Risk Assessment of Deep Coal and Gas Outbursts Based on IQPSO-SVM
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Evaluation Index and Data Source
2.1. Evaluation Index of Coal and Gas Outbursts in a Deep Coal Mine
2.1.1. Mining Depth
2.1.2. The Physical Properties of Coal
2.1.3. Gas Factors
2.2. The Data Source
3. Evaluation of Coal and Gas Outbursts in Deep Coal Mine Based on IQPSO-SVM
3.1. QPSO
3.2. IQPSO
3.3. IQPSO-SVM
4. Empirical Analysis and Results Analysis
4.1. SVM Kernel Function Selection
4.2. IQPSO-SVM Results Analysis
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions
6.1. A Set of Crucial Index Evaluation Systems of Coal and Gas Outbursts in the Deep Coal Mines Is Established
6.2. IQPSO-SVM Model Based on Small-Sample Features Is Constructed According to the Data Characteristics of Deep Coal and Gas Outbursts
6.3. A Research Idea for Solving Complex Nonlinear Problems Is Provided
6.4. It Opens up a New Possibility for Promoting the Classification Management of Coal Mine Safety and Improving the Early Warning System of Coal Mine Safety
7. Contributions and Limitations
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
- Yuan, L. Research progress of mining response and disaster prevention and control in deep coal mines. J. China Coal Soc. 2021, 46, 716–725. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zhang, C.L.; Wang, E.Y.; Xu, J.; Peng, S.J. A new method for coal and gas outbursts prediction and prevention based on the fragmentation of ejected coal. Fuel 2020, 287, 119–493. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zhang, J.Y.; Ai, Z.B.; Guo, L.W.; Cui, X. Research of synergy warning system for gas outbursts based on entropy-weight Bayesian. Int. J. Comput. Intell. Syst. 2021, 1, 376–385. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Lan, H.; Chen, D.; Mao, D. Current status of deep mining and disaster prevention in China. Coal Sci. Technol. 2016, 44, 39–46. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zhou, A.T.; Zhang, M.; Wang, K.; Zhang, X.; Feng, T.F. Quantitative study on gas dynamic characteristics of two-phase gas -solid flow in coal and gas outburstss. Process Saf. Environ. Prot. 2020, 139, 251–261. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Liang, J.; Liu, M. Deep mining disaster and corresponding measures. Value Eng. 2012, 31, 295–296. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Shi, X.; Song, D.; Qian, Z. Classification of coal seam outbursts hazards and evaluation of the importance of influencing factors. Open Geosci. 2017, 9, 295–301. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Lei, Y.; Cheng, Y.P.; Ren, T.; Tu, Q.Y.; Shu, L.Y.; Li, Y.X. The Energy Principle of Coal and Gas outburstss: Experimentally Evaluating the Role of Gas Desorption. Rock Mech. Rock Eng. 2021, 1, 11–30. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ma, Y.K.; Nie, B.S.; He, X.Q.; Li, X.C.; Meng, J.Q.; Song, D.Z. Mechanism investigation on coal and gas outbursts: An overview. Int. J. Miner. Metall. Mater. 2020, 27, 872–887. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zhai, C.; Xiang, X.W.; Xu, J.Z.; Wu, S.L. The characteristics and main influencing factors affecting coal and gas outburstss in Chinese Pingdingshan mining region. Nat. Hazards 2016, 82, 507–530. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- An, F.H.; Cheng, Y.P. An explanation of large-scale coal and gas outburstss in underground coal mines: The effect of low-permeability zones on abnormally abundant gas. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 2014, 14, 2125–2132. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
- Kidybinski, A. The effect of porosity and the strength of coal on the dynamics of coal and methane outbursts-the bpm modelling. Arch. Min. Sci. 2011, 56, 415–426. Available online: https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/journal-foreign-detail/0204114926567.html (accessed on 19 December 2012).
