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Review

The Changing Role of CO2 in the Transition to a Circular Economy: Review of Carbon Sequestration Projects

by
Pavel Tcvetkov
1,*,
Alexey Cherepovitsyn
2 and
Sergey Fedoseev
3
1
Informatics and Computer Technologies, Saint-Petersburg Mining University, Saint Petersburg 199106, Russia
2
Department of Organization and Management, Saint-Petersburg Mining University, Saint Petersburg 199106, Russia
3
Luzin Institute for Economic Studies—Subdivision of the Federal Research Centre, Kola Science Centre of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Apatity 184209, Russia
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Sustainability 2019, 11(20), 5834; https://doi.org/10.3390/su11205834
Submission received: 16 September 2019 / Revised: 13 October 2019 / Accepted: 15 October 2019 / Published: 21 October 2019
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Waste Management and Application of the Principles of the Circular Economy)
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Abstract

:
Despite the diversity of studies on global warming and climate change mitigation technologies, research on the changing role of CO2 in the industrial processes, which is connected with the introduction of circular economy principles, is still out of scope. The purpose of this review is to answer the following question: Is technogenic CO2 still an industrial waste or has it become a valuable resource? For this purpose, statistical information from the National Energy Technology Library and the Global CCS Institute databases were reviewed. All sequestration projects (199) were divided into three groups: carbon capture and storage (65); carbon capture, utilization, and storage (100); and carbon capture and utilization (34). It was found that: (1) total annual CO2 consumption of such projects was 50.1 Mtpa in 2018, with a possible increase to 326.7 Mtpa in the coming decade; (2) total amount of CO2 sequestered in such projects could be 2209 Mt in 2028; (3) the risk of such projects being cancelled or postponed is around 31.8%; (4) CO2 is a valuable and sought-after resource for various industries. It was concluded that further development of carbon capture and utilization technologies will invariably lead to a change in attitudes towards CO2, as well as the appearance of new CO2-based markets and industries.

1. Introduction

The problem of global warming has been widely discussed in the recent decades [1,2]. One of the key reasons is an exponential growth of technogenic greenhouse gas emissions, mainly CO2. To slow this growth, many so-called global warming (climate change) mitigation technologies [3,4] are currently being implemented. Despite some doubts [5,6], one of such promising technologies is CO2 sequestration (Figure 1), with its subsequent use or disposal in geological formations [7].
CO2 sequestration is a cluster of technologies [9,10], which can be divided into three groups: carbon capture and storage (CCS); carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS); and carbon capture and utilization (CCU). In literature, there are different definitions and distributions of such projects within these three groups. In this regard, we propose the following division (Figure 2).
According to Figure 2, CCS involves capture and disposal of CO2 in any geological formation or method of offshore storage [11], with no other uses. CCUS involves projects that use CO2 to improve the efficiency of natural resource extraction processes (oil, natural gas, underground water, geothermal energy, etc.). After the extraction stage, CO2 is stored under the ground. CCU projects involve capture and use of CO2 in the manufacturing process as a raw material or chemical agent [12] (i.e., these projects assume the “storage” of CO2 in various goods).
Despite the fact that the capture phase is a part of all these options, they have different goals, implementation principles, effects, risks, and prospects [13]. In addition, the shift from one option to another leads to a change in perception of CO2; it becomes not just a waste, but a resource that is useful in many industries, which is a clear example of the transition from a linear to a circular economy. This situation is rarely discussed in the scientific literature, despite the fact that it determines the need to revise the existing principles of various industries organization, mechanisms of carbon markets regulation, and a common understanding of the role of CO2 in the global economy. Thus, the aim of this paper is to show and discuss the changing role of CO2 in the development of sequestration technologies and the transition from a linear to a circular economy, as well as to generalize the existing experience when comparing different sequestration technology options.

