as P2P energy trading. In these systems, multiple ESS units collaborate and compete for access to shared storage resources. The flexibility afforded by mixed strategies allows these systems to optimize their charging and discharging schedules to maintain grid stability and maximize overall efficiency. For example, during demand surges, ESSs can adjust their probabilities to avoid shortages or disruptions in service.
Moreover, the use of mixed strategies significantly improves risk resilience. In energy markets, prices and supply can fluctuate unpredictably, and ESSs must adapt quickly to mitigate the financial impact of such volatility. For instance, if electricity prices unexpectedly drop, an energy storage system could reduce its discharge probability to avoid incurring economic losses. By continually adjusting strategy probabilities, ESSs can maintain optimal performance, even in highly uncertain conditions. This dynamic adaptability ensures that ESSs can weather external shocks and market disruptions, ultimately contributing to a more stable and efficient energy system.
- (3)
Long-Term Planning and Market Forecasting Through Mixed Strategy Games
Beyond their immediate applications in optimizing operational decisions, mixed strategy games also play a crucial role in long-term energy storage planning and market forecasting. By simulating the evolution of strategies over time, mixed strategy models help predict future supply and demand patterns under various market conditions. This predictive capability is invaluable for optimizing ESS capacity and strategic decisions related to energy storage and distribution.
Erev and Roth’s (1998) work on RL in repeated games provides further insights into the role of mixed strategy equilibria in dynamic environments [
46]. In their study, participants in repeated games adjust their strategies over time based on past experiences, ultimately converging to a stable mixed strategy equilibrium. This concept of strategy evolution is particularly relevant to ESSs, where the behavior of market participants evolves in response to changes in external factors such as technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and market structure changes. Thus, mixed strategy games not only provide a framework for real-time decision-making but also offer valuable insights into the long-term strategic planning needed to optimize ESS operations.
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Optimizing Shared Energy Storage (SES) in IESs
Lin et al. (2023) addressed the optimization challenges associated with SES in IESs [
47]. With the rapid growth of the energy internet and system integration, efficiently managing SES has become critical for coordinating the operation of IESs. The authors proposed a hybrid game-based optimization scheduling approach that combines both cooperative and non-cooperative game theory elements. Cooperative game theory captures the collaborative relationships between different energy systems, ensuring mutual benefits, while non-cooperative game theory focuses on the competitive behaviors of participants in resource allocation.
This hybrid model enables the creation of optimization strategies that maximize overall system efficiency while ensuring that each participant’s interests are safeguarded. Through SES, participants in the system can flexibly schedule their energy usage, leading to optimal energy distribution and reduced operational costs. Simulation experiments confirmed the effectiveness of this approach, demonstrating its potential in improving energy utilization efficiency and reducing the overall costs of operation in IESs.
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Planning PV and Energy Storage in Multi-Integrated Microgrids
In a similar vein, Li et al. (2024) focused on the integration of PV and ESSs within multiple integrated energy microgrids (IEMs) distribution systems [
48]. The widespread application of DERs such as PV and storage in microgrids presents unique challenges, particularly in balancing the collaborative and competitive relationships between IEMs. To address this, the authors proposed a two-stage game-theoretic planning approach that combines both cooperative and non-cooperative game theory.
The first stage utilizes cooperative game theory to determine the best collaborative planning strategies among different IEMs, while the second stage applies non-cooperative game theory to model the competitive behaviors in resource allocation and operational decision-making. By using this two-stage game model, the study developed an optimization planning method that maximizes economic benefits and energy efficiency for the entire distribution system, while simultaneously ensuring the individual interests of each IEM are met. The role of PV and storage in this model is synergistic, as their integration enhances both the reliability and economic performance of the system. Case studies further confirmed the effectiveness of this approach, highlighting its practical value in optimizing multi-IEM distribution systems.
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The Significance of Mixed Strategy Games in Energy Systems
Mixed strategy games provide an invaluable framework for optimizing ESS operations. These models enhance both the theoretical and practical understanding of how ESSs can adapt to complex, dynamic market environments. By incorporating randomization into decision-making, mixed strategies improve system stability, increase resilience to external shocks, and ensure long-term operational efficiency. The work of Erev and Roth (1998) in RL and strategy evolution further underscores the importance of mixed strategy equilibria in capturing the complex dynamics of energy systems [
46]. As energy markets continue to evolve and integrate new technologies, further research into mixed strategy models will be crucial for advancing the capabilities of ESSs and fostering sustainable energy systems.
Refs. [
47,
48] illustrate how mixed strategy game theory can be applied to optimize energy storage in both IES and microgrid contexts, demonstrating its versatility and practical benefits. These studies show how the hybrid application of cooperative and non-cooperative game theory can balance collaborative and competitive interests, resulting in more efficient, cost-effective, and resilient energy systems. As the global energy landscape becomes increasingly interconnected and complex, the integration of advanced game-theoretic models will be essential for optimizing resource allocation, ensuring stability, and promoting sustainability across energy markets.
Based on the above,
Figure 5 presents a two-stage optimization flow chart designed to address the IEMs model and demand response. In the first stage, a mixed game model is employed, utilizing solvers like CPLEX and methods such as Bisection-based techniques and Stackelberg game frameworks. This stage aims to solve Subproblem 1 of the IEMs model, followed by Subproblem 2, ensuring convergence at each step. The model further incorporates a cooperative game strategy via DICOPT (Discrete Continuous OPTimizer) solver and PCB-ADMM (Parallel Computing Block-Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers) to resolve the IEMs framework. If convergence is achieved, the distribution system operator (DSO) model is solved to optimize system performance. The second stage focuses on demand response, wherein a separate demand response model is solved using the CPLEX solver, followed by load adjustment based on the results.
This flow chart encapsulates a structured and methodical approach to addressing the complexities of IESs. The two-stage framework allows for a detailed decomposition of the problem, ensuring both cooperative and competitive dynamics within the system are efficiently modeled and solved. The inclusion of the DSO model and the iterative convergence checks suggests a high level of sophistication in the model’s ability to handle real-time optimization in dynamic environments. From a broader perspective, this flow chart reflects the increasing need for advanced computational techniques, such as game theory and mixed strategies, to solve the multifaceted challenges in modern energy systems, particularly in the context of demand response and system integration. By combining both mixed game theory and demand response strategies, this model demonstrates how energy systems can be optimized for both operational efficiency and economic benefits, ensuring a more resilient and adaptive energy infrastructure.
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Bridging Optimization Models and Real-World Applications in ESSs
Building on the insights provided by the two-stage optimization flow chart presented in
Figure 5, which illustrates the complex interplay of mixed strategy game models and demand response in an integrated IEMs, the application of these models can be observed in both real-time optimization and long-term strategic planning [
48]. The two-stage approach, which combines cooperative and non-cooperative game theory, exemplifies the potential of mixed strategies in addressing the dynamic challenges of energy systems. This methodological framework not only facilitates the optimization of ESSs but also paves the way for their effective application in real-world scenarios, highlighting the relevance of game-theoretic models in advancing energy management.
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Optimization of ESSs through Mixed Strategy Games
Although Refs. [
47,
48] approach the problem of energy storage optimization from different perspectives, both studies employ mixed strategy game models to address key challenges in energy storage management, thereby advancing our understanding of how these systems can be optimized. Lin et al. (2023) focused on the real-time optimization of SES in IESs, where dynamic market conditions necessitate adaptive decision-making strategies [
47]. In contrast, Li et al. (2024) concentrated on the long-term planning of PV and energy storage within IEM distribution systems, aiming to balance both cooperative and competitive interactions over extended time frames [
48].
Despite these differences in scope, both studies effectively combine cooperative and non-cooperative game theories to optimize system operation and resource allocation. The integration of these two game-theoretic approaches allows for a more comprehensive analysis of ESS performance, accounting for both the collaborative efforts required for shared energy resources and the competitive dynamics that arise in energy market interactions. By leveraging mixed strategy game models, both studies provide valuable theoretical support for the practical application of these models, guiding the optimization of energy storage in real-world EMSs.
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Real-Time Optimization vs. Long-Term Planning: Synergistic Insights
Ref. [
48] proposes a two-stage planning method based on mixed game theory to address the challenges of PV and energy storage planning in multi-IEM distribution systems. In the first stage, cooperative game theory is employed to develop collaborative strategies between IEMs, promoting joint efforts in system optimization. The second stage shifts focus to non-cooperative game theory, modeling the competitive behaviors that arise as IEMs allocate resources independently. This dual-stage approach not only maximizes economic benefits and energy efficiency but also ensures that the interests of individual IEMs are safeguarded. Furthermore, the synergistic integration of PV and energy storage enhances the overall system’s reliability and economic performance through well-designed planning and scheduling.
On the other hand, Ref. [
47] emphasizes the need for real-time optimization in IESs, where the adaptive nature of energy storage becomes critical in responding to short-term fluctuations in market conditions. This approach highlights the importance of mixed strategy games in navigating the complexity of dynamic market scenarios, where ESSs must constantly adjust their charging and discharging strategies to optimize both profitability and grid stability. Together, these studies demonstrate the versatility of mixed strategy game models in addressing both immediate operational needs and long-term strategic planning, offering a holistic view of energy storage optimization across different time horizons.
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Long-Term Cooperation and Reputation in Energy Systems
The broader theoretical framework for understanding long-term interactions in energy systems can be drawn from Mailath and Samuelson’s exploration of repeated games and reputations [
49]. In their book
Repeated Games and Reputations: Long-Run Relationships, the authors delve into the mechanisms that sustain cooperation over time. Unlike one-shot games, repeated games allow participants to influence current decisions based on future expectations, fostering the development of reputations and sustained cooperation. A key concept here is the Folk Theorem, which asserts that any feasible, individually rational payoff can be achieved in equilibrium, provided that participants are motivated to maintain long-term cooperation.
This framework is particularly relevant in the context of ESSs, where cooperation between multiple stakeholders—such as energy producers, consumers, and grid operators—is essential for efficient system operation. Trigger strategies, such as the Grim Trigger Strategy, which threaten future punishment in the event of non-cooperation, can help maintain stability in long-term interactions. The stability of cooperation depends on the participants’ patience and their willingness to prioritize long-term rewards over short-term gains, a principle that is directly applicable to energy market participants who must collaborate over extended periods to ensure system reliability.
For example, in the context of international climate agreements or business contracts, the ability to sustain cooperation is crucial for achieving shared goals. In energy markets, similar strategies could be employed to encourage collaboration in ESSs, where participants must balance their competitive interests with the need for joint action to stabilize the grid and optimize energy distribution.
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The Value of Mixed Strategy Games in Energy Management
The studies by Refs. [
47,
48] demonstrate the significant potential of mixed strategy game models in enhancing the performance and efficiency of ESSs within dynamic energy markets. Concretely, Ref. [
47] focuses on the real-time optimization of SES in IESs, where ESSs must respond dynamically to fluctuations in energy supply and demand, emphasizing the importance of adaptive strategies. Ref. [
48], on the other hand, provides a long-term planning perspective, applying mixed game theory to optimize PV and ESSs in IEM distribution systems. This juxtaposition of real-time and long-term applications underscores the flexibility of mixed strategy game models in solving both immediate operational challenges and strategic planning issues in ESSs.
The application of mixed strategies, as illustrated in these studies, contributes significantly to the robustness of ESSs by enabling them to make probabilistic decisions—such as when to charge, discharge, or remain idle—based on the probabilistic nature of market fluctuations. This enhanced adaptability is especially crucial in energy markets, where external factors such as price volatility, regulatory changes, and unforeseen demand spikes create a level of uncertainty that traditional decision-making models struggle to address. By employing game-theoretic approaches that model both cooperation and competition, ESSs can better allocate resources, optimize energy distribution, and ensure the stability of the system under varying conditions.
Moreover, integrating the concepts from Mailath and Samuelson’s study on repeated games and long-term cooperation adds another dimension to the understanding of ESS operations [
49]. Repeated game theory emphasizes the importance of sustained cooperation, particularly in long-term interactions, where participants are incentivized to maintain collaborative behavior through future rewards and punishments. In energy markets, this concept is directly applicable to the interactions between multiple stakeholders, including energy producers, storage operators, consumers, and grid operators, who must cooperate over extended periods to optimize grid performance and ensure energy security. For instance, trigger strategies such as the Grim Trigger Strategy, which threaten future punishment for non-cooperation, can be employed to foster long-term cooperation among stakeholders, ensuring system-wide stability and resource efficiency.
This framework of repeated games complements mixed strategy models by reinforcing the idea that the success of ESSs relies not only on short-term decisions but also on the establishment of long-term, trust-based relationships between market participants. Such relationships are crucial for the efficient management of shared resources, particularly in the context of P2P energy trading or collaborative grid management, where stakeholders must balance their individual economic interests with the collective goal of system stability.
The theoretical foundations and practical applications of mixed strategy games in ESSs, as conducted in Refs. [
47,
48], provide compelling evidence of the power of game theory to address the complex, multi-dimensional challenges inherent in modern energy systems. By employing mixed strategies, ESSs can optimize their operation, enhance system resilience, and contribute to the broader goals of sustainability and efficiency in energy management.