- Chen, Z.Y.; Xiao, Z.X.; Zou, M. Research on mechanism of quantity discharge of firedamp from coal drift of headwork surface reflect coal and gas outbursts. Int. J. Hydrogen Energy 2017, 30, 19395–19401. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Black, D.J. Review of coal and gas outbursts in Australian underground coal mines. Int. J. Min. Sci. Technol. 2019, 6, 815–824. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Black, D.J. Investigations into the identification and control of outbursts risk in Australian underground coal mines. Int. J. Min. Sci. Technol. 2017, 5, 749–753. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Black, D.J. Review of current method to determine outbursts threshold limits in Australian underground coal mines. Int. J. Min. Sci. Technol. 2019, 6, 859–865. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Lu, S.; Wang, C.; Liu, Q.; Zhang, Y.; Liu, J.; Sa, Z.; Wang, L. Numerical assessment of the energy instability of gas outbursts of deformed and normal coal combinations during mining. Process Saf. Environ. Prot. 2019, 132, 351–366. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Geng, J.B.; Xu, J.; Nie, W.; Peng, S.J.; Zhang, C.L.; Luo, X.H. Regression analysis of major parameters affecting the intensity of coal and gas outburstss in laboratory. Int. J. Min. Sci. Technol. 2017, 2, 327–332. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Liang, Y.P.; Wang, F.K.; Li, X.L.; Jiang, C.L.; Li, L.; Chen, Y.L. Study on the influence factors of the initial expansion energy of released gas. Process Saf. Environ. Prot. 2018, 117, 582–592. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Deng, C.; Fan, Y. Coal and gas outbursts prediction in working face based on multi-fractal theory. Liaoning Gongcheng Jishu Daxue Xuebao (Ziran Kexue Ban). J. Liaoning Tech. Univ. 2017, 36, 903–908. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Yuan, L. Strategic thinking of coal and gas co-mining in deep coal seam in china. J. China Coal Soc. 2016, 41, 1–6. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Wang, C. Evaluation of Coal and Gas outbursts Risk Based on GRA-DDA Weighted Coupling Model. Min. Saf. Environ. Prot. 2018, 45, 98–101. [Google Scholar]
- Xie, X.G.; Wang, L.O.; Chen, L.Y.; Li, W.X.; Zhao, X.W. Risk assessment of the coal seam outbursts based on entropy weight matter element extension. J. Saf. Environ. 2019, 19, 1869–1875. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zhu, Q.J.; Zhang, E.H.; Li, Q.S. Risk assessment theory of the coal and gas outburstss and its application to the entropy weight and grey target decision methods. J. Saf. Environ. 2020, 20, 1205–1212. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Jin, H.; Yang, Z.; Xu, G. Evaluation of coal and gas outbursts risk based on improved AHP-GRA evaluation model. Min. Saf. Environ. Prot. 2020, 47, 113–118, 126. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Lecun, Y.; Bengio, Y.; Hinton, G. Deep learning. Nature 2015, 521, 436. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chang, C.C.; Lin, C.J. Libsvm: A library for support vector machines. ACM Trans. Intell. Syst. Technol. 2007, 2, 1–27. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Dai, H. Forecasting coal and gas outbursts based on improved adaptive support vector machine. Appl. Res. Comput. 2009, 26, 1656–1658. [Google Scholar]
- Liu, J.; Zeng, F.; Guo, Z. Study on multiple factors risk evaluation of coal and gas outbursts based on RS-SVM model. China Saf. Sci. J. 2011, 21, 21. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Huang, W. Coal-and-Gas outbursts forecast using integration of RS and CSA-SVM. Comput. Meas. Control. 2012, 20, 2909–2912. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Huang, W.; Shao, X.; Chen, K. Coal-and-Gas outbursts forecast using CCPSO and SVM. Comput. Sci. 2012, 39, 216–220. [Google Scholar]
