Evolving Cancer Characteristics Among World Trade Center Survivors: An Updated Analysis from the WTC Environmental Health Center
Highlights
- World Trade Center (WTC) survivors were exposed to complex mixtures of carcino genic environmental agents following the 9/11 disaster, representing a unique large-scale environmental health event.
- This study characterizes the evolving cancer burden in a diverse civilian population with WTC exposure, addressing an important gap beyond responder-focused research.
- The number of certified cancers among WTC survivors has increased 2.5-fold over the last five years, highlighting a major cancer burden 25 years after 9/11.
- Distinct cancer patterns, including elevated frequencies of melanoma of the skin and urinary bladder cancer, underscore the need to understand exposure-related and surveillance-related influences in this WTC affected urban civilian population.
- Evidence-based strategies for sustained surveillance and targeted cancer screening are essential for high-quality healthcare and research in an aging population exposed to environmental disasters.
- Study findings support the need for continued epidemiologic and mechanistic research to clarify exposure–cancer risk and outcomes relationships and inform future public health policy.
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. WTC EHC and Study Participants
2.2. Exposure Assessment
2.3. WTC Pan Cancer Database
2.4. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Participants
3.2. Cancer Distribution
3.3. Distribution of Solid Cancer Diagnoses in Female and Male Patients
3.4. Age of Cancer and Latency from 11 September 2001
3.5. Distribution of Lymphoproliferative and Hematopoietic Malignancies
3.6. Cancer Multiplicity
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Level | Overall | Non-Cancer | Cancer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | 16,763 | 10,175 | 6588 | |
| Sex, n (%) | Female | 8425 (50.3) | 5295 (52.1) | 3130 (47.5) |
| Male | 8318 (49.7) | 4861 (47.9) | 3457 (52.5) | |
| Age on 9/11 (years) (median [range]) | 43.0 [0.0, 89.0] | 41.0 [0.0, 89.0] | 45.0 [0.0, 81.0] | |
| Race/Ethnicity (%) | Hispanic | 3222 (19.2) | 2498 (24.6) | 724 (11.0) |
| NH *-White | 6657 (39.8) | 3625 (35.7) | 3032 (46.0) | |
| NH *-Black | 3302 (19.7) | 2065 (20.3) | 1237 (18.8) | |
| Asian | 2314 (13.8) | 1435 (14.1) | 879 (13.3) | |
| Native American | 7 (0.0) | 5 (0.0) | 2 (0.0) | |
| Other/Unknown | 1237 (7.4) | 523 (5.2) | 714 (10.8) | |
| BMI **, n (%) | Normal weight (<25) | 2986 (30.7) | 1787 (31.1) | 1199 (30.2) |
| Overweight (25–30) | 3475 (35.8) | 2007 (34.9) | 1468 (37.0) | |
| Obese (≥30) | 3257 (33.5) | 1958 (34.0) | 1299 (32.8) | |
| Individual Income, n (%) | Equal or less than $30,000/year | 7075 (50.5) | 4522 (54.9) | 2553 (44.3) |
| More than $30,000/year | 6591 (47.1) | 3718 (45.1) | 2873 (49.9) | |
| Do not know/Refused | 331 (2.4) | 0 (0.0) | 331 (5.7) | |
| Education, n (%) | Equal or less than high school | 4403 (29.3) | 2830 (30.8) | 1573 (27.0) |
