Abstract
The current literature highlights several state-of-health (SOH) prediction models for lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries used in electric vehicles (EVs). However, a thorough comparative analysis remains absent. This study addresses this gap by conducting a comprehensive evaluation of SOH prediction methods for Li-ion batteries in EV applications, encompassing direct measurement techniques, physics-based approaches, and data-driven methodologies. The analysis identifies the strengths, limitations, and applicability of each modeling method. Additionally, this study explores key indicators of SOH, influential variables affecting battery health, and publicly available datasets that support SOH modeling. By synthesizing these insights, the research provides recommendations for improving existing models and outlines prospective directions for enhancing the accuracy and efficiency of SOH estimation in EV applications. This work aims to contribute to the development of robust, accurate, and practical SOH models, thereby advancing the reliability and sustainability of Li-ion battery systems in the growing EV industry.
1. Introduction
Lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries have fundamentally transformed energy storage, emerging as the leading technology in consumer electronics, electric vehicles (EVs) [], and renewable energy systems. Their superior energy density, extended cycle life, and relatively low weight render them optimal for a broad spectrum of applications. In contrast to conventional batteries, Li-ion batteries operate by transferring lithium ions between the anode and cathode during charge and discharge cycles, facilitating efficient energy storage.
Predicting the state of health (SOH) of Li-ion batteries remains a significant challenge due to the complex interplay of capacity degradation, environmental sensitivity, and operational variability. Batteries experience diverse usage patterns, such as fluctuating charge/discharge rates, depth of discharge (DoD), and cycling frequencies, which directly impact degradation rates. For example, electric vehicle (EV) batteries endure rapid, dynamic load profiles, whereas grid storage batteries face slower, more consistent cycles. Environmental factors, particularly temperature fluctuations, further complicate SOH prediction, as high temperatures accelerate side reactions such as solid electrolyte interphase (SEI) growth, while low temperatures increase internal resistance. These variations hinder the development of generalizable models, often resulting in inaccurate predictions in real-world applications [,].
Additional challenges include data quality and availability, nonlinear degradation behavior, and real-world noise. High-quality datasets encompassing diverse operating conditions are often limited, restricting the accuracy and generalizability of data-driven models. Battery degradation is inherently nonlinear, with capacity fade occasionally accelerating abruptly after a specific number of cycles, complicating long-term SOH estimation. Real-world data are also susceptible to noise and uncertainties, such as measurement errors and sensor drift, which undermine the reliability of SOH estimates, particularly in online applications. Moreover, while high-fidelity models such as physics-based or hybrid approaches offer precision, their computational complexity often renders them unsuitable for real-time battery management systems (BMSs). These challenges underscore the need for robust, adaptive models capable of addressing variability, noise, and computational constraints while maintaining predictive accuracy [,].
Despite these challenges, ongoing research and development efforts are concentrated on enhancing their performance, safety, and sustainability, thereby enabling their further integration and adoption in the future [,].
The state of health (SOH) of Li-ion batteries refers to their current performance relative to their initial capacity. This critical metric assesses the battery’s ability to store and deliver charge efficiently over time [,]. Several factors influence SOH, including aging, temperature fluctuations, charge cycles, and deep discharges. As Li-ion batteries age, their capacity progressively declines due to internal chemical changes, such as the degradation of the electrolyte and the formation of the solid electrolyte interphase (SEI) layer on the anode. The monitoring of the SOH is essential for predicting battery lifespan and optimizing its usage [,]. Techniques such as voltage-based methods and impedance spectroscopy are commonly employed to evaluate SOH. With the increasing demand for electric vehicles and renewable energy storage, understanding and improving SOH is vital for enhancing battery reliability and performance [,].
Despite the availability of several literature reviews on the evaluation of the state of health (SOH) of electric vehicle (EV) Li-ion batteries, they present certain limitations. For instance, ref. [] reviewed strategies for monitoring Li-ion battery SOH [], but this study is not exhaustive and primarily focuses on early generations of EVs. Additionally, ref. [] classified battery SOH assessment techniques into experimental and physics-based approaches, yet a comprehensive analysis of the advantages and disadvantages of each method is lacking []. Studies by [,] explored methodologies for estimating battery SOH [,], but did not address the various factors influencing the SOH of Li-ion batteries. Furthermore, ref. [] introduced data-driven approaches for estimating battery SOH, including machine learning and differential analysis; however, it did not consider alternative SOH prediction techniques, such as electrochemical models.
