How Does the Digital Ecosystem Foster New Quality Productive Forces? A Dynamic QCA of Sustainable Development Pathways in China
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review and Theoretical Framework
2.1. Digital Ecosystem and NQPFs
2.2. WSR Systems Methodology
2.3. Theoretical Framework
2.3.1. Wuli (Physics) Dimension
2.3.2. Shili (Methodology) Dimension
2.3.3. Renli (Humanity) Dimension
3. Methodology
3.1. Research Method
3.2. Research Samples and Data Collection
3.3. Measurement and Calibration
3.3.1. Outcome Variable: NQPF Development
3.3.2. Condition Variables
3.3.3. Calibration
4. Results
4.1. Necessity Analysis of Single Conditions
4.1.1. NCA Results
4.1.2. QCA Results
4.2. Sufficiency Analysis of Conditional Groupings
4.2.1. Aggregated Results
- (1)
- Application-Oriented Comprehensive WSR-Driven Configuration
- (2)
- Innovation-Oriented WR-Driven Configuration
- (3)
- Talent-Supported WS-Driven Configuration
- (4)
- Infrastructure-Supported WS-Driven Configuration
4.2.2. Inter-Group Results
4.2.3. Intra-Group Results
4.2.4. Configuration of Non-High NQPF Development
4.3. Robust Analysis
5. Conclusions and Implications
5.1. Conclusions
- Does any core element constitute a necessary condition for enhancing NQPF development? Necessity analysis via NCA and QCA confirms that none of the five conditions—digital infrastructure, digital security, digital application, digital talent, and digital innovation—serves as a single necessary condition.
- Do temporal effects characterize the influence of mechanisms? Overall consistency did not exhibit a significant temporal effect. This indicates that the mechanism through which digital ecosystems drive NQPFs exhibits cross-period stability, unaffected by short-term policy shocks or technological disruptions.
- What spatial heterogeneities exist in developmental pathways across regions, and what latent factors underlie such disparities? Kruskal–Wallis H tests (Table 8) demonstrate pronounced regional disparities. Intra-group consistency trends (Figure 6) reveal notable regional differences in configuration performance. All the configurations demonstrate their highest coverage in eastern regions (Table 9). These differences correlate with regional variations in digital infrastructure maturity, innovation ecosystem completeness, and talent agglomeration, underscoring the need for context-specific strategies.
- Application-oriented comprehensive WSR-driven configuration (S1). This pathway centers on the triad of digital infrastructure (Wuli), digital applications (Shili), and digital talent (Renli), where technological adoption and human capital act as joint drivers. By integrating foundational infrastructure (e.g., Shanghai’s AI computing platforms) with user-centric applications (e.g., One-Network Governance systems) and skilled labor, it transforms technical potential into tangible productivity gains. Unlike single-factor studies, this configuration demonstrates that infrastructure alone cannot drive NQPFs; its impact is amplified through seamless alignment with talent capabilities and real-world application scenarios.
- Innovation-oriented WR-driven configuration (S2). Anchored in digital infrastructure (Wuli), digital innovation (Renli), and digital talent (Renli), with digital security (Wuli) as a critical enabler, this pathway prioritizes risk-managed innovation. Such regions as Shandong leverage policy-supported infrastructure upgrades (e.g., 5G networks) alongside cybersecurity frameworks to foster an ecosystem where talent-driven creativity (e.g., Mount Tai Cup competitions) and secure data flows coexist. Here, digital security is not a standalone requirement but a complementary condition that unlocks innovation’s full potential, illustrating the interdependence of the Wuli and Renli dimensions.
- Talent-supported WS-driven configuration (S3). This pathway centers on a Wuli (security)–Shili (application) core engine, complemented by peripheral Renli (talent/innovation) to form a closed “security–compliance–application–adoption–talent–adaptation” loop. For instance, Jiangsu ensures secure data environments through regulatory measures, activates cross-border trade and green finance applications via digital RMB pilots, and cultivates industry-compatible talent through the Digital Craftsman initiative. Unlike comprehensive WSR paths requiring balanced development across all dimensions, S3 demonstrates that moderate Renli endowments (talent/innovation) can catalytically amplify a strong security–application core, making it viable for regions with medium talent reserves to achieve productivity gains through scenario-driven innovation and regulatory compliance.
