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Open AccessArticle

An Assessment and Spatial Modelling of Agricultural Land Abandonment in Spain (2015–2030)

1
European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), 21027 Ispra, Italy
2
Department of Cartographic Engineering, Geodesy and Photogrammetry, Universitat Politècnica de València, Camino de Vera, s/n, 46022 Valencia, Spain
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Sustainability 2020, 12(2), 560; https://doi.org/10.3390/su12020560
Received: 14 November 2019 / Revised: 4 December 2019 / Accepted: 11 December 2019 / Published: 11 January 2020
This article presents a study based on the outputs from the LUISA Territorial modelling platform (Joint Research Centre of the European Commission) focused on regional and local future projections of land abandonment between 2015 and 2030. Spain is taken as representative of one of the countries highly affected by agricultural land abandonment in the European Union. The most relevant factors driving land abandonment (biophysical, agroeconomics, farm structure and demographic) are described and mapped. Results from the analysis reveal that the Galicia region, northern Spain (Asturias, Cantabria, Gipuzkoa, Bizkaia), north-eastern Spain (Aragón region), central Pyrenees/Ebro basin (Huesca, Navarra, Lleida) and south-eastern Spain (Murcia, Almería, Alicante, Málaga) are expected to undergo important abandonment processes. The study also concludes that land abandonment within mountainous, high nature value farmland and Natura 2000 areas is lower compared to the outside area without conservation and protection measures. View Full-Text
Keywords: agricultural land abandonment; land-use modelling; Spain; risk map; policy layers; LUISA platform agricultural land abandonment; land-use modelling; Spain; risk map; policy layers; LUISA platform
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Perpiña Castillo, C.; Coll Aliaga, E.; Lavalle, C.; Martínez Llario, J.C. An Assessment and Spatial Modelling of Agricultural Land Abandonment in Spain (2015–2030). Sustainability 2020, 12, 560.

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