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Article

The Nexus between Economic Growth, Energy Consumption, Agricultural Output, and CO2 in Africa: Evidence from Frequency Domain Estimates

by
Adedoyin Isola Lawal
Department of Economics, Bowen University, Iwo 232102, Nigeria
Energies 2023, 16(3), 1239; https://doi.org/10.3390/en16031239
Submission received: 23 December 2022 / Revised: 10 January 2023 / Accepted: 16 January 2023 / Published: 23 January 2023
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Modeling Energy–Environment–Economy Interrelations)

Abstract

:
This study examined the nexus between economic growth, energy consumption, and the environment with the moderating role of agricultural value addition and forest in Africa based on data sourced from 1980 to 2019. We employed both the time domain and frequency domain panel Granger causality estimation techniques to compare results across the different horizons. Extant literature suggests the inability of time domain estimation techniques to account for causality at different frequencies. The study also accounts for the nexus among our variables both at the single-country and multi-country levels. The results at the single-country level are at best mixed. The results of the panel Granger causality at the frequencies domain suggest that a bi-directional relationship exists between energy consumption and economic growth, and that energy consumption Granger causes carbon emissions in Africa. The results align with the feedback hypothesis on the one hand but contradict the conservation hypothesis on the other hand. The study has some policy implications.

1. Introduction

In attaining sustainable development, energy, economics, and the environment play significant roles [1,2,3,4,5]. For instance, energy is crucial to the human economic and social development of any nation. It is estimated that global energy consumption will increase by about 56% from its current state in 2010 by the year 2040, as global aggregate demand is expected to double, given the expected increase in population [6,7,8,9,10,11,12]. However, the projected increase in total energy consumption is expected to be accompanied by an increase in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, which is a core factor in total greenhouse emission (GHG). The energy sector is responsible for about 61.4% of the total global GHG [13,14,15,16]. Ref. [7] noted that the contributions of agriculture sector to the GHG are estimated to be between 14–30%, though evidence abounds to show that the agricultural sector possesses the ability to reduce GHG by 80–88%. It is opined that forests possess the capacity to accumulate atmospheric carbon after converting CO2 into carbon and oxygen, and that about 430 tons of carbon per hectare is absorbed in the wet forest, hence, halting the effects of carbon emissions [17,18,19,20,21,22].
In the same vein, environmental degradation plays a crucial role in the continuous occurrence of natural disasters with unprecedented impacts on the economy. Disasters related to oil spillage, water pollution, solid waste management, deforestation, soil erosion, salinity and water, logging, and desertification, among others, affects the socio-economic wellbeing of a nation and increases climate change. Environmental degradation worsens with the exploitation of fossil fuels [23,24,25,26,27]. In order to mitigate this without losing a significant part of the energy output, economies over the years have opted for renewable energy sources [28,29,30]. Renewable energy offers clean and safer energy and can be derived from solar, tidal, wind, geothermal, hydro and biofuel power. Besides its alternative energy potential, it is useful in supporting employment, output, income, and job creation. Extant literature shows that the increase in economic growth and agricultural outputs have a positive impact on renewable energy [31,32]. Furthermore, given a global temperature increase of between 2–2.4 °C, renewable energy can help reduce carbon emissions by 50% by the year 2050. Besides its positive impact on the environment, renewable energy can reduce overdependency on foreign energy, given the fact that it is sourced domestically [33,34].
The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) emphasized the need to eradicate hunger (SDG 2), achieve clean energy utilization (SDG 7), achieve sustainable economic growth (SDG 8), adopt sustainable production and consumption (SDG 12), mitigate climate change through a sustainable clean environment (SDG 13), and adopt a global partnership model to achieve these goals (SDG 17). The nexus between these laudable metrics for sustainable development is key to exploring the linear and circular economic growth in any economy, be it regional or single country (Sarkodie 2020). Sub-Saharan Africa needs more energy than most continents of the world, given its ever-increasing, teaming population and quest for sustainable growth [35]. Even though the continent is endowed with an abundance of non-renewable energy like petroleum and other fossil fuels, the negative impacts of fossil fuel on the environment, such as the increase in GHG and other pollutants, calls for concerns. Although the contribution of Africa to global warming at present may be negligible compared with other continents, it is obvious that the continent will be disproportionately affected by its impact if nothing is done. To mitigate the impact of GHG on the continent, the African Development Bank (AfDB) adopted a ten-year green growth strategy (2013–2022) with an emphasis on developing the renewable energy potential capable of promoting resource efficiency and sustainable development.
Several theoretical models exist that explain the links between energy, the economy and the environment. For instance, Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) models suggest that at the initial stage of development, a direct positive relationship exists between economic growth proxy by real gross domestic product (RGDP) and environmental pollution, but the relationship becomes indirect after a threshold level of income is achieved. The pollution haven model suggests that in developing economies characterized by weak pollution protection laws, trade and investment liberalization laws often induce environmental degradation as pollution-intensive firms will find it easier to produce in such economies than in developed economies with stringent environmental protection policies. The causality model employs unit roots, cointegration and causality measures to examine the nexus between energy consumption and economic growth. This model offers four possibilities, firstly (i) the growth-led hypothesis, which suggests the existence of unidirectional causality from economic growth to energy consumption. This suggests that conservation policies will have no impact on economic growth. This is common in energy-sufficient economies. Secondly, (ii) the energy-led hypothesis, which suggests that energy consumption stimulates growth, therefore, energy conservation policies will impact negatively on economic growth, thus, energy expansion policies are required. This is common in economies that are energy-dependent like most developing economies. Third is (iii) the feedback model, which suggests the existence of a bi-directional causality between energy consumption and economic growth. The model suggest that both constructs are jointly determined and affected simultaneously. Lastly is (iv) the neutrality model, stating that no causality exists between energy consumption and economic growth. It also suggests that environmentally-friendly policies can be achieved without obstructing economic growth.
Extant literature has attempted to examine the link between the environment, energy, and the economy with mixed results. For instance, Refs. [36,37,38] were of the view that causality runs from economic growth to energy consumption while Refs. [39,40,41,42,43] opined that causality is from energy consumption to economic growth. Furthermore, Refs. [41,42,44,45] noted that causality runs from economic growth to CO2 emissions. The bulk of these studies focused on developed economies with little attention on African economies. Africa is faced with plurality of issues, key among them being the need to stimulate growth, ensure a sustainable environment and reduce energy poverty. The World Bank global monitoring report (2008) highlights the need for the continent to be on a sustainable development path that embraces clean energy, a sustainable environment, and accelerated growth, noting the continuous increase in CO2 emission and fall in per capita water resources. Given the low state of renewable energy development and the potential environmental hazards emanating from existing conventional fossil fuel amidst the desire to stimulate growth, it is imperative to examine the nature of the relationship between energy consumption (renewable and non-renewable), economic growth, and CO2 emissions with the moderating impact of agriculture and agro-allied resources in Africa. Our study presents a short, intermediate, and long run analysis for 34 African economies. Unlike existing studies that employed time domain estimates like the traditional Granger causality estimates, VAR and other time domain estimates [16,30,46,47,48,49], the current study employed both the single and multi-country frequency domain Granger casualty estimates based on datasets sourced from 1980–2019. Even though frequency domain techniques offer better estimation models, because they allow for examination of the direction and level (strength) of the nexus at heterogeneous scales for frequency [2,3,9,50,51,52], they are yet to be explored especially in studies in Africa.
Our choice of Africa was induced by the fact that Africa is endowed with an abundance of potential energy resources (both renewable and non-renewable). It is estimated that in Africa, the potential energy generation capacity is up to 1.2 terawatts, excluding solar, and more than 10 terawatts including solar, with a high potential of achieving more than a 25% increase in clean energy by 2040 [8,53,54]. The continent is the world’s youngest and fastest urbanizing continent, but it is the least energy-supplied, with annual consumption being 518 kwh in sub-Saharan Africa, equivalent to what a single member country of the OECD will use. Economic indices show that recently, African economies largely outperformed the global average (IMF, WB 2019) with the continent’s overall GDP increasing 3.8% against the global average of 3.4%. Data availability large influences the choice of sample economies.
Against this background, this research attempts to know whether various energy policies in the continent offer the ability to end Africa’s energy poverty, stimulate growth, and promote environmental sustainability. We intend to answer the following questions: (i) What drives the African economic, energy and environmental nexus—an environmental Kuznets curve, causality, or the pollution haven model? (ii) What is the nature of the causality between energy consumption (renewable and non-renewable) and economic growth, carbon emissions, and agricultural output in Africa? (iii) If causality is established, to what extent will the increase in energy consumption support economic growth, agricultural output, and reduce carbon emissions in Africa economies? Answering our questions will provide insights into at least five SDGs: SDG 2—zero hunger; SDG 7—achieve clean energy utilization; SDG 8—achieve sustainable economic growth; SDG 12—adopt sustainable production and consumption; and SDG 13—mitigate climate change through a sustainable clean environment.
This study will make essentially four contributions to the literature. First, in terms of methodology, we will provide a frequency-based panel Granger causality analysis that offers short, intermediate and long run casual estimates of the nexus between economic growth energy and the environment with a focus on African economies. Our method provides individual estimates for each of the economies studied, unlike the conventional methods that offer lump-sum causality estimates. Second, the study will calibrate the moderating impact of agriculture and agro-allied resources to the discourse on energy, economics and the environment in Africa. Africa is largely agrarian and to the best of the author’s knowledge, no literature of the African extraction has considered the moderating role of agriculture in absorbing carbon emissions in the economic-energy-environmental nexus. Thirdly, in term of coverage and scope, our study will cover more African economies than most of the existing studies and use more recent data when compared with others. Fourthly, our study will also calibrate both the energy conservation and expansion policies into the energy, environment, and economic growth discourse. Our finding offers some policy implications for policy makers at both the national and regional levels, as well as for international organizations and researchers on the link between energy, economic and the environment. The rest of the study is as follows: Section 2 presents the literature review; Section 3 offers the data and methodology; Section 4 deals with the presentation of results, while Section 5 concludes the study and offers some policy implications.

