3.1. Contribution Analysis
3.1.1. Scenario 0
FW in the baseline scenario is not under a source separation scheme, but collected as commingled waste. The contribution analysis of Scenario 0 are presented in
Figure 8 and
Figure 9 below.
Overall, Landfilling and Residual Collection and Transportation generates the most significant environmental and economic impacts.
The majority of the net impact for Climate Change and Ozone Depletion comes from the degradation of its organic matter in the landfill.
A significant net benefit for both Climate Change and Ozone Depletion comes from the recycling of dry recyclables that already takes place in the municipality. Concerning Climate Change, the results of the analysis show that the baseline scenario has an environmental impact of 65 kg CO2-eq, while the contribution to the depletion of ozone is equal to −7.6 × 10−4 kg CFC-11 eq.
In the Human Toxicity (non-cancer effects) and Particulate Matter impact categories, the picture differs. Specifically, the largest percentage of the impact is a consequence of the recycling process of the municipality. On the other hand, landfilling seems to have a net positive impact in both categories. The total contribution of Scenario 0 to these two impact categories is −4.7 × 10−5 CTUh and −4.3 × 10−2 kg PM2.5-eq, respectively.
Concerning the baseline scenario’s cost, the processes that have the greatest impact are the collection and transportation of residual waste and the disposal of this waste in Fyli’s Landfill.
Specifically, while the total cost of scenario 0 is computed equal to 120 € per tonne of waste, the cost for the collection and transportation of residual waste amounts to 57 € (49% of total cost). The disposal of residual waste requires an amount of 25 € per tonne of MSW due to gate fees that should be paid by the municipality for the amount of waste that ends up in landfills.
The LCIA figures presented indicate the significant importance of diverting food waste from landfills and developing a locally established—based on the principle of proximity, which indicates that MSW should be treated the closest possible to the generation area, instead of being transported to long-distance places—management and valorization paradigm.
The main factors/hotspots increasing both the LCIA (especially Climate Change) and the LCC of the baseline scenario are two:
The distance covered to transport food waste to the landfill significantly increases both the costs and the carbon footprint, basically because of the increased fuel consumption.
Additionally, food waste in landfill increases the gate fees paid by the municipality to a huge extent since food waste corresponds to more than 40% of the total MSW generation, as well as the GHGs emissions.
3.1.2. Scenario 0.1
Food waste source separation and the valorization of food and green waste for the production of compost leads to a significant reduction of the environmental impact related to Climate Change. Specifically, Scenario 0.1 shows a net benefit equal to 34 kg CO2 eq. The process of landfilling contributes most at that benefit. This is due to the fact that the disposed carbon is stabilized and can be considered as storage, having no interaction with the surrounding environment (benefit equal to 110 kg CO2 eq).
Regarding Ozone Depletion, there is also an increase in net benefit compared to baseline scenario. This increase is attributed to the reduction of emissions during the collection, transportation and the landfilling of residual waste as a result of food waste source separation. The environmental benefit for the specific impact category equals to 9 × 10−4 kg CFC-11 eq.
With respect to the human toxicity (non-cancer effects) and particulate matter impact categories, an increase of environmental burden is observed in comparison to Scenario 0. Specifically, the net benefit impact that is attributed to landfilling is reduced due to the reduction of residual waste that is disposed. The total contribution of Scenario 0.1 in these two impact categories is 7.1× 10
−5 CTUh and 2 × 10
−2 kg PM2.5-eq, respectively. The contribution analysis of Scenario 0.1 is presented in
Figure 10 and
Figure 11.
Carbon sequestration through the disposal of biostabilized (composted) food waste leads to a significant improvement in CC impact. There is also a significant decrease in Life Cycle Cost in comparison with the baseline scenario, due to decreased gate fees.
Finally, as regards Scenario’s 0.1 Life Cycle Costing analysis, there is an important decrease in total cost in comparison with baseline scenario, which equals 29% (EUR 83 per ton waste).
The process that contributes the most in the total cost still remains the collection and transportation of residual waste, but the respective amount has been reduced significantly (EUR 28). The same results are observed for the process of landfilling as well.
3.1.3. Scenario 1.1
The anaerobic digestion of food waste and the composting of the effluent alongside with green waste that is implemented in Scenario 1.1 results in a decrease of the total kg CO2-eq of the scenario. Specifically, there is a net benefit regarding Climate Change that equals −49 kg CO2-eq. This environmental benefit is observed mainly due to the storage of stabilized carbon during landfilling and due to the utilization of biogenic carbon for the production of high added value products such as the compressed natural gas.
Regarding Ozone Depletion, there is an increase of the environmental benefit of the scenario compared to both baseline scenario and Scenario 0.1. The recycling process and the use of compost as a substitution of chemical fertilizers contributes to the mitigation of Ozone Depletion to a total of −9.6 × 10−4 kg CFC-11 eq.
