Social Preference Parameters Impacting Financial Decisions Among Welfare Recipients
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. The Games
1.2. Ultimatum Game
1.3. Dictator Game
1.4. Trust Game
1.5. Benchmarking with Prior Student–City Comparisons
2. Experimental Procedures
Subject Pools and Background
3. Results
3.1. The Ultimatum Game
3.2. The Dictator Game
3.3. The Trust Game
3.4. Reciprocity Analysis
3.5. Pooled-Sample Robustness Check
3.6. Robustness and External Validation: Matching, Weighting, and Benchmark Comparisons
3.6.1. Exact Matching on Observed Covariates
3.6.2. Propensity Score Matching (PSM) and Inverse-Probability Weighting (IPW)
3.6.3. External Triangulation with Published Adult Samples
3.6.4. Payback Decision and Earnings for the Miami and Tucson Samples
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Ultimatum Game: Envy and Self-interest | ||||||||||
Miami | Tucson | |||||||||
All Miami | Male | Female | Hispanic/Latino | Non-Hispanic/Latino | All Tucson | Male | Female | Hispanic/Latino | Non-Hispanic/Latino | |
Avg % Amount offered | 0.42 | 0.45 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 0.41 | 0.4 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 0.37 | 0.41 |
% of Offers Rejected | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.09 |
Dictator Game: Altruism and Self-interest | ||||||||||
Miami | Tucson | |||||||||
All Miami | Male | Female | Hispanic/Latino | Non-Hispanic/Latino | All Tucson | Male | Female | Hispanic/Latino | Non-Hispanic/Latino | |
Avg % Amount Offered | 0.23 | 0.18 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.21 |
Trust Game: Trust, Trustworthiness, and Positive Reciprocity | ||||||||||
Miami | Tucson | |||||||||
All Miami | Male | Female | Hispanic/Latino | Non-Hispanic/Latino | All Tucson | Male | Female | Hispanic/Latino | Non-Hispanic/Latino | |
Avg % Amount Passed | 0.56 | 0.53 | 0.63 | 0.53 | 0.58 | 0.54 | 0.39 | 0.68 | 0.51 | 0.55 |
Avg % Amount that the Trustee Returns | 0.52 | 0.44 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 0.55 | 0.45 | 0.36 | 0.55 | 0.40 | 0.47 |
t-Test for Equality of Means | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
t | df | Sig. (2-Tailed) | Mean Difference | Std. Error Difference | 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference | ||
Lower | Upper | ||||||
Ultimatum Average % Amount Offered | |||||||
Gender | 0.734 | 55 | 0.466 | 0.02955 | 0.04023 | −0.05108 | 0.11017 |
Ethnicity | −0.139 | 55 | 0.890 | −0.00554 | 0.03992 | −0.08554 | 0.07446 |
Location | 0.403 | 55 | 0.688 | 0.01607 | 0.03987 | −0.06382 | 0.09597 |
Ultimatum % of Offers Rejected | |||||||
Gender | 0.839 | 55 | 0.405 | 0.06439 | 0.07677 | −0.08945 | 0.21824 |
Ethnicity | −1.447 | 55 | 0.154 | −0.10837 | 0.07489 | −0.25845 | 0.04170 |
Location | −0.420 | 55 | 0.676 | −0.03202 | 0.07618 | −0.18468 | 0.12064 |
Dictator Avg % Amount Offered | |||||||
Gender | 0.295 | 55 | 0.769 | 0.01629 | 0.05523 | −0.09440 | 0.12698 |
Ethnicity | 1.020 | 55 | 0.312 | 0.05517 | 0.05408 | −0.05321 | 0.16356 |
Location | −0.239 | 55 | 0.812 | −0.01305 | 0.05456 | −0.12240 | 0.09629 |
Trust—Avg % Amount Sent | |||||||
Gender | −2.312 | 51 | 0.025 | −0.18035 | 0.07801 | −0.33697 | −0.02374 |
Ethnicity | −0.538 | 51 | 0.593 | −0.04343 | 0.08071 | −0.20546 | 0.11860 |
Location | −0.209 | 51 | 0.835 | −0.01695 | 0.08113 | −0.17984 | 0.14593 |
Trust—Avg % Amount Returned | |||||||
Gender | 1.838 | 51 | 0.072 | 0.18636 | 0.10139 | −0.01718 | 0.38991 |
Ethnicity | −0.098 | 51 | 0.922 | −0.01014 | 0.10333 | −0.21758 | 0.19729 |
