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Background:
Systematic Review

The Influence of Social Determinants of Health, Environmental, and Healthcare Resources on Life Expectancy in the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) Countries: A Systematic Review

by
Ruhina Aimaq
1,
Hana AlSumri
1,
Amal S. Malehi
1,
Zainab M. Al-Zadjali
1,
Kouthar S. Al-Alawi
1,
Laila S. Al-Saadi
2,
Rawan Ibrahim
1,
Sumaiya Al Aamri
1,
Rabab Mohammed Bedawi Husien
1,
Anak Agung Bagus Wirayuda
3 and
Moon Fai Chan
1,3,*
1
Department of Family Medicine & Public Health, College of Medicine & Health Sciences, Sultan Qaboos University, Muscat 123, Oman
2
Ministry of Education, Muscat 100, Oman
3
Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember, Surabaya 60111, Indonesia
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2026, 23(4), 531; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph23040531
Submission received: 2 March 2026 / Revised: 16 March 2026 / Accepted: 9 April 2026 / Published: 18 April 2026
(This article belongs to the Special Issue 4th Edition: Social Determinants of Health)

Highlights

Public health relevance—How does this work relate to a public health issue?
  • Life expectancy (LE) is a fundamental indicator for assessing the performance and effectiveness of public health systems.
  • Persistent gaps in LE between and within countries now mirror broader social and environmental inequalities rather than purely biomedical risks.
Public health significance—Why is this work of significance to public health?
  • Cross-country studies have examined determinants of LE globally; however, in some Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) member states, existing evidence remains fragmented.
  • No systematic review exists that collates and critically appraises quantitative evidence on how social determinants of health, environmental conditions, and healthcare resources jointly influence LE across OIC member countries.
Public health implications—What are the key implications or messages for practitioners, policy makers, and/or researchers in public health?
  • Higher gross domestic product per capita, better education, stronger employment, and greater health expenditure are consistently associated with longer LE, whereas poverty, inequality, air pollution, and limited health resources tend to shorten lives or slow progress.
  • These findings indicate that improving LE in OIC countries will require coordinated multisectoral policies rather than isolated interventions, and that future research should prioritize stronger causal designs and improved country- and subnational-level data to clarify mechanisms and support more targeted interventions.

Abstract

Life expectancy (LE) varies widely across Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) countries, reflecting differences in economic, social, environmental, and health-system conditions. This review aimed to synthesize quantitative evidence on determinants of LE at birth in OIC member countries. The study was conducted in accordance with the PRISMA guidelines, and a systematic search of electronic databases was performed up to September 2025. After screening 5312 records and assessing full texts, studies were appraised using the Joanna Briggs Institute checklists, with an inclusion threshold of ≥80%. A total of 54 studies, mainly ecological, time-series, and panel analyses using national-level data, were included. Higher gross domestic product per capita, education, employment, and health expenditure were consistently associated with longer LE. In contrast, poverty, income inequality, air pollution, and carbon dioxide emissions were associated with shorter LE. Clear differences were observed across World Bank income groups, with LE being lowest in low-income OIC countries and highest in high-income Gulf Cooperation Council states, where gains were driven more by health-system resources than by income growth. Improving LE in OIC countries requires integrated economic, social, environmental, and health-system policies.

1. Introduction

Life expectancy (LE) is the average number of years an individual is expected to live, assuming prevailing age-specific mortality rates remain unchanged, and it typically varies across geographical settings and time periods [1]. LE is a fundamental indicator for assessing the performance and effectiveness of public health systems [2]. The global LE appears to have declined by 0.92 years between 2019 and 2020 and by another 0.72 years between 2020 and 2021, but the decline seems to have ended during the last quarter of 2021 [3]. A recent study found that LE has increased steadily, reflecting progress in income, education, and healthcare; however, gains have been uneven across regions and have slowed or stalled in some settings [4]. Persistent gaps in LE, both between and within countries, now mirror broader social and environmental inequalities rather than purely biomedical risks [5].
The Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) brings together 57 member states spanning four continents, with marked heterogeneity in economic development, demographic structures, and health-system capacity [6]. Recent data from the Statistical, Economic and Social Research and Training Centre for Islamic Countries (SESRIC) show that average LE in OIC countries increased from 62.2 years in 2000 to 68.9 years in 2023, yet remains below the global average of around 73.3 years, with wide dispersion across income groups and regions [7]. At the same time, population aging is accelerating: the share of adults aged 65+ in OIC countries rose from 3.6% in 1990 to 4.8% in 2021 and is projected to reach 9.5% by 2050, placing additional demands on health and social protection systems [8]. Policy analyses further indicate that OIC countries, particularly low- and lower-middle-income members, tend to have lower LE at birth (LEB), higher maternal and under-five mortality, and more limited financial and physical access to essential health services than comparable non-OIC countries [9].
The World Health Organization (WHO) defines the social determinants of health (SDH) as the conditions in which people are born, grow, work, live, and age, shaped by the distribution of power, money, and resources [10]. A growing body of empirical work shows that LE is strongly influenced by social and economic conditions, including income, employment, education, social protection, and the broader welfare state, alongside individual health behaviors [5]. Cross-national analyses have identified economic prosperity, income inequality, labor market conditions, and social policy spending as important predictors of LE and mortality [4]. Within the OIC context, national-level modeling in BahrSain has demonstrated that macroeconomic factors, health status and resources, and sociodemographic structure jointly influence LE over time [11]. Alongside social and economic determinants, environmental conditions, especially ambient and household air pollution, have emerged as major drivers of premature mortality and reduced LE. Global estimates suggest that exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and other pollutants shortens average LE by roughly 1–3 years, with particularly large impacts in low- and middle-income countries [12,13].
Health-system resources and service coverage constitute a third critical domain influencing LE. Comparative analyses indicate that higher and more efficient health expenditures, universal health coverage, adequate health workforce density, and access to quality primary care are generally associated with longer LE, although the strength and shape of these relationships vary by context [4,14]. In Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries, including several Gulf Cooperation Council GCC and broader OIC members, increased per capita health spending has been positively correlated with gains in LE at birth, but with notable inefficiencies and cross-country differences [14]. Policy reports on OIC member states highlight that many countries invest a lower share of gross domestic product (GDP) in health, rely heavily on out-of-pocket payments, and face shortages of nurses and midwives compared with non-OIC peers, especially in low-income settings [6,9].
Although numerous cross-country studies have examined determinants of LE globally, in some OIC member states, existing evidence remains fragmented. Most analyses focus on a single domain (for example, health spending or environmental degradation) or a single country or subregion, use different sets of covariates, and apply heterogeneous methods, making it difficult for policymakers in OIC countries to draw coherent conclusions. Recent longitudinal and reviews have begun to organize determinants of LE into broad categories such as healthcare expenditures, social spending, health behaviors, and environmental risks, but these syntheses have not been tailored to the specific socioeconomic, demographic, and health-system realities of OIC members [4,15,16]. To date, no systematic review has collated and critically appraised quantitative evidence on how social determinants of health, environmental conditions, and healthcare resources jointly influence LE across OIC member countries.
To address this gap, the present systematic review will synthesize observational and longitudinal studies reporting associations between LE and social, environmental, and health-system determinants in OIC member states, with attention to regional and income-group heterogeneity and methodological quality. By integrating evidence across these three domains, the review aims to identify quantitative studies examining the association between LE and social, environmental, and healthcare resource determinants in OIC countries, clarify which modifiable factors can be targeted through policy, and highlight priority gaps for future empirical research.

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Search Strategies

This systematic review protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD420251164403), and the methods align with PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) 2020 [17] (Supplementary File S2). A comprehensive search of international bibliographic databases was undertaken, including MEDLINE (via PubMed), Scopus, Web of Science, and ScienceDirect, as well as multidisciplinary and subject-specific databases (e.g., Academic Search Complete, Business Source Complete, IEEE Xplore) and Google Scholar for additional material. In addition, selected regional databases (such as Al Manhal) were searched to improve coverage of studies from OIC countries. The EBSCOhost platform served as the primary search engine available through the university library.
All databases were searched from their respective dates up to 3 September 2025, with no restrictions imposed on the earliest year of publication. Only peer-reviewed full-text articles published in English were eligible. No restrictions were placed on publication status, except that the report must contain original quantitative data. Because the review focuses specifically on OIC member states, the search strategy was applied separately to each of the 57 OIC countries. The search strategy combined terms related to LE with terms describing socioeconomic, macroeconomic, environmental, and health-system determinants. Both free-text keywords and database-specific subject headings (e.g., MeSH terms in MEDLINE) were used where applicable, and search strings were adapted to the syntax of each database. The core Boolean structure combined determinants using “OR”, which were then linked to the outcome and country terms using “AND”. The general search structure was as follows.
The same core Boolean operator “AND” and “OR” was used for all countries: “life expectancy” AND (“socioeconomic status” OR “sociodemographics” OR “macroeconomics” OR “health resources” OR “environmental” OR “pollution” AND [“country name”]). A sample of our full search strategy is provided in Supplementary File S1.

2.2. Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria

Studies were included if conducted in at least one OIC member country at the national, subnational, or city level. They involved the general population or a clearly defined population-based sample. To be eligible, articles had to quantitatively assess at least one determinant within the domains of social and sociodemographic factors (such as income, poverty, inequality, education, unemployment, labor market indicators, fertility, urbanization, or household characteristics), macroeconomic and structural factors (such as GDP per capita or social and health expenditures), environmental factors (including air pollution indices like PM2.5, environmental quality scores, carbon emissions, or climate-related indicators), or healthcare resources and health-system factors (including total or public health expenditure, health workforce density, hospital beds per 1000 population, or coverage of essential services). The primary outcome of interest was LE, preferably LE at birth, whether total or sex-specific; studies reporting LE at specific ages or closely related summary measures were also considered if they reported LE at birth or if the determinant outcome relationships could reasonably be compared. Only quantitative observational or ecological designs (cross-sectional, cohort, longitudinal, time-series, or panel analyses using primary or secondary data) that provided extractable quantitative effect estimates, or sufficient data to derive them, were included. These study designs are commonly used to examine population-level determinants of LE, as they allow analysis of macro-level indicators such as socioeconomic conditions, environmental exposures, and health-system resources across countries or over time [18,19].
Studies were excluded if they were case reports, case series, reviews, editorials, commentaries, conference abstracts, or methodological papers without original data. Qualitative papers or those that did not present extractable quantitative associations between determinants and LE were also excluded. For multi-country analyses combining OIC and non-OIC settings, inclusion was restricted to studies that presented results for OIC countries separately or allowed extraction from tables, figures, or Supplementary Materials.

2.3. Study Selection

All references retrieved from the database searches were first exported to Zotero [20], where duplicate records were identified and removed. Study selection was carried out in two stages. In the first stage, the titles and abstracts of all records were screened against the predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria by the first author (RA). Studies that clearly did not relate to LE, did not involve any OIC member country, or did not examine relevant social, environmental, or healthcare determinants were excluded at this point. As part of the pilot screening, inter-rater reliability was assessed using a two-way consistency intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Agreement across six reviewers for 13 studies was good (single-measure ICC = 0.86, 95% CI 0.73–0.95), supporting the consistency of the study selection process. In the second stage, the full texts of all potentially eligible articles were retrieved and independently reviewed by the authors (RA, ZZ, KA, LS, RI, SA, RMBH, and AABW) using the same eligibility criteria; reasons for exclusion at the full-text stage (such as absence of a LE outcome, non-OIC setting, inadequate quantitative data, or failure to report any association between LE and the determinants of interest) were documented in Figure 1. Any disagreements between reviewers at either stage were resolved through discussion and, where necessary, consultation within the review team. The overall process of identification, screening, eligibility assessment, and final inclusion of studies is presented in a PRISMA flow diagram, which shows the number of records at each stage and the main reasons for exclusion during full-text review.

2.4. Evaluation of the Quality of Reports on the Studies

Methodological quality was assessed using the appropriate Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) Critical Appraisal Tool for each study design [21]. Each study was independently appraised by six reviewers (RA, ZZ, KA, RI, SA, and RMBH). For every item in the relevant JBI checklist, responses were recorded as “yes”, “no”, “unclear”, or “not applicable”. For each study, the number of “yes” responses was converted to a percentage, and a predefined inclusion threshold of 80% “yes” responses was applied; only studies meeting this criterion were retained for the final synthesis. In total, 54 studies achieved a JBI score of ≥80% and were included in the review to minimize the risk of bias and strengthen confidence in the identified determinants. This threshold is consistent with approaches adopted in other JBI-based evidence syntheses, which are classified as high methodological quality [22,23].

2.5. Data Extraction

Data from the 54 included studies were extracted in a standardized manner. For each study, basic characteristics (first author, year of publication, study design, country, study period, population, and sample size) were recorded, together with the main determinant domains, specific determinants, and their reported associations with LE. Determinants were classified a priori into four categories (social/sociodemographic, macroeconomic, environmental, and healthcare resources), and all available quantitative effect estimates (crude or adjusted coefficients, correlations, or other measures of association) with their corresponding p-values or confidence intervals were captured. Data extraction was carried out by the first author (RA), with any uncertainties resolved by referring back to the original articles.

3. Data Analysis

Data were synthesized narratively by determinant domain and country context. Measures of association (β, r, odds ratios, and risk ratios) were summarized using the most fully adjusted estimates, interpreted by direction and statistical significance (p-values < 0.05), and reported with 95% Confidence intervals (95% CI). Meta-analysis was not undertaken due to heterogeneity in study designs and measures.

