A Composite Index for Tracking the Evolution towards Energy Transition at Urban Scale: The Turin Case Study
Abstract
:1. Introduction
Literature Review
2. Methodology
2.1. Conceptual Framework
2.2. Normalization
2.3. Weighting and Aggregation
- Bottom level: aggregation of normalized indicators belonging to the same sub-domain to calculate the sub-domain performance index;
- Middle level: aggregation of indexes belonging to the same domain to calculate the domain performance index (Energy, Environmental and Socio-Economic);
- aggregation of the three indexes to obtain the final UETI.
3. Case Study: Energy Transition in Turin
4. Discussion
4.1. Comparative Analysis with Other Studies
4.2. Correlation Analysis
4.3. Sensitivity Analysis
4.4. Policy Implications
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Performance Indicators | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Installed RES capacity (MW) | 18.5 | 18.9 | 19.7 | 21.3 | 22.4 | 23.6 |
Share RES in electricity consumption (%) | 4.8 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 3.2 |
Duration of outages (-) | 21.5 | 19.8 | 31.0 | 25.4 | 28.7 | 25.7 |
Average number of disconnections (-) | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Power loss (%) | 6.1 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
Number of RES-EV charging points (-) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 |
Number of EV charging points over 1000 EV + HV private vehicles (-) | 4.0 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 15.6 | 45.9 | 53.5 |
Number of EVs + hybrids over 1000 passenger vehicles (-) | 2.6 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 6.8 | 10.3 | 14.1 |
Cycle lanes (km/100 km2) | 139.0 | 146.6 | 151.6 | 153.8 | 159.2 | 166.1 |
Energy intensity residential sector (MWh/inhab) | 8.9 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.7 | 6.4 | 6.1 |
Energy intensity tertiary sector (MWh/kEUR) | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
Energy intensity transport (MWh/inhab) | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
Energy intensity industry (MWh/kEUR) | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
Energy intensity municipal service (MWh/m2) | 3.6 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.6 |
Green surface (ha/100,000 inhab) | 220.0 | 219.2 | 219.8 | 223.9 | 225.0 | 226.2 |
Pedestrian areas (m2/100 inhab) | 139.0 | 146.6 | 151.6 | 153.8 | 159.2 | 166.1 |
Municipal waste (kg/inhab) | 491.4 | 493.8 | 482.3 | 498.0 | 523.3 | 510.3 |
Sorted waste (%) | 41.6 | 42.4 | 42.1 | 44.7 | 46.6 | 47.7 |
Consumption (l/day·inhab) | 293.0 | 292.0 | 288.0 | 287.0 | 286.0 | 282.5 |
Loss (%) | 22.4 | 24.6 | 24.7 | 24.6 | 25.0 | 22.2 |
PM10 exceedances (n days/year) | 58.5 | 85.0 | 63.5 | 94.5 | 36.0 | 45.0 |
NO2 concentration (μg/m3) | 39.5 | 40.5 | 37.5 | 38.5 | 33.0 | 35.0 |
Carbon intensity (tCO2/inhab) | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.0 |
Deaths from respiratory system diseases (%) | 14.1 | 14.2 | 14.2 | 14.8 | 15.3 | 14.8 |
Mortality rate (n deaths/10,000 inhab) | 103.1 | 113.6 | 106.6 | 113.5 | 114.7 | 115.5 |
Energy–Environment Investments (%) | 4.9 | 3.7 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 9.0 | 9.7 |
Energy–Environment Added value (EUR) | 1761.4 | 1795.4 | 1709.9 | 1836.2 | 1961.9 | 1899.7 |
Energy–Environment Employment (%) | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
Income (kEUR/inhab) | 16.9 | 17.3 | 17.6 | 17.6 | 18.4 | 18.6 |
Energy poverty (%) | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 5.2 | 5.6 |
ID | Dataset Name | Data Source |
---|---|---|
DT1 | Dati di produzione e raccolta differenziata | ISPRA |