2. Literature Review

2.1. Analysis of CO2 Sequestration Options

There are various studies devoted to the analysis of the considered sequestration options. Singh et al. [14] analyzed different power generation options (coal and natural gas) with and without CCS. The results showed that despite the reduction in CO2 emissions, fossil-fuel-based energy generation is associated with other negative environmental impacts that must be taken into account. Significant reduction in CO2 emission was confirmed by Akash et al. [15]; however, this study also showed that the use of CCS in power generation affects construction expenditure, and consequently, the cost of electricity caused by the lack of additional economic effects. Odenberger et al. [16] showed that various CCS options (offshore and onshore storage) could have a significant impact on the development of energy in Europe in the coming decades. However, it is noted that CCS has serious competition from alternative low carbon energy generation options. Moreover, Pihkola et al. [17] concluded that CO2 utilization may become a more attractive option for industry, despite the potential for CCS to take a certain position in the energy strategy of Finland.
An analysis of the current CCUS-enhanced oil recovery (EOR) status in China was carried out by Zhen and Lijiao [18]. It was concluded that CCUS-EOR is the optimal CO2 sequestration option for China; however, its further development requires careful state regulation. The economic assessment of CCUS-enhanced coalbed methane (ECBM) technology was carried out by Yu et al. [19]. The authors identified key factors that have the most significant impact on the economic efficiency of such projects. An approach to assessing the technical and economic efficiency of CCUS-ECBM projects is proposed by Kim et al. [20]. The results showed that coalbed methane can become a serious competitor to a natural gas. An assessment of the efficiency of geothermal energy production (GEP) using CCUS was carried out by Buscheck et al. [21]. However, because of the early stage of CCUS-GEP development, further research in this area is required to confirm the economic value of such projects.
Different CCU options were evaluated by Schlögl et al. [22]. A visible emphasis is placed on the need to improve the regulation system of CO2-based industries, which is also confirmed by other studies [23]. The business model for power-to-methanol (combined CCU and renewable energy technologies) projects was proposed by González-Aparicio et al. [24]. Economic assessment showed that this combination may become a so-called “win-win” solution, which could be competitive in the energy market. The study by Muthuraj and Mekonnen [25] showed the results of a technology readiness level assessment for CO2-based co-polymers and polymers blend (CCU) manufacturing. The authors noted that these technologies are at an early stage of development; however, in the near future they could be used in many areas, including the processing of plastic wastes. Chauvy et al. [26] also described the assessment of various CCU technology readiness levels and a novel method for selecting optimal short- and medium-term CCU options.
Cuéllar-Franca and Azapagic [27] analyzed 27 studies related to CCS, CCUS, and CCU to compare the environmental impact of each option. The authors concluded that the positive global warming mitigation potential of CCU is much higher than CCS and CCUS. At the same time, the negative environmental impacts of CCS and CCUS (acidification, eutrophication, toxicity potential) are much higher compared to most CCU technologies. Zhang et al. [28] proposed a roadmap for the implementation of various CO2 sequestration options in China. The authors concluded that the most effective options for the Chinese economy are CCUS-EOR and onshore saline aquifers. The study by Li et al. [13] was also devoted to China and showed that large-scale deployment of sequestration technologies will require significant improvements in regulatory frameworks.
Viebahn et al. [29] described an ecological and economic assessment of CCS (offshore and onshore) and CCUS-ECBM development potential. The results showed that the success of sequestration projects significantly depends on the successful experience of developed countries in this area. There are also a number of constraints, such as the high cost of technology, competition from renewable energy, and the long-term implementation period. Another study by the same authors [30] was based on the same methodology but aimed at China, and also included CCUS-EGR and CCUS-EOR. Key factors for the successful deployment of such projects are the presence of state support, as well as improvement of the methodology for assessing CO2 storage potential. The relevance of such studies was also noted by Peck et al. [31], who showed a number of decision points that help to determine optimal methods of CO2-EOR storage capacity estimation. The valuation of CCS and CCUS was carried out by Wilberforce et al. [32]. The results showed that despite the significant pace of development, as well as government support, such projects still have limited competitiveness in the energy market.
A combination of CCS and CCU technologies in Rotterdam (ROAD and OCAP projects) was described by Ros et al. [33]. According to the project, anthropogenic CO2 will be captured in Maasvlakte power plant 3 for further storage in the depleted gas reservoir under the North Sea. At the same time, this project will satisfy seasonal demand for CO2 from the agricultural industry to enhance crop growth. This combination is a relatively novel approach for global industry. Patricio et al. [34] proposed a method of choosing optimal pairs of CO2 sources and CO2 consumers for implementation of CCUS or CCU technological chains. The distance of transportation, purity, and volume of the required CO2 were chosen as the main criteria. The proposed approach allows one to make an express assessment of the possibility to implement various sequestration technology options in a region.
The literature review shows that CCS and CCUS have been studied in more details because of the relative maturity [35] of these technologies (Table 1). As an example, it is necessary to mention EOR, which is one of the most widespread CCUS options [36] because of the relatively high technical efficiency of the deployment methods, such as carbonated water injection [37]. However, it is necessary to keep in mind that CCU options are at different stages of development. While most are at the research stage, there are examples of CCU that started at the end of the last century (e.g., Bellingham Cogeneration Facility). Given the accelerating rate of technology development, it is expected that the position of CCU will be strengthened in the coming years. This will be determined by the possibility of diversifying existing and planned enterprises through the addition of advanced CO2 utilization technologies, as well as creation of new competitive CO2-consuming enterprises.

