1. Introduction
China’s manufacturing sector has undergone a remarkable transformation in recent decades, evolving from a labor-intensive, resource-driven model to a more complex, innovation-driven one. However, despite these advancements, the sector still faces several challenges, including low-end lock-in and insufficient innovation, particularly in traditional manufacturing industries [
1]. As global competition intensifies, especially in high-end manufacturing [
2], the need for a shift from a factor-driven growth model to an innovation-driven one has become urgent. Achieving high-quality development in manufacturing (
HQDM) is critical not only for the sector itself but also for the overall sustainable economic growth in China.
The digital economy has emerged as a transformative force in this transition. The Digital China Development Report (2024) [
3] highlights that core industries of the digital economy contributed approximately 10% to GDP in 2024. By year-end, China had deployed 4.25 million 5G base stations, covering 90% of administrative villages, and reached a computing power of 280 EFLOPS, ranking among the global leaders. As of the end of 2024, China has established over 30,000 basic-level, more than 1200 advanced-level, and approximately 230 excellent-level smart factories nationwide. Meanwhile, the penetration rate of digital R&D tools in key above-scale industrial enterprises reached 84.1%, reflecting the rapid digital transformation in major manufacturing sectors [
3]. These developments underscore the critical role of the digital economy in enhancing manufacturing upgrading [
4] and fostering green transformation [
5], thereby paving the way for high-quality development.
This study builds on existing research by exploring the moderating roles of digital literacy and manufacturing agglomeration in the relationship between the digital economy and HQDM. While previous studies have examined these factors, this study distinguishes itself by exploring how these moderating effects evolve over time and vary across regions. Specifically, it investigates the temporal heterogeneity of these effects, highlighting how the influence of digital literacy and manufacturing agglomeration evolves as the digital economy matures. Additionally, it examines regional heterogeneity, addressing how varying levels of digital infrastructure, industrial concentration, and workforce skills in China’s Eastern, Central, and Western regions impact the digital economy’s influence on HQDM.
The study’s theoretical contribution lies in its comprehensive exploration of how manufacturing agglomeration and digital literacy influence the digital economy’s effectiveness in driving HQDM across different contexts. It expands beyond existing frameworks by treating agglomeration not only as a mediator but also as a moderator, offering new insights into how agglomeration affects the digital economy’s transformative power at various stages of industrial concentration. Similarly, it deepens the understanding of digital literacy by examining its evolving role in different regions. This approach offers a more nuanced understanding of how these two factors either amplify or hinder the digital economy’s impact on manufacturing development, providing region-specific policy recommendations to foster digital transformation tailored to each region’s unique context.
This study addresses the following research questions: (1) How does the digital economy influence the high-quality development of manufacturing, particularly through the mechanisms of innovation, green development, and industrial upgrading? (2) How do factors such as digital literacy and manufacturing agglomeration moderate the relationship between the digital economy and HQDM? (3) How do regional and temporal heterogeneity affect the moderating roles of digital literacy and manufacturing agglomeration in the digital economy’s impact on HQDM?
To answer these questions, this study makes the following contributions: (1) It establishes a comprehensive framework for evaluating
HQDM, integrating dimensions such as green development, innovation, and high-end manufacturing, offering a holistic approach to assessing the sector’s transformation. (2) It utilizes data from administrative departments directly linked to the manufacturing industry, ensuring a more accurate and targeted evaluation of
HQDM and addressing gaps in research relying on generalized data sources. (3) It employs advanced econometric models to explore the dynamic relationships between the digital economy and
HQDM, with a particular focus on the moderating effects of digital literacy and manufacturing agglomeration. By considering the time-based and regional heterogeneity of these moderating effects, the study provides new insights into how the digital economy’s impact on manufacturing development evolves and varies across regions. Based on these findings, it offers region-specific policy recommendations aimed at fostering digital transformation and high-quality development tailored to the unique needs of Eastern, Central, and Western China.
Figure 1 is the road map of this study.
5. Empirical Investigation and Interpretation
5.1. Benchmark Regression Analysis
The benchmark regressions are presented in
Table 7. In column (1), where the dependent variable is the overall high-quality manufacturing development index (
HQDM), the digital economy (
DE) shows a significant positive coefficient of 0.5734 (at the 1% significance level). This suggests that the digital economy is a strong driver of the overall high-quality development of the manufacturing sector. From a theoretical standpoint, the digital economy fosters the integration of advanced technologies such as big data, artificial intelligence (AI), and the Internet of Things (IoT) into manufacturing processes. This integration facilitates smarter production planning, more efficient resource allocation, and improved quality control—all of which are crucial for advancing high-quality manufacturing. For instance, digital platforms can link different stages of the manufacturing supply chain, reduce information asymmetry, and enhance overall operational efficiency. Therefore, Hypothesis 1 is supported.