- Infrastructure-supported WS-driven configuration (S4). This pathway relies on a Wuli (security)–Shili (application) core, supported by peripheral Wuli (infrastructure) and Renli (innovation) to create an “infrastructure–foundation–security–escort–application–penetration” progression. For example, Anhui strengthens the foundation of digital infrastructure (consolidates digital infrastructure) through province-wide government cloud platforms, advances One-Network Governance applications under secure network environments, and stimulates digital technology adoption in cultural industries via regional innovation competitions. Unlike S3’s talent-focused supplementation, S4 leverages infrastructure scale effects, making it suitable for regions with nascent infrastructure but moderate talent resources to enhance productivity through secure, application-driven incremental improvements.
5.2. Implications
- For regions characterized by the application-oriented comprehensive WSR-driven configuration (S1) (e.g., Shanghai, Guangdong), efforts should focus on deepening the integration of digital application scenarios and talent cultivation. Building industry-level digital platforms (e.g., industrial Internet, smart city hubs) can accelerate technology translation, while refining “data elements × talent” collaboration mechanisms creates a closed-loop ecosystem of “infrastructure foundation–application implementation–talent value” conversion.
- Regions with potential for the innovation-oriented comprehensive WSR-driven configuration (S2) (e.g., Shandong, Zhejiang) need to synchronize upgrades to digital innovation ecosystems and security systems. Policymakers should adopt a portfolio of “innovation tolerance–security sandbox–achievement transformation”, strengthening R&D in frontier technologies such as blockchain and AI while constructing a hierarchical digital security governance framework to balance innovative vitality and systemic stability.
- Areas at the talent-assisted WS-driven configuration stage (S3) (e.g., Jiangsu, Hubei) must prioritize digital talent agglomeration, complemented by policies enabling secure data circulation and application empowerment. Initiatives such as establishing digital economy industrial parks and talent-specific funds can attract “technology management” composite talents, while breaking down institutional barriers to data sharing unleashes the multiplicative effect of data elements on productivity.
- Midwestern regions relying on the infrastructure-assisted WS-driven configuration (S4) (e.g., Anhui, Chongqing) should first consolidate their digital infrastructure foundation, focusing on new infrastructure such as 5G base stations and computing power centers. Simultaneously advancing digital security compliance systems and localized application innovation creates a pathway of “infrastructure gap-filling–security capacity-building–application scenario incubation” for leapfrog NQPF development.
5.3. Limitations and Prospects
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
NQPF | New quality productive forces |
WSR | Wuli–Shili–Renli (physics–methodology–humanity) |
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Condition Variable | Measurement | |
---|---|---|