2.2. CO2 in the Transition to a Circular Economy

The development of sequestration technologies has been associated with the transition from a linear to a circular economy in several studies [38,39,40]. Despite this, a significant aspect of this transition has been missed—the development of waste management and waste processing technologies, which are also typical for many other industries [41]. This is important because in the framework of CCS projects, CO2 is nothing more than a waste that needs to be effectively “stored”;, however this is not the case in CCUS and CCU.
On the other hand, studies associated with waste management are mostly focused on solid wastes [42,43], with the exception of the nuclear industry [44]. The emergence of CCU technologies is to some extent a unique and innovative step, which adds a processing option to the traditional methods used to combat gaseous waste (capture and storage [45]). Thus, without attention from the researchers to the comprehensive development of waste management (including gaseous wastes and air quality control [46]) as part of the transition to a circular economy, a knowledge gap will appear in the coming years.
Another unexplored issue is the changing role of CO2 in the development of sequestration technologies [47]. At the beginning of the century, companies were focused on carbon tax reduction rather than on using CO2 [48]. However, currently there is a rapid development of cost-effective technologies for CO2 processing [49,50]. At the same time, CO2 acts as a raw material for the production of not only new, but also existing products [51], which means that it can take a share of already formed markets (Table 2). The potential to enter existing and new markets is one of the key factors that determines the interest of industry and investors in CCUS and CCU technologies. Consequently, with the development of new, and improvement of existing, CO2 utilization technologies, the rate of deployment of sequestration projects will increase, which is a positive trend in the context of sustainable development. This situation requires a revision of the attitude towards CO2 and justification of its role in the world economy, not as a waste but as a useful resource [52] that will lead to the formation of the so-called CO2 economy [53,54].

3. Materials and Methods

3.1. Projects Analysis

Generalized data on CO2 sequestration trends are presented in a significant number of scientific and review papers. However, these papers do not divide projects into CCS, CCUS, and CCU. In addition, it is often unknown what source of data was used to build the trends.
In this regard, in order to compare the trends of CCS, CCUS, and CCU development, an analysis of completed, active, and planned projects in this area was performed. Two databases were chosen as primary sources of information: National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL, https://www.netl.doe.gov/) and Global CCS Institute (GCCSI, https://co2re.co/FacilityData). Other databases were considered as auxiliary sources of information, or were not used due to incomplete data. The decision on the selection of primary data sources was based on the following criteria (Table 3):
(1) Open access. Similar databases that provide only paid access to their content (e.g., Statista) were not considered in this paper, although they are shown in the comparative table.
(2) Number of projects. The NETL database is the largest known to authors. It is also important that chosen databases contain information on projects of all sequestration options, unlike, for example, the SCOT project database.
(3) Completeness of data (project description). NETL and GCCSI databases contain brief descriptions of all projects, but they are not exhaustive. In this regard, additional information was taken primarily from ZeroCO2 and CCST MIT databases.
(4) Relevance of data (the last update). The most relevant database is the GCCSI. The NETL database takes the second place. It seems likely that the SCOT database is also updated regularly, however, it is currently running in test mode (project descriptions are incomplete or unreliable).
During database comparison, authors faced a number of problems associated with different names being used for the same projects, different information about the implementation period, and heterogeneity of quantitative data. In this regard, the analysis was performed manually by matching and searching for duplicate records by country, period of implementation, and types of technological chains. Key steps of analysis are shown in Table 4.