2. Literature Review

A critical assessment of extent literature clearly suggests that frequency domain estimates are yet to be sufficiently employed in examining the nature of the relationship between energy, economics and the environment with the moderating role of agriculture, especially based on evidence from Africa, despite its attractiveness and potential strength in providing measures in shaping the African policy space. Africa economies are in dire need of energy, with the need to advance economic growth at the front of the policy framework amidst the global quest to reduce CO2. It is pertinent, especially when faced with few publications on the subject matter, to examine the moderating role of agriculture in mitigating CO2 emissions, stimulating economic growth and ending energy poverty. Such effort would not only offer a valuable platform to examine the nature of cointegration and the direction of causation, among the variables (energy, economics, environment and agriculture), it will equally initiate and stimulate further research and model specifications.
Table 1 presents the result of extent literature on the nexus between energy, economic growth, agriculture, and carbon emissions for a number of economies across the globe. The results as presented can be categorized into four main streams—methodological, results (findings), hypothesis or policy trust and variables employed. In methodological strands, a number of studies employed cointegration and/or Granger causality methods to investigate the link between energy, economic growth, and the environment [6,16,19,20,22,23,28,49,55,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63] with mixed results. For instance, while [19] noted that a bi-directional relationship exists between non-renewable energy and climate change and that climate change Granger causes renewable energy for 16 African countries, ref. [16] observed that causation is from RGDP to renewable energy in the long run for China, with a negative impact on renewable energy in the short run. Similarly, ref. [13] documented the existence of a bi-directional relationship between renewable energy and non-renewable energy for India and South Africa, suggesting validity of the feedback hypothesis. The study further noted that causality runs from non-renewable energy to economic growth for Brazil and USA, an indication that the growth hypothesis is valid in these economies but noted no causal relationship exists between non-renewable energy and economic growth for Russia, India and South Africa, implying the validity of the neutrality hypothesis. For South Africa, ref. [6] noted that growth hypothesis is valid as the direction of causation is from energy use to RGDP. Ref. [19] offers multifaceted results, for instance, the authors documented that bi-directional relationships exist between fossil fuel and RGDP, between fossil fuel and CO2, and between CO2 and RGDP for the oil-exporting economies. These results support the feedback hypothesis from oil prices to each of RGDP and CO2 for the oil-consuming economies, suggesting the validity of the growth hypothesis. Ref. [57] results are at variance with those of [22,23,24,28,29,58] who noted causality is from RGDP to CO2, and that no causality exist between energy consumption and economic growth, thereby supporting the validity of the neutrality hypothesis in the studied economies.
The second strand of literature employs nonlinear models like quantile regression, system frequency domain estimate PMG, threshold regression, bootstrap estimates, NARDC, and recursive to examine the nature of relationship between energy, economic growth and CO2 emissions with mixed results. For instance, [8,13,18,36,49,63,71,72,77,79,80,83] employed different versions of nonlinear models to examine the nexus between energy, economic growth, and CO2 emissions with different results. Ref. [13] noted that fossil energy causes GHG, and that economic growth does not cause CO2 emissions for 41 sub-Sahara African economies. Ref. [18] results from N-ARAL observed mixed findings; for example, the study noted that renewable energy reduces CO2 emission for Nigeria, but no causality was documented between renewable energy and CO2 for Angola and Egypt. The study further noted that renewable energy causes economic growth for Gabon, suggesting the validity growth hypothesis. Ref. [84] employed panel threshold for some selected OECD economies and reported the existence of positive and non-linear relationships between renewable energy and economic growth, an indication that the growth hypothesis holds. Ref. [49] employed the N-ARAL model and noted that environmental quality causes economic growth and that the neutrality hypothesis is valid, based on the results from environmental quality and capital stock. In a related development, [8] employed panel quantile regression to examine the nature of the relationship between energy, economic growth, and CO2 for some selected 66 developing economies and noted that renewable energy reduces CO2 with substantial effect at the 10th quantile, and that GDP increases CO2. Ref. [63] results, based on quantity ARDL, suggest the validity of the feedback hypothesis among economic complexity, energy consumption and the ecological footprint. For emerging economies [36] employed a bootstrap panel causality test and noted that the neutrality hypothesis is valid for all the economies except Poland, whose results suggest that causality is from renewable energy to economic growth. The single country (Turkey) estimates from [80] analysis shows that renewable energy reduces the ecological footprint in the long run; surprisingly, the results documented that non-renewable energy and economic growth positively impact on the ecological footprint.

3. Materials and Methods

This study examined the nature of the relationship between CO2 emissions, energy consumption, agriculture and economic growth for some selected [34] Africa economies. Though Africa is made up of 54 independent countries, the selection of countries is largely influenced by data availability. The collected data cover the period 1980–2019. This period and the countries covered allow for examination of convergence issues inherent in the literature with adequate geographical covering of the African continent. The variables employed are annual data of GDP per capita (constants are 2010 and USD); CO2 emissions per capita (metric tons); EC representing energy consumption; agriculture proxy by agricultural value added (AVA) per capita contribution of agriculture to GDP; and forest area (forest area as percentage of total land mass). The variables are expressed in natural forms such that I n C O 2 , I n γ , I n E C , I n A V A ; I n F o R represent carbon emissions, economic growth, energy consumption, agricultural value chain and forest area, respectively. The data for the study are sourced as follows: CO2 and RGDP from World Development Indicators (various issues), agriculture value addition and forest areas from Food and Agricultural Organization (various issues), and energy consumption data were from the OECD.

Methodology

As stated earlier, the study employed a frequency domain analysis to examine the relationship among energy, economic growth, and carbon emissions with the moderating impact of agriculture. Our preference of frequency domain estimates over time domain techniques is largely influenced by the weakness noticed in time domain estimates. For instance, time domain estimates cannot examine causality at different frequencies as they can only calculate a single test statistic over time [85,86,87]. Further, if the nexus among the variables is connected to more than one frequency, the ability of time dimension estimate to explore the information from the original data set becomes ineffective [88,89]. To overcome this, Geweke (1982) developed the Wald test procedure that employed linear constraints on coefficient parameters to test Granger causality in a certain frequency range. This procedure was extended by [90,91] as single country frequency domain causality test [85]. The [91] single country frequency domain causality test was further extended to a multi-country model by [92]. This extended frequency domain (panel Granger causality test) allows us to determine if the predictive power is concentrated at quick or slow fluctuating components. The current study aims at examine the nexus between the variables using both single-country and multi-country causality tests by following [85,93,94,95]. The tests are thus presented.
Single-Country Causality Test:
We begin our single country causality test by following [2] Gorus and Aydin 2019 specification of the [90] single test procedure stated as follows:
X t = j = 1 p θ 11 . j X t j + j = 1 p θ 12 . j Y t j + ε 1 t
Here, θ 11 and θ 12 , are the coefficients of the polynomials, ε 1 t represents the error term, p represent the lag length, the constraint is on the first VAR, we express the constraints on the null hypothesis of “no Granger causality from Y t to X t at the frequency w ” as stated below:
j = 1 p θ 12 . j c o s j w = 0 ,
j = 1 p θ 12 . j s i n j w = 0 .
To test these constraints, we employed the incremental R2 measurement test, calculated as follows:
R I 2 = R 2 R 2
Here, R 2 and R 2 are derived from the unrestricted and restricted models, respectively. (**) The null hypothesis is rejected if this condition is observed:
R I 2 > F 2 T 2 p ,   1   2 T 2 p   1 R 2
Multi-Country Causality Test:
Following [92], the study employed the seemingly unrelated regression (SVR) model stated as follows:
X i , t = j = 1 p β i , j X i , t j + j = 1 p γ i , j Y i , t j + ε i , t ,   i = 1 ,   2 ,   3 ,   ,   N .  
Here, X i , t and Y i , t are the variables of country i at time t, p is the lag length, N represent the number of countries and ε i , t represents the error term at time t of country i. The null hypothesis constraints are expressed as follows:
j = 1 p γ i . j c o s j w = 0 ,   i = 1 ,   2 ,   3 ,   ,   N
j = 1 p γ i , j s i n j w = 0 ,   1 ,   2 ,   3 ,   ,   N .
We tested these constraints using the incremented R2 measured test, expressed as follows:
R I 2 = R 2 R 2
Here, R 2 represent the unrestricted and R 2 represents the restricted McElroy R2 value expressed as follows:
R I 2 > F 2 N ,   N T 2 P ,   1   2 N N T 2 p   1 R 2
We rejected the null hypothesis of no Granger causality from Y t to X t at the frequency w in the studied countries if Equation (8) was observed.