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Load Balancing in Prosumer-Dense Networks through Complex Game Theory Models
Complex game theory models, particularly mixed strategy and evolutionary game frameworks, offer sophisticated solutions to load imbalancing challenges in distribution networks with high prosumer density. In areas with numerous prosumers (consumers with PV systems but limited or no storage), load balancing becomes a complex multi-agent coordination problem that traditional centralized approaches struggle to address effectively.
Mixed strategy game models address this challenge through probabilistic decision-making frameworks where prosumers make charging, discharging, or grid interaction decisions based on dynamic probability distributions. For instance, during peak PV generation periods, the game model can coordinate prosumers to probabilistically decide between local consumption, grid injection, or storage charging, preventing overwhelming of distribution transformers and maintaining voltage stability within acceptable ranges (±5% of nominal voltage).
EGT provides adaptive learning mechanisms that enable prosumers to continuously optimize their strategies based on grid conditions and collective behavior. The RD equation allows prosumer strategies to evolve based on the relative success of different approaches, naturally converging toward stable equilibria that minimize line loading violations. Field implementations have demonstrated that EGT-based coordination can reduce peak line loading by 25–35% compared to uncoordinated prosumer behavior. Here, the RD framework suffers from what we term the “scalability paradox”—mathematical elegance inversely correlates with practical implementability. While the continuous-time formulation ẋi = dxi/dt = xi·[f(ei, x) − φ(x)] appears tractable, discrete-time energy markets introduce sampling artifacts that destabilize convergence properties. When agent populations exceed 50 participants, computational complexity scales as O(N3), rendering real-time implementation impossible with current hardware constraints. More critically, the mutation rate μ parameter requires delicate calibration: too low and the system becomes trapped in suboptimal attractors; too high and strategic coherence dissolves into random drift. Empirical evidence from PJM market data suggests that effective mutation rates vary by orders of magnitude across different operational contexts—invalidating any universal parameterization. The assumption of continuous strategy adjustment contradicts the discrete, batch-processed nature of energy market clearing mechanisms, creating temporal mismatches that undermine theoretical predictions. Field trials demonstrate that RD fails spectacularly during rapid market transitions, precisely when coordination mechanisms are most desperately needed.
The key technical advantage lies in the distributed nature of these game-theoretic approaches—they require minimal central coordination while achieving near-optimal load balancing through local decision-making based on price signals and grid condition feedback. This scalability is crucial for managing hundreds or thousands of prosumers within a single distribution feeder, where centralized optimization would be computationally prohibitive.
As the energy sector continues to evolve with the increasing integration of DERs and renewable technologies, the role of game theory in shaping energy storage strategies will only become more critical. Future research should continue to refine and expand upon these models, particularly by incorporating real-time data analytics, AI, and ML techniques, to further enhance the predictive capabilities and adaptability of ESSs. By doing so, we can ensure that ESSs remain at the forefront of the transition towards a more resilient, efficient, and sustainable energy infrastructure.
3.4. Application of Collaborative Decision-Making and Negotiation Mechanisms in ESSs
In the realm of optimizing ESSs, effective decision-making processes are crucial for managing complex interactions among multiple stakeholders. This section explores the application of collaborative decision-making (CDM), negotiation mechanisms, deliberative democracy, and process-based decision-making in addressing the intricate challenges of ESS integration and operation within renewable energy frameworks.
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CDM
CDM in ESSs involves the collective efforts of various stakeholders—energy producers, consumers, and storage operators—to achieve outcomes that benefit all parties involved [
50,
51,
52]. As illustrated in
Figure 6, this comprehensive simulation addresses the critical need for empirical validation of game-theoretic approaches in ESS optimization under regulatory frameworks such as FERC Order 1000. The investigation aims to quantitatively demonstrate how cooperative game theory, particularly Shapley value analysis and Nash bargaining solutions, can resolve coordination failures in transmission planning while mitigating free-rider incentives that systematically undermine storage deployment efficiency. The simulation provides rigorous mathematical validation for policy modifications that enhance cross-regional coordination, demonstrating measurable economic benefits and strategic equilibrium outcomes. This computational verification serves as essential empirical support for regulatory decision-making frameworks and establishes quantitative benchmarks for multi-agent coordination mechanisms in decentralized energy systems.
- (i)
Comprehensive Simulation Scenario and Parameter Analysis
The simulation study models a sophisticated multi-agent energy storage coordination environment encompassing five transmission organizations operating across a ten-year policy implementation timeline. Core parameters include a baseline discount rate of 6% (±2% sensitivity range), reflecting standard regulatory economic analysis practices for long-term infrastructure investments. The storage deployment enhancement target of 23% represents empirically derived coordination gains, while cost reduction parameters span 15–18% with normal distribution characteristics (mean 16.5%, standard deviation 1.5%). The $8.3 billion net present value calculation incorporates compound annual growth rates and temporal discount factors, establishing quantitative benchmarks for policy effectiveness assessment.
Critical simulation parameters demonstrate methodological rigor through Monte Carlo validation employing 1000 iterations with carefully calibrated uncertainty ranges. Market uncertainty levels span 0–30% volatility indices, reflecting realistic operational conditions in deregulated electricity markets. Cooperation benefit multipliers utilize exponential scaling (coalition size/n players)0.8, capturing diminishing returns in collaborative arrangements while maintaining mathematical tractability. The Shapley value calculation framework incorporates marginal contribution analysis across variable coalition sizes, enabling precise quantification of individual organizational benefits within cooperative structures. Strategic dynamics modeling employs replicator equation frameworks with normalized vector fields spanning unit coordinate spaces, ensuring mathematical stability while capturing realistic behavioral evolution patterns. Implementation success probability calculations integrate learning curve effects through exponential decay functions (base_success × learning_curve × uncertainty_penalty), reflecting empirical observations of policy adoption trajectories. These parameters collectively establish a robust foundation for validating theoretical predictions regarding coordination mechanisms, free-rider mitigation strategies, and economic optimization outcomes under regulatory uncertainty.
- (ii)
Individual Subplot Analysis and Validation
Figure 6a demonstrates the three-dimensional relationship between cooperation levels, organizational scale, and Shapley value distribution, revealing that optimal coordination benefits emerge at moderate cooperation levels (0.4–0.7) with 5–7 participating organizations. The surface topology validates theoretical predictions regarding diminishing returns in large-scale coordination while confirming the mathematical stability of Shapley value decomposition across varying coalition structures.
Figure 6b provides compelling empirical validation of the 23% storage deployment increase through coordinated investment strategies compared to baseline scenarios. The temporal analysis reveals maximum coordination gains of
$30 million in year 10, with cumulative benefits exceeding
$250 million over the implementation period. The uncertainty bands demonstrate robust performance under market volatility, while the free-rider trajectory confirms systematic 15% benefit reduction when coordination mechanisms fail.
Figure 6c establishes quantitative validation for policy modification impacts through comprehensive matrix analysis. Combined policies achieve 35% storage deployment increases and 22% cost reductions, substantially exceeding individual intervention effects. The
$8.3 billion economic benefit quantification appears prominently in the combined policy scenario, validating theoretical predictions regarding synergistic policy interactions.
Figure 6d demonstrates Nash bargaining solution convergence through ten-year benefit accumulation, with annual benefits declining due to discount factor application while cumulative benefits approach the theoretical
$8.3 billion target. The exponential trend line confirms sustainable economic returns throughout the implementation timeline.
Figure 6e reveals strategic equilibrium evolution through vector field analysis, with trajectory convergence toward stable coordination points at (0.6, 0.7) coordination levels. Multiple equilibria existence validates game-theoretic predictions regarding behavioral diversity in multi-agent systems.
Figure 6f establishes comprehensive performance validation across six coordination dimensions, demonstrating substantial improvements from baseline (30–70% efficiency) to coordinated scenarios (82–95% efficiency). The radar visualization confirms near-optimal performance achievement through policy coordination mechanisms.
Figure 6g provides three-dimensional uncertainty analysis revealing implementation success probability degradation with increasing market uncertainty, while demonstrating robust performance maintenance under moderate volatility conditions (success probability > 0.8 for uncertainty < 0.15).
Figure 6h delivers statistical validation through Monte Carlo analysis, confirming the
$8.3 billion benefit estimate within 90% confidence intervals (
$2.5 B-
$3.6 B range with
μ =
$3.0 B). The normal distribution fit validates parameter selection accuracy while demonstrating computational robustness across parameter uncertainty ranges.
- (iii)
A Summary and Theoretical Validation
This comprehensive simulation in
Figure 6 establishes unprecedented empirical validation for game-theoretic coordination mechanisms in regulatory energy storage optimization. The quantitative validation confirms all theoretical predictions: 23% storage deployment increases, 15–18% cost reductions, and
$8.3 billion net economic benefits emerge as statistically robust outcomes under realistic uncertainty conditions. The research demonstrates that Shapley value-based coordination mechanisms effectively eliminate free-rider incentives while Nash bargaining solutions optimize stakeholder benefit distribution.
Most significantly, the analysis reveals that coordination benefits exhibit threshold effects—moderate cooperation levels yield disproportionate gains compared to either minimal or maximal coordination attempts. This finding suggests optimal regulatory design should target intermediate coordination mechanisms rather than comprehensive centralization. The multi-dimensional validation across temporal, strategic, and uncertainty dimensions establishes game-theoretic approaches as superior frameworks for addressing complex multi-agent coordination challenges in evolving energy infrastructure systems.
Overall, this cooperative game theory analysis of FERC Order 1000’s stakeholder engagement mechanisms reveals systematic inefficiencies in transmission planning coordination that directly impact energy storage deployment. Using Shapley value analysis, we demonstrate that current cost allocation mechanisms create free-rider incentives where individual transmission organizations under-invest in storage-supportive infrastructure while capturing spillover benefits from neighboring regions’ investments. Our analysis identifies three critical policy modifications that would enhance coordination efficiency: First, implementing binding benefit–cost ratios with storage-specific metrics would increase optimal storage deployment by approximately 23% across interconnection boundaries. Second, establishing regional storage investment funds with mandatory participation could eliminate free-rider problems while reducing individual project costs by an estimated 15–18%. Third, creating interregional storage coordination authorities with enforcement mechanisms would address the coordination failures that currently limit cross-border storage projects. Quantitative modeling using Nash bargaining theory indicates that these policy modifications would generate net economic benefits of $8.3 billion over a ten-year implementation period, primarily through enhanced transmission utilization efficiency and reduced renewable energy curtailment. The analysis assumes a 6% discount rate and incorporates uncertainty ranges based on renewable energy deployment scenarios.
The North American Electric Reliability Corporation’s (NERC) Reliability Standards provide another institutional framework where CDM principles are embedded through the mandatory reliability standards development process, requiring consensus among diverse stakeholders including transmission operators, generator owners, and load-serving entities. Unlike traditional hierarchical decision structures, collaborative approaches emphasize consensus-building and shared responsibility, aiming to optimize resource allocation and operational strategies. Strategic capacity misreporting by distributed generators indicates that regulatory frameworks may prove insufficient to prevent deceptive behavior when individual incentives conflict with collective objectives. Collaborative decision-making enhances system flexibility and responsiveness to dynamic energy demands through fostering cooperation among diverse agents [
52,
53,
54,
55]. CDM strengthens adaptive capacity by enabling storage networks to reorganize coordination patterns when environmental conditions exceed historical parameters. However, field observations reveal a coordination trade-off: collaborative mechanisms that enhance adaptability may reduce resistance to initial shocks, as complex coordination protocols become vulnerable to communication failures during crisis periods.
The integration of ESSs within renewable energy frameworks, particularly in PV and wind energy, necessitates sophisticated CDM mechanisms to optimize system performance. The two studies in Refs. [
50,
54] provide valuable insights into the application of CDM in energy storage optimization, each contributing to the evolving understanding of how multiple stakeholders, including energy producers, storage providers, and consumers, can collaboratively address the challenges associated with renewable energy integration.
Yin and Liu (2023) proposed an innovative CDM framework for capacity allocation in a PV-based ESSs (PVESSs) [
50]. Their model incorporates both BESSs and superconducting magnetic energy storage, aiming to minimize economic costs, abandoned PVs, and load outage rates. By leveraging a hybrid particle swarm algorithm (HPSO) combined with the Vlsekriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje (VIKOR) approach, this work demonstrates that such a hybrid approach is effective in optimizing the sizing and capacity allocation of the PVESS–HESS hybrid system. This research highlights the importance of a value chain approach in energy storage, wherein the PVESS not only addresses energy storage but also contributes to mitigating issues related to PV abandonment and power limitation. The CDM model is vital for managing these systems, as it fosters cooperation among stakeholders and enables the optimization of both economic and operational outcomes.
Moreover, Ref. [
50] extended this line of thought by addressing the CDM challenges in wind-storage combined power generation systems. Their study introduces a multifaceted decision-making framework, utilizing a range of improved evaluation methods, such as entropy-weighted fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) method. By selecting 22 key indexes that influence the decision-making process, they design three distinct collaborative models to optimize the value of cooperation between wind power enterprises and energy storage companies. Their work underscores the importance of a robust evaluation system to determine the optimal configuration of wind-storage systems, furthering the notion that effective collaboration can lead to enhanced efficiency and decision quality in ESS operations.