3.2. Changing Role of CO2: Theoretical Aspects.

It is often mentioned in the literature that the development of sequestration technologies is interrelated with the transition from a linear to a circular economy [47]. However, there is no mention of any boundaries between the individual stages of this transition and the emergence of the technological chains discussed in this study. We assume that the stages of waste management methodologies can be designated as particular stages of this transition [58]. Thus, the qualitative part of the study is aimed to show and discuss the changing role of CO2 in the context of waste management development and the transition from a linear to a circular economy. For this purpose, two main tasks were accomplished.
(1) Based on the literature analysis, a generalized retrospective map of waste management development was constructed, showing the transition from a linear to a circular economic model, as well as the stages of emergence of sequestration technologies. When constructing the map, we noted that the development of sequestration technologies can be correlated with the stages of waste management development, both in time and in essence.
(2) Based on the analysis of CO2 project databases (Section 3.1), trends (completed and active projects) and perspectives (active and planned projects) of CCS, CCUS, and CCU in the context of sustainable development and a circular economy were identified.

4. Results and Discussion

4.1. Projects Analysis

Analysis of databases showed an imbalance in the geographical distribution of CO2 sequestration projects (Table 5), which is due to a significant number of factors, ranging from the history of the industrial development of the region and ending with the state regulation of environmental issues. The leading country is the United States (78 projects out of 166), where the first sequestration project was also launched (CCUS-EOR, Kelly–Snider oil field, Texas, 1972). The second largest number of projects is in China (20 projects), which is the world’s largest CO2 emitter. More than half of the projects are in North America (92), 22 are in Europe, 31 in Asia, and 21 in other countries. In total, 73 completed and 93 active projects were identified.
There is also a visible difference in project execution periods (Table 6; Appendix A, Leading countries). Given that a significant number of them are pilot and demonstration studies, it is natural that 25% of them were executed within a three-year period. The following table shows that the median execution period for different sequestration options differs slightly; however, a large number of the longest projects (15 and more years) are CCUS (70%). This is because of the relative maturity of CCUS-EOR technologies, as well as the early emergence of the first projects in this area.
CCUS is the leader in terms of CO2 sequestration volume (Figure 3). Since 2009, there has been a rapid growth in CCUS and CCU sequestration volumes, while CCS has shown a stable trend. In general, the existing projects allow sequestration of about 53.9 Mtpa, and the total amount of utilized and stored CO2 in these projects since 1972 is 631 million tons.
During databases analysis, 33 projects were defined as Planned (Table 7). CCS has the highest planned annual capacity, followed by CCUS, and lastly by CCU. The same is true for the total number of projects. Despite such results, we have many doubts about their reliability.
Firstly, according to the NETL database, out of 305 projects, 97 (31.8%) were cancelled or postponed (Table 8) because of various reasons, such as negative public perception, non-compliance with environmental requirements, and lack of financial resources. With the strengthening of CCUS and CCU positions, this trend will only intensify with respect to CCS projects [59]. Secondly, there is a huge lack of statistical data on CCU projects because of their small scale compared to CCS and CCUS (see SCOT project database). Thus, the potential capacity of CCU is still an open question that requires further development and dissemination of these technologies, as well as reliable statistics on implemented and planned projects.
Despite this, it can be concluded that in the coming years, there will be new projects for each of the considered sequestration options, and annual CO2 consumption will grow rapidly (Figure 4), which is a positive trend in the context of sustainable development.