- Tingxin, W.; Hongjuan, S.; Bo, Z. Prediction model for outbursts of coal and gas based on QGA-LSSVM. J. Saf. Sci. Technol. 2015, 11, 5–12. [Google Scholar]
- Xie, G.; Xie, H.; Fu, H.; Yan, X. Prediction model for coal and gas outbursts based on NN-SVM. Chin. J. Sens. Actuators 2016, 29, 733–738. [Google Scholar]
- Xie, G.; Shan, M.; Liu, M. Coal and Gas outbursts Intensity Prediction of FOA-SVM Model and Application. Chin. J. Sens. Actuators 2016, 29, 1941–1946. [Google Scholar]
- Zhu, J. Study on risk assessment of coal and gas outburst in deep coal mine based on algorithm fusion. Huainan Anhui Univ. Sci. Technol. 2021, 32–34. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Wang, H.; Bing, Z.; Liang, Y.; Yu, G.; Wei, W. Gas release characteristics in coal under different stresses and their impact on outburstss. Energies 2018, 11, 2661. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
- Zhang, C.; Wang, E.; Xu, J.; Peng, S. Research on Temperature Variation during Coal and Gas outburstss: Implications for outbursts Prediction in Coal Mines. Sensors 2020, 20, 5526. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Du, F.; Wang, K.; Zhang, X.; Xin, C.; Shu, L.; Wang, G. Experimental Study of Coal-Gas outbursts: Insights from Coal-Rock Structure, Gas Pressure and Adsorptivity. Nat. Resour. Res. 2020, 29, 2481–2483. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Jiao, A.; Tian, S.; Lin, H. Analysis of outbursts coal structure characteristics in sanjia coal mine based on ftir and xrd. Energies 2022, 15, 1956. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Wang, K.; Pan, H.Y.; Zhang, T.J.; Wang, H.T. Experimental study on the radial vibration characteristics of a coal briquette in each stage of its life cycle under the action of CO2 gas explosion. Fuel 2022, 320, 123922. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Fedorchenko, I.A.; Fedorov, A.V. Gas-dynamic stage of the coal and gas outbursts with allowance for desorption. J. Min. Sci. 2012, 48, 15–26. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Liu, H.; Guo, L.; Zhao, X. Energies, & Sciubba, E. Expansionary evolution characteristics of plastic zone in rock and coal mass ahead of excavation face and the mechanism of coal and gas outbursts. Energies 2020, 13, 984. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
- Guo, B.; Li, Y.; Jiao, F.; Luo, T.; Ma, Q. Experimental study on coal and gas outbursts and the variation characteristics of gas pressure. Geomech. Geophys. Geo-Energy Geo-Resour. 2018, 4, 355–368. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Song, L.; Shi, J.; Pan, A.; Yang, J.; Xie, J. Dynamic multi-swarm particle swarm optimizer. IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation. In Proceedings of the 2005 IEEE Swarm Intelligence Symposium, Pasadena, CA, USA, 8–10 June 2005; Volume 13. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Trelea, I.C. The particle swarm optimization algorithm: Convergence analysis and parameter selection. Inf. Process. Lett. 2003, 85, 317–325. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Pahnehkolaei, S.A.; Alfi, A.; Machado, J.T. Analytical stability analysis of the fractional-order particle swarm optimization algorithm. Chaos Solitons Fractals 2022, 155, 111658. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- He, Q.; Zha, C.; Song, W.; Hao, Z.; Du, Y.; Liotta, A.; Perra, C. Improved particle swarm optimization for sea surface temperature prediction. Energies 2020, 13, 1369. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Xu, Y.F.; Gao, J.; Chen, G.C.; Yu, J.S. Quantum particle swarm optimization algorithm. Appl. Mech. Mater. 2011, 63–64, 106–110. