Disproportionality Analysis and Timing of Drug-Associated Guillain–Barré Syndrome Onset Based on the Japanese Adverse Drug Event Report Database
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Results
2.1. JADER Analysis Dataset
2.2. Drugs Showing Disproportionality Signals for GBS and Patient Characteristics
2.3. Time-to-Event Analysis and Weibull Distribution
3. Discussion
3.1. Drugs Showing Disproportionality Signals for GBS
3.2. Timing of Vaccine- and Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor-Associated GBS Onset
3.3. Limitations
4. Materials and Methods
4.1. Detection of Disproportionality Signals for GBS
4.1.1. Construction of the JADER Analysis Data Table
4.1.2. Drugs Showing Disproportionate Reporting of Drug-Associated GBS and Patient Characteristics
4.2. Onset Timing of Drug-Associated GBS
4.2.1. Construction of a Data Table for Time-to-Onset Analysis
4.2.2. Evaluation of Adverse Event Onset Profiles
4.3. Statistical Analysis
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| ATC | Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical Classification System |
| COVID-19 vaccine | Coronavirus disease 2019 vaccine |
| CTLA-4 | Cytotoxic T lymphocyte-associated protein 4 |
| GBS | Guillain–Barré syndrome |
| ID | Identification number |
| irAEs | Immune-related adverse events |
| JADER | Japanese Adverse Drug Event Report |
| MedDRA/J | Medical Dictionary for Regulatory Activities/Japanese version |
| PD-1 | Programmed death-1 |
| PD-L1 | Programmed death-ligand 1 |
| PMDA | Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices Agency |
| ROR | Reporting odds ratio |
| RSV | Respiratory syncytial virus |
| SMQ | Standardized MedDRA Query |
| TNF-α | Tumor necrosis factor alpha |
| WHO | World Health Organization |
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| Drug | N | Gender Male/Female/Unknown and Not Reported | Age Median (Min–Max) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vaccines | |||
| COVID-19 vaccine | 354 | 165/185/4 | 55 (5–95) |
| COVID-19 vaccine * | 98 | 56/42/0 | 45 (15–85) |
| Influenza HA vaccine | 250 | 131/115/4 | 55 (5–85) |
| Influenza HA vaccine (A/H1N1) | 23 | 13/10/0 | 65 (5–75) |
| Human papillomavirus 2-valent vaccine | 56 | 0/56/0 | 15 (15–35) |
| Human papillomavirus 4-valent vaccine | 19 | 0/19/0 | 15 (15–45) |
| Pneumococcal vaccine | 50 | 28/15/7 | 75 (45–85) |
| Hepatitis B vaccine | 14 | 7/7/0 | 25 (5–35) |
| Japanese encephalitis vaccine | 10 | 5/5/0 | 10 (5–15) |
| Zoster vaccine | 9 | 4/5/0 | 65 (55–75) |
| Measles-rubella combined vaccine | 8 | 7/1/0 | 15 (5–55) |
| Mumps vaccine | 7 | 0/7/0 | 15 (5–15) |
| Diphtheria-tetanus combined toxoid | 6 | 2/4/0 | 15 (15–15) |
| Tetanus toxoid | 6 | 6/0/0 | 30 (25–45) |
| Immune checkpoint inhibitors | |||
| Nivolumab | 91 | 62/26/3 | 65 (35–85) |
| Pembrolizumab | 76 | 44/27/5 | 75 (25–85) |
| Ipilimumab | 54 | 37/17/0 | 65 (45–85) |
| Atezolizumab | 43 | 26/14/3 | 75 (45–95) |
| Avelumab | 4 | 3/0/1 | 75 (75–75) |
| Others | |||
| Infliximab | 26 | 22/4/0 | 65 (15–75) |
| Drug | Time to Onset (Days) | Weibull Distribution | N | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median (Min–Max) | Scale Parameter α (95% CI) | Shape Parameter β (95% CI) | Failure Pattern | ||