4.2. Changing Role of CO2 in the Transition to a Circular Economy.

The theory of the influence of CO2 on global warming processes was formed from the early 19th to the second half of the 20th century [60]. In the context of sustainable development and evolution of waste management, this period belongs to the so-called linear economy (Figure 5).
Industrial activity during this period did not set mandatory tasks to improve the efficiency of the secondary use of resources, including waste [61]. Moreover, the technologies of that period were not sufficiently developed to find cost-effective ways of handling gaseous waste.
However, in the second half of the 20th century a transition period began. At this stage, technical and organizational approaches aimed at improving the efficiency of waste processing began to develop. As a rule, the transition stage is not shown in scientific papers, but it was during this period that the first CO2 sequestration projects began to appear.
Based on the databases analysis, it was found that the first projects related to CO2 sequestration were aimed at EOR (Val Verde NG Plants, USA, 1972; Enid Fertilizer, USA, 1982; Rangely Webber, EOR, USA, 1986; Mitchell Energy Bridgeport Plant, USA, 1991). These projects predate the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) [62], which is often marked as the starting point in the fight against global warming. This indicates the potential economic efficiency of such projects, even during periods of falling oil prices, which were observed after 1979 [63].
In 1991, the currently active Bellingham Cogeneration Facility project (USA) was launched, from which captured CO2 is used in the food and beverage industry. Despite the fact that today such a project seems relatively simple from a technological point of view [34], it belongs to the CCU category.
CCS projects began to appear only after UNFCCC due to the lack of any other economic initiatives. The first and largest CCS project in the world was Sleipner (Norway), which was launched in 1996. After this, at least two new projects (according to the databases) began to appear annually. At the same time, the need for companies to create not only environmental but also economic effects [64] determined the high growth rates of CCUS and CCU projects since 2010 (Figure 3a). Today, such projects are becoming important links in the transition to circular economies in the energy sector [65], in cement production [66,67], in the chemical industry [68], and others [69,70,71].
In the context of this transition, it is necessary to consider not just the technological feasibility of CO2 use, but also the analysis of created economic value, as well as a project’s financial self-sufficiency (Figure 6).
These factors are essential for the sustainable long-term development of any industry [72], as they reflect the ability of projects to operate and provide value in the market without state support [73], which is necessary for any innovative technology at the initial stage. These two factors are decisive when comparing the prospects of CCS, CCUS, and CCU; however, there are no comprehensive and reliable estimates of these factors in the scientific literature. Despite this, it is possible to generalize and to unite two processes: the development of sequestration technologies and the transition to a circular economy (Figure 7). This combination shows the increase in economic value and in project self-sufficiency, which resulted after intensification of CCU and CCUS large-scale deployment.
Figure 7 shows an explanation of each transition and each step, which are marked in Figure 6. Only CCU and CCUS have signs of self-sufficiency, providing them with long-term development without requiring additional government support. In addition, considering the rapid development of CCU technologies, it seems logical that their next stage of large-scale implementation will be to unite the CCUS and CCU technological chains [74]. The combination of two various cost-effective technologies can increase the economic stability of cross-industrial projects and their financial attractiveness, which is one of the main conditions for further large-scale development [75].
To summarize the comparison between considered CO2 sequestration options, it is necessary to show their compliance with the basics requirements of a circular economy. For this purpose, we built a comparative scheme, which shows the key principles of each option (Figure 8). The circular economy and integrated waste management concepts assume at least three production stages that must be implemented when using a resource [76,77]: reduce (limitation of technogenic CO2 emission), reuse (using CO2 in its initial form, instead of storing it), and recycle (processing CO2-based products to create something new). Considering the specifics of CO2 as a resource, it seems necessary to add to this list a summarizing aspect—recovery, as an ability of technology to convert wastes into resources, which could serve a useful purpose for replacing other materials.
As the figure shows, all the mentioned activities are possible only in the framework of CCU. However, it should be noted that CCUS, to a certain extent, also involves recycling, as enhanced natural resources can be processed using carbon capture technologies. Only CCS does not include any cyclic processes (in terms of CO2 use), which allows one to attribute such projects to a linear economy.