4. Results

The descriptive statistics and normality results of the variables employed in this study are presented in Table 2. The results suggested that the value of the Jarque-Bera statistics was greater than 5% for the variables, suggesting validity of normality in each of the variables studied.
The results of both the cross-section dependency (CD) tests and the panel unit root tests are presented in Table 3. We began our analysis by investigating the cross-section dependency (CD) of the series, followed by conducting a check on the stationary properties of the series using the panel unit root test. The result in Table 3 suggest that cross-sectional dependency exists among the variables. This implies that shocks in any of the economies study can affect any of the rest. Having established cross-sectional dependency, we employed the cross-sectional augmented Dickey-Fuller test developed by [96], which is effective in detecting stationary properties of panel data as used in the current study [85,94,95]. The results suggests that I n γ and I n A V A are stationary at the first different I(1), and that I n E C , I n C O 2 , and I n F O R are stationary at their level value I(0).

5. Discussion

Frequency Domain Results

As earlier stated, the study intends to examine the nature of relationship among energy, economic growth, carbon emissions, forests, and agricultural added value at three (3) clear frequencies: short, intermediate and long run denoted as 2.5, 1.5 and 0.5, respectively. Results in the long run (0.5) implies that a permanent causality exists while the results in the short run (2.5) suggest temporary causality exists. In Table 4, Table 5, Table 6, Table 7, Table 8, Table 9 and Table 10, we present the results of the frequency domain causality based on single-country estimates. Table 4 presents the results of the link between economic growth and CO2 emission for each of the 34 African economies. The results as presented suggest that a unidirectional (at the three spectra) causality runs from economic growth to CO2 emission for Algeria, Angola, Benin, Burkina Faso, Ghana, Kenya, Morocco, Nigeria, Senegal, South Africa, and Zambia. The findings are in line with [13,29,61], but contradict [17,18,67] The results further reveals that a one-way causality both at the intermediate and long run is noted to exist from emission to economic growth for Congo, Madagascar, Mali, Rwanda and Zimbabwe. The results from the rest of the economies studied suggest that no link can be established between CO2 and economic growth. This finding supports the validity of the neutralization hypothesis in these economies; thus, emission curbing policies can be applied in these economies. The results from Algeria, Angola, Benin, Burkina Faso, Ghana, Kenya, Morocco, Nigeria, Senegal, South Africa, and Zambia suggest that environmental protection laws could be harmful to the economy.
In Table 5, we present the results of the link between energy consumption and economic growth for the selected African economies. The results suggest that a bi-directional relationship exist between the two for the economies of Algeria, Ghana, Kenya, Morocco, and Nigeria (at the three periods), South Africa (at intermediate and long run), Egypt (at the short run and intermediate), and at least one for each of Cameroon, Guinea, and Madagascar. These results support the validity of the feedback hypothesis in these economies. The results further reveal that an un-directional causality runs from economic growth to energy consumption for the economies of Mozambique, Namibia, Tanzania and Uganda in the short run, this suggests that the conservation hypothesis is rational in these economies. The growth hypothesis is validated based on the existence of causality from economic growth to energy consumption for the economies of Algeria, Ghana, Kenya, Morocco and Nigeria. The results are in line with the findings of [30,33,74].
Table 6 presents the results of the nexus between energy consumption and CO2 emissions in the studied economies. The results reveal that energy consumption Granger causes carbon emissions in Nigeria, Algeria, Egypt, Tunisia and Ghana, suggesting that the pollution haven hypothesis is valid for these economies at short, intermediate and long runs. The results support the findings of [65] but disagree with [55].
The results of the causality between economic growth and agricultural value addition, as presented in Table 7, suggest that bi-directional causality is noted for almost all the studied economies at the short, intermediate, and long runs. The result is not surprising because agriculture constitutes the bulk of African GDP.
Table 8 shows that for most the studied economies, a unidirectional relationship runs from forestry to economic growth; this suggests that wood sourced from the forest support economic growth in the studied economies.
In Table 9, we present the results of the relationship between energy consumption and agricultural value addition across the three spectra of our analysis. The results reveal that there is a unidirectional causality from energy consumption to agricultural value addition in Egypt, Ghana, Tunisia and Uganda, whereas a bi-directional causality is documented for the economies of Nigeria, South Africa, Angola. This suggests that the feedback hypothesis is validated based on the relationship between energy consumption and agriculture in these economies. The results of the relationship between forestry and energy consumption are almost the same with those of agriculture and energy consumption, except that a one-way causality is noted to exist between forestry and energy consumption, suggesting the validity of the conservative hypothesis in these economies.
Table 10 we present the results of causality between CO2 emission and agricultural value addition for the selected Africa economies. Our results reveal that no causality exists between these variables for the economies studies.
The results of the panel Granger causality in the frequency domain for all the examined African economies suggest the existence of bi-directional relationships across the three spectra between economic growth and energy consumption. The results further reveal that a one-way Granger causality runs from energy consumption to CO2 emission in the studied economies. A further examination of the results also suggests that there is a causal nexus between carbon emissions and economic growth for the entire spectra studied, and that no evidence suggests that causality runs from economic growth to carbon emissions. In term of theoretical underpinning, one can deduce that the feedback hypothesis is valid for the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in the studied African economies. This suggests that African economies could grow their economies by increasing energy consumption, and that energy consumption could also be enhanced by growing the economy, suggesting that demand for energy consumption is a booster of economic growth. For the nexus between energy consumption and CO2 emission, the results suggest the validity of the pollution haven hypothesis, as energy consumption has a bi-directional relationship with growth driving carbon emissions in African economies, thus, Africa economies, while pursuing growth, should start looking at clean energy consumption. Though the results of the study suggest that no causality runs from economic growth to carbon emissions, ruling out the possibility of the pollution haven hypothesis, the existence of causality from energy consumption to carbon emissions points to the existence or potential of the pollution haven hypothesis, which could be from an indirect perspective. On the meditating role of agricultural value addition and forests, the results noted that the impact of both forests and agricultural value addition is only significant on economic growth across all the spectra, and on energy consumption in the short run. No causality is established between either of forests and agricultural value addition, and CO2 emission for the studied economies.
For comparison, we conducted time domain estimates for the entire region by employing the Dumitrescu–Hurlin panel causality estimate. From the results, it could be deduced that a bi-directional relationship exists between economic growth and energy consumption, and that a one-way causality runs from energy consumption to carbon emissions. The results suggest the feedback hypothesis is valid on the nexus between energy and economic growth in Africa. The results of the one-way nexus, however, suggest that the conservation hypothesis is not valid in Africa. Unlike the frequency domain estimate, the moderating variables failed exhibit any form of causality in the time domain model.
The study has made some significant contribution to knowledge by being among the first set of studies that has examined the nexus among energy, environment and economic growth in Africa within the context of frequency domain estimate, and that calibrated the moderating roles of forest and agricultural value addition to this nexus.