Location | 0.548 | 51 | 0.586 | 0.05661 | 0.10333 | −0.15083 | 0.26405 |
Ultimatum | Dictator | Trust | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Avg % Amount Offered | Offers Rejected | Avg % Amount Offered | Avg % Amount Sent | Avg % Amount Returned | |
Location | 0.033 (0.049) | 0.050 (0.091) | −0.060 (0.066) | −0.027 (0.092) | 0.120 (0.119) |
Gender | 0.033 (0.041) | 0.069 (0.077) | 0.010 * (0.056) | −0.185 * (0.080) | 0.203 * (0.104) |
Ethnicity | −0.023 (0.048) | −0.134 (0.090) | 0.088 0.065 | −0.035 (0.091) | −0.065 (0.117) |
Constant | 0.389 *** (0.036) | 0.103 (0.068) | 0.209 *** (0.049) | 0.657 *** (0.068) | 0.370 *** (0.088) |
R2 | 0.018 | 0.054 | 0.035 | 0.103 | 0.081 |
Observations | 56 | 56 | 56 | 56 | 56 |
Dependent Variable | Location Main Effect | Largest Interaction Term | Adjusted R2 |
---|---|---|---|
Ultimatum—% offered | β = −0.012, p = 0.32 | Location × Gender: β = 0.018, p = 0.28 | 0.07 |
Dictator—% offered | β = 0.004, p = 0.73 | Location × Gender: β = −0.021, p = 0.19 | 0.05 |
Trust—% sent | β = −0.015, p = 0.27 | Location × Stakes: β = 0.029, p = 0.14 | 0.08 |
Reciprocity—% returned | β = −0.022, p = 0.21 | Location × Gender: β = 0.034, p = 0.11 | 0.06 |
Covariate | Raw Mean Welfare (N = 56) | Raw Mean Students (N = 58) | SMD Raw |
---|---|---|---|
Male (1 = Yes) | 0.38 | 0.41 | −0.08 |
Hispanic (1 = Yes) | 0.62 | 0.22 | 0.81 |
Game | Loc β PSM | p PSM | Gender β PSM |
---|---|---|---|
Ultimatum | −0.015 | 0.3 | 0.052 |
Dictator | 0.006 | 0.7 | 0.037 |
Trust | −0.018 | 0.28 | 0.06 |
Reciprocity | −0.025 | 0.24 | 0.072 |
Game Metric | Welfare Recipients Mean | Adult Mean (95% CI) (Belot et al., 2015) | Adult Mean (95% CI) (Staffiero et al., 2013) |
---|---|---|---|
Ultimatum—% Offered | 0.38 | 0.32 (0.28–0.36) | 0.35 (0.30–0.40) |
Dictator—% Offered | 0.29 | 0.28 (0.24–0.31) | 0.27 (0.23–0.31) |
Trust—% Sent | 0.37 | 0.35 (0.31–0.38) | 0.36 (0.32–0.40) |
Reciprocity—% Returned | 0.35 | 0.34 (0.30–0.38) | 0.33 (0.29–0.37) |
Diagnostic | Ultimatum | Dictator | Trust | Reciprocity | Benchmark |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean VIF (Location, Gender, Ethnicity, Stakes-ratio) | 1.18 | 1.21 | 1.23 | 1.19 | p < 5 indicates no multicollinearity (Greene, 2020) |
Shapiro–Wilk p (normality of residuals) | 0.22 | 0.31 | 0.18 | 0.27 | p > 0.05 p ⇒ cannot reject normality |
Breusch–Pagan p (heteroskedasticity) | 0.34 | 0.29 | 0.41 | 0.36 | p > 0.05 p > 0.05 ⇒ homoscedastic errors |
Max Cook’s D | 0.12 | 0.1 | 0.09 | 0.11 | p < 1 ⇒ no influential outliers |
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Zumaeta, J.N. Social Preference Parameters Impacting Financial Decisions Among Welfare Recipients. J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18, 408. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18080408
Zumaeta JN. Social Preference Parameters Impacting Financial Decisions Among Welfare Recipients. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 2025; 18(8):408. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18080408
Chicago/Turabian StyleZumaeta, Jorge N. 2025. "Social Preference Parameters Impacting Financial Decisions Among Welfare Recipients" Journal of Risk and Financial Management 18, no. 8: 408. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18080408
APA StyleZumaeta, J. N. (2025). Social Preference Parameters Impacting Financial Decisions Among Welfare Recipients. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 18(8), 408. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18080408