Further analysis is conducted to explore how the digital economy influences HQDM. In this context, the three dimensions of HQDM—green, innovation, and high-end—are used as core dependent variables to assess how the digital economy affects these aspects of high-quality manufacturing development in China.
For the green dimension of manufacturing,
DE exhibits a positive and significant coefficient of 0.2432 (at the 5% significance level), as shown in column (2) of
Table 7. Digitalization contributes to green manufacturing in multiple ways. On one hand, digital technologies enable real-time monitoring of environmental indicators, such as energy consumption and pollutant emissions, within the manufacturing process. This allows for timely adjustments to production methods, minimizing environmental impact. On the other hand, digital platforms facilitate the exchange of green manufacturing practices and technologies among enterprises. For example, through digital platforms, companies can adopt energy-efficient production techniques or green supply chain management models, promoting the green transformation of the manufacturing sector.
In the innovation dimension, column (3) in
Table 7 demonstrates that
DE has a positive and significant coefficient of 0.1037 (at the 1% significance level). The digital economy drives innovation in manufacturing by offering new tools and platforms for research and development (R&D). Big data analytics help companies more accurately identify market needs and technological trends, thereby guiding their innovation strategies. Furthermore, digital technologies such as cloud computing lower the cost and complexity of innovation by providing shared access to computing resources and R&D databases. Collaborative innovation platforms built on digital infrastructure also enhance cooperation among stakeholders in the manufacturing innovation ecosystem, including enterprises, research institutions, and universities.
Regarding the high-end dimension of manufacturing, column (4) in
Table 7 shows that
DE presents a positive and significant coefficient of 0.2251 (at the 1% significance level). The digital economy plays a crucial role in advancing high-end manufacturing. It supports the development of advanced manufacturing technologies such as intelligent manufacturing. Digitalization also facilitates the customization and personalization of high-end products, catering to the diverse and sophisticated demands of the market. Moreover, the digital economy enhances the global competitiveness of high-end manufacturing enterprises by providing better access to global markets, advanced technologies, and talent through digital platforms.
In conclusion, the digital economy exerts a significant positive impact on the overall high-quality development of the manufacturing sector and its three sub-dimensions: green, innovation, and high-end development. These effects are realized through various mechanisms, including technological integration, resource optimization, and ecosystem building. The findings provide a strong foundation for formulating policies aimed at promoting the digital transformation of the manufacturing sector for high-quality development.
5.2. Moderating Effect Analysis
Based on Model (2) and Model (3) in
Section 3.1.1, this section aims to verify the moderating effects of manufacturing agglomeration (
Agglo) and digital literacy (
Digi), respectively. The test results are presented in
Table 8.
Column (1) of
Table 8 shows the regression results incorporating manufacturing agglomeration (
Agglo) into the benchmark model. In Column (2), both
Agglo and its interaction term with the digital economy (
DE) are included in the model. The same procedure is applied to digital literacy, with regression results for
Digi shown in Columns (3) and (4).
Across all models, the coefficient of DE remains significantly positive, confirming the robust positive effect of the digital economy on manufacturing-related outcomes. This supports previous research, which suggests that digitalization promotes manufacturing upgrading through technological integration, efficiency gains, and the diffusion of innovation.
In Column (2), both the interaction term between Agglo and DE, as well as DE itself, are positive and significant at the 1% level. This indicates that agglomeration significantly moderates the impact of the digital economy on manufacturing development. Agglomeration enhances the digital economy’s effect by concentrating resources such as skilled labor and R&D facilities, reducing transaction costs, and facilitating knowledge spillovers. For example, firms within clusters can share digital infrastructure, such as industrial internet platforms, at lower costs, thereby accelerating digital technology adoption. This supports Hypothesis 2.