5. Conclusions

The growth of anthropogenic CO2 emissions is a global challenge for the modern economy. To combat it, a range of low-carbon technologies have been developed, one of which is CO2 sequestration with further storage (CCS, CCUS) or utilization (CCUS, CCU).
Analysis of NETL and GCCSI databases showed that currently in the world, there are no less than 74 completed, 92 active, and 33 planned projects. Among them, 65 are related to CCS, 100 to CCUS, and 34 to CCU. More than half of the projects are in North America (92), 22 are in Europe, 31 in Asia, and 21 in other countries.
Over the 47-year period of sequestration projects, there has been an advanced trend of cumulative CO2 consumption for CCUS projects (from 1.2 Mt in 1972 to 432.9 Mt in 2018), compared to CCS (from 1 Mt in 1996 to 68.7 Mt in 2018) and CCU (from 0.1 Mt in 1991 to 75.6 Mt in 2018). At the same time, since 2009 there has also been an increase in the growth rate of CCU projects’ cumulative CO2 consumption (+5 Mt in 1991–2009 and +70.6 Mt in 2009–2018). According to NETL and GCCSI databases, the number of CCS projects may increase greatly in the next decade, which will allow them to take the first place in total annual CO2 consumption (from 4.1 Mtpa in 2018 to 149.6 Mtpa in 2028), compared to CCUS (from 33.3 Mtpa in 2018 to 120.2 Mtpa in 2028) and CCU (from 12.7 Mtpa in 2018 to 56.9 Mtpa in 2028). However, it is necessary to keep in mind two things. Firstly, there is a risk of cancellation of planned projects, which is about 31.8 %. Secondly, reviewed databases are not an absolutely exhaustive source of information. There are many small-scale projects that together can influence the trend of total annual CO2 consumption of CCU. Despite this, the presented review of the largest projects seems to be sufficient to determine the general vector of CO2 sequestration development.
CCS, CCUS, and CCU, despite their classification as CO2 sequestration technologies, have different principles of CO2 management and organizational features. These features allow one to draw a clear line between CCS (as a technology of a linear economy) and the two others. The line between CCUS and CCU is not so obvious and could be determined through an analysis of risks (such as the possibility of CO2 leakage from storage, or environmental impact of underground disposal) and benefits (regional and social effects). In general, they are very similar technologies that comply with the principles of a circular economy.
As a rule, environmental projects (including CCS) have insufficient economic efficiency, which hinders their large-scale development. However, CCUS and CCU have significant economic potential, both in established and potential markets.
The global practice of sequestration project implementation is based on the attitude to CO2 as an industrial waste. However, pilot and commercial CCUS and CCU projects show the need to revise this approach. In the present conditions and in the near future, CO2 will become a resource that will be demanded by various sectors of the global economy. These changes will require new regulatory approaches for CO2-based industries and markets, and should become one of the key topics for further research in this area.
The main limitations of this study are related to the lack of information on the research topic. The first significant limitation is the lack of a complete and objective CO2 sequestration project database. This is especially true for CCU projects, which are not as actively covered in the scientific literature because of their small scale and the immaturity of several technologies. The second limitation is a small number of studies on gaseous waste management. Waste management methodology mainly focuses on solid wastes. Despite this, we believe that the current review could be useful for studies in this area as a base for further discussion on the changing role of CO2 in the global economy.

Author Contributions

P.T. conducted the data collection, contributed to the analysis of the results and wrote the manuscript; S.F. and A.C. provided revised suggestions and editing.

Funding

This research was funded by the Russian Science Foundation grant number 18-18-00210 (Development of assessment methodology of public efficiency of projects devoted to carbon dioxide sequestration, Saint-Petersburg Mining University).

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Appendix A

Table
Table A1. Distribution of projects by lifetime period in leading countries (by number of projects).
Table A1. Distribution of projects by lifetime period in leading countries (by number of projects).
CountryStatusOptionLifetime Period, YearsTotal
1234567891011121314>=15
United StatesActiveCCS 1 1
CCUS 1 1171341121730
CCU 1 1 12 16
CompletedCCS6221 3 2 1 17
CCUS655221 1 224
CCU 0
ChinaActiveCCS1 1
CCUS 11 1 2 117
CCU 1 1111 5
CompletedCCS 0
CCUS2 111 1 6
CCU 1 1
CanadaActiveCCS 1 1
CCUS 1 1 11 1 5
CCU1 1
CompletedCCS 1 1 2
CCUS 1 11 1 4
CCU 0
AustraliaActiveCCS1 1 2
CCUS 0
CCU 1 1 2
CompletedCCS 1 11 2 5
CCUS 0
CCU1 1
Total1812125961121011633211

