1. Introduction
Natural disasters, pandemics, or epidemics can disrupt numerous industries, including tourism, thereby affecting travelers’ plans. Tourists can be affected by pandemics, earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, floods, and pandemics, all of which possess the potential to disrupt the tourism sector [
1]. The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on economic, health, and environmental aspects, as well as social and cultural dimensions in education and tourism [
2]. Due to COVID-19, international visitor arrivals were anticipated to decline by 78%, resulting in an estimated loss of income amounting to USD 1.2 trillion. Additionally, approximately 120 million workers lost their jobs [
3]. Fear, in proportion to anxiety, increases protective motivation and coping mechanisms during public health crises [
4]. The global tourism sector needs to be aware of travelers’ preferences, actions, and interests [
5]. The tourism sector, like many other service sectors, is intangible [
6]. The experience has limitations, hazards, and dangers (i.e., terrorism, political turmoil, epidemic diseases, psychological trauma, less information, and language barriers). This inherent openness and vulnerability entail the risk of undermining the intended effect [
7]. Unlike real experiences, tourists make decisions based on their preconceived notions about a destination [
8]. Tourist destinations compete by offering what people perceive as valuable [
9]. The image of a destination is meant to represent what it is really like. This image includes different ways people think, feel, and act towards the place. Moreover, emotional and cognitive destination images together create a complete understanding of the location [
10].
Another important component in making travel decisions is how people see risks [
11]. Natural dangers (such as pandemic diseases and natural disasters) have made tourists more concerned about safety. Natural disasters and epidemic diseases like COVID-19 could make people more scared and restrict the flow of international tourists [
12]. Terrorism, political troubles, social issues, economic crisis, and health concerns are all factors that travelers consider when making travel decisions [
12]. When making travel decisions, it is important to consider travel constraints in addition to destination perception and risk perception. Perceived restrictions are things that impede you from engaging in a specific behavior [
13]. Constraints are more than just obstructions; they can also bring advantages and possibilities [
14]. Studies about tourism include both positive and negative images of locations. A positive destination image can be utilized to mitigate perceived risks and constraints. The existing literature has shown that tourists go back to the places despite perceived threats and difficulties [
15].
Many international tourists arrived from China, ranking Thailand tenth on the list of countries tourists visited [
16]. Thailand had a record number of visitors in 2019, reaching 40 million. Their total spending was divided into lodging (28%), shopping (24%), food and drinks (24%), and then shopping again (24%). Thai tourism generated 36 million jobs between 2014 and 2019 [
16]. However, international travel drastically decreased due to COVID-19 vaccination requirements. Travel to Thailand from other countries decreased by 95% in September 2021, with hotel occupancy at only 9%. Furthermore, the pandemic amplified tourists’ concerns about health risks, transforming safety from a peripheral consideration to a central determinant of travel decisions [
17]. The pandemic changed the landscape of destination competitiveness in that now perceptions of safety became part of destination branding. Travelers’ post-COVID-19 take into account many perceptions that they did not before the pandemic; however, safety perceptions will become valiant competitors to cost and convenience when planning travel [
18]. In an effort to attract foreign visitors, Thailand introduced the “Phuket Sandbox” program in July 2021. Passengers who received essential vaccines and stayed in Phuket for 14 days were exempt from quarantine before traveling to other regions of Thailand. Tourists, in the post-pandemic era, have also appropriately begun to gravitate towards destinations that implement transparent biosecurity policies, such as Thailand’s ‘SHA Plus’ certificate. The SHA Plus certificate indicates compliance with international health standards, therefore signaling trust for tourists [
19]. These changes highlight the perceived notion of safety being crucial to gaining trust back for travelers during the post-pandemic era, especially for tourism destinations like Thailand that primarily focus on international tourism [
16].
Thus, the current study was designed to examine international tourists’ perceptions of safety and their future intentions to revisit Thailand. Moreover, the destination’s image is used as a moderating variable, and perceived constraint is used as a mediating variable (
Figure 1).