These findings align with existing literature. For example, Deng et al. (2025) highlight that manufacturing agglomeration not only offers large-scale implementation scenarios for digital technologies but also promotes resource sharing and cost reduction to enhance the digital economy [
28]. However, Lei et al. (2024) argue that the impact of the digital economy on agglomeration is nonlinear, with early stage constraints, such as talent shortages, limiting collaboration [
27]. This contrasts with our findings, where the moderating effect of agglomeration is significant. Future research should explore how the digital economy’s impact varies across different stages of agglomeration, particularly in less agglomerated regions where gaps in infrastructure and talent may limit its effects.
In Column (4) of
Table 8, the interaction term between digital literacy (
Digi) and the digital economy (
DE) is negative and significant at the 1% level. This suggests that digital literacy negatively moderates the facilitating effect of the digital economy on high-quality manufacturing development. This unexpected finding contrasts with the prevailing view that digital literacy enhances the effective utilization of digital technologies in manufacturing.
Literature generally underscores the critical role of digital literacy in enabling workers to navigate and utilize digital technologies, thereby driving operational optimization and innovation in manufacturing. For instance, UNESCO’s Global Framework emphasizes the importance of digital literacy in equipping individuals with the skills to manage and generate information using digital tools, thus fostering the integration of advanced technologies such as AI, IoT, and big data [
30]. Similarly, other research highlights that as digital technologies mature, their potential is maximized, particularly in regions with a digitally skilled workforce [
33]. These perspectives suggest that digital literacy is a key enabler, facilitating the effective adoption and application of digital technologies to improve industrial processes.
However, our findings challenge this widely accepted view. The negative interaction effect observed in our study may be attributed to the current low levels of digital literacy in many regions, as discussed in
Section 4.2 and
Section 4.3. In regions where digital literacy remains limited, the pool of skilled workers is insufficient to meet the specialized needs of manufacturing’s digital transformation. As a result, firms face challenges in utilizing digital tools, such as industrial AI, leading to inefficiencies that undermine the positive effects of the digital economy. This issue is especially pronounced in regions with both low digital literacy and poor infrastructure, where even digitally literate workers struggle to fully leverage digital technologies.
5.3. Endogenous Check
To address potential endogeneity, this study employs the instrumental variable (IV) method. Following prior research [
46,
47], we construct an interaction term between the number of telephones owned by 100 people in 1998 and the number of national internet broadband access ports from the previous year. This serves as an instrumental variable (IV) for the digital economy. The 1998 telephone data, being a predetermined historical measure, is exogenous to subsequent manufacturing development. Both telephones and broadband, rooted in shared communication infrastructure, reflect the path dependence of digital connectivity, thereby ensuring their correlation with the digital economy. This design satisfies both the exclusion and relevance criteria for IVs, addressing concerns related to endogeneity.
A two-stage approach is used for the instrumental variable regression, with the results presented in Columns (1) and (2) of
Table 9.
In Column (1), the first stage shows that the IV exhibits a significantly positive correlation with the digital economy (DE), supported by a high F-statistic of 119.2300. In the second stage, the fitted DE has a significantly positive effect on HQDM. Additionally, the Kleibergen-Paap rk LM statistic is positive at the 1% significance level, rejecting the null hypothesis of under-identification. The Kleibergen-Paap rk Wald F-statistic (22.8540) exceeds the Stock-Yogo 10% critical value (16.3800), ruling out concerns regarding weak instruments. The IV passes all tests and reinforces the main conclusions of this study.
5.4. Robustness Checks
5.4.1. Robustness Checks for Benchmark Regression
Multiple tests support the hypothesis that the digital economy enhances high-quality manufacturing development (HQDM). To reinforce the results, two distinct robustness tests are conducted. First, factor analysis is applied to the original sample to recalibrate both the explained and explanatory variables. Second, we exclude the 2013 data and use the 2014–2023 sample to recalculate all variables. This adjustment helps mitigate any potential data anomalies present in the initial period, ensuring the stability of the results across different timeframes.
The robustness checks for benchmark regressions are presented in
Table 10.
In the factor analysis-based robustness test (
Table 10, Columns (1)– (4)), the core variable, digital economy (
DE), maintains significantly positive coefficients across all models. This consistency aligns with the benchmark regression results (
Table 7), confirming that the digital economy’s positive effect on high-quality manufacturing development—across the green, innovation, and high-end dimensions—remains robust. The consistent significance across models further validates the stability of the digital economy’s driving role.
In the sample-replacement test (
Table 10, Columns (5)– (8), excluding 2013 data),
DE still demonstrates significant positive effects. By removing the 2013 sample, we mitigate potential data anomalies that might skew results. The consistent significance and coefficients across different sample periods indicate that the impact of the digital economy is not driven by outliers in the 2013 data, enhancing the credibility of the findings.