Given the knowledge gaps identified earlier, the aim of this study is to conduct a comprehensive literature analysis on various approaches used to predict the state of health (SOH) of electric vehicle (EV) Li-ion batteries. This paper will explore a range of methodologies, from traditional physics-based models to more modern data-driven techniques. Additionally, it will compile relevant data sources, key factors, and indicators related to Li-ion battery SOH. The findings from this study are expected to contribute to the development of enhanced models and applications for assessing SOH in EV-based Li-ion batteries.
2. Benchmark of Li-Ion Batteries SOH
Monitoring SOH is crucial for ensuring the longevity and performance of Li-ion batteries, particularly in EVs []. Below are several benchmarks used to assess the SOH of a Li-ion battery:
- Capacity fade;
- Internal resistance;
- Voltage and voltage profile;
- Cycle life;
- Temperature behavior;
- Self-discharge rate;
- State of charge (SOC) accuracy.
Table 1 summarizes the key benchmarks for assessing the SOH of Li-ion batteries, their definitions, measurement methods, and significance in evaluating the SOH. By analyzing these benchmarks, researchers can assess battery health, detect potential failure types, and optimize battery management systems. This contributes to extended battery life and enhanced performance.
Table 1.
Benchmarks for assessing the state of health (SOH) of Li-ion batteries.
3. Public Datasets for Li-Ion Batteries SOH
To construct a Li-ion battery SOH model, several publicly available datasets may be employed to evaluate battery deterioration and forecast the remaining usable life (RUL) of batteries. Some of these significant datasets are the following:
- NASA battery dataset (battery aging data);
- The CALCE battery dataset;
- SELI dataset (Swedish Electric Vehicle Fleet);
- UCI Machine Learning Repository: battery SOH dataset;
- Battery Management System (BMS) battery dataset;
- The G2 battery dataset;
- ECOBATT dataset;
- The LIB battery dataset.
Table 2 summarizes the description, usefulness, and access information for key datasets related to the SOH of Li-ion batteries. These datasets provide extensive information on battery performance and degradation, essential for developing SOH models and conducting prognostic analysis. Researchers can select a suitable dataset based on the specific requirements of electric vehicle (EV) applications. The available access links are given directly in Appendix A.
Table 2.
Public datasets for Li-Ion batteries SOH analysis.
4. Li-Ion Batteries SOH Modeling Techniques
Accurate SOH modeling is vital for forecasting battery aging, optimizing performance, and estimating remaining useful life. Various methodologies have been proposed for SOH modeling, each differing in complexity, precision, and computational requirements. The key methodologies for SOH modeling include the following:
- Empirical models;
- Physics-based models;
- Data-driven models;
- Kalman filtering and extended Kalman filtering;
- Hybrid models.
Figure 1 depicts an illustration of the Li-ion batteries SOH modeling techniques.
Figure 1.
Illustration of Li-ion batteries SOH modeling techniques.
4.1. Empirical Models
Empirical models for SOH prediction are grounded in experimental data and aim to capture the relationships between a battery’s internal state and its operational characteristics. These models are essential for estimating battery life and improving BMS. Below are key empirical approaches for SOH modeling:
- Capacity-based models;
- Voltage-based models;
- Impedance-based models;
- Coulomb counting and charge/discharge profiles;
- Empirical regression models;
- Piecewise models.
Table 3 provides a detailed summary of these empirical models, including their types and representative examples. These approaches are critical for practical applications, enabling effective SOH estimation and optimization in various Li-ion battery systems.
Table 3.
Empirical models, types, definitions, and examples.
4.2. Physics-Based Models
Physics-based models for assessing SOH of Li-ion batteries focus on accurately representing the electrochemical and physical processes that drive performance degradation over time. SOH quantitatively reflects the battery’s ability to store and deliver energy compared to its original state and encompasses critical parameters such as capacity loss, impedance growth, and reduced cycle life. The key methodologies within this modeling paradigm include the following:
- Pseudo-2D Model—a detailed representation of electrochemical interactions and ion transport.
- Equivalent Circuit Model (ECM)—A simplified electrical analog of battery behavior.
- Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy (EIS)—A frequency-based diagnostic tool for identifying degradation mechanisms.