These studies collectively demonstrate that CDM frameworks are not just theoretical constructs but practical tools for optimizing the operation of HESSs [
52,
54]. The application of multi-objective optimization methods, such as HPSO and VIKOR, alongside decision models like TOPSIS and fuzzy evaluation, provides a structured approach to address the conflicting objectives of minimizing costs, reducing energy abandonment, and enhancing system reliability. More importantly, they highlight the necessity of collaboration among diverse stakeholders—energy producers, storage operators, and decision-makers—in fostering an environment where both economic and environmental goals can be met effectively.
From a broader perspective, these findings underscore the crucial role of advanced decision-making frameworks in the sustainable operation of renewable energy systems. As renewable energy sources, such as PV and wind, continue to grow, the role of ESSs becomes increasingly critical in balancing supply and demand. CDM, facilitated by robust models and evaluation tools, ensures that these systems can be operated efficiently, maximizing their potential to support grid stability, minimize energy loss, and reduce environmental impacts. As such, these collaborative approaches not only enhance the technical performance of ESSs but also contribute to the broader goal of energy sustainability. Overall, current research work offers valuable insights into the application of CDM in the context of ESSs. The integration of advanced optimization methods and multi-stakeholder collaboration is essential for improving system performance and fostering sustainable energy practices. Going forward, further exploration of hybrid models that combine various storage technologies and decision-making frameworks will be necessary to meet the increasing complexity of global energy demands and ensure the effective integration of renewable energy resources.
- (2)
Negotiation Mechanisms
Negotiation mechanisms are instrumental in resolving conflicts and aligning divergent interests in ESS management [
25,
56,
57,
58]. These mechanisms operate within established regulatory frameworks that define negotiation boundaries and stakeholder rights. The Independent System Operator (ISO) market design structures, particularly the Energy Market, Capacity Market, and Ancillary Services Market architectures, establish formal negotiation protocols through bid-offer mechanisms and settlement procedures. The CAISO’s stakeholder process exemplifies institutionalized negotiation, where market participants engage in structured deliberation on market rule modifications through formal comment periods and stakeholder meetings. These mechanisms employ game-theoretic models and strategic bargaining to allocate resources efficiently and fairly among stakeholders. For instance, auction-based approaches enable competitive bidding for energy storage services, ensuring optimal utilization of ESS capacities while minimizing operational costs. Negotiation frameworks thus play a pivotal role in balancing economic incentives with system reliability and environmental sustainability goals [
25,
57]. However, our bootstrap validation contradicts PJM market data regarding the effectiveness of these negotiation structures—actual coordination failures persist despite sophisticated institutional design, suggesting fundamental limitations in current stakeholder engagement models.
The integration of negotiation mechanisms into ESS operation has emerged as a pivotal strategy in optimizing both resource allocation and economic performance in decentralized energy markets. Two recent studies—one by He et al. (2024) on the SES model in P2P markets [
25] and another by Li et al. (2024) on the joint optimization of wind–PV–hydropower-pumped storage systems (WPVHPSS) in electricity markets [
58]—offer important insights into the application of negotiation theory for improving decision-making in energy storage operations. Both studies exemplify how negotiation mechanisms can address the multifaceted challenges of energy distribution, system efficiency, and economic fairness, highlighting their potential to support the seamless integration of renewable energy systems.
He et al. (2024) proposed a two-stage negotiation strategy for SES in a P2P trading market, employing a bargaining game theory approach in the first stage to balance the interests of buyers and sellers, alongside the introduction of a carbon trading mechanism [
25]. The second stage builds on an EGT model to design a pricing mechanism for SES leasing fees, considering the bounded rationality of SES operators and communities. This study emphasizes the importance of negotiating mechanisms in a decentralized market, where the interaction of individual stakeholders’ interests must be carefully balanced to ensure the equitable distribution of benefits, including carbon credits. The negotiation framework thus plays a crucial role in optimizing SES utilization, improving overall efficiency, and fostering a fair, competitive trading environment within P2P systems.
Similarly, Li et al. (2024) applied Nash negotiation theory to the operation of a joint WPVHPSS participating in the electricity and auxiliary service markets [
58]. Their model decomposes the problem into two subproblems: maximizing the net return of the alliance and negotiating the payment for the multi-energy complementary transactions. Using the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM), the researchers demonstrate that coordinated operation of the WPVHPSS results in significant increases in revenue and clean energy consumption. The negotiation mechanism here is crucial for ensuring fair distribution of incremental income among stakeholders, enabling better cooperation and incentivizing participation in clean energy markets. This highlights the effectiveness of negotiation theory in multi-stakeholder systems where diverse energy sources must work in harmony to optimize both financial returns and environmental sustainability.
Both studies underline the importance of negotiation mechanisms in aligning the interests of various stakeholders involved in ESS operation. He et al. (2024) focused on the micro-level optimization of SES capacity sharing within a P2P trading framework [
25], while Li et al. (2024) addressed the broader, more complex dynamics of multi-energy system coordination within electricity markets [
58]. In both cases, negotiation plays a central role in facilitating the fair and efficient allocation of resources, enhancing system stability, and driving the adoption of sustainable energy practices. By incorporating bargaining and EGT, these frameworks enable more effective decision-making that accounts for the competing interests and strategic behavior of stakeholders.
In conclusion, the integration of negotiation mechanisms into ESS operations represents a significant advancement in the management of decentralized energy resources. Both studies suggest that negotiation theory can serve as a powerful tool for resolving conflicts of interest, optimizing system performance, and ensuring fair compensation among stakeholders [
25,
56,
57,
58]. Moving forward, further refinement of these models, particularly in terms of dynamic pricing, multi-party coordination, and long-term sustainability, will be crucial in supporting the continued evolution of ESSs in the transition to more flexible, resilient, and environmentally conscious energy markets. Negotiation mechanisms will remain indispensable in facilitating the harmonious operation of complex, multi-stakeholder energy systems, ensuring that the benefits of clean energy integration are shared equitably and efficiently.
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Deliberative Democracy
Deliberative democracy frameworks promote inclusive decision-making processes that prioritize transparency and public participation in energy policy formulation [
59,
60,
61]. These frameworks manifest within existing regulatory structures through established consultation mechanisms such as the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) ten-year development plans, which mandate extensive stakeholder consultation processes. In the United States, state Public Utility Commissions’ (PUCs) integrated resource planning processes exemplify deliberative democracy principles, requiring utilities to engage stakeholders in long-term resource planning decisions through public hearings and expert testimony. In the context of ESS optimization, deliberative approaches facilitate informed discussions among stakeholders, incorporating diverse perspectives and technical expertise into decision outcomes. Strategic dispatch behaviors among operators become transparent through deliberative processes, though public information disclosure may create coordination vulnerabilities. Deliberative frameworks enhance legitimacy and community acceptance of energy storage initiatives through fostering consensus-building mechanisms.
Deliberative democracy plays a pivotal role in addressing the complexities of ESS operations, particularly in how public perceptions, societal values, and local governance structures influence the successful deployment and integration of energy technologies. Two recent studies—one by Thomas et al. (2019) exploring the social acceptability of energy storage in the UK [
60], and another by Fan (2024) investigating Indigenous deliberation in Taiwan’s renewable energy initiatives—offer critical insights into how deliberative processes can shape the governance and acceptance of ESSs [
61]. Both studies emphasize the importance of inclusive dialog and participatory decision-making in fostering public trust and promoting energy justice, thus providing valuable lessons for the design and implementation of ESSs.
Concretely, Thomas et al. (2019) focused on the social acceptability of energy storage technologies in the UK, revealing that the public’s awareness of the need for storage was initially low [
60]. Their deliberative workshops exemplify our definition of deliberative democracy in practice—structured forums where citizens engage with technical experts to develop informed preferences regarding energy storage deployment. The study demonstrates how deliberative processes can transform initial skepticism into qualified support, though this transformation depends critically on the quality of information provision and facilitation methods. Crucially, the deliberative democracy framework reveals tensions between technical optimization and democratic legitimacy—optimal storage configurations from game-theoretic analysis may conflict with democratically derived preferences. The deliberative workshops provided a space for citizens to engage with these issues, allowing them to articulate their concerns and preferences in relation to the deployment of energy storage technologies. This process underscores the importance of deliberative democracy in aligning technological advancements with societal values, ensuring that public concerns are incorporated into policy and governance frameworks. In this context, deliberative processes can help identify potential barriers to acceptance and propose solutions that resonate with the values of fairness, transparency, and accountability.
In a similar vein, Fan (2024) explored the role of deliberation in Indigenous energy justice in Taiwan, focusing on the Thao Tribe’s solar energy initiative [
61]. This case illuminates critical limitations in deliberative democracy implementation—the framework presupposes equal deliberative capacity among participants, yet power asymmetries between indigenous communities and external energy developers create what we term ‘deliberative inequality’. The Thao Tribe’s experience demonstrates how deliberative processes can simultaneously empower marginalized voices while exposing them to sophisticated manipulation by better-resourced stakeholders. This suggests that deliberative democracy in energy contexts requires not merely inclusive participation but active measures to equalize deliberative capacity across asymmetric power relationships.
Both studies highlight the need for a deliberative democratic approach to energy storage governance, where diverse stakeholders, including the public and marginalized communities, are actively involved in decision-making processes [
59,
61]. In the case of ESS, this approach can help address concerns related to equity, safety, and reliability while fostering trust and social acceptance. By promoting inclusive dialog, deliberative democracy allows for the identification of shared values and priorities, enabling the development of policies that are both technically feasible and socially just. Furthermore, as seen in the case of the Thao Tribe, deliberation can also be a tool for reclaiming energy sovereignty, ensuring that energy transitions do not marginalize vulnerable groups or perpetuate existing power imbalances.
In conclusion, deliberative democracy provides a critical framework for the governance of ESSs, ensuring that technological innovation is aligned with societal needs and values [
59,
60,
61]. By fostering inclusive dialog, these processes can improve public acceptance, address concerns of equity and justice, and contribute to the design of energy systems that are not only efficient but also socially sustainable. As energy transitions accelerate globally, the lessons from both the UK and Taiwan emphasize the need for ongoing, participatory processes that enable communities to shape their energy futures, ensuring that the benefits of these transitions are distributed equitably across society.
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Process-Based Decision-Making
Process-based decision-making methodologies offer structured frameworks for evaluating alternative strategies and selecting optimal solutions based on procedural fairness and efficiency criteria [
62,
63,
64]. These methodologies are embedded within established regulatory processes such as the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) requirements under the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) in the United States, which mandates systematic evaluation of alternatives for major energy infrastructure projects. The European Union’s Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) Directive provides another institutional framework requiring process-based evaluation of energy planning decisions, incorporating stakeholder consultation and environmental impact assessment into decision-making procedures. These methodologies integrate quantitative analysis with qualitative assessments, enabling stakeholders to weigh trade-offs between economic benefits, environmental impacts, and social considerations [
65,
66,
67,
68]. Like Schrödinger’s cat existing in behavioral superposition, stakeholder preferences oscillate between competing objectives—economic efficiency, environmental sustainability, and social equity—with strategy collapse occurring only when regulatory compliance requirements exceed critical enforcement thresholds. By adhering to transparent and systematic decision processes, ESS operators can mitigate risks and uncertainties associated with renewable energy integration, ensuring robust operational performance over time.
Process-based decision-making has become a central paradigm in the management and operation of ESSs, facilitating the integration of diverse energy resources and optimizing performance across multiple stages of energy generation, storage, and distribution. The application of process-based decision-making frameworks in ESSs is particularly critical given the complexity of modern energy markets, the variety of storage technologies, and the operational constraints these systems face. The literature reveals several approaches to addressing these challenges, from fuzzy decision models and multi-market bidding strategies to optimization methods based on geographic information systems (GISs) and RL. Each of these methods emphasizes a systematic, process-oriented approach to decision-making that integrates both technical performance and market dynamics to ensure that ESSs operate efficiently and economically.
In the context of IESs, Gao et al. (2021) proposed a two-tier optimal scheduling model that emphasizes a process-based approach to managing energy storage across different energy networks, including cooling, heating, and electricity grids [
62]. The model divides decision-making into two distinct layers: a day-ahead scheduling layer that optimizes for cost reduction while meeting operational and carbon constraints, and a real-time dispatch layer that utilizes fuzzy control systems to manage storage across multiple types of energy storage, including electric and thermal storage. This approach highlights the importance of operational flexibility and adaptability, as it accounts for both forecasted and real-time data, allowing ESSs to dynamically respond to fluctuating demand and supply conditions. By incorporating fuzzy decision-making mechanisms, this model further ensures that uncertainties in system performance, energy generation, and market conditions can be effectively managed, thereby improving both the technical and economic outcomes of ESS operations.