4. Results

4.1. Study Characteristics

As shown in Figure 1 (PRISMA flow diagram), a total of 5312 records were identified (5058 through database searches and 254 from Google Scholar). After de-duplication (n = 2374) in Zotero [20], 2938 records were screened by title and abstract, of which 2651 were excluded as clearly not meeting the inclusion criteria. Full texts of 287 reports were sought; 5 could not be retrieved, and 282 were assessed for eligibility. Of these, 228 full-text reports were excluded due to JBI scores < 80% and failure to meet the review criteria (e.g., 117 not related to our study objective, 53 multi-country polls without OIC-specific data, 24 without LE data, 9 with no association estimates, 4 with no OIC-specific data, 3 with major methodological limitations, 1 not a full article, and 16 for other reasons such as only reporting trends or descriptive measures, missing p-value, conference paper, etc), and 1 article was ≥80% but was retracted. In the end, only 54 were included in the final systematic review.
Based on the data extraction in Table 1, the 54 included studies were published between 2006 and 2025, with most appearing from 2015 onwards. The majority were time-series or longitudinal ecological/econometric analyses using annual national data (47 studies), with a small number of panel (3 studies) and cross-sectional (4 studies) designs. The evidence covered around two dozen OIC member states and multi-country OIC groupings, with Nigeria (12 studies), Pakistan (5 studies), Oman (5 studies), and Indonesia, Iran, Turkey and Bangladesh (three each) most frequently represented, alongside studies from other individual countries (Malaysia, Saudi Arabia, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Albania, Lebanon, Sudan, Morocco, Palestine) and regional panels of Arab or MENA OIC countries. Study periods typically ranged from 1.25 to 56 years of annual observations. Across the 54 studies, economic/macroeconomic determinants were examined in 44 studies, social/sociodemographic factors in 44, environmental indicators in 33, and healthcare resources or health-system variables in 35, with many analyses including determinants from multiple domains in the same model.
Using the World Bank income classification reflected in the Economy column in Table 2 (low income ≤ $1135; lower-middle $1136–$4495; upper-middle $4496–$13,935; high income ≥ $13,936) [24], the included OIC studies showed a clear income gradient in LE: low-income settings (Sudan, Somalia) consistently reported the lowest LE and the slowest gains, lower-middle-income countries (Nigeria, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Palestine) showed modestly higher LE but strong sensitivity to poverty, education, health spending and environmental pressures, upper-middle-income countries (Indonesia, Iran, Turkey, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Azerbaijan) generally had higher and more stable LE with increasing influence of health-system capacity and environmental quality, and high-income GCC countries (Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain) had the highest LE, where further improvements were linked more to health-system resources, service coverage and sustainability than to income growth alone.
Table 1. Quality appraisal of included studies using JBI checklists (≥80% inclusion threshold).
Table 1. Quality appraisal of included studies using JBI checklists (≥80% inclusion threshold).
ArticleStudyQ1Q2Q3Q4Q5Q6Q7Q8Q9Q10Q11Score (%)
Dare et al., 2024 [25]Longitudinal Time series (observational)YYYYYYYYNANANA100
Onwube et al., 2021 [26]Longitudinal Time series (observational)YYYYYYYYNANANA100
Lawanson & Umar, 2021 [27]Ecological time-series (country-level)YYYYYYYYNANANA100
Bahuli et al., 2025 [28]Time seriesYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Popoola & Mohammed, 2024 [29]Time series econometric studyYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Susanto et al., 2025 [30]Time seriesYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Gilligan & Skrepnek, 2015 [31]Cross-sectional time seriesYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Wirayuda et al., 2023 [32]Ecological studyYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Ali & Ahmad, 2014 [33]Time seriesYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Wirayuda et al., 2024 [34]Ecological retrospective studyYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Wirayuda et al., 2025 [35]Longitudinal ecological studyYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Azam et al., 2022 [36]Ecological/time-series econometric studyYYYYYYYYNANANA100
ur Rehman et al., 2023 [37]Time seriesYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Sabra, 2022 [38]Time seriesYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Jarallah et al., 2024 [39]Ecological study/Time seriesYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Aziz et al., 2025 [40]Time seriesYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Mohamed, 2020 [41]Time seriesYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Karma, 2023 [42]Time seriesYYYYYYYYYYY100
Javanshirova, 2024 [43]Time seriesYYYYYYYYYYY100
Wirayuda et al., 2022 [11] Time seriesYYYYYYYYYYY100
Xiang et al., 2025 [44]Time seriesYYYYYYYYYYY100
Panzabekova & Digel, 2020 [45]Ecological/panel (longitudinal) studyYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Hasan et al., 2023 [46]Time series econometric studyYYYYYYYYYYY100
Akintunde et al., 2024 [47]Time seriesYYYYYYYYYYY100
Audi & Ali, 2016 [48]Time seriesYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Redzwan & Ramli, 2024 [49]Time seriesYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Boutayeb & Serghini, 2006 [50]Ecological cross-sectional, multi-country comparative studyYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Chan & Kamala Devi, 2015 [51]Ecological study/Time seriesYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Fikri & Mo-hamed, 2024 [52]Time series econometric studyYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Bala et al., 2025 [53]Ecological/time series econometric studyYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Senturk & Ali, 2021 [54]Time seriesYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Gulcan, 2020 [55]Time seriesYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Çavmak et al., 2024 [56]Longitudinal Time seriesYYYYYYYYUCUCY100
Hamidi et al., 2018 [57]Ecological Time seriesYYYYYYYYYYY100
Saidmamatov et al., 2024 [58].Panel data econometric studyYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Kristanto et al., 2019 [59]Subnational panel regressionYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Pourshahri et al., 2022 [60]Population-based cross-sectional studyYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Esmaeili et al., 2011 [61]Cross-sectional (cross-country)YYYYYYYYNANANA100
Nathaniel & Khan, 2020 [62]Time series econometric studyYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Agbanike et al., 2019 [63]Ecological Time seriesYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Aalipour et al., 2023 [64]Time series econometric studyYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Kanat et al., 2023 [65]Time series econometric studyYYYYYYYYNANANA100
Igbinedion, 2019 [66]Ecological Time series econometric studyUCYYYYYYYNANANA87.5
Okogor, 2022 [67]Ecological Time series econometric studyYYYYUCYYYNANANA87.5
Awan et al., 2024 [68]Ecological study/Time seriesYYYYUCYYYNANANA87.5
M. Arafat et al., 2022 [69]Time series econometric studyYYYYUCYYYNANANA87.5
Abbas et al., 2024 [70]Ecological study/Time seriesYYYYUCYYYNANANA87.5
Omri et al., 2022 [71]Ecological study/Time seriesUCYYYYYYYNANANA87.5
Hussein et al., 2024 [72]Ecological study/Time seriesUCYYYYYYYNANANA87.5
Nandi et al., 2023 [73]Ecological study/Time seriesYYYYUCYYYNANANA87.5
Setiawan et al., 2023 [74]Ecological study/Time seriesYYYYUCYYYNANANA87.5
Ghaedrahmati & Hajilou, 2022 [75]Ecological study/Time seriesYYYYUCYYYNANANA87.5
Adeshina et al., 2019 [76]Ecological study/Time seriesYYYYYUCYYNANANA87.5
Wirayuda, Jaju, et al., 2022 [77]Ecological study/Time seriesYYYYUCYYYNANANA87.5
Note: Y = Yes; N = No; UC = Unclear; NA = Not applicable. For cross-sectional studies (JBI analytical cross-sectional checklist): Q1. Were the criteria for inclusion in the sample clearly defined? Q2. Were the study subjects and the setting described in detail? Q3. Was the exposure measured validly and reliably? Q4. Were objective, standard criteria used for measurement of the condition? Q5. Were confounding factors identified? Q6. Were strategies to deal with confounding factors stated? Q7. Were the outcomes measured validly and reliably? Q8. Was an appropriate statistical analysis used? For cohort studies (JBI cohort checklist): Q1. Were the two groups similar and recruited from the same population? Q2. Were the exposures measured similarly to assign people to both the exposed and unexposed groups? Q3. Was the exposure measured validly and reliably? Q4. Were confounding factors identified? Q5. Were strategies to deal with confounding factors stated? Q6. Were the groups/participants free of the outcome at the start of the study (or at the moment of exposure)? Q7. Were the outcomes measured validly and reliably? Q8. Was the follow-up time reported and sufficient to be long enough for outcomes to occur? Q9. Was follow-up complete, and if not, were the reasons for loss to follow-up described and explored? Q10. Were strategies to address incomplete follow-up utilized? Q11. Was an appropriate statistical analysis used?
Table 2. Characteristics of studies on determinants of life expectancy in OIC member countries included in the systematic review.
Table 2. Characteristics of studies on determinants of life expectancy in OIC member countries included in the systematic review.
AuthorsYear of PublicationStudy DesignCountryEconomy (World Bank)Study Period (Years)Study PopulationSample SizeDeterminant/
Factors Category
Determinants/FactorsMeasure of Association
Dare et al., 2024 [25]2024Longitudinal Time series (observational)NigeriaLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 2012–2022 (11)Nigerian11 annual observations Social
Environmental
Economic/finance (globalization & green finance)
Trade openness: (TROP)
Net foreign domestic product: (NFDI)
Net foreign portfolio investment: (NFPI)
Green bonds (GREB)
Renewable energy investment (RENI)
Credit to agriculture (CRAG)
Gross domestic product (GRDP)
Crude
TROP r = −0.48861
NFDI r = −0.82638
NFPI r = 0.68488
GREB r = −0.54214
RENI r = 0.03774
CRAG r = 0.44827
GRDP r = 0.74412
Adjusted
aTROP β = −0.129393 (p = 0.2772)
aNFDI β = −0.001728 (p = 0.1427)
aNFPI β = 1.35 × 10−5 (p = 0.0002)
aGREB β = −0.000289 (p = 0.6602)
aRENI β = −0.611983 (p = 0.2002)
aCRAG β = 1.97 × 10−6 (p = 0.0032)
aGRDP β = 0.000861 (p = 0.2079)
Onwube et al., 2021 [26]2021Longitudinal Time series (observational)Nigeria Lower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1981–2017 (37)Nigerian37 annual observations Social
Economic (macroeconomic determinants)
GDP per capita (constant 2010 US$): RGDPPC
Inflation rate, consumer prices (annual %): INFR
Imports of goods and services (per capita constant 2010 US$): Imports
Household final consumption expenditure (per capita constant 2010 US$): HCExp
