3.1. Thermal Characteristics of a Domestic Convector
The results obtained for the baseline experiment (experiment 1) are presented in this section with the aim to analyze and better understand the thermal characteristics of a domestic convector using both qualitative and quantitative methods.
Figure 4 depicts the temperature variations on the front surface of the convector at different time instants, where t = 0 represents that the hot water start entering the convector at T
set of 70 °C and
of 0.5 lpm. It is noteworthy that throughout this study, the hot water enters the convector at bottom left corner and exits from bottom right corner of the convector. Moreover, in all the thermal images presented in this study, local instantaneous temperature at three different locations is shown, i.e., near the entry, top right corner and exit of the convector. The rationale behind choosing these specific locations is that maximum and minimum temperatures are expected at the entry and exit of the convector, while the farthest point from the entry is top right corner of the convector.
It can be seen in
Figure 4a, which is captured at t = 1.3 min, that hot water propagates vertically upwards through channel 1 (shown in
Figure 2) and then from the top channel, it starts descending into channels 3–11. This is contrary to popular belief that the convector starts heating from the bottom. This flow behavior within the convector is attributed to the thermal buoyancy of the flow which forces hot water to accumulate at the top of the convector and thus, the thermal energy dissipation is significantly more from the top of the convector. The maximum surface temperature recorded is 53 °C near the entry to the convector, while the temperature near the exit of the convector is 14 °C. The surface temperature recorded near the top right corner of the convector is 36 °C. Only after t = 2.5 min, water starts descending into channels 2 and 12, as shown in
Figure 4b. The potential reason for the delay in the flow of water through channels 2 and 14 is the sudden change in flow direction (for channel 2) and higher flow resistance initially (for channel 12). There is little change in the temperature near the entry, while the temperature near the top right corner and the exit have increased by 7 °C and 5 °C, respectively. Going further in time to t = 6.4 min (
Figure 4c), it can be seen that the entry temperature has risen by only 4 °C, while the temperature at the top right corner and at the exit have increased further by 8 °C and 20 °C. This clearly shows how domestic convectors warm up. Initially, hot water upon entering the convector rises upward and then descends into the different channels. While this happens, there is no build up of thermal energy anywhere in the convector and the hot water is still replacing the cold water present in the convector. Once the cold water has been completely replaced by hot water, temperatures across the convector start rising significantly (see
Figure 4d at t = 17.8 min). The entry temperature rises to 72 °C, the top corner temperature rises to 70 °C and the exit temperature rises to 62 °C. Thus, the region of the highest thermal energy dissipation on the surface of the convector is an L-shaped area going from the convector entry to the top right corner.
As mentioned earlier, local surface temperature data has been analyzed at 12 points, i.e., T1–T11, Inlet and Outlet (as shown in
Figure 3). This local temperature data are depicted in
Figure 5 where each curve represents one data point on the front surface of the convector. As expected, the temperature at the inlet is the highest and at the outlet it is the lowest, while the rest of the curves are in between these two. At the inlet, the temperature rises sharply to 50 °C as hot water at T
set = 70 °C enters the convector. The rate of increase in the temperature decreases gradually till the maximum temperature is achieved. Similar trends are observed for all other data points as well except those points which are at the bottom horizontal flow channel (T11 and Outlet). Data points which are closer to the inlet (T1, T4 and T7) depict a steeper initial temperature gradient, compared to those points which are farther away from the inlet (T3, T6 and T9). An interesting observation is that the final/maximum temperature reached at a particular point on the surface of the convector depends on the initial temperature gradient experienced at that point. Thus, the point near the entry of the convector (depicting steepest gradient) reaches the highest temperature (68 °C) anywhere on the surface of the convector. This is followed by points T1 (67 °C), T4 (66 °C) and T7 (65 °C) which are vertically in line with the inlet point (in vertical channel 1). The maximum temperature achieved at points T2, T5 and T8, which are in between vertical channels 6 and 7, is 65 °C, 63 °C and 60 °C, respectively. The maximum temperature recorded at points T3, T6 and T9 are 63 °C, 62 °C and 59 °C. Lastly, the maximum temperature achieved at T11 and the Outlet are 55 °C and 56 °C. Thus, the temperature difference between the Inlet and Outlet points is 12 °C. Another observation from this analysis is that when going from left to right in
Figure 3 (i.e., away from the entry of the convector), the temperature decreases such that the temperature difference between T1 and T2 (and between T2 and T3) is 2 °C, while between T4 and T5 is 3 °C, and between T7 and T8, it is 5 °C. Thus, the temperature difference decreases going away from the entry of the convector.
It is noteworthy here that as only the surface temperature of the convector has been recorded and analyzed in this study, the effects of the external environment such as the room temperature, etc. have not been considered. This also means that energy dissipation estimation from the convector surface to the ambient air is not included in this study. However, the authors are planning to build a control chamber through which the environmental conditions could be controlled. After a comprehensive local thermal characterization of a domestic convector heating process for a baseline scenario, parametric studies on the effects of inlet water temperature and flowrate are presented in the following sub-sections.