As for the impact category “Human toxicity, non-cancer effects”, there is an enhanced performance compared to Scenario 0.1, without however reaching the performance of Scenario 0. This decrease in the total net impact is due to the substitution of conventional fuel of waste collection trucks with the compressed natural gas that is produced. The total impact of Scenario 1.1 concerning toxic substances with non-cancer effects equals to 6.9 × 10−5 CTUh.
Regarding Particulate Matter, there is a significant increase of the net impact of Scenario 1.1 (5.6 × 10
−2 kg PM2.50-eq in total). The process of drying/shredding of FORBI is mainly responsible for this result. This process is really energy-intensive, and considering that the Greek energy mix is to a great extent based on lignite combustion, it contributes to the increase of the particulate matter of the scenario by 1.7 × 10
−2 kg PM2.5-eq. The contribution analysis for Scenario 1.1 is presented in
Figure 12 and
Figure 13.
Landfilling of non-biodegradable waste and conventional fuel substitution lead to the most significant environmental benefits, while drying/shredding generate environmental impacts and costs, mainly due to fuel consumption.
The cost of the Scenario 1.1 is equal to EUR 95 per tonne of waste. An increase is observed in comparison to Scenario 0.1 due to the cost required for the equipment, the installation and the operation of drying/shredding and anaerobic digestion processes (EUR 31 and EUR 16, respectively). This extra cost that occurs for the required equipment is partially balanced with the savings from the substitution of conventional fuel with CNG and of chemical fertilizers with the compost that is produced (EUR −27 and EUR 5).
The substitution of diesel and fertilizers by bio-CNG and compost, respectively, plays a significant role in the benefits for most of the impact categories of Scenario 1.1. This limits the replicability of the results to other municipalities since there might be no interest—or rationale—to do so.
3.1.4. Scenario 1.2
With the exception of the impact category “Climate Change”, Scenario 1.2 shows similar results as Scenario 1.1 (
Figure 14 and
Figure 15).
Specifically, for the category of Climate Change, the current scenario has a net benefit equal to −56 kg CO2 eq, which is the second greatest among all the alternative scenarios that were examined. This environmental benefit is mostly attributed to the carbon that is sequestered as storage during the landfilling process. This storage of carbon is equivalent to a saving of 130 kg CO2 eq (22% increase compared to Scenario 1.1). On the contrary, the energy intensive process of drying/shredding sets an environmental burden regarding the benefit that could be derived from this scenario, contributing to the total net impact by 59 kg CO2 eq.
Regarding the cost factor of Scenario 1.2, a total cost of 94 € per tonne has been estimated, which corresponds to an approximate decrease of 20% compared to the baseline scenario.
Drying/shredding corresponds to the highest percentage of the costs, while significant savings (26 € per tonne) are achieved through the substitution of conventional waste trucks’ fuels with hythane. Scenarios 1.1 and 1.2 are comparable regarding the costs’ factor.
Regarding the substitution assumption, the same limitations as in Scenario 1.1 apply here.
3.1.5. Scenario 2
Scenario 2 shows the greatest environmental impact among all scenarios that were examined, for the impact category of Climate Change (
Figure 16 and
Figure 17).
Food waste diversion from landfill and drying/shredding present the highest environmental and economic benefit and burden correspondingly, as in the previous alternative scenarios.
Specifically, it has a net benefit of −57 kg CO2 eq per tonne of municipal solid waste that is treated. In that scenario too, the process that contributes the most to the reduction of the Climate Change impact category is the disposal of waste at Fyli’s Landfill and consequently the storage of carbon (−130 kg CO2 eq).
Concerning Ozone Depletion, there is also observed an environmental benefit equal to −9.5 × 10−4 kg CFC-11 eq that. Landfilling of residual waste and the drying/shredding for the production of FORBI are the processes of the scenario that contributes most to the deterioration of the phenomenon.
As for the impact category “Human toxicity, non-cancer effect” there is an increase of 12% in comparison to the baseline scenario (net impact equals to 7.4 × 10−5 CTUh). This deterioration of the phenomenon is mainly due to the process of drying/shredding, which contributes to the total toxic substances by 4.1 × 10−6 CTUh. At the same time, the environmental savings that are attributed to the disposal of residual waste to Fyli’s Landfill are reduced by 79% compared to the baseline scenario (−1 × 10−6 CTUh, while the net impact of the scenario 0 was −4.8 × 10−6 CTUh).