6. Conclusions

The essence of this study was to examined the causal relationships between energy consumption, economic growth and CO2 emission with the moderating roles of forestry and agricultural value addition in Africa, by employing both time domain and frequency domain estimates to analyzed data sourced from 1980 to 2019. The study provides both single-country and multi-country estimates of this nexus. The results of the single country estimate are at best mixed across the various frequencies. The study recommends that policymakers in the studied economies should take into consideration these empirical findings when designing policy tools to achieving the correct mix of energy that will stimulate economic growth without causing havoc to the environment.
The results of the panel Granger causality estimates in the frequency domain suggest that a bi-directional relationship exists between energy consumption and economic growth in Africa economies. This implies that to achieve economic growth, the energy sector should be enhanced, and that enhanced energy space will further drive or stimulate growth. The results further suggest the existence of a one-way causality from energy consumption to carbon emissions, ruling out the validity of the conservation hypothesis in these economies. This could be a result of heavy dependency/consumption of non-renewable energy in the region. It is therefore recommended that policymakers in this region should start looking at movement toward clean energy consumption. Our results are in line with the findings of Aydin (2019 for OECD economies, Gorus and Aydin 2018 for MENA economies, but contradicts [33,97].
The study is not an all-inclusive one, as there are limitations, which could be areas to be considered by other studies. For instance, alternative estimation techniques could be employed, other variables like ecological footprints, macroeconomic variables like foreign direct investment, and socio-political variables, among others. Other studies could examine the cost-benefit analysis of different energy options as they relate to the environment, economic growth, among others. Future research can employ multi-criteria analyses useful for quantifying the nexus between the different components.
The global economy is moving towards adopting renewable energy with the intension of mitigating climate change and reducing CO2 emissions; hence, the economies of Africa should make concerted efforts to develop their renewable energy potential to support economic growth. This is in line with the UN resolution of the 2015 Paris Agreement that by the 21st Conference of Parties (COP21) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), countries should focus on investing in sustainable energy and de-emphasizing the consumption of fossil fuel, among others. African economies are encouraged to formulate and implement policies that will encourage consumption of renewable energy technologies such as laws protecting the production and usage of domestic solar panels, wind turbine production, granting tax incentives to renewable energy investments, stimulate green bonds and investment, among others.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Data Availability Statement

The data for the study are sourced as follows: CO2 and RGDP from World Development Indicators (various issues), agriculture value addition and forest areas from Food and Agricultural Organization (various issues), and energy consumption data was from OECD.

