1. Introduction
Anthropogenic activities such as economic growth, globalization, and the proliferation of industrial sectors have altered the Earth’s ecosystems [
1]. Since the advent of the Industrial Revolution, the unprecedented increase in carbon emissions (often termed as “great acceleration”) coupled with radioactive elements (product of nuclear proliferation) have changed the planet Earth’s mantle, crust, and atmosphere in a way that would be witnessed by generations to come, even after millions of years [
2]. Some environmental economists have even declared this era the “Anthropocene Epoch”, where human activities have had an irreversible impact on climate, ecosystems, soil, water, atmosphere, biodiversity, acidification of oceans, and natural habitats [
2,
3]. Scientists have pronounced anthropogenic activities as the primary underlying reason for this environmental fiasco [
4]. The environmental perils have overshadowed most macroeconomic challenges; however, researchers have not construed or developed a comprehensive mechanism to prevent ecological decay.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (2022) (
https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/hazards/sealevelrise/sealevelrise-tech-report.html, (accessed on 4 May 2022)) reported that the global surface temperature has increased by 2 degrees Celsius, and the global sea level has risen by about 160 to 210 mm (6 to 8 inches) over the past century. According to the United Nations (2020) (
https://www.climatecentre.org/450/un-climate-related-disasters-increase-more-than-80-over-last-four-decades/#:~:text=Crescent%20Climate%20Centre-,UN%3A%20Climate%2Drelated%20disasters%20increase%20more%20than,80%25%20over%20last%20four%20decades&text=Extreme%2Dweather%20events%20have%20increased,for%20Disaster%20Risk%20Reduction%20today, (accessed on 19 December 2022)), the Earth has witnessed an 80% increase in climate-induced disasters, causing catastrophic effects on ecosystems, natural habitats, coastal communities, supply chains, and economies. Conceding that, the United Nations has also declared this decade (2021–2030) a “Decade of Ecosystem Restoration”. Additionally, the Global Footprint Network (2023) (
https://www.footprintnetwork.org/one-planet-prosperity/#:~:text=Human%20demand%20,(%E2%80%9CEcological%20Footprint%E2%80%9C,on%20August%202%20in%202023 (accessed on 11 July 2023)) emphasizes that anthropogenic activities have been consuming ecological resources at a rate that exceeds the Earth’s regenerative capacity, leading to ecological bankruptcy (
Figure 1).
Amidst rampant environmental decay, the signatories of the Paris Agreement (2015) have pledged to retain the rise in temperature around 1.5 to 2 degrees Celsius by 2030 and attain carbon neutrality by 2050 [
4,
5]. Against this backdrop, developed and less developed countries have been striving to devise efficient, comprehensive, and feasible measures to control their greenhouse gas (GHG) emanations. However, despite mitigation efforts, ecological footprints and biocapacity increased by 1.5 percent and 0.4 percent, respectively, in 2022 [
6]. The ecological deficit has been consistently worsening since the 1970s (
Figure 2).
Owing to this orientation, researchers have proposed and empirically tested several aspects of environmental restoration to stipulate evidence-based suggestions to policymakers. However, no study has examined the integrated effect of financial development, human capital, democracy, information and communication technology (ICT), and Industry 5.0 on environmental restoration. This highlights the need for comprehensive research and action to conserve and protect ecological resources for present and future generations.
Startlingly, the Quintuple Helix Model (QHM) of innovation can potentially cater to environmental menaces. It brings all interdisciplinary stakeholders under one canopy. The QHM is the constituent of five helices: (i) academia, (ii) government, (iii) industry, (iv) media, and (v) natural environment [
7,
8]. The QHM initially perceived the environment as a binding and motivating factor for all stakeholders to drive innovation and become a knowledge economy. However, all stakeholders pursued their respective vested interests and failed to achieve the end goal—eco-innovation [
9]. In addition, the QHM is a qualitative framework that looks good in theory but has practical implementation issues. In this study, we propose transforming the qualitative QHM into a quantitative stochastic model that is comprehensive, effective, and suitable for empirical hypothesis testing. To achieve this, we sought guidance from the “Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology” (STIRPAT) model [
10]. The postulated environmental restoration model is named the “Anthropomorphized Stochastic Quintuple Helix Model” (ASQHM). This novel approach can provide valuable insights into how these variables interact and project their impact on the environment. The stakeholders of ASQHM can potentially crack the environmental restoration code by diminishing the propensity of green greenhouse gas emissions and ecological footprints.