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Figure 1. Improvements for further substantial reductions in CO2 emission [8]. Acronyms: RT = BP’s rapid transition scenario (all possible CO2 reduction measures for power, transport, industry, and buildings); CCUS = carbon capture, utilization, and storage.
Figure 1. Improvements for further substantial reductions in CO2 emission [8]. Acronyms: RT = BP’s rapid transition scenario (all possible CO2 reduction measures for power, transport, industry, and buildings); CCUS = carbon capture, utilization, and storage.
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Figure 2. Cluster of carbon sequestration technologies. Acronyms: EOR = enhanced oil recovery; EGR = enhanced gas recovery; ECBM = enhanced coalbed methane; EWR = enhanced water recovery; CCS = carbon capture and storage; CCU = carbon capture and utilization.
Figure 2. Cluster of carbon sequestration technologies. Acronyms: EOR = enhanced oil recovery; EGR = enhanced gas recovery; ECBM = enhanced coalbed methane; EWR = enhanced water recovery; CCS = carbon capture and storage; CCU = carbon capture and utilization.
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Figure 3. Retrospective trends of CO2 consumption by sequestration options (a) and shares of sequestration options in total cumulative CO2 consumption (b).
Figure 3. Retrospective trends of CO2 consumption by sequestration options (a) and shares of sequestration options in total cumulative CO2 consumption (b).
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Figure 4. Planned trends of CO2 consumption by sequestration options (a) and shares of sequestration options in total planned cumulative CO2 consumption (b).
Figure 4. Planned trends of CO2 consumption by sequestration options (a) and shares of sequestration options in total planned cumulative CO2 consumption (b).
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Figure 5. The relationship between sequestration project development and the transition to a circular economy.
Figure 5. The relationship between sequestration project development and the transition to a circular economy.
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Figure 6. Changing role of CO2 in the development of sequestration projects.
Figure 6. Changing role of CO2 in the development of sequestration projects.
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Figure 7. Conceptual vision of CO2 sequestration options development.
Figure 7. Conceptual vision of CO2 sequestration options development.
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Figure 8. Compliance of CO2 sequestration options with the principles of a circular economy.
Figure 8. Compliance of CO2 sequestration options with the principles of a circular economy.
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Table
Table 1. Readiness level of several sequestration technologies.
Table 1. Readiness level of several sequestration technologies.
TechnologyTechnology Readiness Level (TRL) *
[36][35][26]
CCS
Ocean storageConcept (TRL2)--
Mineral storageProof of concept (Lab test) (TRL3)--
Depleted oil and gas fieldsDemonstration (TRL7)--
Saline formationCommercial (TRL9)--
CCUS
CO2-EGRDemonstration (TRL7)Mostly demonstration-
CO2-EORCommercial (TRL9)Mostly demonstration-
CCU
CO2 utilization in generalPilot plants (TRL6) **--
Enhanced commodity production-Research/mass market ***-
CO2 mineralization-Mostly demonstrationDemonstration scale/system operations (TRL 7–9)
Chemical Production-Mostly research-
CO2 to fuels-Mostly research-
Conversion by microalgae--System commissioning/ system operations (TRL 8–9)
Microbial conversion--Demonstration scale (TRL 7)
Hydrogenation of CO2--Demonstration scale/system operation (TRL 7–9)
Organic synthesis of polycarbonates and urea--System operations (TRL 9)
Note: * Scale from 1 (initial) to 9 (mature). Methodology depends on the source. ** CCU reflects a wide range of technologies, most of which have been demonstrated conceptually at the lab scale. The list of technologies is not intended to be exhaustive. *** Depending on industry.
Table
Table 2. Potential markets for CO2-based products.
Table 2. Potential markets for CO2-based products.
CO2-based productProduction, Mt/yPotential CO2 Utilization (Mt CO2/y) [26]Unit price (USD/ton) [55]Potential CO2 Utilization (gigatons) in 2030 [49]Potential Annual Revenue (billion USD) in 2030 [49]
Methane1100–1500 [26]3000–4000200–250
Urea180 [56]132.3370–450
Calcium carbonate113.9 [57]5030–350
Ethanol80 [26]152.88480–530
Methanol65 [26]89.245460–5000.005–0.051–12
Formalgehyde62 [26]25.73490–1000
Others*71.1747.128
Aggregates 0.3–3.615–150
Fuels 1.07–2.110–250
Concrete 0.6–1.4150–400
Polymers 0.0001–0.0022–25
* See details in [26].
Table
Table 3. Comparison of sequestration projects databases.
Table 3. Comparison of sequestration projects databases.
DatabaseOpen AccessNumber of ProjectsProjects DescriptionLast Update
National Energy Technology LaboratoryYes305Yes2018
Global CCS InstituteYes176Yes2018–2019
Knoema Large-Scale Carbon Capture Projects DatabaseNoAround 50No information2018
Statista Global Large-Scale Sequestration ProjectsNoNo informationNo information2017
ZeroCO2.no DatabaseYes207Yes2013 (2016 for the USA, 2014 for the UK)