Table 4 provides an overview of the applications of these physics-based models in Li-ion battery SOH analysis:
Table 4.
Applications of physics-based models.
4.3. Data-Driven Models
Data-driven models for the estimation of the state of health (SOH) of Li-ion batteries have emerged as a critical area of research, providing an efficient approach for predicting battery health using real-time data and operational parameters. These models leverage various techniques from machine learning, artificial intelligence, and data analytics to improve the accuracy of SOH predictions. Notable methodologies include the following:
- Machine learning and Deep Learning;
- Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) and Long Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTMs)
- Gaussian processes (GPs)
- Support Vector Regression (SVR)
- Feature Engineering and Sensor Fusion
Table 5 presents a detailed overview of these data-driven models, their definitions, and applications. These approaches have demonstrated substantial effectiveness in predicting battery SOH and are increasingly integrated into BMS. The performance of these models is primarily influenced by the quality and volume of the available data and their ability to capture the complex, nonlinear, and dynamic characteristics of battery aging.
Table 5.
Data-driven models, definitions, and applications.
4.4. Kalman Filtering and Extended Kalman Filtering
The assessment of the SOH for Li-ion batteries is crucial for evaluating their performance, longevity, and safety. Kalman filtering (KF) and Extended Kalman filtering (EKF) are widely used techniques for SOH estimation, utilizing system models to filter and assess the battery’s internal condition based on noisy or corrupted measurements. In the typical application of KF for Li-ion battery modeling, a state-space model is employed to represent the dynamic behavior of the battery. This model incorporates various internal variables, such as voltage, current, and temperature, as part of the system’s state. The measurement update in the Kalman filter adjusts the predicted state by incorporating actual measurements, such as voltage or current, with the Kalman gain determining the weight assigned to the forecast in relation to the measurements. KF is commonly used to simulate internal resistance over time by integrating voltage and current readings, which is a critical metric for estimating SOH. Additionally, SOH can be inferred from the variance between the predicted resistance and its original value [].
While the Kalman filter is effective for linear systems, Li-ion batteries exhibit nonlinear dynamics due to complex electrochemical processes. To address these nonlinearities, the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) is often employed. The EKF linearizes the nonlinear model through a first-order Taylor expansion around the current state estimate, allowing the application of Kalman filtering to nonlinear systems. A typical nonlinear model concerns the battery’s capacity, which degrades over time. The EKF can estimate this capacity by monitoring the battery’s terminal voltage and current throughout a charge/discharge cycle, refining the state estimation with the collected data [].
4.5. Hybrid Models
Hybrid modeling approaches for SOH estimation in Li-ion batteries integrate physics-based and data-driven methodologies to enhance prediction accuracy. This synergistic approach leverages the strengths of both paradigms: physics-based models provide a fundamental understanding of electrochemical degradation mechanisms, while data-driven models capitalize on empirical observations and machine learning techniques.
For instance, integrating artificial neural networks (ANNs) with electrochemical models improves SOH prediction by capturing both real-time operational data and the underlying physics of battery operation. This enables the model to accurately represent nonlinear and dynamic behavior, including the effects of temperature fluctuations, charge/discharge cycles, and internal resistance, which are crucial for accurate remaining useful life (RUL) estimation and performance degradation prediction [].
Hybrid models effectively address the limitations of individual approaches. When data are sparse or noisy, physics-based models provide a robust framework, while data-driven models enhance accuracy and adaptability in complex real-world scenarios with varying operating conditions. This hybrid approach has demonstrated significant potential in battery management systems (BMSs) for optimizing battery usage and extending operational lifespans [,].
Examples of successful hybrid approaches include the following:
- EIS combined with machine learning algorithms: enables real-time SOH monitoring with improved accuracy and sensitivity [].
- Hybrid models integrated with prognostics: facilitate the accurate prediction of failure modes and maintenance schedules in electric vehicles [].
These advancements underscore the growing importance of hybrid modeling in developing advanced BMSs and improving the sustainability and efficiency of battery systems across various applications, including electric vehicles and renewable energy storage.