Digital infrastructure | Calculated by averaging the infrastructure, digital resources, and policy environment indicators | Infrastructure: combines the New Infrastructure Competitiveness Index, the Yunqi Index, and the Rural Digital Infrastructure Index using weighted scores |
Digital resources: integrates the Data Circulation Index and the Open Data Index through weighted evaluation | ||
Policy environment: assessed using the Digital Policy Index | ||
Digital security | Assessed using the Cybersecurity Ecosystem Development Index | |
Digital application | Calculated by averaging the Digital Government, Digital Economy, and Digital Society indices | Digital government: weighted composite of the Online Government Service Capability, Rural Governance Digitalization, and Smart Environmental Protection indices |
Digital economy: weighted aggregation of the AI Industry Development, Big Data Industry Development, Digital Industry Electricity Consumption, Digital Economy Investor Confidence, Enterprise Digital Transformation, and Rural Economy Digitalization indices | ||
Digital society: weighted combination of the Digital Life, Digital Inclusive Finance, Social Dispute Search, and Rural Life Digitalization indices | ||
Digital talent | Weighted composite of the Digital Human Capital Index and the AI Developer Index | |
Digital innovation | Quantified using the Digital Patent Index |
Variables | Calibration | Descriptive Statistics | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Full Membership | Crossover | Full Non-Membership | Mean | Min | Max | SD | ||
Outcome variable | NQPF | 0.484 | 0.217 | 0.129 | 0.255 | 0.120 | 0.550 | 0.108 |
Condition variables | Digital infrastructure | 83.269 | 34.606 | 14.734 | 38.706 | 10.470 | 87.190 | 21.141 |
Digital security | 57.084 | 21.921 | 12.078 | 26.628 | 10.000 | 100.000 | 17.512 | |
Digital application | 76.617 | 38.164 | 19.573 | 42.595 | 14.980 | 92.480 | 17.881 | |
Digital talent | 85.253 | 29.386 | 11.706 | 35.974 | 10.000 | 100.000 | 22.241 | |
Digital innovation | 70.784 | 17.999 | 10.577 | 24.521 | 10.000 | 100.000 | 19.612 |
Condition Variable | Method | Accuracy | Effect Size (d) | p-Value 1 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Digital infrastructure | CR | 95.6% | 0.021 | 0.001 |
CE | 100% | 0.025 | 0.000 | |
Digital security | CR | 100% | 0.007 | 0.097 |
CE | 100% | 0.013 | 0.037 | |
Digital application | CR | 95.6% | 0.031 | 0.000 |
CE | 100% | 0.024 | 0.001 | |
Digital talent | CR | 91.1% | 0.122 | 0.000 |
CE | 100% | 0.024 | 0.006 | |
Digital innovation | CR | 100% | 0.008 | 0.028 |
CE | 100% | 0.017 | 0.007 |
Condition Variable | High NQPF Development | Non-High NQPF Development | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregated Consistency | Aggregated Coverage | Inter-Group Consistency Distance | Intra-Group Consistency Distance | Aggregated Consistency | Aggregated Coverage | Inter-Group Consistency Distance | Intra-Group Consistency Distance | |
Digital infrastructure | 0.791 | 0.854 | 0.099 | 0.362 | 0.461 | 0.522 | 0.241 | 0.506 |
~Digital infrastructure | 0.557 | 0.496 | 0.068 | 0.500 | 0.871 | 0.814 | 0.104 | 0.219 |
Digital security | 0.817 | 0.877 | 0.093 | 0.282 | 0.505 | 0.569 | 0.277 | 0.581 |
~Digital security | 0.599 | 0.536 | 0.041 | 0.443 | 0.891 | 0.836 | 0.074 | 0.155 |
Digital application | 0.854 | 0.853 | 0.085 | 0.299 | 0.511 | 0.536 | 0.233 | 0.489 |