Acknowledgments

We acknowledge the support of Bowen University Management for proving the APC for this article.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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Table 1. Summary of Literature review.
Table 1. Summary of Literature review.
S/nAuthorsPeriod of StudyVariableMethods Countries Results  
1[55]1980–2014Renewable energy, non-renewable, economic growth, climate change Group-ARDL-PMG, ARDL-MG, Granger causality 16 African countries Non-Renewable ↔ Climate change
Climate change → Renewable energy
Feedback hypothesis holds.
2[64]1980–2019Economic growth; CO2 emission, inflation, population Panel econometric methods of statistical analysis, Granger causality6 west African countries Positive relationship exists between the variables
3[13] 1990–2013GHG, fossil energy and economic growth A recursive system of three equations 41 sub-Saharan African economies Fossil   energy   GHG,
Economic growth does not Granger cause CO2 emissions
4.[65]1996–2014 RGDP, non-renewable energy, CO2, policy uncertainly One-step-system GMM32 sub-Sahara African countries RGDP     CO 2
Non - renewable   energy     CO 2
Policy   uncertainty     CO 2
Renewable   energy   reduce CO2
5[15]2000–2015RGDP, solid cooking fuels Panel unit root, panel cointegration panel Granger causality 46 sub-Sahara African countries A negative causal relationship exists from solid cooking fuel to RGDP
6.[16] 1997–2017Renewable energy, economic growth and financial developmentGranger causality ARDL-PMG China, Western China Eastern China RGDP   RE (long run), financial development negatively impacts RE in the long run. RGDP negatively impacts RE in the short run; financial development positively impacts RE in of S/R
7[17]1990–2015RGDP, NRE, RE, CO2System GMM 31 transitional economies CO 2   has   unconditional   negative   effects   on   human   devt .   RGDP ;   RGDP     RE ,   RE   CO 2
N - RE     CO 2
8[66]1990–2018Natural resources, energy consumption, gross capital formation, financial openness, RGDP Structural equation modeling techniques Pakistan Negative   relationship   exists   between   natural   resources   and   RGDP ;   RE   and   NRE   RGDP
Fin .   openness   RGDP.
Gross   capital   formation   RGDP
9[67]1971–2014Fossil oil RGDP N-ARDL, asymmetric panel causality test 19 African countries Mixed results
10[14]1971–2017Electricity consumption, RGDP, agricultural output, govt. effectiveness trade System GMM, advanced dynamic panel threshold regression model 17 African economies Electricity   RGDP
Growth hypothesis
11[18]1980–2015Petroleum, natural gas, CO2, RGDPN-ARDLOil producing Africa economies RE reduces CO2 (Nigeria)
RE   RGDP (Gabon)
RE does not Granger cause CO2 (Angola and Egypt). Growth and Neutrality hypotheses hold
12[68]1995–2014Renewable energy labor, capital, RGDPP-DOLS, F MOLS 15–Western Africa countries RE slows down growth
13[56]1996–2015RE, NRE, R&D, RGDPUnit root tests, panel Granger causality BRICS RE   NRE (India and SA) Feedback hypothesis hold
RE does not granger cause NRE (Brazil)
NRE   GDP (Brazil and SA) Growth hypothesis
NRE–R&D (Russia, India, SA) Neutrality hypothesis hold
14[6]1960–2016Capital, labor, CO2, RGDP, energy consumption ARDL, Granger causality testSouth Africa Energy   use   RGDP growth hypothesis holds
15[19]1990–2015Oil price, CO2, RGDP, fossil energy consumption PMG panel ARDL, bootstrap panel cointegration 22 African countries Fossil   RGDP
Fossil   CO2 
CO 2 RGDP for non-oil exporter
co 2 RGDP   oil exporter
Oil   prices   RGDP, CO2 and oil consumption for all
16[25]2001–2017Energy consumption CO2, RGDPSystem GMM 68 developed, emerging and MENA countries Energy   consumption   RGDP
Energy   consumption   CO2
CO 2   RGDP in all countries except in MENA
17[57]1973–2014Growth role of kg oil equivalent per capital energy usage, RGDP ecological foot print ARDL Toda–Yamamoto South Africa Ecological   footprint   RGDP
Kg   oil   equivalent   eco. footprint
Kg   oil   equivalent   RGDP
18[69]1990–2012 CO2-equivalent, RGDP, energy usage, international tradeEnvironmental input-output model Angola, Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, south Africa RE reduces CO2-equivalent
19[28]1971–2010Energy consumption CO2, economic growth ARDL, Granger causality 12 sub-Sahara Africa Mixed results
RGDP   CO2 short run for Benin, DRC, Ghana, Nigeria, and Senegal
RGDP   CO2, Long run for Congo, Gabon
Energy   consumption   CO2 in of long run for Benin, DRC, Nigeria, Senegal, South Africa, and Togo
20[58]1973–2017Energy consumption, oil prices, trade openness, urbanization and RGDPARDL, ECM African OPEC Countries No causality between energy consumption and RGDP.
Energy consumption does not Granger cause RGDP
21[29]1990–2017RDGP, energy consumption, renewable energy Neural network analysis25 African economies RGDP     CO 2
22[6]1990–2014 Energy   intensity   RE ,   CO 2 , RGDPARDL, Toda Yamamoto Romania RE     RDGP ,   Energy   intensity RGDP
23[20]1975–2017 CO 2 , RGDP, carbon income, trade openness, energy use ARDL, Toda-Yamamoto India Energy   use   GDP
Energy   use     CO 2
24[59]1980–2018 RE ,   CO 2 , financial devt., trade openness, FDI, urbanization A panel quantile regressionGlobal panel of 192 countries Fin .   devt     RE ,   inverse   relationship   exists   between   RE   and   CO 2
25[21]1990–2017 CO 2 , trade, RGDP, RE, environmental innovation A battery of panel co-integration methodologies G7 countries Long   run   relationship   exists   among   CO 2 ,   trade ,   RGDP ,   RE   and   environmental   innovation .   Environmental   degradation   does   not   cause   RGDP ,   RE   reduces   CO 2
26[70]1980–2014 CO 2 , RGDP, RE, urbanization, NREFMOLS and GMM28 sub-Sahara African Countries NRE     CO 2 (S/R)
NRE ,   RE     CO 2 (L/R)
RGDP     CO 2
27[22]1978–2016 CO 2 , RGDP, RE, urbanization and Agriculture ARDLMalaysia RGDP ,   Urbanization     CO 2
RE   and   agriculture   significantly   CO 2
28[23]1990–2014 CO 2 , RGDP, RE, nuclear energy real coal prices Panel cointegration and Granger causality test 30 developed and emerging economies LR   relationship   exists   among   the   variables ;   NE   does   not   lead   to   CO 2 reduction
RE     CO 2 reduction
RE   RGDP
29[24]2012–2014 Energy   usage ,   CO 2 , electricity consumption, fossil fuel, biomass ANOVA and Tukey multiple comparison test Sri Lanka Elect     CO 2
Fossil     CO 2 ,
RGDP does not   CO 2
30[16]1997–2017RE, fin. devt and economic growth ARDL-PMG Granger causality testChina Economic   growth   RE
Negative relationship exists between fin. devt and RE
31[30]1995–2014 RE ,   CO 2 , RGDPGS2SLS EU EC   RE feedback
ECC     CO 2
RE   does   not     CO 2
32[46]1990–2015RE, NRE, RGDP Local liner dummy variable estimation (LLDVE)40 OECD and non-OECD countries Both NRE and RE impact economic growth positively
33[31]1990–2017 RGDP ,   fin .   inclusion ,   RE ,   NRE ,   CO 2 , trade openness Augmented mean group, Dumitrescu –Hurlin non-causality test15 highest emitting countries Bidirectional causality exists between fin. devt, economic growth, renewable energy utilization and ecological footprint; unidirectional causality runs from non-renewable energy and trade openness to ecological footprint, unidirectional relationship runs from economic growth to RE and trade openness. Feedback hypothesis holds
34[32]1990–2018 RE ,   RGDP ,   CO 2 , NRE, Capital and labor DOLS, FMOLS and Heterogeneous non-causality model 38 renewable energy consuming countriesLR relationship exist between RE and RGDP; RE, NRE, capital and labor impacts on RGDP
35[71]2005–2016NRE intensity, urbanization, per capital income Panel threshold regressionOECD countries Positive and non-linear relationships exist between renewable energy and economic growth
36[72]1990–2010GDP, GDPPC, Total renewable energy, share of renewable energy to total energy consumption, gross fixed capital formation, number of employed people in of economy; R&D Panel quantile regressionOECD economies The impact of RE on economic growth is at best unused, i.e., positive for lower, and low-middle–quantities, and negative for middle, high middle and higher quantities