General government final consumption expenditure (Per capita constant 2010 US$): GCExp
Official exchange rate (LCU per US$, period average): EXR
Adjusted
RGDPPC β = 0.100954 (p = 0.0009)
INFR β = −0.034493 (p = 0.0001)
Import β = −0.068840 (p < 0.001)
HCE β = 0.021552 (p = 0.1667)
GCE β = −0.024102 (p = 0.0004)
EXR β = 0.017021 (p < 0.001)
Lawanson & Umar, 2021 [27]2021Ecological time series (country-level)Nigeria Lower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1980–2018 (39)Nigerian38 annual observationsHealth status
Education
Economic
Poverty
Governance-finance
Per capita gross domestic product: PCGDP
Poverty:
Poverty headcount: PHC
Poverty gap: PGAP
Squared poverty gap: SPGAP
PCGDP β = 0.140123, p = 0.0001
Poverty:
PHC: β = −0.1672, p = 0.0006
PGAP: β = −0.1401, p = 0.0011
SPGAP: β = −0.1223, p = 0.0026
Bahuli et al., 2025 [28]2025Time series NigeriaLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1990–2022 (33)Nigerian33 annual observationsEnvironmental
Economic
Demographic
Investment/Globalization
CO2 emissions: CO2
GDP per capita: GDP
Population growth rate: POP
Foreign direct investment inflow: FDI
CO2 β = −2.185889 (p = 0.3629)
FDI β = −0.070688 (p = 0.0644)
GDP β = −1.19 × 10−5 (p = 0.9992)
POP β = 5.085600 (p = 0.0001)
Popoola & Mohammed, 2024 [29]2024Time series econometric studyNigeriaLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1986–2022 (37)Nigerian37 annual observations Macroeconomic
Socio-demographic
Domestic debt: DD
External debt: ED
Real GDP per capita: RGDP
Household consumption expenditure: CEH
Population growth rate: PGR
Adjusted
DD β = −0.3520, p = 0.2411
ED β = −0.0106, p = 0.0902
RGDP β = 0.4132, p = 0.0150
CEH β = −0.2458, p = 0.2501
PGR β = 4.1052, p = 0.0006
Susanto et al., 2025 [30]2025Time seriesIndonesia Upper-Middle-income economies ($4496 to $13,935) 2010–2018 (9)46 OIC member states: Benin, Burkina Faso, Chad, Djibouti, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Comoros, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Niger, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Somalia, Sudan, Togo, Uganda, Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Yemen, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Brunei Darussalam, Lebanon, Maldives, Malaysia, Oman, Pakistan, Syria, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Jordan, Albania, Turkey, Guyana, Suriname, Cameroon, Morocco, Egypt, Ivory Coast and Tunisia, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Iraq, Kuwait, Iran, Qatar, Nigeria, Algeria, Libya, Gabon46 countries × 9 years = 414 country-yearsSocial
Healthcare resources
Behavioural
GDP per capita, log: LN_GDP
Health expenditure %GDP: HEXP
Mean years of schooling: SCH
Income inequality: GINI
Unemployment rate: UNEP
Smoking prevalence: SMOKE
Adjusted
LN_GDP β = 6.019235 (p = 0.0000)
HEXP β = 0.132586 (p = 0.0400)
SCH β = 0.575393 (p = 0.0000)
GINI β = 0.012648 (p = 0.5264)
UNEP β = −0.009166 (p = 0.8055)
SMOKE β = −0.220921 (p = 0.0000)
Gilligan & Skrepnek, 2015 [31]2015Cross-sectional time seriesEastern Mediterranean Region (21 countries)Mixed1995–2010 (16)21 countries: Afghanistan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Lebanon, Somalia, Djibouti Libyan, Sudan, Egypt, Morocco, Syria, Iran, Oman, Tunisia, Iraq, Pakistan, United Arab Emirates, Jordan, Qatar, Yemen21 countries (panel across 1995–2010; up to ~336 country-years)Social/Economic
Healthcare resources
Environmental/living conditions
GDP per capita: GDP
Health expenditure: HE
Physician density: PHYS
Vaccination average: VACC
Adult literacy: LIT
Safe water access: WATER
Urbanization: URBAN
Undernourishment: UNOURISH
Adjusted
GDP β = 0.0229 (p = 0.011)
HE β = −0.0049 (p = 0.387)
PHYS β = 0.0079 (p = 0.266)
VACC β = 0.0018 (p = 0.026)
LIT β = 0.0001 (p = 0.889)
WATER β = 0.0012 (p = 0.097)
URBAN β = 0.0021 (p = 0.026)
UNOURISH β = −0.0009 (p = 0.520)
Wirayuda et al., 2023 [32]2023Ecological studyOmanHigh-income economies ($13,935 or more) 1990–2020 (31)Country-level (Oman & Qatar)31 annual observations per country (1990–2020 = 31 years)Macroeconomic (ME)
Sociodemographic (SD)
Health Status & Resources (HSR)
Gross National Income (GNI) per capita: GNIpc
Employment to population ratio: Employment
Oil production: Fuel
Pre-Primary School Enrolment: PPSE
Primary School Enrolment: PSE
Secondary School Enrolment: SSE
Diphtheria, Pertussis, and Tetanus (DPT) Immunization: DPTI
Measles Immunization: MI
Food production index: Food
Oman
HSR → LE (direct): β = 0.839 (95% CI 0.717–0.894)
SD → LE (indirect via HSR): β = 0.653 (95% CI 0.450–0.754)
ME → LE (indirect via SD and HSR): β = 0.602 (95% CI 0.407–0.709)
Qatar
HSR → LE (direct): β = 0.904 (95% CI 0.707–0.956)
SD → LE (indirect via HSR): β = 0.759 (95% CI 0.550–0.885)
ME → LE (indirect via SD and HSR): β = 0.676 (95% CI 0.438–0.845)
Ali & Ahmad, 2014 [33]2014Time seriesOmanHigh-income economies ($13,935 or more) 1970–2012 (43)Omanis43 annual observationsSocial/Economic
Environmental
Food/Nutrition
Food production index: FI
School enrolment-primary: ED/EE
Inflation: INF
Population growth: POPg
GDP per capita growth: PCg
CO2 emissions: CO2
Adjusted
FI β = 0.115652 (p = 0.000)
INF β = −0.005085 (p = 0.133)
POPg β = −0.245641 (p = 0.027)
Ee β = 0.154537 (p = 0.000)
PCg β = −0.001035 (p = 0.961)
CO2 β = 0.216793 (p = 0.736)
Wirayuda et al., 2024 [34]2024Ecological retrospective studyOmanMixed1980–2020 (41)Omanis and Indonesians 41 annual observations per country Macroeconomic: ME
Sociodemographic: SD
Health Status–Resources: HSR
ME:
GDP: Gross Domestic Product per capita
CI: Capital Investment
EP: Electricity Production
SD:
PrE: Pre-Primary School Enrolment
SE: Secondary School Enrolment
TE: Tertiary School Enrolment
HSR:
DPT: Diphtheria, Pertussis, and Tetanus Immunization
MI: Measles Immunization
FPI: Food production index
Indonesia
ME → LE (total): β = 0.737 (95% CI 0.527–0.904)
SD → LE (total): β = 0.675 (95% CI 0.493–0.824) (indirect via HSR)
HSR → LE (direct): β = 0.823 (95% CI 0.653–0.946)
Oman
ME → LE (total): β = 0.848 (95% CI 0.784–0.899)
SD → LE (total): β = 0.755 (95% CI 0.613–0.918)
HSR → LE (direct): β = 0.335 (95% CI 0.047–0.525
Wirayuda et al., 2025 [35]2025Longitudinal ecological studyOmanHigh-income economies ($13,935 or more) 1990–2020 (31)GCC Countries: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE6 countries × 31 years = 186 country-yearsMacroeconomic: ME
Sociodemographic: SD
Health Resources: HR
ME:
ME1: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita
ME2: Electricity Production
SD:
SD1: Pre-primary School Enrolment
SD2: Secondary School Enrolment
HR:
HR1: Diphtheria, Pertussis, and Tetanus Immunization
HR2: Measles Immunization
HR3: Food production index
Crude
Pooled (all GCC): ME-LE r = 0.9000 *; SD-LE r = 0.7640 *; HR-LE r = 0.8940 *
Bahrain: ME-LE r = 0.9699 *; SD-LE r = 0.9742 *; HR-LE r = 0.9389 *
UAE: ME-LE r = 0.9550 *; SD-LE r = 0.9394 *; HR-LE r = 0.8528 *
Kuwait: ME-LE r = 0.7856 *; SD-LE r = 0.4240 *; HR-LE r = 0.8777 *
Oman: ME-LE r = 0.9535 *; SD-LE r = 0.9364 *; HR-LE r = 0.8387 *
Qatar: ME-LE r = 0.9230 *; SD-LE r = 0.9299 *; HR-LE r = 0.9497 *
Saudi Arabia: ME-LE r = 0.8223 *; SD-LE r = 0.4430 *; HR-LE r = 0.8754 *
Adjusted
Pooled “general” SEM (all GCC countries combined)
HR → LE: β = 0.468 (p < 0.001)
ME → LE: β = 0.510 (p < 0.001)
Country-specific total effects on LE (separate for each GCC/OIC country)
Bahrain: HR → LE 0.3427 *, ME → LE 0.6747 *, SD → LE 0.9530 *
UAE (Emirate): HR → LE 0.3746 *, ME → LE 0.6831 *, SD → LE 0.9258 *
Kuwait: HR → LE 0.5858 (ns), ME → LE 0.2942 (ns), SD → LE 0.5693 *
Oman: HR → LE 0.2213 (ns), ME → LE 0.7225 *, SD → LE 0.8373 *
Qatar: HR → LE 0.5709 *, ME → LE 0.4518 *, SD → LE 0.9024 *
Saudi Arabia: HR → LE 0.6052 *, ME → LE 0.3270 *, SD → LE 0.2572 (ns)
Significant values are presented with an asterisk (*) at a 5% level.
Azam & Adeleye, 2022 [36]2022Ecological/time series econometric studyPakistanLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1975–2020 (46)Pakistanis46 annual observations Environmental
Economic
Food/agriculture
Demographic
Health system
Education
CO2 Carbon emissions
PCI Per capita income
FPI Food production index
POPG Population growth
BR Birth rate
DR Death rate
IMF Infant mortality rate
The Health expenditure
INF Inflation
EDU Education
ARDL
CO2 emissions: β = −0.046395 (p = 0.0007)
Per capita income: β = 0.001144 (p = 0.8812)
Food production index: β = −0.010727 (p = 0.0890)
Population growth: β = 0.008288 (p = 0.0512)
Birth rate: β = 0.466607 (p = 0.0000)
Death rate: β = −0.911756 (p = 0.0000)
Infant mortality rate: β = 0.178382 (p = 0.0091)
Health expenditure: β = 0.000215 (p = 0.0295)
Inflation: β = −0.002072 (p = 0.0354)
Education: β = 0.02002 (p = 0.0514)
Robustness checks: FMOLS & DOLS
FMOLS:
CO2: β = −0.007595 (p = 0.0530)
Per capita income: β = 0.024526 (p = 0.0000)
Food production index: β = −0.006692 (p = 0.0302)
Population growth: β = 0.00634 (p = 0.0000)
Birth rate: β = 0.167738 (p = 0.0000)
Death rate: β = −0.342165 (p = 0.0000)
Infant mortality rate: β = 0.029426 (p = 0.0000)
Health expenditure: β = 0.001703 (p = 0.0000)
Inflation: β = −0.000541 (p = 0.0005)
Education: β = 0.002470 (p = 0.0024)
DOLS:
CO2: β = −0.013032 (p = 0.0289)
Per capita income: β = 0.019516 (p = 0.0532)
Food production index: β = −0.014553 (p = 0.0209)
Population growth: β = 0.002284 (p = 0.0949)
Birth rate: β = 0.165772 (p = 0.0035)
Death rate: β = 0.378559 (p = 0.0004)
Infant mortality rate: β = 0.015604 (p = 0.0778)
Health expenditure: β = 0.000372 (p = 0.4076)
Inflation: β = −0.001049 (p = 0.0347)
Education: β = 0.001664 (p = 0.0501)
ur Rehman et al., 2023 [37]2023Time seriesPakistanLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1980–2020 (41)Pakistanis41 annual observationsSocial (income inequality)
Economic (income)
Health resources
GINI: income inequality
GDPPC/GPC: GDP per capita
HE: Health expenditure
Adjusted
GINI β = −0.25060 (p = 0.0044)
HE β = −0.92628 (p = 0.3703)
GDPPC β = 0.02238 (p = 0.0000)
Sabra, 2022 [38]2022Time seriesPalestineLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 2000–2019 (20)Algeria, Egypt, Lebanon, Morocco, and Tunisia 6 countries × 20 years = 120 country-yearsEconomic
Environmental
Demographic
Health resources
Total Population: POP
Gross Domestic Product: GDP
Current health expenditure per capita: CHE
Fertility rate, births per woman: Fertility
CO2 emission: CO
POP β = 0.003 (p < 0.01)
CHE β = 0.002 (p < 0.01)
GDP β = −0.0012 (p < 0.01)
CO2 β = −0.003 (p < 0.01)
Fertility β = −0.005 (p < 0.01)
Jarallah et al., 2024 [39]2024Ecological study/Time series QatarHigh-income economies ($13,935 or more) 2000–2020 (21)GCC countries (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE)126 country-year observations (6 countries × 21 years)Environmental
Socioeconomic
Health resources
Technology
Ecological footprint deficit: ECOLDEF
Urbanization: URB
Unemployment: UNEMP
Health expenditure per capita: CURHEPC
GDP deflator/inflation proxy: GDPDEF
Technological Achievement Index: TAI
A composite index of mobile, fixed telephone, and internet subscriptions: ICTINDEX
Carbon dioxide emission: CO2
Crude
URB: r = 0.3934
UNEMP: r = −0.6023
CO2: r = −0.2287
ICTINDEX: r = 0.5596
CURHEPC: r = 0.4604
GDPDEF: r = −0.2267
ECOLDEF: r = −0.6269
TAI: r = 0.6413
Adjusted
Pooled (GCC) adjusted associations with LE
UNEMP: β = −7.0681 (p = 0.011)
CURHEPC: β = −0.0083 (p = 0.041)
