TNT Loss: A Technical and Nontechnical Generative Cooperative Energy Loss Detection System
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. An Introduction to the System’s Architecture
2.2. A Variable Algorithm Suitable for Various Local Dataset Sizes
2.3. A Holistic Multi Loss Type—An Algorithm System Instead of an Algorithm: Generative Cooperative Modules
2.4. Module 4: Decision Making, Probability Computation Prior to Sending a Technical/Nontechnical Loss Detection Team to the Field
- denotes a specific meter event or assertion rule set at Module 1, the “generator”
- denotes any of the meter events or assertion rules is set
- denotes a decision to send the team to the field for inspection
- = denotes the TNT loss event
- denotes the probability decision that it is a TNT loss
- —a logical operator and not being an event type from the following types:
- —“not a data mismatch anomaly” ∩
- —“not a preventive maintenance anomaly” (part of technical losses) ∩ ”
- —“not a cyberattack anomaly” ∩ customer information: “customer is not from high socioeconomic status” ∩ “customer is not abroad” ∩ “customer is not from town with a low fraud rate” ∩ “not super-consumption” ∩
- “events from the smart meter included”—magnetic tampering and front-panel opening.
- where the count of no events is from the total anomaly count and not from the entire specific customer count.
- —event in which a customer with a “specific TNT loss type signature” from ∪ groups (i), i = 1,2..., N.
2.5. A Holistic Technical/Nontechnical Loss Detection System—An Ever-Learning Algorithm—GCN-like Architecture
2.6. A Robotic Process Automation (RPA) System to ASSIST in Information Loss that Looks Similar to Energy Loss Detection
2.7. Data Augmentation of Verified Frauds to Fill in the AI Requirement of Scenarios
2.8. The Pooling Mechanism—Second Top Architecture after GCN to Enable Loss Classification
2.9. Consumption or Universal Expert Knowledge-Based Generated Features
2.9.1. Expert Feature 1: Energetic Distribution from the Load Profile
- is the number of load-profile periods counted with energy that is inside the bin [.
- is the entire load-profile period count, which is a summation over all bins of period counts. It is not the entire energy, is.
- is a limit continuous function of the series at the point when the periods count N becomes infinite and the bins split, becomes zero.
- is the continuous version of the distribution function according to the energy parameter.
2.9.2. Expert Feature 2: Daily Spectral Energy Distribution
2.9.3. Expert Feature 3: Daily-Hourly Trend Graphs:
2.9.4. Expert Feature 4: Boxplot Hourly Seasonal Trends Acting as a 2D Object Identification System
2.10. Insertion of the Reactive Load Profile to the Learning Space and Comparison to the Active Load Profile
2.10.1. Expert Features: Reactive Load Profile vs. Active Load Profile for Distribution of a High-Order Dimensional and PCA 3D Space
2.10.2. Expert Feature 5: A “Six-Dimensional” Energy Distribution Space—Reactive vs. Active Energy
- is the peak amplitude parameter, is the central frequency,
- is the width, K is the Gaussian count, and is the normal distribution
2.10.3. Expert Feature 6: Active vs. Reactive Daily-Hourly Trends
- denotes collaborative distance measurements between two daily curves ,
- denotes energetic daily-hourly curves illustrated in Section 2.9.3.
- —for Christian-based weeks {Monday-Friday} for Muslim-based weeks {Saturday-Wednesday} and for Jewish-based weeks {Sunday-Thursday}. In general, not including weekends.
- denotes max-pooling over all combinations of daily trends.
2.10.4. Expert Feature 7: Active vs. Reactive Boxplot “Hourly Seasonal” Trends
2.10.5. Expert Feature 8: Active vs. Reactive Pearson Correlation Heatmap
2.10.6. Expert Feature 9: Reactive vs. Active PCA 3D of All Collaborative Features
2.11. A Computational Study on the Effect of Features Space on Training Effort and Accuracy
2.11.1. Forward
2.11.2. Computation of the Mix-Up Probability of Two Event Clusters
- denotes the standard deviation of
- denotes the forecast object instance
- denotes the actual object instance
2.11.3. The Probability of Mix-Up when Classification or Clustering Goes to N Object Types
2.12. Generative Cooperative Modules Theory
2.13. Generative Cooperative Module Theory Applied to Technical Nontechnical Loss Detection—A Classification Problem with a Generator and Discriminator
- denotes the normalization constant to reflect the distribution function.
- is the reference distribution common to all loss types.
- denotes the scoring function for a class Y of {loss type, loss location} conditioned with unknown parameters to be learned
- D denotes the dimensionality of {loss type, loss location}.
- denotes the distribution variance.
- is the vector of the loss type, such as “phase disconnect”.