LCIA regarding particulate matter shows a total net impact equal to 3.8 × 10−2 kg PM2.5 eq. The processes that contribute the most at this environmental impact are recycling and residues transportation to landfill and the energy intensive process of drying shredding with a contribution of 2.6 × 10−2 kg PM2.5 eq and 1.7 × 10−2 kg PM2.5 eq, respectively.
From the Life Cycle Costing analysis of Scenario 2, a total cost of EUR 1010 per tonne of municipal solid waste treated is computed, which is the highest among all alternative scenarios that are examined.
Compared to Scenario 0.1, there is an increase of total cost by 20% due to the cost of the drying/shredding process (EUR 32). At the same time, the savings attributed to the substitution of chemical fertilizers with the bio-based produced compost (EUR −6.8), are not enough to balance the total expenditure required for the production of FORBI. However, the total cost of the Scenario 2 remains lower than that of the baseline scenario due to reduced landfill gate fees and due to the local treatment of food waste.
The substitution of fertilizers by compost is responsible for a significant part of the Scenario’s environmental and economic benefits. However, in this case (Scenario 2) this is not such a limiting factor—as in the previous scenarios—since there are multiple ways to utilize compost (commercially or for the municipal parks), hence it is an assumption more easily applicable to wider areas.
3.1.6. Scenario 3
Concerning the impact category of Climate Change for Scenario 3, there is also a net benefit for the system equal to −48 kg CO
2 eq (
Figure 18 and
Figure 19).
The introduction of multiple bioprocesses (bio-EtOH production and anaerobic digestion) increases the monetary valorization cost, without correspondingly increasing the benefits. In terms of its environmental performance Scenario 3 performs similarly to Scenario 2, apart from HT and PM for which the corresponding impacts are doubled.
Likewise, Scenarios 1.1 and 1.2, the two processes that contribute most to the total carbon footprint are the storage of carbon during landfilling of residual waste and the substitution of diesel at the municipal collection vehicles, offering an environmental benefit of −130 and −47 kg CO2 eq, respectively. Conventional diesel enrichment with bioethanol as a substitution assumption is generally acceptable, since the relevant EU legislation predicts such an obligation for the future. On the other hand, the drying/shredding process burdens the environment with an impact of 59 kg CO2 eq.
As for Ozone Depletion, there is an environmental benefit equal to −9.6 × 10−4 kg CFC-11 eq.
Regarding the impact categories of “Human toxicity, non-cancer effects” and “Particulate Matter” the results of the analysis show that scenario 3 has the greatest net impact among all waste management scenarios. Specifically, there is an environmental burden of 7.7 × 10−5 CTUh and 6.8 × 10−2 kg PM2.5 eq for these two categories. Compared to Scenarios 1.1 and 1.2, there is an increase of 11% regarding Human toxicity and of 16% regarding particulate matter. This increase is due to the production of bio-ethanol from FORBI. Bio-ethanol production sets an environmental burden equal to 6.3 × 10−6 CTUh and 2.8 × 10−2 kg PM2.5 eq, respectively.
Concerning costing analysis, the total cost of the Scenario 3 is EUR 90 per ton of waste. Compared to Scenarios 1.1 and 1.2, the cost is lower due to the use of the bioethanol that is produced, substituting 10% of conventional petrol in vehicles. The petrol substitution offers savings equal to EUR −8, including the bioethanol production costs. The two other factors that contribute to savings of funds are the substitution of diesel in municipal collection trucks and the use of compost in the municipality’s gardens instead of chemical fertilizers (EUR −27 and EUR −8, respectively). On the contrary, drying/shredding of food waste and the collection and transportation of residual waste to Fyli’s Landfill represent an important share of the total cost of the scenario 3 (31 € and 26 €).
3.1.7. Scenario 4
Regarding Climate Change, Scenario 4 shows a net benefit equal to −28 kg CO
2-eq, which is the lowest among the six alternative waste management scenarios (
Figure 20 and
Figure 21).
Scenario 4 presents lower monetary cost and similar environmental performance compared to Scenario 3.
The drying/shredding process and the pelletization of the produced FORBI mitigate the environmental benefit, contributing to the total carbon footprint of the scenario by 65 kg CO2 eq. Landfilling is—in that case too—the process with the greater benefit in terms of CO2-eq, offering savings of −94 kg CO2-eq, while there is also a benefit of −4.9 kg CO2-eq, attributed to the use of pellets in home combustion devices, substituting natural gas.
As for Ozone Depletion, Scenario 4 shows the higher environmental benefit equal to −9.6 × 10−4 kg CFC-11 eq. Compared to the others alternative scenarios, this increase of savings in terms of kg CFC-11 eq, is due to the substitution of natural gas with bio-pellet produced from food waste (−1.8 × 10−6 kg CFC-11 eq).