GDPDEF: β = 0.0143 (p = 0.669) (ns)
ECOLDEF: β = −2.5654 (p = 0.034)
TAI: β = 88.9262 (p = 0.015)
Country-specific adjusted effects
Bahrain URB: β = −0.4393 (p = 0.0000); UNEMP: β = −0.0108 (p = 0.2320); CURHEPC: β = 0.0000 (p = 0.0670); GDPDEF: β = −0.0001 (p = 0.4500); ECOLDEF: β = −0.0028 (p = 0.0010); TAI: β = 0.1734 (p = 0.0100)
Kuwait URB: β = 0.0209 (p = 0.4760); UNEMP: β = 0.0668 (p = 0.0030);m CURHEPC: β = −0.0001 (p = 0.0680); GDPDEF: β = −0.0013 (p = 0.0000); ECOLDEF: β = 0.0107 (p = 0.1950); TAI: β = 1.0148 (p = 0.0010)
Oman URB: β = −0.0170 (p = 0.4100); UNEMP: β = −0.0481 (p = 0.0080); CURHEPC: β = −0.0001 (p = 0.0780); GDPDEF: β = −0.0002 (p = 0.3460); ECOLDEF: β = −0.0144 (p = 0.0300); TAI: β = −1.7191 (p = 0.0060)
Qatar URB: β = 0.3385 (p = 0.0000); UNEMP: β = 0.0303 (p = 0.1400); CURHEPC: β = 0.0000 (p = 0.0170); GDPDEF: β = 0.0000 (p = 0.7230); ECOLDEF: β = 0.0028 (p = 0.2220); TAI: β = 0.0250 (p = 0.8880)
Saudi Arabia URB: β = 6.5084 (p = 0.0110); UNEMP: β = 0.0644 (p = 0.0000); CURHEPC: β = 0.0000 (p = 0.9560); GDPDEF: β = −0.0007 (p = 0.0540); ECOLDEF: β = 0.0116 (p = 0.3700); TAI: β = 0.5573 (p = 0.1940)
United Arab Emirates URB: β = 0.2862 (p = 0.0000); UNEMP: β = 0.0025 (p = 0.5440); CURHEPC: β = 0.0000 (p = 0.6740); GDPDEF: β = 0.0000 (p = 0.8090); ECOLDEF: β = 0.0020 (p = 0.2690); TAI: β = −0.0194 (p = 0.8390)
Aziz et al., 2025 [40]2025Time seriesSaudi Arabia High-income economies ($13,935 or more) 1980–2020 (41)Saudi Arabia41 annual observationsEnvironmental
Economic
Health resources
Economic growth: EG
Health expenditure: HE
Ecological footprint: EFP
CO2 emissions: Carbon
Particulate matter 2.5: PM2.5
Crude:
EG (GDP): r = 0.716
HE: r = 0.792
EFP: r = 0.507
Carbon (CO2): r = 0.654
PM2.5: r = 0.542
Adjusted (pre-Vision 2030)
EG β = 0.523 (p < 0.001)
HE β = 0.671 (p < 0.005)
EFP β = 1.204 (p > 0.010)
Carbon β = 0.631(p < 0.001)
PM2.5 β = 0.095 (p < 0.005)
(post-Vision 2030)
EG β = 0.523 (p < 0.005)
HE β = 0.481(p < 0.001)
EFP β = 1.190 (p > 0.010)
Carbon β = 0.501(p < 0.005)
PM2.5 β = 0.084 (p < 0.005)
Mohamed, 2020 [41]2020Time seriesSudanLow-income economies ($1135 or less) 1970–2017 (48)Sudanese48 annual observations Economic
Social
Environmental
GDP (outcome)
Investment: INV
Youth unemployment: YUN
Life expectancy: LE
Education: EDU
Access to sanitation: ASF
Access to safe water: ASW
Access to electricity: ELC
CO2 per capita: CO2P
Trade openness: TOP
Crude
GDP: r = 0.90
INV: r = 0.22
YUN: r = −0.29
EDU: r = 0.97
ASF: r = −0.48
ASW: r = 0.91
ELC: r = 0.93
CO2P: r = 0.44
TOP: r = 0.10
Adjusted
GDP β = 19.44 (p < 0.000)
Karma, 2023 [42]2023Time seriesAlbaniaUpper-Middle-income economies ($4496 to $13,935) 2000–2019 (20)Southeastern Europe (SEE), including Albania 20 annual observations Economic
Social
Environmental
Health expenditure: HE
GDP per capita: GDP
Out-of-pocket health expenditure %: OPEH
Education: EDU
Marriages/1000: MS
Fertility rate: FER
CO2 per capita: CO2
Urban population %: URB
HE β = 0.02
EDU β = −0.01
GDP β = 0.03
MS = β = 0.03 *
OPEH β = −0.04
FER β = −0.02
CO2 β = 0.01
URB β = −0.04
(* indicates p < 0.50; others not significant)
Javanshirova, 2024 [43]2024Time seriesAzerbaijanUpper-Middle-income economies ($4496 to $13,935) 1974–2022 (49)Azerbaijanis/Azeris49 annual observations Environmental Air pollution/climate: CO2Crude
CO2 (r = −0.8102)
Adjusted
CO2 β = −0.1577 (p < 0.001)
Wirayuda et al., 2022 [11]2022Time seriesBahrainHigh-income economies ($13,935 or more) 1971–2020 (50)Bahrainis50 annual observations Macroeconomic: ME
Sociodemographic: SD
Health Status & Resources: HSR
Pre-primary education: PPE
Primary education: PE
Tertiary education: TE
Gross Domestic Product: GDP
GDP per capita: GDPpc
Fossil-fuel electricity: FF
Measles immunization: MI
DPT immunization: DPTI
Adjusted
PLS-SEM path coefficients
ME → LE β = 0.463 (p < 0.00)
HSR → LE β = 0.595 (p < 0.001)
ME → SD → HSR → LE indirect β = 0.488 (p < 0.001)
SD → HSR → LE indirect β = 0.496 (p < 0.001)
ME → SD β = 0.984 (p < 0.001)
SD → HSR β = 0.835 (p < 0.001)
ME total effect on LE β = 0.95 (p < 0.001)
Xiang et al., 2025 [44]2025Time seriesBangladeshLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 2000–2022 (23)Bangladeshis23 annual observationsHealthcare resources
Economic
Financial
Demographic
Shock
Public Health Expenditure (% of GDP): PHE
GDP per Capita (current US$): GDPPC
Domestic Credit to Private Sector (% GDP): DC
Population Growth Rate (%): POPGR
Non-adjusted model (no COVID)
PHE (L0): β = −0.042, p > 0.10
PHE (L1): β = 0.0252, p > 0.10
GDPPC (L0): β = 0.0002, p > 0.10
GDPPC (L1): β = −0.0011, p < 0.01
DC (L0): β = 0.0603, p < 0.05
POPGR (L0): β = −1.5289, p > 0.10
POPGR (L1): β = 1.0497, p > 0.10
Adjusted model includes COVID
PHE (L0): β = −0.038 (p > 0.10)
PHE (L1): β = 0.01 (p > 0.10)
GDPPC (L0): β = 0.0003 (p > 0.10)
GDPPC (L1): β = −0.0012 (p < 0.01)
DC (L0): β = 0.055 (p < 0.05)
POPGR (L0): β = −1.40 (p > 0.10)
POPGR (L1): β = 0.964 (p > 0.10)
COVID dummy (2020–22): β = −0.213 (p < 0.10)
Panzabekova & Digel, 2020 [45]2020Ecological/panel (longitudinal) studyKazakhstanUpper-Middle-income economies ($4496 to $13,935) 2001–2018 (18)Kazakh/Kazakhstanis18 annual observationsEconomic
Demographic/social
Health system
Medical/morbidity
Crime
Nominal monetary income: NMI
Subsistence minimum: SM
Income-to-subsistence ratio: NISM
Poverty: p
Unemployment: U
Divorces per 1000 marriages: DpM
Health workers: HW
Cancer morbidity: CMR
Blood diseases: BD
Substance-induced mental disorders: MD
Circulatory system diseases: CSD
respiratory diseases: RD
Crime rate: CR
Crude (regional base)
Akmola: DpM 0.958; MD −0.954; U −0.928; SM 0.914; NMI 0.904; p −0.888; NISM 0.867; CR 0.831; RD 0.743; CSD 0.713
Aktobe: NMI 0.977; SM 0.973; p −0.959; U −0.955; NISM 0.916; RD −0.909; MD −0.832; HW 0.818; CMR −0.784
Almaty region: MD −0.907; SM 0.885; HW 0.884; DpM 0.884; NMI 0.883; p −0.879; CR 0.854; NISM 0.849; CSD 0.789; CR 0.768
Atyrau: NMI 0.953; SM 0.948; p −0.936; U −0.893; HW 0.885; NISM 0.879; DpM 0.854; MD −0.802
West Kazakhstan region: NMI 0.964; SM 0.949; p −0.938; U −0.930; MD −0.892; NISM 0.865; CR 0.865; DpM 0.826; CSD 0.770
Jambyl: CMR 0.924; SM 0.907; NMI 0.888; DpM 0.866; U −0.861; RD 0.856; HW 0.845; p −0.825; NISM 0.800; CR 0.700
Karaganda: MD −0.921; SM 0.918; DpM 0.903; NMI 0.902; p −0.890; U −0.872; CSD 0.826; BD −0.815; BD −0.776; CR 0.697
Kostanay: MD −0.920; DpM 0.902; SM 0.876; U −0.874; NMI 0.872; p −0.829; CMR 0.819; NISM 0.803
Kyzylorda: DpM 0.937; p −0.910; SM 0.907; U −0.898; NMI 0.894; MD −0.847; HW 0.831; NISM 0.824; RD 0.854; CSD 0.737
Mangistau: U −0.979; MD −0.978; SM 0.975; NMI 0.969; HW 0.948; p −0.945; p −0.895; CSD 0.869; RD 0.808; DpM 0.843; CR 0.765
Pavlodar: MD −0.971; NMI 0.929; CMR 0.928; SM 0.920; U −0.912; NISM 0.908; MD −0.842; CMR 0.836
Turkestan + Shymkent: SM 0.927; NMI 0.903; DpM 0.887; p −0.877; U −0.871; NISM 0.782; CSD 0.765; MD −0.763; DpM 0.725
East Kazakhstan: CSD 0.965; U −0.937; NMI 0.907; SM 0.906; NISM 0.882; BD −0.873; p −0.862; MD −0.739
Nur-Sultan: NMI 0.978; HW 0.975; SM 0.974; U −0.960; p −0.852; CMR 0.827; CR 0.699; CSD 0.698
City of Almaty: SM 0.927; NMI 0.918; U −0.911; HW 0.894; p −0.843; CSD 0.827; CR 0.796; NISM 0.757
Adjusted
Akmola: β0 = 3.69, DpM β1 = 0.11, MD β2 = −0.03
Aktobe: β0 = 3.5, NMI β1 = 0.05, SM β2 = 0.02
Almaty region: β0 = 3.9, MD β1 = −0.04, DpM β2 = 0.80
Atyrau: β0 = 3.36, NMI β1 = 0.041, DpM β2 = 0.074
West Kazakhstan: β0 = 3.38, NMI β1 = 0.04, CR β2 = 0.075
Jambyl: β0 = 3.59, SM β1 = 0.03, DpM β2 = 0.065
Karaganda: β0 = 4, MD β1 = −0.03, SM β2 = 0.04
Kostanay: β0 = 3.6, MD β1 = −0.04, DpM β2 = 0.13
Kyzylorda: β0 = 3.8, DpM β1 = 0.08, U β2 = −0.04
Mangistau: β0 = 4.64, U β1 = −0.09, MD β2 = −0.04
Pavlodar: β0 = 4.09, MD β1 = −0.035, DpM β2 = 0.056
Northern Kazakhstan: β0 = 3.62, DpM β1 = 0.12, MD β2 = −0.028
Turkestan + Shymkent: β0 = 3.66, SM β1 = 0.13, NMI β2 = −0.06
East Kazakhstan: β0 = 3.83, CSD β1 = 0.12, BD β2 = −0.07
Nur-Sultan (one-factor model): β0 = 3.83, NMI β1 = 0.039 (no X2)
City of Almaty: β0 = 2.73, SM β1 = 0.039, HW β2 = 0.012
Hasan et al., 2023 [46]2023Time series econometric studyBangladeshLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1990–2019 (30)Bangladeshis30 annual observations Environmental
Social/Health
Social/Education
Technology/Innovation
CO2 emissions: lnCO2
Secondary school enrolment: lnEDU
Total patents/innovation proxy: lnTI
Adjusted
GDP β = 4.22, p < 0.05
Akintunde et al., 2024 [47]2024Ecological-time series NigeriaLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1980–2020 (41)Nigerians41 annual observationsEnvironmental
Socioeconomic
Economic
Healthcare resources
CO2 emissions
Income inequality: Gini/INC
GDP per capita: LGDPC
Govt expenditure on health: LGEXH
Unemployment: UNEM
Gross capital formation: LGCF
CO2 emissions: β = −45.0359, p = 0.0066
Gini/INC: β = −0.1946, p = 0.0293
LGDPC: β = 0.0027, p = 0.0847
LGEXH: β = −0.0789, p = 0.0659
UNEM: β = −9.4608, p = 0.0680
LGCF: β = 0.0023, p = 0.1929
Audi & Ali, 2016 [48]2017Time seriesLebanonLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1971–2014 (42) Lebanese42 observationsSocioeconomic
Environmental
Education
Economic
Demographic
Availability of food index: FOOD
CO2 emissions: CO2
Secondary school enrolment: SSE
GDP per capita: GDPPC
Population growth: POPG
FOOD: β = 0.056465 (p = 0.0000)
CO2: β = −1.072773 (p = 0.0024)
SSE: β = 2.38 × 10−5 (p = 0.0169)
GDPP: β = 0.001062 (p = 0.0000)
POPG: β = 0.285793 (p = 0.0163)
Redzwan & Ramli, 2024 [49]2024Time seriesMalaysia Upper-Middle-income economies ($4496 to $13,935) 1997–2021 (25)Malaysians25 annual observations Environmental
Health resources
Economic
CO2 emissions per capita: lnCO2
Health expenditure per capita: lnHE
GDP per capita: lnGDP
HE: β = −0.2229 (p = 0.6609)
GDP: β = 0.26132 (p = 0.6282)
CO2: β = 0.0227 (p = 0.8438)
Boutayeb & Serghini, 2006 [50]2006Ecological cross-sectional, multi-country comparative study19 Arab countries (all OIC): Algeria, Bahrain, Comoros, Djibouti, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Syria, Tunisia, UAE, YemenMixedMixed indicator years (mainly 1990–2003: LEB 2002; IMR 2002; literacy 2002; enrolment 2001/02; physicians 1990–2003)Country-level indicators19 countries (Iraq, Palestine, and Somalia excluded due to missing data)Health outcomes; Health services
Maternal/child health
Nutrition
Education
Infant Mortality Rate per 1000 live births 2002: IMR
Maternal Mortality Ratio per 100,000–2000: MMR
Expectation of lost healthy male/female 2002: ELHf/ELHm
Delivery attended by skilled attendant 1996 (%): DASA
Pregnant women who received prenatal care in 1996 (%): PWRP
Children underweight % of <5 years old 1995–2002: CUW
Physicians Per 100,000 People 1990–2003: PPP
Literacy male/female (%) 2002: Lm/Lf
Enrolment male/female (%) 2002: Enm/Enf
Female life expectancy at birth (LEBf)
ELHf: r = −0.59
ELHm: r = −0.65
MMR: r = −0.94
DASA: r = 0.43
PWRP: r = 0.49
CUW: r = −0.60
IMR: r = −0.95
PPP: r = 0.75
Lm: r = 0.65
Lf: r = 0.68
Enm: r = 0.81
Enf: r = 0.87
Male life expectancy at birth (LEBm)
ELHf: r = −0.56
ELHm: r = −0.63
MMR: r = −0.94
DASA: r = 0.42
PWRP: r = 0.47
CUW: r = −0.59
IMR: r = −0.95
PPP: r = 0.74
Lm: r = 0.67
Lf: r = 0.69
Enm: r = 0.80
Enf: r = 0.85
Chan & Kamala Devi, 2015 [51]2015Ecological study/Time series Malaysia Upper-Middle-income economies ($4496 to $13,935) 1980–2008 (29)Malaysians29 annual observationsSocioeconomic