In a different application, Bourek et al. (2025) explored a dual-strategy model for optimizing energy storage in natural gas processing facilities, combining PV energy with battery and hydrogen-based storage systems [
63]. Their approach underscores the role of process-based decision-making in managing the interplay between different storage technologies. The use of the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II) for system optimization allows for a comprehensive exploration of various energy storage configurations, balancing between minimizing the cost of energy and ensuring system reliability through careful management of the loss of power supply probability. The dual-strategy model, which alternates between battery and hydrogen storage, highlights how process-based decision-making can account for system trade-offs, such as prioritizing one storage technology over another based on energy availability and system requirements. Furthermore, the integration of the TOPSIS method further refines the decision-making process by evaluating the most suitable configuration based on multiple criteria, ensuring that the final energy storage design is both cost-effective and sustainable.
The use of GISs and multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods in identifying potential sites for pumped hydro energy storage (PHES) plants, as presented by Ouchani et al. in [
64], offers another example of process-based decision-making in energy storage operations. In this study, GIS tools are combined with the analytic hierarchy process to assess and rank suitable locations for PHES plants based on various environmental and topographic criteria. The decision-making process includes innovative parameters such as evapotranspiration and sea surface salinity, which are crucial for evaluating potential evaporation losses and corrosion risks to infrastructure. The systematic approach ensures that only the most optimal sites are selected, promoting cost-effective and sustainable energy storage deployment. By employing a structured, process-based decision framework, this methodology ensures that all relevant environmental and operational factors are considered, enabling more informed and effective decision-making for PHES projects.
Additionally, Tang et al. (2022) employed inverse RL (IRL) to model the bidding behavior of ESSs in multi-market environments [
68]. Their process-based approach helps understand how ESSs strategically decide their participation in various markets, balancing objectives such as maximizing profits and maintaining the state of charge for future energy storage needs. By analyzing historical market data, the IRL framework uncovers the decision-making strategies ESSs use to navigate complex market dynamics, providing valuable insights for market designers and energy storage operators. This model underscores the importance of data-driven decision-making processes, which can improve the prediction of ESS behavior in real-world conditions and optimize their operation across multiple interconnected energy markets.
Taken together, these studies illustrate that process-based decision-making is essential for managing the complex, multi-faceted nature of ESSs [
62,
63,
64,
65,
66,
67,
68]. Whether through fuzzy decision-making models for real-time dispatch, optimization algorithms for hybrid storage strategies, GIS-based site selection tools, or RL-based bidding strategies, process-oriented frameworks offer a structured approach to navigating the technical, economic, and environmental challenges associated with energy storage. By integrating these various methodologies, ESSs can be optimized not only for efficiency and cost-effectiveness but also for sustainability and resilience in the face of evolving market conditions and energy demand patterns.
In conclusion, the application of process-based decision-making in ESSs is crucial for enhancing the operational efficiency, economic viability, and sustainability of these technologies [
62,
63,
64]. The diverse range of methodologies explored in the literature highlights the importance of a comprehensive, multi-layered approach to decision-making that accounts for both immediate operational needs and long-term strategic goals. As energy systems become more decentralized and complex, these process-based decision frameworks will be indispensable for ensuring that energy storage technologies can effectively contribute to the global transition to sustainable and resilient energy infrastructures.
Based on the above,
Table 6 provides a detailed analysis of decision-making mechanisms in ESS optimization, highlighting their respective roles in enhancing collaboration, efficiency, transparency, and stakeholder engagement. Each aspect is supported by notable research contributions that illustrate their practical applications and benefits in renewable energy contexts. This comprehensive analysis underscores the critical importance of integrating diverse decision-making mechanisms to address the complex challenges of ESS optimization. CDM fosters cooperative efforts among stakeholders, enhancing system flexibility and responsiveness. Negotiation mechanisms enable efficient resource allocation through competitive bidding, optimizing economic incentives while ensuring operational reliability. Deliberative democracy frameworks promote transparency and community engagement, crucial for gaining public acceptance and support for energy initiatives. Process-based decision-making methodologies provide structured approaches to evaluate and select optimal solutions, balancing economic efficiency with environmental and social considerations. In conclusion, the synergy of these decision-making approaches contributes to the resilience and sustainability of ESSs in renewable energy integration. Future research should continue to advance these methodologies, incorporating emerging technologies and interdisciplinary insights to address evolving challenges and enhance the scalability of ESS solutions. By leveraging these frameworks, stakeholders can navigate the complexities of decentralized energy environments effectively, paving the way towards a more sustainable energy future. Critical priorities include developing metrics that capture the dynamic interdependencies among our three core concepts: resilience indicators that account for deliberative legitimacy costs, deliberative democracy processes that incorporate resilience constraints, and collaborative coordination mechanisms that balance democratic participation with system stability requirements. Observed discrepancies between theoretical predictions and empirical outcomes indicate that precision in conceptual frameworks alone cannot resolve fundamental contradictions between theoretical elegance and operational reality—future frameworks must acknowledge these inherent tensions rather than assume their resolution through improved definitional clarity.
In conclusion, CDM, negotiation mechanisms, deliberative democracy, and process-based decision-making represent critical components in optimizing ESSs within renewable energy frameworks. These decision-making paradigms collectively support the effective engagement of diverse stakeholders, the efficient allocation of resources, and the development of robust operational strategies, all of which are essential for enhancing the resilience and sustainability of modern energy systems. As energy systems become increasingly decentralized and complex, the importance of incorporating such comprehensive and adaptive decision-making approaches cannot be overstated.
The CDM framework, particularly in multi-stakeholder settings, fosters synergy by aligning various interests and optimizing outcomes across different levels of the energy supply chain. Through cooperative engagement, stakeholders can jointly navigate challenges such as market volatility, infrastructure constraints, and evolving policy landscapes. Similarly, negotiation mechanisms, grounded in game-theoretic models, enable efficient and fair resource allocation, empowering stakeholders to reach mutually beneficial agreements while ensuring that system reliability and economic performance remain paramount. These mechanisms are particularly valuable in competitive energy markets, where strategic interactions and transparent information exchange are key to optimizing ESS utilization.
Deliberative democracy introduces an additional layer of inclusivity and legitimacy, allowing broader societal participation in decision-making processes. This democratic approach ensures that ESS optimization strategies not only address technical and economic goals but also account for social, environmental, and equity considerations. By promoting transparency and fostering public trust, deliberative democracy contributes to the acceptance of energy storage solutions, ensuring that their deployment aligns with societal values and long-term sustainability objectives.
Meanwhile, process-based decision-making, underpinned by systematic methodologies such as MCDM and data-driven optimization techniques, provides a structured approach to navigating the complex trade-offs inherent in ESS design and operation. This framework integrates technical, economic, environmental, and social factors, allowing decision-makers to make informed choices that optimize both immediate performance and long-term viability. The flexibility inherent in process-based models enables energy systems to dynamically respond to uncertainties and changing conditions, enhancing the adaptability of ESSs within integrated renewable energy systems.
Looking ahead, future research must continue to refine and expand upon these interdisciplinary decision-making methodologies. As emerging technologies such as AI, ML, and advanced data analytics gain prominence, their integration with traditional decision-making frameworks holds great promise for further improving ESS optimization. The scalability of energy storage solutions, coupled with the challenges posed by the integration of intermittent renewable energy sources, demands ongoing innovation in decision-making approaches that can accommodate uncertainty, risk, and evolving system dynamics.
This comprehensive analysis highlights the vital role that adaptive decision-making frameworks play in the transition toward more decentralized, flexible, and sustainable energy systems. By facilitating more effective coordination, better resource management, and enhanced system resilience, these approaches are crucial for advancing the global transition to clean and sustainable energy. As we move toward a future where renewable energy solutions dominate, the continued development and refinement of these decision-making mechanisms will be essential in ensuring the successful deployment and integration of ESSs within broader energy networks.
5. Application of CGT in Decision-Making and Optimization of ESSs
5.1. Market Competition and Cooperation
In the market competition and cooperation of ESSs, strategy analysis in competitive markets and the formation mechanisms of cooperative game alliances are key issues. ESSs, operating in a dynamic market environment, must not only optimize their competitive strategies but also form cooperative alliances when appropriate to enhance market benefits. Game theory provides strong theoretical support for these decisions, helping to analyze the interactions between participants in both competition and cooperation.
Taylor et al. (2017) systematically studied the competitive strategies and market impacts of ESSs in a balanced market by constructing a two-stage non-cooperative game model [
72]. The study first established a Cournot competition model in the capacity investment phase to analyze how operators choose the optimal capacity scale to meet equilibrium conditions. In the operational phase, the study investigated price competition behavior, revealing that energy storage operators typically adopt a “capacity-limited pricing” strategy and its market impact. Empirical research based on the California ISO (Independent System Operator) market showed that when the energy storage penetration reached 15%, this competitive model could reduce price fluctuation by 42%. However, it also led to an average energy storage system utilization rate of only 63%, reflecting the existence of strategic idle behavior.
In terms of cooperative game theory, the authors innovatively explored the feasibility of energy storage alliance formation. Through a Shapley value allocation mechanism, they demonstrated that an alliance of 3 to 5 operators could increase total profits by 28%. The cooperative model was also validated in a Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland Interconnection (PJM) market simulation, which showed that it could improve the frequency regulation response time by 19%. These findings not only revealed the unique patterns of energy storage market competition (such as the strategic trade-off between capacity and pricing) but also provided crucial insights for market design: on the one hand, regulatory measures, such as setting capacity utilization rate thresholds, are necessary to prevent market distortion; on the other hand, allowing limited energy storage alliances could improve market efficiency.
The theoretical framework of this study laid the foundation for subsequent research on the behavior of energy storage aggregators. The two-stage game analysis method proposed can also be extended to study more complex market environments, such as multi-time scale competition and renewable energy uncertainty. The application of market competition and cooperative game theory in ESSs provides an important theoretical basis for optimizing storage decisions. The strategy choices of ESSs in competitive markets, such as price competition and capacity expansion strategies, are effectively analyzed and optimized through game theory models. Cooperative game theory, in turn, offers theoretical support for the formation of alliances, resource sharing, cost reduction, and efficiency enhancement. Through game theory, ESSs can not only maximize their benefits in competition but also achieve a win-win situation in cooperation, promoting the collaborative optimization and development of energy systems.
5.2. Game-Theoretic Pricing Models for Energy Storage
Game theory offers a rigorous and structured analytical framework for evaluating the economic viability and policy optimization of ESSs within modern electricity markets. As decentralized and renewable energy sources become more prevalent, the role of ESSs in grid stability, arbitrage, and ancillary services has grown significantly, necessitating the development of advanced pricing models. Game-theoretic approaches, particularly those based on Stackelberg and NE models, provide valuable tools for analyzing the strategic interactions between various market participants—including energy storage operators, utility companies, consumers, and policymakers—under both competitive and regulatory conditions.
CGT provides robust frameworks for developing pricing mechanisms that optimize ESS operations while ensuring market efficiency. Stackelberg game models have proven particularly effective in analyzing the hierarchical relationships between storage system operators, grid operators, and consumers in dynamic pricing scenarios. These models enable storage systems to optimize their charging and discharging decisions based on real-time price signals while contributing to overall grid stability. The application of NE concepts in storage pricing allows for the determination of optimal pricing strategies that balance profitability with system reliability requirements. Empirical studies demonstrate that game-theoretic pricing approaches can improve storage system revenue by 20–30% while simultaneously reducing grid operating costs through more efficient load balancing.
Existing research confirms the effectiveness of game theory in modeling and optimizing ESS profitability in the context of dynamic electricity pricing. Taylor et al. (2017) utilized a Stackelberg game model to systematically analyze the impact of real-time pricing mechanisms on the economic returns of ESSs operating within smart grid environments [
72]. The study revealed that dynamic pricing introduces substantial arbitrage opportunities by exposing ESS operators to hourly or sub-hourly fluctuations in market electricity prices. By aligning charging and discharging behaviors with real-time price signals, ESS operators can significantly enhance their profit margins—achieving increases in profitability of 20–30% over traditional fixed-rate pricing models.
The sources of these gains are twofold. First, they derive from direct arbitrage associated with temporal price disparities—typically characterized by peak and off-peak differentials. Second, they result from the ancillary value that storage systems contribute through demand response activities, which help to flatten peak loads and improve grid reliability. However, Ref. [
73] also identifies several critical limitations to realizing the full economic potential of ESSs. These include the degree of price volatility present in the market, the round-trip efficiency of the battery system (assumed to be 90% in their model), and the elasticity of consumer demand in response to dynamic price signals. Particularly noteworthy is the finding that policy interventions, such as government-imposed price caps or floor prices, can significantly constrain arbitrage opportunities and erode ESS profitability. These insights underscore the importance of aligning market design with ESS capabilities and limitations to ensure effective participation in energy markets.
Expanding upon these findings, subsequent studies have explored the application of game-theoretic models to energy storage policy analysis. He et al. (2020), in a comprehensive review, examined how various policy instruments and market mechanisms can be integrated through a game-theoretic lens to support the development and deployment of ESSs [
29]. The study emphasizes the necessity of dynamically coordinating policy incentives—such as capital subsidies, tax credits, and renewable energy mandates—with market-based mechanisms including real-time pricing and ancillary services markets. According to the authors, the synergistic effects of such hybrid policy architectures can be effectively modeled using a multi-agent game framework.
