1. Introduction
The contradiction between the supply of land for human production and living activities and the demand for land has become increasingly prominent with the rapid development of the global economy and society, which has led to cases of illegal land use occurring all over the world, and this phenomenon is particularly serious in developing countries with large populations and rapid economic-social development [
1,
2,
3]. The analysis of the spatial–temporal characteristics of illegal land use and its driving factors can guide the formulation of effective policies and measures to prevent or solve illegal land use cases, and it is of great significance to promote the legal utilization of land resources and the sustainable development of mankind.
In China, the basic system of society decides that the right to allocate the land that carries main social-economic activities is in the hands of the government or village unity [
4,
5], and China takes advantage of this unique system to carry out strict farmland protection system and limited supply of construction land to ensure food security and the realization of sustainable development goals [
6]. Nonetheless, as the total amount of social-economic activities has become larger and larger and the asset attributes of land continue to emerge, some citizens and even local governments have chosen to break through the strict economical and intensive land-use system for greater economic benefits [
7,
8]. Therefore, illegal land use is also common in China, and illegal land use in China refers to non-agricultural construction without approval, illegal landfilling for the implementation of non-agricultural construction, and historical illegal land use for reconstruction and expansion of legal land and other land use. In order to effectively curb illegal land use, Chinese governments had constantly strengthened institutional construction, such as constantly improving the system of economical and intensive land use, establishing land supervision institutions [
9,
10].
A large number of scholars had carried out researches on the spatial–temporal characteristics of illegal land use and its driving factors, which were mainly manifested in the following characteristics: First, they discussed the relationship between a single important social or economic activity and the occurrence of illegal land use cases, and these economic-social factors include the marketization reform of land supply [
11,
12,
13], construction of land supervision system [
14], the rapid growth of economy [
15,
16,
17]; land tenure, poverty, and forest use rights [
18], its impact on the environment [
19] and land use planning [
20,
21]. The second is to focus on the characterization of illegal land use, which includes the characteristics of the encroachment of illegal land on farmland [
22,
23], the spatial distribution characteristics of illegal land use [
24], spatial distribution characteristics of illegal land around specific geographic objects [
25]. The third is to analyze the internal mechanism of illegal land use cases based on game theory [
26,
27]. The fourth is to identify the location of illegal land use cases on the micro scale based on geographic information systems, remote sensing images, or land use survey data [
28,
29,
30,
31]. Fifthly, some scholars had conducted research on the effects of policies and systems formulated by management agencies at all levels for illegal land use and analyzed the directions for improvement or optimization [
32,
33,
34].
On the whole, the research on illegal land use is rich and diverse, but there is also some content that needs further research: As China has a huge economic aggregate and large population, it has always attached great importance to illegal land use cases and a series of policies and measures for illegal land use had been carried out, but how effective are these policies? It needs to be tested by analyzing the spatial–temporal characteristics of illegal land use; meanwhile, the policies and measures for the control of illegal land use need to be further optimized; In the process of characterizing the characteristics of illegal land use, single variables such as the area of illegal land and the number of illegal land use cases are often used, but there is a lack of thinking about the multidimensional characteristics of illegal land use cases, and scholars pay more attention to the impact of a single element or overall characteristic of the economy and society on the occurrence of illegal land use cases and lack a systematic study on the effect of the internal structure of economic-social factors on the occurrence of illegal land use cases.
2. Assumptions and Analysis Framework
Based on the analysis of the research status, this paper proposed the following assumptions. Assumption 1: The characteristics of illegal land use cannot only be represented by a single variable such as the area of land involved in illegal land use, which may involve the area of cultivated land occupied by illegal land use cases, the resolution of illegal land cases, and the land area involved in illegal land use cases. Moreover, these variables represent different characteristics of illegal land use, and there may not be a strong correlation. Assumption 2: Compared with the overall situation of economic-social development or the basic characteristics of the land market on the impact of illegal land use phenomenon, this paper believes that different factors involved in the structure of economic development, the structure of social development, and the structure of the land market behaviors, respectively that are quite different in the degree or direction of the impact on the phenomenon of illegal land use.