Demographic
Health resources
Gross national income per capita: GDP
Inflation rate: IR
Literacy rate: LR
Tuberculosis deaths/100k: Tuberculosis
Doctors/10k: Doctors
Per-capita govt health expenditure: Expenditure
Crude
Doctor: r = 0.75 p < 0.05)
Expenditure: r = 0.81 (p < 0.05)
LR: r = 0.69 (p < 0.05)
Tuberculosis: r = −0.71 (p < 0.05)
IR: r = 0.84 (p < 0.05)
GDP: r = 0.68 (p < 0.05)
Adjusted
Direct effect on LE: Health resources → LE β = 0.47 (p < 0.05)
Indirect structure (predictors of “Health resources”)
Socioeconomic status → Health resources β = 0.57 (p < 0.05)
Demographic → Health resources β = 0.56, (p < 0.05)
Socioeconomic status → Demographic β = 0.58, (p < 0.05)
Fikri & Mohamed, 2024 [52]2024Time series econometric studyMoroccoLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 2000–2022 (23)Moroccans23 annual observationsHealth/human capital
Education/human capital
Labour market
Life expectancy at birth: LE
School enrolment, tertiary (% gross): SET
Labour force participation rate (% ages 15+): LAB
Gross capital production: GDP (outcome)
Coefficients with GDP per capita (log) as outcome:
LE (current) β = 10.84694 (p = 0.0183)
LE (lag 1) β = −3.86640 (p = 0.2001)
Bala et al., 2025 [53]2025Ecological/time series econometric studyNigeriaLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1992–2021 (30)Nigerian30 annual observations Macroeconomic
Environment
Health status
Education/socio-demographic
Gross domestic production: GDP
Environment sustainability: ENV
Mortality rate: MOR
Literacy rate: LIT
Adjusted
GDP: β = 0.047, p = 0.225 (not significant)
ENV: β = 0.161, p < 0.001
MOR: β = −1.844, p = 0.010
LIT: β = 0.232, p = 0.022
Senturk & Ali, 2021 [54]2021Time seriesTurkeyUpper-Middle-income economies ($4496 to $13,935) 1971–2017 (47)Turks47 annual observationsEducation
Environment
Economic/purchasing power
Economic development
Demographic
Education (SSE): Secondary enrolment (overall)
Environment (SUS): CO2 emissions (environmental degradation)
Economic/purchasing power (INF): Inflation
Economic development (ECOD): GDP per capita growth
Demographic (PG): Population growth
Crude
SSE r = 0.989707 (p < 0.001)
SUS r = 0.992322 (p < 0.001)
INF r = −0.215419 (p > 0.005)
ECOD r = 0.951445 (p < 0.001)
PG r = −0.92861 (p < 0.001)
Adjusted
SSE β = 0.176652 (p < 0.001)
SUS β = −0.008789 (p > 0.005)
INF β = 0.000641(p > 0.005)
ECOD β = −0.135435(p > 0.005)
PG β = 0.004655 (p > 0.005)
Gulcan, 2020 [55]2020Time seriesTurkeyUpper-Middle-income economies ($4496 to $13,935) 1975–2014 (40)Turks40 annual observationsEconomic
Environmental
GDP per capita (constant 2010 US$): Gdppc
Food production index: Fpi
Urbanization (% of total population): Urb
CO2 emissions (kt): Co2
Adjusted
Gdppc β = 0.327965 (p = 0.04354)
Fpi β = −0.341322 (p = 0.08344)
Urb β = 0.110738 (p = 0.01440)
Co2 β = −0.167716 (p = 0.04266)
Çavmak et al., 2024 [56]2024Longitudinal Time series TurkeyUpper-Middle-income economies ($4496 to $13,935) 2000–2019 (20)Turks20 annual observations Social
Economic
Healthcare access/financing
Behavioural
Gross domestic product: GDP
Enrolment rate in tertiary education: HE
Out-of-pocket health expenditure: OOPHE
Tobacco consumption (grams per capita): TC
Adjusted
GDP β = 0.212 (p < 0.01)
HE β = 0.129 (p < 0.01)
OOPHE β = 0.073 (p < 0.01)
TC β = −0.005 (p < 0.01)
Hamidi et al., 2018 [57]2018Ecological Time series–Panel data18 MENA countries (all are OIC members: Algeria, Bahrain, Djibouti, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Tunisia, Turkey, UAE, and Yemen)Mixed1995–2009 (15)Country–year national indicators270 country-year observations (18 × 15)Economic
Health/disease burden
Environmental/infrastructure
Health system resources
Urbanization
Education/human capital
GDP per capita: PPP
Tuberculosis incidence
Improved water source (% access)
Hospital beds (per 1000)
Urban population (%)
Educational attainment
GDP:
Model 6: 0.0166 (p < 0.001); Model 7: 0.0159 (p < 0.01); Model 8: 0.0241 (p < 0.001); Model 9: 0.0190 (p < 0.001); Model 10: 0.0223 (p < 0.001)
TB incidence:
Model 6: −0.0110 (p ≥ 0.05); Model 7: −0.0096 (p ≥ 0.05); Model 8: −0.0099 (p ≥ 0.05);; Model 9: −0.0094 (p ≥ 0.05); Model 10: −0.0097 (p ≥ 0.05)
Improved water:
Model 6: 0.1060 (p < 0.001); Model 7: 0.1198 (p < 0.001); Model 8: 0.1227 (p < 0.001); Model 9: 0.1252 (p < 0.001); Model 10: 0.1203 (p < 0.001)
Hospital beds:
Model 6: 0.0107 (p < 0.05); Model 7: 0.0113 (p < 0.05); Model 8: 0.0046 (p ≥ 0.05); Model 9: 0.0083 (p ≥ 0.05); Model 10: 0.0061 (p ≥ 0.05)
Urban population:
Model 6: 0.0360 (p ≥ 0.05); Model 7: 0.0891 (p < 0.05); Model 8: 0.1160 (p < 0.01); Model 9: 0.1216 (p < 0.01); Model 10: 0.1200 (p < 0.01)
Education attainment
Men 25–34 (Model 6): 0.1429 (p < 0.001); Men ≥ 25 (Model 7): 0.0737 (p < 0.001)
Women 25–34 (Model 8): 0.0393 (p < 0.001); Women ≥ 25 (Model 9): 0.0336 (p < 0.001); Women 15–44 (Model 10): 0.0426 (p < 0.001)
Saidmamatov et al., 2024 [58]2024Panel data econometric studyAral Sea Basin countries include OIC members (Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Iran, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyz Republic)Mixed2002–2020 (19)Country–year national indicatorsPanel observations: 133 for most variables; regression uses 108–111 observations (missingness, esp. human capital)Environment
Health system/financing
Economic development
Water/resources
Agriculture/food system
Urbanization/settlement
Energy
Energy transition
Education/human capital
CO2 emissions (metric tons per capita): CO2
Health expenditure (% of GDP): Health
Economic growth proxied by GDP: Gdp
Water productivity (hectares per person): Water
Agricultural value added (% of GDP): Agr
Urbanization rate (%): Urb
Total energy consumption (kWh): Eng
Renewable energy consumption (% of total energy consumed): Re
Human capital proxied by primary school enrolment percentage (gross): Hc
Crude
CO2 r = 0.7341
Health r = 0.8072
Gdp r = 0.5274
Water r = 0.5734
Agr r = −0.5195
Urb r = 0.7513
Energy r = 0.8516
Renew r = −0.4843
Hc r = 0.2319
Adjusted
CO2: OLS β = −0.0509 (p < 0.01), FMOLS β = −0.0465 (p < 0.01), DOLS β = −0.0483 (p < 0.05), CCR β = −0.047 (p < 0.01), Driscoll-Kraay β = −0.0509 (p < 0.01)
Health: OLS β = 0.0321 (p < 0.01), FMOLS β = 0.0534 (p < 0.01), DOLS β = 0.0772 (p < 0.01), CCR β = 0.0532 (p < 0.01), Driscoll–Kraay β = 0.0321 (p < 0.01)
GDP: OLS β = 0.00188 (p ≥ 0.10), FMOLS β = 0.0141 (p < 0.10), DOLS β = 0.0332 (p ≥ 0.10), CCR β = 0.0138 (p ≥ 0.10), Driscoll–Kraay β = 0.00188 (p ≥ 0.10)
Water: OLS β = 0.0344 (p < 0.01), FMOLS β = 0.0250 (p < 0.05), DOLS β = 0.00356 (p ≥ 0.10), CCR β = 0.0254 (p < 0.10), Driscoll–Kraay β = 0.0344 (p < 0.05)
Agr: OLS β = 0.0208 (p < 0.05), FMOLS β = 0.0179 (p < 0.05), DOLS β = −0.00468 (p ≥ 0.10), CCR β = 0.0177 (p < 0.10), Driscoll–Kraay β = 0.0208 (p < 0.01)
Urb: OLS β = 0.0666 (p < 0.10), FMOLS β = −0.0306 (p ≥ 0.10), DOLS β = −0.0515 (p ≥ 0.10), CCR β = −0.0284 (p ≥ 0.10), Driscoll–Kraay β = 0.0666 (p < 0.10)
Energy: OLS β = 0.0524 (p < 0.01), FMOLS β = 0.0576 (p < 0.01), DOLS β = 0.0441 (p < 0.01), CCR β = 0.0575 (p < 0.01), Driscoll-Kraay β = 0.0524 (p < 0.01)
Renew: OLS β = 0.00298 (p ≥ 0.10), FMOLS β = 0.000570 (p ≥ 0.10), DOLS β = 0.00273 (p ≥ 0.10), CCR β = 0.000355 (p ≥ 0.10), Driscoll-Kraay β = 0.00298 (p ≥ 0.10)
Hc: OLS β = 0.103 (p < 0.10), FMOLS β = 0.233 (p < 0.01), DOLS β = 0.0716 (p ≥ 0.10), CCR β = 0.226 (p < 0.01), Driscoll-Kraay β = 0.103 (p < 0.10)
Kristanto et al., 2019 [59]2019Subnational panel regressionIndonesia Upper-Middle-income economies ($4496 to $13,935) 2010–2016 (7)Indonesians 238 province-year observations (34 × 7)Health infrastructure
Socio-economic status
Health personnel
Health facilities
Health insurance
Dependency ratio
Income inequality
Poverty
Adjusted
Health personnel: β = 0.005832 (p < 0.01)
Health facilities: β = 0.005164 (p = 0.3570)
Health insurance: β = 0.005259 (p < 0.01)
Dependency ratio: β = −0.030217 (p < 0.01)
Income inequality: β = −0.000990 (p = 0.8091)
Poverty: β = −0.026126 (p < 0.01)
Pourshahri et al., 2022 [60]2022Population-based cross-sectional studyIranUpper-Middle-income economies ($4496 to $13,935) Feb 2021-Apr 2022 (1.25)General population residents aged 15–70 years300 participantsDemographic
Education
Economic status
Household risk context
Social
Health status
Behavioural
Occupation
COVID severity
COVID status
Age
Sex (Female vs. Male)
Education (Secondary vs. Primary)
Education (University vs. Primary)
Income (Below Sufficient vs. Sufficient)
Income (More than sufficient vs. Sufficient)
High-risk at home (Elderly vs. Child)
High-risk at home (Underlying-disease person vs. Child)
High-risk at home (None vs. Child)
Single vs. Married
Underlying disease (Yes vs. No)
Smoking (Yes vs. No)
Employee vs. Other
Student vs. Other
No hospital admission vs. Yes admission
No COVID history vs. COVID history
Unadjusted (Crude)
Demographic
Age: B = −0.12 (p < 0.001)
Sex: Female vs. Male: B = −0.59 (p = 0.38)
Education
Secondary vs. Primary: B = −1.86 (p = 0.18)
University vs. Primary: B = 0.37 (p = 0.68)
Income
Below sufficient vs. Sufficient: B = −3.07 (p < 0.001)
More than sufficient vs. Sufficient: B = 3.77 (p = 0.002)
Household risk context
High-risk at home: Elderly vs. Child: B = −4.62 (p < 0.001)
Underlying-disease person vs. Child: B = −2.99 (p = 0.003)
High-risk at home: None vs. Child: B = −1.52 (p = 0.069)
Social
Single vs. Married: B = 1.24 (p = 0.087)
Health status
Underlying disease: Yes vs. No: B = −4.27 (p < 0.001)
Behavioral
Smoking: Yes vs. No: B = −4.84 (p < 0.001)
Occupation
Employee vs. Other (housewife/unemployed/retired): B = −0.36 (p = 0.65)
Student vs. Other (housewife/unemployed/retired): B = 1.42 (p = 0.088)
COVID severity
No hospital admission vs. Yes admission: B = 2.7 (p = 0.16)
COVID status
No COVID history vs. COVID history: B = 3.41 (p < 0.001)
Adjusted
Demographic
Age: B = −0.26 (p = 0.59)
Income
Below sufficient vs. Sufficient: B = −1.27 (p = 0.15)
More than sufficient vs. Sufficient: B = 4.86 (p < 0.001)
High-risk at home
Elderly vs. Child: B = −1.69 (p = 0.069)
Underlying-disease person vs. Child: B = −1.37 (p = 0.14)
None vs. Child: B = 1.53 (p = 0.062)
Social
Single vs. Married: B = 0.42 (p = 0.66)
Health status
Underlying disease: Yes vs. No: B = −3.47 (p < 0.001)
Behavioral
Smoking: Yes vs. No: B = −2.85 (p = 0.022)
Occupation
Employee vs. Other: B = 0.03 (p = 0.96)
Student vs. Other: B = −0.87 (p = 0.39)
COVID status
No COVID history vs. COVID history: B = 2.95 (p < 0.001)
Esmaeili et al., 2011 [61]2011Cross sectional (cross-country)24 Islamic/OIC countries: Egypt, Gambia, Guyana, Indonesia, Iran, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Malaysia, Mali, Mauritania, Morocco, Mozambique, Niger, Nigeria, Uzbekistan, Pakistan, Senegal, Tajikistan, Tunisia, Turkmenistan, Turkey, Uganda, YemenMixed1996–2004 (9)Country-level national indicators24 countriesProsperity
Income
Education level
Environment factors
Health care
Women’s role
Prosperity: (GDP)
Income: (Gini)
Environmental factors: Percentage of urban population (Urban)
Healthcare/expenditure: (Health)
Education:
Enrolment ratio in high school (High)
Enrolment ratio in university (Univ)
Adult literacy rate (Lit)
Women’s role:
Share of females in the working population (Female)
Adjusted (Model-based)