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Luo, Z.; Wang, P.; Li, Y.; Zhang, W.; Tang, W.; Xiang, M. Quantum-inspired evolutionary tuning of svm parameters. Prog. Nat. Sci. 2008, 18, 475–480. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ding, S.; Zhang, Z.; Sun, Y.; Shi, S. Multiple birth support vector machine based on dynamic quantum particle swarm optimization algorithm. Neurocomputing 2022, 480, 146–156. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zhang, H. Intelligent detection of small faults using a support vector machine. Energies 2021, 14, 6242. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Rosso, M.M.; Cucuzza, R.; Trapani, F.D.; Marano, G.C. Nonpenalty machine learning constraint handling using pso-svm for structural optimization. Adv. Civ. Eng. 2021, 2021, 1687–8086. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Peng, J.; Wang, S. Parameter selection of support vector machine based on chaotic particle swarm optimization algorithm. In Proceedings of the 2010 8th World Congress on Intelligent Control and Automation, Jinan, China, 7–9 July 2010; pp. 3271–3274. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Sandeep, V.; Kondappan, S.; Jone, A.A.; Raj, B.S. Anomaly intrusion detection using svm and c4.5 classification with an improved particle swarm optimization (I-PSO). Int. J. Inf. Secur. Priv. 2021, 15, 113–130. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
Discriminant Indicators | Original Gas Pressure (P) | Ruggedness Coefficient of Coal (f) | Destruction Type of Coal | Initial Gas Release Velocity of Coal (ΔP) |
---|---|---|---|---|
The critical value and range of outburst risk | P ≥ 0.74 | f ≤ 0.5 | Ⅲ, Ⅳ, Ⅴ | ΔP ≥ 10 |
Gas Pressure (P/MPa) | Gas Content (W) | Regional Category |
---|---|---|
P < 0.74 | W < 8 (Tectonic belt W < 6) | No outburst danger zone |
Other than the above | Danger zone of outburst |
Indicators | Explanation of Indicators | Type of Indicator |
---|---|---|
Coal damage type | The degree of coal damage can be divided into 5 grades: undamaged, mildly damaged, generally damaged, intensely damaged, and destroyed into powder. The higher the grade, the greater the risk of gas outbursts. | + |
Mining depth (m) | This generally refers to the vertical height of the mining coal seam from the ground. The deeper the coal seam, the greater the risk of gas outbursts. | + |
Original gas pressure (MPa) | When the coal seam is buried at a certain depth, the stress is caused by the gas in the pores and fissures of the coal seam on the seam wall. The higher the gas pressure, the greater the windiness of gas outbursts. | + |
Original gas content (m3/t) | The gas volume of coal per unit weight reflects the gas potential of the coal seam. The higher the content, the greater the potential and the greater the risk of gas outbursts. | + |
Resolvable gas content | The amount of gas released from coal under normal conditions. The greater the amount of precipitation, the greater the risk of gas outbursts. | + |
Initial gas release velocity of coal () | It refers to the rate of coalbed methane emission when the coal is initially exposed. It is an index indicating the outburst risk of the coal seam. The greater the initial rate of gas release, the greater the outburst risk. | + |
Coal ruggedness coefficient (f) | This measures the degree of coal rock sturdiness of an index. The more complex the coal seam, the stronger its sturdiness coefficient in its ability to resist outbursts, and the lower the risk of coal and gas outbursts. | − |
Serial Number | Outburst Risk Level | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | −912.6 | 0.84 | 5.6394 | 4.5607 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 2 |
2 | 2 | −898.45 | 0.84 | 5.7168 | 4.6381 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 2 |
3 | 5 | −873.8 | 3.5 | 9.7688 | 8.8762 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 4 |