Opendatasoft.com Large-Scale Carbon Capture Projects DatabaseYes44Yes (limited)No information
MIT CCS Technologies DatabaseYesAround 100Yes2016
Third Way DatabaseYes301Yes (limited)2018
SCOT Project DatabaseYes212 (CCUS and CCU)Yes (limited)No information
Table
Table 4. Key steps of the databases analysis.
Table 4. Key steps of the databases analysis.
StepsNETLGCCSI
Data collection305 projects176 projects
Project classification:
CCS, CCUS, and CCU		The description of each project was studied. If the information was not sufficient, other databases and publicly available information (case studies, reports, articles, etc.) were used.
Removal of projects not suitable
for current study		Removed: “Terminated”; and “Hold”; status *, type “Capture”; only, Zero Capture/Storage Amount, no utilization/storage aim of the project (191 in total).
“Terminated”; and “Hold”; projects (97 in total) were removed from the main data set, but are shown in Table 7.		Removed: Test Centers, only Capture, unsuitable “other initiatives”;, initiatives with zero CO2 capacity (57 in total).
Determination of key projects’
characteristics for further analysis		The following characteristics were considered for comparison: title of the project, country, start date, end date, type of project (CCS/CCUS/CCU), volume of CO2 disposal/utilization.
Search for missed dataAs with project classification, third-party data sources were used. One of the problems faced by the authors is the lack of sufficient information about new and small-scale CCU projects, which was only partially solved.
Databases merging and
removal of duplicates		Due to the heterogeneity of the databases, the analysis was carried out manually, by searching for information on each project. During merging of databases, 34 repeats were identified (out of 233 records).
Calculation of CCS, CCUS,
and CCU capacities		Total number of projects–199, including 81 from NETL and 118 from GCCSI. Among these projects, 33 were defined as “Potential”; and moved to a separated dataset. Total annual capacity was calculated as a sum of all project capacities in this group (CCS, CCUS, CCU).
Abbreviations: NETL = National Energy Technology Laboratory; GCCSI = Global CCS Institute/.
Table
Table 5. Distribution of projects by country.
Table 5. Distribution of projects by country.
CountryCompletedActiveTotal
CCSCCUSCCUCCSCCUSCCU
Algeria1000001
Australia50120210
Brazil0100315
Canada24015113
China06117520
Croatia0001001
Cross-country1000056
Denmark1000001
England0001001
France1001013
Germany2000002
Iceland1001002
India0000011
Italy0001001
Japan1101115
Mexico0000101
Netherlands0201014
Norway0002002
Poland0200002
Romania0000101
Saudi Arabia0000112
Spain0002002
Taiwan0001001
United Arab Emirates0000101
United States17240130678
Total32402175025
Table
Table 6. Distribution of projects by lifetime period.
Table 6. Distribution of projects by lifetime period.
YearsCompletedActiveTotal
CCSCCUSCCUCCSCCUSCCU
169120119
238012216
3510002017
445001313
525113214
662011212
742017216
81100103
933013212
1021015413
111100349
120003216
130000202
140200204
15 and more02015210
Median533899
Table
Table 7. Planned capacity of CO2 sequestration projects.
Table 7. Planned capacity of CO2 sequestration projects.
CountryCCSCCUSCCU
Number of ProjectsPlanned Capacity (Mtpa)Number of ProjectsPlanned Capacity (Mtpa)Number of ProjectsPlanned Capacity (Mtpa)
Australia39.830 21.004
Belgium 10.120
Canada 21.750
China21.01066.310
Indonesia10.010
Ireland12.500
Netherlands 25.000
Norway10.800
South Africa10.010 10.100
South Korea22.000
United Kingdom610.500
United States 14.20010.030
Table
Table 8. Distribution of cancelled and postponed projects by country.
Table 8. Distribution of cancelled and postponed projects by country.
CountryPostponedCancelledCountryPostponedCancelled
Algeria10Italy11
Australia29Malaysia10
Bulgaria10Netherlands23
Canada53Norway31
China31Poland02
Denmark10Scotland14
Finland01United Arab Emirates10
France10United Kingdom15
Germany23United States929

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Tcvetkov, P.; Cherepovitsyn, A.; Fedoseev, S. The Changing Role of CO2 in the Transition to a Circular Economy: Review of Carbon Sequestration Projects. Sustainability 2019, 11, 5834. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11205834

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Tcvetkov P, Cherepovitsyn A, Fedoseev S. The Changing Role of CO2 in the Transition to a Circular Economy: Review of Carbon Sequestration Projects. Sustainability. 2019; 11(20):5834. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11205834

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Tcvetkov, Pavel, Alexey Cherepovitsyn, and Sergey Fedoseev. 2019. "The Changing Role of CO2 in the Transition to a Circular Economy: Review of Carbon Sequestration Projects" Sustainability 11, no. 20: 5834. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11205834

APA Style

Tcvetkov, P., Cherepovitsyn, A., & Fedoseev, S. (2019). The Changing Role of CO2 in the Transition to a Circular Economy: Review of Carbon Sequestration Projects. Sustainability, 11(20), 5834. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11205834

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