GDP: Equation (4): β = 0.005 (p = 0.01); Equation (3): β = −0.8 (ns); Equation (6): β = 0.001 (ns)
Gini: Equation (3): β = 0.003 (p = 0.01); Equation (1): β = −0.46 (ns); Equation (6): β = −0.32 (ns)
High: Equation q(3): β = 0.33 (p = 0.01); Equation (6): β = 0.48 (p = 0.05)
Univ: Equation (6): β = 0.69 (p = 0.05)
Urban: Equation (6): β = 0.36 (p = 0.05)
Health: Equation (4): β = −0.27 (ns)
Lit: Equation (4): β = 0.11 (ns)
Female: Equation (4): β = −0.14 (ns)
Nathaniel & Khan, 2020 [62]2020Time series econometric studyNigeriaLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1970–2014 (45)Nigerian45 annual observationsEnvironment
Urbanization
Public finance/health system
Economic
CO2 emissions (metric tons per capita): CO2
Urbanization (% of total population): UBP
Public health expenditure: PHE
Per-capita income (constant 2010 USD): PCI
Crude
CO2: r = 0.745
PCI: r = 0.459
UBP: r = 0.926
PHE: r = 0.809
Adjusted
CO2: β = −0.0378 (ns)
PCI: β = 0.0483 (ns)
UBP: β = −0.3726 (p < 0.01)
PHE: β = 0.0155 (p < 0.05)
Agbanike et al., 2019 [63]2019Ecological study/Time series NigeriaLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1971–2014 (44)Nigerian44 annual observations Environmental
Economic
Oil sector
Financial development
Macroeconomic stability
Demographic
Trade
Structural breaks
CO2 emissions: CO2
GDP per capita: Rgdpc
Values of petroleum exports (m $): VPet
Daily crude oil production (average): Crdoilp
Private credit by deposit money banks to GDP (%): Pcrd
Domestic credit to private sector (% of GDP): Dcrd
Population Growth (Annual %): Popgrt
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %): Infrt
Trade (Export + Import % of GDP): Trd
Adjusted: Model 1 (includes VPet, Pcrd, Popgrt)
Rgdpc: Total LE β = 0.1663 (p < 0.01), LEM β = 0.1151 (ns), LEF β = 0.2528 (p < 0.01)
CO2: Total LE β = −0.0438 (p < 0.01), LEM β = −0.0596 (p < 0.05), LEF β = −0.0262 (p < 0.10)
VPet: Total LE β = 0.0714 (p < 0.01), LEM β = 0.1076 (p < 0.05), LEF β = 0.0457 (p < 0.01)
Pcrd: Total LE β = 0.0831 (p < 0.01), LEM β = 0.0698 (p < 0.05), LEF β = 0.0912 (p < 0.01)
Infrt: Total LE β = −0.0094 (ns), LEM β = −0.0281 (ns), LEF β = 0.0013 (ns)
Popgrt: Total LE β = 0.0069 (ns), LEM β = 0.1176 (ns), LEF β = −0.0552 (ns)
Model 2 (includes Crdoilp, Dcrd, Trd)
Rgdpc: Total LE β = 0.3021 (p < 0.01), LEM β = 0.3069 (p < 0.01), LEF β = 0.3006 (p < 0.01)
CO2:Total LE β = −0.0674 (p < 0.05), LEM β = −0.0784 (p < 0.05), LEF β = −0.0346 (p < 0.01)
Crdoilp: Total LE β = −0.1276 (p < 0.10), LEM β = −0.1426 (p < 0.10), LEF β = −0.0782 (p < 0.01)
Dcrd: Total LE β = 0.1020 (p < 0.01), LEM β = 0.1151 (p < 0.01), LEF β = 0.0905 (p < 0.01)
lnInfrt: Total LE β = −0.0261 (p < 0.10), LEM β = −0.0432 (p < 0.05), LEF β = −0.0077 (ns)
Trd: Total LE β = −0.0283 (ns), LEM β = −0.0274 (ns), LEF β = −0.0304 (p < 0.01)
Aalipour et al., 2023 [64]2023Time series econometric studyIranUpper-Middle-income economies ($4496 to $13,935) 1981–2020 (40)Iranians40 annual observationsEconomic
Investment/health financing
Education
Health burden
Urbanization
Macroeconomic
Financial/policy rate
Gross domestic production: GDP
foreign direct investment: FDI
Literacy rate: LR
Health burden: HIV
Urbanization: URBEN
Real exchange rate: EXR
Inflation: INF
Interest rate: IR
Adjusted
GDP: β = 0.089229 (p = 0.067)
FDI: β = 0.76302 (p = 0.067)
LR: β = 1.0230 (p = 0.000)
HIV: β = −1.7498 (p = 0.012)
URBEN: β = 2.8264 (p = 0.023)
INF: β = −0.011868 (p = 0.459)
IR: β = 0.14316 (p = 0.183)
Kanat et al., 2023 [65]2024Time series econometric studyKazakhstanUpper-Middle-income economies ($4496 to $13,935) 1990–2022 (33)Kazakh/Kazakhstanis33 annual observationsEnergy use
Air pollution/air quality proxy
Economic growth
Health expenditure
Population
Energy use (EU)
Air pollution (AP)
Economic growth (EG)
Health expenditure (HEXP)
Population (POP)
Crude
EU: r = 0.5300
AP: r = 0.4397
EG: r = 0.4727
HEXP: r = 0.3915
POP: r = 0.5251
Adjusted
EU: β = −0.0942 (p = 0.0070)
AP: β = −0.1294 (p = 0.0134)
EG: β = 0.04445 (p = 0.0213)
HEXP: β = 0.01343 (p = 0.3932)
POP: β = 0.8799 (p = 0.0000)
Igbinedion, 2019 [66]2019Ecological study/Time series econometric studyNigeriaLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1990–2016 (27)Nigerian27 annual observationsEnvironmental
Water & sanitation
Health financing
Mortality/health burden
Carbon dioxide emissions per capita (CDE)
Improved sanitation facilities (IMS)
Government health expenditure (TGHE)
Mortality rate (MRATE)
Crude
CDE: r = 0.2081
TGHE: r = 0.2602
IMS: r = −0.3709
MRATE: r = −0.1423
Adjusted
CDE: β = −0.968 (p = 0.034)
IMS: β = 3.279 (p = 0.015)
HEXP: β = 0.328 (p = 0.006)
MRATE: β = 52.286 (p = 0.000)
ECM: β = −0.468 (p = 0.034)
Okogor, 2022 [67]2022Ecological study/Time series econometric studyNigeriaLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1990–2015 (26)Nigerian26 annual observationsEnvironment/pollution
Water access
Sanitation access
Water + sanitation
Economic
Demographic
CO2 emissions per capita (CO2)
Access to improved water source (AIWS)
Access to improved sanitary facility (AISF)
Linear combination/average of improved water + sanitation (AIWSISF)
GDP per capita (PGDP)
Population growth (POP_GRT)
CO2: β = −0.009257 (p = 0.0117)
AIWS: β = −0.845205 (p = 0.0001)
AISF: β = −0.727756 (p = 0.0000)
AIWSISF: β = 3.149383 (p = 0.0000)
PGDP: β = 0.083608 (p = 0.0011)
POP_GRT: β = 0.108341 (p = 0.3409) (ns)
Awan et al., 2024 [68]2024Ecological study/Time series PakistanLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 2000 Q1–2020 Q4 (25)Pakistanis84 quartersEnvironment (land/forests)
Climate
Environment (air pollution)
Demographic/urban context
Deforestation (DEF; tree cover loss)
Temperature (TEM)
Rainfall (RF)
CO2 emissions per capita (CO2)
Urbanization (URB; % urban population)
Crude
DEF: r = 0.0729 (p ≥ 0.05; ns)
TEM: r = 0.0015 (p ≥ 0.05; ns)
RF: r = 0.2773 (p < 0.01)
CO2: r = 0.3828 (p < 0.01)
URB: r = 0.3550 (p < 0.01)
Adjusted
DEF: β = 0.0056 (p = 0.0347)
TEM: β = 0.0042 (p = 0.0632)
RF: β = 0.0070 (p = 0.0354)
CO2: β = 0.0148 (p = 0.0000)
URB: β = 0.6846 (p = 0.0000)
M. Arafat et al., 2022 [69]2022Time series econometric studyPakistanLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1965–2019 (55)Pakistanis55 annual observationsEnergy
Environmental
Financial
Energy consumption (EC)
Environmental degradation (ED)
Financial development (FD)
EC: β = 2.05 (p < 0.01); DOLS β = 0.32 (p < 0.01)
ED: β = −1.77 (p < 0.01); DOLS β = −0.23 (p < 0.01)
FD: β = 0.65 (p < 0.01); DOLS β = 0.05 (p < 0.01)
Abbas et al., 2024 [70]2024Ecological study/Time series PakistanLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1965–2020 (56)Pakistanis56 annual observations Environmental (air pollution)
Economic
Health financing/fiscal
CO2 emissions (CO2)
GDP per capita (GDPpc)
Current health expenditure per capita (CHE)
Crude
CO2: r = 0.9293 (p < 0.01)
GDPpc: r = 0.8790 (p < 0.01)
CHE: r = 0.9504 (p < 0.01)
Adjusted
CO2: β = −2.150 (p ≥ 0.1)
GDPpc: β = 7.730 (p < 0.01)
CHE: β = 0.040 (p ≥ 0.1)
Omri et al., 2022 [71]2022Ecological study/Time series Saudi Arabia High-income economies ($13,935 or more) 2000–2018 (19)Saudi Arabia19 annual observationsHealth financing
Research/innovation
Environment
Socioeconomic
Energy & trade
Government health expenditure (HE, % GDP)
R&D expenditure (RDexp, % GDP)
Environmental-related patents (PET)
CO2 indicators (COpc) (per capita)
Electricity/heat (COehp)
Liquid fuel (COlfc)
CO2 intensity (COint)
GDP per capita (Y)
Tertiary enrolment (Edu)
Energy use (EC)
Trade openness (Tr)
HE: β = 0.144 (p = 0.011)
RDexp: β = 0.074 (p = 0.023)
Edu: β = 0.303 (p = 0.000)
Y (GDPpc): β = 0.197 (p = 0.000)
COpc: β = 0.123 (p = 0.118) (ns)
COehp: β = 0.102 (p = 0.156) (ns)
COlfc: β = 0.072 (p = 0.209) (ns)
COint: β = 0.105 (p = 0.1325) (ns)
Hussein et al., 2024 [72]2024Ecological study/Time series SomaliaLow-income economies ($1135 or less) 1990–2020 (31)Somalis31 annual observations Environmental/pollution
Trade/openness
Demographic
Capital/investment
Economic growth (outcome)
CO2 emissions, kilotons (CO2)
Trade openness: (TO)
Population growth (PG)
Gross capital formation (CAPITAL)
Real GDP per capita (RGDPC)
LE: β = 0.809 (p = 0.031)
Nandi et al., 2023 [73]2023Ecological study/Time series BangladeshLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1991–2019 (29)Bangladeshis29 annual observationsEconomic
Labor market
Demographic
Gross National Income (GNI, current US$)
Unemployment rate (% of total labor force)
Employment rate (% of total employment)
Population growth rate (annual %)
Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population)
Crude
GNI: r = 0.436 (p < 0.01)
Unemployment: r = −0.411 (p < 0.05)
Employment: r = 0.558 (p < 0.01)
Population growth: r = −0.443 (p < 0.01)
Age dependency: r = −0.393 (p < 0.05)
Adjusted
GNI: β = 0.436 (p < 0.01)
Unemployment: β = −0.411 (p < 0.05)
Employment: β = 0.558 (p < 0.01)
Population growth: β = −0.443 (p < 0.01)
Age dependency: β = −0.393 (p < 0.05)
Setiawan et al., 2023 [74]2023Ecological study/Time series Indonesia Upper-Middle-income economies ($4496 to $13,935) 1990–2021 (32)Indonesians 32 annual observationsEconomic
Health financing
Environment/emissions
Mortality/health burden
Socioeconomic
Economic growth (EG = GDP per capita)
Health expenditure (Hex)
Carbon emission per capita (Emc)
Mortality rate (Mor)
Poverty rate (Pov)
Adjusted
EG: β = 0.002944 (p < 0.05)
Hex: β = 3.982365 (p < 0.01)
Emc: β = −2.673902 (p > 0.05; ns)
Mor: β = −1.767353 (p > 0.05; ns)
Pov: β = −6.820181 (p < 0.05)
Ghaedrahmati & Hajilou, 2022 [75]2022Ecological study/Time series IranUpper-Middle-income economies ($4496 to $13,935) 2000–2020 (21)Iranians (Tehran city)21 annual observationsAir pollutionPM10, PM2.5, CO, O3, SO2, NO2Crude
CO: r = −0.944, p = 0.000
O3: r = 0.504, p = 0.012
NO2: r = 0.945, p = 0.000
SO2: r = −0.821, p = 0.000
PM10: r = −0.255, p = 0.132
PM2.5: r = −0.879, p = 0.000
Adjusted
CO: B = −0.022; β = −0.140; p = 0.000; 95% CI [−0.098, 0.053]
O3: B = 0.046; β = 0.218; p = 0.000; 95% CI [−0.030, 0.122]
NO2: B = 0.036; β = 0.248; p = 0.000; 95% CI [−0.083, 0.155]
SO2: B = −0.094; β = −0.803; p = 0.000; 95% CI [−0.440, 0.252]
PM10: B = −0.225; β = −0.773; p = 0.000; 95% CI [−0.734, 0.285]
PM2.5: B = 0.107; β = 0.861; p = 0.000; 95% CI [−0.361, 0.574]
Adeshina et al., 2019 [76]2019Ecological study/Time series NigeriaLower-Middle income economies ($1136 to $4495) 1981–2017 (37)Nigerian37 annual observations Fiscal policy/public spending
Monetary policy/financial sector
Fiscal policy/debt
Macroeconomic stability
Total public capital expenditure (LNTPCE)
Financial deepening (FD = MS/GDP)
Domestic debt (LNDD)
Inflation rate (INF)
OLS
LNTPCE: β = −0.017968 (p = 0.0135)
FD: β = 0.007637 (p = 0.0000)
LNDD: β = 0.029406 (p = 0.0005)
INF: β = −0.000589 (p = 0.0031)
ARDL
LNTPCE: β = −0.066068 (p = 0.0008)
FD: β = 0.012776 (p = 0.0002)
LNDD: β = 0.062764 (p = 0.0004)
INF: β = 0.002022 (p = 0.0860) (ns)
Wirayuda, Jaju et al., 2022 [77]2022Ecological study/Time series OmanHigh-income economies ($13,935 or more) 1978–2018 (41)Omanis41 annual observationsSociodemographic (SD)
Macroeconomic (ME)
Health status & resources (HSR)
Infant mortality rate (IMR)
Fertility rate (FR)
Adult mortality—female (AM(f))
GDP per capita (GDP)
Dependency ratio (DR)
Capital investment (CI)
CO2 emissions (CO2E)
Mental & substance use disorders (MSU)
Obesity prevalence—female (O(f))
Obesity prevalence—male (O(m))