Both tests support the benchmark regression’s conclusion that the digital economy plays a significant role in promoting the high-quality development of manufacturing across various dimensions. The robustness across different variable measurement techniques and sample periods confirms that the findings are not sensitive to methodological or sample choices, providing robust evidence for the digital-manufacturing linkage.
5.4.2. Robustness Checks for Moderating Mechanism
After confirming the robustness of the benchmark regression results, we now extend this rigor to the analysis of moderating effects. To ensure the reliability of our findings regarding the moderating roles of manufacturing agglomeration (Agglo) and digital literacy (Digi), we apply the same robustness testing framework. Specifically, we use factor analysis to recompute the independent and dependent variables, addressing potential measurement biases. Additionally, we perform sample replacement (excluding the 2013 data) to assess the sensitivity of the results to sample composition. This dual-approach validation further reinforces the conclusions regarding the moderating effects of Agglo and Digi on the digital economy-manufacturing development linkage, ensuring consistency with the methodological rigor established in the benchmark tests.
The robustness checks for the moderating regressions are presented in
Table 11.
Column (2) of
Table 11 shows that for manufacturing agglomeration (
Agglo) as a moderator, the interaction term
DE ×
Agglo remains significant, with coefficients closely aligned to those in the original regression (
Table 8, column (2)). Similarly, for digital literacy (
Digi), the interaction term
DE ×
Digi retains its negative significance (Column (4)), mirroring the original result (
Table 8, column (4)). Factor analysis, by refining variable measurement, confirms the robustness of
Agglo’s positive and
Digi’s negative moderating roles.
In the sample-replacement test, excluding the 2013 data, the interaction terms remain statistically significant:
DE ×
Agglo (
Table 11, column (6)) and
DE ×
Digi (
Table 11, column (8)) show consistent signs and significance levels with the original results (
Table 8, columns (2) and (4)). This adjustment mitigates concerns regarding result sensitivity to outliers from the initial period, further reinforcing the reliability of the moderating effects.
Both tests confirm that manufacturing agglomeration consistently strengthens the digital economy-manufacturing linkage, while digital literacy’s negative moderating role persists. This aligns with our earlier explanation regarding skill-ecosystem mismatches. The robustness across different methods further strengthens the conclusion that the moderating effects are intrinsic to the digital-manufacturing dynamics, rather than being artifacts of measurement or sampling.
5.5. Heterogeneity Analysis
5.5.1. Regional Heterogeneity Test
To further explore the spatial boundaries of the moderating effects, this study conducts sub-sample regressions for the Eastern, Central, and Western regions, as presented in
Table 12. This analysis investigates how manufacturing agglomeration (
Agglo) and digital literacy (
Digi) influence the digital economy-manufacturing linkage across distinct regional ecosystems.
As shown in Columns (1), (3), and (5) of
Table 12, the moderating effect of manufacturing agglomeration (
Agglo) on the digital economy-manufacturing linkage demonstrates significant regional divergence. The coefficients indicate that the interaction term
DE ×
Agglo is significantly positive in the Eastern (0.3992) and Western (0.5565) regions, but insignificant in the Central region (−0.0743).
In the Eastern region, the highest level of agglomeration (mean = 1.0390,
Table 6) and well-established industrial clusters are closely integrated with advanced digital infrastructure (e.g., Jiangsu:
Agglo = 1.4387,
DE = 0.2570). Digital spillovers are amplified through economies of scale and knowledge diffusion. In the Western region, despite having the lowest agglomeration mean (0.6018,
Table 6), policy-driven high-density clusters in places (e.g., Chongqing:
Agglo = 0.7970,
DE = 0.1349) reinforce the positive moderating effect. In contrast, the Central region, with a moderate agglomeration mean (0.8128,
Table 6), suffers from fragmented industrial distribution (e.g., energy-based clusters in Shanxi versus tech hubs in Wuhan) and inadequate digital infrastructure. In summary,
Agglo’s moderating effectiveness depends on both industrial density and digital infrastructure.
Digital literacy (
Digi) also exhibits significant regional heterogeneity in moderating the digital economy-manufacturing linkage, with universally low levels across all regions (
Table 6: Eastern = 0.0057, Central = 0.0016, Western = 0.0014). The interaction term
DE ×
Digi in Columns (2), (4), and (6) of
Table 12 reveals three distinct patterns, each shaped by the interaction of limited digital skills with regional industrial contexts.