This research seeks to understand how international tourists’ perceptions of safety in Thailand influence their intent to revisit Thailand after the COVID-19 pandemic. It narrows the goal of the research to address a gap in the tourism literature, which is to understand not only the direct effect safety perceptions have on behavioral intentions, but how safety perceptions are involved with two factors: the image of Thailand as a destination (which will contribute to either positive or negative perceptions of safety) and perceived constraints (which are misperceptions such as financial constraints, health constraints, etc., that could inhibit a travel plan). The context of the study is based in Thailand, a country where tourism contributed 20% of GDP and which saw a 95% decrease in international tourists during the pandemic, thereby reinforcing the study findings with a purpose in a world needing to restart the tourism economy sustainably. This study uses the Theory of Reasoned Action to explain how tourists’ attitudes and subjective norms (such as what a tourist sees as the social expectation regarding their safety when they travel) converge and can alter behavioral intentions.
This study presents several important contributions to tourism and behavioral research, especially as we shift into post-pandemic recovery: The research introduces a multi-faceted framework that examines perceived safety, the destination’s image, and perceived constraints together (simultaneously), whereas other studies have examined these factors separately. The model reflects the dynamic ways these variables interact to create travel intentions. The study uses the TRA and creates an entirely new version based on the fact that we all recently experienced a global health crisis. This paper also builds on the TRA by including the pandemic while leveraging a previously established model. This novel addition extends the TRA (which the original authors of the TRA could not have possibly imagined) and explains how crises change the way we weigh safety and risk in our decision making. This adaptation also provides a guide for how to adopt traditional theories in untraditional contexts. Furthermore, by using partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) as a new approach to analyzing complex relationships (in our study mediation and moderation), this study shows methodological creativity.
4. Results of the Study
Table 1 presents the descriptive statistics of the study participants. The total sample comprised 219 tourists, with males representing 66% and females comprising 33%. The mean age of the participants was 42 years. The majority of tourists visited Thailand either with friends (58%) or family (42%), and a significant proportion of them were married. Additionally, the majority of respondents (63.4%) indicated that they stayed in Thailand for six to ten days. Similarly, 57.9% of visitors to Thailand were first-time visitors.
The AVE and CR values are shown in
Table 2. Using Smart PLS 3.2.6, the measurement model for this investigation was evaluated. The measurement model was assessed for its individual item reliability, internal consistency reliability, convergent validity, and discriminant validity. The loading factor for all constructions was product dependability [
57]. Each model component’s item dependability was unique. Components with dependability ratings above 0.30 must be kept in the model (Hair et al., 2019 [
57]). If removing an item increased AVE or CR, it must be removed [
58]. While eliminating items had no influence on AVE or CR during this test, none were deleted. Composite reliability was used to determine internal consistency reliability (CR). Each component determined a model’s concept similarity [
57]. Internal consistency and dependability were evaluated using Cronbach’s alpha and CR. The prevalence of CR in evaluating internal consistency was reliable. According to [
57], the CR value must exceed 0.70. The CR in this study was greater than anticipated. In our investigation, AVE was utilized to determine convergent validity. Thus, AVE must be more than 0.50 to evaluate convergent validity.
Discriminant validity is a measure of how different one construct is from others. In this study, the discriminant validity was checked in three ways. The Fornell–Larcker criterion was then used to judge the discriminant validity [
59]. Cross-loadings can also be used to test a model’s ability to distinguish between groups. Each structure must be worth more than the weight it shares with other structures. Lastly, the heterotrait–monotrait ratio (HTMT) can be used to measure a test’s ability to distinguish between groups of people [
60]. The HTMT ratio is a correlation between two variables that can tell them apart. So,
Table 3 shows the Fornell–Larcker criteria, and
Table 3 displays correlations of the latent variables, including future behavioral intentions, perceived constraints, perceived safety, and the destination’s image. Future behavioral intentions demonstrate a correlation of 0.717 with perceived constraints and 0.707 with perceived safety. Additionally, future behavioral intentions demonstrate a strong correlation with the destination’s image, at a correlation of 0.81. Perceived constraints demonstrate a correlation of 0.698 with perceived safety and a correlation of 0.734 with the destination’s image. Perceived safety and the destination’s image are correlated moderately at a value of 0.762. The relationship between perceived safety and perceived constraints has the highest correlation with a value of 0.841.
Table 4 shows the cross-loadings, and
Table 5 shows the HTMT ratio.