Sociodemographic (SD)
Primary school enrolment (PSE)
PSE: r = 0.99 (p < 0.01)
Crude
SSE: r = 0.99 (p < 0.01)
IMR: r = 0.99 (p < 0.01)
FR: r = −0.97 (p < 0.01)
AM(f): r = −0.94 (p < 0.01)
GDP: r = 0.79 (p < 0.01)
DR: r = −0.95 (p < 0.01)
CI: r = −0.76 (p < 0.01)
CO2E: r = 0.62 (p < 0.01)
MSU: r = 0.42 (p < 0.01)
O(f): r = 0.39 (p < 0.05)
O(m): r = 0.72 (p < 0.01)
Adjusted
SD → LE: β = −0.92 (p < 0.001)
ME → LE: β = −0.15 (p < 0.001)
HSR → LE: β = 0.23 (p < 0.001)
β = regression coefficient; r = correlation coefficient. Significant values are marked with an asterisk (*) at the 5% level.

4.2. Macroeconomic and Economic Determinants

Table 2 shows that higher income and economic development were generally associated with longer LE. In Nigeria, time-series analyses consistently showed positive effects of income. For example, in one macroeconomic model, inflation (β = −0.034493, p < 0.001) and imports (β = −0.068840, p < 0.001) were negatively related to LE [26]. Likewise, LE was positively correlated with per capita GDP (β = 0.140123, p < 0.001), whereas poverty indicators like poverty headcount ratio (indicates the percentage of the population living below the poverty line [78] (β = −0.1672, p < 0.001), poverty gap (β = −0.1401, p = 0.0011), and squared poverty gap (β = −0.1223, p = 0.0026) were inversely related to LE [27]. In another Nigerian study, real GDP per capita (β = 0.4132; p = 0.0150) showed a significant positive association with LE [29].
The significance of income was also highlighted in a multi-country analysis for the OIC or regional groupings. For 46 OIC member nations between 2010 and 2018, log GDP per capita (LN_GDP) was positively and highly correlated with LE (β = 6.019235, p < 0.001), alongside favorable effects of health expenditure and schooling [30]. In the Eastern Mediterranean Region (21 countries), GDP per capita (β = 0.0229, p = 0.011) was positively associated with LE [31]. Structural equation modeling for Indonesia and Oman reported sizeable total effects of the macroeconomic (ME) construct on LE; for example, ME → LE (β = 0.848, 95% CI 0.784–0.899) for Oman and (β = 0.737, 95% CI 0.527–0.904) for Indonesia [34], with similar positive paths in GCC-wide models [35].
In Pakistan, per capita income generally showed a positive association with LE. One ARDL study found that per capita income (β = 0.001144, p = 0.8812) had a small, non-significant coefficient in the baseline model. However, it was strongly positive in robustness checks using FMOLS (β = 0.024526, p < 0.001) and DOLS (β = 0.019516, p = 0.0532) [36]. Another Pakistani time-series analysis reported a positive association between GDP per capita (β = 7.730, p < 0.01) and LE in the adjusted model [70]. In Nigeria, poverty measures were robustly negatively related to LE, with the poverty headcount (β = −0.1672, p < 0.001), poverty gap (β = −0.1401, p = 0.0011), and squared poverty gap (β = −0.1223, p = 0.0026) all showing significant associations [27]. Income inequality (GINI) in Pakistan was also negatively associated with LE (β = −0.25060, p = 0.0044), while GDP per capita (β = 0.02238, p < 0.001) remained strongly positive [37]. In Nigeria, income inequality was negatively associated with LE (β = −0.1946, p = 0.0293) [47].
Other country-specific studies showed similar patterns. In Bangladesh, gross national income and labor-market indicators were significantly associated with LE in both crude and adjusted models: GNI (β = 0.436, p < 0.01) [73]. In Lebanon, GDP per capita (β = 0.001062, p < 0.001) was positively associated with LE [48]. For MENA OIC countries, GDP per capita (β ≈ 0.0166–0.0241, p ≤ 0.01) retained a consistently positive and statistically significant association with LE across multiple models [57]. In Iran, GDP (β = 0.089229, p = 0.067) and foreign direct investment (β = 0.76302, p = 0.067) had positive but borderline-significant coefficients [64]. Government capital expenditure, domestic debt, and financial deepening in Nigeria were positively related to LE, for example, ARDL estimates of financial deepening (β = 0.012776, p < 0.001) and domestic debt (β = 0.062764, p = 0.0004), whereas total public capital expenditure (β = −0.066068, p = 0.0008) was negatively associated with LE [76].

4.3. Social and Sociodemographic Determinants

Social and sociodemographic factors, especially education, employment, and poverty, showed consistent associations with LE. In the 46-country OIC panel, mean years of schooling had a strong positive effect (β = 0.575393, p < 0.001), while smoking prevalence showed a significant negative association (β = −0.220921, p < 0.001); unemployment was non-significant (β = −0.009166, p = 0.8055) [30].
Education was a key determinant in several studies, for 19 Arab OIC countries, female and male literacy and enrolment rates correlated positively with LE, for example, female enrolment (Enf) r = 0.87 and male enrolment (Enm) r = 0.81 with female LE, and similar magnitudes for male LE [50]. In Malaysia, literacy (r = 0.69, p < 0.05) and doctors per capita (r = 0.75, p < 0.05) correlated positively with LE, and in a path model, health resources (β = 0.47, p < 0.05) had a direct positive effect on LE, with socioeconomic status and demographic factors acting through health resources [51]. In Turkey, secondary-school enrolment was positively associated with LE in both crude (r = 0.9897, p < 0.001) and adjusted (β = 0.176652, p < 0.001) models [54], and tertiary enrolment in another Turkish study had a positive coefficient (β = 0.129, p < 0.01) [56]. In Oman and Indonesia, structural equation models showed that sociodemographic constructs (e.g., enrolment and demographic structure) had sizeable indirect effects on LE via health resources, with SD → LE total effects of β = 0.675–0.755 (all p < 0.001) in some models [34].
Labor-market variables also played a role. In Bangladesh, a higher employment rate was positively associated with LE (β = 0.558, p < 0.01). In contrast, unemployment (β = −0.411, p < 0.05), population growth (β = −0.443, p < 0.01), and higher age dependency (β = −0.393, p < 0.05) were negative predictors [73].

4.4. Environmental Determinants

Environmental factors, particularly air pollution and CO2 emissions, were frequently associated with LE in OIC settings. In Nigeria, one study found that CO2 emissions (β = −45.0359, p = 0.0066) and income inequality (β = −0.1946, p = 0.0293) negatively affected LE [47]. Another Nigerian time-series analysis found that CO2 was not significant [28]. In Palestine, CO2 emissions (β = −0.003, p < 0.01) showed a modest negative association with LE. In Lebanon, CO2 emissions had a strong negative coefficient (β = −1.072773, p = 0.0024) with LE [48].
In Pakistan, several studies examined environmental pressures. Using ARDL, one study found that CO2 emissions (β = −0.046395, p = 0.0007) were negatively associated with LE in the main model, with similar negative effects in FMOLS (β = −0.007595, p = 0.0530), and DOLS (β = −0.013032, p = 0.0289) [36]. Another Pakistani analysis focusing on deforestation and climate reported positive crude correlations between LE and rainfall (r = 0.2773, p < 0.01), CO2 (r = 0.3828, p < 0.01) and urbanization (r = 0.3550, p < 0.01) and in the adjusted model, deforestation (β = 0.0056, p = 0.0347), rainfall (β = 0.0070, p = 0.0354), CO2 (β = 0.0148, p <0.001) and urbanization (β = 0.6846, p <0.001) were all positively associated with LE [68]. Another time-series study reported very strong positive crude correlations between LE and CO2 (r = 0.9293, p < 0.01), but in the adjusted model, it was not significant [70].
Environmental and energy indicators were also important in Gulf and Central Asian settings. A study in GCC countries reported that an ecological footprint deficit (β = −2.5654, p = 0.034) was negatively associated with LE in pooled models, while the technological achievement index (β = 88.9262, p = 0.015) had a large positive effect [39]. In Saudi Arabia, ecological footprint and CO2 emissions were positively associated with LE in adjusted pre- and post-Vision 2030 models (Carbon: β ≈ 0.50–0.63, p < 0.005) [40]. In Kazakhstan, energy use (β = −0.0942, p = 0.007) and air-pollution proxies (β = −0.1294, p = 0.0134) were negatively associated with LE in the adjusted model [65].
Ambient air pollutants were also examined in detail in Iran, where particulate matter and gaseous pollutants showed strong crude and adjusted associations with LE. Crude correlations indicated significant relationships between LE and carbon monoxide (r = −0.944, p < 0.001), ozone (r = 0.504, p = 0.012), nitrogen dioxide (r = 0.945, p < 0.001), SO2 (r = −0.821, p < 0.001), and PM2.5 (r = −0.879, p < 0.001) [75]. In adjusted models, standardized β-coefficients remained sizable, for SO2 (β = −0.803, p < 0.001) and PM2.5 (β = 0.861, p < 0.001).

