Investigation of Intense Precipitation from Tropical Cyclones during the 21st Century by Dynamical Downscaling of CCSM4 RCP 4.5

Mure-Ravaud, Mathieu; Kavvas, M. Levent; Dib, Alain

doi:10.3390/ijerph16050687

Open AccessArticle

Investigation of Intense Precipitation from Tropical Cyclones during the 21st Century by Dynamical Downscaling of CCSM4 RCP 4.5

by

Mathieu Mure-Ravaud

^*

,

M. Levent Kavvas

and

Alain Dib

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Davis. 1 Shields Ave, Davis, CA 95616, USA

^*

Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2019, 16(5), 687; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16050687

Submission received: 27 January 2019 / Revised: 21 February 2019 / Accepted: 21 February 2019 / Published: 26 February 2019

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Water Resources Systems Quality and Quantity Management)

Download

Browse Figures

Versions Notes

Abstract

In this article, a dynamical downscaling (DD) procedure is proposed to downscale tropical cyclones (TCs) from a general circulation model, with the goal of investigating inland intense precipitation from these storms in the future. This DD procedure is sequential as it is performed from the large scale to the small scale within a one-way nesting modeling framework with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Furthermore, it involves a two-step validation process to ensure that the model produces realistic TCs, both in terms of their general properties and in terms of their intense precipitation statistics. In addition, this procedure makes use of several algorithms such as for the detection and tracking of TCs, with the objective of automatizing the DD process as much as possible so that this approach could be used to downscale massively many climate projections with several sets of model options. The DD approach was applied to the Community Climate System Model (CCSM) version 4 using Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 during the period 2005–2100, and the resulting TCs and their intense precipitation were examined.

Keywords: dynamical downscaling; tropical cyclone; intense precipitation; general circulation model; climate change

Graphical Abstract

Share and Cite

MDPI and ACS Style

Mure-Ravaud, M.; Kavvas, M.L.; Dib, A. Investigation of Intense Precipitation from Tropical Cyclones during the 21st Century by Dynamical Downscaling of CCSM4 RCP 4.5. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2019, 16, 687. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16050687

AMA Style

Mure-Ravaud M, Kavvas ML, Dib A. Investigation of Intense Precipitation from Tropical Cyclones during the 21st Century by Dynamical Downscaling of CCSM4 RCP 4.5. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2019; 16(5):687. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16050687

Chicago/Turabian Style

Mure-Ravaud, Mathieu, M. Levent Kavvas, and Alain Dib. 2019. "Investigation of Intense Precipitation from Tropical Cyclones during the 21st Century by Dynamical Downscaling of CCSM4 RCP 4.5" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 16, no. 5: 687. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16050687

APA Style

Mure-Ravaud, M., Kavvas, M. L., & Dib, A. (2019). Investigation of Intense Precipitation from Tropical Cyclones during the 21st Century by Dynamical Downscaling of CCSM4 RCP 4.5. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 16(5), 687. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16050687

Note that from the first issue of 2016, this journal uses article numbers instead of page numbers. See further details here.

Article Menu

Investigation of Intense Precipitation from Tropical Cyclones during the 21st Century by Dynamical Downscaling of CCSM4 RCP 4.5

Abstract

Share and Cite

Article Metrics

Article Access Statistics

Further Information

Guidelines

MDPI Initiatives

Follow MDPI