In this study, human capital is a metaphor for academia—the “first helix of ASQHM”. In this proposed model, human capital thinks and acts rationally and conducts advanced research to restore the environment. According to the World Economic Forum (2017), human capital is indispensable for environmental restoration as it can potentially counter the destructive impact of economic growth on the environment [
11,
12]. Countries can develop and implement eco-innovation, clean energy, and energy-efficient technologies provided they have human capital [
12,
13]. Human capital supports eco-friendly habits such as e-reading, e-communication, e-commerce, e-banking, and virtual meetings. These habits significantly reduce paper use, travel costs, energy consumption, commute time, and subsequent GHG emissions [
13]. Conversely, considering economic growth and a clean environment mutually exclusive, emerging countries often prioritize economic development over environmental sustainability; consequently, human capital is found to exacerbate environmental degradation [
14,
15,
16]. The QHM defines human capital as a driving force for research and development and eco-innovation [
7,
8]; nevertheless, not a single study has estimated the QHM empirically.
The democratic form of government constitutes the “second helix/stakeholder of ASQHM”. The government is hypothesized to devise pro-environmental policies and regulate markets for compliant products and technologies. The literature exhibits that democracy can promote economic growth, investment, and entrepreneurship; optimize resource use; and indirectly abet environmental mitigation efforts [
17]. Ideally, democracy endorses civic liberty [
18] where the public propagates environmental and ecological concerns and asks for compliance policies [
19,
20,
21]. Since democratic governments are more responsive to public demands, they abide by international environmental pacts and pledges more vigorously [
22,
23]. However, in selected OECD nations, democracy does not perform in favor of the environment [
24]. Democratic governments are observed to have implemented environmental policies, but institutional frameworks and corruption tend to hinder climate mitigation endeavors [
25]. In developing countries, political and institutional systems and people have been victims of inertia and follow the status quo; however, it is time to change this attitude. On the other hand, the literature argues that democracies neglect the upcoming generations and are biased toward existing ones. This leads to a lack of long-term ecological solutions. Owing to these discrepancies, there is a dire need to ascertain the role of democracy in keeping the upsurging trend of ecological footprints on track, which is the subject of this paper.
Industry 5.0 is the “third helix” of ASQHM. In this proposed model, the industry will abide by environmentally compliant rules and regulations, implement green technology, and substitute a significant portion of its fossil fuel-ridden energy mix with renewable energy. The use of energy burgeons industrial activity in an economy [
26]; on the flip side, it contaminates soil, water, and air quality and hence often leaves irreversible ecological impressions [
27]. It is evident from the literature that the first industrial revolution fueled by nonrenewable energy has led to the onset of environmental devastation [
28,
29]. The recently emerged Fifth Industrial Revolution/Industry 5.0 is focused on addressing environmental challenges and implementing practical measures to achieve sustainable economic growth and a sustainable environment simultaneously. Embracing Industry 5.0 involves promoting green technology and using renewable energy sources, which helps to reduce carbon emissions [
30]. Therefore, it is also likely to fulfill sustainable development goals/SDG 7 (affordable and clean energy), SDG 9 (industry, innovation, and infrastructure), SDG 12 (responsible consumption and production), and SDG 13 (climate action) [
31]. It can also sustain a firm’s competitive edge without compromising environmental quality [
32]. In developed economies, Industry 5.0 tends to accelerate technological competitiveness for they have apt education, advanced skill sets, trained personnel, digitization, and contemporary eco-friendly organizational strategies [
31,
33]. Industry 5.0 is also envisioned to aid in the urban development process, such as smart cities [
34], through robotics and artificial intelligence [
35]. The literature projects Industry 5.0 as environmentally friendly and human-friendly [
36]; however, its direct impact on EFs is nevertheless unknown and calls for an investigation. There is no variable to quantify the impact of Industry 5.0 on the environment; therefore, empirical research on the said relationship is nonexistent. This study aims to fill this gap by forming and computing the Industry 5.0 variable.
Media represents the “fourth helix of ASQHM”. Media can potentially create environmental awareness. It has been proxied as information and communication technology (ICT), which can help improve communication among stakeholders [
37,
38], as it is the primary technology for communication, acquiring knowledge, conducting research, and making informed pro-environmental decisions [
39,
40]. Moreover, ICT is found to have pragmatically disseminated information and propagated awareness in the masses regarding every societal issue and economic problem, including environmental challenges [
13,
41]. However, the literature lacks pertinent research. Therefore, this study aims to inquire about the impact of ICT on environmental restoration, particularly within the ASQHM framework.