37[73]1991–2015GDP and RESpatial Dublin model 26 European economies Spatial dependences impact on the nexus between RE and GDP
38[33]1990–2014 CO 2 , RE, EC FMOLS and VECM15 major RE consuming nations EC     RE   for   both   S / R   and   LR   supporting   the   feedback   hypothesis ;   CO 2 does   not   cause   RE   in   the   LR ,   CO 2   RE   in   the   SR ,   EC     CO 2 both in the LR and SR
39[60]1990–2014RE, pollution, EC, urbanization Cointegration, Granger causality, impulse response function Selected 106 countries Both bidirectional and unidirectional relationship exists among the variables
40[34]1991–2014 RGDP ,   CO 2 , technological innovation, trade and REPedroni and Westerlund panel cointegration testsArgentina, Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, Chile and Guatemala Negative   relationship   exists   between   RE   and   CO 2
RGDP, technological innovation, and trade positively and significantly impact on RE production
41[47]1980–2017Non-oil exports, tourism, RE and RGDPARDL, Johansen cointegration and Gregory –Hensen cointegrationSaudi Arabia Non-oil export and tourism impact growth positively, long run cointegration exist between RE tourism, capital and RGDP
42[61]1960–2015 RE ,   RGDP ,   trade ,   urbanization ,   CO 2 ARDL, VECM Granger Causality tests Australia and Canada RGDP     CO 2 both   in   LR   and   SR   for   Australia ;   VECM   results   shows   that   RGDP ,   trade   and   RE     CO 2 in   d   LR   and   SR   for   Australia ;   for   Canada ,   Trade     CO 2 for   both   LR   and   SR ;   RGDP ,   urbanization     CO 2 in of LR
43[48]1990–2014RE, NRE, RGDPPedroni unit root tests, FMOLS, P-DOLS, Dumitrescue–Hurlin (2012)5 South Asia countries Positive impact of RE, NRE and fixed capital formation on growth
RGDP   RE
44[74]1990–2014Energy, efficiency, RE, RGDPFixed-effect panel quantity regression analysis BRICS Feedback hypothesis is valid
RGDP   EE
RGDP   RE
EE   RE
45[75]1981–2016Energy production, energy consumption, GDPHatemi –J cointegration, structural breaks, FMOLS, CCR VECM, Granger causality testChina EP ,   EC     GDP ,   GDP   Gas consumption (supporting conservation hypothesis)
46[49]1971–2014Ecological footprint, GDP, EC, GFCFN-ARDL; asymmetric causality techniques Pakistan Environmental   quality   EC neutrality hypothesis is valid among environmental quality, economic growth and capital
47[76]2002–2011 CO 2 , RE, NRE, RGDPGMM and PMG 42 RE   consumption   leads   to   reduction   in   CO 2 ; RE has positive impact on RGDP; NRE has negative effect on RGDP in LR, substitute relationship exists between NRE and RE
48[77]1980–2015NRE, GDP, human capital index, globalization, urbanization, added value of services Threshold regression FEMOLS 27 developed OECD countries Economic development does not reduce non-renewable energy consumption; Human capital development reduces NRE. LR relationship exist among globalization, urbanization, services and RE
49[62]1990–2015Ecological footprint, per capital income, RE, life expectancy, population density Cointegration tests, cross-sectional augmented autoregressive distributed lag 8 developing South and South-East Asian economies The association between per capital income and ecological footprint is N-shaped, RE reduces ecological footprint, increase in population leads to increase in pollution emissions.
50[54]1992–2016EC, financial development, urbanization, per capital GDP, gross domestic capital formation A battery of static and dynamic econometric models 44 African economies EC and fin devt, deteriorates the environment; urbanization impacts on the environment asymmetrically; per capital GDP has an asymmetric effect on the environment.
51[63]1995–2017Total energy consumption RE, NRE, HCI, FD; eco-innovation, energy intensity, GDP, gross fixed capital formation R&D Westerlund and Edgerton panel cointegration and augmented mean groupG7 countries Negative relationship exists among HCI, eco-innovation, energy price, R&D and TEC, NREC. Positive relationship exists between financial development, and each of TEC and NREC.
HCI, eco-innovation, energy price, R&D enhances REC.
Financial development reduces REC
52[8]1990–2014 Energy   efficiency   RE ,   CO 2 , NE Panel quantity regression (PQR)66 developing economies EE   reduces   carbon   emissions   across   all   quantities .   RE   reduces   CO 2 with substantial effect at 10th quartile.
GDP   increases   CO 2
53[78]1980–2016 CO 2 , RE, HCI, globalization, trade openness ARDLChina RE   does   not   impact   on   CO 2 , HCI reduces environmental degradation; globalization, trade openness, and income impact on pollution
54[63]1965Q1–2017Q4EC, ecological footprint, NRE economic complexity QARDL quantile Granger causality test USA Economic complexity and fossil fuel energy consumption significantly enhance ecological footprint; causality exist among economic complexity, energy consumption and ecological footprint
55[36]1990–2016RE, RGDPBootstrap panel causality test 17 Emerging economies Neutrality   hypothesis   holds   for   all   the   economies   except   Poland   ( no   causality   from   either   of   the   variables )   RE   RGDP for Poland
56[79]1998–2018 RE ,   financial   development ,   CO 2 , Innovation RGDPP-ARDL Dumitrescu–Hurlin Panel causality test ASEAN + 3 group Financial   development   RE
CO 2 and economic freedom has negative impact on RE positive relationship exist between innovation, RGDP and RE
57[80]1965Q1–2017Q4RE, NRE, RGDP ecological footprint QARDL Granger causality Turkey RE decreases ecological footprint in of LR; NRE and RGDP positively impact ecological footprint
58[81]1991–2012 RE ,   RGDP ,   institutions ,   CO 2 System-GMM FMOLS 85 developed and developing countries RE   positively   impacts   RGDP   RE   negatively   impacts     CO 2 institution   positively   impacts   RGDP ;   institution   negatively   affect   CO 2
59[82]1990–2015 RE ,   NE ,   CO 2 , RGDP, financial developmentCIPS, FMOLS, bootstrap cointegration 74 countries NRE   has   positive   impact   on   CO 2 .
RE   has   negative   impact   on   CO 2 .
Financial   development   has   negative   impact   on   CO 2
60[83]1980–2014TE, RE, NRE, RGDPNARDLG7 countries Asymmetric relationship exists between TE and RGDP
61[22]1978–2016 CO 2 , RGDP, RE, urbanization, agriculture ARDLMalaysia CO 2 is   not   directly   influenced   by   modernization .   Calibrating   RE   to   agricultural   sec tor   will   help   in   achieving   sustainable   agriculture   and   mitigate   CO 2 emissions ;   CO 2 significantly decrease due to RGDP and urbanization
Note: ARDL, NARDL, GMM, FMOLS, DOLS, VECM, ARDL-PMG are autoregressive distributed lag, nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag, general moment method, vector error correction model, error correction model, fully modified ordinary least square, dynamic ordinary least square, autoregressive distributed lag model based on pooled mean group estimation, respectively.
Table 2. Descriptive statistics of the variables.
Table 2. Descriptive statistics of the variables.
VariablesDescriptive AnalysisNormality Analysis (Natural Log-Form)
MeanMax.Min.SDSkewnessKurtosisJarque-BeraProbability
I n γ 175.98298.77142.6739.09−0.782.444.970.07
I n E C 63.1828.0732.6232.12−0.482.144.220.06
I n A V A 158.78197.09102.1128.09−0.553.094980.08
I n C O 2 1.972.411.660.310.171.553.210.22
I n F O R 2.994.011.980.550.051.612.760.22
Source: Authors’ computations 2022.
Table 3. Cross-section dependence and panel unit root tests for the series.
Table 3. Cross-section dependence and panel unit root tests for the series.
VariablesCDBPCDLMCDCIPS Statistics
I n γ 457.899 ***76.558 ***3.234 ***−0.988
I n E C 417.219 ***51.521 ***3.004 ***−0.918
I n A V A 398.881 ***47.908 ***9.176 ***−2.955 **
I n C O 2 366.098 ***56.897 ***8.077 ***−2.344 **
I n F O R 564.092 ***41.179 ***12.098 ***−3.756 **
Δ I n γ ---−3.665 ***
Note: *** and ** suggest the rejection of the null hypothesis at 1% and 5% significance level, respectively. CIPS Statistics provides the simple average of the individual CADF statistics ( C A D F i ¯ ).
Table 4. Granger causality tests in the frequency domain estimates ( I n γ ,   I n C O 2 ).