3. Results
3.1. A Comparative Experimental Study of the Proposed Expert Knowledge Preprocessor with Various Clustering Algorithms Compared to Other Works
3.2. Detection of Ten Technical/Nontechnical Losses and Faults Using TNT
3.3. Test Case 1: Power Quality Events
3.4. Test Case 2: Magnetic Tampering
3.5. Test Case 3: A Single Phase Disconnects
3.6. Test Case 4: Smart Metering Data Chain Failure—Load Profile with Gaps
3.7. Test Case 5: A Meter Internal Multiplication Factor Attenuation
3.8. Demonstration of the Robustness of Expert Features to TNT Loss Determination
3.9. A comparative Study of Smart Metering Failures and Technical/Nontechnical Loss Events—Can They Be Differentiated
- (i)
- Recognition-like AI of the graphs. Two failures occurring in the field out of many in a stable smart metering system are compared to fraud and non-fraud to determine whether separability between anomaly types is possible. Figure 26 shows characteristic signature graphs. It may be understood that non-fraud and no anomaly are separable. Data mismatch failure (i. 1). The daily-hourly trends (1-a) look much messier than the remaining cases. (i. 2) The seasonal-hourly trends (1-c to 1-f)—if the boxplots are considered without outliers, then the “wavy” nature is broken into a discontinuous shape in Q1, Q2, and Q4. This is unique to anomaly (1). (i. 3) The outliers indicate anomalies for cases (1)–(3).
- (ii)
- Observing case (2)—meter internal attenuated due to a firmware bug during the daily time sync by the server network time protocol (SNTP). (ii. 1) The daily-hourly patterns (2-a) are not ordered, but they are the tidiest among all anomalies. Because the consumption pattern is not violated, (ii. 2) the outliers (2-c to 2-f indicate an anomaly, (ii. 3) the energy consumption distribution (2-b) is smaller than the fraud, (ii. 4.) the variance between quadrants Q1–Q4 (2-c to2-f) is much sharper than in the fraud case. There are sub-consumption outliers below the boxplots similar to regular consumption (2-c to 2-f), unique to case (2).
- (iii)
- Observing the fraud in case (3) is easily separable from cases (1) and (2).
- (iv)
- Finally, in case (3), the daily-hourly trends (3-a) are messier than (4-a, 2-a). The outliers (3-c to 3-f) indicate anomalies and are much more intense than in case (2). The energy consumption (3-b) is larger in the case of fraud than in case (2). The quadrants Q2, Q4, and Q3 boxplots (3-c to 3-f) look similar. The boxplot wave is smooth and not wavy. There is no need to implement all these rules using the software. The classifier and feature space should use them.
3.10. Techno-Economic Impact Analysis and Its Implied Future Research
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
RPA | Robotic process automation |
GCN | Generative cooperative networks |
GCM | Generative cooperative (AI) modules (classical not deep neural networks) |
GAN | Generative adversarial network |
TNT losses | Technical nontechnical losses |
NEW_FL | Tagging a group of new untagged failures |
Word2Vec | an NLP library converting from text to vector |
SAP ERP | Systems applications and products in data processing, enterprise resource planning |
a universal billing system | |
EUT | Equipment under test |
RDP | Remote desktop protocol |
OCR | Optical character recognition |
MDM | Meter data management system |
WFM | Workforce management system |
NLP | Natural language processing |
HES | Head end system |
PLC | Power line carrier communication method |
PCA | Principal component analysis |
DWH | Data warehouse |
TALEND | “Data integrity and governance” system |
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Fraud | Non-Fraud | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model | Accuracy Macro, Weighted | Precision | F1-Score | Recall | Accuracy | Precision | F1-Score | Recall |
Proposed SVM + HDS2 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.5 | 0.33 | 0.81 | 0.62 | 0.77 | 1 |
Proposed Ridge + HDS | 0.81 0.8 | 1 | 0.55 | 0.33 | 0.81 0.8 | 0.81 | 0.77 | 1 |
Proposed KNN + HDS | 0.88 | 1 | 0.800 | 0.67 | 0.88 | 0.77 | 0.67 | 1 |
Proposed RF + HDS | 0.92 0.91 | 1 | 0.88 | 0.78 | 0.92 0.91 | 0.83 | 0.91 | 1 |
Proposed DT + HDS | 0.95 0.95 | 1 | 0.94 | 0.89 | 0.95 0.95 | 0.91 | 0.95 | 1 |
Proposed LR + HDS | 1 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Wide & deep CNN [24] | 0.9503 | 0.9503 | 0.9093 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Work | ||||||||
SVM w/o preprocess | 0.772 | 0.765 | 0.863 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
LR without preprocess | 0.676 | 0.645 | 0.937 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
CNN | 0.812 | 0.805 | 0.845 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