| Vaccines | |||||
| COVID-19 vaccine | 8.5 (0.5–225.5) | 13.41 (11.21–16.00) | 0.71 (0.65–0.77) | Early failure type | 271 |
| COVID-19 vaccine * | 10.5 (0.5–347.5) | 27.43 (16.27–45.28) | 0.61 (0.49–0.75) | Early failure type | 46 |
| Influenza HA vaccine | 10.5 (0.5–212.5) | 15.44 (12.66–18.76) | 0.87 (0.77–0.98) | Early failure type | 148 |
| Influenza HA vaccine (A/H1N1) | 10.5 (1.5–51.5) | 13.36 (8.23–21.12) | 1.09 (0.74–1.51) | Random failure type | 18 |
| Pneumococcal vaccine | 4.5 (0.5–212.5) | 10.83 (5.44–20.94) | 0.57 (0.43–0.72) | Early failure type | 31 |
| Human papillomavirus 2-valent vaccine | 32.5 (1.5–352.5) | 81.92 (35.55–179.17) | 0.77 (0.48–1.13) | Random failure type | 13 |
| Immune checkpoint inhibitors | |||||
| Nivolumab | 57.5 (0.5–359.5) | 83.75 (62.50–110.90) | 1.03 (0.82–1.27) | Random failure type | 51 |
| Ipilimumab | 45.5 (5.5–169.5) | 65.52 (50.42–84.10) | 1.35 (1.03–1.71) | Wear-out failure type | 38 |
| Pembrolizumab | 63.5 (0.5–314.5) | 92.13 (57.51–144.19) | 0.86 (0.63–1.14) | Random failure type | 29 |
| Atezolizumab | 19.5 (4.5–147.5) | 33.68 (21.36–51.90) | 1.02 (0.74–1.33) | Random failure type | 23 |
| Drug | Gender | Time to Onset (Days) | Weibull Distribution | N | p Value # | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median (Min–Max) | Scale Parameter α (95% CI) | Shape Parameter β (95% CI) | ||||
| Vaccines | ||||||
| COVID-19 vaccine | 0.432 | |||||
| Male | 8.5 (0.5–175.5) | 13.64 (10.77–17.18) | 0.81 (0.71–0.92) | 122 | ||
| Female | 8 (0.5–242.5) | 13.44 (10.28–17.48) | 0.66 (0.58–0.74) | 144 | ||
| COVID-19 vaccine * | 0.005 | |||||
| Male | 16.5 (1.5–287.5) | 40.01 (22.62–68.82) | 0.70 (0.53–0.90) | 30 | ||
| Female | 4.5 (0.5–347.5) | 11.49 (4.04–31.15) | 0.53 (0.37–0.72) | 16 | ||
| Influenza HA vaccine | 0.416 | |||||
| Male | 9.5 (0.5–71.5) | 13.71 (10.74–17.36) | 0.98 (0.83–1.15) | 79 | ||
| Female | 10 (0.5–108.5) | 16.20 (12.11–21.46) | 0.89 (0.74–1.06) | 68 | ||
| Influenza HA vaccine (A/H1N1) | 0.032 | |||||
| Male | 14.5 (2.5–51.5) | 19.65 (11.20–33.32) | 1.33 (0.77–2.03) | 10 | ||
| Female | 5.5 (1.5–16.5) | 7.03 (3.57–13.24) | 1.28 (0.68–2.11) | 8 | ||
| Human papillomavirus 2-valent vaccine | — | |||||
| Male | — | — | — | — | ||
| Female | 32.5 (1.5–352.5) | 81.92 (35.55–179.17) | 0.77 (0.48–1.13) | 13 | ||
| Pneumococcal vaccine | 0.496 | |||||
| Male | 3 (0.5–23.5) | 6.07 (3.09–11.39) | 0.80 (0.53–1.12) | 18 | ||
| Female | 4.5 (0.5–31.5) | 8.23 (3.98–16.23) | 0.98 (0.58–1.47) | 11 | ||
| Immune checkpoint inhibitors | ||||||
| Nivolumab | 0.422 | |||||
| Male | 57.5 (0.5–359.5) | 76.83 (53.49–108.62) | 1.01 (0.77–1.29) | 35 | ||
| Female | 67 (7.5–215.5) | 99.97 (59.12–163.25) | 1.09 (0.71–1.59) | 16 | ||
| Ipilimumab | 0.649 | |||||
| Male | 46.5 (5.5–112.5) | 59.91 (45.95–76.97) | 1.64 (1.17–2.20) | 26 | ||
| Female | 44.5 (7.5–169.5) | 77.04 (42.21–135.01) | 1.13 (0.68–1.71) | 12 | ||
| Pembrolizumab | 0.853 | |||||
| Male | 63.5 (1.5–314.5) | 104.55 (55.05–191.02) | 0.89 (0.57–1.28) | 16 | ||
| Female | 97 (0.5–293.5) | 81.32 (35.13–179.83) | 0.85 (0.49–1.33) | 11 | ||
| Atezolizumab | 0.203 | |||||
| Male | 20.5 (4.5–147.5) | 46.27 (23.87–85.81) | 0.97 (0.61–1.43) | 13 | ||