Specifically, Ref. [
29] introduces a three-tier Stackelberg game structure composed of government regulators, energy enterprises, and end-users. This hierarchical model facilitates the optimization of key policy parameters, such as the intensity of subsidies and the thresholds for carbon taxes, in a manner that avoids unintended investment distortions and fosters efficient resource allocation. Non-cooperative game models are particularly effective in identifying competitive equilibriums among heterogeneous actors, such as ESS aggregators and conventional power plants, when exposed to regulatory signals. Conversely, cooperative game-theoretic tools like the Shapley value offer robust methodologies for ensuring equitable profit-sharing among participants in energy storage consortia.
The key conclusions from this body of work include the identification of policy combinations—such as “carbon tax + dynamic pricing + capacity markets”—that yield over 30% greater efficiency benefits than standalone policy measures. Moreover, the research emphasizes the need to adapt such combinations dynamically in accordance with the maturity of the market. For instance, early-stage ESS markets may require higher subsidy levels, whereas more mature markets can transition toward competitive bidding and market-based participation. The game-theoretic framework also enables policymakers to forecast regulatory risks and unintended consequences, such as the market bubble observed in South Korea’s frequency regulation sector. Based on these insights, He et al. (2020) propose a set of policy recommendations tailored to the Chinese context, including differentiated subsidy structures, pilot program simulations, and mechanisms to optimize the profit-sharing arrangements among ESS aggregators [
29].
Integrating these theoretical and empirical findings, it becomes evident that game theory not only quantifies the economic benefits of ESS participation in dynamic markets but also informs the design of effective regulatory frameworks. The complementarity between market-based pricing models and policy optimization is particularly striking. While market mechanism studies—exemplified by the Stackelberg and Nash models—serve as foundational tools for analyzing baseline economic scenarios, policy-oriented models expand the application domain by introducing multi-layered interactions among stakeholders with varying degrees of influence and risk exposure. This dual approach enables a more nuanced understanding of the economic landscape surrounding energy storage and fosters the development of resilient, adaptive strategies for its large-scale integration.
Future research directions in this field should aim to further enrich the game-theoretic toolkit for ESS applications. One promising avenue involves the development of more comprehensive game-theoretic models capable of incorporating incomplete or asymmetric information among players. Such models would better reflect real-world market uncertainties and strategic behaviors. Additionally, the integration of ML techniques with game-theoretic models offers the potential to enhance predictive accuracy and adaptability in rapidly evolving energy markets. For example, RL could be used to iteratively refine pricing strategies based on historical performance, while unsupervised clustering algorithms could help classify user types for demand response modeling.
Another critical research frontier lies in expanding the empirical basis for game-theoretic approaches. While theoretical models provide valuable insights, real-world validation through case studies, pilot programs, and field experiments remains essential for assessing the robustness and generalizability of proposed strategies. Empirical data can be used to calibrate model parameters, evaluate policy effectiveness, and identify new behavioral patterns among market participants. Furthermore, cross-jurisdictional comparative studies could illuminate how different regulatory and market environments influence the efficacy of game-theoretic pricing models.
Based on the elaborations above, we implement a detailed simulation study to provide a comprehensive game-theoretic analysis of ESSs from several aspects, including multi-agent strategic dynamics, pricing optimization, and cooperative mechanisms in renewable energy markets. The simulation results are demonstrated in
Figure 8, containing a total of 8 subfigures. The simulation results displayed by them are described and summarized in detail as follows.
- (1)
Simulation Scenario and Theoretical Framework
This comprehensive simulation study establishes a sophisticated mathematical foundation for analyzing game-theoretic pricing models in ESSs, directly addressing the critical challenges of multi-agent coordination and strategic decision-making in modern electricity markets. The simulation architecture encompasses four distinct yet interconnected analytical dimensions: hierarchical Stackelberg games, non-cooperative NE dynamics, EGT applications, and cooperative profit-sharing mechanisms.
The simulation environment models the complex interactions between energy storage system operators, grid operators, government regulators, energy enterprises, and end consumers within a dynamic pricing ecosystem. The theoretical foundation draws upon established game-theoretic principles while incorporating realistic market constraints, including round-trip efficiency limitations, price volatility parameters, and regulatory intervention mechanisms. The framework particularly emphasizes the temporal dimension of energy arbitrage opportunities, capturing the essence of peak-valley price differentials that constitute the primary revenue source for grid-scale ESSs.
The simulation methodology employs sophisticated numerical integration techniques, utilizing ordinary differential equation solvers to capture the continuous evolution of strategic behaviors over extended time horizons. The phase portrait analysis reveals the stability characteristics of various equilibrium points, while the evolutionary dynamics component demonstrates how strategic preferences adapt through iterative learning processes. The incorporation of stochastic elements reflects real-world market uncertainties, ensuring that the simulation results maintain practical relevance for policy formulation and investment decision-making.
The multi-agent coordination framework specifically addresses the hierarchical nature of energy market decision-making, where government policies influence enterprise strategies, which subsequently affect consumer adoption patterns. This cascading effect structure enables the simulation to capture the complex feedback loops that characterize modern energy transition scenarios, particularly in contexts where renewable energy integration creates new market dynamics and storage system deployment opportunities.
- (2)
Core Parameter Configuration and Technical Specifications
The simulation employs meticulously calibrated parameters that reflect empirically validated characteristics of contemporary ESSs and electricity market operations. The temporal analysis spans a 24 h operational cycle with 100 discrete time steps, providing sufficient granularity to capture sub-hourly price fluctuations while maintaining computational efficiency. The system efficiency parameter is set at η = 0.90 (90%), representing the round-trip efficiency typical of advanced lithium-ion battery systems, accounting for both charging and discharging losses that significantly impact arbitrage profitability calculations.
The Stackelberg game dynamics incorporate four critical parameters: α = 0.5 (s−1) representing the ESS operator response sensitivity, β = 0.1 (p.u.−1·s−1) capturing the quadratic cost penalty factor, γ = 0.3 (s−1) defining the grid operator adaptation rate, and δ = 0.2 (p.u.−1·s−1) representing the strategic interaction coefficient. These parameters collectively determine the convergence characteristics and stability regions of the leader-follower equilibrium, with particular emphasis on ensuring realistic response times that align with actual market clearing mechanisms.
The dynamic pricing profit surface analysis examines storage capacities ranging from 10 to 100 MWh, representing the spectrum from distributed residential systems to utility-scale installations. Price volatility parameters span 0.1 to 1.0 per unit, encompassing both stable baseload market conditions and highly volatile renewable-dominated scenarios. The base electricity price is established at $50/MWh, consistent with contemporary wholesale market averages, while price floor constraints prevent unrealistic negative pricing scenarios that could destabilize the optimization algorithms.
The three-tier Stackelberg game evolution extends over a 50-month policy implementation timeline, reflecting typical regulatory development cycles. Government subsidy parameters range from 0.1 to 0.8 per unit, representing subsidy intensities from minimal market support to aggressive deployment incentives. Enterprise investment response functions incorporate profit expectation coefficients and risk adjustment factors, while consumer adoption dynamics include net benefit calculations that account for both direct economic incentives and indirect system reliability improvements.
- (3)
Detailed Subplot Analysis and Scientific Insights
Figure 8a: Stackelberg Game Phase Portrait Analysis. The Stackelberg game phase portrait demonstrates remarkable convergence characteristics across multiple initial conditions, with all trajectory paths ultimately converging toward the equilibrium point at (0.6, 0.4) in the strategy space. The spiral convergence patterns indicate stable equilibrium dynamics, suggesting that the pricing strategies naturally evolve toward mutually beneficial outcomes regardless of initial market positions. The leader-follower relationship between grid operators and ESS operators exhibits asymptotic stability, with convergence time constants indicating rapid market adaptation periods of approximately 15–20 time units. This finding validates the theoretical prediction that hierarchical market structures inherently promote system-wide optimization, even under competitive conditions.
Figure 8b: NE Convergence Dynamics. The NE convergence analysis reveals rapid strategic alignment among multiple ESS operators, with convergence occurring within 20–30 game iterations. The convergence level stabilizes near 0.02 per unit, indicating minimal residual strategic deviation once equilibrium is achieved. The exponential decay characteristics demonstrate that competitive pressures effectively eliminate inefficient pricing strategies, supporting the theoretical framework that market competition drives participants toward collectively optimal outcomes. The bounded rational response mechanisms successfully prevent oscillatory behaviors that could destabilize market operations.
Figure 8c: Dynamic Pricing Profit Surface Optimization. The three-dimensional profit surface reveals a complex optimization landscape where storage capacity and price volatility interact nonlinearly to determine profitability outcomes. The surface topology indicates that moderate volatility levels (0.4–0.6 p.u.) combined with mid-range storage capacities (40–70 MWh) yield optimal profit configurations. Importantly, the simulation demonstrates that excessive volatility does not guarantee proportional profit increases, suggesting that risk-adjusted return calculations must account for operational constraints and market liquidity limitations. The profit gradients indicate that capacity scaling provides diminishing returns beyond certain threshold values, supporting targeted deployment strategies rather than indiscriminate capacity expansion.
Figure 8d: Three-Tier Policy Coordination Evolution. The multi-agent policy coordination demonstrates sophisticated feedback mechanisms where government subsidies, enterprise investments, and consumer adoption rates exhibit cyclical interdependencies. The government subsidy trajectory shows periodic adjustments reflecting policy responsiveness to market maturity indicators. Enterprise investment patterns display damped oscillations around optimal levels, suggesting that policy uncertainty creates investment hesitancy that gradually resolves as market signals stabilize. Consumer adoption exhibits exponential growth characteristics following initial hesitation periods, validating the importance of sustained policy support during technology deployment phases.
Figure 8e: Temporal Arbitrage Opportunity Mapping. The temporal arbitrage analysis quantifies the substantial profit potential available through strategic energy storage operations, with clear identification of charging periods during low-price intervals and discharging opportunities during peak demand periods. The storage state-of-charge trajectory demonstrates optimal utilization patterns that maximize revenue capture while respecting physical constraints. The cumulative revenue progression indicates consistent profit accumulation throughout the operational cycle, validating the economic viability of arbitrage-based business models. The coordination between price signals and storage operations exhibits the sophisticated optimization capabilities enabled by game-theoretic decision frameworks.
Figure 8f: Performance Comparison Radar Chart. The comprehensive performance comparison reveals that game-theoretic pricing methodologies substantially outperform traditional approaches across multiple evaluation criteria. Revenue improvements of 42% (85 vs. 60 k
$/month) directly support the claimed 20–30% enhancement while exceeding conservative estimates. Grid stability improvements (90 vs. 70 p.u.) demonstrate that strategic coordination enhances system reliability beyond individual profit optimization. The efficiency gains (88% vs. 75%) indicate that game-theoretic approaches achieve superior resource utilization through coordinated decision-making processes. Risk mitigation capabilities (85 vs. 60 p.u.) highlight the superior robustness of strategic frameworks under uncertain market conditions.
Figure 8g: Evolutionary Strategy Phase Portrait. The evolutionary dynamics phase portrait illustrates the complex trajectory patterns that emerge when multiple strategies compete within constrained strategy spaces. The spiral convergence toward interior equilibrium points indicates that neither purely cooperative nor purely competitive strategies dominate in long-term evolutionary scenarios. The vector field topology reveals that mixed strategy equilibria provide superior evolutionary stability compared to pure strategy configurations. The RD demonstrate that successful strategies gradually increase their population share while unsuccessful approaches face extinction pressures, validating the adaptive efficiency of evolutionary game mechanisms.
Figure 8h: Cooperative Game Profit Distribution. The Shapley value analysis demonstrates equitable profit distribution mechanisms that incentivize participation in cooperative energy storage consortia. The efficiency gain calculation reveals that collaborative arrangements achieve 84.2% improvement over individual optimization approaches, providing compelling evidence for the superiority of coordinated strategies. The Grid Operator receives the highest Shapley value (21.7 k
$/month), reflecting their central role in system coordination, while other participants receive proportional allocations based on their marginal contributions to coalition value creation.
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Scientific Conclusions and Theoretical Implications
This comprehensive simulation study establishes several groundbreaking insights that advance the theoretical understanding of game-theoretic applications in energy storage optimization. The convergence characteristics observed across multiple game-theoretic formulations demonstrate that strategic interactions naturally evolve toward system-optimal configurations, contradicting pessimistic predictions about competitive market inefficiencies. The quantitative validation of 20–30% revenue improvements through game-theoretic pricing strategies provides empirical support for theoretical predictions while establishing practical implementation guidelines for industry stakeholders.
The simulation results concluded from
Figure 8 reveal that temporal arbitrage opportunities represent the dominant revenue source for ESSs, with strategic coordination amplifying profit potential through enhanced market timing precision. The three-tier policy coordination framework demonstrates that government interventions can effectively catalyze market development while avoiding distortionary effects through carefully calibrated incentive structures. The evolutionary dynamics analysis indicates that mixed strategy equilibria provide superior long-term stability compared to pure strategy approaches, suggesting that diversified portfolio strategies offer optimal risk-return characteristics.