DT2 | Dati sui costi di gestione dei rifiuti urbani (pro capite o per chilogrammo di rifiuto) | ISPRA |
DT3 | Rifiuti_Produzione rifiuti speciali | ARPA PIEMONTE |
DT4 | Aria—la qualità dell’aria in Piemonte (Misure) | ARPA PIEMONTE |
DT5 | Bilancio di sostenibilità SMAT | SMAT |
DT6 | Ambiente urbano—Verde Urbano | ISTAT |
DT7 | Consumo del suolo | ISPRA |
DT8 | Istat_Tavole_Censimento_acque_per_uso_civile | ISTAT |
DT9 | Catasto Impianti Termici | REGIONE PIEMONTE |
DT10 | Iren—Bilancio di sostenibilità | IREN |
DT11 | Ambiente urbano—Energia | ISTAT |
DT12 | Dichiarazione non finanziaria | GTT |
DT13 | Autoritratto_2021—Circolante_Copert_2021 | ACI |
DT14 | Open Parco Veicoli | ACI |
DT15 | Ambiente urbano—Mobilità | ISTAT |
DT16 | Ambiente urbano—Eco management (dati su illuminazione pubblica) | ISTAT |
DT17 | Consumi energetici, Impianti e Attestazione di Prestazione Energetica—APE | REGIONE PIEMONTE |
DT18 | Popolazione residente ricostruita—Anni 2002–2019 | ISTAT |
DT19 | Reddito e principali variabili IRPEF su base subcomunale/comunale | MINISTERO DELL’ECONOMIA E FINANZE |
DT20 | Mortalità per cause | REGIONE PIEMONTE |
DT21 | Mortalità per territorio di evento | ISTAT |
DT22 | AAEP—Anagrafe delle Attività Economiche Produttive—Consultazione | REGIONE PIEMONTE |
DT23 | Principali aggregati territoriali di Contabilità Nazionale—Valore aggiunto per branca di attività | ISTAT |
DT24 | Imprese e addetti | ISTAT |
DT25 | Principali aggregati territoriali di Contabilità Nazionale—Investimenti fissi, lordi, interni e Spesa per consumi finali delle amministrazioni pubbliche | ISTAT |
DT26 | TAPE | COMUNE DI TORINO |
DT27 | Torino—Informacasa | COMUNE DI TORINO |
DT28 | Analisi del potenziale solare per i comuni dell’area metropolitana torinese | PROVINCIA DI TORINO |
DT29 | Relazione annuale relativa al funzionamento e alla sorveglianza dell’impianto—Termovalorizzatore Gerbido | IREN |
DT30 | Dichiarazione ambientale—Centrale di cogenerazione Torino Nord | IREN |
DT31 | Dichiarazione ambientale—Centrale di cogenerazione Moncalieri | IREN |
DT32 | STATO D’AVANZAMENTO ATTIVITA’ DISCARICA E ATTIVITÀ DI GESTIONE DEL BIOGAS | AMIAT |
DT33 | Annuario Statistico—Settore toponomastica e edilizia | COMUNE DI TORINO |
DT34 | INDAGINE SULLE SPESE DELLE FAMIGLIE: MICRODATI AD USO PUBBLICO | ISTAT |
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Sub-Domains | Performance Indicators |
---|---|
RES penetration | Installed RES capacity (MW) |
Share RES in electricity consumption (%) | |
Power grid quality | Duration of outages (-) |
Average number of disconnections (n.) | |
Power loss (%) | |
Green mobility | Number of RES-EV charging points (n.) |
Number of EV charging points over 1000 EV + HV private vehicles (n.) | |
Number of EVs + HVs over 1000 passenger vehicles (-) | |
Cycle lanes (km/100 km2) | |
Energy intensity | Energy intensity residential sector (MWh/inhab) |
Energy intensity tertiary sector (MWh/kEUR) | |
Energy intensity transport (MWh/Mpkm) | |
Energy intensity industry (MWh/kEUR) | |
Energy intensity municipal service (MWh/m2) | |
Land use | Green coverage (ha/100,000 inhab) |
Pedestrian areas (m2/100 inhab) | |
Waste | Municipal waste (kg/inhab) |
Sorted waste (%) | |
Water | Water consumption (l/day·inhab) |
Water loss (%) | |
Air pollutants | PM10 exceedances (n. days/year) |
NO2 concentration (μg/m3) | |
GHGs | Carbon intensity (tCO2/inhab) |
Health | Deaths from respiratory system diseases (%) |
Mortality rate (n deaths/10,000 inhab) | |
Economic impact | Energy–Environment Investments (%) |
Energy–Environment Added Value (EUR) | |
Energy–Environment Employment (%) | |
Well-being | Income (kEUR/inhab) |
Energy poverty (%) |
