Research on Technology Spillover of Digital Economy Affecting Energy Consumption Intensity in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. The Digital Economy
2.2. The Digital Economy and Energy Consumption
2.3. Spatial Effects of the Digital Economy
3. Hypotheses Development
3.1. The Impact of the Digital Economy on Energy Consumption Intensity
3.2. Indirect Effects of the Digital Economy on Energy Consumption Intensity
3.3. Spillover Effects of the Digital Economy on the Impact of Energy Consumption Intensity
4. Research Design
4.1. Model Construction
4.2. Variable Definition and Measurement
4.2.1. Description of Variables
4.2.2. Data Source and Description
4.2.3. Data Processing and Model Selection
5. An Empirical Test of the Impact of the Digital Economy on Urban Energy Consumption Intensity under Static Panel Modeling
5.1. Descriptive Statistical Analysis
5.2. Base Regression Analysis
5.3. Endogeneity Test
5.4. Robustness Test
5.4.1. Replacement of Core Explanatory Variables
5.4.2. One-Period Lagged Explanatory Variables
5.4.3. 1% Two-Way Shrinkage of the Full Sample Size
5.4.4. Adding Control Variables
5.5. Analysis of Impact Mechanisms
6. Analysis of the Spatial Effects of Digital Economy Development on Energy Consumption Intensity under Technological Spillovers
6.1. Spatial Correlation Test
6.2. Empirical Analysis of Spatial Effects
6.3. Decomposition of Spatial Effects
6.4. Further Tests: Spatial Heterogeneity Analysis
7. Conclusions and Policy Implications
7.1. Conclusions and Discussion
7.2. Policy Implications
- (1)
- The study reveals that there is significant potential for the development of the digital economy in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region. To achieve this, it is necessary to enhance the digital ecosystem; invest in high-speed, stable, and secure network infrastructure; and promote the development of 5G technology. This will ensure the perfection of digital infrastructure and accelerate the transition from traditional economic growth. Simultaneously, it is necessary to accelerate the shift from the conventional economic growth path, meet the demands of modernization and high-quality development, spearhead the productivity surge, unleash the potential of data components, and strengthen the industrial foundation for cultivating new, high-quality productivity.
- (2)
- The positive role of the technology spillover effect of the digital economy can be utilized to reduce energy consumption. Additionally, it is important to increase the connection between the core digital economy region and neighboring regions and improve the spread of green technology to benefit a wider range of regions. Encouraging cooperation between different industries and regions, promoting a cross-border integration of the digital economy, and fostering innovation and resource sharing are also crucial. The aim is to promote a strong synergy and resonance in the field of digital economy in the Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei region.
- (3)
- Technological innovation is a key driver for the digital economy to reduce energy consumption intensity. Therefore, to promote the development of a digitized, networked, and intelligent digital economy, it is crucial to focus on scientific and technological innovation, enhance the construction of digital infrastructure, and increase support for cutting-edge technologies such as artificial intelligence, big data, and the Internet of Things. It is also important to encourage collaboration between enterprises and research institutes to promote the industrialization of technological innovations and establish a network of research institutes. To promote the cross-application of technologies, establish an intellectual property protection system, and encourage open innovation, it is necessary to industrialize technological innovations.
- (4)
- The aim is to develop the inter-regional digital economy in a synergistic manner, taking into account regional differences in the level of digital economy development. This will allow for the positive effects of technological spillover from economically strong cities to be utilized in reducing energy consumption. Additionally, the development of the digital economy in non-economically strong cities should be prioritized, with zoning governance and rational planning based on local conditions for the progress of inter-regional digital economic infrastructure. The cities surrounding Beijing should leverage their digital ecosystem advantages and increase policy support for underdeveloped areas. This will allow for the “digital dividend” to provide a strong impetus for balanced and coordinated regional development, ultimately narrowing inter-regional development gaps.
