Early Renal Remission Is Associated with Increased Likelihood of Subsequent Remission in Lupus Nephritis: Single-Centre Observational Study in Australia
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Results
2.1. Patient Characteristics at Baseline
2.2. CRR Attainment at 6, 12, and 24 Months
2.3. Factors Associated with CRR Attainment at 24 Months
3. Discussion
4. Methods
4.1. Study Design and Participants
4.2. Variables and Definitions
4.3. Statistical Analysis
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
ACR | American College of Rheumatology |
ALRB | Australian Lupus Registry and Biobank |
CI | confidence interval |
CRR | complete renal remission |
CYC | cyclophosphamide |
eGFR | estimated glomerular filtration rate |
ESKD | end-stage kidney disease |
GC | Glucocorticoids |
IQR | Interquartile range |
LN | lupus nephritis |
MMF | mycophenolate mofetil |
mPERR | modified primary efficacy renal response |
OR | odds ratio |
RTX | Rituximab |
SLE | Systemic Lupus Erythematosus |
SLEDAI-2K | SLE Disease Activity Index 2000 |
TAC | Tacrolimus |
UPCR | urine protein/creatinine ratio |
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Study Cohort | |
---|---|
Total Number (n) of Patients = 60 | |
n (%) or Median [IQR] | |
Demographics | |
Female | 49 (82%) |
Age at LN diagnosis | 27 [19, 39] |
SLE disease duration prior to biopsy-proven Class III or IV ± V LN (months) | 4.5 [0, 10.5] |
Ethnicity | |
Caucasian | 21 (35%) |
Asian | 31 (52%) |
Others | 8 (13%) |
Current or ex-smoker 1 | 11 (19%) |
Hypertension | 12 (20%) |
Baseline Serological profile | |
Anti-dsDNA positive 2 | 53 (93%) |
Hypocomplementaemia (low C3/C4) 3 | 47 (80%) |
Kidney Function at LN diagnosis | |
Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, mL/min/1.73 m2) 4 | 80.5 [58, 90] |
Urinary protein/creatinine ratio (UPCR, g/mmol) | 0.3 [0.2, 0.5] |
Medications | |
Glucocorticoids (GC) exposure at least once (ever) | 60 (100%) |
Daily GC dose (mg) at: | |
Baseline 5 | 17.5 [7.5, 38.8] |
6 months 6 | 10.0 [7.5, 15.0] |
12 months 7 | 5.0 [1.2, 10.0] |
24 months 8 | 5.0 [1.0, 7.5] |
Induction therapy 3 | 59 (100%) |
MMF | 41 (69%) |
CYC | 11 (19%) |
RTX | 2 (3%) |
MMF/RTX | 3 (5%) |
MMF/TAC | 1 (2%) |
CYC/RTX | 1 (2%) |
Antimalarial therapy 1 | 49 (84%) |
Class of LN (ISN/RPS Classification) | |
III | 12 (20%) |
IV | 26 (43%) |
III or IV ± V | 22 (37%) |
Complete renal remission (CRR) | |
CRR at least once (CRR-ever) 9 | 31 (61%) |
CRR never 9 | 20 (39%) |
CRR at 6 months 1 | 23 (40%) |
CRR at 12 months 10 | 26 (47%) |
CRR at 24 months 10 | 24 (44%) |
SLE Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI)-2K score | |
Baseline 11 | 14.5 [8.0, 19.0] |
6 months 12 | 6.0 [4.0, 10.0] |
12 months 13 | 6.0 [4.0, 8.0] |
24 months 14 | 4.0 [4.0, 8.0] |
CRR at 6 Months | CRR at 12 Months | CRR at 24 Months | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Non-Responder | Responder | Non-Responder | Responder | Non-Responder | Responder | ||||
n = 35 | n = 23 | n = 29 | n = 26 | n = 31 | n = 24 | ||||