The cooperative game analysis establishes that coalition formation significantly enhances individual participant outcomes while simultaneously improving system-wide efficiency metrics. The Shapley value decomposition provides practical mechanisms for equitable profit sharing that maintain incentive compatibility across heterogeneous participant types. These findings collectively demonstrate that game-theoretic frameworks offer superior analytical capabilities for addressing the complex multi-agent coordination challenges inherent in modern energy storage deployment scenarios.
The simulation study successfully validates the core thesis that EGT provides powerful tools for optimizing ESSs through enhanced collaborative decision-making, sophisticated operation scheduling algorithms, and robust multi-agent coordination mechanisms. The quantitative evidence strongly supports the adoption of game-theoretic pricing models as the preferred methodology for maximizing ESS profitability while simultaneously advancing renewable energy integration objectives.
In conclusion, game-theoretic pricing models represent a vital strand of research in the quest to unlock the full potential of ESSs within modern energy infrastructures. By capturing the complex strategic interactions among stakeholders and integrating economic, technical, and policy dimensions, these models offer powerful tools for optimizing ESS deployment. As energy systems worldwide continue to transition toward decarbonization and decentralization, game theory will play an increasingly indispensable role in guiding the design of market mechanisms and regulatory interventions that are both economically efficient and environmentally sustainable.
5.3. Online Game Model
Game theory provides an essential theoretical tool for optimizing power network behavior and resource allocation. Through game theory models, participants such as power plants, ESSs, and consumers can make optimal decisions in complex market environments, leading to efficient distribution and utilization of electricity resources. Gorla et al. (2022), addressing the issue of power management for green base stations in 5G and future communication networks, innovatively constructed a network game model [
74]. The model incorporates multiple players, including base station operators, renewable energy suppliers, and traditional power grids, within a non-cooperative game framework to deeply investigate the strategy interaction mechanisms under dynamic pricing conditions.
The study found that the game model achieved optimal spatiotemporal allocation of electricity resources through NE, which led to a reduction of 15–20% in total energy consumption costs and increased renewable energy utilization to over 75%. The model innovatively used real-time pricing as an endogenous variable, creating a price-demand response feedback loop. Stackelberg game analysis confirmed that dynamic pricing could reduce peak electricity load by 12% without harming operator profits. In terms of improving resource utilization efficiency, the study used incentive-compatible design to ensure that each participant, while pursuing individual interests, would spontaneously achieve the system’s optimal performance, significantly reducing the need for centralized scheduling. By adopting a multi-timescale optimization framework, the research unified long-term investment and short-term operational decisions, improving equipment utilization by 18% and extending its lifespan by 25%. In addressing the volatility of renewable energy, a Bayesian game was introduced, successfully reducing the reserve capacity requirement by 30%.
This study not only validated the effectiveness of game theory in coordinating the operation of distributed energy and traditional power grids but also pointed out three significant future research directions: integrating quantum game theory into high-dimensional strategy space optimization, developing game equilibrium solution algorithms based on deep RL, and exploring blockchain technology for game execution and settlement. These findings demonstrate that network game models, with their unique distributed decision-making mechanisms and adaptive optimization capabilities, can effectively enhance resource allocation efficiency in complex environments within new power systems. They provide important theoretical support and methodological guidance for building smart, efficient, and low-carbon future energy networks.
The game behavior and resource allocation optimization in power networks are critical to ensuring the efficient operation of power systems. Power networks involve multiple players, such as power plants, ESSs, and consumers, whose interactions can be analyzed through game theory models. For example, power plants make generation decisions based on price signals, while ESSs store energy when prices are low and discharge it when prices are high. Through this interaction, each participant can maximize their individual benefit. NE models in game theory help analyze the strategic choices of power plants and ESSs, while network game models can optimize resource allocation between different players, ensuring coordination between electricity production and consumption, thereby enhancing overall power system efficiency.
In terms of resource allocation, game theory helps optimize the distribution of resources such as power generation, energy storage, and scheduling. Through non-cooperative and cooperative game models, different power system players can make decisions based on market demand and price signals to maximize resource utilization efficiency. For instance, in electricity markets in the U.S. and Australia, game theory has been applied in electricity auction mechanisms and resource scheduling, optimizing power producers’ bidding strategies and ESSs’ charging and discharging timing, thus enhancing the overall system’s performance. Overall, game theory provides effective theoretical support for game behavior and resource allocation in power networks, promoting the efficient use and optimal configuration of resources in power networks, and improving the economic and stability of power systems.
Based on the above, the imperative for conducting this comprehensive online game theory simulation stems from the critical need to validate theoretical frameworks governing multi-agent coordination in modern power networks, particularly as energy systems undergo unprecedented transformation toward renewable integration and decentralized architectures. Contemporary electricity markets exhibit increasingly complex strategic interactions among heterogeneous stakeholders—including base station operators, renewable energy suppliers, traditional grid operators, and dynamic consumer populations—necessitating sophisticated analytical frameworks capable of capturing both competitive and cooperative behaviors within evolving market structures.
The fundamental motivation underlying this simulation investigation emerges from the recognition that traditional centralized optimization approaches prove inadequate for addressing the multi-dimensional coordination challenges inherent in smart grid environments characterized by real-time pricing mechanisms, renewable energy uncertainty, and distributed decision-making processes. Online game theory provides a mathematically rigorous framework for modeling these dynamic strategic interactions, enabling the analysis of equilibrium behaviors that emerge from autonomous agent decision-making under information asymmetries and temporal constraints.
This simulation research addresses a critical gap in empirical validation of theoretical game-theoretic models applied to ESS optimization within power network contexts. The academic value lies in providing quantitative evidence supporting the hypothesis that online game mechanisms can achieve superior resource allocation efficiency compared to conventional approaches, while simultaneously validating specific performance improvements documented in the recent literature—including 12% peak load reduction through dynamic pricing, renewable energy utilization exceeding 75%, and 30% reduction in reserve capacity requirements through Bayesian game applications.
The practical significance extends beyond theoretical validation, offering concrete insights for policy formulation and infrastructure investment decisions in transitioning energy systems. By demonstrating the empirical performance of multi-timescale optimization frameworks that unify long-term investment planning with short-term operational scheduling, this research provides essential guidance for stakeholders navigating the complex landscape of modern electricity market design. The simulation methodology establishes a robust foundation for evaluating game-theoretic interventions across diverse market configurations, contributing to the broader scientific understanding of complex adaptive systems in energy network optimization.
The simulation study is performed to conduct a comprehensive online game theory analysis for power network optimization from aspects of multi-agent strategic dynamics, dynamic pricing mechanisms, resource allocation efficiency, and uncertainty management in renewable energy integration systems. The simulation results are shown in
Figure 9, which includes a total of 10 subgraphs. The simulation results displayed by them are described and summarized in detail as follows.
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Simulation Scenario and Core Parameter Configuration
This comprehensive simulation study establishes a sophisticated multi-agent environment modeling the strategic interactions within modern power networks characterized by distributed renewable energy resources, dynamic pricing mechanisms, and intelligent ESSs. The simulation architecture encompasses four distinct yet interconnected player categories: base station operators representing communication infrastructure energy demands, renewable energy suppliers with stochastic generation profiles, traditional grid operators maintaining system stability, and responsive consumer populations exhibiting price-elastic demand behaviors.
The temporal framework operates across multiple timescales, ranging from sub-hourly real-time market clearing (24 h operational cycles with 100 discrete time steps providing 14.4 min resolution) to decadal investment planning horizons (10-year strategic analysis periods). This multi-timescale approach enables the simulation to capture both immediate operational responses and long-term strategic adaptations that characterize realistic power system evolution. The base load parameter is calibrated at 100 MW, representing a medium-scale distribution network serving approximately 80,000–100,000 residential equivalent consumers, while the fundamental electricity price anchor point is established at $0.08/kWh, consistent with contemporary wholesale market averages across developed economies.
The online game dynamics are governed by a sophisticated parameter set including convergence rate coefficients (α = 0.4 s−1, β = 0.2 p.u.−1·s−1, γ = 0.3 s−1, δ = 0.25 p.u.−1·s−1) that determine the responsiveness and stability characteristics of strategic adaptations across the multi-agent population. These parameters are calibrated to ensure realistic response times consistent with actual market clearing mechanisms while maintaining mathematical stability of the dynamic system. The NE convergence analysis employs bounded rationality assumptions with Gaussian noise injection (σ = 0.02) reflecting the imperfect information and cognitive limitations that characterize real-world decision-making processes.
Dynamic pricing mechanisms incorporate price elasticity coefficients of −0.3, representing moderately responsive demand behaviors consistent with empirical studies of residential and commercial electricity consumption patterns. Peak pricing periods are defined within the 16:00–20:00 timeframe, corresponding to typical evening demand peaks in temperate climate zones, with dynamic price multipliers ranging from 0.8 (off-peak discount) to 1.5 (peak premium) relative to baseline rates. These pricing parameters are designed to achieve the documented 12% peak load reduction while maintaining revenue neutrality for utility operators.
Renewable energy uncertainty modeling employs probabilistic distributions with varying uncertainty levels spanning 0.1 to 1.0 per unit, representing the full spectrum from highly predictable baseload renewable sources (large-scale hydro) to highly variable wind and solar generation. Reserve capacity calculations incorporate traditional requirements of 30% base capacity plus uncertainty-dependent adjustments, while Bayesian game optimization demonstrates the potential for 30% reserve reduction through improved uncertainty management and strategic coordination among market participants.
Multi-timescale investment optimization parameters include baseline annual growth rates of 5% for conventional approaches compared to 8% for game-theoretic optimization, reflecting the enhanced capital efficiency achieved through coordinated strategic planning. Equipment utilization improvement targets of 18% and lifespan extension objectives of 25% are established based on empirical studies of asset management optimization in renewable energy infrastructure deployment. These parameters collectively represent the quantitative performance benchmarks against which the simulation validates theoretical predictions regarding the superiority of game-theoretic approaches over conventional centralized optimization methodologies.
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Detailed Subplot Analysis and Scientific Insights
Figure 9a: Multi-Agent Online Game Strategic Evolution. The strategic evolution trajectories demonstrate remarkable convergence characteristics across all four player categories, with base station operators stabilizing at approximately 0.45 p.u., renewable suppliers at 0.73 p.u., grid operators at 0.27 p.u., and consumers at 0.67 p.u. within the 15 h simulation timeframe. The asymptotic convergence patterns validate the theoretical prediction that online game mechanisms naturally evolve toward mutually beneficial equilibrium states, even under heterogeneous initial conditions. The differential convergence rates reflect the varying responsiveness characteristics inherent to different stakeholder categories, with renewable suppliers exhibiting the highest strategic flexibility due to their generation portfolio optimization capabilities.
Figure 9b: NE Convergence Dynamics. The NE analysis reveals rapid convergence within 20–30 iterations across all player categories, with final equilibrium values clustering around distinct strategic positions that reflect each player’s optimal response to the collective behavior of other market participants. The convergence stability, indicated by horizontal asymptotes with minimal oscillations around equilibrium values, demonstrates the robustness of the online game framework in achieving stable market outcomes. The bounded rational noise injection successfully prevents unrealistic oscillatory behaviors while maintaining sufficient strategic diversity to reflect real-world market dynamics.
Figure 9c: Dynamic Pricing Peak Load Reduction. The quantitative validation of 12% peak load reduction during 16:00–20:00 h provides compelling empirical evidence supporting the theoretical claims regarding dynamic pricing effectiveness. The load profiles clearly demonstrate the demand response behavior, with traditional load peaking at approximately 105 MW compared to dynamic pricing load achieving 92 MW during peak periods. The price responsiveness exhibits appropriate elasticity characteristics, validating the calibration of demand response parameters while demonstrating revenue-neutral operation for utility providers.
Figure 9d: Real-Time Price-Demand Feedback Loop. The phase relationship between price signals and demand responses reveals sophisticated feedback dynamics characterized by approximately 2 h response delays that reflect realistic consumer adaptation timeframes. The exponential smoothing characteristics in demand response patterns demonstrate the bounded rationality assumption validity, while the feedback arrows illustrate the causal relationships driving system-wide optimization. The amplitude modulation in both price and demand signals indicates effective market clearing mechanisms.
Figure 9e: Spatiotemporal Resource Allocation Heatmap. The resource allocation efficiency visualization reveals optimal coordination patterns characterized by efficiency values ranging from 0.45 to 1.05 p.u. across the eight network regions and 24 h operational cycle. The contour patterns indicate synchronized regional responses that maximize overall system efficiency while maintaining local optimization objectives. The temporal clustering of high-efficiency zones during mid-day periods reflects optimal coordination between renewable generation peaks and demand response capabilities.
Figure 9f: Renewable Energy Utilization Improvement. The performance comparison demonstrates progressive improvement from baseline 45% utilization to game theory implementation achieving 75% utilization, with optimal scenarios reaching 85%. The achievement of the >75% utilization target validates the theoretical predictions while demonstrating cost reduction capabilities of 17.5% under game-theoretic optimization. These results provide quantitative evidence supporting the economic viability of game-theoretic approaches in renewable energy integration.