Based on the results of the life cycle impact analysis for the category “Human toxicity, non-cancer effects” there is a total net impact of 7.5 × 10−5 CTUh. Compared to Scenario 2, although there is an environmental benefit from the substitution of natural gas with pellet, this benefit is outweighed due to high energy requirements of the drying/shredding and pelletization processes (4.8 × 10−6 CTUh). Moreover, Scenario 2’s substitution assumption prerequisites that citizens will be willing to install the necessary equipment in their households to be able to use pellet as heat fuel, otherwise the generated pellet would be unused, thus eliminating the benefits of the scenario.
Regarding Particulate Matter, results of the analysis show a net impact equal to 4.7 × 10−2 kg PM2.5-eq. The process with the highest contribution is drying/shredding and pelletization of FORBI with an impact of 2.0 × 10−2 kg PM2.5-eq.
As regards Life Cycle Costing analysis of Scenario 4, a total cost of EUR 110 per tonne of waste treated is computed.
Drying/shredding and pelletization of FORBI alongside with the collection and transportation of residual waste to Fyli’s Landfill are the two processes that represent the largest share of the total cost (EUR 32 and EUR 28, respectively). On the other hand, there are some savings that occur by the substitution of chemical fertilizers and natural gas with the high added value products produced from the valorization of green and food waste (EUR −5.1 and EUR −1.9).
3.2. Comparison of Alternative Scenarios
3.2.1. Climate Change (CC)
Based on the results of the uncertainty analysis that was conducted, for the impact category of climate change, it turns out that the baseline scenario has the least uncertain results with a range of ±8.8% (
Figure 22).
Examining each process separately, it is observed that the processes that show the greatest variance in the results are the disposal of residual waste at Fyli’s Landfill for the scenarios 1.1, 1.2 and 3 and right after the upgrading and compressing of biogas. As for scenarios 2 and 4, landfilling remains the process with the greatest variability, which follows the recycling of waste collected from blue and yellow bins. Finally, for the baseline scenario, the recycling process shows the highest uncertainty of results with a deviation of ±3.9 kg CO2/tonne FW.
The baseline scenario leads to the highest CC burden, while all the alternative scenarios lead to net carbon benefits.
3.2.2. Ozone Depletion (OD)
Regarding Ozone Depletion, it is observed that all scenarios show much lower results’ uncertainty in comparison to Climate Change (
Figure 23).
Specifically, the uncertainty of the scenarios ranges from ±2.6% corresponding to Scenario 1.1, to ±4.5% for Scenario 0.1. For all waste management scenarios, the two processes that contribute most to the total uncertainty are recycling and landfilling of waste.
All the scenarios (including the current situation Scenario 0) lead to net environmental benefits regarding the Ozone Depletion impact category, with their overall performance being highly comparable.
3.2.3. Human Toxicity, Non-Cancer Effects (HT)
Concerning “Human toxicity, non-cancer effects” it is observed that all scenarios present low uncertainty (
Figure 24). The uncertainty for this category ranges from ±2.3% (Scenario 0) to ±6.1% (Scenario 3). Recycling of waste collected from blue and yellow bins is—again—the process that shows the greatest fluctuation of results (
Figure 24).
In the Human toxicity, non-cancer effects impact category, the baseline scenario (Scenario 0) seems to perform better compared to the other scenarios; however, the differences are not significant and fall below the uncertainty levels.
3.2.4. Particulate Matter (PM)
As for the Particulate Matter impact category, Scenario 0.1 shows the highest uncertainty, equal to 33.5% (
Figure 25).
On the other hand, Scenario 3 seems to have the most precise results among all scenarios examined with an uncertainty of ±11%. Examining processes separately, landfilling and recycling lead to the highest levels of uncertainty.
The baseline scenario performs better than the rest of the scenarios. However, in the case of the PMs, the differences are significant, with Scenario 0 leading to net environmental benefit, while the rest of the scenarios lead to significant net impact.
3.2.5. Life Cycle Cost (LCC)
Finally, regarding the Life Cycle Costing analysis, it is observed that Scenarios 0 and 0.1 present the least uncertain results (
Figure 26).
Specifically, the cost of Scenario 0 ranges to 120 € ± 15%, while Scenario 0.1 ranges to 83 € ± 15%. The respective rate for Scenarios 4 and 2 is ±22%. As for the highest rate of uncertainty, it corresponds to Scenario 3 with a percentage of ±40%. Concerning the uncertainty of each process individually, for the baseline scenario and scenario 1, the collection and transportation of residual waste to Fyli’s Landfill contributes most to the total uncertainty of the scenarios. Likewise, the process of drying/shredding shows the greatest variability of results for scenarios 1.1 to 4.
All the alternative scenarios lead to a net cost decrease, mostly due to the decrease of the transportation costs and the utilization of the various end-products.