Table 4. Granger causality tests in the frequency domain estimates ( I n γ ,   I n C O 2 ).
Panel A
Countries H 0 :   I n γ I n C O 2 H 0 :   I n C O 2 I n γ
w = 0.5w = 1.5w = 2.5c.v. = 10%w = 0.5w = 1.5w = 2.5c.v. = 10%
Algeria0.013 ***0.055 ***0.128 ***0.1110.0230.0270.0340.111
Angola0.017 ***0.005 ***0.005 ***0.0090.0340.0360.0440.113
Burkina Faso0.096 ***0006 ***0.001 ***0.0090.0230.0270.0540.112
Benin0.073 ***0.054 ***0.022 ***0.0720.0260.0280.0340.114
Cameron 0.0910.0710.0040.0140.0190.0160.0450.116
Congo (Brazzaville)0.0090.0020.0050.0120.0290.0190.0340.112
Congo (DRC)0.047 ***0.008 ***0.0060.0090.03 *0.021 **0.0450.111
Egypt0.004 ***0.044 ***0.007 ***0.0080.0230.0280.0540.112
Ethiopia0.0210.0460.0170.0650.0330.0380.0480.118
Gabon0.0090.0320.0140.0080.0350.0370.0390.112
Ghana0.019 ***0.044 ***0.011 ***0.0110.0450.0540.0370.114
Guinea0.0090.0080.0120.1160.0370.0310.0380.132
Kenya0.022 ***0.045 ***0.011 ***0.1130.0390.0320.0450.161
Lesotho0.0310.0320.0120.1140.0290.0240.0550.115
Madagascar0.011 ***0.017 ***0.0140.1110.018 **0.021 **0.0340.113
Malawi0.0320.0190.0010.1020.0240.0270.0490.112
Mali0.022 ***0.039 ***0.0090.0190.0320.0360.0540.122
Mauritius0.0050.0330.0040.1120.0360.0370.0320.141
Morocco0.007 ***0.032 ***0.007 ***0.1330.0290.0310.0350.112
Mozambique0.0460.0370.0060.1210.0170.0210.0410.116
Namibia0.0330.0810.0090.1140.0290.0370.0390.114
Nigeria0.044 ***0.033 ***0.014 ***0.1110.0250.0280.0570.123
Rwanda0.006 ***0.023 ***0.0120.1120.044 **0.034 **0.0450.114
Sao Tome and Principe0.0450.0120.0090.1150.0310.0280.0550.152
Senegal0.044 ***0.008 ***0.006 ***0.1170.0220.0260.0550.143
Sierra Leone0.0320.0910.0080.1110.0190.0210.0530.122
South Africa0.0310.0230.0050.1120.022 *0.026 *0.058 *0.144
Tanzania0.0290.0330.0060.1110.0270.0290.0590.115
Togo0.0310.0340.0090.1220.0320.0350.0770.122
Tunisia0.0330.0230.0080.1110.0280.0310.0560.127
Uganda0.0450.0310.0060.1210.0290.0310.0550.157
Zambia0.0330.0220.0090.1110.0190.0220.0540.138
Zimbabwe0.0460.0360.0450.1230.0210.023*0.067*0.136
***, **, * represent 1%, 5%, 10% significant levels, respectively.
Table 5. Granger causality tests in the frequency domain estimates I n γ ,     I n E C .
Table 5. Granger causality tests in the frequency domain estimates I n γ ,     I n E C .
Countries H 0 :   I n γ I n E C H 0 :   I n E C I n γ
w = 0.5w = 1.5w = 2.5c.v. = 10%w = 0.5w = 1.5w = 2.5c.v. = 10%
Algeria0.023 ***0.031 ***0.022 ***0.0120.031 ***0.029 ***0.027 ***0.111
Angola0.0010.0040.0030.0020.041 ***0.037 ***0.034 ***0.112
Burkina Faso0.0070.0120.0110.0050.0290.0440.0270.099
Benin0.0120.0140.0190.0060.0310.0390.0270.122
Cameron 0.0180.019 *0.0120.0090.0140.037 *0.0340.117
Congo (Brazzaville)0.0210.0160.0140.0210.0160.0390.0290.112
Congo (DRC)0.0640.0440.0320.0170.0180.0680.0290.110
Egypt0.0170.022 ***0.026 ***0.0050.0310.039 ***0.033 ***0.117
Ethiopia0.0240.0220.0330.0060.0420.0540.039 ***0.102
Gabon0.021 ***0.019 ***0.017 ***0.0110.0330.0560.0270.115
Ghana0.031 ***0.021 ***0.019 ***0.0130.067 ***0.011 ***0.034 ***0.111
Guinea0.0260.024 *0.0210.0040.0280.032 *0.0450.115
Kenya0.021 ***0.019 ***0.017 ***0.0210.028 ***0.034 ***0.054 ***0.119
Lesotho0.0160.0190.0220.0240.0210.0440.0480.167
Madagascar0.0170.021 *0.0250.0310.0270.045 *0.039 ***0.109
Malawi0.0140.0170.0220.0240.0290.0560.0370.114
Mali0.0220.0250.0290.0010.410.0590.0380.112
Mauritius0.0190.0150.0110.0050.0390.0410.0450.109
Morocco0.021 ***0.022 ***0.023 ***0.0170.033 ***0.039 ***0.055 ***0.112
Mozambique0.0220.0210.0290.0130.0280.034 **0.0340.119
Namibia0.0310.0230.0340.0140.0320.041 **0.0490.166
Nigeria0.027 ***0.028 ***0.029 ***0.0110.031 ***0.044 ***0.054 ***0.112
Rwanda0.0030.0310.0220.0090.0270.0330.0320.114
Sao Tome and Principe0.0090.0100.0130.0020.0250.0290.0350.141
Senegal0.023 ***0.025 ***0.027 ***0.0030.0290.0490.0410.117
Sierra Leone0.0310.0410.0340.0080.0230.0440.0390.118
South Africa0.052 ***0.024 ***0.0270.0030.0280.046 ***0.057 ***0.114
Tanzania0.0230.0220.0270.0110.0310.041 **0.0450.119
Togo0.0540.0420.0340.0140.0380.0380.0550.109
Tunisia0.037 ***0.031 ***0.029 ***0.0110.0370.0390.0450.115
Uganda0.0440.0320.0290.0230.033 ***0.031 ***0.054 ***0.167
Zambia0.0220.0310.0330.0150.0280.0330.0480.117
Zimbabwe0.0230.0340.0390.0140.0240.0320.0390.115
***, **, * represent 1%, 5%, 10% significant levels, respectively.
Table 6. Granger causality tests in the frequency domain estimates I n E C ,   I n C O 2 .
Table 6. Granger causality tests in the frequency domain estimates I n E C ,   I n C O 2 .
Countries   H 0 :   I n E C I n C O 2 H 0 :   I n C O 2 I n E C
w = 0.5w = 1.5w = 2.5c.v. = 10%w = 0.5w = 1.5w = 2.5c.v. = 10%
Algeria0.023 ***0.027 ***0.031 ***0.0910.029 ***0.028 ***0.034 ***0.032
Angola0.0340.0360.0410.0070.023 ***0.031 ***0.044 ***0.014
Burkina Faso0.0230.0270.0290.0120.0280.0100.0540.006
Benin0.0260.0280.0310.0140.0310.0250.0340.044
Cameron 0.019 **0.016 **0.014 **0.0170.038 ***0.041 ***0.045 ***0.009
Congo (Brazzaville)0.0290.0190.0160.0190.0370.0240.0340.018
Congo (DRC)0.0370.0210.0180.0810.0330.0220.0450.092
Egypt0.023 ***0.028 ***0.031 ***0.0890.0280.0420.0540.078
Ethiopia0.0330.0380.0420.0910.0240.0310.0480.099
Gabon0.0350.0370.0330.0710.0290.0320.0390.077
Ghana0.045 ***0.054 ***0.067 ***0.0090.0230.0310.0370.101
Guinea0.0370.0310.0280.0080.0280.0340.0380.111
Kenya0.0390.0320.0280.0450.0290.0280.0450.098
Lesotho0.0290.0240.0210.0760.0180.0310.0550.102
Madagascar0.0180.0210.0270.0890.0240.0100.0340.111
Malawi0.0240.0270.0290.0900.0320.0250.0490.133
Mali0.0320.0360.410.0390.0360.0410.0540.122
Mauritius0.0360.0370.0390.0510.0290.0240.0320.121
Morocco0.0290.0310.0330.0440.0170.0220.0350.090
Mozambique0.0170.0210.0280.0620.0290.0420.0410.112
Namibia0.0290.0370.0320.0820.0250.0310.0390.122
Nigeria0.025 ***0.028 ***0.031 ***0.0950.0440.0320.0570.124
Rwanda0.0440.0340.0270.0830.0310.0310.0450.154
Sao Tome and Principe0.0310.0280.0250.0760.0290.0340.0550.101
Senegal0.0220.0260.0290.0490.0180.0280.0550.111
Sierra Leone0.0190.0210.0230.0780.0240.0310.0530.121
South Africa0.0220.0260.0280.0650.0240.0100.0580.132
Tanzania0.0270.0290.0310.0070.0320.0250.0590.122
Togo0.0320.0350.0380.0090.0360.0410.0770.176
Tunisia0.028 ***0.031 ***0.037 ***0.0650.029 **0.024 **0.056 **0.109
Uganda0.0290.0310.0330.0980.017 **0.022 **0.055 **0.101
Zambia0.0190.0220.0280.0970.0290.0420.0540.102
Zimbabwe0.0210.0230.0240.0080.0250.0310.0670.111
***, **, represent 1%, 5% significant levels, respectively.
Table 7. Granger causality tests in the frequency domain estimates I n γ ,   I n A V A .
Table 7. Granger causality tests in the frequency domain estimates I n γ ,   I n A V A .
Countries H 0 :   I n γ I n A V A H 0 :   I n A V A   I n γ
w = 0.5w = 1.5w = 2.5c.v. = 10%w = 0.5w = 1.5w = 2.5c.v. = 10%
Algeria0.029 ***0.031 ***0.034 ***0.0230.014 ***0.045 ***0.035 ***0.019
Angola0.038 ***0.042 ***0.045 ***0.0090.015 ***0.015 ***0.045 ***0.098
Burkina Faso0.034 **0.044 **0.047 *0.0080.093 *0008 **0.053 **0.116
Benin0.022 **0.026 *0.029 ***0.0120.072 **0.053 **0.034 *0.122
Cameron 0.023 *0.027 **0.029 *0.0190.093 *0.072 **0.047 **0.138
Congo (Brazzaville)0.021 **0.026 **0.029 **0.0760.007 **0.009 *0.034 ***0.129
Congo (DRC)0.022 **0.025 **0.028 *0.0270.043 *0.005 **0.045 *0.147
Egypt0.019 **0.023 **0.029 **0.0980.007 **0.042 **0.053 **0.126
Ethiopia0.018 *0.022 **0.027 **0.0560.027 ***0.041 **0.047 **0.091
Gabon0.016 **0.019 **0.022 **0.0390.005 **0.033 **0.041 **0.125
Ghana0.022 *0.025 **0.029 ***0.0440.015 **0.042 **0.037 *0.087
Guinea0.018 **0.021 **0.027 *0.0870.005 *0.006 **0.034 ***0.099
Kenya0.007 ***0.012 **0.019 ***0.0690.027 *0.046 ***0.053 **0.102
Lesotho0.018 **0.011 **0.019 **0.0810.038 **0.036 **0.059 **0.009
Madagascar0.019 **0.022 **0.026 **0.0720.016 *0.016 *0.039 *0.122
Malawi0.022 *0.023 **0.026 **0.0980.036 *0.016 *0.047 **0.134
Mali0.027 *0.029 *0.031 *0.0990.026 *0.036 **0.054 *0.177
Mauritius0.032 *0.028 *0.024 *0.0620.009 **0.038 *0.045 **0.187
Morocco0.009 *0.014 *0.019 **0.0730.009 *0.037 **0.065 **0.138
Mozambique0.007 **0.009 *0.011 **0.0790.047 *0.034 **0.044 ***0.166
Namibia0.009 ***0.012 **0.019 ***0.0920.037 **0.083 **0.098 *0.147
Nigeria0.011 ***0.014 *0.019 **0.0950.047 ***0.034 **0.059 **0.123
Rwanda0.021 **0.025 **0.028 *0.0930.009 *0.024 **0.043 **0.122