~Digital application | 0.535 | 0.511 | 0.131 | 0.518 | 0.860 | 0.861 | 0.110 | 0.230 |
Digital talent | 0.818 | 0.859 | 0.159 | 0.305 | 0.507 | 0.559 | 0.162 | 0.339 |
~Digital talent | 0.579 | 0.529 | 0.214 | 0.472 | 0.872 | 0.834 | 0.148 | 0.311 |
Digital innovation | 0.788 | 0.902 | 0.107 | 0.316 | 0.462 | 0.555 | 0.457 | 0.960 |
~Digital innovation | 0.611 | 0.520 | 0.055 | 0.437 | 0.918 | 0.819 | 0.104 | 0.219 |
Cause-and-Effect Combinations | Year | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | |||
Situation 1 | Digital infrastructure and non-high NQPF development | Inter-group consistency | 0.554 | 0.494 | 0.331 | 0.483 |
Inter-group coverage | 0.542 | 0.509 | 0.491 | 0.539 | ||
Situation 2 | Digital security and non-high NQPF development | Inter-group consistency | 0.411 | 0.680 | 0.464 | 0.478 |
Inter-group coverage | 0.498 | 0.612 | 0.583 | 0.570 | ||
Situation 3 | Digital application and non-high NQPF development | Inter-group consistency | 0.666 | 0.482 | 0.455 | 0.458 |
Inter-group coverage | 0.567 | 0.531 | 0.525 | 0.515 | ||
Situation 4 | ~Digital talent and high NQPF development | Inter-group consistency | 0.676 | 0.629 | 0.549 | 0.441 |
Inter-group coverage | 0.569 | 0.583 | 0.460 | 0.484 | ||
Situation 5 | Digital innovation and non-high NQPF development | Inter-group consistency | 0.738 | 0.398 | 0.370 | 0.367 |
Inter-group coverage | 0.646 | 0.500 | 0.523 | 0.511 |
Condition Variable | High NQPF Development | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
S1 | S2 | S3 | S4 | |
Digital infrastructure | ⏺ | ⏺ | • | |
Digital security | • | ⏺ | ⏺ | |
Digital application | ⏺ | ⏺ | ⏺ | |
Digital talent | ⏺ | ⏺ | • | |
Digital innovation | ⏺ | • | • | |
Consistency | 0.946 | 0.976 | 0.964 | 0.978 |
Raw coverage | 0.705 | 0.643 | 0.677 | 0.655 |
Unique coverage | 0.067 | 0.005 | 0.040 | 0.018 |
Inter-group consistency distance | 0.047 | 0.027 | 0.038 | 0.027 |
Intra-group consistency distance | 0.138 | 0.098 | 0.109 | 0.092 |
Overall coverage | 0.767 | |||
Overall consistency | 0.938 |
Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | p-Value | 95% Confidence Interval | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lower bound | Upper bound | |||||
const | −0.0019 | 0.002 | −0.830 | 0.409 | −0.006 | 0.003 |
resid_lag | 0.0998 | 0.104 | 0.959 | 0.340 | −0.107 | 0.307 |
Configuration | SD | Statistics | p | Cohen’s f |
---|---|---|---|---|
Configuration S1 | 0.250 | 7.178 | 0.028 ** | 0.575 |
Configuration S2 | 0.266 | 8.426 | 0.015 ** | 0.640 |
Configuration S3 | 0.255 | 8.062 | 0.018 ** | 0.620 |
Configuration S4 | 0.260 | 8.868 | 0.012 ** | 0.664 |
Regional | S1 | S2 | S3 | S4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Eastern China | 0.774 | 0.745 | 0.705 | 0.734 |
Central China | 0.648 | 0.639 | 0.593 | 0.618 |
Western China | 0.477 | 0.400 | 0.387 | 0.387 |
Condition Variable | Non-High NQPF Development | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NS1 | NS2 | NS3 | NS4 | NS5 | NS6 | |
Digital infrastructure | ⊗ | ⊗ | • | ⊗ | ⊗ | |
Digital security | ᳁ | ᳁ | ᳁ | |||
Digital application | ⊗ | ⊗ | ⊗ | ⊗ | • | |
Digital talent | ᳁ | ᳁ | ᳁ | |||
Digital innovation | ⊗ | ⊗ | ⊗ | • | ⊗ | |
Consistency | 0.904 | 0.900 | 0.899 | 0.932 | 0.967 | 0.960 |
Raw coverage | 0.778 | 0.786 | 0.751 | 0.401 | 0.447 | 0.386 |