In
Table 6, we checked the significance of the study variables from the values of beta,
t-value, and
p-values. The results revealed that perceived safety has a positive association with future behavioral intentions (β = 0.210;
t = 4.530;
p < 0.000), which means that perceived safety has a significant effect on tourists’ future behavioral intentions. Moreover, the destination’s image positively moderates the relationship between perceived safety and future behavioral intentions (β = 0.197;
t = 4.475;
p < 0.000). Furthermore, in the current study, perceived constraint negatively mediates the relationship between perceived safety and future behavioral intentions (β = −0.146;
t = 2.016;
p < 0.044).
Table 7 presents the gender differences across variables. Regarding perceived safety (TPS), there was no evidence of difference between males (mean = 4.46) and females (mean = 4.48), with
t = −0.26;
p = 0.79. In the case of constraints (TPC), there was a difference where females (mean = 3.87) identified greater constraints in comparison to males (mean = 3.51), with
t = −4.85;
p = 0.00. No gender difference was found for the destination’s image (DI) variable (males = 4.52, females = 4.55;
t = −0.30;
p = 0.77). Similarly, future behavioral intention (FBI) did not present a significant difference, with males (mean = 4.69) having a slightly higher score than females (mean = 4.66) with
t = 0.43;
p = 0.67. Therefore, the analysis suggests that gender had little to no bearing on the perceived safety, destination’s image, or future intention to travel. However, gender difference did exist in perceived constraints, with females reporting greater constraints than males. Thus, both genders may have similar perceptions of safety or the destination’s image; however, females may be more likely to face and feel far more hindered by constraints when thinking about travel.
5. Discussion
This study examines the factors that impact visitors’ decisions to travel to Thailand following the pandemic outbreak. The construct from the Theory of Reasoned Action influenced travel decisions. This study should be read by all government authorities, tourist industry experts, and other interested parties in order to recognize the behavior and desire to visit a place following a pandemic and plan accordingly. According to specialists, the research paradigm provided in this study may offer new light on the empirical growth of the tourism industry in the aftermath of the pandemic.
The study examined the relationship between perceived safety and tourists’ future behavioral intentions to visit Thailand again, and our study result confirms that tourists perceive safety when visiting Thailand after the pandemic. This study found that this crucial issue no longer has a substantial impact on people’s travel intentions. Numerous important factors contribute to this trend. One probable explanation is that the novel COVID-19 Omicron variations exhibit much lower mortality rates than the original strains [
61]. It is worth noting that booster dosage policies, as well as the high immunization coverage percentage, have been successfully implemented [
62]. This trend of greater confidence among travelers is consistent with the research of [
63], who observed that people were more willing to travel upon becoming able to travel again following prolonged social isolation and restriction on mobility, despite their concerns regarding the virus. This shows that some of the public’s initial concerns when the pandemic began have evolved over time into more positive behavioral intentions, through factors such as access to vaccines and the perception of lower infection risk [
63]. This is consistent with more recent research conducted by [
64], which revealed that the trends of a higher level of vaccination and a better understanding of the virus acted as key factors alleviating travel anxieties and positively influencing travel intentions during the pandemic. Ref. [
64] also pointed to a psychological shift in travelers from fear to safety because of successful interventions by governments such as health protocols and travel actions, which increased the confidence of travelers.
Moreover, the destination’s image positively moderates the relationship between perceived safety and future behavioral intentions. The findings of this study corroborate those of earlier research. The study findings indicated that the intention to return to a place was significantly and favorably influenced by the destination’s image [
65]. Ref. [
66] indicated that the COVID-19 pandemic has sensitized travelers to a destination’s image, especially with regards to hygiene and the perceived likelihood of transmission of infection. They conclude that destinations that retain a positive health-related image will welcome more tourists when travel resumes. In addition, ref. [
67] found that destinations that market their safety pledge and recovery from the pandemic will outperform others in terms of tourist arrivals. Our study contributes to the literature by demonstrating that the image of Thailand as a safe and well-managed destination continues to raise positive behavioral intentions toward potential tourists, even though safety considerations have diminished over time.