n (%) or Median [IQR] | p-Value | n (%) or Median [IQR] | p-Value | n (%) or Median [IQR] | p-Value | ||||
Demographics | |||||||||
Female | 27 (77%) | 20 (87%) | 0.35 | 19 (66%) | 25 (96%) | 0.005 | 23 (74%) | 23 (96%) | 0.031 |
Age at LN diagnosis | 28 [17, 40] | 27 [19, 39] | 0.60 | 23 [15, 31] | 30 [24, 39] | 0.088 | 24 [15, 30] | 28.5 [21.5, 41.5] | 0.064 |
Pre-biopsy SLE duration (months) | 4 [0, 12] | 5 [0, 9] | 0.90 | 5 [1, 12] | 4.5 [0.0, 9.0] | 0.30 | 7 [1, 13] | 3 [0, 7.5] | 0.083 |
Asian ethnicity | 21 (60%) | 11 (48%) | 0.49 | 16 (55%) | 13 (50%) | 0.70 | 16 (52%) | 15 (62%) | 0.85 |
Current or ex-smoker 1 | 7 (21%) | 4 (17%) | 0.72 | 7 (25%) | 3 (12%) | 0.20 | 6 (20%) | 3 (12%) | 0.46 |
Serological profile | |||||||||
Anti-dsDNA positive 2 | 32(97%) | 20(87%) | 0.15 | 26 (96%) | 23 (88%) | 0.28 | 26 (93%) | 22 (92%) | 0.87 |
Hypocomplementaemia 3 | 26(76.5%) | 19(82.6%) | 0.57 | 22 (79%) | 20 (77%) | 0.84 | 23 (77%) | 19 (79%) | 0.83 |
LN histological Class (ISN/RPS 2003 classification) | 0.64 | 0.17 | 0.82 | ||||||
III | 6 (17%) | 6 (26%) | 5 (17%) | 7 (27%) | 7 (23%) | 4 (17%) | |||
IV | 15 (43%) | 10 (43%) | 9 (31%) | 12 (46%) | 12 (39%) | 11 (46%) | |||
III/IV + V | 14 (40%) | 7 (30%) | 15 (52%) | 7 (27%) | 12 (39%) | 9 (38%) | |||
eGFR (mL/min/1.73 m2) 4 | 90 [59, 90] | 77 [60, 90] | 0.45 | 84 [57, 90] | 82 [60, 90] | 0.98 | 90 [57, 90] | 77 [60, 90] | 0.92 |
UPCR (g/mmol) | 0.42 [0.27, 0.61] | 0.18 [0.12, 0.30] | 0.003 | 0.30 [0.14, 0.59] | 0.27 [0.15, 0.48] | 0.55 | 0.41 [0.20, 0.61] | 0.23 [0.13, 0.43] | 0.058 |
Medications | |||||||||
Glucocorticoids (GC) ever | 35 (100%) | 23 (100%) | 29 (100%) | 26 (100%) | 31 (100%) | 24 (100%) | |||
Daily GC dose (mg) at: | |||||||||
Baseline 5 | 15 [7, 40] | 20 [8, 38] | 0.8 | 15 [5, 40] | 20 [8, 40] | 0.57 | 20 [10, 25] | 15 [5, 40] | 0.59 |
6 months 6 | 10 [5, 15] | 10 [9, 15] | 0.54 | 10 [5, 15] | 10 [8, 15] | 0.66 | 10 [5, 15] | 11.2 [9, 15] | 0.29 |
12 months 7 | 5 [0, 10] | 5 [1, 10] | 0.88 | 5 [4, 13] | 5 [1, 10] | 0.27 | 7.5 [2, 15] | 5 [1, 5] | 0.11 |
24 months 8 | 5 [3, 10] | 3.2 [0, 5] | 0.014 | 5 [1, 7.5] | 2.5 [0, 5] | 0.079 | 5 [2.5, 10.0] | 4 [0, 5.] | 0.038 |
Induction therapy 3 | 0.59 | 0.84 | 0.70 | ||||||
MMF | 23 (68%) | 16 (70%) | 20 (69%) | 18 (69%) | 21 (68%) | 18 (75%) | |||
CYC | 6 (18%) | 5 (22%) | 6 (21%) | 5 (19%) | 7 (23%) | 3 (12%) | |||
RTX | 2 (6%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (3.4%) | 1 (3.8%) | 1 (3%) | 1 (4%) | |||
MMF/RTX | 2 (6%) | 1 (4%) | 1 (3.4%) | 1 (3.8%) | 1 (3%) | 1 (4%) | |||
MMF/Tac | 1 (3%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (3.4%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (3%) | 0 (0%) | |||
CYC/RTX | 0 (0%) | 1 (4%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (3.8%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (4%) | |||
Antimalarial therapy 1 | 22 (67%) | 12 (52%) | 0.27 | 24 (86%) | 23 (88%) | 0.76 | 20 (65%) | 13 (54%) | 0.44 |
Complete renal remission (CRR) | |||||||||