Unique coverage | 0.016 | 0.030 | 0.011 | 0.009 | 0.006 | 0.008 |
Inter-group consistency distance | 0.055 | 0.041 | 0.052 | 0.036 | 0.027 | 0.019 |
Intra-group consistency distance | 0.144 | 0.144 | 0.144 | 0.127 | 0.081 | 0.098 |
Overall coverage | 0.882 | |||||
Overall consistency | 0.871 |
Condition Variable | High NQPF Development Original Consistency Threshold = 0.80 | High NQPF Development Original Consistency Threshold = 0.85 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S1 | S2 | S3 | S4 | S1 | S2 | S3 | S4 | |
Digital infrastructure | ⏺ | ⏺ | • | ⏺ | ⏺ | • | ||
Digital security | • | ⏺ | ⏺ | • | ⏺ | ⏺ | ||
Digital application | ⏺ | ⏺ | ⏺ | ⏺ | ⏺ | ⏺ | ||
Digital talent | ⏺ | ⏺ | • | ⏺ | ⏺ | • | ||
Digital innovation | ⏺ | • | • | ⏺ | • | • | ||
Consistency | 0.946 | 0.976 | 0.964 | 0.978 | 0.946 | 0.976 | 0.964 | 0.978 |
Raw coverage | 0.705 | 0.643 | 0.677 | 0.655 | 0.705 | 0.643 | 0.677 | 0.655 |
Unique coverage | 0.067 | 0.005 | 0.040 | 0.018 | 0.067 | 0.005 | 0.040 | 0.018 |
Inter-group consistency distance | 0.047 | 0.027 | 0.038 | 0.027 | 0.047 | 0.027 | 0.038 | 0.027 |
Intra-group consistency distance | 0.138 | 0.098 | 0.109 | 0.092 | 0.138 | 0.098 | 0.109 | 0.092 |
Overall coverage | 0.767 | 0.767 | ||||||
Overall consistency | 0.938 | 0.938 |
Condition Variable | High NQPF Development PRI Threshold = 0.60 | High NQPF Development PRI Threshold = 0.65 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S1 | S2 | S3 | S4 | S1 | S2 | S3 | S4 | |
Digital infrastructure | ⏺ | ⏺ | • | ⏺ | ⏺ | • | ||
Digital security | • | ⏺ | ⏺ | • | ⏺ | ⏺ | ||
Digital application | ⏺ | ⏺ | ⏺ | ⏺ | ⏺ | ⏺ | ||
Digital talent | ⏺ | ⏺ | • | ⏺ | ⏺ | • | ||
Digital innovation | ⏺ | • | • | ⏺ | • | • | ||
Consistency | 0.946 | 0.976 | 0.964 | 0.978 | 0.946 | 0.976 | 0.964 | 0.978 |
Raw coverage | 0.705 | 0.643 | 0.677 | 0.655 | 0.705 | 0.643 | 0.677 | 0.655 |
Unique coverage | 0.067 | 0.005 | 0.040 | 0.018 | 0.067 | 0.005 | 0.040 | 0.018 |
Inter-group consistency distance | 0.047 | 0.027 | 0.038 | 0.027 | 0.047 | 0.027 | 0.038 | 0.027 |
Intra-group consistency distance | 0.138 | 0.098 | 0.109 | 0.092 | 0.138 | 0.098 | 0.109 | 0.092 |
Overall coverage | 0.767 | 0.767 | ||||||
Overall consistency | 0.938 | 0.938 |
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Li, Y.; Zhang, T. How Does the Digital Ecosystem Foster New Quality Productive Forces? A Dynamic QCA of Sustainable Development Pathways in China. Sustainability 2025, 17, 4935. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17114935
Li Y, Zhang T. How Does the Digital Ecosystem Foster New Quality Productive Forces? A Dynamic QCA of Sustainable Development Pathways in China. Sustainability. 2025; 17(11):4935. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17114935
Chicago/Turabian StyleLi, Yanhua, and Tingyu Zhang. 2025. "How Does the Digital Ecosystem Foster New Quality Productive Forces? A Dynamic QCA of Sustainable Development Pathways in China" Sustainability 17, no. 11: 4935. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17114935
APA StyleLi, Y., & Zhang, T. (2025). How Does the Digital Ecosystem Foster New Quality Productive Forces? A Dynamic QCA of Sustainable Development Pathways in China. Sustainability, 17(11), 4935. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17114935