An Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Asphalt Binder Selection in East China Based on the ARIMA Model
Round 1
Reviewer 1 Report
Comments and Suggestions for AuthorsInteresting article on the important issue of climate change. The article has important lessons for the future of pavement design, e.g. “In the future, these regions should be more considered about the permanent deformation of the asphalt pavement due to the increase in the maximum pavement design temperature”. Although the question arises whether the use of harder bitumen will result in cracking at low temperatures (during climate anomalies). This should be discussed further
Minor comments
The abstract needs improvement. The abstract does not state what was done. Adjust the abstract so that the reader knows what they will find in the article.
Figure 1 Are the fonts too small? Descriptions may not be readable
Figure 6-11 In the reviewer's opinion, the legend is too small
Consider adding a publication in the introduction on low temperatures
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cscm.2023.e02255
Best Regards
Author Response
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Author Response File: 
Author Response.pdf
Reviewer 2 Report
Comments and Suggestions for AuthorsThe manuscript describes a completed study to predict the maximum temperature of asphalt pavement in 2039 using the ARIMA prediction model. However, it can be improved by considering some notes below.
References did not support some statements. For example, in line 33, the sentence “However, asphalt pavement is a temperature sensitive structure due to the asphalt binder is a temperature sensitive material” must be added to references to reinforce your paper.
Figures 1, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, and 11 should be added to the specific area in an image caption.
Please explain why you chose the ARIMA model prediction over other model predictions. Another type of prediction model should evaluated before using the present model. It should be provided clearly before predicting the model.
In the results section, the MAE and RMSE histogram should be Fig. 2, not Fig. 1. The axis graphs should be clear by adding the legend.
Some typos should be evaluated appropriately.
Author Response
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Author Response File: Author Response.pdf
Reviewer 3 Report
Comments and Suggestions for AuthorsIn my opinion, your manuscript addresses an important topic related to the impact of climate change on asphalt binder selection in East China, and it provides valuable insights into the potential changes in pavement design temperatures and the corresponding Superpave performance grades (PG). However, the manuscript requires major revisions to improve its clarity, structure, and presentation. Here are some specific areas that need attention:
1) The abstract ought to furnish a succinct overview of the study's aims, methodology, principal discoveries, and their ramifications. The present abstract is overly concise and is deficient in crucial details.
2) The manuscript lacks a thorough literature review that establishes the context and significance of the study. You should review existing research on the impact of climate change on pavement materials and binder selection.
3) The manuscript contains grammatical errors and awkward sentences. It needs thorough proofreading and language editing to improve readability.
4) Ensure that all claims and statements are properly cited and supported by references to the relevant literature.
5) Provide more context in the introduction about why this research is necessary and what specific challenges climate change poses to asphalt pavement in East China.
6) What are the key criteria for selecting asphalt binders for pavement construction, and how are they affected by climate change?
7) Elaborate on the significance of asphalt binder selection as a measure to adapt to climate change in the context of pavement construction.
8) How did you select the 109 meteorological stations in East China for data collection, and why is this particular dataset relevant for your research?
9) Explain the Superpave performance grade (PG) system in more detail and how it is relevant to your study.
10) How do your findings compare with similar studies conducted in other regions with different climate conditions? Please add a section in this regard.
Comments on the Quality of English LanguageMinor editing of English language required.
Author Response
Please see the attachment.
Author Response File: Author Response.pdf
Round 2
Reviewer 2 Report
Comments and Suggestions for AuthorsThank you for correcting your manuscript from the previous review.
However, after I reviewed your manuscript again, in the results section 3.1 Model Effectiveness, this section still explains the model's evaluation method. The methods section should explain the choice of mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) for evaluating the model so that the results section only focuses on discussing the results obtained. Again, it is necessary to emphasize the methods and results sections.
Overall, I appreciate your effort to revise the manuscript. The improvements have been made so that your paper is much better.
Comments on the Quality of English LanguagePlease check the use of the article, punctuation, single/plural, and structure of the sentences.
Author Response
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Author Response File: Author Response.pdf
Reviewer 3 Report
Comments and Suggestions for AuthorsI have carefully read the provided comments by the author; however, as I requested in the first revision, some concerns have not been addressed completely.
In your evaluation of the ARIMA model's performance, you mention that the MAE and RMSE values were used. Could you elaborate on the significance of the threshold values (2.25 for MAE in the case of Ts and 1.95 for T20) in the context of your study? How do these threshold values relate to the practical applicability of the model's predictions for asphalt binder selection and climate adaptation?
Additional clarification needs to be incorporated into the manuscript.
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The manuscript should work on enhancing its English language, as it still contains some grammatical errors.
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In order to further enrich your literature review section and ensure that your work is comprehensively contextualized, I recommend incorporating the following relevant studies:
-" Laboratory investigation on fumes generated by different modified asphalt binders" Given the focus of your research on asphalt binder selection, incorporating this study into your literature review would provide a valuable reference for understanding the emissions and environmental considerations associated with various asphalt binders.
- A Laboratory and Field Universal Estimation Method for Tire–Pavement Interaction Noise (TPIN) Based on 3D Image Technology: This study offers a valuable perspective on the estimation of tire-pavement interaction noise, which is highly relevant to pavement design and construction, making it a suitable addition to your literature review.
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Comments on the Quality of English LanguageMinor editing of English language required
Author Response
Please see the attachment.
Author Response File: Author Response.pdf
Round 3
Reviewer 3 Report
Comments and Suggestions for AuthorsAccept in the current format.