In the Eastern region, the moderating effect of
Digi is significantly negative at the 1% level, with a coefficient of −19.2083 (Column (2),
Table 12). Although Eastern
Digi is the highest among the regions, its absolute level (0.0057) remains extremely low, only 1.9 times the national average (0.0030,
Table 6). This creates a “constrained complementarity”: manufacturing powerhouses (e.g., Jiangsu, Guangdong) are pursuing aggressive digital transformation (high
DE), but the limited digital talent pool (e.g., Shanghai:
Digi = 0.0114) cannot support the complex digital tools required. Firms face bottlenecks in talent absorption, resulting in inefficiencies that dampen the digital economy’s potential.
The Central region shows an insignificant moderating effect of
Digi (Column (4),
Table 12). With the second-lowest
Digi (0.0016,
Table 6), digital skills are both scarce and misaligned with the industrial structure. Most provinces (e.g., Henan, Shanxi) are heavily reliant on traditional manufacturing (low
HQDM,
Table 6), which has minimal demand for digital talent. Neither
Digi nor
DE is sufficient to trigger meaningful synergy. Both digital skills and industrial digitalization are underdeveloped, preventing observable moderating behavior.
Despite Western China exhibiting the lowest digital literacy (
Digi) in the nation (mean = 0.0014,
Table 6), its moderating effect on the digital economy-manufacturing linkage is significantly positive (Column (6),
Table 12). This anomaly arises from localized concentration: digital skills are more concentrated in provincial capitals and municipalities (e.g., Shaanxi:
Digi = 0.0027, Chongqing:
Digi = 0.0016). In these niches, even ultra-scarce
Digi can support fledgling digital initiatives, generating short-term positive synergy. However, this effect is confined to isolated hubs, with most Western regions (e.g., Yunnan, Guizhou:
Digi < 0.0010) remaining in a non-interaction state, similar to the Central region.
5.5.2. Time-Based Heterogeneity Test
Although the digital economy has experienced significant growth in recent years, it remains in its early stages in China. To explore how the moderating mechanisms evolve across different stages of digital economy development, this study conducts a time-based heterogeneity test. Recognizing the G20 summit in September 2016 as a milestone for the digital economy, this study treats 2017 as a watershed year. For the purpose of the time heterogeneity test, the research period is divided into two intervals: 2013–2017 and 2018–2023. The results of these time-based heterogeneity tests are presented in
Table 13.
Columns (1), (2), (3), and (4) in
Table 13 reveal that the moderating roles of manufacturing agglomeration (
Agglo) and digital literacy (
Digi) evolve significantly across the two periods. These changes are closely linked with China’s policy shifts in the digital economy, manufacturing, and talent development.
In both periods, the interaction term
DE ×
Agglo remains significantly positive, reflecting the persistent role of spatial concentration in enhancing the synergy between digitalization and manufacturing. During the first period (2013–2017),
Agglo (
Figure 3) maintained a high baseline, and policies such as the early phase of “Made in China 2025” focused on upgrading industrial clusters (e.g., smart factory pilots in coastal regions). Concentrated industrial resources quickly absorbed nascent digital technologies, generating stronger marginal effects. In the second period (2018–2023), although the moderating coefficient for
Agglo slightly declined, it remained significant. The digital economy (
Figure 3) expanded rapidly, but agglomerated regions underwent structural adjustments (e.g., phasing out outdated capacities). Simultaneously, policies shifted towards high-quality development, emphasizing digital integration across more regions, which diluted
Agglo’s relative advantage. Nevertheless, agglomeration’s inherent economies of scale and knowledge spillovers continued to support a positive moderating effect.
The interaction term
DE ×
Digi transitions from insignificance in the first period (2013–2017: −8.1232) to a significantly negative effect in the second period (2018–2023: −8.4613), reflecting the chronically low levels of
Digi (
Figure 3) and the evolving policy-demand gaps. During 2013–2017,
Digi was universally scarce, but both the digital economy (
DE) and manufacturing digitization demands were still nascent. This resulted in minimal skill-demand mismatches, as both the supply and demand for digital skills were limited. Policies were focused on traditional manufacturing, and the cultivation of digital talent lagged behind. However, in the second period, the digital economy surged (
DE’s rapid rise in
Figure 2), and “Digital China” related policies mandated aggressive manufacturing digitization. Despite this,
Digi remained stagnant at low levels, creating a sudden mismatch: the digital demand in manufacturing outpaced the slow growth of digital skills, leading to inefficiencies and a negative moderating effect.