7.3. Limitations and Future Prospects
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Primary Indicators | Secondary Indicators | Tertiary Indicators |
---|---|---|
Level of development of the digital economy | Internet penetration rate | Number of Internet broadband access users per 100 people |
Relevant practitioners | Percentage of employees in computer services and software industry in urban units | |
Relevant output | Total telecommunication services per capita | |
Cell phone penetration rate | Number of cell phone subscribers per 100 people |
Symbol | Variable | Definition |
---|---|---|
Energy consumption intensity | Logarithmic total energy consumption to GDP ratio | |
Dige | Level of development of the digital economy | indicators on Internet penetration, related workforce, related outputs, and cell phone penetration |
TI | Technological innovation | The ratio of Patent Granted to Year-End Resident Population |
Foreign direct investment | The ratio of real FDI to GDP in logarithmic terms | |
Science expenditures | The ratio of science expenditure to GDP taken in logarithms | |
Road passenger traffic | Regional road passenger traffic taken in logarithm | |
Population size | Year-end resident population in logarithm | |
GOV | Government intervention | The ratio of local general public budget expenditure to GDP |
Variable | VIF | 1/VIF |
---|---|---|
Dige | 3.56 | 0.28 |
1.54 | 0.65 | |
3.94 | 0.25 | |
4.16 | 0.24 | |
2.66 | 0.38 | |
GOV | 1.52 | 0.66 |
Mean VIF | 2.90 |
Variable | Observation | Mean | S.D. | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
117 | −0.078 | 0.458 | −1.428 | 0.866 | |
Dige | 117 | 0.103 | 0.175 | 0.005 | 0.854 |
TI | 117 | 9.230 | 16.777 | 0.353 | 89.621 |
117 | −4.042 | 0.781 | −7.127 | −2.097 | |
117 | −6.416 | 0.811 | −7.733 | −4.265 | |
117 | 8.697 | 1.078 | 6.873 | 11.790 | |
117 | 6.531 | 0.467 | 5.664 | 7.227 | |
GOV | 117 | 0.171 | 0.053 | 0.074 | 0.365 |
Variable | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
Dige | −1.019 *** | −1.024 *** | −0.919 *** | −0.919 *** | −0.941 *** | −0.927 *** |
(−3.00) | (−3.01) | (−2.76) | (−2.76) | (−2.80) | (−2.76) | |
lnFDI | 0.017 | 0.011 | 0.006 | 0.008 | 0.002 | |
(0.62) | (0.42) | (0.24) | (0.31) | (0.08) | ||
lnSS | 0.127 ** | 0.138 *** | 0.139 *** | 0.134 *** | ||
(2.60) | (2.77) | (2.78) | (2.68) | |||
lnHPT | −0.049 | −0.054 | −0.060 | |||
(−1.11) | (−1.19) | (−1.31) | ||||
lnPS | 0.404 | 0.563 | ||||
(0.60) | (0.82) | |||||
GOV | 0.764 | |||||
(1.17) | ||||||
cons | 0.289 *** | 0.362 *** | 1.249 *** | 1.791 *** | −0.996 | −2.232 |
(6.20) | (2.84) | (3.44) | (2.95) | (−0.21) | (−0.47) | |
Observations | 117 | 117 | 117 | 117 | 117 | 117 |
N | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
City | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Year | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
adj-R2 | 0.943 | 0.942 | 0.945 | 0.946 | 0.945 | 0.945 |
Instrumental Variable Approach | ||
---|---|---|
Variable | Dige | lnEI |
2SLS Phase I | 2SLS Phase Ⅱ | |
Dige | −1.0778 *** | |
(−4.92) | ||
IV | 0.0004 *** | |
(5.29) | ||
Control variable | Yes | Yes |
City | Yes | Yes |
Year | Yes | Yes |
Kleibergen-Paap rk LM | 6.073 ** | |
[0.0137] | ||
Kleibergen-Paap rk Wald F | 27.940 | |
{16.38} | ||
Observations | 117 | 117 |
N | 13 | 13 |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Replacement of Core Explanatory Variable | One-Period-Lagged Explanatory Variable | Shrinkage Treatment | Adding Control Variable | |
Dige | −0.101 * | −0.857 ** | −0.910 *** | −0.980 *** |
(−1.86) | (−2.32) | (−5.24) | (−2.89) | |
cons | −2.279 | −3.358 | −2.553 | −1.035 |
(−0.06) | (−0.67) | (−0.60) | (−0.21) | |