3.2. Effect of Inlet Water Temperature
The results for experiment 3, i.e., T
set = 50 °C and
= 0.5 lpm, are presented in
Figure 6 and
Figure 7, in order to investigate the effect of lowering inlet water temperature on the local thermal characteristics of the domestic convector, especially in comparison with higher inlet water temperature presented in the previous section. As mentioned earlier in this study, the aim here is to explore the feasibility of using lower inlet water temperature for space heating purposes so that the emissions and the carbon footprint of domestic boilers can be reduced, along with the feasibility of using alternative/renewable sources of energy, like geothermal water, for heating purposes.
Figure 6 depicts local temperature variations on the front surface of the domestic convector at T
set = 50 °C and
= 0.5 lpm, i.e., this flowrate is what is conventionally set in domestic boilers; however, the inlet water temperature is 20 °C lower. Firstly, as the caption of the figure indicates, the time taken by the convector to reach its maximum temperature is 10.3 min, which in the case of T
set = 70 °C, is 17.8 min. This is expected as T
set is lower and thus, for the same flowrate, the convector takes less time to heat-up. Now examining
Figure 6a–d, it is clear that the qualitative thermal trends are the same as observed in case of T
set = 70 °C, i.e., the water rises in channel 1 and then initially descends through channels 3–11, while the temperature recorded near the entry and exit of the convector keeps on increasing. The local thermal trends are also very similar to the previous case, suggesting that there is no significant difference in the heating pattern of the convector when the inlet water temperature is lowered, which is helpful to what this study is aiming to achieve, i.e., a sustainable and more energy efficient way of space heating using conventional domestic convectors, with the potential to use geothermal energy as the heat source.
With similarities in local qualitative thermal behavior between T
set = 70 °C and T
set = 50 °C, it is naturally expected that there will be significant quantitative similarities as well, which are depicted in
Figure 7a. A direct comparison between
Figure 5 and
Figure 7 is difficult because the T
set are different; in order to confirm the hypothesis that there is no significant difference in the thermal behavior of domestic convectors when inlet water temperature changes, data from both of these figures has been non-dimensionalised against its own T
set, while time has been non-dimensionalised against the time taken by the convector to reach the maximum temperature. The difference in these normalized temperatures between the two cases, as defined below, is shown in
Figure 7b for the four corners of the convector, i.e., T
1, T
3, Inlet and Outlet. This has been shown for the normalized time (t/t
max) of 1, i.e., when the convector reaches its peak temperature. It can be seen that the local temperature differences between the two cases under discussion is less than 10% anywhere on the convector surface, with an average difference of 6.6%, which confirms that there is no statistically significant thermal performance difference between T
set = 50 °C and T
set = 70 °C.
In order to capture the effect of varying inlet water temperature on the thermal characteristics of domestic convectors further,
Figure 8 depicts the average front surface temperature of the convectors at T
set = 50 °C, T
set = 60 °C and T
set = 50 °C, where the average front surface temperature is simply the statistical average of T1–T11, and the Inlet and Outlet temperature at any given instance. It can be seen that when T
set is lower, the maximum surface temperature attained by the convector is proportionally lower. Moreover, for lower T
set, the time taken by the convector to reach its peak temperature is also proportionally lower. Although both these observations have been made earlier as well, the data presented in
Figure 8 will be used later in this study to develop a prediction model for the average surface temperature of the convector.
3.3. Effect of Inlet Mass Flow Rate
The results for experiment six, i.e., T
set = 70 °C and
= 2.4 lpm, are presented in
Figure 9 and
Figure 10, in order to investigate the effect of increasing the mass flowrate of water passing through the domestic convector on its thermal characteristics. There are some noticeable differences compared to the aforementioned investigations in this study. Firstly, the time taken by the convector to reach its maximum temperature is significantly lower, i.e., 3.9 min, compared with 17.8 min when the flowrate is 0.5 lpm. Secondly, as shown in
Figure 9a, at the start of the heating cycle, as the water pressure is considerably higher, hot water rushes into the bottom flow channel. Meanwhile, it rises in vertical channel 1, followed by descent through vertical channels 3–11 (
Figure 9b). By this time, the surface temperature near the entry of the convector has already reached 73.5 °C, while the temperature at location T3 and near the outlet are still quite low (45 °C and 17 °C, respectively). In the next 0.8 min, the surface temperature at T3 sharply increases to 63 °C. Thus, it is evident from
Figure 9 that the thermal characteristics of the domestic convector vary as the mass flowrate of the water changes. In order to ascertain this, quantitative thermal analysis is required.
Figure 10a depicts the time history of the local surface temperature during the heating cycle for T
set = 70 °C and
= 2.4 lpm. In comparison with
Figure 4, it seems that there is not much difference between the two cases apart from the fact that the time taken to reach maximum temperature is lower in the case of
= 2.4 lpm. Upon careful examination, a significant difference between the two figures can be spotted, i.e., in
Figure 5, even at the end of the heating cycle, there was a noticeable difference in the local surface temperature recorded at different locations on the front surface of the convector. In the case of
= 2.4 lpm (
Figure 10a), the maximum temperature recorded at different points is not far away from each other. For example, in the case of
= 0.5 lpm, the maximum temperature recorded near the outlet of the convector at the end of the heating cycle was around 50 °C, while for
= 2.4 lpm, it was above 65 °C. It must be reminded here that T
set remains the same as in
Figure 4 and
Figure 10a, i.e., 70 °C.