Temporally, Agglo’s stable positive moderating role emphasizes the need to maintain cluster-digital integration (e.g., upgrading industrial parks to smart clusters). In contrast, Digi’s emerging negative moderating effect highlights the urgent need to address skill gaps (e.g., targeted vocational training in digital manufacturing). These findings suggest that policy must adapt to the evolving interplay between technological diffusion, industrial structure, and human capital, strengthening support for the enduring advantages of agglomeration while addressing the growing bottlenecks related to Digi as digital transformation deepens.
6. Findings and Implications
6.1. Findings
This study examines the pivotal role of the digital economy in driving the high-quality development of manufacturing, with a particular focus on the moderating effects of manufacturing agglomeration and digital literacy. Several key conclusions are drawn through robust econometric analyses:
- (1)
The Digital Economy Drives High-Quality Manufacturing Development
The results confirm that the digital economy significantly enhances the high-quality development of manufacturing across three key dimensions: green, innovative, and high-end manufacturing. China’s 14th Five-Year Plan for Digital Economy Development (2021–2025) underscores the integration of big data, AI, and IoT to boost production efficiency. Locally, Jiangsu Province’s Three-Year Action Plan (2025–2027) aims to upgrade over 10,000 enterprises annually to smart factories, focusing on industrial internet integration. Zhejiang’s “Industry Brain” initiative, part of its broader digital economy plan, connects industrial clusters via AI-powered supply chain platforms for real-time production optimization. These policies highlight how digital technologies, supported by targeted frameworks, accelerate industry transformation.
- (2)
Manufacturing Agglomeration Amplifies the Digital Economy’s Impact
Manufacturing agglomeration plays a crucial moderating role in the digital economy-manufacturing linkage. The positive moderating effect of agglomeration is most apparent in the Eastern and Western regions, where concentrated industrial clusters, supported by digital infrastructure and policy initiatives, amplify digital spillovers and foster synergies between manufacturing and digital transformation. Beyond economic factors, manufacturing agglomeration also plays an essential role in promoting social collaboration and regional integration. The spatial concentration of firms facilitates knowledge exchange, accelerates technology diffusion, and strengthens regional policy cooperation, which in turn enhances social infrastructure and promotes balanced regional development. This dynamic relationship contributes to social cohesion, improving the quality of life in agglomerated areas. However, the moderating effect of agglomeration is weaker in the Central region, where fragmented industrial distribution and lagging digital infrastructure impede the realization of its full potential.
- (3)
Digital Literacy’s Role is Context-Dependent
This study highlights significant regional heterogeneity in the moderating effect of digital literacy on the digital economy-manufacturing linkage. While digital literacy remains universally low across regions, its impact varies. In the Eastern region, where digital transformation is advanced but the talent pool remains insufficient, the effect of digital literacy on the digital economy is negative, indicating a mismatch between the supply of skills and industrial demand. In contrast, in the Western region, the localized concentration of digital skills in certain hubs provides a temporary positive moderating effect. However, this effect is limited to specific areas and does not extend across the entire region.
- (4)
Time-Based Heterogeneity and Policy Shifts
The analysis of time-based heterogeneity further elucidates how policy shifts and the evolving digital economy have shaped the moderating roles of agglomeration and digital literacy. In the first period (2013–2017), manufacturing agglomeration played a dominant role in driving the digital-manufacturing synergy, supported by early stage policies such as “Made in China 2025.” However, in the second period (2018–2023), although the influence of agglomeration slightly declined, it remained significant. The rapid expansion of the digital economy and the shift towards “high-quality development” policies diluted agglomeration’s relative advantage. Nevertheless, agglomeration continued to play a key role in fostering innovation and knowledge diffusion. In contrast, the mismatch between the digital demands of manufacturing and the slow growth of digital literacy became more pronounced in the second period, leading to negative moderating effects that highlight the need for targeted skills development.