5. Strength and Weakness of Li-Ion SOH Modeling Estimation Techniques
Table 6 outlines the estimation methodologies employed for modeling the SOH of Li-ion batteries. These five techniques are effective at uncovering complex relationships between operational parameters and SOH, enabling the development of prediction models that can be applied across various battery chemistries and usage scenarios. Data-driven approaches, for instance, are particularly adept at learning intricate, nonlinear patterns from large datasets. They can adapt to evolving conditions and account for nonlinear degradation processes, making them well suited for real-time applications. However, such methods are heavily reliant on vast and diverse datasets for effective training, with the quality and variety of data being crucial for accurate predictions. Additionally, data-driven models often lack the interpretability of physics-based models, making it challenging to understand the underlying mechanisms driving the degradation processes.
On the other hand, physics-based models simulate the internal thermal and electrochemical dynamics of the battery, providing outputs that are often more interpretable compared to those generated by data-driven methods. This interpretability allows for a deeper understanding of the battery’s degradation mechanisms, such as capacity fade, impedance growth, and internal resistance variations. However, while these models offer valuable insights into battery behavior, they may not capture the full complexity of real-world scenarios, especially under dynamic and varied operating conditions. Therefore, hybrid approaches that combine the strengths of both data-driven and physics-based models have been proposed to improve both the predictive accuracy and interpretability of SOH estimation, addressing the limitations of each individual methodology [,,,,,,,,,,].
The integration of multiple modeling methodologies presents a promising avenue for future research on the state of health (SOH) of electric vehicle (EV) batteries. However, the hybrid approach often demands substantial computational resources, which can hinder its applicability in real-time SOH monitoring applications [,,,,,,,,].
Table 6.
Strengths and weaknesses of Li-ion SOH modeling estimation techniques.
Table 6.
Strengths and weaknesses of Li-ion SOH modeling estimation techniques.
| Model Type | Strengths | Limitations and Weaknesses | Practical Applicability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pseudo-2D Model |
|
Limited to lab-scale validation
| Simulates electrochemical processes (e.g., lithium-ion diffusion) for detailed degradation analysis []. Example: Used to study capacity fade in NMC batteries under high C-rates []. |
| Physics-based Models |
|
| Captures degradation mechanisms (e.g., SEI growth, lithium plating) for long-term SOH prediction []. Example: Applied to predict capacity loss in LFP batteries at varying temperatures []. |
| Data-driven Models |
|
| Uses machine learning (e.g., ANN, SVM, Random Forest) for SOH estimation from operational data []. Example: Random Forest used to predict SOH in EV batteries with 95% accuracy []. |
| Kalman Filter (KF) and Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) Models | KF:
| KF:
| KF: Estimates SOH in real-time using voltage and current measurements []. Example: KF used for online SOH estimation in BMS applications, achieving < 3% error []. EKF: Handles nonlinear battery dynamics for improved SOH estimation []. Example: EKF applied to estimate SOH in Li-ion batteries under dynamic load conditions []. |
| Hybrid Models |
|
| Combines physics-based and data-driven approaches for robust SOH estimation []. Example: Hybrid model used to predict RUL in grid storage batteries with 90% accuracy []. |
6. Future-Estimation Techniques for the SOH of Li-Ion Batteries
6.1. Future Research Directions
Future advancements in SOH estimation will likely involve the integration of diverse techniques, including advanced machine learning algorithms, sophisticated electrochemical models, and hybrid approaches []. This multi-pronged approach aims to enhance predictive accuracy, improve adaptability to dynamic operating conditions, and more precisely account for aging phenomena, such as capacity fade and impedance growth []. Hybrid models, combining the strengths of physics-based and data-driven approaches, offer a promising avenue, providing both interpretability and adaptability to real-world battery usage scenarios [].
The integration of advanced sensor data with sophisticated predictive algorithms is crucial for real-time SOH monitoring and early detection of performance degradation, enabling proactive maintenance and extending battery lifespan in practical applications []. These advancements will contribute to the development of more intelligent battery management systems (BMSs), facilitating the transition towards sustainable and reliable energy storage solutions for electric vehicles and other applications [,].
6.2. Current Limitations
The limited availability of high-quality, diverse datasets poses a significant challenge, hindering model generalization and restricting the scope of research. Many machine learning models exhibit a black-box nature, limiting interpretability and hindering trust in their predictions. Adapting models to different battery chemistries and operating conditions remains difficult. Moreover, the high computational demands of some algorithms limit their applicability in resource-constrained environments. Finally, the lack of reliable uncertainty estimates hinders robust decision-making in safety-critical applications [,].
