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J. Risk Financial Manag. 2018, 11(4), 63;

An Analysis of Bitcoin’s Price Dynamics

NTNU Business School, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, 7491 Trondheim, Norway
Nord University Business School, Nord University, 8049 Bodø, Norway
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Received: 20 September 2018 / Revised: 8 October 2018 / Accepted: 11 October 2018 / Published: 15 October 2018
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Alternative Assets and Cryptocurrencies)
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This paper aims to enhance the understanding of which factors affect the price development of Bitcoin in order for investors to make sound investment decisions. Previous literature has covered only a small extent of the highly volatile period during the last months of 2017 and the beginning of 2018. To examine the potential price drivers, we use the Autoregressive Distributed Lag and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity approach. Our study identifies the technological factor Hashrate as irrelevant for modeling Bitcoin price dynamics. This irrelevance is due to the underlying code that makes the supply of Bitcoins deterministic, and it stands in contrast to previous literature that has included Hashrate as a crucial independent variable. Moreover, the empirical findings indicate that the price of Bitcoin is affected by returns on the S&P 500 and Google searches, showing consistency with results from previous literature. In contrast to previous literature, we find the CBOE volatility index (VIX), oil, gold, and Bitcoin transaction volume to be insignificant. View Full-Text
Keywords: Bitcoin; cryptocurrency; Hashrate Bitcoin; cryptocurrency; Hashrate

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This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited (CC BY 4.0).

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Kjærland, F.; Khazal, A.; Krogstad, E.A.; Nordstrøm, F.B.G.; Oust, A. An Analysis of Bitcoin’s Price Dynamics. J. Risk Financial Manag. 2018, 11, 63.

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