| Female | 15.5 (8.5–20.5) | 16.97 (14.36–19.85) | 4.85 (2.63–7.91) | 9 | ||
| Drug | Age | Time to Onset (Days) | Weibull Distribution | N | p Value # | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median (Min–Max) | Scale Parameter α (95% CI) | Shape Parameter β (95% CI) | ||||
| Vaccines | ||||||
| COVID-19 vaccine | 0.610 | |||||
| <20 y | 9.5 (0.5–153.5) | 14.96 (7.54–28.65) | 0.75 (0.52–1.00) | 19 | ||
| ≥20 y | 7.5 (0.5–242.5) | 13.41 (11.12–16.12) | 0.71 (0.65–0.77) | 250 | ||
| COVID-19 vaccine * | 0.524 | |||||
| <20 y | 347.5 (347.5–347.5) | — | — | 1 | ||
| ≥20 y | 9.5 (0.5–287.5) | 24.57 (14.81–39.98) | 0.64 (0.51–0.78) | 45 | ||
| Influenza HA vaccine | 0.311 | |||||
| <20 y | 12.5 (1.5–108.5) | 18.52 (12.42–27.18) | 0.98 (0.75–1.23) | 31 | ||
| ≥20 y | 9.5 (0.5–90.5) | 13.94 (11.27–17.15) | 0.92 (0.80–1.06) | 116 | ||
| Influenza HA vaccine (A/H1N1) | 0.333 | |||||
| <20 y | 16.5 (16.5–16.5) | — | — | 1 | ||
| ≥20 y | 10.5 (1.5–51.5) | 12.98 (7.73–21.16) | 1.06 (0.71–1.47) | 17 | ||
| Human papillomavirus 2-valent vaccine | 0.894 | |||||
| <20 y | 32.5 (1.5–352.5) | 82.62 (33.25–193.62) | 0.74 (0.45–1.11) | 12 | ||
| ≥20 y | 52.5 (52.5–52.5) | — | — | 1 | ||
| Pneumococcal vaccine | — | |||||
| <20 y | — | — | — | 0 | ||
| ≥20 y | 3.5 (0.5–31.5) | 6.86 (4.25–10.79) | 0.86 (0.63–1.12) | 29 | ||
| Immune checkpoint inhibitors | ||||||
| Nivolumab | — | |||||
| <20 y | — | — | — | 0 | ||
| ≥20 y | 57.5 (0.5–359.5) | 83.75 (62.50–110.90) | 1.03 (0.82–1.27) | 51 | ||
| Ipilimumab | — | |||||
| <20 y | — | — | — | 0 | ||
| ≥20 y | 45.5 (5.5–169.5) | 65.52 (50.42–84.10) | 1.35 (1.03–1.71) | 38 | ||
| Pembrolizumab | — | |||||
| <20 y | — | — | — | 0 | ||
| ≥20 y | 63.5 (0.5–314.5) | 90.05 (55.02–143.74) | 0.84 (0.61–1.12) | 28 | ||
| Atezolizumab | — | |||||
| <20 y | — | — | — | 0 | ||
| ≥20 y | 19.5 (4.5–147.5) | 33.68 (21.36–51.90) | 1.02 (0.74–1.33) | 23 | ||
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Toriumi, S.; Kurihara, Y.; Shimokawa, K.; Tanaka, A.; Araki, N.; Kawai, O.; Sugiura, Y.; Uesawa, Y. Disproportionality Analysis and Timing of Drug-Associated Guillain–Barré Syndrome Onset Based on the Japanese Adverse Drug Event Report Database. Pharmaceuticals 2026, 19, 688. https://doi.org/10.3390/ph19050688
Toriumi S, Kurihara Y, Shimokawa K, Tanaka A, Araki N, Kawai O, Sugiura Y, Uesawa Y. Disproportionality Analysis and Timing of Drug-Associated Guillain–Barré Syndrome Onset Based on the Japanese Adverse Drug Event Report Database. Pharmaceuticals. 2026; 19(5):688. https://doi.org/10.3390/ph19050688
Chicago/Turabian StyleToriumi, Shinya, Yousuke Kurihara, Komei Shimokawa, Arihito Tanaka, Norito Araki, Osamu Kawai, Yasoo Sugiura, and Yoshihiro Uesawa. 2026. "Disproportionality Analysis and Timing of Drug-Associated Guillain–Barré Syndrome Onset Based on the Japanese Adverse Drug Event Report Database" Pharmaceuticals 19, no. 5: 688. https://doi.org/10.3390/ph19050688
APA StyleToriumi, S., Kurihara, Y., Shimokawa, K., Tanaka, A., Araki, N., Kawai, O., Sugiura, Y., & Uesawa, Y. (2026). Disproportionality Analysis and Timing of Drug-Associated Guillain–Barré Syndrome Onset Based on the Japanese Adverse Drug Event Report Database. Pharmaceuticals, 19(5), 688. https://doi.org/10.3390/ph19050688