CRR at 6 months 1 | 6 (21%) | 17 (65%) | 0.001 | 5 (17%) | 16 (67%) | <0.001 | |||
CRR at 12 months 9 | 9 (29%) | 17 (74%) | 0.001 | 8 (28%) | 18 (78%) | <0.001 | |||
CRR at 24 months 9 | 8 (25%) | 16 (76%) | <0.001 | 5 (19%) | 18 (69%) | <0.001 | |||
SLEDAI-2K score | |||||||||
Baseline 10 | 10 [8, 16] | 14.5 [10, 19] | 0.41 | 12.5 [8, 16] | 13 [8, 18] | 0.95 | 10 [8, 16] | 13 [8, 20] | 0.37 |
6 months 11 | 8 [6, 14] | 4 [2, 4] | <0.001 | 8 [5, 10] | 4 [2, 6] | 0.008 | 7 [4, 12] | 4 [2, 8] | 0.040 |
12 months 12 | 8 [6, 10] | 4 [2, 4] | 0.011 | 8 [6.5, 10] | 4 [2, 4] | <0.001 | 8 [6, 10] | 4 [2, 4] | 0.002 |
24 months 13 | 6 [4, 10] | 4 [4, 4] | 0.005 | 7 [4, 12] | 4 [4, 4] | 0.012 | 8 [6, 10] | 4 [3, 4] | <0.001 |
12 m CRR Achievement | 24 m CRR Achievement | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Univariable Logistic Regression Analysis | Multivariable Logistic Regression Analysis | Univariable Logistic Regression Analysis | Multivariable Logistic Regression Analysis | |
OR (95%CI), p-Value | OR 1 (95%CI), p-Value | OR (95%CI), p-Value | OR 1 (95%CI), p-Value | |
6 months non-responder | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
6 months responder | 6.93 (2.06, 23.26), 0.002 | 9.72 (2.19, 43.03), 0.003 | 9.60 (2.66, 34.67), 0.001 | 11.23(2.53, 49.88), 0.001 |
12 months non-responder | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||
12 months responder | 9.45 (2.62, 34.07), 0.001 | 11.39 (2.41, 53.80), 0.002 |
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Nakagawa, S.; Yeung, E.K.; Hoi, A.; Morand, E.F.; Kent, J.R.; Kandane-Rathnayake, R. Early Renal Remission Is Associated with Increased Likelihood of Subsequent Remission in Lupus Nephritis: Single-Centre Observational Study in Australia. Int. J. Mol. Sci. 2025, 26, 9634. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms26199634
Nakagawa S, Yeung EK, Hoi A, Morand EF, Kent JR, Kandane-Rathnayake R. Early Renal Remission Is Associated with Increased Likelihood of Subsequent Remission in Lupus Nephritis: Single-Centre Observational Study in Australia. International Journal of Molecular Sciences. 2025; 26(19):9634. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms26199634
Chicago/Turabian StyleNakagawa, Shiori, Emily K. Yeung, Alberta Hoi, Eric F. Morand, Joanna R. Kent, and Rangi Kandane-Rathnayake. 2025. "Early Renal Remission Is Associated with Increased Likelihood of Subsequent Remission in Lupus Nephritis: Single-Centre Observational Study in Australia" International Journal of Molecular Sciences 26, no. 19: 9634. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms26199634
APA StyleNakagawa, S., Yeung, E. K., Hoi, A., Morand, E. F., Kent, J. R., & Kandane-Rathnayake, R. (2025). Early Renal Remission Is Associated with Increased Likelihood of Subsequent Remission in Lupus Nephritis: Single-Centre Observational Study in Australia. International Journal of Molecular Sciences, 26(19), 9634. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms26199634