In order to confirm that the thermal characteristics of the domestic convectors change by changing the inlet mass flowrate of water, the percentage difference in the non-dimensionalised local surface temperature at the four corners of the convector, at t/t
max of 1, has been plotted in
Figure 10b. It can be seen that the local temperature differences between
= 2.4 lpm and
= 0.5 lpm is more than 10% on the convector surface, with an average difference of 14.25%, which confirms that there is are statistically significant thermal performance differences between the two cases.
Considering the holistic view,
Figure 11 depicts the variations in the average front surface temperature of the convector for different water mass flowrates considered in this study. Firstly, it can be seen that as the mass flowrate of water increases, the time taken by the convector to reach the maximum temperature decreases. Secondly, as the mass flowrate increases, the average surface temperature curves shift upwards in the figure, again indicating quick heat up of the convector. Another observation is that when the mass flowrate is 0.5 lpm, the average surface temperature does not reach 70 °C. This is because the data are shown for 18 min only; if the curves were plotted for a longer time period, the curve representing 0.5 lpm would reach 70 °C. The experimental investigations carried out in the present study did not consider a controlled environment through which the rate of energy dissipation to ambient air could be controlled and estimated, leading to a further reduction in the time to reach the steady-state thermal conditions and thus aiding in further dynamic thermal behavior analyses. However, it does provide a basis for potential integration of renewable energy resources, like geothermal energy, to be used for space heating purposes, leading to a reduction in the emissions from burning natural gas and a more sustainable heating system.
3.4. Novel Model for Predicting Thermal Characteristics of Domestic Convectors
When analyzing the relationship between dependent and independent variables, there are a variety of statistical approaches that can be used to understand the correlation between these variables [
18,
19]. One such approach that is being utilized here is Multiple Variable Regression Analysis (MVRA), which is a high-order technique [
20,
21]. The independent (predictor) variables are weighted relative to their contribution to the final predicted value, known as the response variable [
22]. This allows for the analysis of data sets from multiple time series, leading to a predictive model for the response.
After carrying out a detailed local thermal characterization of a domestic convector, adequate data have been obtained in order to develop a prediction model for the average surface temperature of the convector. For this purpose, a multiple variable regression analysis has been carried out on the average surface temperature data presented in
Figure 8 and
Figure 11.
In this study, the predictor variable is T
avg while the response variables are T
set,
and time (t). Based on T
avg data, the prediction model is developed, which can be expressed as follows:
Certain checks need to be carried out in order to ascertain the validity of this prediction model. Firstly, we carry out a general test based on the observations made in
Figure 8 and
Figure 11. It has been discussed that as time increases, the average surface temperature of the convector increases because the water heats up the convector surface. This can be seen in the prediction model; the time (t) is in the numerator. Thus, the dissipation of thermal energy to the environment is proportional to time. It has also been discussed that as T
set increases, T
avg also increases (
Figure 8). T
set in the prediction model is again a numerator. Lastly, based on
Figure 11, as the mass flowrate of water increases, although the final/maximum average surface temperature is the same for the same T
set, at any given time instance (t), because of the gradients of T
avg curves, T
avg is higher. Thus, the mass flowrate is also in the numerator. Thus, generally speaking, it seems that the prediction model developed here is in line with the trends observed in this study. It must be noted that as t increases, and correspondingly, thermal energy is dissipated to the environment, the temperature of the space increases. This will result in a reduction of the temperature difference between the convector surface and the space, which will result in a reduction in the thermal energy dissipation to the environment. Thus, the temperature of the ambient environment is also a potential factor contributing towards space heating.
In order to validate the prediction model quantitatively, T
avg curves for T
set = 50 °C, 60 °C and 70 °C have been drawn and compared against the curves shown in
Figure 8. This comparative data analysis is presented in
Figure 12a. It can be clearly seen that the predicted T
avg matches closely with the recorded/calculated T
avg. Quantifying the differences between the calculated and predicted T
avg values, and also considering the effect of changing the mass flowrate of water passing through the convector,
Figure 12b depicts the percentage difference, as defined in Equation (1), between them. It can be seen that the average difference between the predicted and calculated T
avg is 7.6% considering all the cases considered in the present study, thus confirming the validity of the developed prediction model.
It must however be noted that the results presented in this study are limited to (i) the range of parameters considered, (ii) the environmental conditions considered, (iii) the single panel convectors, and (iv) the heating cycle of the convectors only. It is envisaged that future investigations will include multiple convector types, more controlled environmental conditions and a broader range of flow and thermal parameters. Moreover, energy efficiency and sustainability analyses are also part of the future work.