According to the above basic assumptions, this paper would establish a variable system describing the characteristics of illegal land use, introduced the number of land resources management agencies as an independent variable at the same time, selected variables that can fully characterize the phenomenon of illegal land use by the Pearson’s correlation coefficient, analyzed the relationship between the number of land resource management agencies and the characteristics of illegal land use, and finally described the spatial–temporal characteristics changes of different characteristics of illegal land use by spatial autocorrelation analysis. Second, this paper established a variable system of driving factors that reflected the economic development structure, social development structure and land market behavior structure, and analyzed the core driving factors that influenced the changes of different characteristics of illegal land use based on geographical detectors (
Figure 1).
5. Discussion
5.1. Can a Single Variable Effectively Characterize Illegal Land Use?
Based on the analysis framework and basic assumptions in Chapter 2, by constructing a characteristic variable system of illegal land use, this paper analyzed the Pearson’s correlation coefficient of panel data in each province from 2004 to 2017. The results showed that some variables were highly independent, but there were also many variables that were highly correlated, which showed that a single variable such as the number of illegal land use cases was simply chosen to characterize the occurrence of illegal land use was obviously not scientific enough. On the other hand, it is not conducive to analyzing the characteristics of illegal land use cases and the effect of a series of policies and measures for illegal land use and is also not conducive to formulate policies to promote the reduction and resolution of illegal land use cases. However, the current research is still focused on characterizing illegal land use based on a single variable; for example, Zhigang Chen and Mingchao Jia systematically studied whether the continuous development of the land market inhibited the occurrence of illegal land use cases, and only the area of illegal land use was selected to characterize illegal land use among them, the data either came from the government statistics department or obtained through remote sensing interpretation [
12,
30].
In this paper, four variables that included CasesULY, VLDCY, CLICULY and CasesSTY were selected as the basic representations of illegal land use measured by the Pearson’s correlation coefficient. CasesULY represents the characteristics of illegal land use cases that are more difficult to solve. CLICULY represents the area of cultivated land involved in illegal land use cases that is difficult to solve, which is the biggest threat to food security. VLDCY represents the current occurrence of illegal land use cases that can or cannot be resolved. CasesSTY represents the number of illegal land use cases that have been resolved this year. The selection of the variables can fully reflect the characteristics of illegal land use.
5.2. How NumLRMA Affects the Spatial–Temporal Distribution of Illegal Land Use
Whether it is Pearson’s correlation coefficient Analysis or spatial Autocorrelation Analysis, this paper introduced the variable of NumLRMA. The results showed that NumLRMA had no significant correlation with illegal land features. On the other hand, NumLRMA had almost no spatial autocorrelation features, which indicated that NumLRMA did not affect the occurrence or settlement of illegal land use. Therefore, it was obvious that the implementation strength and management level of various land resources management agencies was one of the real management factors that determine the occurrence or resolution of illegal land use.
5.3. Spatial-Temporal Distribution Characteristics of Illegal Land Use
According to the results of the previous research, China has always been promoting the construction of regional economies, such as the Yangtze River Economic Belt, the Central Plains Economic Zone, and the Pearl River Delta Economic Zone [
39,
40]. As the management and control of the unlimited expansion of construction land become increasingly stringent, the rapid economic-social development of these regions will inevitably lead to a series of illegal land use cases [
41], the occurrence of illegal land use cases is more aggregate in line with theoretical logic. However, according to the calculation results of global Moran’s I, the global spatial autocorrelation of each variable was declining as a whole, and there was no spatial autocorrelation of each variable in 2017. The comparison between the characteristic variables of different illegal land use showed that VLDCY changed the slowest from agglomeration distribution to random distribution, but CasesSTY changed the fastest from agglomeration distribution to random distribution; this showed that the level of control and resolution of illegal cases in various places was constantly improving, which has promoted the decoupling of economic-social development from the occurrence or resolution of illegal land use cases.