The most controversial “fifth helix” is the environment variable, which explicitly steers the novelty of this study. The transformation of qualitative QHM into a stochastic model implies the reshuffling of the environment variable to the left-hand side of the equation, whereas the vacant fifth helix on the right-hand side is constituted by introducing the astringently neglected, yet most indispensable, aspect of environmental research—human behavior. In the novel ASQHM, professionals and the general masses ought to practice pro-environmental behavior at home to sustain the efforts of the first four helices/stakeholders. Anthropogenic activities are the major contributor to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions followed by natural instances [
1]. Ironically, in the wake of scant behavioral data, the impact of human behavior on environmental decay is underexplored [
42]. The rationale of human behavior and the decision-making process is quite challenging to estimate [
43]. Additionally, behavioral anomalies such as the commons dilemma and free-rider problem are difficult to modify since these are deeply engraved and imprinted in social norms [
44]. However, free and open access to and the overexploitation of natural resources is navigating toward ecological bankruptcy [
45]. Therefore, this study aims to incorporate human behavior in the empirical ASQHM to emphasize its importance in environmental restoration.
Financial development is imperative for an economy as it augments economic growth, finances research and development, spurs investment, encourages savings, and ensures access to credit [
46,
47]. Financial development is said to partake in environmental restoration by increasing individuals’ and companies’ clean energy adoption capacities, assisting the proliferation of energy-efficient technologies, and consequently reducing CO
2 emissions [
48,
49,
50]. Conversely, financial development boosts environmentally detrimental economic activities such as industrialization, transportation, energy consumption, infrastructure development, and overall production and consumption [
47,
51]. Therefore, following the aftermath of unhinged economic growth accompanied by excessive GHG emissions, research often deems financial development a precursor of environmental decay. However, the literature on the subject variable lacks consensus [
46,
47] and calls for further investigation. Despite these nuances, financial development is hypothesized as indispensable to finance and assist the environmental restoration process within the ASQHM.
As this is the decade (2021–2030) of ecosystem restoration, there is a dire need to construe a comprehensive framework to levitate environmental restoration. Several studies have empirically estimated the individual impacts of human capital, democracy, industry, human behavior, and financial development, but little is known about their composite bearing. However, the QHM has reckoned all of these variables crucial for eco-innovation. Therefore, this study proposes the Anthropomorphized Stochastic Quintuple Helix Model (ASQHM) to impart valuable insights into the comparative demeanor of subject stakeholders in developed countries (DCs) and less developed countries (LDCs). This research aims to find whether the hybrid ASQHM framework alongside financial development—being a facilitator and financer—will work in DCs and LDCs or not. Owing to cross-country income discrepancies, the study hypothesizes that this model efficaciously partakes in DCs’ environmental restoration process but partially assists in this process in LDCs.
Section 2 reviews the literature on financial development and the constituents of QHM.
Section 3 postulates the theoretical framework of the study. The materials and methods to undertake empirical estimation are illustrated in
Section 4, and the results are interpreted in
Section 5. A thorough discussion of results, conclusions, and policy implications is presented in
Section 6.
6. Conclusions and Policy Implications
Heedless anthropogenic activities have resulted in unprecedented ecological footprints (EFs). To achieve incessant economic growth, countries have been overexploiting natural resources beyond the regenerative capacity of the Earth. As a result, the annual ecological budget is depleted by July, and then resources that belong to future generations begin to be exploited, leading to ecological bankruptcy. However, the existing studies have not developed a comprehensive framework of resource conservation to anchor a sustainable environment. Remarkably, the Quintuple Helix Model (QHM) of innovation can offer a perfect blend of multidimensional stakeholders/variables that has the potential to restore the environment, but this qualitative framework is highly underexplored. Conceding that, this study transforms and improves the archaic QHM, which consists of five helices—academia, government, industry, media, and the environment. The postulated Anthropomorphized Stochastic Quintuple Helix Model (ASQHM) is a multifaceted yet hybrid framework that qualifies for empirical regression analysis and falsification tests. For empirical testing, the qualitative QHM is first introduced with the sign of equality. Then, the fifth helix (environment) is moved to the left-hand side of the equation, and pro-environmental human behavior fills the vacant position. The novel ASQHM hypothesizes that environmental restoration is contingent upon and a function of five helices, namely (i) human capital/academia, (ii) democracy/government, (iii) Industry 5.0, (iv) ICT/media, and (v) pro-environmental human behavior. This is the first study that brings potential stakeholders under a canopy to attest to their cumulative environmental impression and stipulate evidence-based subject measures.
