Fuzzy Logic-Based Driving Style Classification for Lane-Change Prediction in Intelligent Transportation Systems
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. Background and Motivation
1.2. Importance of Driving Style in Road Safety and Lane Change Prediction
1.3. Literature Review on Driving Style Classification
| Algorithm 1 Assumptions to set for subjective ground truth labelling |
|
2. Vehicular Network in Intelligent Transportation Systems
3. Materials and Methods
3.1. Data for Driver Style Classification
3.2. Model Design for Driving Style with Fuzzy Logic Method
3.3. Methodology for Membership Function Design
- Speed (km/h): (Normal, Fast, Very Fast);
- Longitudinal Acceleration (m/s2): (Low, Medium, High);
- Lateral Acceleration (m/s2): (Low, Medium, High);
- Distance Headway (m): (Dangerous, Close, Safe, Very Safe).
3.4. Dataset Illustration for Membership Function Range Selection
3.5. Output Variable: Driving Style
3.6. Rules for Driving Style Classification
3.7. Defuzzification
4. Results and Discussion
4.1. Performance Evaluation for Driving Style Classification
4.2. Evaluation Without Ground Truth (Descriptive Analysis)
4.3. Evaluation with Subjective Ground Truth Labels from Algorithm 1
4.4. Comparison with K-Means Clustering and Computational Complexity
4.5. Random Forest Benchmark for Driving Style

4.6. Testing Driving Style for Lane-Change Prediction in ITS
4.7. Use Case: Leveraging Driving Style for Lane-Change Prediction in ITS
5. Conclusions and Future Work
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Ref. | Input/Parameters | Output/Styles | Data Collection | Fuzzy Shape | Rules | Evaluation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| [27] | Longitudinal acceleration, lateral acceleration, speed | Below mild, mild, reckless, very reckless | Accelerometer, GPS | Triangular, Trapezoidal | 11 rules | Various types of driving styles |
| [22] | Speed, accelerator, brake | Very passive, passive, normal, aggressive, dangerous | 3D simulator data | Triangular, Trapezoidal | Five rules | Using the normal model rules and compare with fuzzy output |
| [25] | Acceleration, deceleration, jerk | Calm, moderate, aggressive | Argoverse v1 Motion Forecasting Dataset | Trapezoidal | 135 rules created by eight experts | Comparison to clustering algorithms, comparison of different types of fuzzy |
| [28] | 27 multimodal descriptors across three layers (emotion, state, style) | Aggressive, normal, ecological | Artificial database | Triangular | Multilayer Fuzzy Classifier System | Large rule base leads to slower inference |
| [29] | Avg acceleration, deceleration, sudden events, violations | Aggressive, normal, calm | 50 drivers, naturalistic driving data collected on a real route | Triangular, trapezoidal | 15 human experts for ground truth, 10 rules | Compared with SVM, ANN, kNN, RF |
| [23] | Gas pedal, brake, route frame, cruise control usage, driving up to 87 km/h | Very poor, poor, acceptable, good, very good | Telematics system | Triangular, trapezoidal | Hundreds of multi-input fuzzy rules | Numerical score mapped to a driving style category |
| [24] | Maximum, minimum, and ratio of acceleration and deceleration; maximum, mean velocity | High, medium and low velocity | Actual vehicle data collected from an EV in Qingdao (9.3 km) | Fuzzy logic rules to map driving style | Knowledge of experts rules | Battery consumption reduction comparison |
| Feature | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|---|---|---|
| Speed (km/h) | 108.4 | 72.5 | 180.9 |
| Longitudinal Acceleration (m/s2) | 0.22 | 0.0 | 2.95 |
| Distance Headway (m) | 73.72 | 5.23 | 391.17 |
| Lateral Acceleration (m/s2) | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.56 |
| Feature | Fuzzy Set | Type | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Speed (km/h) | normal | Trap. | 70–125 |
| fast | Tri. | 115–155 | |
| very fast | Trap. | 145–185 | |
| Longitudinal Acceleration (m/s2) | low | Trap. | 0–0.7 |
| medium | Tri. | 0.5–1.4 | |
| high | Trap. | 1.2–4.0 | |
| Lateral Acceleration (m/s2) | low | Trap. | 0–0.25 |
| medium | Tri. | 0.15–0.50 | |
| high | Trap. | 0.40–1.0 | |
| Distance Headway (m) | dangerous | Trap. | 0–65 |
| close | Tri. | 40–120 | |
| safe | Tri. | 100–280 | |
| very safe | Trap. | 200–400 | |
| Driving Style (Output) | cautious | Tri. | 0–45 |
| normal | Tri. | 45–75 | |
| aggressive | Tri. | 75–100 |
| Rule | Antecedents (If) | Consequent (Then) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | distance headway (“dangerous”) or longitudinal acceleration (“high”) or lateral acceleration (“high”) | Aggressive |
| 2 | speed (“very fast”) and distance headway (“close”) | Aggressive |
| 3 | longitudinal acceleration (“high”) and distance headway (“close”) | Aggressive |
| 4 | speed (“very fast”) and longitudinal acceleration (“medium”) | Aggressive |
| 5 | distance headway (“very safe”) and longitudinal acceleration (“low”) and speed (“normal”) | Cautious |
| 6 | distance headway (“safe”) and longitudinal acceleration (“low”) | Cautious |
| 7 | distance headway (“safe”) and speed (“fast”) and longitudinal acceleration (“medium”) | Normal |
| 8 | distance headway (“close”) and speed (“normal”) | Normal |
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Koc, M.F.; Ashraf, N.; Pathak, P.; Sharma, S. Fuzzy Logic-Based Driving Style Classification for Lane-Change Prediction in Intelligent Transportation Systems. Future Internet 2026, 18, 256. https://doi.org/10.3390/fi18050256
Koc MF, Ashraf N, Pathak P, Sharma S. Fuzzy Logic-Based Driving Style Classification for Lane-Change Prediction in Intelligent Transportation Systems. Future Internet. 2026; 18(5):256. https://doi.org/10.3390/fi18050256
Chicago/Turabian StyleKoc, Muhammed Fatih, Nouman Ashraf, Pramod Pathak, and Sachin Sharma. 2026. "Fuzzy Logic-Based Driving Style Classification for Lane-Change Prediction in Intelligent Transportation Systems" Future Internet 18, no. 5: 256. https://doi.org/10.3390/fi18050256
APA StyleKoc, M. F., Ashraf, N., Pathak, P., & Sharma, S. (2026). Fuzzy Logic-Based Driving Style Classification for Lane-Change Prediction in Intelligent Transportation Systems. Future Internet, 18(5), 256. https://doi.org/10.3390/fi18050256