Control variable | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
City | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Year | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Observations | 117 | 117 | 117 | 117 |
adj-R2 | 0.943 | 0.949 | 0.958 | 0.946 |
Variable | Model 1 | Model 2 |
---|---|---|
TI | TI | |
Dige | 10.301 *** | 9.999 *** |
(16.76) | (18.75) | |
cons | −0.671 *** | −20.959 *** |
(−7.97) | (−2.76) | |
Control variable | No | Yes |
City | Yes | Yes |
Year | Yes | Yes |
Observations | 117 | 117 |
adj-R2 | 0.960 | 0.971 |
Year | TI | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Moran’s I | Z | Moran’s I | Z | |
2010 | 0.032 | 0.625 | 0.387 *** | 4.301 |
2011 | 0.132 | 1.206 | 0.399 *** | 4.320 |
2012 | 0.071 | 0.852 | 0.453 *** | 4.394 |
2013 | 0.264 ** | 2.021 | 0.477 *** | 4.404 |
2014 | 0.328 ** | 2.486 | 0.431 *** | 4.418 |
2015 | 0.323 ** | 2.461 | 0.471 *** | 4.328 |
2016 | 0.301 ** | 2.276 | 0.460 *** | 4.313 |
2017 | 0.342 ** | 2.524 | 0.455 *** | 4.342 |
2018 | 0.389 *** | 2.910 | 0.500 *** | 4.398 |
Variable | SAR | SEM | SDM | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
W1 | W2 | W1 | W2 | W1 | W2 | |
ρ | −0.636 *** | −0.547 ** | −0.643 *** | −1.016 *** | ||
(−4.44) | (−2.30) | (−7.16) | (−6.80) | |||
λ | −0.687 *** | −0.942 *** | ||||
(−5.23) | (−2.87) | |||||
TI | −0.117 *** | −0.084 *** | −0.090 *** | −0.098 *** | −0.154 *** | −0.100 ** |
(−4.98) | (−4.13) | (−5.67) | (−3.48) | (−4.30) | (−2.07) | |
W × TI | 0.063 | −0.055 | ||||
(1.24) | (−0.46) | |||||
Log-likelihood | 124.2 | 113.1 | 124.2 | 115.4 | 132.3 | 125.6 |
Direct effect | −0.134 *** | −0.086 *** | −0.187 *** | −0.103 ** | ||
(−4.10) | (−3.74) | (−3.55) | (−2.12) | |||
Indirect effect | 0.063 *** | 0.033 * | 0.130 ** | 0.029 | ||
(2.65) | (1.90) | (2.17) | (0.45) | |||
Total effect | −0.071 *** | −0.054 *** | −0.057 *** | −0.074 | ||
(−5.33) | (−5.64) | (−3.27) | (−0.91) | |||
Fixed Effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Observations | 117 | 117 | 117 | 117 | 117 | 117 |
R2 | 0.147 | 0.405 | 0.258 | 0.389 | 0.010 | 0.010 |
Variance | 0.006 *** | 0.008 *** | 0.006 *** | 0.008 *** | 0.005 ** | 0.000 *** |
(4.28) | (3.72) | (4.37) | (7.14) | (4.56) | (3.73) |
Economically Developed Cities | Non-Economically Developed Cities | |
---|---|---|
Direct effect | −0.064 | −0.038 |
(−0.94) | (−0.13) | |
Indirect effect | −0.128 *** | 0.739 |
(−2.33) | (0.84) | |
Total effect | −0.174 *** | 0.701 |
(−6.16) | (0.66) | |
Fixed Effect | Yes | Yes |
Observations | 54 | 63 |
adj-R2 | 0.315 | 0.236 |
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Duan, H.; Sun, X. Research on Technology Spillover of Digital Economy Affecting Energy Consumption Intensity in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region. Sustainability 2024, 16, 4562. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16114562
Duan H, Sun X. Research on Technology Spillover of Digital Economy Affecting Energy Consumption Intensity in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region. Sustainability. 2024; 16(11):4562. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16114562
Chicago/Turabian StyleDuan, Huayang, and Xuesong Sun. 2024. "Research on Technology Spillover of Digital Economy Affecting Energy Consumption Intensity in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region" Sustainability 16, no. 11: 4562. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16114562
APA StyleDuan, H., & Sun, X. (2024). Research on Technology Spillover of Digital Economy Affecting Energy Consumption Intensity in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region. Sustainability, 16(11), 4562. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16114562