To fill the gaps in the literature, the composite democracy, Industry 5.0, and pro-environmental human behavior variables were formed by employing PCA. The model was estimated using Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) for developed countries (DCs) and less developed countries (LDCs) for the period 1995–2022. All variables are statistically significant, confirming that the constituent stakeholders of ASQHM are crucial determinants of environmental restoration in both panels. The GMM results reveal that the first four helices—human capital, democracy, Industry 5.0, and media—significantly diminish ecological footprints (EFs) in DCs and restore the environment, hence performing their hypothesized role. However, the fifth helix—pro-environmental human behavior—is found to increase EFs. Masses in DCs are less connected, more secular, and rightfully lack confidence in governments because they are found to prioritize economic growth over a green environment. Among all stakeholders, democracy projects the highest effect on environmental restoration, followed by Industry 5.0, human capital, and ICT. This implies that democratic governments are in charge of green macroeconomic policy. Similarly, environmental quality can be improved if the conventional industrial sector adopts renewable energy and eco-innovation to transition to Industry 5.0 alongside human capital. However, the positive coefficients of financial development and PEHB indicate that governments and the masses in DCs do not prioritize eco-friendly measures. In DCs, individuals do not practice their intrinsic cognitive behavior at home (when they are outside of a professional setting or not under observation). The hybrid ASQHM seems to work in DCs except for the fifth helix (PEHB).
However, in less developed countries (LDCs), human capital is found to have exacerbated EFs because they are not at par with DCs’ human capital, lack resources to conduct research, innovate green technology, and do not fulfill their expected role within the ASQHM. Nevertheless, the rest of the helices—democracy, Industry 5.0, ICT, and pro-environmental human behavior (PEHB)—serve as significant catalysts for environmental restoration. The fifth helix, PEHB, considerably contributes to environmental restoration because communities are knitted and have greater social trust and religiosity; as a result, they value the environment. In LDCs, the population is naïve, leading them to trust incumbent governments and international environmental organizations with their pro-environmental commitments. However, financial development has the propensity to assist eco-friendly policies and make green alternatives accessible. In LDCs’ model, the coefficient of PEHB is highest in magnitude, followed by democracy, Industry, and ICT, indicating their relative importance in the practical implementation of ASQHM. The stakeholders/helices of the postulated hybrid ASQHM can levitate eco-innovation and restore the environment in LDCs, barring the first helix (human capital).
However, as for policy implications, following the Conference of Parties (COP 28) requisites, the incumbent governments must devote a specific financial budget for environmental restoration measures. Both income groups should prioritize renewable resource-based energy mix and green technology in the production, transportation, and smart city sectors. The government should enforce Intellectual Property Rights and price ceilings, raise awareness, and regulate markets to create an equilibrium between the supply of and demand for advanced pro-environmental products. Furthermore, there is a need to create environmentally friendly jobs and research opportunities to effectively utilize human capital. Both panels should elect democratic governments, for they adhere to eco-friendly policies. DCs should help LDCs adopt Industry 5.0 based on renewable energy and eco-friendly technological innovations via profound R&D, the dissemination of information, joint ventures, and technical support. Additionally, these countries should promote media to enlighten the public about environmental dangers, the importance of the natural environment, and resource conservation. Governments should ensure access to ICT for the masses to save energy, time, and resources, and to make informed eco-friendly decisions.
Individuals need continuous nudging and positive reinforcements to exercise pro-environmental behavior, including incentives, tax exemptions, and economical eco-friendly alternatives to curb the exponentially growing EFs. Similarly, incentives for research, public–private partnerships (PPPs), the subsidized dissemination of technology, and the diffusion of clean energy can promote eco-innovation. Lastly, DCs should envision and ensure environmentally compliant financial services and disburse discounted credit to environmentally conscious firms. However, LDCs need to improve the efficiency and depth of, as well as access to, financial markets and institutions. This can ensure easy access to credit and overall financial services for extending auxiliary to governments and the masses’ pro-environmental interventions.
In a nutshell, the ASQHM along with financial development can restore the environmental quality in both panels. It has the potential to unite all stakeholders, and the absence of any stakeholder will compromise the said process. This comprehensive framework offers unparalleled insights into the complex dynamics of human capital, democracy, Industry 5.0, ICT, and PEHB for eco-innovation-backed environmental restoration. Furthermore, future research can validate these findings by employing different proxies of helices in cross-sectional, time series, and panel data studies to project their short- and long-run elasticities.