| More than high school | 10,628 (70.7) | 6367 (69.2) | 4261 (73.0) | |
| No Answer/Never Record/Refused | 7 (0.0) | 5 (0.1) | 2 (0.0) | |
| Exposure information | ||||
| Dust cloud exposure, n (%) | No | 7721 (48.2) | 4734 (47.0) | 2987 (50.3) |
| Yes | 8299 (51.8) | 5346 (53.0) | 2953 (49.7) | |
| Smoking status (%) | Current smoker | 1323 (8.2) | 1014 (10.0) | 309 (5.2) |
| Former smoker | 4537 (28.1) | 2639 (25.9) | 1898 (31.8) | |
| Never smoker | 10,137 (62.8) | 6421 (63.1) | 3716 (62.3) | |
| Unknown | 143 (0.9) | 101 (1.0) | 42 (0.7) | |
| Smoking pack year, n (%) | ≤5 p-y *** | 10,243 (71.8) | 6468 (75.1) | 3775 (66.8) |
| >5 p-y *** | 4014 (28.2) | 2140 (24.9) | 1874 (33.2) | |
| All (6983) | Male (3675) | Female (3308) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n (%) | Age at Diagnosis (Median [IQR]) | Latency Year (Median [IQR]) | n (%) | Age at Diagnosis (Median [IQR]) | Latency Year (Median [IQR]) | n (%) | Age at Diagnosis (Median [IQR]) | Latency Year (Median [IQR]) | |
| Breast | 1677 (24.0) | 56.8 [49.3, 64.7] | 14.4 [10.2, 17.8] | 22 (0.6) | 63.6 [52.6, 66.6] | 15.8 [10.0, 16.6] | 1655 (50.0) | 56.7 [49.2, 64.6] | 14.4 [10.2, 17.8] |
| Prostate | 1424 (20.4) | 63.4 [58.1, 69.1] | 15.0 [10.8, 18.5] | 1424 (38.7) | 63.4 [58.1, 69.1] | 15.0 [10.8, 18.5] | - | - | - |
| Lung | 607 (8.7) | 65.9 [59.6, 72.1] | 16.1 [12.8, 19.1] | 258 (7.0) | 66.9 [61.5, 73.1] | 16.0 [12.8, 19.1] | 349 (10.6) | 64.8 [58.4, 71.3] | 16.1 [12.9, 19.0] |
| Thyroid | 474 (6.8) | 52.2 [44.5, 60.4] | 13.4 [8.8, 16.9] | 181 (4.9) | 53.0 [45.3, 61.9] | 13.6 [8.5, 17.0] | 293 (8.9) | 51.5 [43.1, 58.6] | 13.2 [8.9, 16.8] |
| Lymphoma | 471 (6.7) | 58.4 [49.7, 66.2] | 13.8 [9.0, 17.1] | 302 (8.2) | 58.0 [49.5, 66.1] | 13.8 [8.7, 17.1] | 169 (5.1) | 59.5 [50.0, 66.2] | 13.8 [9.3, 17.3] |
| Colon and rectum | 448 (6.4) | 59.9 [52.2, 68.4] | 15.1 [11.8, 18.5] | 290 (7.9) | 59.7 [52.0, 68.5] | 15.6 [12.3, 18.8] | 158 (4.8) | 60.2 [52.6, 68.3] | 14.6 [10.9, 18.1] |
| Melanoma of the skin | 313 (4.5) | 62.2 [52.7, 70.6] | 14.3 [10.0, 18.3] | 215 (5.9) | 63.5 [54.4, 70.9] | 14.2 [10.3, 17.8] | 98 (3.0) | 59.3 [47.0, 69.4] | 14.6 [9.3, 18.8] |
| Head and neck sites | 294 (4.2) | 59.5 [52.3, 66.6] | 14.0 [10.3, 17.7] | 225 (6.1) | 59.5 [52.8, 67.3] | 14.1 [9.8, 17.8] | 69 (2.1) | 59.5 [51.5, 64.4] | 13.6 [11.3, 16.8] |
| Kidney | 276 (4.0) | 60.6 [51.2, 67.9] | 15.2 [11.5, 18.5] | 202 (5.5) | 61.0 [52.3, 67.9] | 15.1 [11.5, 18.5] | 74 (2.2) | 59.2 [46.8, 67.8] | 15.5 [10.7, 18.5] |
| Urinary bladder | 225 (3.2) | 65.9 [59.1, 71.3] | 15.1 [11.0, 18.0] | 184 (5.0) | 65.7 [59.3, 70.7] | 15.1 [10.8, 18.0] | 41 (1.2) | 66.3 [56.8, 74.7] | 14.4 [11.8, 17.9] |
| Leukemia | 212 (3.0) | 61.4 [51.3, 67.6] | 13.9 [9.9, 16.8] | 142 (3.9) | 61.3 [51.3, 66.9] | 12.9 [9.6, 16.0] | 70 (2.1) | 61.6 [52.1, 68.1] | 15.9 [12.5, 18.8] |
| Myeloma | 210 (3.0) | 61.2 [54.8, 67.6] | 15.4 [12.2, 18.4] | 122 (3.3) | 61.8 [56.4, 68.1] | 15.3 [11.7, 18.3] | 88 (2.7) | 60.2 [51.1, 67.0] | 15.7 [12.5, 18.4] |