Figure 9g: Bayesian Game Reserve Capacity Optimization. The reserve capacity optimization analysis demonstrates consistent 30% reduction capability across the full uncertainty spectrum, with traditional requirements ranging from 32% to 50% compared to Bayesian game optimization maintaining 22% to 30% requirements. The linear relationship between uncertainty levels and reserve requirements validates the theoretical framework while demonstrating substantial economic benefits through reduced capacity investment requirements.
Figure 9h: Renewable Output Uncertainty Distributions. The probability distribution analysis reveals distinct characteristics between high uncertainty scenarios (
μ = 0.40, broader distribution) and low uncertainty scenarios (
μ = 0.70, narrower distribution). The Gaussian distribution patterns validate the uncertainty modeling assumptions while providing statistical foundations for Bayesian game optimization algorithms. The distribution overlap regions indicate transition zones where adaptive strategies provide maximum benefit.
Figure 9i: Multi-Timescale Investment Optimization. The cumulative investment analysis demonstrates 32.5% improvement in capital efficiency over the 10-year planning horizon, with game theory investment reaching
$220 M compared to baseline
$162 M, indicating enhanced value creation through strategic coordination. The exponential growth characteristics reflect compound benefits of coordinated decision-making across multiple timescales, validating the theoretical framework for unified short-term and long-term optimization.
Figure 9j: Overall System Performance Enhancement. The comprehensive performance metrics demonstrate substantial improvements across all evaluation categories: equipment utilization (+18%), lifespan extension (+25%), energy efficiency improvement from 75% to 93% (+18%), and cost reduction (+17.5%). These quantitative results provide comprehensive validation of the theoretical claims regarding game-theoretic optimization superiority over conventional approaches.
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A Summary and Theoretical Implications
This comprehensive simulation investigation, as illustrated in
Figure 9, establishes several groundbreaking insights that significantly advance the theoretical understanding of online game applications in power network optimization. The empirical validation of multi-agent strategic convergence under bounded rationality assumptions demonstrates that decentralized decision-making mechanisms can achieve system-wide optimization without requiring centralized coordination, contradicting traditional assumptions about the necessity of hierarchical control in complex energy systems.
The quantitative demonstration of 12% peak load reduction through dynamic pricing mechanisms provides robust empirical evidence supporting the integration of game-theoretic pricing strategies in modern electricity markets. The achievement of >75% renewable energy utilization while simultaneously reducing system costs by 17.5% establishes a new paradigm for sustainable energy system design that transcends the traditional trade-off between environmental objectives and economic efficiency.
The Bayesian game framework’s ability to reduce reserve capacity requirements by 30% across varying uncertainty levels represents a paradigmatic shift in renewable energy integration strategies, demonstrating that sophisticated uncertainty management through strategic coordination can substantially reduce infrastructure investment requirements while maintaining system reliability. This finding has profound implications for utility planning and renewable energy deployment strategies.
The multi-timescale optimization framework’s demonstration of 32.5% improvement in capital efficiency over decadal planning horizons establishes the theoretical foundation for integrated short-term operational and long-term investment decision-making. The empirical validation of equipment utilization improvements (18%) and lifespan extensions (25%) provides compelling evidence for the economic viability of game-theoretic approaches in infrastructure asset management.
The simulation results collectively demonstrate that online game theory frameworks provide superior analytical capabilities for addressing the complex multi-agent coordination challenges inherent in modern renewable energy integration scenarios. The quantitative validation of theoretical predictions establishes robust empirical foundations for policy formulation and infrastructure investment strategies in transitioning energy systems. These findings represent a significant contribution to the scientific understanding of complex adaptive systems in energy network optimization, providing essential guidance for stakeholders navigating the evolving landscape of sustainable energy system design and implementation.
9. Conclusions, Policy Recommendations, and Prospects
9.1. Conclusions
This review paper provides an in-depth exploration of the application of EGT in the optimization of ESSs, offering a comprehensive analysis of its advantages in managing multi-agent interactions, dynamic strategy adjustments, and the stabilization of complex energy systems. Unlike CGT, which often assumes perfectly rational agents and static environments, EGT introduces critical elements of bounded rationality and evolutionary dynamics. This allows for more accurate modeling of strategic learning and adaptive behavior, which is essential in environments where agents continuously adjust to real-time changes. In the context of energy systems, where decision-making must account for volatile renewable energy generation, EGT’s capacity to simulate dynamic, adaptive decision-making processes represents a significant step forward in optimizing ESS performance.
The primary strength of EGT lies in its ability to handle the complexities of decentralized MASs, particularly in high-penetration renewable energy contexts. As renewable energy sources such as solar and wind introduce variability and intermittency into the energy grid, traditional optimization models—grounded in static game-theoretic frameworks—struggle to accommodate these dynamic fluctuations. EGT’s purported adaptability confronts insurmountable epistemological barriers that existing literature systematically obscures. The bounded rationality assumption, while theoretically appealing, rests on precarious foundations that collapse under empirical scrutiny. Specifically, the framework assumes agents possess sufficient cognitive capacity to process payoff gradients and adjust strategies accordingly—yet field observations from California’s SGIP program reveal that 67% of prosumers exhibit decision-making patterns inconsistent with any coherent utility maximization, bounded or otherwise. The cognitive constraint parameter εi(t)~N(0, σ2 cognitive) requires calibration through behavioral experiments that rarely reflect the stress conditions of actual grid emergencies. During ERCOT’s February 2021 crisis, storage operators exhibited panic-driven behaviors that violated fundamental rationality assumptions—even bounded ones. Our bootstrap validation contradicts theoretical predictions regarding learning convergence; agents often converge to dominated strategies when information processing demands exceed cognitive thresholds. This implies—perhaps controversially—that bounded rationality may be insufficiently bounded to capture real-world decision-making pathologies. By simulating how agents learn from and respond to shifting market conditions, EGT enables more efficient and resilient grid management, optimizing energy storage deployment, scheduling, and capacity planning. This adaptability is particularly critical in addressing the uncertainty and volatility inherent in renewable energy integration.
Moreover, hybrid game models—integrating the stability of CGT with the flexibility of EGT—have emerged as a powerful tool in the optimization of ESSs. This hybrid approach provides a balanced framework that accommodates both the long-term stability typically provided by static optimization and the short-term adaptability required in fast-evolving systems. By blending these complementary strengths, hybrid models offer a more comprehensive solution to the coordination challenges posed by MASs in modern energy networks. These models are particularly suited for scenarios in which multiple stakeholders with competing interests—such as energy producers, consumers, and operators of storage systems—must collaborate to achieve common goals of system efficiency and stability.
The empirical evidence presented in case studies further underscores the practical viability of EGT and hybrid models. These studies demonstrate not only improved economic outcomes and enhanced operational efficiencies but also provide valuable insights into policy development and market design. By better understanding the behaviors and interactions of agents within energy markets, EGT can inform the creation of more effective policies and market mechanisms that promote the efficient use of energy storage, lower operational costs, and foster the integration of renewable energy sources into the grid. This is particularly important as global energy systems transition toward more decentralized and renewable-based architectures.
The trajectory of ESS optimization involves continued integration of EGT with advanced computational methods, including artificial intelligence, ML, and blockchain technologies. These interdisciplinary innovations address persistent challenges in energy storage optimization, particularly data scarcity, computational complexity, and scalability limitations. ML refinements to EGT algorithms enhance predictive capabilities and real-time agent behavior optimization. Blockchain technology strengthens multi-agent coordination through secure, decentralized interaction platforms. Combining EGT with these emerging technologies will pave the way for more robust, scalable, and flexible energy systems capable of supporting a sustainable and resilient energy future.
Our systematic investigation provides definitive answers to the three research questions that structured this analysis. RQ1 receives comprehensive resolution through demonstration that evolutionary game-theoretic mechanisms resolve coordination paradoxes via adaptive penalty structures, reputation systems, and dynamic learning algorithms that achieve 23–35% improvements in collective efficiency metrics. RQ2 is addressed through our novel taxonomical framework that categorizes game theory applications into five distinct domains, revealing systematic performance patterns where evolutionary approaches excel in dynamic scenarios while classical methods maintain advantages in static planning contexts. RQ3 analysis establishes precise performance boundaries showing hybrid models outperform classical approaches when system complexity, uncertainty, and adaptation requirements exceed specific quantitative thresholds validated through extensive simulation studies. This systematic question-driven investigation highlights the transformative potential of EGT and hybrid game models in optimizing ESSs, particularly in the context of renewable energy integration. Our framework-based analysis reveals three distinct performance clusters in game-theoretic applications: Static Optimization Cluster (Classical GT methods, Framework Score 5.5–6.8), Dynamic Adaptation Cluster (Pure EGT methods, Framework Score 7.2–8.1), and Integrated Excellence Cluster (Hybrid methods, Framework Score 8.0–9.1). These clusters exhibit distinct application domains and performance characteristics. Pattern recognition through framework analysis including
Static Optimization Cluster: Optimal for capacity planning and long-term investment decisions where environmental conditions remain relatively stable;
Dynamic Adaptation Cluster: Superior for real-time operational control and response to renewable energy variability;
Integrated Excellence Cluster: Most effective for comprehensive system optimization requiring both strategic planning and tactical adaptation.
This systematic clustering, validated through our five-dimensional framework, provides clear guidance for methodological selection based on specific application requirements and operational contexts, advancing understanding of multi-agent dynamics through quantitative rather than qualitative assessment. As the field continues to evolve, our framework analysis identifies specific research priorities through systematic gap assessment.
Table A2 presents framework-based evaluation of emerging technologies, revealing quantum computing applications score highest in Computational Complexity enhancement potential (9.6/10), while artificial intelligence integration demonstrates maximum Behavioral Realism improvement capacity (9.3/10). This systematic prioritization reveals that AI integration offers the highest overall potential for advancing game-theoretic applications in energy storage, combining moderate complexity reduction with substantial behavioral realism enhancement and reasonable implementation feasibility.
9.2. Policy Recommendations
Based on the comprehensive game-theoretic analysis and extensive simulation validation presented in this investigation, five priority policy recommendations emerge that systematically address identified market failures while maintaining implementation feasibility within existing regulatory frameworks. These recommendations derive directly from quantitative analysis demonstrating significant economic benefits and operational improvements achievable through coordinated policy interventions.
Recommendation 1: Implement Dynamic Capacity Market Design
The simulation analysis reveals fundamental inefficiencies in current capacity market structures that systematically discourage truthful bidding behavior among energy storage operators. Empirical evidence demonstrates that storage operators under-report available capacity by 12–18% during peak demand periods across six major electricity markets, creating artificial scarcity conditions that inflate electricity prices while compromising system reliability. The proposed dynamic capacity market design addresses these inefficiencies through time-varying capacity payments that reflect real-time system reliability needs, coupled with game-theoretic auction mechanisms specifically calibrated to incentivize truthful capacity revelation.
The mechanism design incorporates penalty–reward structures optimized through Monte Carlo simulation analysis, with penalty factors of 1.2 and reward factors of 0.6 achieving 94–97% truthful bidding rates while maintaining market liquidity. Implementation would establish capacity payment schedules that adjust dynamically based on forecasted system stress levels, renewable energy penetration rates, and transmission constraints. During periods of heightened reliability concern, capacity payments would increase proportionally to incentivize maximum storage availability, while penalty mechanisms would discourage strategic capacity withholding.
Quantitative analysis indicates this approach would increase storage capacity investment by 28% while reducing consumer costs by $3.2 billion over ten years through elimination of artificial scarcity premiums. The dynamic pricing structure would provide adequate revenue certainty for storage investments while ensuring capacity resources remain available during critical system conditions. Implementation requires coordination between FERC and regional transmission organizations to establish standardized auction protocols, penalty assessment mechanisms, and real-time capacity verification systems.
The transition strategy should commence with pilot programs in select markets experiencing high renewable energy penetration, gradually expanding to encompass all competitive electricity markets over a three-year implementation timeline. Market monitoring systems must be established to track truthful bidding rates, capacity utilization patterns, and price impact assessments to ensure mechanism effectiveness while identifying necessary parameter adjustments during the implementation period.
Recommendation 2: Create Regional Storage Coordination Authorities
The free-rider analysis demonstrates that current institutional arrangements systematically under-provide optimal storage capacity through coordination failures that reduce regional deployment by approximately 35%. Shapley value calculations reveal that individual transmission organizations capture spillover benefits from neighboring regions’ storage investments while under-investing in storage-supportive infrastructure within their own territories. Regional Storage Coordination Authorities would address these coordination failures through interstate compacts with authority to coordinate storage planning, siting, and operation across jurisdictional boundaries.
These authorities would operate using cooperative game theory principles to ensure fair cost allocation while maximizing system-wide benefits. The proposed structure would establish mandatory participation requirements for transmission organizations within defined interconnection regions, with cost-sharing mechanisms based on measured reliability and economic benefits. Shapley value-based allocation formulas would distribute both costs and benefits proportional to each organization’s marginal contribution to regional storage capacity and system reliability improvements.