Furthermore, perceived constraints negatively mediate the relationship between perceived safety and future behavioral intentions. Previous research [
68,
69] has shown that since perceived constraints have a negative impact on behavioral intentions and destination images, repeat visitors may benefit from lower travel costs. Destination management companies should focus on marketing efforts to attract attention. Destination managers should work on improving infrastructure, the environment, food, and safety. Flights, family holidays, and motels should all be considered as alternatives to mitigate tourist risk.
In our study, we examined gender differences on the scale of study variables. The study’s results on gender differences (
Table 7) demonstrate only significant differences in male and female tourists’ constraints. Males represented 66.2% of the study sample (219 in total), more than females at 33.8%. The analysis suggests no difference between male and female perceived safety in Thailand, destination image, or future intention to travel. However, a gender difference did exist in perceived constraints, with females reporting greater constraints than males; females feel far more hindered by constraints when thinking about travel. The gender differences in the current study are in line with earlier research that found that males are usually more confident and perceive lower risks than females [
70]. Similarly, ref. [
71], found that female travelers expressed heightened levels of concern about health and safety risks during the pandemic—which may explain why females in the study expressed greater concerns about perceived constraints (e.g., health constraints and financial constraints) mediating their travel intentions. These constraints did negatively mediate their intention to revisit Thailand, consistent with the findings of [
47], which indicated that more Malaysian female tourists have delayed travel intentions because of fears and anxiety during the pandemic.
5.1. Conclusions
In conclusion, this study has indicated the substantial influence of perceived safety on tourists’ intentions to revisit Thailand after COVID-19, with a significant positive relationship noted. The findings have also indicated the importance of a robust destination image, as it enhanced this relationship to a strong positive association, which was moderated by the perceived limitations that tourists face. Overall, both male and female tourists have had positive experiences while visiting Thailand post pandemic, with no significant differences between men and women. On the scale of perceived constraint, females show higher scores. The implications for destination management are insightful in that promoting perceived safety and a positive destination image will cultivate loyal visitors who wish to return to Thailand and will contribute to further tourism and visitation.
5.2. Practical Implications for Tourist Management Organizations
According to the survey, travelers have a positive view of Thailand’s safety, but some potential visitors are concerned.
We provide advice to tourism management organizations regarding tourists’ impressions of safety, a destination’s image, and future intentions. The study examined how tourists’ perceptions of tourism safety influence the image of a destination, which in return affects tourists’ enjoyment, future intentions, and tendency make recommendations. In order to enhance tourist pleasure and loyalty, tourist management organizations should focus on managing variables related to tourists’ perceptions of safety, especially in cases of tourism services with lower safety levels. Advertising and promotional efforts for a location should be targeted towards tourists who have a negative perception of the destination’s safety. Providing timely and accurate tourism information, as well as raising awareness about the destination’s safety, are crucial steps. Understanding how tourists evaluate places in terms of perceived constraints and the destination’s image is essential. As a result, destination marketers can increase market share and visitor loyalty by addressing negative perceptions and nurturing positive ones.
Second, the study found that the majority of visitors held a more positive perception of safety and the destination’s image. Thailand provides travelers with a safe and enjoyable experience, thus avoiding the discrepancies between its positive image and actual experience [
72]. In order to enhance Thailand’s safety and tourism appeal, tourism management organizations should work on promoting the destination’s image. Tourists should analyze and provide feedback to identify and rectify any flaws in order to improve the destination’s reputation. Additionally, tourism is susceptible to natural disasters, accidents, public health, social security, and other security-related matters [
72]. A safety-related incident could severely damage a tourist destination’s long-standing reputation. Hence, tourist management organizations should proactively address these issues during destination image development, making a concerted effort to monitor and manage detrimental tourist perception. Addressing tourism safety issues should be incorporated into destination management systems and marketing plans, including crisis management strategies.
Familiarization tours, cultural events, and activities can encourage travelers. In order to improve the destination’s reputation, officials and destination management must work to reduce the perception of political danger.
5.3. Limitations of the Study
This research has some limitations. Firstly, constructing causal conclusions may not be feasible in cross-sectional research. Future studies should utilize longitudinal data to gain a deeper understanding of change over time and establish causality among the examined constructs. Secondly, the study did not evaluate how age and experience influence perceived constraints and destination images. Research indicates that images and perceived constraints can differ based on tourist demographics. Additionally, future research should examine how visitor demographics influence the link between perceived constraints, images, and behavioral intentions.