| Corpus uteri | 167 (2.4) | 60.8 [55.2, 66.5] | 15.3 [11.4, 18.9] | - | - | - | 167 (5.0) | 60.8 [55.2, 66.5] | 15.3 [11.4, 18.9] |
| Pancreas | 96 (1.4) | 63.2 [54.8, 70.8] | 16.2 [12.6, 19.1] | 53 (1.4) | 66.6 [55.6, 72.6] | 16.6 [12.6, 19.6] | 43 (1.3) | 60.3 [51.1, 67.2] | 16.1 [13.2, 18.5] |
| Stomach | 84 (1.2) | 58.9 [53.0, 66.8] | 14.3 [11.8, 16.9] | 52 (1.4) | 58.0 [52.6, 65.7] | 13.9 [11.7, 16.1] | 32 (1.0) | 59.6 [54.1, 68.8] | 14.8 [11.9, 20.2] |
| Year 2024 | Year 2019 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of Cancers | n | % | n | % |
| 1 | 5644 | 85.7 | 2256 | 86.9 |
| 2 | 842 | 12.8 | 299 | 11.7 |
| 3 or more | 102 | 1.5 | 36 | 1.4 |
| Total | 6588 | 100 | 2561 | 100 |
| Sex * | Age at First Diagnosis * | Smoking * | Overall | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of Cancers | Female | Male | <50 | >=50 | Ever Smoker | Never Smoker | All Patients |
| 1 | 2699 (86.2%) | 2944 (85.2%) | 1173 (87.7%) | 4416 (85.0%) | 1831 (83.0%) | 3257 (87.6%) | 5644 (85.7%) |
| 2 | 382 (12.2%) | 460 (13.3%) | 152 (11.4%) | 688 (13.2%) | 332 (15.0%) | 416 (11.2%) | 842 (12.8%) |
| 3 or more | 49 (1.6%) | 53 (1.5%) | 12 (0.9%) | 90 (1.7%) | 44 (2.0%) | 43 (1.2%) | 102 (1.5%) |
| Total patients | 3130 | 3457 | 1337 | 5194 | 2207 | 3716 | 6588 |
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Durmus, N.; Wang, Z.; Arslan, A.A.; Goren, E.; Alptekin, R.; Lou, Y.; Shao, A.; Athar, N.; Ashebir, Y.A.; Shi, Y.; et al. Evolving Cancer Characteristics Among World Trade Center Survivors: An Updated Analysis from the WTC Environmental Health Center. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2026, 23, 625. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph23050625
Durmus N, Wang Z, Arslan AA, Goren E, Alptekin R, Lou Y, Shao A, Athar N, Ashebir YA, Shi Y, et al. Evolving Cancer Characteristics Among World Trade Center Survivors: An Updated Analysis from the WTC Environmental Health Center. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2026; 23(5):625. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph23050625
Chicago/Turabian StyleDurmus, Nedim, Ziyue Wang, Alan A. Arslan, Emre Goren, Ramazan Alptekin, Yujia Lou, Andrew Shao, Nida Athar, Yibeltal A. Ashebir, Yidan Shi, and et al. 2026. "Evolving Cancer Characteristics Among World Trade Center Survivors: An Updated Analysis from the WTC Environmental Health Center" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 23, no. 5: 625. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph23050625
APA StyleDurmus, N., Wang, Z., Arslan, A. A., Goren, E., Alptekin, R., Lou, Y., Shao, A., Athar, N., Ashebir, Y. A., Shi, Y., Wilson, L., Reibman, J., & Shao, Y. (2026). Evolving Cancer Characteristics Among World Trade Center Survivors: An Updated Analysis from the WTC Environmental Health Center. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 23(5), 625. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph23050625