6.3. Potential Solutions
Transfer learning can mitigate data scarcity and improve model adaptability by leveraging knowledge from one battery type to another. New techniques in explainable AI can enhance model interpretability and build trust. Combining data-driven and physics-based approaches in hybrid models can improve both accuracy and interpretability. Edge computing and model compression techniques can enable real-time SOH estimation on embedded systems. Developing models that provide reliable uncertainty estimates, such as Bayesian neural networks, is crucial for improved decision-making. Federated learning enables collaborative model training across multiple devices while preserving data privacy [,].
6.4. Resolving Limitations
Overcoming data scarcity requires employing data augmentation and synthetic data generation techniques. Developing flexible and adaptable model architectures can improve generalizability and reduce retraining needs. Collaborative research and open data initiatives are essential for building comprehensive and diverse datasets. Establishing standardized battery aging protocols will facilitate the generation of consistent and comparable datasets, enabling the development of more robust and generalizable models [,].
7. Conclusions
This comprehensive review critically analyzes current research on the SOH estimation for Li-ion batteries in EEVs. A key focus lies in defining and evaluating relevant SOH benchmarks, assessing their significance in assessing battery performance. Furthermore, this review examines publicly available datasets used for SOH estimation, evaluating their utility, accessibility, and data quality, which are crucial for the development and validation of accurate SOH estimation models.
This review investigates a range of SOH estimation methodologies, including empirical, physics-based, data-driven (including machine learning), Kalman filtering (including the Extended Kalman Filter), and hybrid models that combine data-driven and electrochemical approaches. Each technique is critically assessed for its strengths, limitations, and practical applicability.
Finally, this review explores future directions for SOH estimation in EV batteries, emphasizing the need for integrating diverse modeling techniques, developing comprehensive battery lifecycle datasets, and utilizing advanced predictive algorithms. These advancements aim to enhance real-time SOH monitoring capabilities and extend the operational lifespan of batteries in practical applications.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, E.H.E.B. and H.A.; methodology, E.H.E.B. and H.A.; software, E.H.E.B., M.D.S. and H.A.; validation, E.H.E.B., M.D.S. and H.A.; formal analysis, E.H.E.B., M.D.S. and H.A.; investigation, E.H.E.B. and H.A.; resources, E.H.E.B., M.D.S. and H.A.; data curation, E.H.E.B., M.D.S. and H.A.; writing—original draft preparation, E.H.E.B., M.D.S. and H.A.; writing—review and editing, E.H.E.B., M.D.S. and H.A.; visualization, E.H.E.B., M.D.S. and H.A.; supervision, E.H.E.B.; project administration, E.H.E.B., M.D.S. and H.A.; funding acquisition, E.H.E.B., M.D.S. and H.A. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This research received no external funding.
Data Availability Statement
No new data were created or analyzed in this study. Data sharing is not applicable to this article.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
Abbreviations
The following abbreviations are used in this manuscript:
| ANN | Artificial neural network |
| BMS | Battery management system |
| ECM | Equivalent Circuit Model |
| EIS | Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy |
| EKF | Extended Kalman filter |
| EV | Electric vehicle |
| GP | Gaussian process |
| KF | Kalman filter |
| Li-ion | Lithium-ion |
| LFP | Lithium iron phosphate |
| LSTM | Long Short-Term Memory |
| RF | Random Forest |
| RNN | Recurrent neural network |
| RUL | Remaining useful life |
| SEI | Solid Electrolyte Interphase |
| SOH | State of health |
| SVM | Support vector machine |
| SVR | Support vector regression |
Appendix A
Table A1.
Access to available data.
Table A1.
Access to available data.
| Number of Accesses | Data Availability |
|---|---|
| 1 | https://www.nasa.gov (accessed on 15 December 2024). |
| 2 | https://calce.umd.edu/battery-data (accessed on 15 December 2024). |
| 3 | https://www.svenskaelektriska.se/ (accessed on 15 December 2024). |
| 4 | https://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/datasets (accessed on 15 December 2024). |
| 5 | https://www.kaggle.com/ (accessed on 15 December 2024). |
| 6 | Not publicly available but can be accessed upon request from GE or associated research projects. |
| 7 | https://www.ecobatt.eu/ (accessed on 15 December 2024). |
| 8 | Available via academic research groups on platforms like ResearchGate. |
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