4 | 2 | −870 | 0.15 | 1.44 | 0.17 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 1 |
5 | 5 | −867 | 1.56 | 9.1476 | 8.0821 | 7.9 | 1 | 3 |
6 | 5 | −865 | 2.91 | 6.4072 | 5.4442 | 12.1 | 0.6 | 4 |
7 | 5 | −862 | 2.35 | 9.95 | 8.86 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 4 |
8 | 5 | −860.1 | 2.1 | 7.7383 | 6.863 | 10 | 1 | 4 |
9 | 5 | −856 | 3.18 | 8.3513 | 7.6419 | 7.9 | 0.7 | 4 |
10 | 5 | −851 | 2.15 | 8.8312 | 7.8682 | 9.6 | 0.7 | 4 |
… | … | … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
113 | 2 | −783.4 | 0.125 | 1.6692 | 0.9184 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
114 | 2 | -760 | 1.7 | 4.9096 | 4.0569 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 3 |
115 | 2 | −756.2 | 0.6 | 3.5352 | 2.3791 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 2 |
116 | 3 | −748 | 1 | 4.3 | 3.34 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 4 |
117 | 2 | −703 | 0.48 | 3.2293 | 2.5231 | 3.3 | 1 | 1 |
118 | 3 | −703 | 1.05 | 5.7075 | 4.8763 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 3 |
119 | 2 | −667.5 | 0.52 | 5.625 | 4.8311 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 2 |
120 | 2 | −650 | 0.432 | 3.0898 | 2.3381 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 1 |
121 | 3 | −647.5 | 1.05 | 5.7075 | 4.8763 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 3 |
122 | 3 | −635 | 1.04 | 4.4807 | 3.6564 | 4 | 0.9 | 3 |
123 | 2 | −630.7 | 0.487 | 2.9697 | 2.2473 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 1 |
124 | 2 | −627.4 | 0.519 | 4.012 | 3.1706 | 6.3 | 0.8 | 2 |
Result | Standard SVM | PSO-SVM | QPSO-SVM | IQPSO-SVM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Individual acceleration factor C1 | / | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Social acceleration factor C2 | / | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Evolution algebra | / | 200 | 200 | 200 |
Penalty coefficient (C) | 419.02 | 12.7545 | 220.8754 | 66.0506 |
Kernel function parameter (g) | 0.17 | 0.62683 | 10.2332 | 0.30788 |
Test sample size | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Correct predictions | 43 | 45 | 46 | 47 |
Prediction accuracy | 86% | 90% | 92% | 94% |
Time consumed (s) | 1.3254 | 11.6552 | 9.3262 | 7.8610 |
Kernel Function Category | Accuracy | Svmtrain Parameters |
---|---|---|
Linear kernel function | 76% | ‘−c 419.02 −g 0.17 −t 0’ |
Polynomial kernel function | 82% | ‘−c 419.02 −g 0.17 −t 1’ |
Radial basis function (RBF) | 84% | ‘−c 419.02 −g 0.17 −t 2’ |
Sigmoid kernel function | 86% | ‘−c 419.02 −g 0.17 −t 3’ |
Publisher’s Note: MDPI stays neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. |
© 2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Share and Cite
Zhu, J.; Yang, L.; Wang, X.; Zheng, H.; Gu, M.; Li, S.; Fang, X. Risk Assessment of Deep Coal and Gas Outbursts Based on IQPSO-SVM. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2022, 19, 12869. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph191912869
Zhu J, Yang L, Wang X, Zheng H, Gu M, Li S, Fang X. Risk Assessment of Deep Coal and Gas Outbursts Based on IQPSO-SVM. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2022; 19(19):12869. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph191912869
Chicago/Turabian StyleZhu, Junqi, Li Yang, Xue Wang, Haotian Zheng, Mengdi Gu, Shanshan Li, and Xin Fang. 2022. "Risk Assessment of Deep Coal and Gas Outbursts Based on IQPSO-SVM" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 19, no. 19: 12869. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph191912869
APA StyleZhu, J., Yang, L., Wang, X., Zheng, H., Gu, M., Li, S., & Fang, X. (2022). Risk Assessment of Deep Coal and Gas Outbursts Based on IQPSO-SVM. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19(19), 12869. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph191912869