6.2. Policy Implications
This study underscores the significant regional disparities in the impact of the digital economy on the high-quality development of manufacturing in China. Based on these findings, the following policy recommendations are proposed for the Eastern, Central, and Western regions to strengthen the linkage between the digital economy and manufacturing, thereby promoting high-quality, sustainable development:
The Eastern region, with its well-established industrial clusters and relatively advanced digital infrastructure, is well-positioned to lead the digital transformation of manufacturing. However, despite significant advancements in digital technology adoption, a critical gap persists between the rapid growth of the digital economy and the availability of skilled labor. Manufacturing hubs in Jiangsu and Guangdong are actively pursuing digital transformation, but the talent pool remains insufficient to meet the demand for advanced digital tools such as AI, big data analytics, and IoT. To address this challenge, policies should prioritize the cultivation of digital talent through targeted education and training programs focused on high-end digital skills. Moreover, efforts should be made to upgrade existing industrial parks into “smart clusters” that integrate digital technologies with manufacturing capabilities, fostering synergies that enhance both innovation and sustainability. This approach will enable the region to maintain its competitive advantage while addressing skill shortages that hinder digital adoption.
- (2)
Central Region
In the Central region, where industrial agglomeration is fragmented and digital infrastructure is underdeveloped, a more integrated approach to digital transformation is required. The region’s reliance on traditional industries, such as energy and heavy manufacturing, has resulted in limited demand for digital skills. To facilitate the transition to a high-quality manufacturing ecosystem, policies should focus on establishing digital transformation hubs in key cities, where industrial development can be combined with digitalization initiatives. Incentivizing the adoption of smart manufacturing technologies and fostering partnerships between local governments, businesses, and educational institutions will help bridge the digital skills gap. Additionally, targeted vocational training programs aligned with the region’s industrial needs are essential to develop a digitally capable workforce. This will enable the region to transition towards green manufacturing, advanced materials, and other high-tech sectors, supporting long-term sustainable economic growth.
- (3)
Western Region
The Western region, which faces low levels of digital literacy and inadequate digital infrastructure, faces significant challenges in achieving widespread digital transformation. However, localized digital initiatives, such as those in Chongqing and Xi’an, have shown promise. To maximize the region’s potential, policies should focus on expanding digital infrastructure, particularly in rural and underserved areas, to ensure equitable access to digital benefits. Establishing digital manufacturing hubs in major cities, supported by digital literacy programs, will stimulate localized economic growth and develop a skilled workforce. Furthermore, incentivizing the digital adoption of traditional industries, such as resource extraction and manufacturing, could accelerate the region’s digital transformation, leverage its existing industrial base, and transition to a more sustainable digital economy. These initiatives will ensure that the region contributes to China’s broader sustainability goals while addressing its unique developmental challenges.
6.3. Research Limitations and Future Research Directions
- (1)
Research Limitation
A limitation of this study is its primary focus on China, which may restrict the generalizability of the findings to other countries, particularly those at different stages of digital and industrial development. While the insights provided are highly relevant to China’s context, the absence of an international perspective limits our understanding of how global regions with diverse economic structures and varying levels of digital adoption experience digital transformation in manufacturing. Additionally, the study relies on secondary data, which may not fully capture the fast-paced nature of digital technologies and the evolving dynamics of digital literacy. The lack of real-time, granular data may impact the accuracy of capturing the rapid shifts in the digital economy and hinder the analysis of short-term technological disruptions and innovations.
- (2)
Future Research Directions
Future research could address these limitations by expanding the scope to include cross-country comparisons, particularly focusing on countries with diverse economic structures, policy frameworks, and stages of digital adoption. Such comparative studies would provide valuable insights into global best practices and illustrate how institutional contexts shape digital transformation in manufacturing. Moreover, longitudinal studies that track the evolution of digital skills, the adoption of digital technologies, and their long-term impacts on manufacturing sustainability could deepen our understanding of these trends and their outcomes.
Further research could also explore sector-specific digital literacy gaps, examining how these variations influence digital adoption across different manufacturing industries, such as automotive, electronics, and textiles. Understanding the unique demands of each sector will enable policymakers to design more effective, tailored training programs and industrial policies that align with the specific needs of sustainable manufacturing.
Additionally, future studies could assess the effectiveness of regional policies in fostering digital integration and manufacturing transformation, particularly through comparisons of different strategies on a global scale. By identifying the most successful approaches, these studies can inform best practices for policy frameworks that support sustainable and inclusive digital manufacturing development. Finally, exploring the impact of emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence, blockchain, and digital twins will be crucial for understanding the future of digital manufacturing. These technologies have the potential to drive profound disruptions to traditional production systems, and their role in enhancing the sustainability of manufacturing processes warrants detailed investigation.