Cooperative game analysis demonstrates that such mechanisms would eliminate free-rider problems while reducing individual project costs by 15–18% through economies of scale and coordinated planning processes. Regional authorities would possess regulatory authority to approve cross-border storage projects, streamline environmental permitting processes, and establish standardized interconnection procedures that reduce development timelines and associated costs.
The implementation framework would begin with pilot authorities in the Eastern and Western Interconnections, leveraging existing regional transmission organization structures while expanding coordination scope to encompass storage-specific planning functions. Constitutional interstate compact procedures would provide legal foundations for authority establishment, while FERC oversight would ensure consistency with federal regulatory objectives. Funding mechanisms would combine transmission organization contributions with federal infrastructure investment programs to support initial authority establishment and operational costs.
Success metrics would include increased cross-border storage project development, reduced regional capacity planning costs, and improved coordination efficiency measures tracked through standardized reporting requirements. Annual benefit–cost assessments would quantify regional coordination value while identifying opportunities for expanded authority scope and enhanced coordination mechanisms.
Recommendation 3: Develop Storage-Specific Environmental Compliance Mechanisms
Current environmental compliance frameworks fail to capture storage systems’ unique capabilities for facilitating renewable energy integration and reducing overall system emissions. Economic modeling indicates that properly designed storage-specific mechanisms would accelerate storage deployment by 15–20% while achieving emissions reductions at 25% lower cost than current regulatory approaches. The proposed framework would establish carbon pricing and renewable energy credit systems that explicitly account for storage’s system-wide environmental benefits.
Storage-specific carbon credit mechanisms would quantify emissions reductions achieved through renewable energy integration facilitation, grid efficiency improvements, and fossil fuel generation displacement. Unlike current approaches that focus solely on direct emissions, the proposed framework would employ lifecycle analysis methodologies to assess storage’s net environmental impact across manufacturing, operation, and disposal phases. Blockchain-based verification systems would ensure accurate measurement and reporting of environmental benefits while preventing double-counting across different compliance programs.
Renewable energy credit multipliers would provide additional incentives for storage systems that demonstrably enhance renewable energy utilization rates. Projects achieving verified renewable energy integration improvements above baseline thresholds would receive credit multipliers ranging from 1.2 to 1.8, depending on measured performance improvements. These multipliers would be dynamically adjusted based on regional renewable energy penetration levels and grid integration challenges.
Implementation would require coordination between the Environmental Protection Agency, state environmental agencies, and regional transmission organizations to establish standardized measurement protocols and verification procedures. Pilot programs would commence in states with existing renewable portfolio standards and carbon pricing mechanisms, gradually expanding to encompass all jurisdictions with environmental compliance requirements.
The framework would include provisions for interstate trading of storage-specific environmental credits, enabling cost-effective compliance strategies while encouraging optimal storage deployment across diverse geographic regions. Regular assessment procedures would evaluate environmental benefit quantification accuracy while adjusting credit values and multipliers based on evolving technology performance and environmental compliance objectives.
Recommendation 4: Reform Transmission Planning Integration
Current transmission planning processes systematically undervalue storage’s grid service capabilities, leading to suboptimal infrastructure investment decisions that increase consumer costs while reducing system reliability. The analysis indicates that reformed planning processes explicitly accounting for storage’s grid services would reduce transmission infrastructure costs by $4.7 billion while improving system reliability metrics by 12–15%. The proposed reforms would modify transmission planning methodologies to incorporate storage’s unique capabilities for providing multiple grid services simultaneously.
The reformed planning framework would employ cooperative game theory principles to ensure fair cost allocation between traditional transmission infrastructure and storage alternatives. Benefit–cost analysis procedures would be enhanced to capture storage’s temporal flexibility, locational optimization potential, and multi-service provision capabilities. Planning studies would be required to evaluate storage alternatives for all proposed transmission projects exceeding specified cost thresholds.
Standardized storage valuation methodologies would quantify reliability improvements, congestion reduction benefits, voltage support services, and frequency regulation capabilities using consistent analytical frameworks across all regional transmission organizations. These methodologies would incorporate uncertainty analysis to account for renewable energy variability, load growth projections, and technology evolution trends that affect optimal storage deployment strategies.
Implementation would begin with revised planning criteria requiring explicit storage alternative analysis for transmission projects exceeding $100 million in estimated costs. Regional transmission organizations would develop standardized evaluation procedures within eighteen months of policy adoption, with full implementation occurring over a five-year transition period. Training programs would ensure planning staff possess necessary analytical capabilities for storage evaluation while technical assistance programs would support smaller utilities in developing storage assessment competencies.
Monitoring requirements would track planning process integration effectiveness through metrics including storage alternative evaluation frequency, transmission cost savings achieved, and reliability improvement documentation. Annual assessments would identify planning process improvements while ensuring consistent implementation across different regional transmission organizations and utility jurisdictions.
Recommendation 5: Establish Market Monitoring and Strategic Behavior Detection
The simulation analysis demonstrates that current market monitoring systems lack capabilities for detecting sophisticated strategic behaviors that systematically undermine market efficiency in energy storage markets. Empirical analysis suggests that comprehensive monitoring systems employing game-theoretic models would reduce strategic bidding manipulation by 85% while maintaining market liquidity and competitive pricing dynamics. The proposed monitoring framework would implement systematic detection systems using advanced analytical methods to identify strategic behavior patterns in real-time market operations.
ML algorithms would be trained on historical bidding data to establish baseline behavior patterns for individual storage operators under varying market conditions. Deviation detection algorithms would identify bidding behaviors inconsistent with truthful capacity revelation, triggering automated investigation procedures and potential penalty assessments. Game-theoretic models would simulate expected bidding behavior under different market scenarios, enabling identification of strategic deviations from competitive equilibrium outcomes.
Automated penalty mechanisms would maintain market discipline through graduated response procedures that escalate intervention intensity based on strategic behavior severity and frequency. Initial violations would trigger warning notifications and enhanced monitoring requirements, while repeated violations would result in financial penalties calibrated to eliminate strategic behavior incentives without creating excessive compliance burdens for legitimate market participants.
The monitoring system would incorporate transparency mechanisms that provide market participants with aggregate strategic behavior statistics while protecting individual operator confidentiality. Regular reports would document market efficiency trends, strategic behavior detection rates, and penalty assessment outcomes to ensure accountability while enabling continuous system improvement based on observed market evolution patterns.
Implementation would commence with pilot deployment in markets exhibiting high levels of strategic behavior, gradually expanding to encompass all competitive electricity markets over a two-year timeline. Technical infrastructure requirements would leverage existing market operation systems while adding specialized analytical capabilities for strategic behavior detection and penalty assessment automation.
Success measures would include reduced strategic bidding frequency, improved market efficiency metrics, and enhanced price transparency indicators tracked through standardized performance measurement protocols. Regular system calibration procedures would ensure detection algorithm accuracy while adapting to evolving strategic behavior patterns as market participants respond to enhanced monitoring capabilities.
These five policy recommendations collectively address the fundamental coordination failures and strategic behavior problems identified through comprehensive game-theoretic analysis while providing implementation pathways that remain feasible within existing regulatory and political constraints. The quantitative benefits demonstrated through simulation analysis justify the implementation costs while establishing frameworks for continued policy evolution as energy storage technologies and market structures continue developing.
9.3. Towards Strategic Co-Evolution: Reimagining ESS Optimization Through EGT and Cross-Scale Techno-Social Integration
Despite the considerable progress made in optimizing ESSs through EGT and hybrid models, several critical limitations persist that must be addressed to enhance the applicability and robustness of these models in real-world energy systems. A significant challenge lies in the oversimplification of participant behavior in current models. While existing frameworks have advanced our understanding of multi-agent interactions, they still fail to fully account for the heterogeneity and bounded rationality inherent in market participants, particularly under extreme or volatile conditions. In real-world energy markets, agents frequently exhibit imperfect information processing and cognitive biases, leading to suboptimal decisions. These behaviors, which deviate from the idealized notion of rationality, can significantly alter the outcomes of strategic interactions, yet current models do not incorporate such complexities. Consequently, this limitation reduces the effectiveness of these models in environments characterized by high uncertainty and dynamic market conditions.
Another important constraint is the reliance on high-quality, comprehensive data, which is crucial for the accuracy of EGT models. Energy markets often suffer from incomplete, noisy, or missing data, which can compromise the predictive accuracy of these models. The ability of EGT to simulate the evolution of strategies and adapt to real-time market conditions hinges on the quality of historical and real-time data. In scenarios where data availability is limited or unreliable, the models’ capacity to respond effectively to shifting market dynamics may be severely constrained, thereby limiting their practical applicability. The challenge of ensuring data completeness and quality in real-world environments remains an ongoing concern.
Furthermore, the computational complexity of hybrid game models presents another significant barrier to their large-scale implementation. These models often require substantial computational resources, particularly when applied to large-scale systems involving numerous agents. This results in slow convergence rates and difficulties in achieving real-time decision-making, which is essential for fast-paced, high-dynamic environments such as energy markets or grid management. The computational burden associated with hybrid models makes them challenging to implement in real-world scenarios where rapid, adaptive decision-making is necessary to maintain system stability and efficiency.
In addition, the existing body of research has predominantly focused on theoretical modeling and simulation validation, leaving the practical application of these models in real-world systems underexplored. While the models show promise in simulations, they have not been sufficiently tested over extended periods or in complex, long-term real-world environments. The ability of these models to perform effectively in such settings, where data uncertainty, market volatility, and operational complexity are constant challenges, remains uncertain. Empirical testing and validation in these real-world environments are essential to evaluate the true robustness and reliability of EGT and hybrid game models.
Addressing these limitations will be pivotal for enhancing the scalability, robustness, and practical relevance of EGT and hybrid game models. Several promising research directions can be pursued to overcome these challenges and push the field of energy storage optimization forward.
At the theoretical level, future research must confront the λ-penalty paradox: increasing enforcement mechanisms to promote cooperation paradoxically destabilizes the equilibria they aim to protect. This suggests evolutionary frameworks require fundamental reconstruction—perhaps through quantum coherence analogies—rather than incremental behavioral economics integration.
AI integration, particularly through federated learning and digital twins, offers substantial potential for enhancing real-time decision-making capabilities while addressing data scarcity challenges. Digital twins provide high-fidelity simulations enabling strategy testing and adaptive decision improvement in real-time contexts. Advanced AI integration with game-theoretic models enables development of precise, data-driven strategies reflecting modern energy system complexities. Additionally, the advent of quantum computing presents an opportunity to drastically improve the computational efficiency of game-theoretic models. Quantum computing’s ability to perform complex calculations at unprecedented speeds could revolutionize the solving of large-scale games, particularly in environments involving a large number of agents and requiring real-time responses.
From an application perspective, the field would greatly benefit from more empirical studies that explore the practical performance of these models in extreme situations. Real-world challenges, such as extreme weather events, policy shifts, or economic crises, introduce additional uncertainties and complexities that are difficult to simulate accurately. Testing models in such scenarios would provide valuable insights into their robustness and practical applicability, offering real-world validation of the theoretical models. Furthermore, the exploration of blockchain technology in the execution of game strategies and the distribution of profits could improve the transparency, fairness, and accountability of multi-agent cooperation. Blockchain offers a decentralized, immutable platform for ensuring that the actions and rewards of all participants are verifiable, fostering trust and equitable participation in energy markets.
At the policy level, there is a need to develop a dynamic policy evaluation framework that simulates the responses of energy markets to various policy measures. This framework must account for existing institutional constraints embedded within regulatory structures such as the Federal Power Act’s jurisdictional boundaries between federal and state authorities, which create coordination challenges for multi-state energy storage projects. The Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act (PURPA) qualifying facility provisions establish another institutional layer affecting small-scale renewable energy integration, while state-level renewable portfolio standards create heterogeneous policy environments that complicate multi-agent coordination across jurisdictional boundaries. Systematic discrepancies between reported storage availability and actual dispatch capability during critical operational periods may reflect not merely strategic behavior but fundamental incompatibilities between regulatory reporting requirements and operational realities. Game theory can serve as an invaluable tool in assessing the impacts of policies such as subsidies, tariffs, or regulations, by simulating how they will affect market behavior over time. This simulation-based approach can help policymakers identify the most effective measures to encourage energy storage adoption, balance efficiency and fairness, and ensure that ESSs remain economically viable. Such a framework would provide a scientific foundation for the design of policies that promote the sustainable integration of renewable energy into the grid and enhance the resilience of energy systems.
In conclusion, the future of ESS optimization through EGT and hybrid models hinges on addressing the limitations identified in this study. By improving the realism of models, integrating emerging technologies, conducting extensive real-world testing, and supporting dynamic policy-making, the field can evolve to meet the growing demands of modern energy systems. These advancements will not only facilitate the efficient integration of renewable energy but also contribute to the global transition toward more resilient, sustainable, and flexible energy infrastructures. By continuing to innovate and refine these models, the optimization of ESSs will play a crucial role in ensuring a decarbonized and stable energy future.