2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RES penetration | 0.50 | 0.37 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.44 | 0.55 |
Power grid quality | 0.62 | 0.58 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 0.61 |
Green mobility | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.20 | 0.34 | 0.62 | 1.00 |
Energy intensity | 0.21 | 0.58 | 0.65 | 0.74 | 0.52 | 0.83 |
Energy index | 0.33 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.46 | 0.54 | 0.75 |
Land use | 0.05 | 0.14 | 0.27 | 0.61 | 0.79 | 1.00 |
Waste | 0.39 | 0.43 | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.41 | 0.66 |
Water | 0.46 | 0.12 | 0.29 | 0.36 | 0.33 | 1.00 |
Air pollutants | 0.37 | 0.08 | 0.46 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.79 |
GHGs | 0.00 | 0.46 | 0.49 | 0.53 | 0.85 | 1.00 |
Environmental index | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.44 | 0.68 | 0.89 |
Health | 1.00 | 0.56 | 0.82 | 0.30 | 0.03 | 0.20 |
Economic impact | 0.49 | 0.30 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 0.68 | 0.81 |
Well-being | 0.30 | 0.59 | 0.59 | 0.72 | 0.62 | 0.50 |
Socio-economic index | 0.59 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.44 | 0.50 |
UETI | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.55 | 0.71 |
Correlation Analysis Ranges | |||
---|---|---|---|
Very Weak |r| ≤ 0.19 | Weak |r| = 0.2–0.39 | Moderate |r| = 0.4–0.59 | Strong or Very Strong |r| ≥ 0.60 |
22% | 11% | 6% | 61% |
Correlation of Urban Energy Transition Index (UETI) with its domains: | |||
DOMAINS | r | ||
Energy | 0.97 | ||
Environmental | 0.98 | ||
Socio-Economic | −0.12 | ||
Correlation of Energy Index with its sub-domains: | |||
SUB-DOMAINS | r | ||
RES penetration | 0.49 | ||
Power grid quality | 0.27 | ||
Green mobility | 0.98 | ||
Energy intensity | 0.73 | ||
Correlation of Environmental Index with its sub-domains: | |||
SUB-DOMAINS | r | ||
Land use | 0.96 | ||
Waste | 0.62 | ||
Water | 0.77 | ||
Air pollutants | 0.79 | ||
GHGs | 0.89 | ||
Correlation of Socio-Economic Index with its sub-domains: | |||
SUB-DOMAINS | r | ||
Health | 0.75 | ||
Economic impact | 0.21 | ||
Well-being | −0.96 |
Case | Objective | Description |
---|---|---|
C1 |
|
|
C2 | Omitting the sub-domains with the strongest correlations to assess how their exclusion impacts the overall composite index | Excluding the sub-domains with the strongest correlation (green mobility, land use, well-being) |
C3 | Understanding how the exclusion of a specific domain influences the score of UETI | Excluding one specific domain (Socio-Economic) and measuring the perfect compensability effect from additive aggregation |
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Desogus, E.; Bompard, E.; Grosso, D. A Composite Index for Tracking the Evolution towards Energy Transition at Urban Scale: The Turin Case Study. Energies 2024, 17, 1281. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17061281
Desogus E, Bompard E, Grosso D. A Composite Index for Tracking the Evolution towards Energy Transition at Urban Scale: The Turin Case Study. Energies. 2024; 17(6):1281. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17061281
Chicago/Turabian StyleDesogus, Eleonora, Ettore Bompard, and Daniele Grosso. 2024. "A Composite Index for Tracking the Evolution towards Energy Transition at Urban Scale: The Turin Case Study" Energies 17, no. 6: 1281. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17061281
APA StyleDesogus, E., Bompard, E., & Grosso, D. (2024). A Composite Index for Tracking the Evolution towards Energy Transition at Urban Scale: The Turin Case Study. Energies, 17(6), 1281. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17061281