4.5. Health-System Resources, Health Burden, and Related Factors

Health-system resources, expenditure, and disease burden were central in many analyses. In the 46-country OIC panel, health expenditure as a share of GDP showed a positive association with LE (β = 0.132586, p = 0.0400) [30]. In Pakistan, health expenditure (β = 0.000215, p = 0.0295) was positively associated with LE in ARDL models, although in DOLS the coefficient (β = 0.000372, p = 0.4076) became non-significant [36].
In GCC and high-income OIC settings, several structural equation and path analysis papers highlighted the importance of health resources. In GCC countries, crude correlations between LE and health-resource (HR) construct were very strong (pooled HR-LE: r = 0.8940, p < 0.05), and in SEM models HR had significant direct effects on LE (HR → LE: β = 0.468, p < 0.001, p < 0.001) [35]. In Oman and Qatar, health status and resources directly predicted LE, with large coefficients (HSR → LE: β = 0.839 in Oman and β = 0.904 in Qatar). At the same time, sociodemographic and macroeconomic variables influenced LE indirectly through HSR [32]. Similar patterns were observed in models for Indonesia and Oman that decomposed total effects via health resources [34].
Health-system capacity and access also appeared in other settings. In the Eastern Mediterranean Region, crude correlations showed that physician density, vaccination coverage, literacy, safe-water access and urbanization were positively related to LE; in adjusted models, vaccination (β = 0.0018, p = 0.026) and urbanization (β = 0.0021, p = 0.026) remained significant, whereas health expenditure and physician density did not [31]. In Malaysia, doctors per 10,000 population and government health expenditure had strong positive correlations with LE (Doctor: r = 0.75; Expenditure: r = 0.81; both p < 0.05), and health resources (β = 0.47, p < 0.05) had a direct positive effect on LE in the path model [51]. In Saudi Arabia, government health expenditure (β = 0.144, p = 0.011) was positively associated with LE, alongside tertiary enrolment and GDP per capita [71]. In Palestine, health expenditure per capita (β = 0.002, p < 0.01) was positively associated with LE [38].
Studies also highlighted the role of health burden indicators. For 19 Arab OIC countries, infant mortality rate (IMR) and maternal mortality ratio (MMR) were strongly and negatively correlated with both female and male LE (IMR: r = −0.95, MMR: r = −0.94 with female LE; similar magnitudes for male LE), while skilled birth attendance, prenatal care, nutrition, physicians per capita and literacy were positively correlated [50]. In Pakistan, higher death rates and infant mortality were strongly negatively associated with LE: death rate (β = −0.911756, p = 0.001), infant mortality (β = 0.178382, p = 0.0091) in one specification, where higher infant mortality is coded in an inverse way [36]. In Nigeria, improved sanitation (β = 3.279, p = 0.015) and health expenditure (β = 0.328, p = 0.006) were positively associated with LE [66]. Disease burden and morbidity indicators, such as tuberculosis incidence, HIV burden, and non-communicable disease measures, also appeared with the expected negative signs in several multi-country and national models, HIV (β = −1.7498, p = 0.012) in Iran [57,64].

5. Discussion

This review brings together the available evidence on factors associated with LE in OIC countries. Overall, the studies suggest that longevity in these settings is influenced by a combination of economic conditions, social and demographic factors, environmental exposures, and the availability of health-system resources. Several determinants appear consistently across the literature. In particular, higher levels of economic development, better education, and greater health-system capacity are generally associated with longer LE, whereas poverty, inequality, and environmental pollution are often linked to poorer outcomes. The following sections discuss these determinants in more detail.

5.1. Economic Development and Macro-Financial Conditions

In this review, economic development emerged as one of the most consistently reported factors associated with LE. In the 46-country OIC panel, higher GDP per capita (log-transformed) showed a large positive adjusted effect on LE, together with health expenditure and schooling [30]. Similar positive adjusted coefficients for GDP or income per capita were observed in time-series models for Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nigeria, and several other OIC settings, even when models also included social, environmental, and fiscal variables [27,73,79]. These findings suggest that higher national income may allow greater investment in nutrition, housing, education, and health services, which are commonly linked with improvements in LE.
The pattern in the OIC region is very consistent with recent cross-country studies in other parts of the world. A longitudinal analysis of 36 OECD countries from 1999 to 2018 found that GDP per capita was one of the most important macro-level determinants of LE at birth, even after controlling for health spending, education, and lifestyle factors [4]. A broader study using 68 determinants in 61 countries over 30 years also identified GDP per capita and demographic structure as key drivers of LE and disability-adjusted life-years [16]. Recent global work on LE confirms that economic prosperity remains a core ingredient of population longevity. However, it is insufficient on its own without progress in social and health systems [80].
At the same time, some results show that not all macroeconomic variables are beneficial. In several Nigerian and Pakistani models, high inflation, income inequality, and various forms of macro-instability were associated with lower LE after adjustment. For instance, one Nigerian study reported negative adjusted coefficients for inflation and income inequality, alongside positive effects of per capita GDP and health expenditure [26,47]. In Pakistan, inequality in the GINI index has a significant negative effect on LE after controlling for GDP and health spending [37]. This result suggests that macroeconomic growth accompanied by high inequality, volatile prices, or weak social protection does not fully translate into health gains. Recent international evidence from high- and middle-income countries shows similar patterns, in which income inequality and insufficient social spending weaken the positive effect of GDP growth on population health and LE [4,80].
Taken together, the evidence suggests that economic development is closely associated with LE in OIC countries. However, the benefits of growth may be reduced in contexts characterized by high inequality or macroeconomic instability.

5.2. Social Determinants

This review also found strong evidence that education and broader social conditions are closely linked with LE, even after accounting for income. In the OIC-wide panel, mean years of schooling had a large positive adjusted coefficient, while smoking prevalence showed a strong negative association with LE [30]. In Bangladesh, higher employment and lower unemployment, lower population growth, and lower dependency ratios were significantly associated with longer LE in adjusted models [73]. Poverty intensity in Nigeria remained a significant negative determinant of LE even after controlling for GDP per capita and other macroeconomic factors [27].
These findings are consistent with the wider literature on social determinants of health. A recent global analysis during and after the COVID-19 period showed that combinations of high educational attainment, economic prosperity, social stability, and strong public health capacity were the key configurations associated with high LE across countries [81]. Another recent empirical study focusing on social determinants of health reported that education- and income-related variables remained significant predictors of LE after adjustment for behavioral and healthcare factors [82]. The WHO also continues to highlight that gains in LE are unequal and largely driven by gradients in education, income, working and living conditions, and discrimination [10].
Overall, the findings suggest that social conditions, particularly education, employment opportunities, and poverty levels, are strongly linked with differences in LE across OIC countries.

5.3. Environmental Degradation and Air Pollution

A third important finding from this review is the consistent negative effect of environmental degradation, especially air pollution and CO2 emissions, on LE in many OIC settings, once other factors are considered. For example, in a Nigerian study, CO2 emissions had a large negative adjusted coefficient [47]. In Pakistan, several ARDL and panel models showed that higher CO2 emissions were associated with lower LE after adjustment, although the magnitude and significance sometimes varied across estimation [36,69]. In Kazakhstan, energy use and air pollution indicators were negatively associated with LE in adjusted models [65]. Strong negative adjusted associations between particulate air pollution (PM2.5 and PM10), Sulphur dioxide, and LE were also reported in an Iranian time-series study [75].
These findings are consistent with recent global evidence on the health impacts of air pollution. A worldwide analysis estimated that ambient air pollution reduces LE by about 2.9 years on average, comparable to or exceeding the impact of tobacco smoking [13]. The State of Global Air report similarly concluded that current levels of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and household air pollution together reduce global LE by almost two years [12]. More recent panel analyses also show a robust negative association between CO2 emissions, other proxies of environmental degradation, and LE across global and regional samples, even after adjusting for GDP and health spending [39,83].
The evidence also indicates that environmental degradation, especially air pollution, is an important factor associated with lower LE in many OIC settings.

5.4. Health-System Resources, Expenditure, and Disease Burden

Finally, this review highlights the central role of health-system resources and disease burden in shaping LE. In the OIC panel, health expenditure as a share of GDP had a positive adjusted association with LE, even after controlling for income, education, and inequality [30]. In Pakistan, several studies reported that current health expenditure and health financing variables were positively associated with LE in at least some specifications, although the magnitude and significance varied [79]. In multi-country and GCC-focused structural equation models, health status and resources (for example, physician density, hospital beds, vaccination coverage, and primary care utilization) had strong direct effects on LE, while macroeconomic and sociodemographic factors operated partly through these health-system pathways [35].
Similar associations have also been reported in recent international studies. A comparative study of health and social spending in high-income countries found that higher public health and social expenditure were associated with longer LE and lower mortality, even after adjustment for GDP and demographic structure [84]. Another cross-national analysis showed that healthcare resources, together with economic and demographic factors, are among the most important predictors of LE and DALYs over three decades [16]. At the same time, the WHO and OECD emphasize that there are diminishing returns to very high levels of health spending, and that how money is spent (for example, on primary care, prevention, and financial protection) matters as much as how much is spent [10,85].
All the above findings further highlight the importance of health-system capacity in supporting improvements in population health and LE.

6. Strengths and Limitations

A key strength of this review is the use of a pre-registered PROSPERO protocol, PRISMA-guided reporting, JBI appraisal check lists, and a relatively strict quality threshold (≥80%), which increased confidence that the synthesis reflects more robust evidence; in addition, the focus on OIC member countries provides a targeted contribution to a literature often dominated by OECD settings, and the extraction emphasized adjusted estimates to reduce confounding. However, several limitations should be noted. First, most included studies were ecological or time-series analyses using national aggregates, which limits causal interpretation and restricts the findings to associations at the population level. Second, substantial heterogeneity in determinants, data sources, time periods, and modeling approaches reduced comparability and limited quantitative pooling. Third, this review does not include evidence from all OIC member states, and some regions were underrepresented in the available studies. This limitation likely reflects variations in data availability and research output across countries, which may introduce potential bias and limit the generalizability of the findings across all 57 OIC countries. The included studies spanned more than seven decades (1950–2022), during which several countries may have transitioned across low-, middle-, and high-income categories. Consequently, income group designation may not have remained consistent throughout the review period, and the use of a single classification framework may not fully capture the socioeconomic conditions present when the primary studies were undertaken. This temporal variation may have affected the comparability of studies and introduced potential misclassification in the income-based interpretation of the findings. Finally, some articles were not accessible, and the restriction to English-only publication language may have led to the omission of relevant regional evidence.

7. Conclusions

Overall, this systematic review shows that LE in OIC countries is shaped by interacting economic, social, environmental, and health-system factors. Higher GDP per capita, better education, stronger employment, and greater health expenditure are consistently associated with longer LE. In contrast, poverty, inequality, air pollution, and limited health resources tend to shorten lives or slow progress. These findings suggest that improvements in LE in OIC countries are likely to be associated with broader progress across economic, social, environmental, and health-system domains, highlighting the importance of coordinated multisectoral policies. Future research should prioritize stronger causal designs and improved country- and subnational-level data to clarify mechanisms and support more targeted interventions.

Supplementary Materials

The following supporting information can be downloaded at: https://www.mdpi.com/article/10.3390/ijerph23040531/s1, File S1: Detailed Search Strategy Used in the Databases; File S2: PRISMA checklist.

Author Contributions

Study design was developed by M.F.C., H.A. and A.S.M. Full texts of all potentially eligible articles were retrieved and independently reviewed by R.A., Z.M.A.-Z., K.S.A.-A., L.S.A.-S., R.I., S.A.A., R.M.B.H. and A.A.B.W. Each included study was independently appraised by R.A., Z.M.A.-Z., K.S.A.-A., R.I., S.A.A. and R.M.B.H. R.A. carried out the data extraction. The manuscript was drafted and edited by R.A. and M.F.C. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This study was funded by an Internal Grant (IG/--/MED/FM&/26/375).

Institutional Review Board Statement

Ethical approval was exempted (MREC #3765) for this study because it involved no individuals and reviewed existing data.

Informed Consent Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

All existing data are contained in the manuscript.

Acknowledgments

The authors gratefully acknowledge the support provided by the library staff, access to computing resources, and the EQUITY Program (10979/IT2.III/T/KP.03.00/XII/2025; 4299/B3/DT.03.08/2025; 3029/PKS/ITS/2025).

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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Figure 1. PRISMA flow diagram.
Figure 1. PRISMA flow diagram.
Ijerph 23 00531 g001
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MDPI and ACS Style

Aimaq, R.; AlSumri, H.; Malehi, A.S.; Al-Zadjali, Z.M.; Al-Alawi, K.S.; Al-Saadi, L.S.; Ibrahim, R.; Al Aamri, S.; Husien, R.M.B.; Wirayuda, A.A.B.; et al. The Influence of Social Determinants of Health, Environmental, and Healthcare Resources on Life Expectancy in the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) Countries: A Systematic Review. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2026, 23, 531. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph23040531

AMA Style

Aimaq R, AlSumri H, Malehi AS, Al-Zadjali ZM, Al-Alawi KS, Al-Saadi LS, Ibrahim R, Al Aamri S, Husien RMB, Wirayuda AAB, et al. The Influence of Social Determinants of Health, Environmental, and Healthcare Resources on Life Expectancy in the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) Countries: A Systematic Review. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2026; 23(4):531. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph23040531

Chicago/Turabian Style

Aimaq, Ruhina, Hana AlSumri, Amal S. Malehi, Zainab M. Al-Zadjali, Kouthar S. Al-Alawi, Laila S. Al-Saadi, Rawan Ibrahim, Sumaiya Al Aamri, Rabab Mohammed Bedawi Husien, Anak Agung Bagus Wirayuda, and et al. 2026. "The Influence of Social Determinants of Health, Environmental, and Healthcare Resources on Life Expectancy in the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) Countries: A Systematic Review" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 23, no. 4: 531. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph23040531

APA Style

Aimaq, R., AlSumri, H., Malehi, A. S., Al-Zadjali, Z. M., Al-Alawi, K. S., Al-Saadi, L. S., Ibrahim, R., Al Aamri, S., Husien, R. M. B., Wirayuda, A. A. B., & Chan, M. F. (2026). The Influence of Social Determinants of Health, Environmental, and Healthcare Resources on Life Expectancy in the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) Countries: A Systematic Review. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 23(4), 531. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph23040531

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