RUSBoost | 0.869 | 0.85 | 0.871 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Work with [59] preprocessing and supervised learning | 0.95 | 0.93 | 0.937 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Fraud | Non-Fraud | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | Loss Type | Initially, Raised by Module | Currently Identified by Module | Was Verified Yes/No | Unique Signature Yes/No | Reason, Details | Final System Decision | Comment |
1 | Magnetic tampering | Module 2: events | Module 2: events Module 1: AI | yes | no | It is a false event by sensor, there is no real nontechnical loss | For the specific model type tag this is not a fault | It is not a tampering loss, it is a meter false alert |
2 | Disconnected phase | Module 2 events | Module 2: events Module 1: AI | yes | yes | Three mechanisms alert this now: (i) Meter event, (ii) expert knowledge rule: voltage while current = 0, (iii) AI signature | Tag this as a true TNT Loss | A true event 14 m out of 50,000 identified |
3 | Reversed-phase | Module 2 events: assertion rule | Module 2: events Module 1: AI | yes | Three mechanisms alert this now: (i) Meter event, (ii) expert knowledge rule: active export , (iii) AI signature and (iv) must not be PV | Tag this as a true TNT loss | A true event two meters out of 50,000 identified | |
4 | Repeated meter restart | Module 2 events | Module 2: events Module 1: AI | yes | yes | Due to hardware failure causing repeated restarts, energy stored in temporary registers is lost, and energy not measured during restart time is lost—metrological damage | Tag this as a true TNT loss | A true event five meters out of 50,000 identified |
5 | Meter turn-off/not measured | Module 2 events, assertion rule | Module 2: events Module 1: AI | yes | yes | Due to hardware failure the meter stops measuring | Tag this as a true TNT loss | A true event 14 m out of 50,000 identified |
6 | Meter abruptly low consumption | Module 1 AI, Module 2 events—assertion rule | Module 1: AI | yes | yes | Firmware defect: during daily midnight clock synch with SNTP an internal multiplication factor is reduced to close to zero but not zero | Tag this as a true TNT loss | A true event 5 m out of 50,000 identified |
7 | Holes/gaps in load profile | Module 1: AI | Module 2 events—assertion rule | yes | yes | Due to architecture flaw—lack of handshaking at load profile transfer from MDM to DWH1, 50% of the data gaps were generated. Insertion of a handshaking system TALEND resolved the problem completely | Tag this as a true TNT loss | A true event occurring at 100% of meters out of 50,000 identified |
8 | A random value of 20,000–2,000,000 kWh is exerted at one of three phases as export. From there, meter counts are precise | Module 2 events, assertion rule | Module 2: events Module 1: AI | yes | yes | Root cause analyzed this occurs at the factory. It is missed at the acceptance test by pulse counting and detected by electronic meter reading | Tag this as a true TNT loss | A true event occurring at 0.05% of meters out of 50,000 identified |
9 | Memory access fault events | Module 2 events, assertion rule | Module 2: events Module 1: AI | yes | yes | Might cause energy loss due to miss storage of energy | Tag this as a true TNT Loss | A true event occurring at 0.05% of meters out of 50,000 identified |
10 | Meter abruptly low consumption at a distribution transformer and data concentrator CT connected meter | Module 1 AI, Module 2 events—assertion rule | Module 1: AI | yes | yes | At distribution transformer level this fault causes energy balance mismatch—energy, which is more severe than a single faulty meter | Tag this as a true TNT Loss | A true event occurring at 0.05% of meters out of 50,000 identified |
11 | Signal quality | Module 2 events | Module 2 events | no | no | Power quality events. This is nota fault | Tag this as a false TNT Loss | A false event occurring at = ~0.05% of meters out of 50,000 identified |
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Calamaro, N.; Levy, M.; Ben-Melech, R.; Shmilovitz, D. TNT Loss: A Technical and Nontechnical Generative Cooperative Energy Loss Detection System. Sensors 2022, 22, 7003. https://doi.org/10.3390/s22187003
Calamaro N, Levy M, Ben-Melech R, Shmilovitz D. TNT Loss: A Technical and Nontechnical Generative Cooperative Energy Loss Detection System. Sensors. 2022; 22(18):7003. https://doi.org/10.3390/s22187003
Chicago/Turabian StyleCalamaro, Netzah, Michael Levy, Ran Ben-Melech, and Doron Shmilovitz. 2022. "TNT Loss: A Technical and Nontechnical Generative Cooperative Energy Loss Detection System" Sensors 22, no. 18: 7003. https://doi.org/10.3390/s22187003
APA StyleCalamaro, N., Levy, M., Ben-Melech, R., & Shmilovitz, D. (2022). TNT Loss: A Technical and Nontechnical Generative Cooperative Energy Loss Detection System. Sensors, 22(18), 7003. https://doi.org/10.3390/s22187003