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Open AccessArticle

Analyzing Scenarios for the Integration of Renewable Energy Sources in the Mexican Energy System—An Application of the Global Energy System Model (GENeSYS-MOD)

by 1,2,*,†, 1,3,4,†, 1,3,† and 1,3,†
1
DIW Berlin, Mohrenstraße 58, 10117 Berlin, Germany
2
CIDE Mexico, Carr. México-Toluca 3655, Santa Fe, Altavista, Ciudad de México 01210, CDMX, Mexico
3
Workgroup for Infrastructure Policy, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17 Juni 135, 10629 Berlin, Germany
4
Department of Industrial Economics and Technology Management (IØT), NTNU Trondheim, Høgskoleringen 1, 7491 Trondheim, Norway
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
These authors contributed equally to this work.
Energies 2019, 12(17), 3270; https://doi.org/10.3390/en12173270
Received: 28 June 2019 / Revised: 2 August 2019 / Accepted: 18 August 2019 / Published: 25 August 2019
(This article belongs to the Special Issue 100% Renewable Energy Transition: Pathways and Implementation)
This paper uses numerical techno-economic modelling to analyse the effect of current national renewable targets and climate goals on the cost and structural composition of the Mexican energy system. For this, we construct a scenario base analysis to compare current policies with two alternative states of the world—one without climate policies and one attaining full decarbonization. Furthermore, an additional iterative routine allows us to estimate the cost-optimal share of renewable technologies in the energy sector and the effect that deviating from this share has on total discounted system costs, emissions and the structure of the energy mix. In general, model results exhibit three key insights—(1) A marked dependence of the energy system on photovoltaics and natural gas; (2) The 2050 cost-optimal share of renewables for the production of electricity, transportation and industrial heating is respectively 75%, 90% and 5%; and (3) As national renewable targets for the power sector are lower than the cost-optimal share of renewables, equivalent to the shares in an scenario without climate policies and completely disconnected from national climate goals, these should be modified. View Full-Text
Keywords: renewable transition; numeric modelling; Mexico; climate policies; energy transition; energy policy; GENeSYS-MOD renewable transition; numeric modelling; Mexico; climate policies; energy transition; energy policy; GENeSYS-MOD
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MDPI and ACS Style

Sarmiento, L.; Burandt, T.; Löffler, K.; Oei, P.-Y. Analyzing Scenarios for the Integration of Renewable Energy Sources in the Mexican Energy System—An Application of the Global Energy System Model (GENeSYS-MOD). Energies 2019, 12, 3270. https://doi.org/10.3390/en12173270

AMA Style

Sarmiento L, Burandt T, Löffler K, Oei P-Y. Analyzing Scenarios for the Integration of Renewable Energy Sources in the Mexican Energy System—An Application of the Global Energy System Model (GENeSYS-MOD). Energies. 2019; 12(17):3270. https://doi.org/10.3390/en12173270

Chicago/Turabian Style

Sarmiento, Luis; Burandt, Thorsten; Löffler, Konstantin; Oei, Pao-Yu. 2019. "Analyzing Scenarios for the Integration of Renewable Energy Sources in the Mexican Energy System—An Application of the Global Energy System Model (GENeSYS-MOD)" Energies 12, no. 17: 3270. https://doi.org/10.3390/en12173270

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