Based on the calculation results of local Moran’s I, from the perspective of time, the L-L agglomeration units and the H-H agglomeration units were decreasing, this indicated that the probability of illegal land use cases was increasing in units where illegal land use cases had rarely occurred (L-L agglomeration). Moreover, this increase was different-in-different provinces. On the other hand, it showed that the level of the occurrence and resolution of regional illegal land use cases were constantly improving in the units of H-H agglomeration. From the perspective of spatial distribution, the L-L agglomeration units of illegal land use were mainly in the central-western regions, which was obviously related to the local economic-social development level. With the continuous improvement of the economic-social development level in the central-western regions, the incidence of illegal land use cases was constantly increasing, but the speed of resolution about illegal land use cases was constantly improving at the same time. The H-H agglomeration units of illegal land were mainly concentrated in the central-eastern regions, but there were fewer evaluation units involved as a whole, which showed that although the overall level of economic-social development in the central-eastern regions was relatively high, the ability to control and solve illegal land use increase more quickly than this.
5.4. Driving Mechanism of Structural Factors on the Characteristics of Illegal Land Use
From the factor detection results, CasesULY was closely related to Rp and Pnsch, which showed that the key to the settlement of illegal land use cases that were difficult to solve lied in the farmers’ cognition and the education level of the entire society. Therefore, this paper believes that effective civic education on the adverse effects of illegal land use can prevent illegal land use. VaTin, Up, TNreden, ALpurchTY, LTpTY and Tarede all had a greater impact on VLDCY, which showed that the tertiary industry, the level of urbanization and the continuous development of the land market drove the occurrence of illegal land use cases, resulting in a continuous increase in the number of illegal land use cases. The factors that drove CasesSTY were highly consistent with the impact on VLDCY, which showed that the overall resolution of illegal land use cases was consistent with the law of the discovery of illegal land use cases and that the overall level of illegal land management in China was relatively high. However, VaSin, VaTin, and Up had stronger explanatory power for CLICULY, which showed that the increase of secondary industry, tertiary industry and urban population objectively increased the difficulty of solving illegal land use cases involving cultivated land. Therefore, it was necessary to strengthen the illegal land use behaviors that may arise from the continuous development of these three aspects and control them in the embryonic stage in the actual management.
From the results of interaction detection, each driving factor had the strongest interaction effect on VLDCY and CasesSTY, and each driving factor had a relatively weak interaction effect on CasesULY and CLICULY. The results showed that the occurrence or resolution of illegal land use cases was affected by multiple factors, rather than a single factor, but there were also core interaction driving factors. Therefore, the direction and level of economic-social development will inevitably result in illegal land use cases, but in the actual management process, managers need to pay attention to the occurrence of illegal land use cases that may be caused by core interaction driving factors.
From the results of ecological exploration, the driving factors that affected the spatial distribution of the characteristic variables of illegal land use were basically the same as the results of factor detection; this showed that the level and structure of economic and social development and the level of the development of the land market not only affected the occurrence of illegal land use cases, the settlement of illegal land use cases, and the unresolvable damage caused by illegal land use cases to cultivated land at this stage, but also determined the location where the illegal land use case occurred or resolved.
6. Conclusions
The characteristics of illegal land use cases are multidimensional; in order to effectively control the serious impact of illegal land use, we must not only prevent the occurrence of illegal land use cases but also promote the settlement of illegal land use cases and reduce the area of cultivated land involved in illegal land use cases. Second, the management level of land resources management agencies in most regions was constantly improving, which promoted the settlement of illegal land use cases and prevented the occurrence of illegal land use cases. Third, a series of rules, regulations, policies and measures established by the central government and local governments at all levels in recent years to control the occurrence of illegal land use, promote the settlement of illegal land use and reduce the encroachment of illegal land had played a good role.
Different characteristics of illegal land use are affected by various driving factors in different degrees. The difficult-to-solve illegal land use cases were greatly affected by the number of the rural population and the education level of the whole society. The number of illegal land use cases where discovered, and the number of illegal land use cases were resolved in that year were greatly affected by the behavior of the tertiary industry and the land market. The difficult-to-solve illegal land use cases involving the area of cultivated land were greatly affected by the secondary industry, the tertiary industry and the urban population. Therefore, in the process of local socioeconomic development, we should always pay attention to the impact of local socioeconomic structure and land market behavior on illegal land use cases from a comprehensive perspective.