Sao Tome and Principe0.012 *0.018 *0.022 **0.0910.047 **0.015 **0.058 ***0.111
Senegal0.024 **0.027 *0.032 ***0.0840.049 **0.005**0.058 *0.145
Sierra Leone0.022 **0.026 ***0.029 *0.0790.039 **0.094 *0.054 **0.118
South Africa0.011 *0.016 *0.019 **0.0990.039 **0.025 **0.056 **0.128
Tanzania0.022 **0.026 *0.028 **0.0780.041 **0.035 **0.055 *0.101
Togo0.021 **0.025 **0.029 *0.0550.033 **0.035 *0.074 *0.109
Tunisia0.009 **0.011 *0.016 **0.0890.034 *0.025 **0.053 **0.154
Uganda0.019 *0.023 **0.029 **0.0370.047 *0.035 **0.055 *0.111
Zambia0.021 *0.026 *0.031 *0.0880.037 *0.025 **0.055 *0.122
Zimbabwe0.007 *0.011 **0.019 *0.0890.043 **0.035 **0.064 **0.143
***, **, * represent 1%, 5%, 10% significant levels, respectively.
Table 8. Granger causality tests in the frequency domain estimates I n γ ,   I n F O R .
Table 8. Granger causality tests in the frequency domain estimates I n γ ,   I n F O R .
Countries H 0 :   I n γ I n F O R H 0 :   I n F O R I n γ
w = 0.5w = 1.5w = 2.5c.v. = 10%w = 0.5w = 1.5w = 2.5c.v. = 10%
Algeria0.009 0.011 *0.019 0.091 0.005 0.033 0.044 0.093
Angola0.004 0.012 *0.019 0.009 0.009 0.005 0.048 0.098
Burkina Faso0.011 *0.015 0.019 0.017 00070.023 0.056 0.099
Benin0.003 0.009 0.011 0.019 0.005 0.024 0.037 0.092
Cameron 0.005 ***0.009 ***0.012 ***0.089 0.001 0.029 0.048 0.091
Congo (Brazzaville)0.002 ***0.006 ***0.009 ***0.079 0.002 0.036 0.037 0.078
Congo (DRC)0.003 ***0.007 ***0.022 ***0.097 0.008 0.034 0.049 0.103
Egypt0.006 0.009 *0.011 0.087 0.004 0.032 0.057 0.099
Ethiopia0.011 0.017 *0.021 0.057 0.006 0.032 0.056 0.094
Gabon0.008 0.012 *0.022 0.023 0.002 0.039 0.044 0.109
Ghana0.007 0.014 *0.021 0.028 0.004 0.041 0.039 0.111
Guinea0.003 0.008 *0.011 0.055 0.008 0.034 0.040 0.104
Kenya0.008 ***0.013 ***0.019 ***0.089 0.005 *0.039 **0.047 *0.101
Lesotho0.009 0.022 **0.029 0.082 0.002 0.039 0.058 0.099
Madagascar0.014 0.023 *0.029 0.044 0.007 0.031 0.038 0.102
Malawi0.021 0.022 **0.028 0.043 0.009 0.037 0.056 0.101
Mali0.008 0.044 *0.054 0.049 0.009 0.045 0.057 0.078
Mauritius0.014 0.021 *0.034 0.076 0.003 0.045 0.055 0.099
Morocco0.022 0.025 *0.029 0.077 0.002 0.042 0.053 0.089
Mozambique0.028 0.031 *0.045 *0.073 0.007 0.031 0.045 0.098
Namibia0.027 0.031 *0.048 *0.071 0.001 0.043 0.048 0.067
Nigeria0.021 ***0.027 ***0.037 ***0.082 0.003 0.048 0.057 0.089
Rwanda0.011 0.033 0.054 0.091 0.003 0.041 0.045 0.098
Sao Tome and Principe0.023 *0.043 0.055 0.027 0.002 0.020 0.054 0.044
Senegal0.011 ***0.033 ***0.058 0.031 0.008 0.035 0.053 0.056
Sierra Leone0.012 0.027 0.039 0.036 0.001 0.051 0.054 0.019
South Africa0.009 ***0.014 ***0.051 ***0.042 0.003 0.034 0.052 0.110
Tanzania0.019 0.026 0.031 0.043 0.003 0.032 0.053 0.101
Togo0.008 0.015 0.029 0.055 0.004 0.052 0.071 0.089
Tunisia0.007 0.017 0.032 0.069 0.003 0.041 0.052 0.091
Uganda0.009 ***0.032 ***0.054 ***0.072 0.001 0.042 0.052 0.088
Zambia0.011 0.028 0.038 0.058 0.002 0.041 0.052 0.078
Zimbabwe0.013 0.029 0.054 0.098 0.006 0.044 0.062 0.098
***, **, * represent 1%, 5%, 10% significant levels, respectively.
Table 9. Granger causality tests in the frequency domain estimates I n E C ,   I n A V A .
Table 9. Granger causality tests in the frequency domain estimates I n E C ,   I n A V A .
Countries H 0 :   I n E C I n A V A H 0 :   I n A V A I n E C
w = 0.5w = 1.5w = 2.5c.v. = 10%w = 0.5w = 1.5w = 2.5c.v. = 10%
Algeria0.009 0.014 0.029 0.121 0.024 0.029 0.033 0.101
Angola0.011 ***0.026 ***0.037 ***0.019 0.024 0.032 0.042 0.103
Burkina Faso0.008 0.039 0.044 0.019 0.024 0.012 0.052 0.102
Benin0.029 0.044 0.039 0.082 0.034 0.023 0.032 0.104
Cameron 0.011 0.029 0.037 0.024 0.034 0.043 0.041 0.106
Congo (Brazzaville)0.028 0.031 0.039 0.032 0.034 0.022 0.031 0.102
Congo (DRC)0.027 0.058 0.068 0.019 0.035 0.023 0.041 0.101
Egypt0.013 ***0.025 ***0.039 ***0.018 0.025 0.043 0.052 0.102
Ethiopia0.029 0.033 0.054 0.095 0.025 0.032 0.044 0.108
Gabon0.011 0.023 0.056 0.008 0.024 0.033 0.035 0.102
Ghana0.013 ***0.028 ***0.011 ***0.101 0.025 0.033 0.034 0.104
Guinea0.016 0.022 0.032 0.016 0.025 0.035 0.034 0.102
Kenya0.012 0.024 0.034 0.013 0.024 0.024 0.043 0.101
Lesotho0.014 0.026 0.044 0.104 0.019 0.035 0.053 0.105
Madagascar0.011 0.033 0.045 0.101 0.023 0.014 0.033 0.103
Malawi0.009 0.045 0.056 0.101 0.033 0.024 0.042 0.102
Mali0.006 0.054 0.059 0.009 0.032 0.045 0.051 0.102
Mauritius0.008 0.023 0.041 0.102 0.021 0.025 0.037 0.101
Morocco0.007 0.033 0.039 0.103 0.019 0.024 0.034 0.102
Mozambique0.004 0.021 0.034 0.101 0.022 0.044 0.043 0.106
Namibia0.006 0.025 0.041 0.104 0.023 0.034 0.033 0.104
Nigeria0.009 ***0.029 ***0.044 ***0.101 0.041 ***0.033 ***0.054 ***0.103
Rwanda0.012 0.028 0.033 0.102 0.034 0.036 0.043 0.104
Sao Tome and Principe0.009 0.026 0.029 0.105 0.019 0.033 0.052 0.112
Senegal0.007 0.028 0.049 0.107 0.019 0.023 0.057 0.103
Sierra Leone0.006 0.039 0.044 0.101 0.021 0.034 0.056 0.102
South Africa0.005 ***0.028 ***0.046 ***0.114 0.022 ***0.014 ***0.054 ***0.104
Tanzania0.017 0.021 0.041 0.113 0.033 0.023 0.053 0.195
Togo0.022 0.029 0.038 0.124 0.031 0.043 0.073 0.102
Tunisia0.017 ***0.022 ***0.039 ***0.112 0.021 0.023 0.053 0.107
Uganda0.018 ***0.023 ***0.031 ***0.123 0.019 0.024 0.053 0.107
Zambia0.012 0.028 0.033 0.112 0.019 0.041 0.052 0.108
Zimbabwe0.014 0.029 0.032 0.124 0.021 0.032 0.062 0.119
*** represent 10% significant level.
Table 10. Granger causality tests in the frequency domain estimates I n C O 2 ,   I n A V A .
Table 10. Granger causality tests in the frequency domain estimates I n C O 2 ,   I n A V A .
Panel G
Countries   H 0 :   I n C O 2 ,   I n A V A H 0 :     I n A V A I n C O 2
w = 0.5w = 1.5w = 2.5c.v. = 10%w = 0.5w = 1.5w = 2.5c.v. = 10%
Algeria0.0060.0230.0340.0190.0130.0320.0490.114
Angola0.0050.0330.0440.0270.0170.0520.0590.115
Burkina Faso0.0020.0320.0540.0250.0960.0430.0690.118
Benin0.0090.0290.0340.0250.0730.0560.0610.117
Cameron 0.0110.0230.0450.0230.0910.0580.0620.111
Congo (Brazzaville)0.0120.0290.0340.0210.0090.0550.0690.124
Congo (DRC)0.0210.0320.0450.0890.0470.0550.0620.101
Egypt0.0240.0440.0540.0990.0040.0580.0610.102
Ethiopia0.0220.0330.0480.0940.0210.0740.0510.108
Gabon0.0120.0220.0390.0720.0090.0540.0520.123
Ghana0.0090.0290.0370.0110.0190.0540.0510.124
Guinea0.0190.0290.0380.0110.0090.0540.0610.102
Kenya0.0150.0280.0450.0560.0220.0660.0690.101
Lesotho0.0130.0390.0550.0760.0310.0370.0490.112
Madagascar0.0210.0290.0340.0190.0110.0520.0590.117
Malawi0.0250.0230.0490.0910.0320.0440.0580.115
Mali0.0050.0320.0540.0710.0220.0550.0640.102
Mauritius0.0140.0240.0320.0800.0050.0510.0540.101
Morocco0.0110.0280.0350.0490.0070.0510.0690.102
Mozambique0.0120.0130.0410.0690.0460.0510.0520.119
Namibia0.0180.0290.0390.0890.0330.0510.0580.119
Nigeria0.0220.0410.0570.0990.0440.0710.0720.129
Rwanda0.0210.0320.0450.0890.0060.0510.0640.117
Sao Tome and Principe0.0120.0390.0550.0720.0450.0560.0650.155
Senegal0.0220.0330.0550.0910.0440.0560.0580.141
Sierra Leone0.0140.0230.0530.0710.0320.0670.0690.128
South Africa0.0220.0340.0580.0690.0310.0340.0710.148
Tanzania0.0080.0230.0590.0090.0290.0550.0710.112
Togo0.0060.0320.0770.0110.0310.0440.0590.121
Tunisia0.0080.0290.0560.0660.0330.0550.0620.121
Uganda0.0090.0220.0550.0930.0450.0530.0640.150
Zambia0.0190.0210.0540.0910.0330.0560.0680.132
Zimbabwe0.0210.0290.0670.0090.0460.0560.0640.131
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Lawal, A.I. The Nexus between Economic Growth, Energy Consumption, Agricultural Output, and CO2 in Africa: Evidence from Frequency Domain Estimates. Energies 2023, 16, 1239. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16031239

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Lawal AI. The Nexus between Economic Growth, Energy Consumption, Agricultural Output, and CO2 in Africa: Evidence from Frequency Domain Estimates. Energies. 2023; 16(3):1239. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16031239

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Lawal, Adedoyin Isola. 2023. "The Nexus between Economic Growth, Energy Consumption, Agricultural Output, and CO2 in Africa: Evidence from Frequency Domain Estimates" Energies 16, no. 3: 1239. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16031239

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